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Technological Change, Entry and Stock Market Dynamics: An Analysis of Transition in a Monopolistic Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Bipasa Datta
  • Huw D. Dixon
Abstract
This paper explores an equilibrium model for industry entry dynamics and technological change. We focus on the share valuation of firms in the transition as technology changes, and whether or not share prices are always increasing when technology improves. We find that there can be a U-shaped transition dynamic, so that an initial boom in share price is followed by a temporary fall in share price even though the underlying technology is improving.

Suggested Citation

  • Bipasa Datta & Huw D. Dixon, 2002. "Technological Change, Entry and Stock Market Dynamics: An Analysis of Transition in a Monopolistic Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series 641, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_641
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/641.PDF
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Luis F Costa & Huw D Dixon, "undated". "A Simple Business-Cycle Model with Schumpeterian Features," Discussion Papers 05/30, Department of Economics, University of York.
    2. Savagar, Anthony, 2021. "Measured productivity with endogenous markups and economic profits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Savagar, Anthony & Dixon, Huw, 2020. "Firm entry, excess capacity and endogenous productivity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. Jakob B Madsen & E Philip Davis, 2006. "Equity Prices, Productivity Growth and 'The New Economy'," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(513), pages 791-811, July.
    5. Bertinelli, Luisito & Cardi, Olivier & Sen, Partha, 2013. "Deregulation shock in product market and unemployment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 711-734.
    6. Allanson, Paul & Montagna, Catia, 2005. "Multiproduct firms and market structure: An explorative application to the product life cycle," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 23(7-8), pages 587-597, September.
    7. Marta Aloi & Huw Dixon & Anthony Savagar, 2021. "Labor Responses, Regulation, and Business Churn," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 119-156, February.
    8. Jakob B. Madsen, 2009. "The Macroeconomics Of Stock Prices In The Medium Term And In The Long Run," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 77(2), pages 127-152, March.
    9. Kausik Gangopadhyay & Atsushi Nishimura & Rupayan Pal, 2012. "Co-movement of Skill Premium and Stock Prices," Working Papers id:5174, eSocialSciences.
    10. Brito, Paulo & Dixon, Huw, 2013. "Fiscal policy, entry and capital accumulation: Hump-shaped responses," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 2123-2155.
    11. Gangopadhyay, Kausik & Nishimura, Atsushi & Pal, Rupayan, 2016. "Can the information technology revolution explain the incidence of co-movement of skill premium and stock prices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 107-120.
    12. Jerzmanowski, Michal & Nabar, Malhar, 2008. "The welfare consequences of irrational exuberance: Stock market booms, research investment, and productivity," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 111-133, March.
    13. Tomasz Bernat, 2008. "Market Creation, Development and Barriers: The Case of Polish Mobile Telephony Market," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 11(29), pages 153-169, (3).
    14. Savagar, Anthony, 2021. "Measured productivity with endogenous markups and economic profits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    15. Jakob B. Madsen, 2003. "The Macroeconomics of Share Prices in the Medium Term and in the Long Run," EPRU Working Paper Series 03-11, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    16. Cheng‐wei Chang, 2020. "Endogenous overhead costs, firm size, and fiscal shocks," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 67(2), pages 223-230, May.
    17. Paulo Brito & Huw Dixon, 2009. "Entry and the accumulation of capital: A two state variable extension to the Ramsey model," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 5(4), pages 333-357, December.
    18. Jakob B. Madsen & Martin Barner & Christian Farø, 2008. "R&D, Technology Spillovers And Stock Prices†," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(5), pages 620-631, December.
    19. Pedro Rui Mazeda Gil & Paulo Brito & Óscar Afonso, 2008. "A Model of Quality Ladders with Horizontal Entry," FEP Working Papers 296, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    technology; share-price; entry; industry; dynamic.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - General
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General

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