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Article

Assessment of Energy Systems Using Extended Fuzzy AHP, Fuzzy VIKOR, and TOPSIS Approaches to Manage Non-Cooperative Opinions

by
Osman Taylan
1,*,
Rami Alamoudi
1,
Mohammad Kabli
1,
Alawi AlJifri
1,
Fares Ramzi
1 and
Enrique Herrera-Viedma
2,3
1
Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah P.O. Box 80204, Saudi Arabia
2
Andalusian Research Institute in Data Science and Computational Intelligence, University of Granada, 18071 Granada, Spain
3
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, King, Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2020, 12(7), 2745; https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072745
Submission received: 22 February 2020 / Revised: 27 March 2020 / Accepted: 29 March 2020 / Published: 31 March 2020
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Methodologies and Applications of Multiple Criteria Decision Making for Sustainable Development)
Browse Figures
Figure 1
<p>Flow chart for the energy systems selection decision procedure.</p> "> Figure 2
<p>The intersection between M<sub>1</sub> and M<sub>2</sub> convex fuzzy numbers.</p> "> Figure 3
<p>Energy systems investment ranking by fuzzy VIKOR and TOPSIS approaches.</p> "> Figure 4
<p>Comparison of energy system alternatives under different minimum regret cases of <span class="html-italic">v</span>.</p> ">
Review Reports Versions Notes

Abstract

:
Energy systems planning commonly involves the study of supply and demand of power, forecasting the trends of parameters established on economics and technical criteria of models. Numerous measures are needed for the fulfillment of energy system assessment and the investment plans. The higher energy prices which call for diversification of energy systems and managing the resolution of conflicts are the results of high energy demand for growing economies. Due to some challenging problems of fossil fuels, energy production and distribution from alternative sources are getting more attention. This study aimed to reveal the most proper energy systems in Saudi Arabia for investment. Hence, integrated fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), fuzzy VIKOR (Vlse Kriterijumska Optimizacija Kompromisno Resenje) and TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preferences by Similarity to Idle Solution) methodologies were employed to determine the most eligible energy systems for investment. Eight alternative energy systems were assessed against nine criteria—power generation capacity, efficiency, storability, safety, air pollution, being depletable, net present value, enhanced local economic development, and government support. Data were collected using the Delphi method, a team of three decision-makers (DMs) was established in a heterogeneous manner with the addition of nine domain experts to carry out the analysis. The fuzzy AHP approach was used for clarifying the weight of criteria and fuzzy VIKOR and TOPSIS were utilized for ordering the alternative energy systems according to their investment priority. On the other hand, sensitivity analysis was carried out to determine the priority of investment for energy systems and comparison of them using the weight of group utility and fuzzy DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) approaches. The results and findings suggested that solar photovoltaic (PV) is the paramount renewable energy system for investment, according to both fuzzy VIKOR and fuzzy TOPSIS approaches. In this context our findings were compared with other works comprehensively.

1. Introduction

Energy generation, transmission, and distribution are important subjects due to rising energy consumption linked to the population and industrial growth [1]. Many people still do not have access to electricity, about 2.7 billion people are still using conventional energy sources [2] that have adverse effects on the environment, human health [3], global deforestation, and greenhouse gas emissions [4]. On the other hand, energy planning systems comprise conflicting issues that have moved from single and restricted goals to multiple and more complex objectives due to the presence of several parameters, benchmarks, investors, and shareholders. The world energy is currently 81% from fossil fuels, 5% from nuclear, and 14% from renewable energy sources. The nuclear sources are considered dangerous, the fossil fuels are counted consumable, significantly hazardous, and unsafe, mainly due to their irreversible environmental impact on human, animals, plants, and climate change [5]. Developing alternative energy sources to fossil fuels has several challenges. These alternative sources are mainly solar, wind power, biomass, nuclear, ocean waves, and hydroelectric power [6]. In the long-term, predicting the most beneficial energy alternatives is very important, many factors such as population, geographic restrictions, societal needs, and politics are involved in decision-making. More importantly, the investors usually have limited resources and cannot devote them all to alternative sources simultaneously. On the other hand, an alternative energy appropriate for one country may be not a good choice for another one. There are many other measures, such as political preferences, security, and costs, influencing the selection of alternative energy sources. Although several disadvantages of alternative energy sources are counted in the literature [7], such as negative effects on public health [7], diminishing water quality [8], and life-cycle global warming emissions [9], the advantages [10] still mitigate the downsides, and the renewable energy sources are inexhaustible, cheaper, and their production technologies are not harmful.
Saudi Arabia is still extensively dependent on fossil fuels, the energy consumption will jump from 40 GW to 120 GW per hour until 2028, which will accelerate global warming [11] and diminish the environmental systems [12]. The energy security problem, the rising energy prices, and the other important factors require sustainable development of power generation systems. The application of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approaches [13] can prioritize the importance of the energy systems. On the other hand, the economic growth and social needs will increase the hydrocarbon consumption from 3.4 million BOE (barrels of oil equivalent) to 8.3 million BOE per day shortly. High energy demand necessitates intensive investments for protecting the environment, advancing the gas emission reduction technologies [8] to obtain clean and cheap energy sources and reduce the negative impacts caused by reliance on fossil fuels [14]. Therefore, reliability, suitability, sustainability, and diversification of energy sources are of great interest to many nations for determining the most appropriate energy sources for investment to meet challenging and unfavorable attributes that might include both quantitative and qualitative factors [15]. Several decision-makers (DMs) may be involved in the decision-making process for determining the attributes, sources, and the selection of the location and technologies. Both energy sources planning and technologies selection, are multi-criteria group decision-making (GDM) problems. Several people, such as the individuals, regional residents, politicians, managers, experts, government and civil organizations, could be involved in the decision-making process. Hence, numerous conflicting parameters must be considered and evaluated by DMs to reach a consensus for the selection of the best alternative energy sources. These conflicting parameters need to reach a consensus for accomplishing a common agreement between the decision-makers to select the best alternative energy systems. The agreement and/or consensus aims to reduce the discussions [16] and facilitate GDM faster for processing with minimum amendments [17] to develop energy strategies and investment opportunities for renewable energy sources using ELECTRE (ELimination Et Choix Traduisant la REalité) [18] and new consensus models with non-homogeneous experts [19].
In light of these complications, fuzzy set theory might be useful for undertaking challenging assessment and consensus problems of energy systems, when the linguistic variables and terms are employed for decision-making to solve the ambiguity, vagueness, and subjectivity of human judgments [20]. Although fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) handles both measurable and qualitative multi-criteria GDM problems, it has the ability to handle DMs’ vague and imprecise judgments using soft computing techniques for clarification. Fuzzy AHP is employed mainly for pairwise comparisons of multi-criteria GDM problems. Pairwise comparison uses solicited input data obtained from DMs that offer maximum awareness for evaluating the consistency of DMs’ judgments. This background makes fuzzy AHP an ideal approach for investigating the renewable energy systems. Similarly, VIKOR (Vlse Kriterijumska Optimizacija Kompromisno Resenje) is the modest computational technique for solving multi-criteria GDM problems, coinciding the closeness to ideal and anti-ideal alternatives over conflicting aspects. A detailed comparison of fuzzy VIKOR with PROMETHEE (Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluation), ELECTRE, and TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preferences by Similarity to Idle Solution) has been presented in many papers [21,22,23]. The GDM methods for applicability and adaptability using the ELECTRE approach for location planning and selection are presented in [18]. The aim of this study is to integrate fuzzy AHP, fuzzy VIKOR, and TOPSIS methodologies to determine the best alternative energy sources for future investment in Saudi Arabia.
Fuzzy AHP is used to rank the weights of the criteria, fuzzy VIKOR and fuzzy TOPSIS approaches are employed to select the best options of energy sources. This study will also consider and focus on the main conflicting criteria of the assessment and comparisons. Hence, the rest of paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the literature review for both energy systems investigation and MCDM approaches. Method and methodologies are given in Section 3, in this context, fuzzy AHP, fuzzy VIKOR, and fuzzy TOPSIS approaches are employed for determining criteria weights and analyzing the energy systems assessment. This section also shows the details of calculations. Section 4 presents the results and findings of the integrated fuzzy AHP, fuzzy VIKOR, and fuzzy TOPSIS methodologies for prioritizing the energy systems investments. Section 5 gives the sensitivity analysis for the energy systems. Finally, our conclusions are presented in Section 6.

