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Opportunities for personalization in modeling students as Bayesian learners

Published: 13 March 2017 Publication History

Abstract

The following paper is a proof-of-concept demonstration of a novel Bayesian framework for making inferences about individual students and the context in which they are learning. It has implications for both efforts to automate personalized instruction and to probabilistically model educational context. By modelling students as Bayesian learners, individuals who weigh their prior belief against current circumstantial data to reach conclusions, it becomes possible to both generate estimates of performance and the impact of the educational environment in probabilistic terms. This framework is tested through a Bayesian algorithm that can be used to characterize student prior knowledge in course material and predict student performance. This is demonstrated using both simulated data. The algorithm generates estimates that behave qualitatively as expected on simulated data and predict student performance substantially better than chance. A discussion of the results and the conceptual benefits of the framework follow.

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      LAK '17: Proceedings of the Seventh International Learning Analytics & Knowledge Conference
      March 2017
      631 pages
      ISBN:9781450348706
      DOI:10.1145/3027385
      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      Published: 13 March 2017

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      Author Tags

      1. Bayes
      2. context modelling
      3. individualization
      4. personalization

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      LAK '17
      LAK '17: 7th International Learning Analytics and Knowledge Conference
      March 13 - 17, 2017
      British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada

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      LAK '17 Paper Acceptance Rate 36 of 114 submissions, 32%;
      Overall Acceptance Rate 236 of 782 submissions, 30%

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