2015-2019 NA Market Report For Hot Melt Adhesives - ASC (v1)
2015-2019 NA Market Report For Hot Melt Adhesives - ASC (v1)
2015-2019 NA Market Report For Hot Melt Adhesives - ASC (v1)
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2015-2019 HOT MELT ADHESIVES IN NORTH AMERICA MARKET REPORT
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Table of Contents
Introduction 3
Definitions 7
Methodology 8
North American Demand and Growth Forecasts 11
Executive Summary 14
Regional Demand Statistics 29
Transportation 32
Paper Board & Related Products 51
Hygiene 72
Ultrasonic Welding 89
Woodworking 97
Assembly Operations, B&C, Footwear & Leather, Consumer/DIY 111
Key M&A 124
Cutting Edge Research & New Technologies 133
Raw Materials Supply/Demand Dynamics 138
Hot Melt Adhesive Manufacturers 146
Channels 148
Concluding Thoughts 178
CONFIDENTIAL 2
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INTRODUCTION
CONFIDENTIAL
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Research Scope
Geographic Scope End Market Scope
Transportation Hygiene
Technology Scope
Bulk Hot Melts, Reactive
Hot Melts and Glue Sticks: Other
EVA- ethylene vinyl acetate
Building & Assembly Footwear & Consumer /
SBC- styrene block copolymer
Construction Operations Leather DIY
PO- Polyolefin
PUR- Polyurethane
PES- Polyester
PA- Polyamide
Other- Silicone, butyl, etc.
CONFIDENTIAL 4
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Qualitative Interview Coverage
CONFIDENTIAL 5
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Segmentation Coverage in U.S. Markets
CONFIDENTIAL 6
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Industry Definitions
This industry market report is based on the Adhesive & Sealant
Harmonized Industry Definitions developed by the joint collaboration
between the ASC, FEICA and CATIA. This industry reference guide contains
definitions of adhesive and sealant technology families and end-use
market segments. Readers of this industry market report will be able to
refer these harmonized definitions by accessing the ASC website at:
CONFIDENTIAL 7
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Methodology
The ChemQuest Group (ChemQuest) has been engaged in
consulting and market assessment to the adhesives &
sealants market since the founding of the company in 1976.
ChemQuests proprietary databases, experience, insight and
focus represent a strong base of knowledge of the end
markets and technologies in the industries it serves.
ChemQuest assembled this analysis utilizing predominantly
primary interviews with constituent companies within the
HMAs value chain and further supported via a
comprehensive search of secondary information (relevant
published information, internet searches, trade publications,
etc.). ChemQuest conducted in excess of ninety primary
interviews across the HMAs value chain within the U.S.,
Canada and Mexico.
CONFIDENTIAL 8
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Examples of Companies Interviewed
CONFIDENTIAL 9
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Disclaimer
This report contains qualitative comments obtained from various end
user respondents participating throughout the hot melt adhesives
value chain. While their opinions provide insights, they should not be
considered representative of the industry as a whole, ASC or
ChemQuest.
CONFIDENTIAL 10
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Market size by volume and sales by segment
Paper Board, Transportation and Assembly Operations are by far the most
representative sectors utilizing hot melt adhesives within North America.
Combined, these sectors accounted for 78% of volume and 70% of sales in 2015.
2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives 2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives
2.4 Bn Pounds $4.0 Billion
Footwear & Footwear & Leather
Consumer/DIY Leather Consumer/DIY 0.2%
1% 0.1% 2%
Building & Building &
Construction Construction
Assembly 7% Transportation 8%
Operations 24% Transportation
11% 29%
Assembly
Woodworking Operations
5% 22%
Hygiene
9%
Woodworking
6% Paper Board &
Related Products
Paper Board &
Hygiene 19%
Related Products
14%
43%
11
Quick Insight Market Dynamics
Market Volume
2,409 Million Lbs.
Base Year 2015 Feedstock Stability
Market Revenue
$3,984 Million USD Industry Trends
Base Year 2015
Intermediate
Price Sensitivity Threat of Imports
CONFIDENTIAL 12
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Key Customer Selection Criteria
Curing time, higher performance unmet needs and price sensitivity play a
significant role in customer purchasing decisions. Transportation, assembly,
building & construction and hygiene segments are driving higher performance
requirements (e.g. solvent replacement, processing efficiency, heat resistance).
