- ———. 1966. “On the Relation of Economic Factors to Recent and Projected Fertility Changes.†Demography 3: 131–53.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 1991. “The Health and Earnings of Rejected Disability Insurance Applicants: Reply.†The American Economic Review 81 (5): 1427–34.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 1999. “The Impact of Outsourcing and High-Technology Capital on Wages: Estimates For the United States, 1979–1990.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 114 (3): 907–40. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355399556179.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 2003. “The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 118 (4): 1279–1333. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355303322552801.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 2007. Marked: Race, Crime, and Finding Work in an Era of Mass Incarceration. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press. http://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/M/bo5485761.html.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 2008. “Trends in U.S. Wage Inequality: Revising the Revisionists.†The Review of Economics and Statistics 90 (2): 300–323. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.90.2.300.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 2011. “The Polarization of Job Opportunities in the U.S. Labor Market: Implications for Employment and Earnings.†Community Investments 23 (2): 11–16.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 2012. “Identifying the Disadvantaged: Official Poverty, Consumption Poverty, and the New Supplemental Poverty Measure.†Journal of Economic Perspectives 26 (3): 111–36. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.26.3.111.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- ———. 2017. “The Labor Supply of Undocumented Immigrants.†Labour Economics 46 (June): 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2017.02.004.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Abraham, Katharine G., and Melissa S. Kearney. 2018. “Explaining the Decline in the U.S. Employment-toPopulation Ratio: A Review of the Evidence.†Working Paper 24333. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w24333.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Acemoglu, Daron, and David Autor. 2011. “Skills, Tasks and Technologies: Implications for Employment and Earnings.†In Handbook of Labor Economics, edited by David Card and Orley Ashenfelter, 4:1043–1171.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Acemoglu, Daron, and Pascual Restrepo. 2018. “Automation and New Tasks: The Implications of the Task Content of Production for Labor Demand.†https://economics.mit.edu/files/16338 Agan, Amanda, and Sonja Starr. 2018. “Ban the Box, Criminal Records, and Racial Discrimination: A Field Experiment.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 133 (1): 191–235. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjx028.
- Aguiar, Mark, Mark Bils, Kerwin Kofi Charles, and Erik Hurst. 2017. “Leisure Luxuries and the Labor Supply of Young Men.†Working Paper 23552. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w23552.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Akerlof, George A., Janet L. Yellen, and Michael L. Katz. 1996. “An Analysis of Out-of-Wedlock Childbearing in the United States.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 111 (2): 277–317. https://doi.org/10.2307/2946680. Austin, Benjamin, Edward Glaeser, and Lawrence H. Summers. Forthcoming. “Saving the Heartland: PlaceBased Policies in 21st Century America.†Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Autor, David H. 2014. “Skills, Education, and the Rise of Earnings Inequality among the ‘Other 99 Percent.’†Science 344 (6186): 843–51. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1251868.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Autor, David H., Alan Manning, and Christopher L. Smith. 2016. “The Contribution of the Minimum Wage to US Wage Inequality over Three Decades: A Reassessment.†American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 8 (1): 58–99. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20140073.
Autor, David H., and Mark G. Duggan. 2003. “The Rise in the Disability Rolls and the Decline in Unemployment.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 118 (1): 157–206. https://doi.org/10.1162/00335530360535171.
Autor, David H., David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson. 2013. “The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States.†American Economic Review 103 (6): 2121–68. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.6.2121.
Autor, David H., David Dorn, and Gordon Hanson. 2018. “When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage Market Value of Young Men.†Discussion Paper 11465. IZA Institute of Labor Economics.
Autor, David H., Frank Levy, and Richard J. Murnane. 2002. “Upstairs, Downstairs: Computers and Skills on Two Floors of a Large Bank.†ILR Review 55 (3): 432–47. https://doi.org/10.1177/001979390205500303.
Bartik, Timothy. 1991. Who Benefits from State and Local Economic Development Policies? Kalamazoo, MI: Upjohn Press. http://research.upjohn.org/up_press/77.
