Hima16 SM 11
Hima16 SM 11
Hima16 SM 11
11-A1 (15-25 min.) Answers are printed in the text at the end of the assignment material.
1 & 2. The model indicates that the computers should be acquired because the net
present value is positive.
2. The computers should be acquired. The net present value rises, and now it is
positive:
After-tax impact of disposal on cash: .60 × ($90,000 - 0) $ 54,000
PV is $54,000 × .7118 $ 38,437
Net present value as above (16,318)
New net present value $ 22,119
3. This requirement demonstrates that the choice of a discount rate often is critical.
* Short-cut using Exhibit 11-7: .6441 × .45 × $2,000,000 = $579,690, which differs from
the $579,741 computed above only because of rounding error.
**Factors .1429, .2449, etc. are from Exhibit 11-6.
Summary:
Present value of cash effects of operations $ 1,204,919
Present value of cash effects of depreciation 579,741
Total after-tax effect on cash $ 1,784,660
Investment (2,000,000)
Net present value is negative, so don't acquire $ (215,340)
2. The 7-year MACRS analysis will apply regardless of the economic life of the
equipment. The only change from requirement 1 will be the added five years of
cash effects from operations:
This change can be incorporated by re-computing the value of the $231,000 after-
tax inflow but now for 15 years, and then using that in the calculation:
Present value @ 14%: $231,000 × 6.1422 $1,418,848
Alternatively, the change can be incorporated by finding the present value of the
additional 5 years of $231,000 after tax savings, and adding it to the previous
NPV:
PV of $231,000 per year for 5 years at 14%
= 3.4331 × $231,000 = $793,046
To account for the delay of 10 years before
savings begin: $793,046 × .2697 $213,885*
NPV as above (215,340)
NPV is still negative, so don’t acquire. $(1,455)
* Or, $231,000 × (6.1422 – 5.2161) = $231,000 × .9261 = $213,929, which gives
the same NPV as the first approach, $(1,411).
The small relative difference in the answers here is attributable to rounding of the
present value factors. The two alternative approaches are conceptually identical
but because the present value factors are rounded to four decimal places, the
computations are numerically slightly different.
Many students forget to add the cash proceeds to the tax effect. Answers are in
dollars.
1. Using the right table is essential. Factors for this part are from Table 1:
(a) PV = $22,000 × .7473 = $16,440.60
(b) PV = $22,000 × .6209 = $13,659.80
(c) PV = $22,000 × .5194 = $11,426.80
4. Contract Y has the higher present value despite the lower total dollars paid:
1 & 2. The model indicates that the equipment should be acquired because the net
present value is positive.
Sketch of Cash Flows
14% Total (in thousands)
Discount PV 0 1 2 3 4 5
Factor @ 14%
Cash effects of operations,
$140,000 3.4331 $ 480,634 140 140 140 140 140
Investment (420,000) (420)
Net present value $ 60,634
2. The equipment should not be acquired. The net present value is negative.
2. The major reason for this requirement is to underscore the fact that the present
value of the depreciation tax savings is unchanged regardless of the length of the
economic life of the asset.
Alternative calculation to just add present value of 6th year of operational inflow:
PV of the $41,250 to be received in the 6th year,
$41,250 × .5645 factor $ 23,286
NPV as above (39,241)
NPV is still negative, so don’t acquire. $(15,955)
Note that the alternative approaches are conceptually identical but differ numerically due
to rounding of the present value factors.
Many students forget to add the cash proceeds to the tax effect. Answers are in
dollars.
1. 2.
Note: The cash effects of MACRS depreciation can be computed more easily using Exhibit 11-7. Present value of tax savings =
Original cost × Tax rate × Factor from 11-7 = $300.000 × .45 × .7733 = $104.396. This differs slightly from the $104.388
calculated above because of rounding.
11-2 Discounted cash flow is a superior method for capital budgeting because it
measures profitability and takes into account the time value of money.
11-3 No. A higher required rate of return reduces the present value of future cash
inflows and outflows, and hence the difference between them. The initial investment (at
time zero) is unaffected. Therefore, the net present value is less. Higher discount rates
reduce the price a company should be willing to pay.