Price Environmental Hi-Performance Specification Substitution
Curing Time
Sensitivity Regulations Unmet Needs Driven Threat
Paper Board
Transportation
Assembly
Operations
Hygiene
Building &
Construction
Woodworking
Consumer /
DIY
Footwear &
Leather
High Important Intermediate Low
13
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
CONFIDENTIAL 14
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North American hot melt adhesive market achieved nearly
$4.0 Bn in 2015, consuming over 2.4 Bn pounds with volume
forecast to grow at 2.8% CAGR 15-19
Canada USA Mexico
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 15
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Paper Board & Related Products and Transportation segments
account for two-thirds of demand
Paper Board & Related 2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives
Products is the largest market 2.4 Bn Pounds
Data in Lbs. and %
segments accounting for 42% Footwear &
transportation is second at
nearly one fourth of the share. Building &
Construction,
174, 7%
Woodworking, Consumer/DIY
followed by Footwear &
Leather account for the Paper Board &
Related
combined.
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 16
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Transportation applications are primary drivers of growth
1000 3.5%
800 3.0%
2.5%
600 2.0%
400 1.5%
1.0%
200 0.5%
0 0.0%
Paper
Hygiene & Building &
Board & Transportat Assembly Woodworki Consumer/ Footwear
Other Key Constructio
Related ion Operations ng DIY & Leather
Markets n
Products
NA Adhesives (MM lb) 1023 579 263 210 174 129 34 3
NA Adhesives ($ MM) 766 1157 892 558 329 234 55 8
4-yr. % CAGR (2015-2019) 2.1% 4.4% 2.0% 1.5% 3.0% 2.3% 3.0% 2.0%
Source: ChemQuest
The highest growth potential exists for transportation applications where hot melts find use in a
diverse and growing number of automotive (interior & exterior trim, seating, lamp assembly,
emblems, etc.) as well as non-automotive applications.
The total market continues to reflect above GDP volume growth of 2.8% per annum through 2019.
A number of market segments are exhibiting mature and competitive dynamics growing below
2.5% per annum. Examples include Paper Board & Related Products, Footwear & Leather, Hygiene
and Assembly Operations.
CONFIDENTIAL 17
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While some segments like Hygiene approach optimum
penetration, others like Building & Construction are coming off
the economic trough caused by the 2008 recession
Converting, specifically bookbinding, envelopes, bags and
tobacco applications are losing ground rapidly due to social
changes. For example, led by ubiquitous use of electronic
media, books and envelopes have declined profoundly, and
anti-smoking campaigns have negatively impacted tobacco
demand. Hygiene is heavily impacted by maximum
penetration in use of diapers and feminine products, albeit
adult care shows above average growth.
Building & Construction and Woodworking are finally seeing
a resurgence led by a recovery in residential and commercial
construction as well as resale of existing homes and surge in
multi-family units (driven heavily by Millennial preferences).
CONFIDENTIAL 18
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Polyolefins steadily gaining ground against EVAs and SBCs
Ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) and 2015 North American Hot Melt Adhesives
styrene block copolymer (SBC) hot Chemistry Types
melt adhesives maintain their
leading share of resin types in use,
with EVA at 37% share and SBC at Other
1%
31% respectively. PA PES
Both have been steadily losing PUR 4% 2%
4%
ground at the expense of polyolefins,
primarily due to metallocene EVA
substitution, as well as the rise in use PO 37%
of polyurethane hot melts. 21%
CONFIDENTIAL 19
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Polyurethane hot melts experiencing leading growth rate
Polyurethane hot melt adhesives 2015 Hot Melt Adhesives Hot Melt Adhesives
lead all other resin categories with North America Market North America Growth
expected growth rates of 7.4% per Share Trends 15-19 CAGR %
annum through 2019. Major areas
of use include, but not limited to Ethylene Vinyl
38% -0.3%
Transportation, Assembly Acetate
CONFIDENTIAL 20
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Diverse set of chemistries play important roles within the
North American hot melt adhesives industry
EVAs play a major role in Paper 2015 North American Hot Melt Demand
Board & Related Products, By Market Segment and Chemistry- 2.4 Bn Pounds
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 21
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Hot melt adhesives will maintain growth trajectory long-term
CONFIDENTIAL 22
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Hot melt adhesives possess a compelling value proposition as
perceived by adhesive users
There is growing confidence in advantages of hot melts. This value
proposition includes:
Weight reduction: Replacement of other adhesives leading to lower
weight components.
