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The FOMC versus the Staff: Where Can Monetary Policymakers Add Value?. (2008). Romer, Christina.
In: American Economic Review.
RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:98:y:2008:i:2:p:230-35.

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  1. Raiders of the lost high?frequency forecasts: New data and evidence on the efficiency of the Feds forecasting. (2023). Levinson, Trace J ; Chang, Andrew C.
    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:wly:japmet:v:38:y:2023:i:1:p:88-104.

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  2. The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales?. (2023). Nguyen, My T ; Mitchell, James ; Filippou, Ilias.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedcwq:96636.

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  3. Perceived FOMC: The making of hawks, doves and swingers. (2023). Istrefi, Klodiana ; Bordo, Michael.
    In: Journal of Monetary Economics.
    RePEc:eee:moneco:v:136:y:2023:i:c:p:125-143.

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  4. The origins of monetary policy disagreement: the role of supply and demand shocks. (2023). Madeira, Carlos ; Monteiro, Paulo Santos.
    In: BIS Working Papers.
    RePEc:bis:biswps:1118.

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  5. Agree to Disagree: Measuring Hidden Dissents in FOMC Meetings. (2023). Yang, Zichao ; Tsang, Kwok Ping.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2308.10131.

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  6. .

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  7. The calculus of dissent: Bias and diversity in FOMC projections. (2022). Hogan, Thomas.
    In: Public Choice.
    RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:191:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s11127-021-00952-4.

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  8. Econometrics of sentiments- sentometrics and machine learning: The improvement of inflation predictions in Romania using sentiment analysis. (2022). Simionescu, Mihaela.
    In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change.
    RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:182:y:2022:i:c:s0040162522003912.

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  9. Uncertain times and the insider perspective. (2022). Qin, Weiping ; Li, Zhiyong ; Lambe, Brendan.
    In: International Review of Financial Analysis.
    RePEc:eee:finana:v:81:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922001053.

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  10. Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts. (2022). Tsuchiya, Yoichi.
    In: Economic Analysis and Policy.
    RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:73:y:2022:i:c:p:321-330.

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  11. .

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  13. The value added of the Bank of Japans range forecasts. (2021). Tsuchiya, Yoichi.
    In: Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:wly:jforec:v:40:y:2021:i:5:p:817-833.

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  14. Disagreement inside the FOMC: New Insights from Tone Analysis. (2021). Romelli, Davide ; Bennani, Hamza.
    In: Trinity Economics Papers.
    RePEc:tcd:tcduee:tep1021.

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  15. The making of hawks and doves. (2021). Nagel, Stefan ; Yan, Zhen ; Malmendier, Ulrike.
    In: Journal of Monetary Economics.
    RePEc:eee:moneco:v:117:y:2021:i:c:p:19-42.

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  16. Financial market effects of FOMC projections. (2021). Couture, Cody.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:67:y:2021:i:c:s0164070420302019.

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  17. Nowcasting GDP using machine-learning algorithms: A real-time assessment. (2021). Vehbi, Tugrul ; Richardson, Adam ; van Florenstein, Thomas.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:37:y:2021:i:2:p:941-948.

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  18. The bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation projections: a State dependent analysis. (2021). Paloviita, Maritta ; Jalasjoki, Pirkka ; Granziera, Eleonora.
    In: Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:bof:bofrdp:2021_007.

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  19. The Bias and Efficiency of the ECB Inflation Projections: a State Dependent Analysis. (2021). Jalasjoki, Pirkka ; Granziera, Eleonora ; Paloviita, Maritta.
    In: Working Paper.
    RePEc:bno:worpap:2021_1.

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  20. Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?. (2021). Sinclair, Tara ; Gamber, Edward N ; Tien, Paolin.
    In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
    RePEc:bla:obuest:v:83:y:2021:i:3:p:686-712.

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  21. Introducing the Bank of Canada staff economic projections database. (2020). Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Poulinbellisle, Guillaume ; Champagne, Julien.
    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:wly:japmet:v:35:y:2020:i:1:p:114-129.

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  22. Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC. (2020). Schultefrankenfeld, Guido.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:58:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-019-01755-9.

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  23. Are Central Banks’ Research Teams Fragile Because of Groupthink in the Area of Monetary Policy? – Evidence on Inflation Targeting. (2020). Rybacki, Jakub.
    In: Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics.
    RePEc:sgh:gosnar:y:2020:i:4:p:81-103.

