Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

skip to main content
10.1145/3616712.3616732acmotherconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PagesicemeConference Proceedingsconference-collections
research-article

The impact of Twitter media sentiment and buyer-seller market player sentiment on residential prices

Published: 15 December 2023 Publication History

Abstract

To investigate the influence of real estate market subject sentiment and media sentiment on housing price changes, principal component analysis was used to construct a market subject sentiment index, and python was used to crawl microblogs for news reports related to housing prices and construct a microblog media sentiment index through text analysis. After the validity of each index was tested, a VAR model was built based on microblogging media sentiment and market subject sentiment, and the relationship between commodity residential price fluctuations and the related sentiment was analyzed using a combination of impulse response and variance decomposition methods. The results show that both the market subject sentiment index and the media sentiment index are highly correlated with the price of commodity residential properties, with a positive correlation between buyer and seller market sentiment and the price of commodity residential properties; media sentiment has a transient effect on the price of commodity residential properties.

References

[1]
Lai R N, Order R A V . Momentum and House Price Growth in the United States: Anatomy of a Bubble[J]. Real Estate Economics, 2010, 38(4):753-773.
[2]
Wang Z, Hui C M . Fundamentals and Market Sentiment in Housing Market[J]. Housing, Theory and Society, 2017:1-22.
[3]
Case K E,Shiller R J . The Behavior of Home Buyers in Boom and Post-Boom Markets[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 1988, 80(2):125–137.
[4]
Case, K.E., and R.J.Shiller, 2003, “Is There a Bubble in the Housing Market?”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 34 (2), 299-362.
[5]
Piazzesi, M., and M.Schneider, 2009, “Momentum Traders in the Housing Market:Survey Evidence and a Search Model”, American Economic Review, 99 (2), 406-11.
[6]
Li B. Research on the role of market expectations on house prices - an analysis based on DSSW model and dynamic panel data model[J]. Soft Science,2015,(12):121-125.
[7]
Liu, Lin. Market investor sentiment and house price volatility in China - an empirical test based on Markov zone-switching VAR model[J]. Practice and understanding of mathematics,2017,(22):58-67.
[8]
Huang Yanfen,Hong Wenbin,Yu Huayi. How market sentiment affects urban house prices[J]. Economic Theory and Economic Management, 2019(7): 75-88
[9]
Leng Yinping,Huang Sigang. A study on the impact of investor sentiment on house prices - an empirical analysis based on VAR model[J]. Productivity Research, 2020, (6): 31-34.
[10]
Soo, C.K., 2013, “Quantifying Animal Spirits:News Media and Sentiment in the Housing Market”, Ross School of Business Paper No.1200.
[11]
Eeab D, Tlb C. On the role of public price information in housing markets[J]. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2015, 53:74-84.
[12]
Lambertini L, Mendicino C, Punzi M T . Expectations-Driven Cycles in the Housing Market[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2010, 9( 4): 518-529.
[13]
Kuang Weida, Zhang Sihan, Zhang Zhang. Media sentiment and house price volatility[J]. Economic Theory and Economic Management, 2020(12): 56-68.
[14]
Hui, E., Dong, Z., Jia, S. H., & Lam, C. . How does sentiment affect returns of urban housing?. Habitat International, 2017, 64, 71-84.
[15]
Baker M, Wurgler J . Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market[J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2007, 21(2):129-152.
[16]
Soo C K . Quantifying Sentiment with News Media across Local Housing Markets[J]. Review of Financial Studies, 2018, 31(10):3689-3719.
[17]
Wang Y, Yang QY. The impact of online attention on stock returns in China - an empirical study based on the attention of Hutchison[J]. Investment Research,2014,(2):143-149.
[18]
Cheng Wan Yun, Lin J. Investor sentiment on social media and stock market index[J]. Management Science 2013, 26(5):111-119.
[19]
JIA Ting,ZHANG Lianying. The impact of investor sentiment on house price volatility based on sentiment analysis[J]. Journal of Engineering Management, 2021, 35(3): 135-140.
[20]
Tetlock,P.Giving content to investor sentiment:the role of media in the stock market[J].Journal of Finance, 2007, 62(3):1139-1168.
[21]
Loughran, Tim and Bill Mc Donald.When is a liability not a liability? textual analysis, dictionaries, and 10‐Ks[J].The Journal of Finance, 2011, 66(1):35-65.
[22]
Loughran, Tim and Bill Mc Donald.When is a liability not a liability? textual analysis, dictionaries, and 10‐Ks[J].The Journal of Finance, 2011, 66(1):35-65.

Index Terms

  1. The impact of Twitter media sentiment and buyer-seller market player sentiment on residential prices

    Recommendations

    Comments

    Please enable JavaScript to view thecomments powered by Disqus.

    Information & Contributors

    Information

    Published In

    cover image ACM Other conferences
    ICEME '23: Proceedings of the 2023 14th International Conference on E-business, Management and Economics
    July 2023
    507 pages
    ISBN:9798400708022
    DOI:10.1145/3616712
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

    Publisher

    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 15 December 2023

    Permissions

    Request permissions for this article.

    Check for updates

    Qualifiers

    • Research-article
    • Research
    • Refereed limited

    Funding Sources

    • East Asia

    Conference

    ICEME 2023

    Contributors

    Other Metrics

    Bibliometrics & Citations

    Bibliometrics

    Article Metrics

    • 0
      Total Citations
    • 21
      Total Downloads
    • Downloads (Last 12 months)16
    • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)0
    Reflects downloads up to 28 Feb 2025

    Other Metrics

    Citations

    View Options

    Login options

    View options

    PDF

    View or Download as a PDF file.

    PDF

    eReader

    View online with eReader.

    eReader

    HTML Format

    View this article in HTML Format.

    HTML Format

    Figures

    Tables

    Media

    Share

    Share

    Share this Publication link

    Share on social media