CONFIDENTIAL 23
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Innovations in hot melt adhesives and dispensing equipment
improve productivity and total cost
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
We switched to a higher quality and more expensive hot melt because it allowed
us to reduce our labor cost, eliminate downtime and reduce our waste. Its about
productivity and total cost.
Innovation in production process and dispensing technologies leads to
optimization of performance parameters and consumption of HM at lower
volumes.
Equipment innovations, like melt-on-demand, eliminated downtime, improved our
productivity and efficiency and reduced our volume of adhesive demand.
An adhesive that alleviates more than one line problem & reduces processing time
and labor cost will be substantially rewarded. Thats what we got from our hot melt
supplier even though it was more expensive compared to what we were using
prior.
Cracking of natural gas in addition to crude oil for hot melt feedstocks led to supply
stability in the near-term.
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 24
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Migration of contaminants, malodor and sustainability are
major themes that emerged during the course of this study
High concern of migration of contaminants and malodor from HM into food
products.
Sustainability guidelines changes in the air, consumer goods companies and
retailers will be demanding limitations on sourcing materials - no fuel or
food! sources will be accepted for future development. The concept of no
fuel or food means retailers and consumer product companies will not
accept sustainable solutions that will deplete food sources and/or originate
from crude oil. However, waste by products of such sources are acceptable.
For example, polymers coming from the corn kernel are not acceptable, but
the corn stalk, on the other hand is an acceptable source.
While sustainability is a top-of-mind expressed need, users are still not willing to
pay a premium. Rather, sustainability will be the differentiator in awarding new
business for those solutions that meet the desired performance criteria.
Consumers understand recycling far more than compostability. That said,
messaging that drives consumer behavior using words such as the famous 3-Rs
recycle, re-use, re-purpose are gaining popularity.
Packaging and hygiene are presently the major drivers of sustainability.
As recycling is becoming a standard procedure in these industries due to
environmental concerns, it is essential for hot melt manufacturers to develop
products showing excellent compatibility with the recycling processes.
CONFIDENTIAL 25
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Other key themes included technology substitution, changing
landscape of distribution channels and consumer behavior
Substitution trends active and dynamic
Reactive hot melt adhesives
Metallocenes
Liquimelt
Ultrasonic welding
Bio-based polymers
Changes in consumer behavior:
Online shopping;
Continues to take share away from brick & mortar stores;
Leading to Increased use of packaging for shipment to customers;
Increased popularity of bulk food purchasing through discount
outlets such as Sams, Costco, Aldi.
CONFIDENTIAL 26
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Amazon is changing the landscape of distribution channels
Amazon is changing the landscape of distribution:
Launch new generic diaper;
Provide small adhesive businesses access to new revenue stream via access to their
distribution centers as well as product customization to target customers through
web-optimization tools.
Amazon can often undercut a brick-and-mortar retailer on its significantly lower overhead
a. Amazon fulfillment centers are cheaper infrastructure vs. the store/warehouse model, with
optimal geographic locations in terms of "per-square-foot" real estate costs, facility
maintenance costs, and local taxes.
b. Amazon can also beat the brick-and-mortar retailer in terms of volume purchasing (placing a $1
million dollar order for diapers) and exclusive "drop ship" agreements with brand owners and
manufacturers.
c. Amazon fulfillment centers have higher
productivity and lower staffing costs due
to warehouse automation that isn't suitable
or safe in a consumer retail environment.
However, consumers like the convenience of
obtaining all of their groceries on their weekly
shopping list in one location at one time. Amazon
may be taking share from brick-and-mortar stores,
but in grocery shopping Amazon has stiff competition from stores due to the convenience
factor. From the consumer's perspective, traditional grocery shopping still takes less time vs.
online shopping (exception maybe large metropolitan cities like New York) for every item on their
weekly grocery list. With diapers specifically, an upper middle class working mother may indeed
prefer buying a month's supply of diapers on Amazon vs. lugging the large diaper packages home
from the store. Amazon addresses that need by offering free standard shipping for $49+ orders.
