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Chinese vs. US trade in an emerging country: the impact of trade openness in Chile

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  • Sotiriou, Alexandra
  • Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés
Abstract
This paper explores the effects of import competition on the manufacturing sector in Chile following the implementation of the country’s two largest Free Trade Agreements (FTA) (with the USA and China). Exploiting cross-industry variation in import exposure, we analyse the effects on manufacturing sales, employment and labour productivity at the finest level of industrial classification (4 digit ISIC level). We detect an overall negative effect of increased Chinese import penetration, owing to substitution effects from low and medium tech imports and a less pronounced effect from USA imports. By introducing interaction effects, we find that the levels of foreign ownership and the export intensity of the domestic industries reverse the negative effect due to the opportunities offered via participation in global value chains. An IV strategy is applied to address standard endogeneity concerns and confirm the robustness of our estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Sotiriou, Alexandra & Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, 2021. "Chinese vs. US trade in an emerging country: the impact of trade openness in Chile," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 111033, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:111033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    import penetration; free trade; manufacturing; Chile; China; USA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L81 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Retail and Wholesale Trade; e-Commerce

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