Becker, Gary S. 1981. A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
- Berman, Eli, John Bound, and Zvi Griliches. 1994. “Changes in the Demand for Skilled Labor within U. S.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Bertrand, Marianne, Emir Kamenica, and Jessica Pan. 2015. “Gender Identity and Relative Income within Households.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 130 (2): 571-614.
- Bivens, L Josh. 2007. “The Gains from Trade: How Big and Who Gets Them?†Working Paper 280. Washington, DC: Economic Policy Institute.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Black, Dan, Kermit Daniel, and Seth Sanders. 2002. “The Impact of Economic Conditions on Participation in Disability Programs: Evidence from the Coal Boom and Bust.†American Economic Review 92 (1): 27– 50. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282802760015595.
Blau, Francine D., and Lawrence M. Kahn. 2017. “The Gender Wage Gap: Extent, Trends, and Explanations.†Journal of Economic Literature 55 (3): 789–865. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20160995. Bollinger, Christopher R., Barry T. Hirsch, Charles M. Hokayem, and James P. Ziliak. Forthcoming. “Trouble in the Tails? What We Know about Earnings Nonresponse Thirty Years after Lillard, Smith and Welch.†Journal of Political Economy.
- Borjas, George J. 2016. We Wanted Workers: Unraveling the Immigration Narrative. New York, NY: W. W. Norton & Company.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Bound, John, and George E Johnson. 1992. “Changes in the Structure of Wages During the 1980’s: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations.†American Economic Review 82 (3): 371-392.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Bound, John, Stephan Lindner, and Timothy Waidmann. 2014. “Reconciling Findings on the Employment Effect of Disability Insurance.†IZA Journal of Labor Policy 3 (11): 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1186/21939004 -3-11.
Bound, John. 1989. “The Health and Earnings of Rejected Disability Insurance Applicants.†American Economic Review 79 (3): 482–503.
- Brayne, Sarah. 2014. “Surveillance and System Avoidance: Criminal Justice Contact and Institutional Attachment.†American Sociological Review 79 (3): 367-391.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Bucknor, Cherrie, and Alan Barber. 2016. “The Price We Pay: Economic Costs of Barriers to Employment for Former Prisoners and People Convicted of Felonies.†CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs. Center for Economic and Policy Research. https://ideas.repec.org/p/epo/papers/2016-07.html.
Burstein, Ariel, Gordon Hanson, Lin Tian, and Jonathan Vogel. 2017. “Tradability and the Labor-Market Impact of Immigration: Theory and Evidence from the U.S.†Working Paper 23330. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w23330.
Card, David. 2009. “Immigration and Inequality.†American Economic Review 99 (2): 1–21. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.99.2.1. Card, David, and Thomas Lemieux. 2001. “Can Falling Supply Explain the Rising Return to College for Younger Men? A Cohort-Based Analysis.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 116 (2): 705–46. https://doi.org/10.1162/00335530151144140.
- Charles, Kerwin Kofi, Erik Hurst, and Mariel Schwartz. 2018. “The Transformation of Manufacturing and the Decline in U.S. Employment.†NBER Macroeconomics Annual 33 (May). http://www.nber.org/chapters/c14081.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Charles, Kerwin Kofi, Erik Hurst, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo. 2016. “The Masking of the Decline in Manufacturing Employment by the Housing Bubble.†Journal of Economic Perspectives 30 (2): 179–200. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.30.2.179.
- Cherlin, Andrew J. 2014. Labor’s Love Lost: The Rise and Fall of the Working-Class Family in America. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cline, William R. 1997. Trade and Income Distribution. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.
- Coglianese, John. 2018. “The Rise of In-and-Outs: Declining Labor Force Participation of Prime Age Men.†https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/coglianese/files/coglianese_2017_in-and-outs.pdf .
