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The Role of a Changing Market Environment for Credit Default Swap Pricing

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  • Julian S. Leppin
  • Stefan Reitz
Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of a changing market environment on the pricing of CDS spreads written on debt from EURO STOXX 50 firms. A Panel Smooth Transition Regression reveals that parameter estimates of standard CDS fundamentals are time-varying depending on current values of a set of variables such as ECB's systemic stress composite index, the Sentix index for current and future economics situation, and the VStoxx. These variables describe the market's transition between different regimens thereby reflecting the impact of substantial swings in agents' risk perception on CDS spreads. Overall, our results confirm the importance of nonlinearities in the pricing of risk derivatives during tranquil and turbulent times.
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  • Julian S. Leppin & Stefan Reitz, 2016. "The Role of a Changing Market Environment for Credit Default Swap Pricing," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 209-223, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:21:y:2016:i:3:p:209-223
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhenxi Chen & Stefan Reitz, 2020. "Dynamics of the European sovereign bonds and the identification of crisis periods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(6), pages 2761-2781, June.
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    3. Demetrescu, Matei & Leppin, Julian Sebastian & Reitz, Stefan, 2017. "Homogenous vs. heterogenous transition functions in smooth transition regressions: A LM-type test," Kiel Working Papers 2094, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Dimpfl, Thomas Ernst Herbert & Peter, Franziska Julia, 2015. "Price discovery in the markets for credit risk: A Markov switching approach," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-035, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    5. Paulo V. Carvalho & José D. Curto & Rodrigo Primor, 2022. "Macroeconomic determinants of credit risk: Evidence from the Eurozone," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2054-2072, April.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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