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  24. Raiders of the Lost High-Frequency Forecasts: New Data and Evidence on the Efficiency of the Feds Forecasting. (2020). Levinson, Trace J ; Chang, Andrew C.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2020-90.

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  25. GDP forecasts: Informational asymmetry of the SPF and FOMC minutes. (2020). Bespalova, Olga.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:4:p:1531-1540.

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  26. Forecasting and forecast narratives: The Bank of England Inflation Reports. (2020). Reade, J ; Clements, Michael.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:4:p:1488-1500.

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  27. The Making of Hawks and Doves. (2020). Nagel, Stefan ; Yan, Zhen ; Malmendier, Ulrike M.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14938.

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  28. The narrative about the economy as a shadow forecast: an analysis using Banco de España quarterly reports. (2020). Urtasun, Alberto ; Pérez, Javier ; Ghirelli, Corinna ; Perez, Javier J ; Hurtado, Samuel ; Sobrino, Nelida Diaz.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bde:wpaper:2042.

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  29. Evaluation of the Survey of Professional Forecasters in the Greenbook’s Loss Function. (2019). Lee, Tae Hwy ; Wang, Yiyao.
    In: Journal of Quantitative Economics.
    RePEc:spr:jqecon:v:17:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s40953-018-0141-8.

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  30. Are Central Banks Research Teams Fragile Because of Groupthink?. (2019). Rybacki, Jakub.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:sgh:kaewps:2019045.

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  31. Human Development:“Can money buy Happiness?â€. (2019). Ekomane, Jean Louis ; Yamb, Benjamin.
    In: Romanian Journal of Economics.
    RePEc:ine:journl:v:49:y:2019:i:58:p:31-49.

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  32. DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery. (2019). Giannoni, Marc ; Moszkowski, Erica ; Li, Pearl ; Gupta, Abhi ; del Negro, Marco ; Cai, Michael.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:4:p:1770-1789.

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  33. Disagreement Between FOMC Members and the Fed’s Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate. (2018). Neuenkirch, Matthias ; Bennani, Hamza ; Kranz, Tobias.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01868010.

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  34. Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?. (2018). Tien, Pao-Lin ; Sinclair, Tara ; Gamber, Edward.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2016-14.

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  35. Disagreement between FOMC members and the Fed’s staff: New insights based on a counterfactual interest rate. (2018). Neuenkirch, Matthias ; Kranz, Tobias ; Bennani, Hamza.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:58:y:2018:i:c:p:139-153.

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  36. The FOMC versus the staff, revisited: When do policymakers add value?. (2018). Binder, Carola ; Wetzel, Samantha.
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:171:y:2018:i:c:p:72-75.

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  37. The Stabilizing Role of Forward Guidance: A Macro Experiment. (2017). Ahrens, Steffen ; Tettamanzi, Michele ; Lustenhouwer, Joep.
    In: Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking.
    RePEc:zbw:vfsc17:168063.

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  38. Disagreement Between the FOMC and the Feds Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate. (2017). Neuenkirch, Matthias ; Bennani, Hamza ; Kranz, Tobias.
    In: Research Papers in Economics.
    RePEc:trr:wpaper:201710.

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  39. Anticipatory Monetary Policy and the Price Puzzle. (2017). Tulip, Peter ; Bishop, James.
    In: RBA Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:rba:rbardp:rdp2017-02.

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  40. The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences on the FOMC. (2017). Nagel, Stefan ; Malmendier, Ulrike ; Yan, Zhen .
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23228.

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  41. How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-001.

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  42. Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance. (2017). Martinez, Andrew ; Hendry, David ; Castle, Jennifer.
    In: Econometrics.
    RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:5:y:2017:i:3:p:39-:d:110547.

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  43. How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:1189.

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  44. How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:543-559.

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  45. A day late and a dollar short: The effect of policy uncertainty on fed forecast errors. (2017). Jones, Adam T ; Ogden, Richard E.
    In: Economic Analysis and Policy.
    RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:54:y:2017:i:c:p:112-122.

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  46. The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences on the FOMC. (2017). Nagel, Stefan ; Malmendier, Ulrike M ; Yan, Zhen .
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:11902.

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  47. Evaluating the Efficiency of the FOMCs New Economic Projections. (2016). Arai, Natsuki.
    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
    RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:1019-1049.

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  48. Policy Analysis, Forediction, and Forecast Failure. (2016). Martinez, Andrew ; Hendry, David ; Castle, Jennifer.
    In: Economics Series Working Papers.
    RePEc:oxf:wpaper:809.