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Copen, Casey E., Kimberly Daniels, and William D. Mosher. 2013. “First Premarital Cohabitation in the United States: 2006-2010 National Survey of Family Growth.†National Health Statistics Reports (64): 115.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Cortes, Patricia. 2008. “The Effect of Lowâ€Skilled Immigration on U.S. Prices: Evidence from CPI Data.†Journal of Political Economy 116 (3): 381–422. https://doi.org/10.1086/589756.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Council of Economic Advisers. 2016. “The Long-Term Decline in Prime-Age Male Labor-Force Participation.†https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/page/files/20160620_cea_primeage_male_lfp.pd f
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Dao, Mai, Davide Furceri, and Prakash Loungani. 2016. “Regional Labor Market Adjustment in the United States: Trend and Cycle.†The Review of Economics and Statistics 99 (2): 243–57.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Deaton, Angus, and John Muellbauer. 1980. Economics and Consumer Behavior. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
DiNardo, John, Nicole M. Fortin, and Thomas Lemieux. 1996. “Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages, 1973-1992: A Semiparametric Approach.†Econometrica 64 (5): 1001–44.
Doleac, Jennifer L, and Benjamin Hansen. 2016. “Does ‘Ban the Box’ Help or Hurt Low-Skilled Workers? Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes When Criminal Histories Are Hidden.†Working Paper 22469. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w22469.
Duncan, Greg J., Bessie Wilkerson, and Paula England. 2006. “Cleaning up Their Act: The Effects of Marriage and Cohabitation on Licit and Illicit Drug Use.†Demography 43 (4): 691–710. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2006.0032.
Easterlin, Richard A. 1987. Birth and Fortune. 2nd ed. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
- Edin, Kathryn J., and Laura Lein. 1997. Making Ends Meet: How Single Mothers Survive Welfare and LowWage Work. New York, NY: Russell Sage Foundation.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Edlund, Lena, Hongbin Li, Junjian Yi, and Junsen Zhang. 2013. “Sex Ratios and Crime: Evidence from China.†The Review of Economics and Statistics 95 (5): 1520–34. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00356.
- Elsby, Michael W. L., Bart Hobijn, and Ayşegül Şahin. 2013. “The Decline of the U.S. Labor Share.†Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2013 (2): 1–63. https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.2013.0016.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Fortin, Nicole M., and Thomas Lemieux. 1997. “Institutional Changes and Rising Wage Inequality: Is There a Linkage?†Journal of Economic Perspectives 11 (2): 75–96. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.11.2.75.
- Fortin, Nicole M., Thomas Lemieux, and Neil Lloyd. 2018. “Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages: The Role of Spillover Effects.†https://econ2017.sites.olt.ubc.ca/files/2018/12/pdf_paper_thomaslemieux -spillovers.pdf Freeman, Richard B. 1975. “Overinvestment in College Training?†The Journal of Human Resources 10 (3): 287–311. https://doi.org/10.2307/145193.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Frey, Carl Benedikt, and Michael A. Osborne. 2017. “The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?†Technological Forecasting and Social Change 114 (January): 254–80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.019.
- Gibsonâ€Davis, Christina M., Kathryn Edin, and Sara McLanahan. 2005. “High Hopes but Even Higher Expectations: The Retreat from Marriage Among Low-Income Couples.†Journal of Marriage and Family 67 (5): 1301–12. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1741-3737.2005.00218.x. Goldin, Claudia, and Lawrence F. Katz. 2008. The Race between Education and Technology. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Harding, David J., Jeffrey D. Morenoff, Anh P. Nguyen, and Shawn D. Bushway. 2018. “Imprisonment and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from a Natural Experiment.†American Journal of Sociology 124 (1): 49–110. https://doi.org/10.1086/697507.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Hirsch, Barry T. 1988. “Trucking Regulation, Unionization, and Labor Earnings: 1973-85.†The Journal of Human Resources 23 (3): 296–319. https://doi.org/10.2307/145831.