CONFIDENTIAL 27
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Rare peek inside Amazons fulfillment centers
www.wired.com/2014/06/inside-amazon-warehouse/
CONFIDENTIAL 28
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REGIONAL DEMAND STATISTICS
CONFIDENTIAL
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Mexico exceeds Canada in every hot melt adhesive segment
within North America
2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives - 2.4 Bn Pounds
Market Segment Demand By Country
U.S. shares by segment range from a low of 50% to a high of 90% of the total.
Mexicos overall share is 15% of the North American market.
Canada is the smallest country with 6% share of the market.
CONFIDENTIAL 30
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Mexico is also driving growth within North America
Mexico is exhibiting leading growth 2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives
rates of 4.1% per annum through Growth Trends By Country
2019 for hot melt adhesives. 2000
1889
4.5%
CAGR % 15-19
growth. Construction activities, 2.5%
growth. 400
365 1.0%
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 31
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TRANSPORTATION
CONFIDENTIAL
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Automotive applications dominate the use of hot melt
adhesives within the North American market
70% of hot melt demand in North 2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives
America is for various automotive Transportation Volume Share By Sub-segment
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 33
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Auto trim and non-auto applications in aggregate drive
growth in transportation
North America Hot Melt Adhesives
Transportation Volume & Value Growth Trends By Subsegment
400 6.0%
350
5.0%
4.0%
250
200 3.0%
150
2.0%
100
1.0%
50
0 0.0%
Total Non-auto
Auto interior/Trim (trucks, trailers, RVs, Auto exterior Auto Seating Auto Headliner Auto Lamp Assembly
etc.)
TOTAL NA Adhesives (MM lb) 174 168 116 52 41 23
TOTAL NA Adhesives ($ MM) 347 340 232 104 81 46
CAGR % 2015 - 2019 (Volume) 4.1% 4.7% 4.8% 3.8% 3.6% 4.4%
Source: ChemQuest
Auto exterior trim, the 2nd largest automotive application, exhibits the fastest growth potential within hot melt
adhesives with a forecasted CAGR growth of 4.8%.
Non-auto in aggregate for truck, bus, RV and trailer illustrate 4.7% growth potential.
Auto lamp assembly, is the smallest application, but third in growth at 4.4% per annum.
Auto interior trim, the largest application is fourth with 4.1% CAGR.
Auto seating and headliner, combined representing 16% of total volume are growing the slowest at 3.8% and
3.6% respectively.
CONFIDENTIAL 34
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TRENDS, DRIVERS AND DYNAMICS
CONFIDENTIAL 35
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Production in the Transportation sector in North America is
forecast to reach 20.1 million unit builds, a 1.2% CAGR 15-19
Light vehicles (auto, SUV and North America Transportation Production Forecast
pickup trucks) make up 93% of 2015-2019
production. 20.5
factors:
0.039
19.5 0.038 0.41 0.32
Continued economic recovery 0.036
0.40
0.31
Low interest rates 19
0.037
0.40 0.31
0.49
Million Units
0.37 0.46
18.5
The growth rates are conservative, 0.39
fuelled by household creation, 18
0.49
demand. 17 17.9
18.3
CONFIDENTIAL 36
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Auto/light vehicle trends favor adhesives applications long-term
CONFIDENTIAL 37
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Pronounced shift towards SUVs in light vehicles
Forecasted growth for auto and light vehicles through 2019 is 1.4% per
annum.
Driven largely by CAFE, product activity will be concentrated in the Small
and Compact segments over the forecast horizon. The combined market
share of both the Small and Compact segments is projected to grow to
46% by 2020.
There is also a pronounced shift towards SUVs
as more modern car-based models boast fuel
economy performance, ride comfort and
handling that is much improved from
the body-on-frame models of the past. CAFE
is forcing automakers to adjust their product portfolios, and OEMs are
concentrating on 7seat Midsize SUVs as peoplemovers as opposed to
the Large SUVs (such as the Chevy Suburban and Ford Expedition) of the
past. At the lower end, there are several B-sized SUVs slated to enter the
market, which is previously untapped territory in the US. These small
utilities will compete with models in several segments, notably Compact
Car and SUV, as well as Small Car.
CONFIDENTIAL 38
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Premium brands expanding in North America.