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  49. What Do Central Banks Know about Inflation Factors?. (2016). Hurnik, Jaromir ; Bulir, Ales ; Midkova, Kateina.
    In: Open Economies Review.
    RePEc:kap:openec:v:27:y:2016:i:4:d:10.1007_s11079-016-9396-x.

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  50. Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?. (2016). Sinclair, Tara ; Tien, Pao-Lin ; Gamber, Edward N.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-007.

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  51. Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC’s minutes around the financial crisis. (2016). Ericsson, Neil.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:32:y:2016:i:2:p:571-583.

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  52. Evaluating qualitative forecasts: The FOMC minutes, 2006–2010. (2016). Stekler, Herman ; Symington, Hilary .
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:32:y:2016:i:2:p:559-570.

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  53. Revisiting the relative forecast performances of Fed staff and private forecasters: A dynamic approach. (2016). Jung, Alexander ; Giesen, Sebastian ; El-Shagi, Makram.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:32:y:2016:i:2:p:313-323.

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  54. Nowcasting using news topics Big Data versus big bank. (2016). Thorsrud, Leif.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bny:wpaper:0046.

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  55. Do Central Bank Forecasts Influence Private Agents? Forecasting Performance versus Signals. (2015). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
    RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:771-789.

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  56. Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?. (2015). Tien, Pao-Lin ; Sinclair, Tara ; Gamber, Edward N.
    In: Wesleyan Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:wes:weswpa:2015-004.

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  57. Finding SPF Percentiles Closest to Greenbook. (2015). Lee, Tae Hwy ; Wang, Yiyao .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:ucr:wpaper:201503.

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  58. On Sturdy Policy Evaluation. (2015). Durlauf, Steven ; Brock, William ; William, Steven Durlauf .
    In: The Journal of Legal Studies.
    RePEc:ucp:jlstud:doi:10.1086/684307.

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  59. Revisiting the Greenbooks relative forecasting performance. (2015). .
    In: Sciences Po publications.
    RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3pot7260lh88lrfhrhvs85lh2f.

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  60. Revisiting the greenbooks relative forecasting performance. (2015). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Sciences Po publications.
    RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/35kgubh40v9gfpnuruelqjnptb.

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  61. Monetary Policy Committees: Comparing Theory and Inside Information from MPC Members. (2015). Claussen, Carl ; Apel, Mikael ; Roisland, Oistein ; Lennartsdotter, Petra .
    In: International Journal of Central Banking.
    RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2015:q:5:a:2.

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  62. Revisiting the greenbooks relative forecasting performance. (2015). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01087522.

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  63. Eliciting GDP Forecasts from the FOMC’s Minutes Around the Financial Crisis. (2015). Ericsson, Neil.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2015-003.

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  64. Sentiment of the FOMC: Unscripted. (2015). Cannon, San.
    In: Economic Review.
    RePEc:fip:fedker:00032.

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  65. Eliciting GDP Forecasts from the FOMC’s Minutes Around the Financial Crisis. (2015). Ericsson, Neil.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:1152.

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  66. Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?. (2015). Jung, Alexander ; Latsos, Sophia.
    In: European Journal of Political Economy.
    RePEc:eee:poleco:v:40:y:2015:i:pa:p:173-183.

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  67. The distribution of inflation forecast errors. (2015). Smith, Julie ; Gamber, Edward N. ; Liebner, Jeffrey P..
    In: Journal of Policy Modeling.
    RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:37:y:2015:i:1:p:47-64.

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  68. What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts?. (2015). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Messina, Jeffrey D.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:45:y:2015:i:c:p:54-62.

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  69. Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?. (2015). Jung, Alexander ; El-Shagi, Makram.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:43:y:2015:i:c:p:173-190.

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  70. Evaluating the economic forecasts of FOMC members. (2015). Sheng, Xuguang.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:1:p:165-175.

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  71. Dissent in FOMC Meeting and the Announcement Drift. (2015). Madeira, Carlos.
    In: Working Papers Central Bank of Chile.
    RePEc:chb:bcchwp:749.

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  72. FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations. (2014). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
    RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:1381-1420.

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  73. Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach. (2014). Winker, Peter ; Tillmann, Peter ; Fischer, Henning ; PeterTillmann, ; Garcia-Barzana, Marta .
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:47:y:2014:i:1:p:365-388.

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  74. The Failure of Forecasts in the Great Recession. (2014). Sinclair, Tara ; Culbertson, Daniel.
    In: Challenge.
    RePEc:mes:challe:v:57:y:2014:i:6:p:34-45.

