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Change Bursts as Defect Predictors

Published: 01 November 2010 Publication History

Abstract

In software development, every change induces a risk. What happens if code changes again and again in some period of time? In an empirical study on Windows Vista, we found that the features of such change bursts have the highest predictive power for defect-prone components. With precision and recall values well above 90%, change bursts significantly improve upon earlier predictors such as complexity metrics, code churn, or organizational structure. As they only rely on version history and a controlled change process, change bursts are straight-forward to detect and deploy.

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  • (2024)Toward the Fractal Dimension of ClassesACM Transactions on Software Engineering and Methodology10.1145/368884434:2(1-50)Online publication date: 16-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Mining Action Rules for Defect Reduction PlanningProceedings of the ACM on Software Engineering10.1145/36608091:FSE(2309-2331)Online publication date: 12-Jul-2024
  • (2024)SyzRisk: A Change-Pattern-Based Continuous Kernel Regression FuzzerProceedings of the 19th ACM Asia Conference on Computer and Communications Security10.1145/3634737.3637642(1480-1494)Online publication date: 1-Jul-2024
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Published In

cover image Guide Proceedings
ISSRE '10: Proceedings of the 2010 IEEE 21st International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering
November 2010
419 pages
ISBN:9780769542553

Publisher

IEEE Computer Society

United States

Publication History

Published: 01 November 2010

Author Tags

  1. Process metrics
  2. change history
  3. defects
  4. developers
  5. empirical studies
  6. product metrics
  7. software mining
  8. software quality assurance
  9. version control

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Cited By

View all
  • (2024)Toward the Fractal Dimension of ClassesACM Transactions on Software Engineering and Methodology10.1145/368884434:2(1-50)Online publication date: 16-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Mining Action Rules for Defect Reduction PlanningProceedings of the ACM on Software Engineering10.1145/36608091:FSE(2309-2331)Online publication date: 12-Jul-2024
  • (2024)SyzRisk: A Change-Pattern-Based Continuous Kernel Regression FuzzerProceedings of the 19th ACM Asia Conference on Computer and Communications Security10.1145/3634737.3637642(1480-1494)Online publication date: 1-Jul-2024
  • (2024)The untold impact of learning approaches on software fault-proneness predictions: an analysis of temporal aspectsEmpirical Software Engineering10.1007/s10664-024-10454-829:4Online publication date: 8-Jun-2024
  • (2023)A Multidimensional Analysis of Bug Density in SAP HANAProceedings of the 31st ACM Joint European Software Engineering Conference and Symposium on the Foundations of Software Engineering10.1145/3611643.3613875(1997-2007)Online publication date: 30-Nov-2023
  • (2023)Green Fuzzing: A Saturation-Based Stopping Criterion using Vulnerability PredictionProceedings of the 32nd ACM SIGSOFT International Symposium on Software Testing and Analysis10.1145/3597926.3598043(127-139)Online publication date: 12-Jul-2023
  • (2022)Analyzing model changes with LoupeProceedings of the 25th International Conference on Model Driven Engineering Languages and Systems: Companion Proceedings10.1145/3550356.3561564(519-528)Online publication date: 23-Oct-2022
  • (2022)Methods for stabilizing models across large samples of projects (with case studies on predicting defect and project health)Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Mining Software Repositories10.1145/3524842.3527934(566-578)Online publication date: 23-May-2022
  • (2021)An Empirical Examination of the Impact of Bias on Just-in-time Defect PredictionProceedings of the 15th ACM / IEEE International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement (ESEM)10.1145/3475716.3475791(1-12)Online publication date: 11-Oct-2021
  • (2021)MICOSE4aPS: Industrially Applicable Maturity Metric to Improve Systematic Reuse of Control SoftwareACM Transactions on Software Engineering and Methodology10.1145/346789631:1(1-24)Online publication date: 28-Sep-2021
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