Mexico is outpacing its neighbors
Premium automakers are aggressively expanding their
line-ups. Most of this activity is aimed at the entry-level
luxury segment, with models such as the Mercedes Benz
CLA, Audi A3 and BMW 2 Series. These lower price points
at around $30,000 close the gap between Premium
vehicles and many non-Premium models, creating a new
dynamic that pressures the mainstream brands. Prestige,
perceived quality and dealership experience are some of
the factors that lead us to believe that Premium brands
will win the battle of the middle. Premium share will
grow to over 13% by the end of 2020.
Mexico has become the 7th largest manufacturer of
vehicles and the 1st in Latin America. Why the boom?
There are a number of reasons. Mexico has 10 free trade
agreements that give it access to 45 countries (and 1.2
billion people). Many manufacturers and industries are
moving to Mexico for the less expensive labor force,
rather than outsourcing manufacturing to Asia.
Companies looking to return are choosing Mexico (and
Brazil) for their near-shoring access. Mexico is forecast to
produce 5 million vehicles by 2020, representing 27%
share of North American production. Since 2000, Mexico
gained 11% share. Mexico is also the largest supplier of
auto parts to the U.S. market.
CONFIDENTIAL 39
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Lackluster performance continues to plague the medium &
heavy duty segment
Medium and heavy duty trucks
are expected to decline at -
2.8% CAGR through 2019.
A number of factors drive
lackluster performance:
Freight volumes,
A rather sluggish economy, Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Concerns of fleet overcapacity, The major sectors that drive motor freight transportation,
and construction, and vocational (bulk liquid and dump trucks)
activity - and ultimately tractor and straight truck purchases
Variable freight rates have there doesnt appear to be a catalyst for a break with the
performance trends.
combined to generate Procurement Director, Heavy Truck Manufacturer
disappointing fleet financials The average age of the tractor fleet was reported at 20
and, correspondingly, a months, the youngest fleet since Q107. This newer fleet
and the large growth in capacity combined with lackluster
reassessment of equipment freight demand will generate headwinds for significant fleet
requirements. growth in the near to medium term. Design Engineer,
Heavy Truck Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 40
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Trailers fare better than tractors short-term
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 41
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Green House Gas regulations will drive major redesign for
aerodynamics
EPAs Green House Gas
(GHG) phase 1 goes into
effect 1/2017.
Most of these changes
have not been significant
and mainly engine related.
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 42
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Overall conditions improved in RV
RV growth forecast is 2.2% per Class A
annum through 2019.
The industry has transitioned to
offering products with a much
broader range of sizes and price
points. This accommodates buyers
from more income brackets, Class B
allowing consumers to opt for
smaller, less expensive units, but it
detracts from the Type A (large RV)
market. Class C
Type A RVs fall into the Classes 5-7
vehicle weight range.
There are two other types of self-
propelled RVs, types B and C. Type
B units are van conversions, while
Type C are mini-motor homes. The
vast majority of these units are Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
below the Classes 5-7 vehicle
weight range. Growth in sales of smaller, less expensive, self-propelled
units is far outpacing that of the remaining market. As the
In addition, there is a growing industry has adapted, it has seen a preference for smaller,
offering of Type A RVs that fall into less expensive units, hence the contraction of the Type A
the Class 8 space. There are also a market. Design Engineer, RV Manufacturer
host of towable units.
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 43
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Bus builds steadily improve, continuing trend since 2010
CONFIDENTIAL 44
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UNMET NEEDS
CONFIDENTIAL 45
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Hot melt unmet needs focus on repair, surface prep and
bonding diversity
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Repairing parts with the hot melt technology is a big problem and
caused long delays in shipping. Parts have to be heated to 300
degrees F to break the hot melt bond for a repair.
Engineer, Auto OEM
Minimum surface preparation- can be an issue primarily at OE
assembly operations, but also at key Tier 1 suppliers. Surface prep
process costs can often equal or exceed actual assembly cost.
Adhesives that can work with minimal surface prep will be highly
favored. Engineer, Tier 1 Supplier
Assembly of major components will require the ability to bond
diverse and dissimilar substrates. Marketing Director, Adhesive
Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 46
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TECHNOLOGY DYNAMICS
CONFIDENTIAL
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The ChemQuest Group, Inc. 47
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All Rights Council All Rights Reserved
Reserved
Reactive hot melts taking share
CONFIDENTIAL 48
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Hot melt adhesives replacing epoxy in cosmetic spot welds
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 49
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Hot melt adhesives use is growing quickly in RV
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 50
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PAPER BOARD & RELATED
PRODUCTS
CONFIDENTIAL
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Case & Carton applications make up 90% of hot melt usage
90% of the 1.0 billion pound 2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives
Paper Board & Related Products Share By
market is for case and Subsegment
carton sealing.
