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Improving route prediction through user journey detection

Published: 05 November 2013 Publication History

Abstract

The positioning datasets that underpin route prediction models arrive as time series or point process logs. However, their use for prediction requires them to be split into meaningful segments, conceptualised as travelling periods or 'journeys', to form a set of training inputs. Despite significant research into route prediction, this important pre-processing step has traditionally occurred in an ad-hoc fashion, using arbitrary connectivity or movement thresholds. There has been little consideration to date of the impact of this on prediction, a fact rectified in this work.
Three methods for detection of journeys are evaluated using a dataset of labelled movement histories collected specifically for this investigation. We perform an exhaustive series of parameterisations of detection methods, optimising with respect to actual journeys specified by users. We find that using existing methods, GPS multipath artefacts introduce journey extraction error that raises concern for prediction applications. A new approach is presented that explicitly uses these effects to improve journey detection results.

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Cited By

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  • (2017)Traffic Flow Prediction with Improved SOPIO-SVR AlgorithmChallenges and Opportunity with Big Data10.1007/978-3-319-61994-1_17(184-197)Online publication date: 4-Aug-2017

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cover image ACM Conferences
SIGSPATIAL'13: Proceedings of the 21st ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems
November 2013
598 pages
ISBN:9781450325219
DOI:10.1145/2525314
Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

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Published: 05 November 2013

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  1. journey detection
  2. route prediction

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Overall Acceptance Rate 257 of 1,238 submissions, 21%

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Cited By

View all
  • (2017)Traffic Flow Prediction with Improved SOPIO-SVR AlgorithmChallenges and Opportunity with Big Data10.1007/978-3-319-61994-1_17(184-197)Online publication date: 4-Aug-2017

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