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The ECB’s new inflation target from a short- and long-term perspective

Author

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  • Benigno, Pierpaolo
  • Canofari, Paolo
  • Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni
  • Messori, Marcello
Abstract
The ECB’s target was recently revised, specifying that the 2%-inflation-rate threshold must be applied symmetrically and with a medium-term orientation. In the current phase, characterized by high inflation rates and a growing risk of stagnation in the euro area, this revision of the monetary policy strategy is crucial for explaining the recent decisions of the ECB and forecasting their possible evolution. However, monetary policy can only become one of many policy tools in the euro area. Therefore, there is room for a compelling policy mix necessary to control excessive inflation and to support the medium-term sustainable growth of the European economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Benigno, Pierpaolo & Canofari, Paolo & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Messori, Marcello, 2023. "The ECB’s new inflation target from a short- and long-term perspective," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 286-304.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:45:y:2023:i:2:p:286-304
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.03.004
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    1. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    2. Bobeica, Elena & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Drivers of underlying inflation in the euro area over time: a Phillips curve perspective," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
    3. Brand, Claus & Bielecki, Marcin & Penalver, Adrian, 2018. "The natural rate of interest: estimates, drivers, and challenges to monetary policy JEL Classification: E52, E43," Occasional Paper Series 217, European Central Bank.
    4. Sungki Hong & Hannah Shell, 2019. "The Global Decline of the Natural Rate of Interest and Implications for Monetary Policy," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 4, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tavares Garcia, Francisco & Cross, Jamie L., 2024. "The impact of monetary policy on income inequality: Does inflation targeting matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

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