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Long-term Unemployment in Greece: developments, incidence and composition

Author

Listed:
  • Theodore Mitrakos

    (Bank of Greece)

  • Daphne Nicolitsas

    (Bank of Greece)

Abstract
The duration of unemployment spells in Greece is investigated by looking at developments over time and by estimating duration models for unemployed men using data from the 2005 Greek Labour Force Survey (LFS). The prolongation of spells since the 1990s reflects the rise in the overall unemployment rate and the increased probability of transition from short-term to long-term unemployment. The limited number of new jobs, due inter alia to the stringent regulatory environment in product and labour markets, might be contributing to the differences in the percentage of long-term unemployment between Greece and the EU-15. Estimates of duration models suggest that older individuals with no previous work experience, in high-unemployment regions are more likely to experience longer unemployment spells while education appears to differentiate the length of spells amongst younger individuals. There is some tentative evidence of positive duration dependence in the first few months of the spell, which, however, turns negative as the spell continues.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodore Mitrakos & Daphne Nicolitsas, 2006. "Long-term Unemployment in Greece: developments, incidence and composition," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 27, pages 7-41, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bog:econbl:y:2006:i:27:p:7-41
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    File URL: https://www.bankofgreece.gr/en/publications/pdf/econbull200607.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    unemployment; long-term unemployment; duration models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies

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