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Uncertainty, macroprudential policies and corporate leverage : Firm-level evidence

Author

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  • Ibrahim Yarba
  • Z. Nuray Guner
Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of macroprudential policies and uncertainty of economic environment on corporate leverage dynamics over the last decade. This is the first study to investigate the impact of macroprudential policies and uncertainty on leverage dynamics of Turkish non-financial firms using firm-level data. We argue in this paper that persistence of uncertainty should be a more appropriate factor affecting credit dynamics rather than uncertainty. In that sense, we construct a measure of uncertainty by using principal component analysis and a measure of persistence of uncertainty for Turkey. Results from the dynamic panel models with a large set of control variables, provide significant evidence in support of the argument that leverage decisions are affected from the persistence of uncertainty rather than the uncertainty itself. Moreover, both the share of the financial debt in total liabilities and the leverage of Turkish non-financial firms decrease significantly when uncertainty increases persistently and when macroprudential policy tools are tightened. Most strikingly, this is the case only for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises but not for large firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim Yarba & Z. Nuray Guner, 2020. "Uncertainty, macroprudential policies and corporate leverage : Firm-level evidence," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 20(2), pages 33-42.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:cebare:v:20:y:2020:i:2:p:33-42
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    File URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1303070120300159
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Henry Penikas, 2023. "IRB Asset and Default Correlation: Rationale for the Macroprudential Mark-Ups to the IRB Risk-Weights," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 1-27, March.
    2. Yang, Baochen & An, Haokai & Song, Xinyu, 2024. "Oil price uncertainty and corporate inefficient investment: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    3. Ćehajić, Aida & Košak, Marko, 2022. "Bank lending and small and medium-sized enterprises’ access to finance – Effects of macroprudential policies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    4. Fan, Zhenjun & Zhang, Zongyi & Zhao, Yanfei, 2021. "Does oil price uncertainty affect corporate leverage? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    5. Muhammad Amin Hasan & Ali Sajid & Aman Abbas Ghouri & Talal Ahmed Khan, 2023. "Re-Examining Working Capital Management and Firm Performance Nexus: Does Investment Policy Matter?," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 5(3), pages 269-278.
    6. Kozlovtceva, Irina & Penikas, Henry & Petreneva, Ekaterina & Ushakova, Yulia, 2022. "Macroprudential policy efficiency in Russia: Assessment for the uncollateralized consumer loans," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    7. Jin, Ming & Liu, Jinshan & Chen, Zhongfei, 2022. "Impacts of social trust on corporate leverage: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 505-521.
    8. Solikin M. Juhro & Dhaha Praviandi Kuantan & Charvin Lim, 2024. "Capital Expenditure Dynamics in ASEAN: Unveiling Determinants and The Impact of The COVID-19 Pandemic on Non-Financial Corporations," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(1), pages 1-24, March.

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