Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/col/000438/013428.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimación de la estructura a plazo de las tasas de interés en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Eduardo Arango
  • Luis Fernando Melo
  • Diego Mauricio Vásquez
Abstract
“En este trabajo se presenta una estimación de la estructura a plazo de las tasas de interés en Colombia, utilizando el método de Nelson y Siegel (1981). Se trata de la primera estimación realizada en el país que emplea un método de aceptación internacional. Siguiendo criterios convencionales, esta estimación supera la curva CETES de la Bolsa de Colombia. La evolución de la curva de la tasa forward permite sugerir, mediante la ayuda de algunos supuestos, una disminución en las expectativas de inflación a lo largo de 2007.”

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Eduardo Arango & Luis Fernando Melo & Diego Mauricio Vásquez, 2003. "Estimación de la estructura a plazo de las tasas de interés en Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 33(1), pages 51-76, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000438:013428
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11445/2095
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shea, Gary S., 1984. "Pitfalls in Smoothing Interest Rate Term Structure Data: Equilibrium Models and Spline Approximations," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(3), pages 253-269, September.
    2. Lars E.O. Svensson, 1994. "Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates: Sweden 1992 - 1994," NBER Working Papers 4871, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Bernard, Henri & Gerlach, Stefan, 1998. "Does the Term Structure Predict Recessions? The International Evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(3), pages 195-215, July.
    4. J. M. Culbertson, 1957. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 71(4), pages 485-517.
    5. McCulloch, J Huston, 1971. "Measuring the Term Structure of Interest Rates," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(1), pages 19-31, January.
    6. repec:zbw:bofrdp:1996_019 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Franco Modigliani & Richard Sutch, 1967. "Debt Management and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: An Empirical Analysis of Recent Experience," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(4), pages 569-569.
    8. Shiller, Robert J. & Huston McCulloch, J., 1990. "The term structure of interest rates," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: B. M. Friedman & F. H. Hahn (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 13, pages 627-722, Elsevier.
    9. Sebastian Schich, 1999. "The information content of the German term structure regarding inflation," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 385-395.
    10. McCulloch, J Huston, 1975. "The Tax-Adjusted Yield Curve," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 30(3), pages 811-830, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Karim Parra, 2010. "Factores determinantes del margen entre la deuda corporativa y la deuda pública en Colombia," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, November.
    2. Diego Mauricio Vásquez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2005. "Estimación de la estructura a plazos de las tasas de interés en Colombia por medio del método de funciones B-spline cúbicas," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, June.
    3. Diego Vásquez & Camilo Zea, 2003. "Hedging Alternatives for the Mortgage Stabilization Fund (FRECH) European Cap Options for the Real Interest Rate," Borradores de Economia 265, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Carlos David Ardila-Dueñas & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2019. "¿Cómo y qué tanto impacta la deuda pública a las tasas de interés de mercado?," Borradores de Economia 1077, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Luis Eduardo Arango & María Angélica Arosemena, 2003. "El Tramo Corto de la Estructura a Plazo como predictor de Expectativas de Inflación en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 264, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Ramiro Chacón, 2004. "Estructura temporal de las tasas de interés: curva cupón cero," I Simposio Docentes de Finanzas 2613, Politécnico Grancolombiano.
    7. Juan José Echavarría & Diego Vásquez & Mauricio Villamizar, 2008. "Expectativas, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio: paridad cubierta y no cubierta en Colombia, 2000-2007," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 26(56), pages 150-203, June.
    8. Luis Eduardo Arango & Andrés González & John Jairo León & Luis Fernando Melo., 2008. "Cambios de la Tasa de Política y su Efecto en la Estructura a Plazo de Colombia," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 45(132), pages 257-291.