11-4 No. It is true that the DCF model assumes certainty and perfect capital markets.
But all practical capital budgeting models make even more limiting assumptions. The
DCF model is not perfect, but in most situations it is the best practical alternative.
11-5 Yes, double counting does occur if depreciation expense is considered separately.
The cost of an investment is represented by its cash outflow at year zero. An additional
consideration of depreciation would be double counting. Note, however, that the tax
savings from depreciation is considered separately.
11-6 No. The IRR and NPV models generally make the same decision. Suppose we
compute the NPV of a project using the cost of capital as the discount rate. If its NPV is
greater than zero, then its IRR is generally greater than the cost of capital.
11-7 The real-options model recognizes the value in allowing investment in stages –
that is, contingent investments. If managers can adjust the investment after gaining the
information from the early stages, they can make better decisions about late-stage
investments. Projects that allow this ability to make adjustments are often better than
similar investments that require the entire investment up front.
11-8 Sensitivity analysis is especially appropriate for organizations that do not have
accurate cash flow predictions. Sensitivity analysis can help a manager decide whether it
is worth gathering information to improve cash flow predictions.
11-9 The differential approach should lead to the same choice between alternatives as
the total approach because it merely disregards the factors that are constant for each
alternative: those that make no difference.
11-10 The NPV model is appropriate for all types of investments. However, with some
types of investments, such as those in advanced technology, NPV must be carefully
applied. Managers should quantify as many qualitative effects as best as possible and
include them in the model, or they should consider them as subjective factors in addition
to the NPV analysis.
11-12 No. Two sets of books are appropriate. The objectives of tax reporting and
shareholder reporting differ; therefore, the rules for reporting to each differ. If companies
used tax rules for financial reporting, users of the statements would not receive the
information they judge to be most useful. Likewise, if tax authorities accepted financial
reporting rules, certain social goals sought by the taxation system would not be met.
11-13 Tax avoidance is the achieving of a reduction in income tax payments through
legal means; tax-evasion achieves the same end through illegal means. Tax avoidance is
considered moral; tax evasion, immoral. Tax avoidance uses the rules of the system (tax
laws) in an optimum way; tax evasion disregards the rules.
11-15 Companies should prefer accelerated rather than straight-line depreciation for tax
purposes because it provides a bigger present value of tax savings by reducing taxable
income more during the earlier years of an asset's life. Because of the time value of
money, immediate tax savings are more valuable than tax savings in the future.
11-16 Yes. Two streams may be identified: (a) inflows from operations and (b) savings
of income tax outflows (which are often regarded in capital budgeting as additions to
inflows).
11-17 Because of the time value of money, the earlier a company takes tax deductions
and thereby saves taxes, the larger the present value of the tax savings.
11-18 Yes. MACRS treats assets as if they were purchased at midyear, so they have
depreciation effects for one tax year more than the number of years of their depreciable
lives. For example, if a company purchases a three-year MACRS asset during 2010 and
pays taxes on a calendar year basis, its depreciation begins July 1, 2010, and extends
through June 30, 2013, affecting taxes in 4 years (2010, 2011, 2012, and 2013).
11-19 No. Depreciation is never a cash outlay. The depreciation amount is used to
predict the income tax cash effect, but depreciation itself is not a cash effect.
11-23 The three components of the market or nominal interest rate are: 1) risk-free
element, or pure rate of interest, 2) business-risk element, and 3) inflation element.
11-24 The correct analysis under inflation (a) uses a required rate that includes an
element attributable to inflation and (b) explicitly adjusts the predicted operating cash
flows for the effects of inflation.
11-26 The net present value of an investment project represents the increase (or
decrease) in the value of the firm from investing in the project, provided the cash flows
and cost of capital are estimated correctly. Thus, implementing a positive net present
value project will increase the company’s value, while implementing a negative net present
value project will decrease it.
