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Application of Stochastic Differential Equation in Atmospheric Temperature Prediction

Published: 10 September 2022 Publication History

Abstract

Stochastic differential equations are widely used in atmospheric temperature prediction. This paper based on the established stochastic differential logistic model of global average temperature, it takes Euler's numerical model method to estimate the parameter values and analyze, evaluate the model fitting. The prediction efficiency of the model is determined thereby. Besides, the global average temperature for the next few years is predicted as stated in this paper. Finally, by analyzing the main research variable of global average temperature - environmental capacity, it shows that that if human beings do not get controlled, the global average temperature will continue to increase.

References

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Mingming Xu, Desheng Tian. 2021. A Stochastic Differential Equation Model of Air Temperature. Journal of Hubei University of Technology, 36(05): 112-116.
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Blane Hollingsworth. Stochastic differential equations: a dynamical systems approach. Harbin Institute of Technology Press, 2021.
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Sili Wang. 2017. Parameter estimation of several types of random differential equations. Nanjing University of Technology.
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Zhiqiang Zhang. 2019. Numerical solution of a class of fractional stochastic differential equations and its application. Henan University.
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Hong Wang. 2009. Application of Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations in Reservoir Flood Regulation. Jilin University.
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Juan Li. 2018. The stability of the random differential equation. The University of Science and Technology of China.
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Dandan Hu. 2017. Logistic distribution parameters under several data types of the approximate large likelihood estimation of two parameters. Shanghai Normal University.
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Xinrui Cai, Lijin Wang. 2017. Several parameter estimation methods for stochastic differential equations. Journal of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 34(05): 529-537.
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Xiaohua Hu. 2011. Logistic curve parameter estimation and application. Mathematical theory and application, 12 (4): 26-50.
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Jianqing Zhai, Tanlong Dai, Guofu Wang. 2021. Global climate characteristics and major weather and climate events in 2020.Meteorology, v. 47; No. 556(04): 471-477.

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  1. Application of Stochastic Differential Equation in Atmospheric Temperature Prediction

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    ICoMS '22: Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics
    June 2022
    137 pages
    ISBN:9781450396233
    DOI:10.1145/3545839
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 10 September 2022

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    Author Tags

    1. Environmental capacity
    2. Model fitting
    3. Numerical simulation
    4. Stochastic differential equation

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