    9. Juan Andrés Espinosa Torres & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & José Fernando Moreno Gutiérrez, 2014. "Estimación de la prima por vencimiento de los TES en pesos del gobierno colombiano," Borradores de Economia 854, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Angélica Arosemena, 2002. "Lecturas Alternativas de la Estructura a Plazo: Una Breve Revisión de literatura," Borradores de Economia 223, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    11. Raúl Castro R. & Diego A. Castro Amado & Yolanda Casallas A., 2020. "Tasa de descuento: aspectos relevantes para el licenciamiento ambiental en Colombia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 84(1), pages 9-53, February.
    12. Juan Camilo Santana, 2008. "La curva de rendimientos: una revisión metodológica y nuevas aproximaciones de estimación," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Emma Berenguer-Carceles & Ricardo Gimeno & Juan M. Nave, 2012. "Estimation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Methodology and Applications," Working Papers 12.06, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Financial Economics and Accounting (former Department of Business Administration).
    2. Angélica Arosemena, 2002. "Lecturas Alternativas de la Estructura a Plazo: Una Breve Revisión de literatura," Borradores de Economia 223, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Brian Barnard, 2019. "Interest Rate Term Structure Decomposition: An Axiomatic," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(1), pages 84-96, January.
    4. John Y. Campbell, 1995. "Some Lessons from the Yield Curve," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(3), pages 129-152, Summer.
    5. Shiller, Robert J. & Huston McCulloch, J., 1990. "The term structure of interest rates," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: B. M. Friedman & F. H. Hahn (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 13, pages 627-722, Elsevier.
    6. Keith Cuthbertson & Don Bredin, 2000. "The Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure - The Case of Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 31(3), pages 267-281.
    7. Marti G. Subrahmanyam & Young Ho Eom & Jun Uno, 2000. "Credit Risk and the Pricing of Japanese Yen Interest Rate Swaps," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 98-069, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
    8. Damir Filipović & Sander Willems, 2016. "Exact Smooth Term Structure Estimation," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-38, Swiss Finance Institute.
    9. Melino, Angelo, 1988. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates: Evidence and Theory," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(4), pages 335-366.
    10. James M. Steeley, 2008. "Testing Term Structure Estimation Methods: Evidence from the UK STRIPS Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(7), pages 1489-1512, October.
    11. Poletti Laurini, Márcio & Moura, Marcelo, 2010. "Constrained smoothing B-splines for the term structure of interest rates," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 339-350, April.
    12. Annaert, Jan & Claes, Anouk G.P. & De Ceuster, Marc J.K. & Zhang, Hairui, 2013. "Estimating the spot rate curve using the Nelson–Siegel model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 482-496.
    13. Vadim Kaushanskiy & Victor Lapshin, 2016. "A nonparametric method for term structure fitting with automatic smoothing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(58), pages 5654-5666, December.
    14. Ganchev, Alexander, 2009. "Modeling the yield curve of spot interest rates under the conditions in Bulgaria," MPRA Paper 70048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Lin, Bing-Huei, 1999. "Fitting the term structure of interest rates for Taiwanese government bonds," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(3-4), pages 331-352, November.
    16. Andrea J. Heuson, 1988. "The Term Premia Relationship Implicit In The Term Structure Of Treasury Bills," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 11(1), pages 13-20, March.
    17. Barzanti, Luca & Corradi, Corrado, 1998. "A note on interest rate term structure estimation using tension splines," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 139-143, June.
    18. Diego Mauricio Vásquez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2005. "Estimación de la estructura a plazos de las tasas de interés en Colombia por medio del método de funciones B-spline cúbicas," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, June.
    19. Lauren Stagnol, 2017. "Introducing global term structure in a risk parity framework," Working Papers hal-04141648, HAL.
    20. Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Sebastian Schich, 2003. "How Stable is the Predictive Power of the Yield Curve? Evidence from Germany and the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 629-644, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tasa de Interés; Mercado de Capitales; Valoración de Activos; Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • J40 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - General
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000438:013428. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Patricia Monroy (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fedesco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.