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Crecimiento económico y gasto público: un modelo para el caso colombiano

Author

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  • Carlos Estaban Posada
  • Wilman Gómez
Abstract
La tasa de crecimiento económico puede estar positivamente relacionada con el gasto público en capital humano e infraestructura física. Pero el gasto público tiene un costo de oportunidad, así que debe existir un nivel óptimo de tal gasto. En este documento se presenta un modelo de crecimiento económico con gasto público en esos rubros, y los resultados de las simulaciones con aquel para estimar o evaluar, en el caso colombiano:1) los niveles óptimos del gasto público en capital humano e infraestructura, 2) la pérdida de bienestar social derivada de financiar el gasto público con impuestos que distorsionan la asignación la asignación de los recursos, 3) los tiempos requeridos y las velocidades de convergencia al estado estable a partir de situaciones alejadas de éste y 4) la importancia relativa de dos motores principales del crecimiento económico: la acumulación de acervos productivos (en capital físico, individual, capital humano e infraestructura) y el cambio técnico no incorporado y exógeno

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Estaban Posada & Wilman Gómez, 2002. "Crecimiento económico y gasto público: un modelo para el caso colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 20(41-42), pages 5-86, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:002217
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    Cited by:

    1. Camilo Alvis & Cristian Castrillón, 2013. "Tamano óptimo del gasto público colombiano: una aproximación desde la teoría del crecimiento endógeno," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, December.
    2. Carlos Esteban Posada & José Fernando Escobar, 2004. "Crecimiento económico y gasto público: experiencias internacionales y el caso colombiano, 1982-99," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 131-167, abril-jun.
    3. Carlos Esteban Posada Posada & Wilman Gómez, 2004. "Un choque del activo externo neto y el ciclo económico Colombiano 1994-2001," Borradores de Economia 3674, Banco de la Republica.
    4. Ana Buisán & Juan Carlos Caballero & José Manuel Campa & Noelia Jiménez, 2004. "La importancia de la histéresis en las exportaciones de manufacturas de los países de la UEM," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 169-222, abril-jun.
    5. Alejandro López-Vera & Andrés D. Pinchao-Rosero & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2018. "Non-Linear Fiscal Multipliers for Public Expenditure and Tax Revenue in Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 36(85), pages 48-64, November.
    6. Jacobo Campo & Henry Mendoza, 2018. "Public expenditure and economic growth: a regional analysis for Colombia, 1984-2012," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 88, pages 77-108, Enero - J.
    7. Jesús Antonio Bejarano Rojas, 2005. "Estimación estructural y análisis de la curva de Phillips neokeynesiana para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 23(48), pages 64-117, Junio.
    8. Mario Alberto Gaviria Ríos, 2007. "El crecimiento endógeno a partir de las externalidades del capital humano," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, June.
    9. Jacobo Campo Robledo & Henry Antonio Mendoza Tolosa, 2014. "Gasto Público y Crecimiento Económico regional en Colombia (1984 - 2012)," Documentos de Trabajo 12425, Universidad Católica de Colombia.
    10. Henry Antonio Mendoza Tolosa & Daniela Galindo Moren & Brian Alexander Vargas González, 2013. "Impacto del gasto público en la dinámica económica regional," Documentos de Trabajo 12399, Universidad Católica de Colombia.
    11. Carlos Humberto Ortiz & Diana Marcela Jiménez & Gissel Natalia Cruz, 2019. "The impact of infrastructure on economic growth in Colombia: a Smithian approach," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 90, pages 97-126, Enero - J.
    12. Campo, Jacobo & Mendoza, Henry, 2018. "Gasto público y crecimiento económico: un análisis regional para Colombia, 1984-2012," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 88, pages 77-108, January.
    13. Gomez Segura, Camilo Fabiam & Cuellar Adames, Andres David & Martínez Alvarado, Laura Camila, 2023. "Incidencia del gasto público en el crecimiento económico de los países suramericanos, 1995-2018," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 42(75), pages 111-128, January.
    14. Gómez Munoz, Wilman & Rhenals M., Remberto, 2007. "Un cálculo del déficit fiscal estructural: análisis y una propuesta metodológica," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, December.
    15. Carlos Esteban Posada, 2002. "Modelos de crecimiento y estilos de desarrollo: varias precisiones y una conjetura," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, June.
    16. Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo & Bedoya Ospina, Juan Guillermo & Loaiza Maya, Rubén Albeiro, 2011. "Una regla de política fiscal óptima para la economía colombiana: aproximación desde un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, November.
    17. John C. Driscoll & Steinar Holden, 2004. "Coordinación, trato justo y persistencia de la inflación," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 97-129, abril-jun.
    18. Gonzalo Restrepo Quintero & Daphne Alvarez Villa, 2005. "Ley 617 de 2000 y su impacto fiscal territorial," Ensayos Sobre Economía Regional (ESER) 3139, Banco de la República - Economía Regional.
    19. Ortiz, Carlos Humberto & Jiménez, Diana & Cruz, Gissel, 2019. "El impacto de la infraestructura en el crecimiento económico colombiano: un enfoque smithiano," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 90, pages 97-126, January.
    20. Wilman Gómez & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2004. "Un "Choque" del Activo Externo Neto y el Ciclo Económico Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 285, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento Económico;

    JEL classification:

    • D90 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General

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