11-27 The direct cash flows are the easiest to predict. These would include the
investment in the new machine (less any salvage value of the old machine), the savings in
labor and other variable operating costs because of the decreased production time per unit,
and the estimated salvage value of the new machine at the end of its economic life. Those
more difficult to measure are revenue from increased sales because of higher quality or
more timely delivery schedules, cost savings from reworking defective units because of the
more accurate standards of the new machine, and decreased storage costs because the
faster production process allows quicker adaptation to changes in demand and thus less
need for large inventories.
11-28 The first situation is reasonably clear. There is no legal or ethical reason not to
take the depreciation allowed by the tax law. The second is much more problematic.
Investing offshore is generally not illegal, although its ethics might be questionable. If the
offshore investment is really a sham to avoid (or evade) taxes while the company still takes
advantage of the business climate provided in the U. S. for most of its business, it is not
11-30 (10 min.) The initial step on solving present value problems focuses on a
basic question: Which table should I use? No computations should be made until you are
convinced that you are using the correct table.
1. Use Table 1, row 10, 4% column. Bank of America will lend $506,700,000. The
$750 million is a future amount. Its present value is:
PV = $750,000,000 × .6756 = $506,700,000
2. Use Table 2, row 10, 4% column. Bank of America will lend $608,317,500. The
$75 million is a uniform periodic payment at the end of a series of years.
Therefore, it is an annuity. Its present value is:
PV = $75,000,000 × 8.1109 = $608,317,500
A
11-35 (20-25 min.) This basic exercise develops comfort with the tables and the NPV
method.
Number of years 7 18 18 28
Amount of annual cash inflow $8,000 $13,749b $ 30,000 $ 16,000
Required initial investment $37,967a $70,000 $50,000 $29,000
Required rate of return 10% 18% 8%c 20%
Net present value $ 980 ($10,009) $231,157 $50,515d
a
(4.8684 × $8,000) - $980 = $38,947 - $980 = $37,967
b
(5.2732 × CF) - $70,000 = ($10,009); CF = ($70,000 - $10,009) 5.2732 = $11,377
c
(F × $30,000) - $50,000 = 231,157; F = $281,157 $30,000 = 9.3719
On the 18 year row, the factor 9.3719 is a 8% rate
d
PV Factor for 20% on 28-year row is 4.9697; $16,000 × 4.9697 = $79,515
NPV= $79,515 - $29,000 = $50,515
3. The higher the required rate of return, the lower the NPV of future cash flows.
Potential investments that have an initial cash outflow for investment followed by
cash inflows will be less desirable the higher the required rate of return. In this
case the higher required rate of return makes the investment undesirable.
This problem deals essentially with sensitivity analysis, which asks how the basic
forecasted results will be affected by changes in the critical factors (useful life, cash flows)
that influence rate of return.
The month and day on which an asset is acquired does not affect its tax
depreciation. MACRS applies the half-year convention to all assets, taking ½ year of
depreciation in the year of acquisition and ½ year of depreciation in the final year of the
recovery period.
20X8 20X9
1. 3-year property: 33.33% & 44.45% of $55,000 $18,332 $24,448
2. 5-year property: 20% and 32% of $3,500 700 1,120
3. 5-year property: 20% and 32% of $16,000 3,200 5,120
4. 7-year property: 14.29% and 24.49% of $9,500 1,358 2,327
2. $7,000 × 6.1446 = $43,012. The company should buy because the net present
value is a positive $43,012 - $28,000 = $15,012.
1 & 2. See Exhibit 11-49 on the following page for requirements 1 and 2.
2. Incorrect Analysis
Cash operating inflows
after taxesd 2.6893 $ 244,726 <––––––—91,000 91,000 91,000 91,000 91,000
Tax effect of depreciation
(same as above) 57,158
Investment in equipment 1.0000 (290,000) (290,000)
Net present value $ 11,884
Note how income taxes have a two-edged effect. They chop the present value of
the cash operating savings by 40%, but the depreciation deduction provides
income tax savings.
3. The analysis in Requirement 2 is correct. The cash flows and the required rate of
return incorporate the 10% rate of inflation. In Requirement 1, the 18% required
rate of return includes an inflation element, but the predicted cash flows ignore
inflationary effects.
*Amounts are computed by multiplying (150,000 × .6) = 90,000 by 1.10, 1.10 2, 1.10 3, etc.
