Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/spr/nrmchp/978-3-319-52926-4_7.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Energy Subsidies Reform in Jordan: Welfare Implications of Different Scenarios

In: The Quest for Subsidy Reforms in the Middle East and North Africa Region

Author

Listed:
  • Aziz Atamanov

    (World Bank)

  • Jon Jellema

    (World Bank)

  • Umar Serajuddin

    (World Bank)

Abstract
Facing a fiscal crisis, Jordan initiated substantial petroleum subsidy reforms in 2012. The government has also long contemplated how to cut electricity subsidies, which surpass the fiscal burdens imposed by the petroleum subsidies. This paper estimates the impacts of the 2012 petroleum subsidies reform on household welfare and government revenues. It also simulates the distributional and fiscal impacts from ending subsidies in the electricity sector, where the pricing structure is more complex than petroleum prices. The paper looks at the direct and indirect impacts of reform. Moreover, the paper discusses the political economy considerations of reform. While the full removal of petroleum subsidies would have increased poverty, the compensatory cash transfer program the government instituted is estimated to have fully offset the negative impact for the poorer population. The impact of reforms in the electricity sector will depend significantly on the implementation method chosen. A flat increase of tariffs toward cost recovery will put a huge burden on the poorest households. However, a progressive increase in tariffs will generate substantial savings for the government, even with compensatory mechanisms to mitigate the strong negative impact on the vulnerable population. The immediate compensation of the losers from reform appears to be a crucial factor in the successful implementation of reforms in Jordan.

