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Convergence of a Particle-Based Approximation of the Block Online Expectation Maximization Algorithm
Article No.: 2, Pages 1–22https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414418

Online variants of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm have recently been proposed to perform parameter inference with large data sets or data streams, in independent latent models and in hidden Markov models. Nevertheless, the convergence ...

research-article
Efficient MCMC for Binomial Logit Models
Article No.: 3, Pages 1–21https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414419

This article deals with binomial logit models where the parameters are estimated within a Bayesian framework. Such models arise, for instance, when repeated measurements are available for identical covariate patterns. To perform MCMC sampling, we ...

research-article
Bayesian Learning of Noisy Markov Decision Processes
Article No.: 4, Pages 1–25https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414420

We consider the inverse reinforcement learning problem, that is, the problem of learning from, and then predicting or mimicking a controller based on state/action data. We propose a statistical model for such data, derived from the structure of a Markov ...

research-article
Adaptive Equi-Energy Sampler: Convergence and Illustration
Article No.: 5, Pages 1–27https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414421

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods allow to sample a distribution known up to a multiplicative constant. Classical MCMC samplers are known to have very poor mixing properties when sampling multimodal distributions. The Equi-Energy sampler is an ...

research-article
Posterior Expectation of Regularly Paved Random Histograms
Article No.: 6, Pages 1–20https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414422

We present a novel method for averaging a sequence of histogram states visited by a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the posterior distribution over a dense space of tree-based histograms. The computational efficiency of ...

research-article
Small Variance Estimators for Rare Event Probabilities
Article No.: 7, Pages 1–23https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414423

Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approximations of conditional densities. This is achieved for events defined through large exceedances of the empirical mean of summands of a random walk, in the domain ...

research-article
Particle Algorithms for Optimization on Binary Spaces
Article No.: 8, Pages 1–25https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414424

We discuss a unified approach to stochastic optimization of pseudo-Boolean objective functions based on particle methods, including the cross-entropy method and simulated annealing as special cases. We point out the need for auxiliary sampling ...

research-article
Self-Avoiding Random Dynamics on Integer Complex Systems
Article No.: 9, Pages 1–25https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414790

This article introduces a new specialized algorithm for equilibrium Monte Carlo sampling of binary-valued systems, which allows for large moves in the state space. This is achieved by constructing self-avoiding walks (SAWs) in the state space. As a ...

research-article
Massive Parallelization of Serial Inference Algorithms for a Complex Generalized Linear Model
Article No.: 10, Pages 1–17https://doi.org/10.1145/2414416.2414791

Following a series of high-profile drug safety disasters in recent years, many countries are redoubling their efforts to ensure the safety of licensed medical products. Large-scale observational databases such as claims databases or electronic health ...

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