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An integrated human decision making model for evacuation scenarios under a BDI framework

Published: 05 November 2010 Publication History

Abstract

An integrated Belief-Desire-Intention (BDI) modeling framework is proposed for human decision making and planning for evacuation scenarios, whose submodules are based on a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN), Decision-Field-Theory (DFT), and a Probabilistic Depth-First Search (PDFS) technique. A key novelty of the proposed model is its ability to represent both the human decision-making and decision-planning functions in a unified framework. To mimic realistic human behaviors, attributes of the BDI framework are reverse-engineered from human-in-the-loop experiments conducted in the Cave Automatic Virtual Environment (CAVE). The proposed modeling framework is demonstrated for a human's evacuation behaviors in response to a terrorist bomb attack. The simulated environment and agents (models of humans) conforming to the proposed BDI framework are implemented in AnyLogic® agent-based simulation software, where each agent calls external Netica BBN software to perform its perceptual processing function and Soar software to perform its real-time planning and decision-execution functions. The constructed simulation has been used to test the impact of several factors (e.g., demographics, number of police officers, information sharing via speakers) on evacuation performance (e.g., average evacuation time, percentage of casualties).

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Published In

cover image ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation  Volume 20, Issue 4
October 2010
155 pages
ISSN:1049-3301
EISSN:1558-1195
DOI:10.1145/1842722
Issue’s Table of Contents
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

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Publication History

Published: 05 November 2010
Accepted: 01 December 2009
Revised: 01 December 2009
Received: 01 April 2008
Published in TOMACS Volume 20, Issue 4

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Author Tags

  1. BDI
  2. Bayesian belief network
  3. Emergency evacuation
  4. human decision behavior
  5. planning

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Cited By

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  • (2025)Grasping emergency dynamics: A review of group evacuation techniques and strategies in major emergenciesJournal of Safety Science and Resilience10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.0066:1(1-20)Online publication date: Mar-2025
  • (2024)Virtual Versus Reality: A Systematic Review of Real-World Built Environment Tasks Performed in CAVEs and a Framework for Performance and Experience EvaluationVirtual Worlds10.3390/virtualworlds30400283:4(536-571)Online publication date: 20-Nov-2024
  • (2023)Bulanık Mantığın Akıllı Etmenlere Bütünleştirilmesi: Bir SFS Üzerinde DeneylerIntegrating Fuzzy Logic into Intelligent Agents: Experiments on a CPSTürkiye Bilişim Vakfı Bilgisayar Bilimleri ve Mühendisliği Dergisi10.54525/tbbmd.103528716:1(34-44)Online publication date: 29-Jun-2023
  • (2023)Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation (ABMS)on the influence of adjusting medical service fees on patients' choice of medical treatmentBMC Health Services Research10.1186/s12913-023-09933-323:1Online publication date: 30-Aug-2023
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  • (2023)Incorporation of BIM-based probabilistic non-structural damage assessment into agent-based post-earthquake evacuation simulationAdvanced Engineering Informatics10.1016/j.aei.2023.10195856:COnline publication date: 1-Apr-2023
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  • (2021)Using Simulation and Artificial Intelligence to Innovate: Are We Getting Even Smarter?2021 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)10.1109/WSC52266.2021.9715402(1-9)Online publication date: 12-Dec-2021
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