Xerox:
Oper. cash flows 5.2161 $(434,334) (83,268) (83,268) … (83,268) (83,268)
Difference in favor of
replacement $ 45,696
INCREMENTAL APPROACH:
Initial investment 1.0000 $(58,250)
Annual operating
cash savings 5.2161 103,946 19,928 19,928 … 19,928 19,928
Net present value
of purchase $ 45,696
3. a. How flexible is the new machinery? Will it be useful only for the presently
intended functions, or can it be easily adapted for other tasks that may arise over
the next 5 years?
b. What psychological effects will it have on various interested parties?
The initial purchase cost of the golf course and the operating receipts and
disbursements for the first season of ownership are irrelevant to the present decision. The
relevant annual costs which Ms. Driver should take into consideration are:
Electricity, (300 × 1 KW) × (130 × 5 hrs.) × $.08 per KWH $15,600
Labor cost, 130 × $75 9,750
Light bulb cost 1,500
Repairs and maintenance of lighting system, .04 × $90,000 3,600
Property taxes, .017 × $90,000 1,530
Total additional operating expenses $31,980
Annual revenue from night operations:
Years 1 and 2: 130 × $420 $54,600
Years 3, 4, and 5: 130 × $300 $39,000
One-time cash flows:
Present value of initial investment $90,000
Salvage value, year 5 $35,000
Example of Cash Flow Analysis
PV PV of
Revenue Expenses Net Flow Factor Cash Flows
Year 1 $54,600 - $31,980 = $22,620 .9091 $20,564
Year 2 54,600 - 31,980 = 22,620 .8264 18,693
Year 3 39,000 - 31,980 = 7,020 .7513 5,274
Year 4 39,000 - 31,980 = 7,020 .6830 4,795
Year 5 74,000 - 31,980 = 42,020 .6209 26,090
Present value of cash flows $75,416
Since the present value of the annual cash flows is $14,584 less than the initial
investment of $90,000, the proposed lighting system should not be installed. If significant
increases in revenue were predictable, the plan might become attractive to Ms. Driver.
Total
PV Present Sketch of Cash Flows ( in thousands)
Factor Value 0 1 2 3 4 5
Old machine:
Operating cash
Outflows 3.00 £(150,000) (50) (50) (50) (50) (50)
Disposal value .40 1,600 4
Present value £(148,400)
New machine:
Net cash outlay
(£57,000- £12,000) 1.00 £ (45,000) (45)
Operating cash
outflows 3.00 (120,000) (40) (40) (40) (40) (40)
Disposal value .40 800 2
Present value £(164,200)
NPV in favor of
old machine £ 15,800
The old machine minimizes the present value of future costs by £15,800.
The requirements of the problem focus on the incremental approach. The total project
approach could view the problem as choosing the alternative that minimizes the net
present value of the future costs:
Present:
Operating cash outflows, $10,000 × 6.000 $(60,000)
Proposed:
Operating cash inflows, $2,000 × 6.000 $ 12,000
Termination pay (35,000)
Equipment (19,000)
Total $(42,000)
Difference in favor of proposed investment $ 18,000
2. The minimum amount of annual revenue that MTA would have to receive to justify the
investment would be that amount yielding an incremental net present value of zero. As
the initial investment is constant, any change in the incremental net present value is due
solely to a change in the amount of revenue. Therefore, the maximum drop in the
incremental net present value of $18,000 equals the maximum drop in the present value
of the revenue stream. This implies a maximum drop of $18,000 ÷ 6 = $3,000 in
annual revenue and a minimum amount of annual revenue of $15,000 - $3,000 =
$12,000.
Let X = Revenue at point of indifference, where net present value is zero
NPV= PV of (New annual cash flows - Old annual cash flows) –
Required investment
0 = 6.000[(X - 13,000) - (-10,000)] - 54,000
Part 2 demonstrates sensitivity analysis, where the manager may see the potential impact
of the possible errors in the forecasts of revenue. Such analysis shows how much of a margin of
safety is available. In this case, his "best guess" is revenue of $15,000 (part 1). Sensitivity
analysis shows him that a decline of revenue would have to occur from $15,000 to $12,000
before the rate of return on the project would decline to the minimum acceptable level.