2. Literature Review

Recently, the energy demand has increased, and the utilization of technologies for renewable energy has expanded significantly; thus, previous works have examined the role of these technologies in different perspectives of energy research problems, employing various MADM (multi attribute decision making) approaches. Renewable energy has become an integral component of sustainable economic development; hence several studies have been carried out to determine the investment strategies in renewable energy alternatives. For instance, the AHP method was used for solar energy [24] investigation and the selection of locations for thermal power plants [25] in India, solar farm sites determination in Turkey [26], biofuels and fossil fuels comparison [27], and wind observation station location selection [28] in different countries. On the other hand, many novel techniques and MADM approaches, such as ANP (Analytic Network Process), AHP, VIKOR, ELECTRE, and TOPSIS were developed to rank the alternative systems and to optimize the energy systems. The MADM approaches have been employed to reduce uncertainties in energy growth, wherever different investors are involved in the decision-making, considering a broad range of economic, social, technical, and environmental aspects [29]. The world primary energy need is increasing due to the rapid economic development [30]. Sustainability in energy resources and prioritizing the renewable energy system are therefore important mechanisms. In this context, Vishnupriyan and Manoharan [31] presented sustainability in limited energy resources by integrating a renewable energy system with a grid to meet energy demand using AHP and stochastic multi-attribute acceptability analysis. The decision-makers selected the important criteria using fuzzy AHP based type 2 fuzzy sets, and fuzzy multi attribute decision-making approaches for energy resources prioritization. Siksnelyte et al. [32] reviewed sustainable decision-making to solve energy problems and determine the contradictory effects using MADM approaches. In this perspective, Mardani et al. [29,32] carried out detailed analyses of MADM methods and applications in energy systems. They labeled MADM and fuzzy MADM approaches into the following groupings: AHP, VIKOR, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE, fuzzy sets, and system and ANP are mostly used for impact analysis, energy technology evaluation, and for the selection of the best place for energy generation. Krishankumar et al. [33] discussed the framework of ranking the alternatives utilizing the developed interval-valued probabilistic linguistic term set (IVPLTS)-based classical VIKOR approach. Alizadeh et al. [34] combined two models—Benefit, Opportunity, Cost, Risk, and ANP models—to determine the solar energy as the preferential renewable energy source for Iran. In decision-making, the DMs should not only consider the costs of energy systems, but also the energy systems’ efficiency and their environment protection abilities [35]. Therefore, DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis), TOPSIS, and COPRAS (Complex Proportional Assessment of alternatives) were employed to investigate the priority of energy systems investment and sensitivity analysis under different scenarios. Ilbahar et al. [36] reviewed the utilization and evaluation of renewable energy sources using MADM for several determinations, particularly energy policies and criteria used for geographic distribution and the determination of application areas [37]. Krishankumar et al. [38] proposed a new decision framework of MADM to extend the COPRAS method to q-ROFS for the prioritization of objects and aggregate preference matrix by prioritizing the renewable energy source in India. Shmelev and Bergh [39] verified the selection of the most suitable renewable energy source for electricity generation, optimal site identification [40], and the selection of the best alternative energy options [40,41]. For instance, Yazdani-Chamzini et al. [42] applied integrated AHP-COPRAS and novel approaches [43] to select the best alternative renewable energy projects. Acar and Dincer [44] used five main measures for the selection of hydrogen production methods using hesitant fuzzy AHP. An integrated fuzzy [45] and comparative analysis of hybrid decision-making with balanced scorecard-based [46] approaches were used for investment analysis of renewable energy alternatives. Carrico et al. [47] investigated the optimal energy-efficient options in water systems using Ant Colony and ELECTRE-III to solve the multi-criteria GDM problems. Bhowmik et al. [48] used TOPSIS to find the optimal green energy source. Rani et al. [49] proposed a new divergence measure for ranking and choosing the renewable energy sources in MCDM problems based on the fuzzy TOPSIS approach to compare some existing methods. Lee and Chang [41] employed PROMETHEE to evaluate five different energy sources. Celikbilek and Tuysuz [50] used fuzzy multi-attribute GDM to make pairwise comparison energy systems to find the best alternatives. Energy source selection is a complex problem, many criteria and sub criteria, such as technical, environmental, social, and economic needs, must be considered. The technological maturity, reliability, safety, the impact on ecosystems, social benefits, and social acceptability are good examples of immeasurable sub-criteria of energy systems [51]. These criteria and sub-criteria sets are naturally vague and imprecise, and need the domain experts’ judgments for clarification. Therefore, fuzzy set theory-based approaches were integrated with AHP, ANP, VIKOR, TOPSIS, and the other decision-making methods for the evaluation of renewable energy systems and elimination of imprecision. For instance, fuzzy AHP, fuzzy ANP, fuzzy DEMATEL (decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory), fuzzy TOPSIS [52], and fuzzy ELECTRE approaches were uncovered with the aim of determining the priority of energy systems. Colak and Kaya [53] employed the integrated fuzzy approaches for criteria prioritization and decision-making. Ren [54] established a novel multi-attribute GDM method and combined with the interval AHP intuitionistic fuzzy distance-based method to prioritize energy storage technologies. In this context, Siksnelyte et al. [32] and Ilbahar et al. [36] carried out extensive works on MADM approaches and fuzzy sets theory and determined that about 27% of total publications are about sustainable energy systems. On the other hand, they found that the distribution of methods by application areas of energy systems are as follows: 16.67% are AHP and ANP applications, 8.33% are fuzzy applications, 5.36% of VIKOR are about energy policy and energy project selection. Additionally, the distribution of application areas by method are as follows: in 15.76% of energy policy papers AHP and ANP were used, in 10.35% fuzzy sets, and in 28.57% of energy systems papers VIKOR was employed. The MADM and fuzzy MADM approaches are labeled into the following methods: AHP, VIKOR, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE, and ANP, that are mostly used for impact analysis. The fuzzy sets and system, AHP, TOPSIS, ANP, and PROMETHEE methods are mainly applied for energy technology evaluation. The AHP and fuzzy sets are applied for the selection of the best place for energy generation. Although the costs of energy systems are important criteria, the energy systems’ efficiency, its environment protection ability, abundancy, and availability are more important criteria for several countries. Therefore, AHP, DEA, TOPSIS, and COPRAS were employed to evaluate and investigate the energy system priority and sensitivity under different decision-making scenarios. The utilization and evaluation of renewable energy sources particularly using MADM for several determinations, such as energy policies, criteria evaluation, geographic distribution, and the application areas, are very common lately. It was also determined that fuzzy AHP has serious application in energy systems research. Hence, Kahraman et al. [55] performed a comparison analysis using fuzzy AHP and found that wind energy was the best alternative in Turkey. Lee et al. [56] determined that the hydrogen energy technologies are the best choice for implementation. Sánchez-Lozano et al. [57] integrated the GIS (provided the database containing the alternatives), and fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methods to identify the optimal places for solar PV (photovoltaic) power plants in southeast Spain. Yunna and Geng [58] examined the best location for solar thermoelectric power plants. Fuzzy sets-based linguistic interval preferences modeling was also used with these integrated MADM approaches to better handle uncertainty of the decision-making processes in energy systems research. It was also determined that ELECTRE was the second MADM approach, followed by TOPSIS and VIKOR; ANP and DEMATEL (decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory) are the third most preferred methods for site selection and alternative location evaluation [32,52,55,56,57,58]. Similarly, our results and findings show that solar photovoltaic energy is the best choice for the Kingdom.

3. Method and Methodologies

3.1. Fuzzy AHP Methodology for Determining Experts’ Weights for Criteria

Fuzzy AHP is a well-organized approach for determining the criteria weights and for the justification of multi-criteria GDM problems using fuzzy set theory. DMs specify choices in the form of ordinary language and allocate them to the attribute chosen for the assessment of decision problem. Rezaei and Ortt [59] employed AHP to solve complex multi-criteria GDM problems by breaking the hierarchical structure to simpler compositions. Fuzzy AHP overcomes the limitation of qualitative criteria, and solves the subjectivity, imprecision, and vagueness that are present in the decision problem, to formulate the uncertainties associated with perceptions and preferences. The fuzzy linguistic and numerical preferences are normalized via these structural models in uncertain systems when DMs lack the necessary data. In the fuzzy AHP method, a judgmental matrix is established for pair-wise comparison of criteria, then fuzzy arithmetic and aggregation operators are used to carry out the procedural calculations for determining the weights. In this study, triangular fuzzy numbers were employed in order to enhance the degree of judgment and bring flexibility in decision-making. DMs specified their preferences in the form of natural language expressions instead of numerical values, which brought a large cogitation to specify the preferences and identify the thoughts in a more systematic way. Figure 1 shows the flow chart of this study and decision-making procedure for energy systems selection. The determination of weights was carried out in the following steps: (1) the decision problem was hierarchically modeled containing the goals, (2) the priorities for the weights of criteria was established by judging the pairwise comparisons, (3) the outcomes were synthesized by judging the overall priorities for the hierarchy, and (4) the consistency of the judgments was examined.
The criteria set used for multi criteria GDM, conducted for selection of energy systems [6,13,15,18,22,24,26,29,32,36,40] in different countries, is given in Table 1.
Table 2 shows the scores used for the assessment of fuzzy linguistic terms. The experts utilized these fuzzy linguistic terms to assess the importance of criteria.
The energy systems were assessed by the following criteria in the Kingdom, based on experts’ judgments. A pairwise comparison was carried out. The experts were informed about how to use fuzzy linguistic terms in pairwise comparison. A group consensus was sought for the pairwise comparison; in the case of conflicts, the decision of the majority was considered and/or an average of the decisions was used for the assessment. Averaging the decision and/or max-min compositional rule of inference are the most common approaches used for consensus. The benefit of averaging the decision is that the idea of all DMs was considered for the assessment of the problem. The criteria considered were as follows—c1: power generation capacity, c2: efficiency, c3: storability, c4: safety, c5: air pollution, c6: depletable, c7: net present value, c8: enhanced local economic development, and c9: government support.
Each criteria weight was calculated by summing the allocated weights given in Table 3. Experts’ opinions were found and then divided by the number of the experts. The opinions of twelve domain experts were categorized under the main three DMs’ perspectives. The fuzzy extent analysis presented by Chang [28] was employed for determining the triangular fuzzy number. The DMs were the experts of energy systems from different domains; hence, the decision was made in a non-homogeneous environment. Equation (1) was employed for the calculations of weights:
w ˜ i j = 1 K [ w j ( 1 ) ( + ) w j ( 2 ) ( + ) … ( + ) w j ( K ) ] ,
where w j ( K ) shows the weight allocated by the Kth expert’s decision. Table 4 shows the fuzzy evaluation matrix of criteria for the weights obtained from the linguistic values are presented in Table 3.
In order to describe the membership functions, triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) are well-defined by three real tuple, (l, m, u) to designate the lowest value, mean value, and maximum value of the membership degrees. Some Algebraic operations on TFNs can be presented using fuzzy sets; essentially, the inverse operation can be presented as in Equation (2).
Let A be a set of triangular fuzzy numbers and A = ( l 1 , m 1 , u 1 ) , the inverse of this set can be presented as follows:
A − 1 = ( l 1 , m 1 , u 1 ) − 1 = ( 1 u 1 , 1 m 1 , 1 l 1 ) .