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  75. Inflation Reports and Models; How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?. (2014). Bulir, Ales ; Smidkova, Katerina ; Hurnik, Jaromir.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/091.

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  76. HOW DID THE FOMC VIEW THE GREAT RECESSION AS IT WAS HAPPENING?: EVALUATING THE MINUTES FROM FOMC MEETINGS, 2006-2010. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Symington, Hilary .
    In: Working Papers.
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  77. Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions. (2014). McCracken, Michael ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2014-025.

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  78. Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions. (2014). McCracken, Michael ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Working Papers (Old Series).
    RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1413.

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  79. Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?. (2014). Jung, Alexander ; Latsos, Sophia.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20141731.

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  80. Does the federal reserve staff still beat private forecasters?. (2014). Jung, Alexander ; Giesen, Sebastian ; El-Shagi, Makram.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20141635.

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  81. EVALUATING MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS: A CONCISE REVIEW OF SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS. (2014). McAleer, Michael ; Franses, Philip Hans ; Legerstee, Rianne .
    In: Journal of Economic Surveys.
    RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:28:y:2014:i:2:p:195-208.

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  82. CENTRAL BANK STRATEGIC FORECASTING. (2014). Parra-Polanía, Julián ; Parra-Polania, Julian A. ; GOMEZ-BARRERO, SEBASTIAN .
    In: Contemporary Economic Policy.
    RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:32:y:2014:i:4:p:802-810.

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  83. Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?. (2013). Jung, Alexander ; El-Shagi, Makram ; Giesen, Sebastian .
    In: Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order.
    RePEc:zbw:vfsc13:79925.

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  84. Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members. (2013). Tillmann, Peter ; Pierdzioch, Christian ; Rulke, Jan-Christoph ; PeterTillmann, .
    In: MAGKS Papers on Economics.
    RePEc:mar:magkse:201302.

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  85. Do central banks’ forecasts take into account public opinion and views?. (2013). Nunes, Ricardo.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:1080.

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  86. FOMC forecasts as a focal point for private expectations. (2013). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Documents de Travail de l'OFCE.
    RePEc:fce:doctra:1312.

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  87. The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC forecasts. (2013). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Documents de Travail de l'OFCE.
    RePEc:fce:doctra:1303.

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  88. The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC forecasts. (2013). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Documents de Travail de l'OFCE.
    RePEc:fce:doctra:13-03.

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  89. Do FOMC forecasts add value to staff forecasts?. (2013). Liu, Dandan ; Ellis, Michael.
    In: European Journal of Political Economy.
    RePEc:eee:poleco:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:332-340.

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  90. Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?. (2013). Jung, Alexander ; El-Shagi, Makram.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20131579.

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  91. Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?. (2013). Smidkova, Katerina ; Hurnik, Jaromir ; Bulir, Ales.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2013/03.

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  92. Monetary policy decisions – comparing theory and “inside” information from MPC members. (2013). Claussen, Carl ; Apel, Mikael ; Lennartsdotter, Petra ; Gerlach-Kristen, Petra ; Roisland, Oistein.
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  93. Central Bank Design. (2013). Reis, Ricardo.
    In: Journal of Economic Perspectives.
    RePEc:aea:jecper:v:27:y:2013:i:4:p:17-44.

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  94. Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?. (2012). Jung, Alexander ; Giesen, Sebastian ; El-Shagi, Makram.
    In: IWH Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:iwhdps:iwh-5-12.

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  95. A DEFENSE OF THE FOMC. (2012). Sargent, Thomas ; Ellison, Martin ; ThomasJ. Sargent, .
    In: International Economic Review.
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  96. Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts:A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments. (2012). McAleer, Michael ; Franses, Philip Hans ; Legerstee, Rianne .
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  124. A defence of the FOMC. (2009). Sargent, Thomas ; Ellison, Martin.
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  125. Comments on `Policies to Deal with the Implosion and `Homes and Cars. (2009). Wilcox, James A..
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  126. Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?. (2009). Thorsrud, Leif ; Smith, Christie ; Bjørnland, Hilde ; Jore, Anne Sofie ; Gerdrup, Karsten .
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    RePEc:bla:stanee:v:63:y:2009:i:3:p:334-346.

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  128. Does the ROMC have expertise, and can it forecast?. (2008). McAleer, Michael ; Franses, Philip Hans ; Franses, Ph. H. B. F., ; Legerstee, R..
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