If 10% is the minimum acceptable rate of return, the minimum acceptable net present
value must be zero, using the 10% rate:
NPV = PV of future cash flows - Initial investment
Let X = Annual cash inflow
Then 0 = 6.000(X) - $54,000
X = $54,000 ÷ 6.000 = $9,000
Many students will stop at this point, giving an answer of $9,000. But the problem
asks for the minimum amount of revenue, as distinguished from the difference in cash
flows. The following analysis shows that revenue can fall to $12,000. Note also that
there can be negative cash flows under both alternatives; the alternative with the least
negative cash flow is preferable:
Difference in
Present Proposed Cash Flows
Revenue $200,000 $12,000
Expenses 210,000 13,000
Net cash flow from operations $ (10,000) $ (1,000) $9,000
1.
Discount Present
Factor Value of Sketch of Cash Flows (thousands)
at 18% Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4
End of Year
A. Continue with
2. The PV of back-haul revenue must fall by $10,815 before the net present value equals
zero. Therefore, the total present value of back-haul revenue would need to be
$340,298 less $10,815, or $329,483.
(a) If the back-haul agreement can be canceled by Retro at any time, the truck
becomes a more risky investment since the back-haul revenue is needed to make
the investment produce a return of 18% or more.
(b) What is the outlook for other investments over the life of the truck investment?
Does purchasing the truck preclude taking advantage of more favorable
opportunities during the 4-year life of the truck?
(c) Does the management have the required expertise to run the truck operation
efficiently?
(d) Will the truck give the company better service than common carriers?
(e) How certain are the predicted cash flows? Are shipment figures and operating
cost predictions considered to be relatively accurate?
1. Straight-line depreciation:
Annual depreciation = $50,000 ÷ 5 = $10,000 per year
PV of tax savings = $10,000 × .40 × 3.6048 = $14,419
2. MACRS depreciation:
3. Immediate write-off:
$50,000 × .4 = $20,000
4. Mr. Hiramatsu would prefer immediate write-off. Note that the total tax savings is
$20,000 under all three methods. However, only the immediate write-off provides the
entire savings immediately. Straight-line depreciation delays receipt of the tax savings
the longest, and therefore it has the lowest present value.
1. See Exhibit 11-58 on the following page. There is a net disadvantage in purchasing
because the net present value is slightly negative. However, such a slight quantitative
disadvantage could be more than offset by positive factors not quantified here.
C. PV of tax savings:
Annual depreciation = $632,500 ÷ 27.5 = $23,000
Annual tax savings = $23,000 × .38 = $8,740
PV of tax savings for 10 years = $8,740 × 6.1446 = $53,704
The net present value is positive, so the NPV model indicates that Hersch should purchase the apartment complex.
2. Net income:
Revenues ¥330,000
Less expense:
Depreciation ¥ 35,000
Other 165,000 200,000
Operating income ¥130,000
Less income tax (60%) 78,000
Net income ¥ 52,000
You might note that 4.6 years is a reasonably long payback period for United States companies, and many companies would be
inclined to reject such a project. However, in Japan managers tend to take a longer-run point of view, and a 4.6-year payback
period is often acceptable.
1.
Table of Cash Flows:
Net Deprec-
End Operating Operating After-Tax iation Net
Of Cash Cash Operating Tax Cash
Year Inflow Outflow Cash Flow Shield Flow
2013 $ 0 $199,500 $(199,500) $0 $(199,500)
2014 100,000 100,000 0 11,400* 11,400
2015 220,000 180,000 24,000** 11,400 35,400
2016 340,000 260,000 48,000 11,400 59,400
2017 460,000 320,000 84,000 11,400 95,400
2018 470,000 280,000 114,000 11,400 125,400
2019 410,000 200,000 126,000 11,400 137,400
2020 150,000 120,000 18,000 11,400 29,400
* ($199,500 ÷ 7) × .4 = $11,400
** ($220,000 - $180,000) × (1 - .4) = $24,000; etc.
2. The payback time is just under four years as shown by the Cumulative Net Cash Flow column. Because the maximum allowable
payback period is 3 years, DGI would not produce the game if the company uses the payback method.
