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Sampling Distribution-2: Unit-5

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Sampling Distribution-2

Unit-5
Marginal error
If the unknown proportion p is not expected to be too close to 0 or 1, we can
establish a confidence interval for p by considering the sampling distribution of
P^. Designating a failure in each binomial trial by the value 0 and a success by
the value 1, the number of successes, x, can be interpreted as the sum of n values
consisting only of 0 and 1s, and ˆp is just the sample mean of these n values. Hence,
by the Central Limit Theorem, for n sufficiently large, P^ is approximately normally
distributed with mean
Marginal error:
Consider the problem where we wish to estimate the difference between two binomial
parameters p1 and p2. For example, p1 might be the proportion of smokers with lung
cancer and p2 the proportion of nonsmokers with lung cancer, and the problem is to
estimate the difference between these two proportions. First, we select independent
random samples of sizes n1 and n2 from the two binomial populations with means n1p1
and n2p2 and variances n1p1q1 and n2p2q2, respectively;
then we determine the numbers x1 and x2 of people in each sample with lung cancer
and form the proportions ˆp1 = x1/n and ˆp2 = x2/n. A point estimator of the
difference between the two proportions, p1 − p2, is given by the statistic ^P1 − ^ P2.
Therefore, the difference of the sample proportions, ˆp1 − ˆp2, will be used as the
point estimate of p1 − p2.

Choosing independent samples from the two populations ensures that the variables
^P1 and ^ P2 will be independent, and then by the reproductive property of the
normal distribution established in Theorem 7.11, we conclude that ^ P1 − ^P2 is
approximately normally distributed with mean
Paint Drying Time: Two independent experiments are run in which two different types of
paint are compared. Eighteen specimens are painted using type A, and the drying time, in
hours, is recorded for each. The same is done with type B. The population standard
deviations are both known to be 1.0.
Assuming that the mean drying time is equal for the two types of paint, find
P(  ̄ XA−  ̄ XB > 1.0), where  ̄ XA and  ̄ XB are average drying times for samples
of size nA = nB = 18.
The television picture tubes of manufacturer A have a mean lifetime of 6.5 years and a
standard deviation of 0.9 year, while those of manufacturer B have a mean lifetime of 6.0 years
and a standard deviation of 0.8 year. What is the probability that a random sample of 36 tubes
from manufacturer A will have a mean lifetime that is at least 1 year more than the mean
lifetime of a sample of 49 tubes from manufacturer B?

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