3.2. FAHP Algorithm of Fuzzy Synthetic Extent

Let X = { x 1 , x 2 , x 3 , … , x n } be an object set, and G = { g 1 , g 2 , g 3 , … , g n } be a goal set. According to Chang’s [28] synthetic extent analysis, we can get extent analysis for each goal. Thus, ‘m’ extent analysis values were obtained for each object, with the following parameters:
M 1 g i , M 2 g i , … , M m g i ,   i = 1 , 2 , … , n ,
where M jgi (j = 1, 2,…,m) are triangular fuzzy numbers. Chang’s [28] extent analysis is given below:
Step 1: The fuzzy synthetic extent value with respect to the ith object is demarcated in this step, the fuzzy operation ‘m’ values are obtained from ∑ j = 1 m M g i j for a specific matrix given in Equation (3):
∑ j = 1 m M g i j = ( ∑ j = 1 m l j , ∑ j = 1 m m j , ∑ j = 1 m u j ) .
Equation (3) was applied to obtain the fuzzy synthetic extent analysis outcomes; the results are presented in Table 5.
∑ j = 1 m M 1 i 1 = ( ∑ j = 1 m l j , ∑ j = 1 m m j , ∑ j = 1 m u j ) = ( 1 + 4 + 4.33 + … ,   1 + 5 + 5 + … , 1 + 6 + 5.66 + … )
In order to obtain the inverse matrix [ ∑ j = 1 n ∑ j = 1 m M g i j ] − 1 , the values of M jgi (j = 1, 2,...,m) are added such that the lowest values are indicated by ( l i ) , the middle values by ( m i ) and the upper values by ( u i ) that are all summed to the decision criteria of the consecutive value. Hence, the total values presented in Equation (3) are obtained:
∑ i = 1 n ∑ j = 1 m M g i j = ( 124.34 ,   149.12 ,   178.23 ) ,
and then, the inverse of the previous vector is obtained for the total values using Equation (4):
[ ∑ i = 1 n ∑ j = 1 m M g i j ] − 1 = ( 1 ∑ i = 1 n u i , 1 ∑ i = 1 n m i , 1 ∑ i = 1 n l i )   [ ∑ i = 1 n ∑ j = 1 m M g i j ] − 1 = ( 1 124.34 , 1 149.12 , 1 178.23 )
( ∑ i = 1 n ∑ j = 1 m M g i j ) − 1 = ( 0.005611 ,   0.006706 ,   0.008043 ) .
The inverse vector was used as given in Equation (5) to obtain the fuzzy criteria weights of energy systems. The findings are presented in Table 6.
S i = ∑ j = 1 m M g i j ⊗ [ ∑ i = 1 n ∑ j = 1 m M g i j ] − 1
S 1 = ( 0.005611 ,   0.006706 ,   0.008043 )   ⊗ ( 25.27 ,   31.15 ,   36.24 ) = ( 0.14179 ,   0.20889 ,   0.29147 )
Step 2: Let us assume M ˜ 1 = ( l 1 , m 1 , u 1 ) and M ˜ 2 = ( l 2 , m 2 , u 2 ) are two TFNs, the degree of possibility of M 2 = ( l 2 , m 2 , u 2 ) ≥ M 1 = ( l 1 , m 1 , u 1 ) can be defined as given in Equation (6):
V ( M ˜ 2 ≥ M ˜ 1 ) = s u p y ≥ x [ m i n ( μ M ˜ 1 ( x ) , μ M ˜ 2 ( y ) ) ] .
As seen in Equation (7), the lower, middle, and upper fuzzy values of degree of possibility can be presented. Some sample calculations are presented below. Table 7 shows the degree possibility for convex fuzzy numbers in this study.
V ( M ˜ 2 ≥ M ˜ 1 ) = h g t ( M ˜ 1 ∩   M ˜ 2 ) = μ M 2 ( d )
μ M ( x ) = { 1 , i f   m 2 ≥ m 1 0 , i f   l 1 ≥ u 2 l 1 − u 2 ( m 2 − u 2 ) − ( m 1 − l 1 ) , o t h e r w i s e
V ( c 1 ≥   c 2 ) = V ( M ˜ 1 ≥ M ˜ 2 ) = ( ( 0.14179 ,   0.20889 ,   0.29147 ) ≥ ( 0.11551 ,   0.16155 ,   0.22407 ) ) = 1
V ( c 2 ≥   c 4 ) = V ( M ˜ 2 ≥ M ˜ 4 ) = ( ( 0.11551 ,   0.16155 ,   0.22407 ) ≥ ( ( 0.13173 ,   0.18564 ,   0.25707 ) ) ) = 0.79312
V ( c 6 ≥   c 7 ) = V ( M ˜ 6 ≥ M ˜ 7 ) = ( ( 0.02920 ,   0.04341 ,   0.06448 )   ≥ ( 0.06799 ,   0.0932 ,   0.13188 ) ) = 0
V ( c 8 ≥   c 9 ) = V ( M ˜ 6 ≥ M ˜ 7 ) = ( ( 0.02567 ,   0.03177 ,   0.05653 ) ≥ ( 0.03843 ,   0.06517 ,   0.11104 ) ) = 0.35153 .
Step 3: The possibility degree for a convex fuzzy number bigger than k convex fuzzy Mi (i = 1, 2, k) number is calculated by Equation (8):
V ( M ≥ M 1 , M 2 , … M k ) = V
min V ( M ≥ M i ) .
Suppose that d ( A i ) = m i n V ( S i ≥ S k ) for k = 1 , 2 , … , n ; k ≠ i . Then, the vector of weight can be presented by W ′ , where A i = ( i = 1 , 2 , … , n ) are alternative energy systems.
Figure 2 shows the details of Equation (6), and ‘d’ is the highest intersection point between the membership degrees, μ M 1 and μ M 2 , to compare M1 and M2. Both values of V ( M 1 ≥ M 2 ) and V ( M 2 ≥ M 1 ) must be determined for the comparison of alternative energy systems.
min V ( M ≥ M 1 ) = Min (1, 0. 635, 0.389, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0) = 0
min V ( M ≥ M 2 ) = Min (0.635, 1, 1, 0.793, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.635) = 0.635
min V ( M ≥ M 3 ) = Min (0.389, 0.739, 1, 0.531, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.389) = 0.389
Step 4: A normalization process is carried out, the normalized weight vectors, W s , are obtained using Equation (9), where Ws are non-fuzzy numbers.
W = ( d ( A 1 ) , d ( A 2 ) , … , d ( A n ) ) T
The set of normalized weights were as follows; 0.3502, 02223, 0.1362, 0.2914, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.

3.3. Fuzzy VIKOR Method

Fuzzy VIKOR is a tangible method for multi-criteria GDM problems, when DMs are not able to present their opinions at the beginning stage of the decision process. In order to achieve the highest group utility value of the “majority” ( S i , given in Equation (11)) and the distinct regret of the “opponent” ( R i , given by Equation (12)), the compromise solution can be obtained by DMs. Involving the preferences of DMs by weighting the criteria by fuzzy AHP, the resolutions will be based on the negotiations and compromise of DMs. In this study, heterogeneous fuzzy information was employed to carry out the conversion of operations to homogenize the decision structure using the extended VIKOR approach [60]. The fuzzy VIKOR ranking is based on the ideal solution of merit function Q, with v values selected which will be applied only for a given set of alternative criteria. The fuzzy VIKOR is a more useful method for solving multi-criteria GDM problems, which is a robust approach in evaluating the alternatives over conflicting criteria. Fuzzy GDM approaches play an important role using intuitionistic fuzzy information [61], Pythagorean fuzzy sets [62,63], and hesitant linguistic information [64] in different areas. A group of DMs determines the fixed ideal solution by the best (positive ideal) f i * and the worst (negative ideal) f i − values of entire criterion ratings using Equation (10), sequentially. In this approach, DMs evaluate every alternative and a compromise ranking is conducted by averaging the decisions to consider the opinions and ideas close to the ideal solution f*.
f i * = max i { f i j } ,   f i − = min i { f i j }
Now, the maximum group utility value of the majority S i and the distinct regret of the opponent R i are computed as given in Equations (11) and (12):
S i = ∑ j = 1 n w j o ( f i * − f i j ) ( f i * − f i − )
S − = max i { S i } ,   S * = min i { S i } ,
R i = max i ( w j o ( f i * − f i j ) ( f i * − f i − ) )
R − = max i { R i } ,   R * = min i { R i } ,
where w i symbolizes the weights of criteria and shows the DMs’ preferences for relative importance of the criteria. The value of merit function ( Q i ) for each alternative is calculated by Equation (13):
Q i = v ( S i − S * ) / ( S − S * ) + ( 1 − v ) ( R i − R * ) / ( R − R * ) ,  
where S* is the minimum and S − is the maximum value of Si, respectively, R* is the minimum and R − is the maximum value of Ri, respectively, and v is the weight for the strategy of maximum group utility, whereas (1−v) is employed for the weight of specific regrets. The result is attained by the majority rule S j with a maximum group utility decision, where the minimum individual regret of the pretender solution is obtained by R j . In general, 0.5 is used for the value of v, however it can be any value between the range of 0 to 1. Presently, ranking the order of S, R, and Q for alternatives in increasing order will give the evaluation of criteria; therefore, three ranking lists will be obtained. Let us suppose that a compromise solution of the alternative Al ranks the best by the minimum value of merit function Q, and satisfies the given conditions, hence a compromise solution of alternative A1 can be proposed as the best ranked alternative by the measure of merit function Q (minimum), if the following conditions are satisfied: firstly, evaluating each alternative with each criteria; secondly, ranking the comparisons with the measure of closeness to fuzzy VIKOR for solving incompatible decision-making problems with different units of criteria. The fuzzy linguistic terms and related fuzzy numbers used in the fuzzy VIKOR analysis are presented in Table 8.
The energy systems used in this study were hydrogen (E1), fossil fuels (E2), hydropower (E3), wind (E4), solar PV (E5), geothermal (E6), nuclear (E7), and biomass (E8). The criteria set considered for the evaluation of energy systems is presented in Table 9.

