Documents de Travail de l'OFCE

From Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE)
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2020-18: Public policies and the art of catching up: matching the historical evidence with a multi-country agent-based model

Giovanni Dosi, Andrea Roventini and Emanuele Russo

2020-17: Fiscal space in the euro area before Covid-19

Jerome Creel

2020-16: La transition sociale-écologique dans cinq villes françaises

Eloi Laurent

2020-15: Estimation of Threshold Distributions for Market Participation

Mattia Guerini, Patrick Musso and Lionel Nesta

2020-14: Winter is possibly not coming: Mitigating financial instability in an agent-based model with interbank market

Lilit Popoyan, Mauro Napoletano and Andrea Roventini

2020-13: Growing through Spinoffs. Corporate Governance, Entry, and Innovation

Maurizio Iacopetta, Raoul Minetti and Pierluigi Murro

2020-12: The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles

Christophe Blot, Paul Hubert and Fabien Labondance

2020-11: Pension d’un salarié du secteur privé et transitions vers un système universel de retraite par points: Etude d’impact pour une carrière complète sous plafond

Frederic Gannon, Gilles Le Garrec, Gautier Lenfant and Vincent Touzé

2020-10: The Macroeconomic Effects of Lockdown Policies

Stéphane Auray and Aurélien Eyquem

2020-09: Asymmetric macroeconomic stabilization and fiscal consolidation in the OECD and the Euro Area

Pierre Aldama and Jerome Creel

2020-08: Entrepreneuriat et créativité: du détournement à la création de valeur

Jean-Luc Gaffard

2020-07: L’impact du CIR sur les personnels de la recherche

Evens Salies

2020-06: Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Growth Vulnerability

Lucrezia Reichlin, Giovanni Ricco and Thomas Hasenzagl

2020-05: The Impact of Deunionization on the Growth and Dispersion of Productivity and Pay

Giovanni Dosi, Richard Freeman, Marcelo Pereira, Andrea Roventini and Maria Enrica Virgillito

2020-04: The state-dependence of output revisions

Bruno Ducoudré, Paul Hubert and Guilhem Tabarly

2020-03: Credit, banking fragility and economic performance

Jerome Creel, Paul Hubert and Fabien Labondance

2020-02: Central Bank Tone and the Dispersion of Views within Monetary Policy Committees

Paul Hubert and Fabien Labondance

2020-01: What Are the Labor and Product Market Effects of Automation? New Evidence from France

Philippe Aghion, Céline Antonin, Simon Bunel and Xavier Jaravel

2019-20: The Role of Households' Borrowing Constraints in the Transmission of Monetary Policy This paper investigates how the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy depends on the distribution of household debt. Using an original loan-level dataset covering the universe of UK mortgages, we assess the effect of monetary shocks on aggregate consumption by exploiting time variation in a measure of the proportion of households close to their borrowing constraint. We find that monetary policy is most potent when there is a large share of constrained households. In contrast, we find no evidence that the average level of borrowing relative-to-income of the household sector affects the transmission of monetary policy

Fergus Cumming and Paul Hubert

2019-19: L’économie française en 2021 selon le panel des prévisionnistes de l’OFCN

Magali Dauvin, Adeline Guéret and Hervé Péléraux

2019-18: Synchronization Patterns in the European Union

Mattia Guerini, Duc Thi Luu and Mauro Napoletano

2019-17: The South's Demographic Transition and International Capital Flows in a Financially Integrated World Economy

Frederic Gannon, Gilles Le Garrec and Vincent Touzé

2019-16: The reaction function channel of monetary policy and the financial cycle

Andrew Filardo, Paul Hubert and Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

2019-15: Shocking aspects of monetary policy on income inequality in the euro area

Jerome Creel and Mehdi El Herradi

2019-14: Winter is possibly not coming: mitigating financial instability in an agent-based model with interbank market

Lilit Popoyan, Mauro Napoletano and Andrea Roventini

2019-13: Imposition des couples en France et statut marital simulation de trios réformes du quotient conjugal

Guillaume Allègre, Hélène Périvier and Muriel Pucci

2019-12: Sharing or not sharing ? Household division of labor and marital status in France 1985-2009

Lamia Kandil and Hélène Périvier

2019-11: Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different

Alberto Caruso, Lucrezia Reichlin and Giovanni Ricco

2019-10: Negative interest rate, bank profitability and risk-taking

Whelsy Boungou

2019-09: Firm export diversification and change in workforce composition

Sarah Guillou and Tania Treibich

2019-08: Routinizaton, within-occupation task changes and long-run employment dynamics

Davide Consoli, Giovanni Marin, Francesco Rentocchini and Francesco Vona

2019-07: Italy: escaping the high-debt and low-growth trap

Céline Antonin, Mattia Guerini, Mauro Napoletano and Francesco Vona

2019-06: Taxe carbone, le retour, à quelles conditions ?

Audrey Berry and Eloi Laurent

2019-05: Imposition des couples en France et statut marital: simulation de trois réformes du quotient conjugal

Guillaume Allègre, Hélène Périvier and Muriel Pucci

2019-04: State-dependent effects of monetary policy: the central bank information channel

Paul Hubert

2019-03: On the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts: a comparison with five categories of field expectations

Camille Cornand and Paul Hubert

2019-02: Budget 2019: du pouvoir d'achat mais du déficit

Pierre Madec, Mathieu Plane and Raul Sampognaro

2019-01: Les marchés bifaces saisis par le droit de la concurrence. Réflexions sur la décision Android de la Commission Européenne

Frédéric Marty and Julien Pillot

2018-46: Une comparaison des prévisions macroéconomiques 2018-2020 sur la France

Magali Dauvin, Hervé Peleraux and Christine Rifflart

2018-45: The magnitude of euro area misalignements in 2017

Bruno Ducoudré, Xavier Timbeau and Sébastien Villemot

2018-44: Euro Area Macroeconomics: where do we stand twenty years later ?

Catherine Mathieu and Henri Sterdyniak

2018-43: Refonte des règles budgétaires européennes

Bruno Ducoudré, Mathieu Plane, Xavier Ragot, Raul Sampognaro, Francesco Saraceno and Xavier Timbeau

2018-42: En quoi la dépense d’investissement des entreprises françaises est-elle énigmatique ?

Sarah Guillou

2018-41: Les pratiques d'activité réduite et leurs impacts sur les trajectoires professionnelles: une revue de la littérature

Nathalie Havet, Xavier Joutard and Alexis Penot

2018-40: Monetary theory and policy: the debate revisited

Jean-Luc Gaffard

2018-39: Le débat de théorie et de politique monétaires revisité

Jean-Luc Gaffard

2018-38: De la responsabilité sociale: à propos des rôles respectifs de l'entreprise et de l'Etat

Jean-Luc Gaffard

2018-37: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Bubbles

Christophe Blot, Paul Hubert and Fabien Labondance

2018-36: Nepotism vs specific skills: the effect of professional liberalization on returns to parental back ground of Italian lawyers

Michele Raitano and Francesco Vona

2018-35: The well-being transition: measuring what counts to protect what matters Abstract

Eloi Laurent and Jean Jouzel