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LSR-IGRU: Stock Trend Prediction Based on Long Short-Term Relationships and Improved GRU

Published: 21 October 2024 Publication History

Abstract

Stock price prediction is a challenging problem in the field of finance and receives widespread attention. In recent years, with the rapid development of technologies such as deep learning and graph neural networks, more research methods have begun to focus on exploring the interrelationships between stocks. However, existing methods mostly focus on the short-term dynamic relationships of stocks and directly integrating relationship information with temporal information. They often overlook the complex nonlinear dynamic characteristics and potential higher-order interaction relationships among stocks in the stock market. Therefore, we propose a stock price trend prediction model named LSR-IGRU in this paper, which is based on long short-term stock relationships and an improved GRU input. Firstly, we construct a long short-term relationship matrix between stocks, where secondary industry information is employed for the first time to capture long-term relationships of stocks, and overnight price information is utilized to establish short-term relationships. Next, we improve the inputs of the GRU model at each step, enabling the model to more effectively integrate temporal information and long short-term relationship information, thereby significantly improving the accuracy of predicting stock trend changes. Finally, through extensive experiments on multiple datasets from stock markets in China and the United States, we validate the superiority of the proposed LSR-IGRU model over the current state-of-the-art baseline models. We also apply the proposed model to the algorithmic trading system of a financial company, achieving significantly higher cumulative portfolio returns compared to other baseline methods. Our sources are released at https://github.com/ZP1481616577/Baselines\_LSR-IGRU.

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  • (2025)LLM-Augmented Linear Transformer–CNN for Enhanced Stock Price PredictionMathematics10.3390/math1303048713:3(487)Online publication date: 31-Jan-2025

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    CIKM '24: Proceedings of the 33rd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
    October 2024
    5705 pages
    ISBN:9798400704369
    DOI:10.1145/3627673
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    Published: 21 October 2024

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    Author Tags

    1. graph neural networks
    2. improved gru input
    3. long short-term relationship
    4. stock price prediction

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    • (2025)LLM-Augmented Linear Transformer–CNN for Enhanced Stock Price PredictionMathematics10.3390/math1303048713:3(487)Online publication date: 31-Jan-2025

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