3. The NPV is $35,878. The project has an NPV greater than zero at a discount rate of 18%. Therefore, the company would produce
the game if it uses the NPV method.
4. The payback model and NPV model lead to different decisions. In general, the NPV method leads to better decisions than the
payback model because the payback model doesn’t measure profitability. Therefore, DGI should probably accept the project and
produce the game. A final recommendation would also depend on other factors such as
Potential for proprietary position – such as an important patent that provides a market advantage,
Potential for collaborations and outside funding,
Need to establish competency in a technology,
Potential for spin-off products, and
Need to round out a profitable product line.
b. Note the rate of return is not twice the 8.9%. Why? Because the
investment at the end of eight years is not zero:
Investment at end of 8 years: $35,000 + $7,000 = $ 42,000
Initial investment 258,000
Total $300,000
"Average" investment: $300,000 ÷ 2 = $150,000
Rate of return is $23,000 ÷ $150,000 = 15.3%
The investment in the lift is more profitable on an after-tax basis than on a pretax
basis.
1. See Exhibit 11-66 on the following page for the solution to requirement.
2. The greatest difficulty is the reliability of the numbers in a world of uncertainty.
Although "the numbers" indicate the truck is a favorable alternative, the following
other factors could influence the final decision:
(a) If the back-haul agreement can be canceled by Retro at any time, the truck
becomes a more risky investment since the back-haul revenue is needed to make
the investment produce an after-tax return of 20% or more.
(b) What is the outlook for other investments over the life of the truck investment?
Does purchasing the truck preclude taking advantage of more favorable
opportunities during the 5-year life of the truck?
(c) Does the management have the required expertise to run the truck operation
efficiently?
(d) Will the truck give the company better service than common carriers?
(e) How certain are the predicted cash flows? Are shipment figures and operating
cost predictions considered to be relatively accurate?
3. Correct analysis of inflation can affect decisions. Using a required rate of return
that includes an inflation element but neglecting to adjust cash inflows for
inflation will understate the present value, causing possible rejection of desirable
projects.
2. Pessimistic:
Annual savings = EEK 800,000 - EEK 520,000 = EEK 280,000
Economic life = 5 years
NPV = (EEK 280,000 × 3.6048) - EEK 2,800,000
=EEK 1,009,344 - EEK 2,800,000 = EEK (1,790,656)
Optimistic:
Annual savings = EEK 800,000 + EEK 520,000 = EEK 1,320,000
Economic life = 10 years
NPV = (EEK 1,320,000 × 5.6502) - EEK 2,800,000
= EEK 7,458,264 - EEK 2,800,000 = EEK 4,658,264
This analysis shows that predictions of savings and economic life can greatly
affect the decision. Although the expected NPV is EEK 1,174,080, it is possible
that the realized NPV might be as low as a negative EEK 1,790,656. It might be
worthwhile to gather more information about the savings and economic life
before making the decision.
Cash operating savings 3.4331 $ 6,866 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
New machine, investment 1.0000 (7,000) (7,000)
Net present value $ (134)
2. Correct Analysis:
(Includes an inflation element in
both the discount rate and the
predicted cash flows.)
The company should be concerned with the amount of investment specified. The
system can be purchased for EEK 2,800,000, but might additional costs be incurred
in implementing the system?
Will the quality of design be improved by the new system? Or might the system be
incapable of meeting current standards?
Maybe most important, the analysis is based on the implementation of CAD only. Is
there any chance that the CAM portion will be used? If so, the purchase has more
value than shown in the analysis of CAD only.
11-69 (30-40 min.) This case focuses on the appropriate baseline for NPV analysis for an
investment in a high technology production system. It highlights the possible loss of
competitive position if the company does not undertake the investment. The potential
magnitude of errors from omission of some factors in an NPV analysis is shown.
The investment in the CIM has a negative NPV of more than $1,850,000. It appears
that it would be a mistake to invest.