Paper converting is second Tobacco
0.1%
with 6% of hot melt Envelopes
Paper 4%
demand.
Converting
6%
approximately 4% of
demand Case &
CONFIDENTIAL 52
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Case & Carton driving growth
600 0.0%
500 -1.0%
400 -2.0%
300
-3.0%
200
100 -4.0%
0 -5.0%
Case & Carton Paper Converting Envelopes Tobacco
TOTAL NA Adhesives (MM lb) 921 56 45 1
TOTAL NA Adhesives ($ MM) 623 106 35 2
CAGR % 2015 - 2019 (Volume) 2.5% 2.0% -4.0% -3.0%
Source: ChemQuest
Given bookbinding, bags, labeling and tray forming are out scope, then Case & Carton adhesives
used for packaging of fast moving consumer goods dominate.
The primary growth is coming from Case & Carton applications, where forecasts show a 2.5% CAGR
through 2019.
Converting follows with 2.2% growth per annum.
Unfortunately, envelopes and tobacco are both declining markets, with envelopes declining at 4%
while Tobacco is declining at 3% rate through 2019.
CONFIDENTIAL 53
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Paper board markets perceived as commodity
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 54
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TRENDS, DRIVERS AND DYNAMICS
CONFIDENTIAL 55
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Corrugated production in North America forecast to grow at a
moderate 1.7% per annum
North America ranks third North America Corrugated Production Forecast
2015-2019
overall behind China and 49000
2019. 45000
46277
44500 45420
44000
43500
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: International Corrugated Case Association (ICCA)
CONFIDENTIAL 56
CONFIDENTIAL
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Fast moving consumer goods dominate end-use applications
57
Major packaging themes driving greater segmentation and
higher demand for adhesives
Key Trends Packaging Implications
Rush Quick and easy purchasing
Pre-prepared ingredients, ready-to-eat meals
Down Aging Brand segmenting on 40+ yrs. old (have money)
Use trends from 20+ w/ convenience for 60+ yrs. old
My Space (Personal) Individualized packaging; single, aseptic portions, personalized
cosmetics
Correctness Ethically correct product & packaging
Escape Contents are safe with reliable taste leads to transparency, tamper
evident and organoleptic proof
See-Buy confidence
Mobility Instant meals, microwaveable, wide-mouth bottles, snap-on/off
closures, designs not requiring spoon/knife/fork, tough containers,
functional containers allowing direct use of product
Advertising space on the packaging and presentation
CONFIDENTIAL 58
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Tape preference for case sealing still outpaces adhesive
bonding
Ratio of packaging tape to HM
in case sealing is
approximately 65:35 but that is
reversed for carton sealing.
Decision factors related to use
of tape include:
Number of differing boxes in
production;
Speed of line vs. complexity Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
of operation;
Hot melts are less expensive with large dedicated, high speed
Labor skill level; application lines but tapes are more flexible from manufacturing
Aesthetics of package. standpoint. With new products would generally go with tapes due
to flexibility with smaller volume, start-up products. Currently,
probably 65 / 35 in favor of tape - however equipment in place at
a given packaging facility determines in part whether tape or hot
melt is used. Tape will give better seal against exteriors easier
for smaller packaging and becoming most cost effective. Recyclers
are not complaining about use of tape. HMA has its principal
value in high volume, long run manufacturing. Packaging
Supervisor, CPG
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 59
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Total cost of ownership and process efficiency drive decision
process
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
The drivers (for equipment) is total cost of ownership and process efficiency.
If you have a high-speed production line, tape is not the most efficient way
and the most cost-effective way to end-of-line packaging. Global Marketing
Director, Equipment Manufacturer
There are a lot of cartoning and packaging solutions that do not use HM.
For instance, take the on-line buying sector, e.g. Amazon etc. Most of those
packages are sealed with tape. That is different than packages you would
see in a supermarket, which are almost 100% closed with HM. Because they
are produced in an industrial environment, high volume, low mix. Where as
an on-line shop has high-mix, low volume. So, they have different sized
boxes and that is much more difficult to handle in a packaging machine than
using a hand-taper and somebody in a warehouse.
