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Revenue Prediction for Malaysian Federal Government Using Machine Learning Technique

Published: 06 June 2022 Publication History

Abstract

Every country has its own federal government. Each federal government will have its own financial account which consist of revenue and expenditure. Focusing on the revenue, it has many sources that includes three main categories. They are tax revenue, non-tax revenue and non-revenue receipts. The revenue will then be used for operational and development purposes. Currently in Malaysia, the federal government revenue is only using forecasting. This can cause large forecasting error. Though it can be overcome using predictive analytics. Since there are many machine learning methods available, the appropriate methods can be identified to do the prediction. Based on previous research, feed forward neural network (FFNN), random forest and linear regression seems to be the most suitable. After conducting several experiments, it is found that FFNN achieved highest accuracy, followed by random forest. As for linear regression, it does not achieve good accuracy, thus it is considered as a not suitable method to be used on the federal government revenue dataset.

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Cited By

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  • (2024)Learning Model for Analytical Prediction of Tax Revenues from Tax Invoice InformationRevista Científica Multidisciplinar Núcleo do Conhecimento10.32749/nucleodoconhecimento.com.br/computer-engineering/learning-model(05-26)Online publication date: 10-Jul-2024
  • (2023)An Enhanced Predictive Analytics Model for Tax-Based OperationsInternational Journal on Perceptive and Cognitive Computing10.31436/ijpcc.v9i1.3439:1(44-49)Online publication date: 28-Jan-2023

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cover image ACM Other conferences
ICSCA '22: Proceedings of the 2022 11th International Conference on Software and Computer Applications
February 2022
224 pages
ISBN:9781450385770
DOI:10.1145/3524304
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Publication History

Published: 06 June 2022

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Author Tags

  1. feed forward neural network
  2. supervised learning

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  • Research-article
  • Research
  • Refereed limited

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  • Yayasan Universiti Teknologi Petronas (YUTP)

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ICSCA 2022

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View all
  • (2024)Learning Model for Analytical Prediction of Tax Revenues from Tax Invoice InformationRevista Científica Multidisciplinar Núcleo do Conhecimento10.32749/nucleodoconhecimento.com.br/computer-engineering/learning-model(05-26)Online publication date: 10-Jul-2024
  • (2023)An Enhanced Predictive Analytics Model for Tax-Based OperationsInternational Journal on Perceptive and Cognitive Computing10.31436/ijpcc.v9i1.3439:1(44-49)Online publication date: 28-Jan-2023

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