- Holzer, Harry J. 2010. “Is the Middle of the U.S. Job Market Really Disappearing? A Comment on the ‘Polarization’ Hypothesis.†Center for American Progress.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Holzer, Harry J., Steven Raphael, and Michael A. Stoll. 2006a. “How Do Employer Perceptions of Crime and Incarceration Affect the Employment Prospects of Less-Educated Young Black Men?†In Black Males Left Behind, edited by Ronald B. Mincy. Washington, DC: The Urban Institute Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Holzer, Harry J., Steven Raphael, and Michael A. Stoll. 2006b. “Perceived Criminality, Criminal Background Checks, and the Racial Hiring Practices of Employers.†The Journal of Law and Economics 49 (2): 451– 80. https://doi.org/10.1086/501089.
Ishizuka, Patrick. 2018. “The Economic Foundations of Cohabiting Couples’ Union Transitions.†Demography 55 (2): 535–57. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-018-0651-1.
Jaimovich, Nir, and Henry E. Siu. 2015. “Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries.†http://faculty.arts.ubc.ca/hsiu/work/polar20150503.pdf Juhn, Chinhui. 1992. “Decline of Male Labor Market Participation: The Role of Declining Market Opportunities.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 107 (1): 79–121. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118324.
Juhn, Chinhui, Kevin M. Murphy, and Robert H. Topel. 1991. “Why Has the Natural Rate of Unemployment Increased over Time?†Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1991 (2): 75–142. https://doi.org/10.2307/2534590.
- Juhn, Chinhui, Kevin M. Murphy, and Robert H. Topel. 2002. “Current Unemployment, Historically Contemplated.†Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2002 (1): 79–116.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Katz, Lawrence F. 2008. Comment on “Trade and Wages, Reconsidered†by P. Krugman. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2008 (1): 143-149.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Katz, Lawrence F., and Kevin M. Murphy. 1992. “Changes in Relative Wages, 1963–1987: Supply and Demand Factors.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 107 (1): 35–78. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118323.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Krugman, Paul R. 2008. “Trade and Wages, Reconsidered.†Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2008 (1): 103–54. https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.0.0006.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Lee, David S. 1999. “Wage Inequality in the United States During the 1980s: Rising Dispersion or Falling Minimum Wage?†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 114 (3): 977–1023. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355399556197.
- Levy, Frank, and Richard J. Murnane. 2004. The New Division of Labor: How Computers Are Creating the Next Job Market. Princeton, NJ; New York, NY: Princeton University Press; Russell Sage Foundation.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Lundberg, Shelly, Robert A. Pollak, and Jenna Stearns. 2016. “Family Inequality: Diverging Patterns in Marriage, Cohabitation, and Childbearing.†Journal of Economic Perspectives 30 (2): 79–102. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.30.2.79.
Maestas, Nicole, Kathleen J. Mullen, and Alexander Strand. 2013. “Does Disability Insurance Receipt Discourage Work? Using Examiner Assignment to Estimate Causal Effects of SSDI Receipt.†American Economic Review 103 (5): 1797–1829. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.5.1797.
- Manufacturing: Evidence from the Annual Survey of Manufactures.†The Quarterly Journal of Economics 109 (2): 367–97. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118467.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Mathiowetz, Nancy, John Bound, and Charles Brown. 2002. “Measurement Error in Surveys of the LowIncome Population.†In Studies of Welfare Populations, Committee on National Statistics, National Research Council.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Mazzolari, Francesca, and Giuseppe Ragusa. 2013. “Spillovers from High-Skill Consumption to Low-Skill Labor Markets.†The Review of Economics and Statistics 95 (1): 74–86.
Meyer, Bruce D., and Nikolas Mittag. 2015. “Using Linked Survey Data and Administrative Data to Better Measure Income: Implications for Poverty, Program Effectiveness and Holes in the Safety Net.†Working Paper 21676. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/papers/w21676 Meyer, Bruce D., and James X. Sullivan. 2003. “Measuring the Well-Being of the Poor Using Income and Consumption.†The Journal of Human Resources 38: 1180–1220. https://doi.org/10.2307/3558985.
