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Online Few-Shot Time Series Classification for Aftershock Detection

Published: 04 August 2023 Publication History

Abstract

Seismic monitoring systems sift through seismograms in real-time, searching for target events, such as underground explosions. In this monitoring system, a burst of aftershocks (minor earthquakes occur after a major earthquake over days or even years) can be a source of confounding signals. Such a burst of aftershock signals can overload the human analysts of the monitoring system. To alleviate this burden at the onset of a sequence of events (e.g., aftershocks), a human analyst can label the first few of these events and start an online classifier to filter out subsequent aftershock events. We propose an online few-shot classification model FewSig for time series data for the above use case. The framework of FewSig consists of a selective model to identify the high-confidence positive events which are used for updating the models and a general classifier to label the remaining events. Our specific technique uses a %two-level decision tree selective model based on sliding DTW distance and a general classifier model based on distance metric learning with Neighborhood Component Analysis (NCA). The algorithm demonstrates surprising robustness when tested on univariate datasets from the UEA/UCR archive. Furthermore, we show two real-world earthquake events where the FewSig reduces the human effort in monitoring applications by filtering out the aftershock events.

Supplementary Material

MP4 File (adfp525-2min-promo.mp4)
When a large earthquake occurs, it unleashes widespread devastation and disrupts our crucial seismic monitoring system. The current system relies heavily on human analysts to verify algorithm-generated results. However, in the aftermath of a major earthquake, the numerous aftershocks can overwhelm analysts, making it challenging for them to keep pace with the workload. This vulnerability jeopardizes the ability to detect critical signals, including potential nuclear tests, within the crucial timeframe. Fortunately, Our team has developed an innovative online few-shot time series classification model named Fewsig. It learns the signature from the initial five aftershocks, and can accurately identify the subsequent aftershocks of the current earthquake in real-time. Analysts in the monitoring system can use Fewsig to filter out unimportant aftershocks and focus on more critical signals.

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cover image ACM Conferences
KDD '23: Proceedings of the 29th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
August 2023
5996 pages
ISBN:9798400701030
DOI:10.1145/3580305
Publication rights licensed to ACM. ACM acknowledges that this contribution was authored or co-authored by an employee, contractor or affiliate of the United States government. As such, the Government retains a nonexclusive, royalty-free right to publish or reproduce this article, or to allow others to do so, for Government purposes only.

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Published: 04 August 2023

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Author Tags

  1. aftershock
  2. earthquake
  3. few-shot learning
  4. online learning
  5. seismic monitoring
  6. time series classification

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