research-article

Modeling success in FLOSS project groups

Authors:

Justin M. Beaver,

Jesse L. St Charles,

Thomas E. PotokAuthors Info & Claims

PROMISE '09: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Predictor Models in Software Engineering

Article No.: 16, Pages 1 - 8

https://doi.org/10.1145/1540438.1540461

Published: 18 May 2009 Publication History

Abstract

A significant challenge in software engineering is accurately modeling projects in order to correctly forecast success or failure. The primary difficulty is that software development efforts are complex in terms of both the technical and social aspects of the engineering environment. This is compounded by the lack of real data that captures both the measures of success in performing a process, and the measures that reflect a group's social dynamics. This research focuses on the development of a model for predicting software project success that leverages the wealth of available open source project data in order to accurately forecast the behavior of those software engineering groups. The model accounts for both the technical elements of software engineering and the social elements that drive the decisions of individual developers. Agent-based simulations are used to represent the complexity of the group interactions, and the behavior of each agent is based on the acquired open source software engineering data. For four of the five project success measures, the results indicate that the developed model represents the underlying data well and provides accurate predictions of open source project success indicators.

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Cited By

Grigorio FBrito DAnjos EZenha-Rela M(2014)On systems project abandonment: An analysis of complexity during development and evolution of FLOSS systems2014 IEEE 6th International Conference on Adaptive Science & Technology (ICAST)10.1109/ICASTECH.2014.7068139(1-8)Online publication date: Oct-2014
https://doi.org/10.1109/ICASTECH.2014.7068139
Syeed MAaltonen THammouda ISystä T(2013)Tool Assisted Analysis of Open Source ProjectsOpen Source Software Dynamics, Processes, and Applications10.4018/978-1-4666-2937-0.ch006(99-141)Online publication date: 2013
https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-4666-2937-0.ch006
Karus S(2013)Measuring software projects Mayan style2013 4th International Workshop on Emerging Trends in Software Metrics (WETSoM)10.1109/WETSoM.2013.6619333(28-34)Online publication date: May-2013
https://doi.org/10.1109/WETSoM.2013.6619333
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Published In

cover image ACM Other conferences

PROMISE '09: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Predictor Models in Software Engineering

May 2009

268 pages

ISBN:9781605586342

DOI:10.1145/1540438

Conference Chair:
Tom Ostrand
AT&T USA

Copyright © 2009 ACM.

Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 18 May 2009

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Office of Naval Research

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Promise '09

Promise '09: 5th International Workshop on Predictor Models in SE

May 18 - 19, 2009

British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada

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Overall Acceptance Rate 98 of 213 submissions, 46%

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Cited By

Grigorio FBrito DAnjos EZenha-Rela M(2014)On systems project abandonment: An analysis of complexity during development and evolution of FLOSS systems2014 IEEE 6th International Conference on Adaptive Science & Technology (ICAST)10.1109/ICASTECH.2014.7068139(1-8)Online publication date: Oct-2014
https://doi.org/10.1109/ICASTECH.2014.7068139
Syeed MAaltonen THammouda ISystä T(2013)Tool Assisted Analysis of Open Source ProjectsOpen Source Software Dynamics, Processes, and Applications10.4018/978-1-4666-2937-0.ch006(99-141)Online publication date: 2013
https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-4666-2937-0.ch006
Karus S(2013)Measuring software projects Mayan style2013 4th International Workshop on Emerging Trends in Software Metrics (WETSoM)10.1109/WETSoM.2013.6619333(28-34)Online publication date: May-2013
https://doi.org/10.1109/WETSoM.2013.6619333
Karus S(2013)Automatic Means of Identifying Evolutionary Events in Software DevelopmentProceedings of the 2013 IEEE International Conference on Software Maintenance10.1109/ICSM.2013.60(412-415)Online publication date: 22-Sep-2013
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1109/ICSM.2013.60
Ellis HPurcell MHislop GSmith King LMusicant DCamp TTymann P(2012)An approach for evaluating FOSS projects for student participationProceedings of the 43rd ACM technical symposium on Computer Science Education10.1145/2157136.2157260(415-420)Online publication date: 29-Feb-2012
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/2157136.2157260

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