- Meyer, Bruce D., Derek Wu, Victoria Mooers, and Carla Medalia. 2018. “The Use and Misuse of Income Data and the Rarity of Extreme Poverty in the United States.†Working paper.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Moffitt, Robert A. 2012. “The Reversal of the Employment-Population Ratio in the 2000s: Facts and Explanations.†Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 201–64.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Mueller-Smith, Michael. 2015. “The Criminal and Labor Market Impacts of Incarceration.†https://sites.lsa.umich.edu/mgms/wp-content/uploads/sites/283/2015/09/incar.pdf Murphy, Daniel. 2016. “Welfare Consequences of Asymmetric Growth.†Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 126 (June): 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2016.02.003.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Murphy, Kevin M., and Finis Welch. 1991. “The Role of International Trade in Wage Differentials.†In Workers and Their Wages, edited by Marvin H. Kosters. Washington, DC: The AEI Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Pager, Devah, Bart Bonikowski, and Bruce Western. 2009. “Discrimination in a Low-Wage Labor Market: A Field Experiment.†American Sociological Review 74 (5): 777–99. https://doi.org/10.1177/000312240907400505.
Pager, Devah. 2003. “The Mark of a Criminal Record.†American Journal of Sociology 108 (5): 937–75. https://doi.org/10.1086/374403.
Parsons, Donald O. 1991. “The Health and Earnings of Rejected Disability Insurance Applicants: Comment.†The American Economic Review 81 (5): 1419–26.
- Pencavel, John. 1986. “Labor Supply of Men: A Survey.†In Handbook of Labor Economics, 1:3–102.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Peri, Giovanni. 2016. “Immigrants, Productivity, and Labor Markets.†Journal of Economic Perspectives 30 (4): 3–30. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.30.4.3. Peri, Giovanni, and Chad Sparber. 2009. “Task Specialization, Immigration, and Wages.†American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 1 (3): 135–69. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.1.3.135.
- Raphael, Steven, and Michael A. Stoll. 2013. Why Are So Many Americans in Prison? Russell Sage Foundation.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Raphael, Steven. 2014. The New Scarlet Letter? Negotiating the U.S. Labor Market with a Criminal Record. Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute.
Rose, Nancy L. 1987. “Labor Rent Sharing and Regulation: Evidence from the Trucking Industry.†Journal of Political Economy 95 (6): 1146–78. https://doi.org/10.1086/261509.
Ruggles, Steven. 2015. “Patriarchy, Power and Pay: The Transformation of American Families, 1800-2015.†Demography 52 (6): 1797–1823.
- Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett, and Matthew Stimpson. 2018. “What Explains the Decline in First Marriage in the United States? Evidence from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, 1969 to 2013.†Journal of Marriage and Family 80 (4): 791–811. https://doi.org/10.1111/jomf.12481.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Source: Authors’ calculations based on the March Supplement to the Current Population Survey. Annual wage and salary income is adjusted for top-coding and converted to 2017 dollars using the Personal Consumption Expenditures deflator. Hourly earnings are computed by dividing annual earnings by total hours worked (the product of weeks worked and usual hours worked per week). Before the 1976 survey, weeks worked and usual hours worked per week are imputed using demographic information in conjunction with information on bracketed weeks worked and hours worked last week. Within each education status, a re-weighting procedure is employed to hold the age distribution constant across each year. See the online Appendix for further details. Geometric average hourly wages are computed as the exponential of the average of log hourly wages. Graph presents 3-year centered moving averages.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Stevenson, Betsey, and Justin Wolfers. 2007. “Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces.†Journal of Economic Perspectives 21 (2): 27–52. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.21.2.27.
Watson, Tara, and Sara McLanahan. 2011. “Marriage Meets the Joneses Relative Income, Identity, and Marital Status.†Journal of Human Resources 46 (3): 482–517. https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.46.3.482.
- Yagan, Danny. 2017. “Employment Hysteresis from the Great Recession.†Working Paper 23844. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w23844.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now