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An efficient fully sequential selection procedure guaranteeing probably approximately correct selection

Published: 03 December 2017 Publication History

Abstract

Ranking and Selection (R&S) procedures are designed for selecting the best among a finite set of systems using stochastic simulation, guaranteeing the quality of the final selection. Instead of assuming a known lower bound on the difference between the best and others, we consider the probably approximately correct (PAC) selection formulation, which ensures a high quality solution with high probability for all configurations. In this paper, we present a new fully sequential selection procedure, called the Envelope Procedure (EP), which accommodates a variety of sampling rules that, together with a carefully defined termination condition, ensures a PAC selection. A particular sampling rule that achieves good efficiency is proposed. We compare the efficiency of the EP with some existing procedures in numerical experiments, and the results show that the EP saves considerable computational effort in many problem configurations.

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Cited By

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  • (2018)Fully sequential ranking and selection procedures with PAC guaranteeProceedings of the 2018 Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/3320516.3320745(1898-1908)Online publication date: 9-Dec-2018
  • (2018)Guarantees on the probability of good selectionProceedings of the 2018 Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/3320516.3320567(351-365)Online publication date: 9-Dec-2018

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cover image ACM Conferences
WSC '17: Proceedings of the 2017 Winter Simulation Conference
December 2017
4389 pages
ISBN:9781538634271

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IEEE Press

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Published: 03 December 2017

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WSC '17
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WSC '17: Winter Simulation Conference
December 3 - 6, 2017
Nevada, Las Vegas

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Overall Acceptance Rate 3,413 of 5,075 submissions, 67%

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View all
  • (2018)Fully sequential ranking and selection procedures with PAC guaranteeProceedings of the 2018 Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/3320516.3320745(1898-1908)Online publication date: 9-Dec-2018
  • (2018)Guarantees on the probability of good selectionProceedings of the 2018 Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/3320516.3320567(351-365)Online publication date: 9-Dec-2018

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