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Capital Market And Business Cycle Volatility

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  • Piyapas Tharavanij
Abstract
This paper investigates cross-country evidence on how capital markets affect business cycle volatilities. In contrast to the large and growing literature of finance and growth, empirical work on the relationship between finance, particularly capital markets, and volatility has been relatively scarce, though theoretically, more developed capital markets should lead to lower macroeconomic volatilities. Results are generated using panel estimation technique with data from 44 countries covering the years 1975 through 2004. The major finding is that countries with more developed capital markets have smoother economic fluctuations. The results hold under various estimation methods and after controlling for other relevant variables, country specific effects, and plausible endogeneity problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Piyapas Tharavanij, 2007. "Capital Market And Business Cycle Volatility," Monash Economics Working Papers 33-07, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mos:moswps:2007-33
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Emiel F. S. van Bezooijen & Jacob A. Bikker, 2019. "Financial Structure and Macroeconomic Volatility: A Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(12), pages 117-117, December.
    2. Melitz, Jacques & Christev, Atanas, 2010. "EMU, EU, capital market integration and consumption smoothing," CEPR Discussion Papers 7776, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Feng Wei & Yu Kong, 2016. "Financial Development, Financial Structure, and Macroeconomic Volatility: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-20, November.
    4. Piyapas Tharavanij, 2007. "Capital Market, Frequency Of Recession, And Fraction Of Time The Economy In Recession," Monash Economics Working Papers 34-07, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    5. Tharavanij, Piyapas, 2007. "Capital Market, Severity of Business Cycle, and Probability of Economic Downturn," MPRA Paper 4953, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Atanas Christev & Jacques Melitz, 2013. "EMU, EU, Market Integration and Consumption Smoothing," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(5), pages 789-818, November.
    7. Emiel F. S. van Bezooijen & Jacob A. Bikker, 2019. "Financial Structure and Macroeconomic Volatility: A Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(12), pages 117-117, December.
    8. Ibrahim, Muazu & Alagidede, Paul, 2017. "Financial sector development, economic volatility and shocks in sub-Saharan Africa," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 484(C), pages 66-81.
    9. Mallick, Debdulal, 2014. "Financial Development, Shocks, And Growth Volatility," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 651-688, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    business cycle; capital market; financial development; financial structure; panel data; market-based; bank-based;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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