The current market share of 40% and sales of $12 million implies that each 1% of the
market is worth sales of $12,000,000 ÷ 40 = $300,000. Current sales are
$12,000,000 and variable costs are $4,000,000 + $2,000,000 = $6,000,000, making
the contribution margin percentage 50%. Therefore, for each $1 of lost sales,
Nashville Tool loses $.50 in contribution margin. The loss of $300,000 in sales
results in a loss of $150,000 in contribution margin.
Lost Lost
Year Market Share Lost Sales Contribution Margin
2012 3% $ 900,000 $ 450,000
2013 6% 1,800,000 900,000
2014 9% 2,700,000 1,350,000
2015 12% 3,600,000 1,800,000
2016 15% 4,500,000 2,250,000
2017 18% 5,400,000 2,700,000
Combining the savings from variable costs with the savings in contribution margin,
the NPV becomes a positive $4,017,325, computed as follows:
The picture has changed radically from that in requirement 1. Avoiding the lost
contribution margin has made the CIM a very desirable investment.
3. To the Board of Directors:
I recommend that Nashville Tool invest in the new CIM system. I have made two net
present value analyses, the first one showing a negative NPV of more than
The first analysis compares revenues and costs under the CIM to those that would be
incurred if operations continue exactly as they did in 2011. However, if we do not
invest in CIM, operations will not continue the way they are today. Many of our
competitors are investing in technologically sophisticated production systems, and if
we do not invest, they will have advantages over us in quality of products, response
to design changes desired by our customers, and flexibility of delivery schedules.
Investment in the CIM will not only save variable costs of production, it will allow us
to maintain our market share.
The second analysis uses the correct baseline for comparisons. It compares the costs
and revenues with the CIM to those we expect if we do not invest. It includes
consideration of the lost sales, and therefore lost contribution margin, that we would
experience if our competitors gain a competitive advantage by investing in CIM while
we do not. If we do not upgrade to CIM or some similar system in the next six years,
we risk losing nearly half our business. This risk is much greater than that of not
achieving all the cost savings projected for the CIM.
In addition to the items included in my analysis, there are other potential benefits to
investing in the CIM. First, it encourages our employees to think about the
production process and places where we might eliminate or reduce non-value-added
activities. It also introduces technologically sophisticated operations so that future
expansion of similar activities may be easier.
In summary, cost savings alone do not justify investment in the CIM. But cost
savings are not the only advantage of investment. When we add the extra
contribution margins from business we will maintain only if we invest in the CIM,
plus other qualitative advantages, the investment is certainly desirable.
This problem includes a complex analysis of relevant costs in addition to its focus on
an investment decision. This solution will first identify the relevant costs in four categories:
1. Initial investment
2. Current annual quality control costs
3. Annual quality control costs with new process
4. Forgone profits if quality is not improved
Initial investment:
Worker training $950,000
X-ray machine 250,000
Total investment $1,200,000
Current annual quality control costs:
Inspection cost $ 30,000
Correction of defects (1,500 × $85) 127,500
Refunds to customers (500 × $210) 105,000
Total current quality control costs $ 262,500
2014 $ 0
2015 350,000 (5,000 × $70)
2016 700,000 (10,000 × $70)
2017 1,050,000 (15,000 × $70)
Therefore, the total annual cash flows from the change in the quality control process are:
Differences
Net Savings in Total Net Cash
in Quality Contribution Flow from
Control Costs Margin Operations
2014 $134,250 $ 0 $ 134,250
2015 134,250 350,000 484,250
2016 134,250 700,000 834,250
2017 134,250 1,050,000 1,184,250
The net present value of the investment in the new quality control is positive, so invest:
* Using the MACRS schedule for tax depreciation, the depreciation rate for each year of a 3-
year asset's life is shown in Exhibit 11-6:
Using Exhibit 11-7, we get .8044 × $1,800,000 × .4 = $579,168, which differs from $579,217
by a $49 rounding error.
The alternative with the lowest present value of cost is Alternative B, purchasing from
the outside supplier.