Suggested Citation

  • Aziz Atamanov & Jon Jellema & Umar Serajuddin, 2017. "Energy Subsidies Reform in Jordan: Welfare Implications of Different Scenarios," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Paolo Verme & Abdlekrim Araar (ed.), The Quest for Subsidy Reforms in the Middle East and North Africa Region, chapter 0, pages 179-206, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nrmchp:978-3-319-52926-4_7
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-52926-4_7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joao Pedro Azevedo, 2011. "WBOPENDATA: Stata module to access World Bank databases," Statistical Software Components S457234, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 09 Jul 2020.
    2. Mr. Robert Gillingham & David Locke Newhouse & Mr. David Coady & Mr. Kangni R Kpodar & Moataz El-Said & Mr. Paulo A Medas, 2006. "The Magnitude and Distribution of Fuel Subsidies: Evidence from Bolivia, Ghana, Jordan, Mali, and Sri Lanka," IMF Working Papers 2006/247, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Joana Silva & Victoria Levin & Matteo Morgandi, 2013. "Inclusion and Resilience : The Way Forward for Social Safety Nets in the Middle East and North Africa," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 14064.
    4. World Bank, 2009. "Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan - Poverty Update : Appendices," World Bank Publications - Reports 3137, The World Bank Group.
    5. World Bank, 2009. "Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan - Poverty Update : Main Report," World Bank Publications - Reports 3136, The World Bank Group.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shamma A. Alam & Gabriela Inchauste & Umar Serajuddin, 2017. "The Distributional Impact of Fiscal Policy in Jordan," Commitment to Equity (CEQ) Working Paper Series 44, Tulane University, Department of Economics.
    2. Silva,Joana C. G. & Morgandi,Matteo & Levin,Victoria, 2016. "Trust in government and support for redistribution," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7675, The World Bank.
    3. Sameh Asim Ajlouni & Moh'd Taleb Alodat, 2021. "Gaussian Process Regression for Forecasting Gasoline Prices in Jordan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 502-509.
    4. Rasha Istaiteyeh, 2024. "Short-and Long-run Influence of COVID-19 on Jordan's Economy," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 14(1), pages 1-1.
    5. Simon Hilpert & Franziska Dettner & Ahmed Al-Salaymeh, 2020. "Analysis of Cost-Optimal Renewable Energy Expansion for the Near-Term Jordanian Electricity System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-21, November.
    6. Hertog, Steffen, 2020. "Reforming wealth distribution in Kuwait: estimating costs and impacts," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 105564, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Asem Tahtamouni & Fouzan Al Qaisi & Usama Adnan Fendi, 2017. "The Effect of Oil Price Falling on the Jordanian Economic System," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 282-289.
    8. Joana Silva & Victoria Levin & Matteo Morgandi, 2013. "Inclusion and Resilience : The Way Forward for Social Safety Nets in the Middle East and North Africa," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 14064.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Atamanov Aziz & Jon Jellema & Umar Serajuddin, 2015. "Energy Subsidies Reform in Jordan," World Bank Publications - Reports 22051, The World Bank Group.
    2. Shamma A. Alam & Gabriela Inchauste & Umar Serajuddin, 2017. "The Distributional Impact of Fiscal Policy in Jordan," Commitment to Equity (CEQ) Working Paper Series 44, Tulane University, Department of Economics.
    3. Sameh Asim Ajlouni & Moh'd Taleb Alodat, 2021. "Gaussian Process Regression for Forecasting Gasoline Prices in Jordan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 502-509.
    4. Jolliffe,Dean Mitchell & Serajuddin,Umar & Jolliffe,Dean Mitchell & Serajuddin,Umar, 2015. "Estimating poverty with panel data, comparably : an example from Jordan," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7373, The World Bank.
    5. Racha Ramadan & Vladimir Hlasny & Vito Intini, 2018. "Inter‐Group Expenditure Gaps In The Arab Region And Their Determinants: Application To Egypt, Jordan, Palestine And Tunisia," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 64(s1), pages 145-188, October.
    6. Cousins, Mel, 2012. "Jordan: social protection in a low employment state," MPRA Paper 56394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Silva,Joana C. G. & Morgandi,Matteo & Levin,Victoria, 2016. "Trust in government and support for redistribution," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7675, The World Bank.
    8. Newman, John L. & Azevedo, Joao Pedro, 2013. "Setting reasonable performance targets for public service delivery," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6385, The World Bank.
    9. Paolo Verme & Abdelkrim Araar, 2017. "The Quest for Subsidies Reforms in the Middle East and North Africa Region," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 25783.
    10. Benjamin Jones & Michael Keen & Jon Strand, 2013. "Fiscal implications of climate change," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 20(1), pages 29-70, February.
    11. Haas, Nicholas & Hassan, Mazen & Mansour, Sarah & Morton, Rebecca B., 2021. "Polarizing information and support for reform," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 883-901.
    12. Jorge Alberto Rosas Flores & David Morillón Gálvez & Rodolfo Silva, 2024. "Effects of Removing Energy Subsidies and Implementing Carbon Taxes on Urban, Rural and Gender Welfare: Evidence from Mexico," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-18, May.
    13. Mr. David Coady & Mr. Taimur Baig & Mr. Joseph Ntamatungiro & Mr. Amine Mati, 2007. "Domestic Petroleum Product Prices and Subsidies: Recent Developments and Reform Strategies," IMF Working Papers 2007/071, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Plante, Michael, 2011. "The long-run macroeconomic impacts of fuel subsidies in an oil-importing developing country," MPRA Paper 33823, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Hallegatte, Stephane & Heal, Geoffrey & Fay, Marianne & Treguer, David, 2011. "From growth to green growth -- a framework," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5872, The World Bank.
    16. Herath, Nisal, 2014. "Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the Sri Lankan Economy: A Vector Auto Regression Assessment," Sri Lankan Journal of Agricultural Economics, Sri Lanka Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA), vol. 16, pages 1-33, November.
    17. Akpalu, Wisdom & Dasmani, Isaac & Aglobitse, Peter B., 2011. "Demand for cooking fuels in a developing country: To what extent do taste and preferences matter?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 6525-6531, October.
    18. Daniel Lederman & Guido Porto, 2016. "The Price Is Not Always Right: On the Impacts of Commodity Prices on Households (and Countries)," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 31(1), pages 168-197.
    19. Kpodar, Kangni & Liu, Boya, 2022. "The distributional implications of the impact of fuel price increases on inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    20. Ali Enami & Patricio Larroulet & Nora Lustig, 2022. "How Accurate Is the Kakwani Index in Predicting Whether A Tax or a Transfer Is Equalizing? An Empirical Analysis," Commitment to Equity (CEQ) Working Paper Series 116, Tulane University, Department of Economics.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nrmchp:978-3-319-52926-4_7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.