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Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises

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  • Oliver Hülsewig
  • Horst Rottmann
Abstract
We estimate local projections to explore how fiscal policy in euro area periphery countries responds to monetary policy shocks that lower sovereign bond yields. In particular, we assess whether the disciplining effect of financial markets on public finances is undermined by the ability of monetary policy to affect the conditions of external funds. We find that the fiscal balance, on average, improves in response to monetary policy surprises that bring down yields on sovereign bonds.

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2022. "Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 544-568, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:84:y:2022:i:3:p:544-568
    DOI: 10.1111/obes.12486
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    2. Nikiforov Petro & Greshko Roman & Marych Maksym & Marusiak Nataliia & Kharabara Violetta & Gladchuk Olga, 2022. "Mutual Influence of Fiscal and Monetary Policy in the Context of Ensuring Macro-Financial Stability of the State," Management Theory and Studies for Rural Business and Infrastructure Development, Sciendo, vol. 44(4), pages 435-442, December.
    3. Martin Feldkircher & Helene Schuberth, 2023. "Understanding Monetary Spillovers in Highly Integrated Regions: The Case of Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 859-893, August.
    4. Clara De Luigi & Martin Feldkircher & Philipp Poyntner & Helene Schuberth, 2023. "Quantitative Easing and Wealth Inequality: The Asset Price Channel," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 638-670, June.
    5. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 10558, CESifo.

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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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