3.4. Fuzzy TOPSIS Method

Yazdani and Payam [65] presented the basic idea of the TOPSIS model. Taylan et al. [66] used the fuzzy TOPSIS method for solving the GDM problems under the fuzzy environment for construction project risk assessment and compressor selection in the petrochemical industry [67]. In this study, the opinions of DMs regarding the energy systems were aggregated and deemed to be equally important for judgment. Eight alternative energy systems were evaluated based on nine criteria. Fuzzy TOPSIS approach was applied using the following steps.
Step 1: Fuzzy linguistic terms presented in Table 8 were used for the aggregation of values. Equation (14) was used for averaging the fuzzy crisp values. Let us assume that N = {n1, n2,…,n9} are the set of energy systems for assessment. Initially, the DMs used fuzzy numerical values to evaluate the energy systems regarding the criteria, and a rating order was obtained by multiplying the matrix of ratings with each criteria weight and summing them all:
x ˜ i j = 1 N { x ˜ i j ( 1 ) + x ˜ i j ( 2 ) + … + x ˜ i j ( N ) } ,
where x ˜ i j are fuzzy crisp values assigned by k-th DM for energy system regarding the related criteria, (+) indicates the fuzzy arithmetic sum function. Hence, X = ( x ˜ i j )nxm is the fuzzy decision matrix described by fuzzy numerical values. The criteria set were considered as the decision parameters, including the linguistic terms (xi) and the related outcomes. Similarly, μ ( x i ) represents the membership function to associate each value of criteria to its fuzzy equivalences.
Step 2: The normalization of data can guarantee the decision matrix presents the range of normalized TFNs data in the interval of [0, 1]. The fuzzy decision matrix normalized, R ˜ i j is presented in Equations (15) and (16) for energy systems related to the corresponding criteria. In these two equations, B and C represents the benefit criteria and cost criteria set, respectively.
R ˜ i j = [ r ˜ i j ] m × n ,   i = 1 , 2 , … , m ;   j = 1 , 2 , … , n .
r ˜ i j = ( r i j l , r i j m , r i j u ) = ( x i j l c j ∗ , x i j m c j ∗ , x i j u c j ∗ ) , i = 1 , 2 , 3 , … , m ,   j ∈ B .
c j * = max t [ x i j u ] ,   j = 1 , 2 , 3 , … , n .
c j − = min t [ x i j l ] ,   j = 1 , 2 , 3 , … , n .
Equation (17) was employed to determine the maximum numerical value of (cj*) for each energy system given by DMs. Equation (18) shows the normalized weighted fuzzy decision matrix ( V ˜ ), which can be used to transform the crisp conclusions of decision criteria in the range of FTNs, between [0, 1].
V ˜ = [ v ˜ i j ] mxn ,   i = 1 , 2 , … , m ;   j = 1 , 2 , … , n
v ˜ i j = ( v i j l , v i j m , v i j u ) = w j ∗ r ˜ i j = ( w j l r i j l , w j m r i j m , w j u r i j u )
Hence, the fuzzy positive ideal solution (FPIS) and the fuzzy negative ideal solution (FNIS) can be symbolized by A* and A − , as given in Equations (19) and (20), respectively.
A * = ( v 1 * , v 2 * , … , v n * )
A − = ( v 1 − , v 2 − , … , v n − )
v j * = ( max { v i j l } ,   m a x   { v i j m } , max { v i j u } ) .   j = 1 , 2 , … , n v j − = ( min { v i j l } ,   m i n   { v i j m } , min { v i j u } ) .   j = 1 , 2 , … , n
The normalization is a defuzzification procedure of decision matrix to define the distance of each energy system to the ideal solution. As is well known, the distance to ideal solution may be on both sides of the ideal value. If we define FPIS as Alternative energy system (A(i)*), and FNIS as Alternative energy system (A(i)−), the vertex method can be used to determine the distance between two TFNs. Hence, the fuzzy positive-ideal (FPI) distance ( d i * ) and fuzzy negative-ideal (FNI) distances ( d i − ) of alternative energy systems were calculated by Equations (21) and (22), respectively.
d i * = ∑ j = 1 n d ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ j * ) ,   i = 1 ,   2 ,   … ,   m ,  
d i − = ∑ j = 1 n d ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ j − ) ,   i = 1 ,   2 ,   … ,   m .
Alternative energy system v ( j ) * = ( v ˜ 1 * , v ˜ 2 * , … , v ˜ n * ) , Alternative energy system v ( j ) − = ( v ˜ 1 − , v ˜ 2 − , … , v ˜ n − )
where v j * = ( 1 , 1 , 1 ) and v j − = ( 0 , 0 , 0 ) , j = 1, 2,…,n.
Alternative energy system (1,…,9)* = [(1, 1, 1), (1, 1, 1),…, (1, 1, 1), (1, 1, 1)]
Alternative energy system (1,…,9)− = [(0, 0, 0), (0, 0, 0),…, (0, 0, 0), (0, 0, 0)]
The term d ( d i * , d i − ) measures the distance between two fuzzy values to compute the closeness coefficient (CCi). This measure was employed to determine the ranking order of energy systems. Equation (23) was employed to calculate the closeness coefficient of each alternative energy system. The FPI distances of energy systems(i)* and FNI distances, energy systems(i)− of alternatives were used to calculate the total distances from the ideal solution. Thus, the closeness coefficient and the ranking order of all energy systems were calculated. The most optimal energy system was determined among nine alternatives for investment.
C C i = d i − d i * + d i −   i = 1 , 2 , … , m

4. Results and Findings

The data collection was carried out with the Delphi method, which was used to obtain the experts’ opinions, including three carefully selected members from the university and energy sectors. These three experts were core people from the domain, and they were requested to choose three experts each, hence the total twelve carefully selected participants from the universities and the energy sector worked together to establish the main criteria and sub criteria presented in Table 1 and the type of energy systems given in Table 9. The members worked together initially, and then they were divided into three groups who had strong expertise in the field of energy technologies, business, and energy market. The process of the Delphi approach took about two months to shape the domain experts’ opinion-based vision of the energy systems alternatives selection in the Kingdom. A panel work was made, and the panelists were informed about the fuzzy scores used for the assessment of fuzzy linguistic terms given in Table 2 and Table 8. The experts utilized these fuzzy linguistic terms to assess the importance of criteria before sending the first questionnaire, so that they could participate actively in the whole research process. The commitments of the panelists were ensured for the criteria set, the energy systems, and the fuzzy linguistic terms before sending the first questionnaire, so that the experts could participate actively in the whole research process. Then, the questionnaire sets were distributed to the experts.
The response time was set at about four weeks per cycle. It took three cycles to complete the decision-making process. Hence, the data of fuzzy approaches-related energy systems with respect to the criteria set were obtained and presented in Table 8 and Table 10. As appears in Table 8, the fuzzy linguistic terms and their corresponding numerical values were identified. The domain experts explained the importance of alternative energy systems with criteria easily by linguistic terms which were more identical than the numerical values for them and for those who were not familiar with these systems. Table 10 shows the relationship matrix of these two parameters by linguistic terms. Then, we used these linguistic terms for the assessment of the alternative energy systems.
As shown in Table 10, the data obtained from the designed questionnaire were linguistic terms produced by the domain experts. As those experts had different backgrounds and areas of specialization in energy systems, a consensus was sought on their decisions for possible energy system, criteria set, and fuzzy terms. Table 11 presents the average of triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) established for each energy system about the criteria set. Hence, the heterogeneous opinions based on fuzzy numbers were obtained and unified. The experts’ opinions were aggregated and presented in Table 11, using Equations (5)–(9), (5)–(10), (5)–(11), and (5)–(12).
The DMs arrayed fuzzy linguistic terms to regulate the importance of each criteria and analyzed each energy system with respect to the selected criteria. The results of fuzzy AHP method were determined in Section 3.1 and Section 3.2, based on the fuzzy linguistic terms and numbers presented in Table 1 and Table 2. Table 4 depicts the fuzzy evaluation matrix of criteria for the weights obtained from the linguistic values presented in Table 3. Equation (3) was employed for the calculation of fuzzy synthetic extent analysis, and the findings are presented in Table 5. The inverse vector was calculated using Equation (5) and the fuzzy criteria weights for energy systems were obtained. The complete sets of findings for Fuzzy AHP are presented in Table 6.

4.1. Results and Findings by the Fuzzy VIKOR Approach

As was presented, fuzzy VIKOR extent analysis was used to rank the criteria. Hence, the uij matrix presented in Table 11 and Table 12 shows the experts’ opinions to achieve the fuzzy ratings and comparison of alternative energy systems with respect to each criterion.
In Table 13, the indices minimum Si and Ri show maximum majority rule, and a minimum specific regret of an opponent strategy, respectively. Similarly, v represents the weight of a maximum group utility, which is generally assumed to be 0.5. In Table 13 the relationships of alternative energy systems in terms of indices are shown. Table 14 shows the S*, S − , R*, and R − values calculated using Equations (11) and (12). These TFNs were determined by merit function Qi (see Equation (13)), which is the rankings obtained for alternative energy systems.
The calculations in Table 14 need defuzzification. Several defuzzification strategies are suggested by the researchers; the graded mean integration approach was employed in this study. In these strategies, TFNs are defined as A= (li, mi, ui) and defuzzified to transform into crisp numbers by using Equation (24).
D ( Q i ) = l i + 4 m i + u i 6
Hence, the fuzzy best value f j * and fuzzy worst value f j − of each criterion function were determined and presented in Table 13, which shows the separation measures Si and Ri that were calculated using Equations (11) and (12). The findings are summarized in Table 14 with the defuzzified merit function Qi for each alternative presented in Table 15 for ranking the energy systems.
The energy supply and demand in Saudi Arabia need revision due to population growth, rapid expansion of the industrial sector, and high air conditioning during summer months. The energy consumption is still low compared to similar-sized countries. The main source of energy generation is oil and gas, to date 240 terawatt hours of electricity is generated, and the predictions depict that the country’s demand will reach 736 terawatt hours by 2022. The national transformation program, called Vision 2030, aims for less dependency on energy from oil production and expands it to alternative energy sources. The critical question is what these energy systems should be and sources for investment priority. Table 15 and Figure 3 show the results and findings after technical, economic, environmental, and social criteria assessment—the rankings depict that the alternative energy systems for investment should be solar PV (E5), geothermal (E6), fossil fuels (E2), biomass (E8), wind (E4), hydrogen (E1), nuclear (E7), and hydropower (E3) in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

