I Never Walk Alone
I Never Walk Alone
I Never Walk Alone
A RESEARCH THESIS
By
ABEJE ABERA
Advisor: RAMA MOHAN(PhD)
June, 2017
W/SODO
08:11:47 AM
Outlines
Introduction.
Statement of the problem.
Objective of the study.
hypotheses of the study.
Research methodology.
Result and Discussion.
Conclusions and Recommendations.
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I
Finance isINTRODUCTION.
the backbone of any business and delivery of
microfinance service to the poor in Ethiopia is used to ensure food
insecurity and reduce poverty .
Although micro-finance service is vital to the society, it is not equally
available to all members of community.
World bank designed strategies to improve the demand and supply
gap of low-income rural clients.
One of its strategies is enhancing service delivering capacity of
Saving and Credit Cooperatives (SACCOs) those established to serve
the interest of economically neglected segment of society.
Saving and Credit Cooperative is “An autonomous association of
persons united voluntarily to meet their common economic, social
and cultural needs and aspirations through a jointly owned and
democratically-controlled financial institution (ICA).
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Statement of the problem.
Ethiopia has low geographic and demographic bank branches and
microfinance institutions are only reaching a small fraction of the
demand of the poor for financial services.
Government and people rely on SACCOs as an entry to economic
prosperity and as they can play critical role in rural and urban
development through smoothing financial service.
However, SACCOs organized and started operation in Sodo Zuriya
since 1977s were disable to impact lives of member positively.
Moreover, 53.125% of SACCOs in sodo zuriya found in financial
suffering while micro finance institutions continue to prosper and
boom in an environment and economy.
6
30
In 100000 ETB
25 21.89 5 4.23
16.67 3.08
13.91 15.54
20 4
2.19 2.59
(in 1000ETB)
15 3
10 2
5 1
0 0
1
2012 20132 3
2014 4
2015 5
2016 12012 2013
2 2014
3 2015
4 5 2016
year years
Average members saving trend Analysis Average loan disbursed trend Analysis
3.5 3.15
3 2.559 5 4.61
2.5 2.01 Average amount of loan 4
Average Total members saving
2.88
In 100000 ETB
2 1.608 in (100000ETB)
3
1.242 1.61 1.82
disbursed
1.5
2 1.51
1
1
0
0.5 1 2 3 4 5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0
year 10
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1 2
years
3 4 5
7
Average Rate of Return on Asset /Operating Efficiency
Trends Analysis.
7 6.34 5.99
6 5.39 5.16 5.28
5
Financial Performance/
Rate of return on asset
4
3
2
1
0 2012
1 2013
2 2014
3 2015
4 2016
5
MEAN
NO of
Responses
items
Inference
After testing the normality, the data had linear and non-linear components
hence the option is to carry out quadratic regression.
Model R2 F Sig
1.Linear 0.064 8.675 0.004
FP= 14.558 -6.41CT+ 1.067CT2 2.Quadratic 0.345 32.849 0.000
Model B SE T Sig
1 (Constant) 7.143 0.352 20.297 0.000
Competition from OMF -0.429 0.146 -0.254 0.004
2 (Constant) 14.558 1.057 13.532 0.000
Competition from OMFI -6.412 0.828 -7.746 0.000
Competition from OMFI squared 1.067 0.146 7.308 0.000
a. Dependent Variable: Financial performance
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Internal politics and financial Model R2 F Sig
performance 1.Linear 0.102 14.361 0.000
FP= 11.257-2.923IP+ 0.385IP2 2.Quadratic 0.188 14.445 0.000
(B-linear=-2.923,T-Statistic=-4.163,(P=0.000))
Figure -scatter plot Internal politics and Financial performance.
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Saving culture and Financial Model R2 F Sig
Linear 0.125 18.082 0.000
performance Quadratic 0.203 15.932 0.000
FP= 2.459+2.665SC -0.342SC2 , (B=2.665, T-statistic=4.110, (p-value=0.000))
Figure -scatter plot Saving culture and Financial performance.
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Liquidity Management and Financial Model R2 F Sig.
1.Linear 0.045 5.974 0.016
performance
FP= 2.767+2.240LM-0.319LM2 2.Quadratic 0.131 9.428 0.000
(B1=2.240,T-statictic =3.868,(P=0.000))
Figure -scatter plot Liquidity Management and Financial performance .
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Operating costs and Financial Model R2 F Sig
performance 1.Linear 0.048 6.343 0.013
FP= 4.915 -3.946OC+ 0.623OC2 2.Quadratic 0.350 33.637 0.000
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Model R2 F Sig.
Financial Reporting and financial performance
1.Linear 0.090 12.516 0.001
2.Quadratic 0.222 17.835 0.000
FP= -0.908+5.174FR-0.851FR2
(B-linear=5.174,T-statistic =5.173,(P=0.000))
Figure -scatter plot Financial Reporting and Financial performance.
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Multiple regression Model R2 F Sig
1.Linear 0.472 18.012 0.000
2.Non-linear 0.736 26.729 0.000
Model Summary and Parameter Estimate
Model B SE T Sig.
1 (Constant) 5.601 0.647 8.654 0.000
Competition from Omo MFI -0.445 0.120 -3.698 0.000
Internal Politics -0.404 0.094 -4.299 0.000
Saving Culture 0.621 0.089 7.000 0.000
Liquidity management 0.071 0.078 0.912 0.363
Operating Cost -0.170 0.073 -2.330 0.021
Financial Reporting 0.498 0.159 3.140 0.002
Constant -0.461 1.662 -0.278 0.782
2
Competition from Omo MFI -0.795 0.159 -4.997 0.000
Internal Politics -0.142 0.471 -0.301 0.764
Saving Culture 1.383 0.584 2.369 0.019
Liquidity management 0.834 0.504 1.655 0.101
Operating Cost -1.441 0.404 -3.569 0.001
Financial Reporting 4.741 0.769 6.163 0.000
Competition from OMFI squared 0.691 0.119 5.811 0.000
Internal politics Squared -0.012 0.071 -0.167 0.868
Saving culture squared -0.151 0.091 -1.661 0.099
Liquidity Management Squared -0.139 0.080 -1.730 0.086
Operating Cost squared 0.221 0.066 3.361 0.001
Financial Reporting squared. -0.820 0.142 -5.788 0.000
a. Dependent Variable: Financial performance
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Thank You !!
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08:11:49 AM
ABEJE ABERA, WSU