Abstract
Zooplankton are considered good indicators for understanding how oceans are affected by climate change. While climate influence on zooplankton abundance variability is currently accepted, its mechanisms are not understood, and prediction is not yet possible. This paper utilizes the Genetic Programming approach to identify which environmental variables, and at which extent, can be used to express zooplankton abundance dynamics. The zooplankton copepod long term (since 1988) time series from the L4 station in the Western English Channel, has been used as test case together with local environmental parameters and large scale climate indices. The performed simulations identify a set of relevant ecological drivers and highlight the non linear dynamics of the Copepod variability. These results indicate GP to be a promising approach for understanding the long term variability of marine populations.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Beaugrand, G.: Decadal changes in climate and ecosystems in the north atlantic ocean and adjacent seas. Deep-Sea Research 56(8-10), 656–673 (2009)
Conversi, A., Umani, S.F., Peluso, T., Molinero, J.C., Santojanni, A., Edwards, M.: The mediterranean sea regime shift at the end of the 1980s, and intriguing parallelisms with other european basins. PLOS ONE 5(5) (2010)
Guyon, I., Gunn, S., Nikravesh, M., Zadeh, L. (eds.): Feature Extraction, Foundations and Applications. Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, vol. 207. Springer, Heidelberg (2006)
Marques, S., Azeiteiro, U., Leandro, S., Queiroga, H., Primo, A., Martinho, F., Viegas, I., Pardal, M.: Predicting zooplankton response to environmental changes in a temperate estuarine ecosystem. Marine Biology 155, 531–541 (2008)
Record, N., Pershing, A., Runge, J., Mayo, C., Monger, B., Chen, C.: Improving ecological forecasts of copepod community dynamics using genetic algorithms. Journal of Marine Systems 82(3), 96–110 (2010)
Koza, J.R.: Genetic Programming: On the Programming of Computers by Means of Natural Selection. MIT Press, Cambridge (1992)
Poli, R., Langdon, W.B., McPhee, N.F.: A field guide to genetic programming (2008), http://www.gp-field-guide.org.uk
Muttil, N., Chau, K.W.: Machine-learning paradigms for selecting ecologically significant input variables. Eng. Appl. Artif. Intell. 20, 735–744 (2007)
Tung, C.P., Lee, T.Y., Yang, Y.C.E., Chen, Y.J.: Application of genetic programming to project climate change impacts on the population of formosan landlocked salmon. Environ. Model. Softw. 24, 1062–1072 (2009)
Ali Ghorbani, M., Khatibi, R., Aytek, A., Makarynskyy, O., Shiri, J.: Sea water level forecasting using genetic programming and comparing the performance with artificial neural networks. Comput. Geosci. 36, 620–627 (2010)
Eloire, D., Somerfield, P.J., Conway, D.V.P., Halsband-Lenk, C., Harris, R., Bonnet, D.: Temporal variability and community composition of zooplankton at station l4 in the western channel: 20 years of sampling. Journal of Plankton Research 32(5), 657–679 (2010)
(NOA-CPC), ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wd52dg/data/indices/tele_index.nh
(NOA-ESRL), http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/amon.us.long.-mean.data
Perone, C.S.: Pyevolve 0.6rc1, http://pyevolve.sourceforge.net/0_6rc1/
Iba, H., Nikolaev, N.: Genetic programming polynomial models of financial data series. In: Proc. of the Congress on Evolutionary Computation, pp. 1459–1466. IEEE Press (2000)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Marini, S., Conversi, A. (2012). Understanding Zooplankton Long Term Variability through Genetic Programming. In: Giacobini, M., Vanneschi, L., Bush, W.S. (eds) Evolutionary Computation, Machine Learning and Data Mining in Bioinformatics. EvoBIO 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7246. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-29066-4_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-29066-4_5
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-29065-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-29066-4
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)