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Machine Learning Technique in Time Series Prediction of Gross Domestic Product

Published: 28 September 2017 Publication History

Abstract

Artificial intelligence is gaining ground the last years in many scientific sectors with the development of new machine learning techniques. In this research, a machine learning methodology is proposed in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) time series forecasting. Artificial Neural Networks are implemented in order to develop forecasting models for predicting the Gross Domestic Product. A Feedforward Multilayer Perceptron (FFMLP) was implemented since it is considered as the most suitable in times series forecasting. In order to develop the optimal forecasting model, several network topologies were examined by testing different transfer functions and also different number of neurons in the hidden layers. The results have shown a very precise prediction accuracy regarding the levels of Gross Domestic Product. The proposed technique based on machine learning can be very helpful in public and financial management.

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Cited By

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  • (2023)The Contribution of Deep Learning Models: Application of LSTM to Predict the Moroccan GDP Growth Using Drought IndexesInternational Conference on Advanced Intelligent Systems for Sustainable Development10.1007/978-3-031-26384-2_25(284-294)Online publication date: 10-Jun-2023
  • (2022)Can LSTM Model Predict the Moroccan GDP Growth Using Health Expenditure Features?Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Emerging Technologies and Intelligent Systems10.1007/978-3-031-20429-6_61(680-689)Online publication date: 13-Dec-2022
  • (2019)Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Neural Networks in Energy Appliances Prediction2019 Panhellenic Conference on Electronics & Telecommunications (PACET)10.1109/PACET48583.2019.8956252(1-5)Online publication date: Nov-2019
  • Show More Cited By

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Information

Published In

cover image ACM Other conferences
PCI '17: Proceedings of the 21st Pan-Hellenic Conference on Informatics
September 2017
322 pages
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

In-Cooperation

  • Greek Com Soc: Greek Computer Society
  • University of Thessaly: University of Thessaly, Volos, Greece

Publisher

Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 28 September 2017

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Author Tags

  1. Artificial Intelligence
  2. Economic Development
  3. Gross Domestic Product
  4. Machine Learning
  5. Neural Networks
  6. Public Administration

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  • Short-paper
  • Research
  • Refereed limited

Conference

PCI 2017
PCI 2017: 21st PAN-HELLENIC CONFERENCE ON INFORMATICS
September 28 - 30, 2017
Larissa, Greece

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Overall Acceptance Rate 190 of 390 submissions, 49%

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Cited By

View all
  • (2023)The Contribution of Deep Learning Models: Application of LSTM to Predict the Moroccan GDP Growth Using Drought IndexesInternational Conference on Advanced Intelligent Systems for Sustainable Development10.1007/978-3-031-26384-2_25(284-294)Online publication date: 10-Jun-2023
  • (2022)Can LSTM Model Predict the Moroccan GDP Growth Using Health Expenditure Features?Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Emerging Technologies and Intelligent Systems10.1007/978-3-031-20429-6_61(680-689)Online publication date: 13-Dec-2022
  • (2019)Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Neural Networks in Energy Appliances Prediction2019 Panhellenic Conference on Electronics & Telecommunications (PACET)10.1109/PACET48583.2019.8956252(1-5)Online publication date: Nov-2019
  • (2018)Multilayer Feed Forward Models in Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Meteorological Data in Public ManagementWater Resources Management10.1007/s11269-018-2126-y32:15(5041-5052)Online publication date: 13-Nov-2018
  • (2018)Unemployment Prediction in UK by Using a Feedforward Multilayer PerceptronOperational Research in the Digital Era – ICT Challenges10.1007/978-3-319-95666-4_5(65-74)Online publication date: 28-Sep-2018
  • (2018)Final Energy Consumption Forecasting by Applying Artificial Intelligence ModelsOperational Research in the Digital Era – ICT Challenges10.1007/978-3-319-95666-4_1(1-10)Online publication date: 28-Sep-2018

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