4.2. Results and Findings By Fuzzy TOPSIS Approach

Table 10 and Table 11 present the fuzzy linguistic terms and averaged TFNs for each energy system regarding the criteria set, respectively. The experts’ opinions were aggregated and presented in Table 11, using the fuzzy numerical values. In order to carry out the steps of the fuzzy TOPSIS method, initially, the DMs’ opinions for energy systems regarding criteria set were averaged using Equations (14) and (17), the maximum values of the closeness coefficient (cj*) were determined; consequently, they were as follows, c 1 * = c 2 * = c 4 * = c 7 * = 10 , c 6 * = c 8 * = 9 , and c 3 * = 9.67 . Additionally, Equation (18) was used to find the normalized weighted fuzzy decision matrix ( V ˜ i j ) to transform the crisp conclusions of decision criteria in the TFNs between [0, 1]. Due to the availability of several numerical values, a part results and findings is given in Table 16.
A defuzzification procedure was used for the decision matrix given in Table 16 in order to define the distance of each energy system to the ideal solution for decision-making. The distance might be on both sides of the fuzzy positive ideal solution and fuzzy negative ideal solution. The vertex method was used to determine the distance between the TFNs. Equations (21) and (22) were employed to determine the fuzzy positive-ideal (FPI) distance and fuzzy negative-ideal (FNI) distances of alternative energy systems, respectively. The results are presented in Table 17. As is well known, the closeness coefficients (CCi) are measured by d ( d i * , d i − ) , which shows the distance between two fuzzy numbers. Thus, in Table 17, ( d i * ) shows the fuzzy positive-ideal (FPI) distance and ( d i − ) shows fuzzy negative-ideal (FNI) distances of alternative energy systems. This measure was used to calculate the ranking order of energy systems by the fuzzy TOPSIS approach. Consequently, the CCi of all energy systems was determined and presented in Table 17. Equation (23) was employed for the calculations of closeness coefficient of each alternative energy system for the investment priority. As is clearly seen in Table 17, solar PV (E5) had the highest closeness coefficient value for the investment, that is, 0.01368314. It was followed by biomass (E8), and fossil fuels (E2). The remaining energy systems were ordered as follows: geothermal (E6), wind (E4), nuclear (E7), hydrogen (E1), and hydropower (E3).

4.3. Comparison with Existing Methods

In this work, PV solar (E5) was found to be the optimal alternative energy system for investment by the application of both fuzzy VIKOR and fuzzy TOPSIS approaches. However, the technical, economic, environmental, and social criteria showed that the ranking was changed for the fuzzy VIKOR, and occurred as follows: geothermal (E6), fossil fuels (E2), biomass (E8), wind (E4), hydrogen (E1), nuclear (E7), and hydropower (E3). On the other hand, our findings of fuzzy TOPSIS application depicted that biomass (E8), and fossil fuels (E2) followed the solar PV (E5) investment, and they were followed by geothermal (E6), wind (E4), nuclear (E7), hydrogen (E1), and hydropower (E3). Figure 3 shows the comparison of fuzzy VIKOR and TOPSIS methods based on normalized data for energy systems investment.
Figure 3 also shows the negative ideal ( f i − ) values of the entire criterion ratings of the fuzzy VIKOR approach. The value of merit function ( Q i ,   minimum ) for each alternative was calculated, using v equal to 0.5. The FNI distances of alternative energy systems were calculated, and the FNI for solar PV was found to be 0.08895, the closest value to 0.
Similarly, Equations (15) and (16) were employed to determine the fuzzy decision matrix by the fuzzy TOPSIS approach for energy systems, B the benefit criteria set was employed and Equation (17) was used to determine the maximum numerical value of (cj*) for each energy system. The distance to ideal solution was calculated for both sides of the ideal value. As seen in Figure 3, the FNI distance values were calculated and found to be 0.01368314, the closest value to 0. On the other hand, the FPI distances of alternative energy systems were also calculated by the fuzzy TOPSIS approach, and solar PV was found to be 0.986716, the most ideal value and closest to 1.
Subsequently, a comparison was carried out between our proposed methods and some existing methods proposed previously in [40,68,69,70]. The comparative results and findings are presented in Table 18. To the best of our knowledge, although some criteria were similar, the comparisons were made based on different criteria in these studies. Although multicollinearity and correlation are available to some extent, the needs and expectations of countries are different. Our ranking orders were for the important criteria considered in the Kingdom.
The Kingdom is now concentrating on evolving the renewable energy resources that were not exploited previously due to the existence of enormous oil and natural gas resources [71]. Large potential of unutilized geothermal resources is also available in Saudi Arabia in Khaybar city. The surface temperatures of the thermal springs in these provinces vary from 31 °C to 96 °C, with a flow rate of 5 to 20 L per minute. The investigation of geothermal reservoir characteristics, the volcanic flows, flow rates, heat flow, and geothermal gradients of the geothermal provinces, showed that the wet geothermal systems of the country can produce about 23–109 kWh of power. Energy generation and consumption is one of the key indicators of quality improvement of life that displays the economic and social development of countries. The mutual demands of industrialization and urbanization increase the requirements of alternative energy systems. According to the energy planning studies given in the Statistical Review of World Energy 2017, Saudi Arabia generated 330.5 billion kWh of electricity during 2016 [71]. The country prepared the largest expansion plan for electric power generation with policies to raise the power generating capacity to 120 GW by 2032. Al-sasi et al. [72] studied the state-of-the-art available tools for determining oil demand using economic models and demand strategies for various petroleum products consumed by different sectors in the Kingdom. For instance, Saudi Arabia’s natural gas reserves have been proven to be 303 trillion cubic feet, according to the investigation made in January 2017. These natural gas reserves are the fourth-largest reserves in the world behind Russia, Qatar, and Iran. The natural gas reserves of the country exist within petroleum deposits and are discovered in the same wells of the crude oil. Demirbas et al. [73] studied the anaerobic digestion of biomass using the microorganism. Biogas is obtained from organic materials of municipal solid waste (MSW). The Kingdom is rich in biomass and fuel can be produced from the bio-wastes to produce energy. Taylan and Demirbas [74] investigated the possible usage of biofuels instead of fossil fuels to produce electricity, heat, some chemicals which will propose a reproducible alternative streamlining the economic and social improvement in the Kingdom. Biofuels are significant sources which suggest numerous benefits for lessening greenhouse gas emissions and sustainable renewable energy systems. The wind energy potential of Saudi Arabia is predicted to be 400 billion kWh and the technical potential is estimated to be 120 billion kWh per year. For future energy demand of the country, the King Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable Energy suggests a further 41 GW more solar power investment, 17.6 GW nuclear power investment, and 9 GW of wind power investment until 2032.

5. Sensitivity Analysis

In this work, two approaches were used for sensitivity analysis. Initially, the sensitivity analysis was carried out using v, the weight of maximum group utility, which is generally assumed to be 0.5. However, when different values of v are tested, the investment priority of energy systems can be compared. For instance, when v is equal to 0.2, the geothermal (E6) energy investment can take priority for investment, solar PV (E5) takes the second order, fossil fuels (E2) take the third order for investment, and so on. However, when v is equal to 0.5, solar PV (E5) takes the priority for investment, geothermal (E6) energy takes the second order, fossil fuels (E2) take the third order for investment, and so on. Table 15 shows the ranking order of energy systems investment based on the defuzzified merit function Qi using different rates of v. The findings presented in Table 15 and Figure 4 show the ranking order of energy systems with the weight for the strategy of maximum group utility, and the minimum regret obtained. We determined the priority of energy systems using different values of v selected arbitrarily for v = 0.2, 0.5, 0.7, and 0.9. In general, although v is usually equal to 0.5 for calculations of merit function, it can be any value between the range of 0 to 1. Thus, the minimum regret will be achieved based on the ranking obtained in Figure 4. The fuzzy VIKOR-based ranking of energy systems is based on the ideal solution of merit function Q with v values which will be applied only for a given set of alternative criteria.
As a second approach, fuzzy Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was employed for carrying out the sensitivity analysis. During the collection of the data set and application process, fuzzy triangular numbers were used; as a rule of thumb, these data set were unified, and their averaged values were used for analysis. The output-oriented DEA model can be written as given in Equation (25):
M a x   θ + ε   ( ∑ i = 1 m s i j o − + ∑ r = 1 s s i j o + )
s . t .   ∑ j = 1 n   λ j   x i j + s i j o − = x i j o
∑ j = 1 n   λ j   y r j − s r j o + = θ   y r j o
λ   j ,   s i j o − ,   s r j o +   ≥   0 ,
where for a set of n energy systems, each energy system (decision-making unit) is identified by m inputs and s outputs, where the inputs and outputs are fuzzy [75].
i = 1, 2, 3, …, m
r = 1, 2, 3, …, s
j = 1, 2, 3, …, n.
yrj is the amount of output r produced by energy system j, yrjo is the amount of output r produced by energy system jo, (i.e., the energy system that is being assessed), xij is the amount of input i used by energy system j, xijo is the amount of input i used by energy system jo, λj is the weight given to energy system j [76].
s i j o − , s r j o + represent the slack for input i and the surplus for output r, respectively, for energy system jo. Note that ε is an arbitrarily selected small positive number added to ensure that slacks for all considered inputs and outputs are positive. In this case, the technical efficiency was achieved for each energy system if and only if, both of the following conditions were satisfied: all slacks are equal to 0, and efficiency score is 1/θ and equal to 1. In this paper, an output-oriented DEA model was developed. The idea behind incorporating DEA within the fuzzy VIKOR was to examine the extent to which each energy system can convert their inputs into the outputs. The criteria set was considered in two parts: the net present value (c7), and government support (c9) were considered as the cost criteria (inputs), and the remaining criteria set (c1, c2, c3, c4, c5, c6, and c8) were considered as the benefit criteria set (outputs). Table 19 shows the efficiency of energy systems (Ei) in a sense to evaluate the extent to which to utilize the inputs; the net present value (c7), and government support (c9) in order to get maximum outputs of power generation capacity (c1), efficiency (c2), storability (c3), safety (c4), air pollution (c5), depletable (c6), and local economic development (c8). As the cost and benefit criteria were considered, the final scores were obtained by the minimum regret of the energy systems. Table 19 presents the optimal ranking for the energy alternatives using fuzzy VIKOR over fuzzy DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis). The optimal ranking shows that solar PV (E5) takes priority for the investment, fossil fuels (E2) are the second in order, and biomass (E8) is the third most important energy system for investment. Table 19 shows the remaining energy systems’ investment order.

