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The Synergy of Simulation and Time Series Forecasting for Live Performance Testing of Smart Buildings

Published: 22 February 2020 Publication History

Abstract

Differences in requirements for reliability in buildings imply the different needs for calculation of expected building behaviour. In this paper we examine four techniques for calculating expected behaviour of buildings. Two of them are simulation techniques, namely, a white box EnergyPlus model and a æ static tool as per the requirements of the Danish government. The other two are machine learning techniques, namely an ARIMA model, and an long short-term memory artificial recurrent neural network, used in deep learning. We compare and contrast these four techniques based on their accuracy of forecast, as well as execution time to forecast a new data point. Furthermore, we provide an algorithm for selection of forecasting technique based on terms such as availability, accuracy, and execution time requirements, to facilitate real time threshold generation in light of building performance testing.

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    iiWAS2019: Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Information Integration and Web-based Applications & Services
    December 2019
    709 pages
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    • JKU: Johannes Kepler Universität Linz
    • @WAS: International Organization of Information Integration and Web-based Applications and Services

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    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 22 February 2020

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    Author Tags

    1. Real-time performance evaluation
    2. deep learning
    3. performance testing
    4. smart buildings
    5. threshold discovery

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