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A Neural Network-Based Model with Conditional-Deactivation Structure for Autonomous Vehicle Motivation Prediction at Intersections

Published: 17 January 2024 Publication History

Abstract

Autonomous driving is now a hot research topic due to its great significance in improving traffic safety. Among the scenarios involved in autonomous driving, the intersection scenario is undoubtedly one of the most challenging scenarios due to its complex traffic patterns. Therefore, predicting the motivation of vehicles at intersections can improve traffic safety and efficiency. Most current researches focused on motivation prediction modelling in ideal resource environments, but vehicle information may be missing due to environment factors, which may cause the model to work abnormally. To address this shortcoming, this study analyses the characteristics of vehicle motions at intersections, segments vehicle motion processes, and proposes a data compensation method based on the segmented data to simulate the vehicle data missing condition. Based on the characteristics of the data, a neural network model with conditional-deactivation structure is proposed, which is trained and then dynamic real-time simulation and testing are carried out using the simulation environment composed of CARLA and SUMO to verify the effectiveness of the model. The test results show that the proposed model can work properly in certain scenarios, and can reach up to 97.7% prediction accuracy and 2.3s prospective time, better than some existing works. In summary, the proposed model can provide a certain research basis for the motivation prediction of autonomous vehicles.

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    PCCNT '23: Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Power, Communication, Computing and Networking Technologies
    September 2023
    552 pages
    ISBN:9781450399951
    DOI:10.1145/3630138
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 17 January 2024

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    Author Tags

    1. Motivation prediction
    2. intersection scenario
    3. neural network
    4. variable structure

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    • Research-article
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    Funding Sources

    • National Natural Science Foundation of China
    • National Key R&D Program of China

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    PCCNT 2023

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