6. Conclusions

This paper aimed to use integrated MADM approaches, fuzzy AHP, fuzzy VIKOR, and fuzzy TOPSIS, to determine the priority of energy system investment in Saudi Arabia. Eight different energy systems—Solar PV, Geothermal, Fossil fuels, Biomass, Wind, Hydrogen, Nuclear, and Hydropower—were studied under nine perspectives, such as “power generation—capacity, efficiency, storability, safety, air pollution, depletable, net present value, enhanced local economic development, and government support for the investment”. Solar PV was identified as the most attractive energy system for investment in the Kingdom according to the experts’ opinions. On the other hand, the results of observation for a period of two years showed that the daylight in the Kingdom is 12 h 8 min and 48 s on average per day. This high daylight time is longer than many countries using solar PV systems extensively.
The works of energy systems were categorized for application areas, such as energy policy/project, selection, impact analysis, evaluation of power generation, technologies, regional planning, place selection, national planning, and method selection. They were also categorized by used methods, such as ANP, fuzzy sets, TOPSIS, WASPAS (Weighted Aggregates Sum Product Assessment), WASPAS-G, PROMETHEE, PROMETHEE II, ELECTRE, ELECTRE III, ASPID (synthesis of parameters under information deficiency), and MULTIMOORA (multi-objective optimization by a ratio analysis). This study also revealed that ANP (Analytic Network Process), AHP (Analytical Hierarchical Process), fuzzy sets and system, VIKOR (VIseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje), and PROMETHEE methods are commonly used for energy sector planning at the nationwide level. In this context, Rojas-Zerpa and Yusta [77] integrated the AHP and VIKOR methods for the assessment of electricity supply in rural and remote regions. There are many MADM approaches such as pairwise comparison matrix in multiple criteria decision making, DEA, TOPSIS [78], PROMETHEE, and fuzzy sets and system for energy technologies selection, energy project selection, energy policy and planning. Fuzzy set theory is mainly used in combination with the AHP and TOPSIS methods for the energy policy/project selection issues. Chatterjeea and Chakraborty [79] ranked and analyzed the performance of the original VIKOR method and its five variants based on two expressive examples. It was remarked that when the information in a decision problem is vague and imprecise, the fuzzy VIKOR technique must always be preferred. Hence, we integrated the fuzzy AHP, fuzzy VIKOR, and TOPSIS approaches to manage non-cooperative ideas. We used the Delphi method for data collection. The suggested approach can be effectively applied for decision-making problems. The upcoming studies suggest that similar studies can be conducted based on different multi-attribute GDM techniques, such as fuzzy PROMETHEE, and fuzzy ELECTRE, for comparative purposes of determining the location of investment and the type of energy alternatives on regional bases. Sensitivity analysis was carried out for energy system’s criteria evaluation and verification. Future studies can be carried out for site selection, project, and policy selection in Saudi Arabia.
As natural resources are used for energy generation, energy investment projects have confirmed that they are able to create substantial contributions to the economy in developing countries by providing new employment and creating new business opportunities. Energy generation is one of the most important indicators for economic growth, industrialization, and agricultural development in a country. Moreover, energy generation technologies, diversification of sources, and projects make direct and indirect contributions to economic development, social life, and provide improvements in education, manufacturing, heating, and lighting. Although Saudi Arabia has been implementing several incentives, such as government tax subsidies, price discounts, partial payment schemes for low income people, and encouraging investors for investing renewable energy sources, the country is still extensively dependent on fossil fuels. The investment in renewable energy sources is very limited and low compared to the other G20 countries.

Author Contributions

The individual contribution of the authors was as follows: O.T., R.A. and M.K. together designed research, provided extensive advice throughout the study regarding to research design, research methodology, data collection, assessment of the results and findings and revise the manuscript. A.A., F.R., and E.H.-V. helped to draft, calculation, edit, and revise the manuscript. All authors have read and approved the final manuscript.

