Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/ecothe/v57y2019i2p145-164n2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparative Analysis of Retirement Benefits in Private Pension Funds and Public Pension System

Author

Listed:
  • Luković Stevan

    (University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, Republic of Serbia)

  • Marinković Srđan

    (University of Niš, Faculty of Economics, Republic of Serbia)

Abstract
This paper identifies the conditions under which the private pension funds generate superior retirement outcomes compared to public pension system. The research objective is to determine the probability of success of the selected investment strategies in achieving the public pension system replacement rate, and the probability of the realization of extremely unfavourable outcomes. The methodology used in this paper includes the comparative analysis of simulated financial results of the four selected investment strategies implemented in the private pension fund model and the defined retirement benefits generated within the public pension system. For the simulation of the financial results at retirement, Monte Carlo simulation technique has been used. The authors have found that the success rate of the private pension fund in achieving superior financial results in comparison to public pension system is high, but only for the contribution rates higher than 10%. At low contributions rates, the extremely aggressive strategy is the only one that generates moderate success rate. Also, the probability of realization of extremely unfavourable financial results is lowest for the conservative strategy, which suggests that for the relatively high levels of the contribution rate, it is the most appropriate option for the pension fund members.

Suggested Citation

  • Luković Stevan & Marinković Srđan, 2019. "Comparative Analysis of Retirement Benefits in Private Pension Funds and Public Pension System," Economic Themes, Sciendo, vol. 57(2), pages 145-164, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ecothe:v:57:y:2019:i:2:p:145-164:n:2
    DOI: 10.2478/ethemes-2019-0009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/ethemes-2019-0009
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/ethemes-2019-0009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pablo Antolin & Stéphanie Payet & Juan Yermo, 2010. "Assessing Default Investment Strategies in Defined Contribution Pension Plans," OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, OECD Publishing, vol. 2010(1), pages 87-115.
    2. James M. Poterba & Joshua Rauh & Steven F. Venti & David A. Wise, 2009. "Lifecycle Asset Allocation Strategies and the Distribution of 401(k) Retirement Wealth," NBER Chapters, in: Developments in the Economics of Aging, pages 15-50, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Ravi Jagannathan & Narayana R. Kocherlakota, 1996. "Why should older people invest less in stock than younger people?," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 20(Sum), pages 11-23.
    4. Marco Corazza & Florence Legros & Cira Perna & Marilena Sibillo, 2017. "Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance," Post-Print hal-01776135, HAL.
    5. Alicia H. Munnell & Jean-Pierre Aubry & Mark Cafarelli, 2014. "Defined Contribution Plans In The Public Sector: An Update," Issues in Brief ibslp37, Center for Retirement Research.
    6. Jeremy Burke & Angela Hung & Jill Luoto, 2017. "Opting out of Retirement Plan Default Settings," Working Papers 1162, RAND Corporation.
    7. Robert L. Clark & Linda S. Ghent & Ann A. McDermed, 2006. "Pension Plan Choice among University Faculty," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 72(3), pages 560-577, January.
    8. L. Spierdijk & J.A. Bikker, 2012. "Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Implications for Long-Term Investors," Working Papers 12-07, Utrecht School of Economics.
    9. Delong J. Bradford, 2008. "Stocks for the Long Run," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 5(7), pages 1-2, November.
    10. James J. Choi, 2015. "Contributions to Defined Contribution Pension Plans," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 161-178, December.
    11. Basu, Anup K. & Drew, Michael E., 2010. "The appropriateness of default investment options in defined contribution plans: Australian evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 290-305, June.
    12. Campbell, John Y. & Viceira, Luis M., 2002. "Strategic Asset Allocation: Portfolio Choice for Long-Term Investors," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198296942.
    13. Alicia H. Munnell & Jean-Pierre Aubry & Mark Cafarelli, 2014. "Defined Contribution Plans In The Public Sector: An Update," State and Local Pension Plans Briefs ibslp37, Center for Retirement Research.
    14. Jeremy Burke & Angela A. Hung & Jill E. Luoto, 2017. "Opting out of Retirement Plan Default Settings," Working Papers WR-1162, RAND Corporation.
    15. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J. G. & Dowd, Kevin, 2001. "Pensionmetrics: stochastic pension plan design and value-at-risk during the accumulation phase," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 187-215, October.
