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Propagation of Financial Shocks in an Input-Output Economy with Trade and Financial Linkages of Firms

Author

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  • Shaowen Luo

    (Virginia Technological Institute)

Abstract
Firms are connected through the production network, in which the production linkages coincide with financial linkages owing to delays in input payments that amount to a form of trade credit. In this paper, I investigate the roles of these interconnected production and financial linkages in the propagation of financial shocks. Empirically, I find, based on U.S. input-output matrix and loan data, that the upstream propagation of financial shocks is stronger than the downstream propagation. Theoretically, I elaborate a model that can capture this pattern of shocks, of which trade credit is an important component. Moreover, the model reflects the fact that trade credit attenuates the propagation of financial shocks when shocks are relatively small through the sharing of liquidity and amplifies their propagation when shocks are relatively large through illiquidity contagion. (Copyright: Elsevier)

Suggested Citation

  • Shaowen Luo, 2020. "Propagation of Financial Shocks in an Input-Output Economy with Trade and Financial Linkages of Firms," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 246-269, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:issued:18-244
    DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2019.10.004
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    1. Saki Bigio & Jennifer La’O, 2020. "Distortions in Production Networks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(4), pages 2187-2253.
    2. Esposito, Federico & Hassan, Fadi, 2023. "Import competition, trade credit and financial frictions in general equilibrium," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121378, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Banu Demir & Beata Javorcik & Tomasz K. Michalski & Evren Ors, 2024. "Financial Constraints and Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 437-454, March.
    4. Saki Bigio, 2013. "Financial Frictions in Production Networks," 2013 Meeting Papers 121, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Esposito, Federico & Hassan, Fadi, 2023. "Import Competition, Trade Credit, and Financial Frictions in General Equilibrium," CEPR Discussion Papers 17926, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Hsuan-Li Su, 2024. "Financial Frictions, Capital Misallocation, and Input-Output Linkages," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 62-94, April.
    7. Dabo Guan & Daoping Wang & Stephane Hallegatte & Steven J. Davis & Jingwen Huo & Shuping Li & Yangchun Bai & Tianyang Lei & Qianyu Xue & D’Maris Coffman & Danyang Cheng & Peipei Chen & Xi Liang & Bing, 2020. "Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 4(6), pages 577-587, June.
    8. Domenico Delli Gatti & Elisa Grugni, 2022. "Breaking bad: supply chain disruptions in a streamlined agent-based model," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(13-15), pages 1446-1473, October.
    9. Ando, Tomohiro & Li, Kunpeng & Lu, Lina, 2023. "A spatial panel quantile model with unobserved heterogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 191-213.
    10. Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Gang Zhang, 2022. "Trade Credit and Sectoral Comovement during Recessions," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 961, Central Bank of Chile.
    11. Benoit Julien & John Kennes & Ian King, "undated". "Quality Job Programs, Unemployment and the Job Quality Mix," MRG Discussion Paper Series 4721, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    12. Eva F. Janssens & Robin L. Lumsdaine, 2024. "Sectoral slowdowns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from transmission probabilities and economic linkages," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 22-40, January.
    13. Yoshiyuki ARATA & Daisuke MIYAKAWA, 2021. "The Size of Micro-originated Aggregate Fluctuations: An analysis of firm-level input-output linkages in Japan," Discussion papers 21066, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    14. Sophie Osotimehin & Latchezar Popov, 2023. "Misallocation and Intersectoral linkages," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 177-198, December.
    15. Levent Altinoglu, 2018. "The Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations in a Credit Network Economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-031, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Levent Altinoglu, 2018. "The Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations in a Credit Network Economy," 2018 Meeting Papers 626, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Sedegah Kordzo & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2021. "A Review of the Impact of External Shocks on Monetary Policy Effectiveness in Non-WAEMU Countries," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 31(3), pages 37-59, September.
    18. Luo, Shaowen & Villar, Daniel, 2023. "Propagation of shocks in an input-output economy: Evidence from disaggregated prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 26-46.
    19. Zhu, Bo & Deng, Yuanyue & Lin, Renda & Hu, Xin & Chen, Pingshe, 2022. "Energy security: Does systemic risk spillover matter? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    20. ARATA Yoshiyuki & MIYAKAWA Daisuke, 2022. "Demand Shock Propagation Through an Input-output Network in Japan," Discussion papers 22027, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    21. Arata, Yoshiyuki & Miyakawa, Daisuke, 2024. "Demand shock propagation through input-output linkages in Japan," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 219(C), pages 262-283.
    22. Wang, Wenya & Xu, Qiyu & Yang, Ei, 2024. "Bargaining power and trade credit: The heterogeneous effect of credit contractions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Production network; Financial friction; Trade credit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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