Acknowledgments

This research was funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research (DSR) at King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, under grant no. (RG-7-135-38). The authors, therefore, acknowledge with thanks DSR technical and financial support.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. Flow chart for the energy systems selection decision procedure.
Figure 1. Flow chart for the energy systems selection decision procedure.
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Figure 2. The intersection between M1 and M2 convex fuzzy numbers.
Figure 2. The intersection between M1 and M2 convex fuzzy numbers.
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Figure 3. Energy systems investment ranking by fuzzy VIKOR and TOPSIS approaches.
Figure 3. Energy systems investment ranking by fuzzy VIKOR and TOPSIS approaches.
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Figure 4. Comparison of energy system alternatives under different minimum regret cases of v.
Figure 4. Comparison of energy system alternatives under different minimum regret cases of v.
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Table
Table 1. The criteria list used for the selection of energy systems in different countries.
Table 1. The criteria list used for the selection of energy systems in different countries.
Main CriteriaSub-Criteria
Technical CriteriaPower Generation
Active Operation Time
Efficiency
Energy System Reliability and Security
Storability
Location
Know How
R&D Capability
Environmental CriteriaSafety
Air Pollution
Noise Pollution
Land Usage
PM2.5/10
Water Pollution
Gas Emission
Economic CriteriaReturn on Investment
Initial Investment Cost
Payback Period
Total Annual Cost
Depletable
Net Present Value
Enhanced Local Economic Development
Taxes and Tariff
Economic Lifetime
Social CriteriaSocial Acceptability
Job Creation
Social Benefits
Governmental Support
Social Awareness
Social Trust & Fairness
Table
Table 2. Evaluation of fuzzy linguistic terms with fuzzy scores.
Table 2. Evaluation of fuzzy linguistic terms with fuzzy scores.
Fuzzy Linguistic TermsFuzzy Scores
Extremely Important (EI)(9, 9, 9)
Very Important (VI)(7, 8, 9)
Important (I)(6, 7, 8)
Moderately Important (MI)(5, 6, 7)
Intermediate Important (II)(4, 5, 6)
Lower Intermediate Important (LI)(3, 4, 5)
Slightly More Important (SI)(1, 2, 3)
Equally Important (EQ)(1, 1, 1)
Table
Table 3. The pairwise comparisons of criteria for energy systems assessment.
Table 3. The pairwise comparisons of criteria for energy systems assessment.
Criteriac1c2c3c4c5c6c7c8c9
c1(1,1,1)MI, SI, II, I, EQSI, EQ, 1/MILI, II, VII, I, LIVI, I, 1/IIEQ, SI, 1/SISI, 1/LI, 1/VI
c21/MI,1/SI, 1/I(1,1,1)EQ, I, 1/MIEQ, 1/SI, 1/EISI, II, MIEQ, I, VII, I, 1/VIMI, EQ, 1/SIVI, 1/LI, 1/EI
c31/I, 1/I, EQEQ,1/I, MI(1,1,1)EQ, 1/VI, 1/IIMI, SI, VII, EI, SIMI, 1/LI, 1/EILI, 1/I, SIVI, 1/I, 1/I
c41/SI, EQUATION MIEQ, SI, EIEQ, VI, II(1,1,1)I, SI, ISI, MI, IMI, EQ, 1/LII, SI, EII, 1/SI, EQ
c51/LI, 1/II, 1/VI1/SI, 1/II, 1/MI1/MI, 1/SI, 1/VI1/I, 1/SI, 1/I (1,1,1)I, MI, 1/SII, 1/SI, 1/VISI, 1/SI, 1/MILI, 1/VI, 1/EI
c61/I, 1/I, 1/LIEQ, 1/I, 1/VI1/I, 1/EI, 1/SI1/SI, 1/MI, 1/I1/I, 1/MI, SI(1,1,1)1/MI, 1/I, 1/III, 1/SI, SIII, 1/SI, 1/MI
c71/VI, 1/I, II1/I, 1/I, VI1/MI, LI, EI1/MI, EQ, LI1/I, SI, VIMI, I, I(1,1,1)II, EQ, II1/I, 1/SI, SI
c8EQ, 1/SI, SI1/MI, EQ, SI1/LI, I, 1/SI1/I, 1/SI, 1/EI1/SI, SI, MI1/II, SI, 1/SI1/II, EQ, 1/II(1,1,1)1/I, 1/SI, 1/VI
c91/SI, LI, VI1/VI, LI, EI1/VI, I, I1/I, SI, EQ1/LI, VI, EI1/II, SI, 1/MII, SI, 1/SII, SI, VI(1,1,1)
Table
Table 4. Fuzzy evaluation matrix of criteria for the numerical weights.
Table 4. Fuzzy evaluation matrix of criteria for the numerical weights.
Criteriac1c2c3c4c5c6c7c8c9
c1(1, 1, 1)(4, 5, 6)(4.33, 5, 5.66)(0.71, 1.05, 1.4)(4.66, 5.66, 6.66)(5, 6, 7)(4.37, 5.04, 5.71)(0.77, 1.16, 1.66)(0.43, 0.79, 1.15)
c2(0.17, 0.2, 0.25)(1, 1, 1)(2.38, 2.72, 3.06)(0.48, 0.53, 0.7)(3.33, 4.33, 5.33)(4.66, 5.33, 6)(4.03, 4.7, 5.38)(2.11, 2.5, 3)(2.43, 2.78, 3.14)
c3(0.18, 0.2, 0.23)(0.33, 0.37, 0.42)(1, 1, 1)(0.42, 0.44, 0.46)(4.33, 5.33, 6.33)(5.33, 6, 6.66)(1.77, 2.12, 2.48)(1.37, 2.04, 2.72)(2.41, 2.76, 3.11)
c4(0.71, 0.95, 1.41)(1.43, 1.89, 2.08)(2.17, 2.27, 2.38)(1, 1, 1)(4.33, 5.33, 6.33)(4, 5, 6)(2.06, 2.41, 2.77)(5.33, 6, 6.66)(2.44, 2.83, 3.33)
c5(0.15, 0.18, 0.21)(0.19, 0.23, 0.3)(0.16, 0.19, 0.23)(0.16, 0.19, 0.23)(1, 1, 1)(3.77, 4.5, 5.33)(2.14, 2.54, 3.04)(0.49, 0.88, 1.4)(1.07, 1.41, 1.75)
c6(0.14, 0.17, 0.20)(0.17, 0.19, 0.21)(0.15, 0.17, 0.19)(0.17, 0.2, 0.25)(0.19, 0.22, 0.27)(1, 1, 1)(0.13, 0.15, 0.17)(1.77, 2.5, 3.33)(1.49, 1.88, 2.4)
c7(0.18, 0.2, 0.23)(0.19, 0.21, 0.25)(0.4, 0.47, 0.56)(0.36, 0.41, 0.49)(0.33, 0.39, 0.47)(5.88, 6.67, 7.69)(1, 1, 1)(3.3, 3.66, 4.33)(0.48, 0.88, 1.38)
c8(0.6, 0.62, 1.3)(0.33, 0.4, 0.47)(0.37, 0.49, 0.73)(0.15, 0.17, 0.19)(0.71, 1.14, 2.04)(0.3, 0.4, 0.56)(0.23, 0.27, 0.3)(1, 1, 1)(0.18, 0.25, 0.43)
c9(0.87, 1.27, 2.33)(0.32, 0.36, 0.41)(0.32, 0.36, 0.41)(0.3, 0.35, 0.41)(0.57, 0.71, 0.93)(0.42, 0.53, 0.67)(0.72, 1.14, 2.08)(2.33, 4, 5.56)(1, 1, 1)
Table
Table 5. The fuzzy synthetic extent analysis values.
Table 5. The fuzzy synthetic extent analysis values.
CriteriaCrisp Criteria Weights
c1(25.27, 31.15, 36.24)
c2(20.59, 24.09, 27.86)
c3(17.13, 20.26, 23.41)
c4(23.48, 27.68, 31.96)
c5(9.12, 11.11, 13.5)
c6(5.2, 6.47, 8.02)
c7(12.12, 13.9, 16.4)
c8(4.58, 4.74, 7.03)
c9(6.85, 9.72, 13.81)
Table
Table 6. Fuzzy criteria weights of energy systems.
Table 6. Fuzzy criteria weights of energy systems.
CriteriaFuzzy Criteria Weights
M ˜ 1 (c1)(0.14179, 0.20889, 0.29147)
M ˜ 2 (c2)(0.11551, 0.16155, 0.22407)
M ˜ 3 (c3)(0.09614, 0.13585, 0.18829)
M ˜ 4 (c4)(0.13173, 0.18564, 0.25707)
M ˜ 5 (c5)(0.05119, 0.07452, 0.10855)
M ˜ 6 (c6)(0.02920, 0.04341, 0.06448)
M ˜ 7 (c7)(0.06799, 0.0932, 0.13188)
M ˜ 8 (c8)(0.02567, 0.03177, 0.05653)
M ˜ 9 (c9)(0.03843, 0.06517, 0.11104)
Table
Table 7. Degree possibility of convex fuzzy numbers for alternative energy systems.
Table 7. Degree possibility of convex fuzzy numbers for alternative energy systems.
V (Degree of Possibility for all Values)c1c2c3c4c5c6c7c8c9
c 1 ≥ c 2 ≥ … 111111111
c 2 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 0.63478110.7931211111
c 3 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 0.388970.7390310.5318411111
c 4 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 0.8321211111111
c 5 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 000.168370110.6847211
c 6 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 00000.299291010.54488
c 7 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 00.193190.455950.0016111111
c 8 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 00000.111030.70135010.35153
c 9 ≥ c 1 ≥ … 00000.8648900.6057101
min V00000.111030000.35153
Normalized Weight00000.240030000.75997
Table
Table 8. Fuzzy linguistic terms and corresponding fuzzy numbers.
Table 8. Fuzzy linguistic terms and corresponding fuzzy numbers.
Fuzzy Linguistic TermsAbbreviationsNumerical Values
Very Poor(VP)(0,0,1)
Poor(P)(0,1,3)
Medium Poor(MP)(1,3,5)
Fair(F)(3,5,7)
Medium Good(MG)(5,7,9)
Good(G)(7,9,10)
Very Good(VG)(9,9,10)
Table
Table 9. The criteria considered for the evaluation of energy systems.
Table 9. The criteria considered for the evaluation of energy systems.
Criteria for Energy System SelectionAbbreviations of Criteria
Power Generation Capacity (PGC)c1
Efficiency (E)c2
Storability (ST)c3
Safety (SF)c4
Air Pollution (AP)c5
Depletable (DP)c6
Net Present Value (NPV)c7
Enhanced Local Economic Development (ELED)c8
Governmental Support (GS)c9
Table
Table 10. Fuzzy relationships of energy systems with respect to criteria using fuzzy linguistic terms.
Table 10. Fuzzy relationships of energy systems with respect to criteria using fuzzy linguistic terms.
Decision Makers (DMs)Alternative Energy Systemsc1c2c3c4c5c6c7c8c9
DM # 1E1FMPVPGFVGFFG
E2GMGVGFVPVPPVGVG
E3PMPFGVPPMPVGP
E4FFPVGVGVPVGGVG
E5GGMPVGVGVGVGGVG
E6FFFGVGVPGGMP
E7VGVGPPVPPVPVGVG
E8GGGVGVGGVGVGVG
DM # 2E1MPPMGGMGFFMPMG
E2VGGVGMPVPMGMPFG
E3MPPFMGGFMPMGG
E4FFPVGVGVPMPMGVG
E5FFMPVGVGPMPGVG
E6FFMPMGGPMGGG
E7VGVGMPVPPVPPMPG
E8FFGGMPFFGVG
DM # 3E1MPGGGGFFFG
E2GGGPVPVPFFG
E3MPVPFVGVGVGVGFG
E4MPFFVGVGVGVGFG
E5MPGGVGVGVGVGMGG
E6VGGGVPVPVGVPFF
E7VGVGFVPMPMPVPGF
E8PFVPMPVPPVGVPP
Table
Table 11. Aggregated fuzzy linguistic assessments of pairwise comparison.
Table 11. Aggregated fuzzy linguistic assessments of pairwise comparison.
uijC1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9
E1(1.667, 3.667, 5.667)(2.667, 4.333, 6)(4, 5.333, 6.67)(7, 9, 10)(5, 7, 8.667)(5.33, 6, 8)(3, 5, 7)(2.33, 4.33, 6.33)(6.33, 8.33, 9.67)
E2(7.667, 9, 10)(6.333, 8.333, 9.667)(8.33, 9, 10)(1.33, 3, 5)(0, 0, 1)(1.67, 2.333, 3.667)(1.333, 3, 5)(5, 6.33, 8)(7.67, 9, 10)
E3(0.667, 2.33, 4.33)(0.33, 1.33, 3)(3, 5, 7)(7, 8.33, 9.67)(5.333, 6, 7)(4, 5, 6.67)(3.667, 5, 6.667)(5.67, 7, 8.67)(4.67, 6.33, 7.67)
E4(2.33, 4.33, 6.33)(3, 5, 7)(1, 2.33, 4.33)(9, 9, 10)(9, 9, 10)(3, 3, 4)(6.333, 7, 8.333)(5, 7, 8.67)(8.33, 9, 10)
E5(3.667, 5.667, 7.33)(5,667, 7.667, 9)(3, 5, 6.67)(9, 9, 10)(9, 9, 10)(6, 6.33, 7.67)(6.333, 7, 8.333)(6.33, 8.33, 9.67)(8.33, 9, 10)
E6(5, 6.333, 8)(4.333, 6.333, 8)(3.67, 5.67, 7.33)(4, 5.33, 6.67)(5.333, 6, 7)(3, 3.33, 4.67)(4, 5.333, 6.667)(5.67, 7.67, 9)(3.67, 5.67, 7.33)
E7(9, 9, 10)(9, 9, 10)(1.33, 3, 5)(0, 0.33, 1.67)(0.333, 1.333, 3)(0.33, 1.33, 3)(0, 0.333, 1.667)(5.67, 7, 8.33)(6.33, 7.67, 9)
E8(3.33, 5, 6.667)(4.333, 6.333, 8)(4.67, 6, 7)(5.67, 7, 8.33)(3.333, 4, 5.333)(3.33, 5, 6.67)(7, 7.667, 9)(5.33, 6, 7)(6, 6.33, 7.67)
f*(9, 9, 10)(9, 9, 10)(8.33, 9, 10)(9, 9, 10)(9, 9, 10)(6, 6.33, 7.67)(7, 7.667, 9)(6.33, 8.33, 9.67)(8.33, 9, 10)
f − (0.667, 2.33, 4.33)(0.33, 1.33, 3)(1, 2.33, 4.33)(0, 0.33, 1.67)(0, 0, 1)(0.33, 1.33, 3)(0, 0.333, 1.667)(2.33, 4.33, 6.33)(3.67, 5.67, 7.33)
W(0.142, 0.209, 0.291)(0.116, 0.162, 0.224)(0.096, 0.136, 0.188)(0.132, 0.186, 0.257)(0.051, 0.075, 0.109)(0.029, 0.043, 0.065)(0.068, 0.093, 0.132)(0.026, 0.032, 0.057)(0.038, 0.065, 0.111)
Table
Table 12. Fuzzy evaluation of experts’ aggregated opinions for fuzzy ratings of the alternatives with respect to the criteria.
Table 12. Fuzzy evaluation of experts’ aggregated opinions for fuzzy ratings of the alternatives with respect to the criteria.
uijc1c2c3c4c5c6c7c8c9
E1(0.125, 0.167, 0.223)(0.084, 0.098, 0.128)(0.057, 0.075, 0.111)(0.029, 0, 0)(0.023, 0.017, 0.016)(0.005, 0, 0)(0.039, 0.034, 0.036)(0.026, 0.032, 0.057)(0.016, 0.013, 0.014)
E2(0.023, 0, 0)(0.036, 0.014, 0.011)(0, 0, 0)(0.112, 0.129, 0.154)(0.051, 0.075, 0.109)(0.022, 0.035, 0.056)(0.055, 0.059, 0.072)(0.009, 0.016, 0.028)(0.005, 0, 0)
E3(0.142, 0.209, 0.291)(0.116, 0.162, 0.224)(0.07, 0.082, 0.1)(0.029, 0.014, 0.01)(0.021, 0.025, 0.036)(0.01, 0.012, 0.017)(0.032, 0.034, 0.042)(0.004, 0.011, 0.017)(0.03, 0.051, 0.097)
E4(0.113, 0.146, 0.189)(0.08, 0.084), 0.096)(0.096, 0.136, 0.188)(0, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0)(0.015, 0.029, 0.052)(0.006, 0.008, 0.012)(0.009, 0.011, 0.017)(0, 0, 0)
E5(0.091, 0.104, 0.137)(0.044, 0.028, 0.032)(0.07, 0.082, 0.111)(0, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0.004)(0.006, 0.008, 0.012)(0, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0)
E6(0.068, 0.084, 0.103)(0.062, 0.056, 0.064)(0.061, 0.068, 0.089)(0.073, 0.079, 0.103)(0.021, 0.025, 0.036)(0.015, 0.026, 0.043)(0.029, 0.03, 0.042)(0.004, 0.005, 0.011)(0.038, 0.065, 0.111)
E7(0, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0)(0.092, 0.122, 0.166)(0.132, 0.186, 0.257)(0.049, 0.063, 0.084)(0.029. 0.043, 0.064)(0.068, 0.093, 0.132)(0.004, 0.011, 0.023)(0.016, 0.026, 0.042)
E8(0.096, 0.125, 0.171)(0.062, 0.056, 0.064)(0.048, 0.061, 0.1)(0.049, 0.043, 0.051)(0.032, 0.041, 0.056)(0.014, 0.012, 0.017)(0, 0, 0)(0.006, 0.019, 0.045)(0.019, 0.052, 0.097)
Table
Table 13. The TFNs (Triangular fuzzy numbers) to measure alternatives.
Table 13. The TFNs (Triangular fuzzy numbers) to measure alternatives.
Alternative Energy SystemsSiRi
E1, Hydrogen(0.404, 0.435, 0.584)(0.125, 0.167, 0.223)
E2, Fossil fuels(0.313, 0.327, 0.430)(0.112, 0.129, 0.154)
E3, Hydropower(0.455, 0.599, 0.835)(0.142, 0.209, 0.291)
E4, Wind(0.320, 0.414, 0.553)(0.113, 0.146, 0.189)
E5, Solar PV(0.212, 0.223, 0.296)(0.091, 0.104, 0.137)
E6, Geothermal0.373, 0.437, 0.602)(0.073, 0.084, 0.111)
E7, Nuclear(0.391, 0.545, 0.768)(0.132, 0.186, 0.257)
E8, Biomass(0.327, 0.409, 0.602)(0.096, 0.125, 0.171)
Table
Table 14. The fuzzy values for the grading of alternatives.
Table 14. The fuzzy values for the grading of alternatives.
S*(0.2116, 0.22252, 0.29622)
S-(0.4545, 0.59927, 0.83497)
R*(0.0732, 0.08356, 0.11104)
R-(0.1418, 0.20889, 0.29147)
Table
Table 15. The ranking order of energy systems of fuzzy VIKOR using the weight of group utility.
Table 15. The ranking order of energy systems of fuzzy VIKOR using the weight of group utility.
Alternative Energy SystemsDefuzzification of Merit Function (Qi)Ranking Order of Energy Systems
v = 0.2v = 0.5v = 0.7v = 0.9
E1, Hydrogen0.65806310.635520.7304280.60545656, 6, 7, 6
E2, Fossil fuels0.35824360.334810.42515620.30357323, 3, 3, 2
E3, Hydropower11118, 8, 8, 8
E4, Wind0.50089260.49810.44942030.49438665, 5, 4, 4
E5, Solar PV0.14232390.088950.05973230.01779052, 1, 1, 1
E6, Geothermal0.11701050.292530.46451390.52654731, 2, 5, 5
E7, Nuclear0.82385150.829520.71534960.83707397, 7, 6, 7
E8, Biomass0.36841890.419340.41186160.4872434, 4, 2, 3
Table
Table 16. The weighted fuzzy decision matrix of energy systems regarding the criteria.
Table 16. The weighted fuzzy decision matrix of energy systems regarding the criteria.
Vijc1c2...c8c9
E1(0.024, 0.077, 0.165)(0.031, 0.07, 0.134) (0.006, 0.014, 0.036)(0.024, 0.054, 0.107)
E2(0.109, 0.188, 0.291)(0.073, 0.135, 0.217) (0.013, 0.02, 0.046)(0.029, 0.059, 0.111)
E3(0.010, 0.050, 0.13)(0.004, 0.022, 0.069)…(0.015, 0.023, 0.051)(0.018, 0.043, 0.088)
E4(0.033, 0.09, 0.184)(0.035, 0.081, 0.157) (0.013, 0.022, 0.049)(0.032, 0.059, 0.111)
E5(0.052, 0.118, 0.213)(0.066, 0.124, 0.202) (0.016, 0.027, 0.055)(0.032, 0.059, 0.111)
E6(0.079, 0.147, 0.259)(0.056, 0.114, 0.199)…(0.016, 0.027, 0.057)(0.016, 0.041, 0.09)
E7(0.128, 0.188, 0.291)(0.104, 0.146, 0.224) (0.015, 0.022, 0.047)(0.024, 0.05, 0.1)
E8(0.053, 0.116, 0.215)(0.056, 0.114, 0.199) (0.015, 0.021, 0.044)(0.025, 0.046, 0.095)
Table
Table 17. The closeness coefficient of energy systems for investment priority by the fuzzy TOPSIS method.
Table 17. The closeness coefficient of energy systems for investment priority by the fuzzy TOPSIS method.
Energy Systems d i * d i − d i * + d i − CCi
E123.38540.226323.61170.00958271
E223.23390.304423.53820.01253043
E323.85030.185924.03620.0077351
E423.20820.24923.45720.01061442
E522.56270.31322.87580.01368314
E622.98320.274723.25780.01180911
E723.98570.249424.23510.0102896
E822.8530.284323.13730.01289718
Table
Table 18. Comparison of energy system alternatives under different available methods.
Table 18. Comparison of energy system alternatives under different available methods.
AuthorsRanking OrderOptimal Ranking
Rani et al. [49]Wind, solar, biomass, nuclear, combined heat and power, hydroelectric, geothermal energyWind
Mousavi et al. [69]Wind, solar, combine heat and power, biomass, hydroelectric, nuclear, geothermal energyWind
Kaya and Kahraman [70]Wind, biomass, solar, combined heat and power, hydroelectric, nuclear, geothermal energyWind
Kaya and Kahraman [40]Wind, solar, biomass, combined heat and power, hydroelectric, nuclear, geothermal energyWind
Our proposed method by fuzzy VIKORSolar PV, geothermal, fossil fuels, biomass, wind, hydrogen, nuclear, hydropowerSolar PV
Our proposed method by fuzzy TOPSISSolar PV, biomass, fossil fuels, geothermal, wind, nuclear, hydrogen, hydropowerSolar PV
Table
Table 19. The ranking of energy systems using fuzzy VIKOR and Data Envelopment Analysis.
Table 19. The ranking of energy systems using fuzzy VIKOR and Data Envelopment Analysis.
Energy SystemsFuzzy VIKOR ScoresEfficiency Scores by DEAFinal Score (fuzzy VIKOR /fuzzy DEA)Optimal Ranking
Hydrogen (E1)0.6360.8390.7586
Fossil fuels (E2)0.33510.3352
Hydropower (E3)10.4992.0048
Wind (E4)0.49810.4985
Solar PV (E5)0.0890.7660.1161
Geothermal (E6)0.2930.6710.4374
Nuclear (E7)0.830.8960.9267
Biomass (E8)0.4210.4203