    16. Johnston, Ken & Forbes, Shawn & Hatem, John, 2001. "A comparison of state university defined benefit and defined contribution pension plans: a Monte Carlo simulation," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(1-4), pages 37-44.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani & Yaniv Azoulay, 2017. "Frequency of Adjusting Asset Allocations in the Life-Cycle Pension Model: When Doing More Is Not Necessarily Better," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 13-33.
    2. Basu, Anup K. & Drew, Michael E., 2010. "The appropriateness of default investment options in defined contribution plans: Australian evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 290-305, June.
    3. Kirsten L. MacDonald & Robert J. Bianchi & Michael E. Drew, 2020. "Equity risk versus retirement adequacy: asset allocation solutions for KiwiSaver," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(4), pages 3851-3873, December.
    4. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew & Dowd, Kevin, 2008. "Turning pension plans into pension planes: What investment strategy designers of defined contribution pension plans can learn from commercial aircraft designers," MPRA Paper 33749, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Yaniv Azoulay & Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani, 2016. "Accumulating approach to the life-cycle pension model: practical advantages," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 40(4), pages 413-436.
    6. Michael W. Brandt & Amit Goyal & Pedro Santa-Clara & Jonathan R. Stroud, 2005. "A Simulation Approach to Dynamic Portfolio Choice with an Application to Learning About Return Predictability," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(3), pages 831-873.
    7. Schwartz, Eduardo S & Tebaldi, Claudio, 2004. "Illiquid Assets and Optimal Portfolio Choice," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt7q65t12x, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    8. Blake, David & Wright, Douglas & Zhang, Yumeng, 2013. "Target-driven investing: Optimal investment strategies in defined contribution pension plans under loss aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 195-209.
    9. Ben Backes & Ben Backes & Dan Goldhaberb & Cyrus Grout & Cory Koedel & Shawn Ni & Michael Podgursky & P. Brett Xiang & Zeyu Xu, 2015. "Benefit or Burden? On the Intergenerational Inequity of Teacher Pension Plans," Working Papers 1517, Department of Economics, University of Missouri, revised Apr 2016.
    10. Klos, Alexander & Langer, Thomas & Weber, Martin, 2002. "Über kurz oder lang : welche Rolle spielt der Anlagehorizont bei Investitionsentscheidungen?," Papers 02-49, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
    11. Paolo BATTOCCHIO, 2002. "Optimal Portfolio Strategies with Stochastic Wage Income : The Case of A defined Contribution Pension Plan," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2002005, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    12. Ľuboš Pástor & Robert F. Stambaugh, 2012. "Are Stocks Really Less Volatile in the Long Run?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(2), pages 431-478, April.
    13. Courtney Coile, 2018. "Working Longer in the U.S.: Trends and Explanations," NBER Working Papers 24576, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Liam A. Gallagher & Fionnuala Ryan, 2017. "A Portfolio Approach to Assessing an Auto-Enrolment Pension Scheme for Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 48(4), pages 515-548.
    15. Yuqin Sun & Yungao Wu & Gejirifu De, 2023. "A Novel Black-Litterman Model with Time-Varying Covariance for Optimal Asset Allocation of Pension Funds," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, March.
    16. Bart Dees & Theo Nijman & Arthur Soest, 2023. "Stated Product Choices of Heterogeneous Agents are Largely Consistent with Standard Models," De Economist, Springer, vol. 171(3), pages 267-302, September.
    17. Divya Anantharaman & Feng Gao & Hariom Manchiraju, 2022. "Does social responsibility begin at home? The relation between firms’ pension policies and corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 76-121, March.
    18. Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2021. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: A Score-Driven State Space Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 1054-1065, October.
    19. Guiyuan Ma & Song-Ping Zhu & Boda Kang, 2020. "A Numerical Solution of Optimal Portfolio Selection Problem with General Utility Functions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 957-981, March.
    20. Guiso, Luigi & Sodini, Paolo, 2013. "Household Finance: An Emerging Field," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1397-1532, Elsevier.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    pension funds; public pension system; retirement benefits; investment strategy; Monte Carlo simulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:ecothe:v:57:y:2019:i:2:p:145-164:n:2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.