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Who You Are or What You Do: Comparing the Predictive Power of Demographics vs. Activity Patterns in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs)

Published: 14 March 2015 Publication History

Abstract

Demographics factors have been used successfully as predictors of student success in traditional higher education systems, but their relationship to achievement in MOOC environments has been largely untested. In this work we explore the predictive power of user demographics compared to learner interaction trace data generated by students in two MOOCs. We show that demographic information offers minimal predictive power compared to activity models, even when compared to models created very early on in the course before substantial interaction data has accrued.

References

[1]
S. Jayaprakash, E. Moody, E. Lauría, J. Regan and J. Baron, "Early Alert of Academically At-Risk Students: An Open Source Analytics Initiative," Journal of Learning Analytics, vol. 1, no. 1, 2014.
[2]
M. Sharkey, "Academic analytics landscape at the University of Phoenix," in 1st International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge (LAK11), Banff, AB, 2011.
[3]
L. Macfadyen and S. Dawson, "Mining LMS data to develop an "early warning system" for educators: A proof of concept," Computers & Education, vol. 54, no. 2, pp. 588--599, 2010.
[4]
C. Brooks, C. Thompson and S. Teasley, "A Time Series Interaction Analysis Method for Building Predictive Models of Learners using Log Data," in 5th International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge 2015 (LAK15), Poughkeepsie, NY, 2015.

Cited By

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  • (2024)The Digital Fingerprint of Learner Behavior: Empirical Evidence for Individuality in Learning Using Deep LearningComputers and Education: Artificial Intelligence10.1016/j.caeai.2024.100322(100322)Online publication date: Oct-2024
  • (2023)Early prediction of student performance in CS1 programming coursesPeerJ Computer Science10.7717/peerj-cs.16559(e1655)Online publication date: 31-Oct-2023
  • (2023)Online learning for WHO priority diseases with pandemic potential: evidence from existing courses and preparing for Disease XArchives of Public Health10.1186/s13690-023-01080-981:1Online publication date: 21-Apr-2023
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  1. Who You Are or What You Do: Comparing the Predictive Power of Demographics vs. Activity Patterns in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs)

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    Information & Contributors

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    Published In

    cover image ACM Conferences
    L@S '15: Proceedings of the Second (2015) ACM Conference on Learning @ Scale
    March 2015
    438 pages
    ISBN:9781450334112
    DOI:10.1145/2724660
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

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    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 14 March 2015

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    Author Tags

    1. activity
    2. demographics
    3. interaction data mining
    4. learning analytics
    5. mooc
    6. predictive modeling
    7. student success

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    • Work in progress

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    L@S 2015
    Sponsor:
    L@S 2015: Second (2015) ACM Conference on Learning @ Scale
    March 14 - 18, 2015
    BC, Vancouver, Canada

    Acceptance Rates

    L@S '15 Paper Acceptance Rate 23 of 90 submissions, 26%;
    Overall Acceptance Rate 117 of 440 submissions, 27%

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    Cited By

    View all
    • (2024)The Digital Fingerprint of Learner Behavior: Empirical Evidence for Individuality in Learning Using Deep LearningComputers and Education: Artificial Intelligence10.1016/j.caeai.2024.100322(100322)Online publication date: Oct-2024
    • (2023)Early prediction of student performance in CS1 programming coursesPeerJ Computer Science10.7717/peerj-cs.16559(e1655)Online publication date: 31-Oct-2023
    • (2023)Online learning for WHO priority diseases with pandemic potential: evidence from existing courses and preparing for Disease XArchives of Public Health10.1186/s13690-023-01080-981:1Online publication date: 21-Apr-2023
    • (2023) The effect of learning strategies adopted in K12 schools on student learning in massive open online courses Journal of Computer Assisted Learning10.1111/jcal.1293240:3(990-1005)Online publication date: 28-Dec-2023
    • (2023)Stay or Leave? Exploring Student Factors Associated with Dropout Patterns in Massive Open Online Courses2023 IEEE International Conference on Advanced Learning Technologies (ICALT)10.1109/ICALT58122.2023.00013(26-30)Online publication date: Jul-2023
    • (2022)An Examination of Unofficial Course Reviews in a Graduate Program at ScaleProceedings of the Ninth ACM Conference on Learning @ Scale10.1145/3491140.3528330(289-293)Online publication date: 1-Jun-2022
    • (2022)How COVID-19 Affected Computer Science MOOC Learner Behavior and Achievements: A Demographic StudyProceedings of the Ninth ACM Conference on Learning @ Scale10.1145/3491140.3528328(345-349)Online publication date: 1-Jun-2022
    • (2022)Algorithms for the Development of Deep Learning Models for Classification and Prediction of Learner Behaviour in MOOCsArtificial Intelligence for Data Science in Theory and Practice10.1007/978-3-030-92245-0_3(41-73)Online publication date: 2022
    • (2021)Video Consumption with Mobile Applications in a Global Enterprise MOOC ContextInnovations in Learning and Technology for the Workplace and Higher Education10.1007/978-3-030-90677-1_5(49-60)Online publication date: 13-Nov-2021
    • (2021)Applying Machine Learning to Predict Whether Learners Will Start a MOOC After Initial RegistrationArtificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations. AIAI 2021 IFIP WG 12.5 International Workshops10.1007/978-3-030-79157-5_38(466-475)Online publication date: 22-Jun-2021
    • Show More Cited By

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