2. Among the major factors are (1) the range of expected volume (both large increases
and decreases in volume make the purchase of the parts relatively less desirable), (2)
the reliability of the outside supplier, (3) possible changes in material, labor, and
overhead prices, (4) the possibility that the outside supplier can raise prices before the
end of five years, (5) obsolescence of the products and equipment, and (6) alternate
uses of available capacity (alternative uses make Alternative B relatively more
desirable).
1. From Note 1, Nike uses the straight-line method for reporting to shareholders. Nike
probably uses MACRS, an accelerated depreciation method, for reporting to tax
authorities because that will maximize the present value of the tax savings from
depreciation.
2. From Note 3, the original cost of Nike’s machinery and equipment is $2,115.0 million.
If Nike invests an average of about $400 million a year, the average useful life would
be just over 5 years: $2,115.0 ÷ 400 = 5.2875 years.
3. Let CF be the minimum average annual pre-tax cash inflow:
$432,000,000 = CF × 3.4331
CF = $125,833,790
4. a) Payback period = $432,000,000 ÷ $125,833,790 = 3.43 years
b) Accounting rate of return:
Income = $125,833,790 – ($432,000,000 ÷ 5) = $39,433,790
Average investment = $432,000,000 ÷ 2 = $216,000,000
Accounting rate of return = $39,433,790 ÷ $216,000,000
= 18.3%
11-73 (20-30 min.) For the solution to this Excel Application Exercise, follow the step-by-step
instructions provided in the textbook chapter.
The investment and salvage values do not depend on the optimistic and pessimistic
forecasts:
Investment (1.0000 × $6,000,000) $(6,000,000)
Salvage value of facilities (.4761 × $1,200,000) 571,320
Total $(5,428,680)
If you believe the expected amounts, the product has a negative present value and
should not be launched.
Sharma might raise some of the following issues supporting the project:
The required rate of return is less than 16%.
The optimistic scenario is more likely than the pessimistic scenario, making the expected
cash flows more than those listed.
The cash flow predictions for either the optimistic or pessimistic scenarios (or both) are
understated.
The contribution margin is 58% rather than 50%.
The investment is less than $6 million.
For example, he might maintain that the required rate of
return for a project of this risk should be 12% instead of 16%. Then
the product’s expected net present value would be $5,434,000 -
$6,000,000 + (.5674 x $1,200,000) = $114,088:
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
Optimistic Expected Pessimistic
PV of Cash Present Cash Present Cash Present
$1 at Flow Value Flow Value Flow Value
Year 12% (1) × (2) (1) × (4) (1) × (6)
Or he might maintain that each expected cash flow should be $200,000 higher,
making the net present value $4,823,000 + ($200,000 × 3.2743) - $5,428,680 = $49,180. Or,
11-75 (35-50 min.) NOTE TO INSTRUCTOR: This solution is based on the web site as it
was in late 2012. Be sure to examine the current web site before assigning this problem, as
the information there may have changed.
1. Carnival Corporation operates 100 cruise ships under the following lines: Carnival
Cruise Lines, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises and Seabourn in North
America; P&O Cruises, and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; AIDA in Germany;
Costa Cruises in Southern Europe; Iberocruceros in Spain; and P&O Cruises in
Australia. At the time this solution was prepared, Carnival planned to add 9 new
cruise ships by March 2016, reflecting plans for significant growth in business.
2. From Carnival’s 2011 Annual Report, its capacity (defined as available berths) has
increased each of the last five years:
Passengers Carried Passenger Capacity (# of berths)
2007: 7,672,000 158,352
2008: 8,183,000 169,040
2009: 8,519,000 180,746
2010: 9,147,000 191,464
2011: 9,559,000 195,872
The passengers carried (capacity used) and capacity increased by about 24% from
2007 to 2011.
3. Carnival continues to expand its fleet, though some of the new vessels will replace
older ships. It has a total of 10 new vessels on order. Three of the ships will be
delivered in 2012 and the remaining 7 will be delivered at a rate of 2 or 3 per year.
4. In 2011, Carnival invested $2.7 billion in property and equipment, and Carnival used
about $1.1 billion of cash for financing activities, paying off short-term and long-term
debt, paying dividends, and purchasing treasury stock during the year. About $3.8
billion of cash was generated by operating activities.