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WOA-BP Based Predicting Daily Production Method of Single Wells in Oilfield

Published: 14 March 2024 Publication History

Abstract

The daily production of a single well in an oil field can reflect the changes in oil and water in the reservoir and it is an important basis for formulating single well stimulation measures. However, the factors that affect the daily production of a single well are complex, and there is currently no standard calculation method. In recent years, BP neural networks have been widely used in yield prediction, but they have problems such as slow convergence speed and easy to fall into local optima. In response to the above issues, this paper proposes a backpropagation neural network model WOA-BP based on the whale optimization algorithm. Firstly, the Spearman and Pearson correlation coefficient methods are used to screen feature attributes related to oil production as input parameters of the neural network, with oil production as output parameter; Then, the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) is used to optimize the initial parameters such as learning rate, weight and bias, as well as the number of hidden layer neurons in the BP neural network; Finally, based on the optimized initial network parameters, a single well daily production prediction model is constructed. Train and evaluate the established model using real oilfield data, and compare it with the prediction models of BP, GA-BP, and PSO-BP. The experimental results show that the WOA-BP model has good prediction performance, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.9633 and a mean square error (MSE) of 0.0017. It can effectively predict the daily oil production of a single well and aid with predicting the production of oilfield blocks.

References

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Zha W, Liu Y, Wan Y, 2022. Forecasting monthly gas field production based on the CNN-LSTM model. J. Energy, 124889. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.
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Hu H, Pu Y and Guan X. 2020. Oil Field Crude Oil Production Level Prediction Method Based on AHP-PSO-BP. 2020 IEEE 8th International Conference on Information, Communication and Networks (ICICN), Xi'an, China, 214-218. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICICN51133.2020.9205072.
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    CSAI '23: Proceedings of the 2023 7th International Conference on Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence
    December 2023
    563 pages
    ISBN:9798400708688
    DOI:10.1145/3638584
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 14 March 2024

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    Author Tags

    1. Single well daily production forecast
    2. WOA-BP model
    3. Whale Optimization Algorithm

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