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Portfolio and welfare consequences of debt market dominance

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  • Stepanchuk, Serhiy
  • Tsyrennikov, Viktor
Abstract
The ability to issue debt that pays in units of the domestic good leads a country to accumulate a large and negative net foreign asset position while maintaining a positive position in equity. This debt market advantage also helps to explain the weak relationship between the real exchange rate and relative consumption. Our stylized model matches the key facts about the U.S. international portfolio, the U.S. real exchange rate, and explains nearly 50% of the observed variation in the valuation effects. We find that taxing bond market transactions increases the volatility of the exchange rate, capital flows and allocations. In contrast, taxing equity positions stabilizes the exchange rate and capital flows while having little impact on the allocation. Lastly, the paper describes a global solution method for portfolio problems under incomplete markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Stepanchuk, Serhiy & Tsyrennikov, Viktor, 2015. "Portfolio and welfare consequences of debt market dominance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 89-101.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:74:y:2015:i:c:p:89-101
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.06.005
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    Cited by:

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    3. Shen, Hewei, 2022. "Financial integration and the correlation between international debt and equity flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    4. Rabitsch, Katrin & Stepanchuk, Serhiy & Tsyrennikov, Viktor, 2015. "International portfolios: A comparison of solution methods," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 404-422.
    5. Cao, Dan & Evans, Martin & Lua, Wenlan, 2020. "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics Beyond Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 99054, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Mar 2020.
    6. Eugeni, Sara, 2024. "Nominal exchange rates and net foreign assets' dynamics: The stabilization role of valuation effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    7. Hyunju Lee, 2018. "Gross Capital Flows and International Diversification," 2018 Meeting Papers 51, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Dlugoszek, Grzegorz R., 2016. "Solving DSGE portfolio choice models with asymmetric countries," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-009, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    9. Zhang, Ning, 2019. "Country portfolios under global imbalances," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 302-317.
    10. Rashid, Abdul & Hassan, M. Kabir & Shah, Muhammad Abdul Rehman, 2020. "On the role of Islamic and conventional banks in the monetary policy transmission in Malaysia: Do size and liquidity matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
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    12. Chen, William & Phelan, Gregory, 2021. "International coordination of macroprudential policies with capital flows and financial asymmetries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. James Staveley-O'Carroll & Olena Staveley-O'Carroll, 2019. "International Welfare Spillovers of National Pension Schemes," Working Papers 1903, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.

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