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Heteroscedastic Gaussian process regression

Published: 07 August 2005 Publication History

Abstract

This paper presents an algorithm to estimate simultaneously both mean and variance of a non parametric regression problem. The key point is that we are able to estimate variance locally unlike standard Gaussian Process regression or SVMs. This means that our estimator adapts to the local noise. The problem is cast in the setting of maximum a posteriori estimation in exponential families. Unlike previous work, we obtain a convex optimization problem which can be solved via Newton's method.

References

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Cawley, G., Talbot, N., Foxall, R., Dorling, S., & Mandic, D. (2003). Approximately unbiased estimation of conditional variance in heteroscedastic kernel ridge regression. European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks (pp. 209--214). d-side.
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Fine, S., & Scheinberg, K. (2001). Efficient SVM training using low-rank kernel representations. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2, 243 -- 264. http://www.jmlr.org.
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Goldberg, P. W., Williams, C. K. I., & Bishop, C. M. (1998). Regression with input-dependent noise: a gaussian process treatment. NIPS 10 (pp. 493--499). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
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Lanckriet, G., Cristianini, N., Bartlett, P., Ghaoui, L. E., & Jordan, M. I. (2004). Learning the kernel matrix with semi-definite programming. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 5, 27 -- 72.
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Schölkopf, B., Smola, A. J., Williamson, R. C., & Bartlett, P. L. (2000). New support vector algorithms. Neural Computation, 12, 1207 -- 1245.
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Wahba, G. (1990). Spline models for observational data, vol. 59 of CBMS-NSF Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics. Philadelphia: SIAM.
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Williams, C. K. I. (1998). Prediction with Gaussian processes: From linear regression to linear prediction and beyond. In M. I. Jordan (Ed.), Learning and inference in graphical models, 599 -- 621. Kluwer Academic.
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cover image ACM Other conferences
ICML '05: Proceedings of the 22nd international conference on Machine learning
August 2005
1113 pages
ISBN:1595931805
DOI:10.1145/1102351
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 07 August 2005

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