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Taylan, O.; Alamoudi, R.; Kabli, M.; AlJifri, A.; Ramzi, F.; Herrera-Viedma, E. Assessment of Energy Systems Using Extended Fuzzy AHP, Fuzzy VIKOR, and TOPSIS Approaches to Manage Non-Cooperative Opinions. Sustainability 2020, 12, 2745. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072745

AMA Style

Taylan O, Alamoudi R, Kabli M, AlJifri A, Ramzi F, Herrera-Viedma E. Assessment of Energy Systems Using Extended Fuzzy AHP, Fuzzy VIKOR, and TOPSIS Approaches to Manage Non-Cooperative Opinions. Sustainability. 2020; 12(7):2745. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072745

Chicago/Turabian Style

Taylan, Osman, Rami Alamoudi, Mohammad Kabli, Alawi AlJifri, Fares Ramzi, and Enrique Herrera-Viedma. 2020. "Assessment of Energy Systems Using Extended Fuzzy AHP, Fuzzy VIKOR, and TOPSIS Approaches to Manage Non-Cooperative Opinions" Sustainability 12, no. 7: 2745. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072745

APA Style

Taylan, O., Alamoudi, R., Kabli, M., AlJifri, A., Ramzi, F., & Herrera-Viedma, E. (2020). Assessment of Energy Systems Using Extended Fuzzy AHP, Fuzzy VIKOR, and TOPSIS Approaches to Manage Non-Cooperative Opinions. Sustainability, 12(7), 2745. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072745

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