Engineering Director, Adhesive Dispensing Equipment Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 60
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Flexible packaging outpacing case & carton by 1.5-2X
CONFIDENTIAL 61
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Online shopping, bulk-food purchasing and time spent enjoying
home nesting projects is enhancing packaging growth
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from
respondents
Developed markets like U.S. and Canada
have been experiencing increases in spending
time at home with family and friends driving
more prepared packaged food requirements,
for example, the emergence of man-caves.
Brand Manager, CPG
Online shopping Continues to take share
away from brick & mortar stores and thus
increasing use of packaging for shipment to
customers. Marketing Manager, Retailer
Increased popularity of bulk food purchasing
through discount outlets such as Sams, Cosco,
Aldi.
Merchandizing Manager, Retailer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 62
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Convenience, healthy foods and recycling important growth drivers
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Increased demand for convenient (on-the-go lifestyles among increasingly time-constrained consumers),
quality and healthy foods to combat obesity. Eco-consciousness will push recycling efforts further upwards.
Buyers want more corrugated and paperboard.
Director, Packaging, CPG
Many of our customers want consumers, relative to packaging, to get more of an emotional experience or
more feeling associated with not just the food, if we do food packaging which is what we primarily do, but
more experience interacting with the packaging. Take coffee - Three things need to happen a good coffee.
The coffee needs to be good, a good experience while consuming the coffee in the package, and then in the
caf or store experience needs to be intimate for success. R&D Director, Converting Company
Growing requirements for brand enhancement/ differentiation in an increasingly competitive environment
will lead to more package segmentation and drive adhesive usage.
Packaging Manager, CPG
There is a trend towards smaller household as well as a move towards smaller package sizes as incidence of
families eating together at the dinner table becomes less common.
Brand Manager, CPG
Retailers have been experiencing substantial growth of retail/shelf-ready packaging (RRP/SRP).
Merchandizing Manager, Retailer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL
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Wave of new sustainability efforts surge ahead
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Sustainability efforts gain as environmental awareness surges:
Recycled content
Material reduction
Life cycle analysis
Distinct changes emerging relative to cradle-to-cradle LCA. The notion of Cradle to Cradle
(C2C) conveys a message of Do good instead of Do less bad implying that the C2C model is
sustainable and considerate of life and future generations. As a result, one large national
retailer for example is turning away from food & fuel origins toward by-products, protein and
sea. Sustainability Manager, National Retailer
Consumers understand recycling far more than sustainability and compostability. That said,
messaging that drives consumer behavior using words such as the famous 3-Rs recycle, re-use,
re-purpose are gaining popularity and would be consistent with CPG and Retailer voice-of-
customer findings. Sustainability Manager, National Retailer
Relative to consumer sustainability is a trend consumers want to know where their food and
where their packaging comes from. More specifically, more sustainable options such as paper
or certified paper; more Kraft or more natural is a trend. R&D Director, Paper Converter
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 64
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Food safety front and center
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Series of safety recalls leads to increased scrutiny and decreased consumer trust leading to
more prospects for legislation. Retailers taking serious measures by submitting for
voluntary inspections and certification by the Global Food Safety Initiative (GFSI). GFSI,
operated by The Consumer Goods Forum (U.S., Tokyo, Paris) is an industry-driven initiative
providing thought leadership and guidance for food safety management systems along the
supply chain. While threat of chemical migration is important, there are no standards
being established for preventative measures yet. CPGs, Retailers and GFSI monitoring
media, scientific studies, NGOs, etc., e.g. BPA, triclosan and parabens issues. Therefore,
media awareness and NGO pressures are driving the agenda more so than systematic
means to measure and detect contamination via scientific facts and/or unsafe practices.
GFSI recognizes the need and has the desire to create a standardized benchmarking
category code but priority now is on more important safety initiatives like:
Exposure of food to processing contamination.
Detecting food spoilage at retail outlets prior to sale to consumers.
Processing and handling of plant, animal and perishable products.
Production of food packaging is near the bottom of the list of priorities for now.
Chairman, Large National Grocery Chain.
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL
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Package technology focuses on active and MAP
CONFIDENTIAL
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UNMET NEEDS
CONFIDENTIAL 67
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Unmet need themes focus on processing robustness, malodor,
diversity and bio-based materials
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Still deficiencies in using hot melts vs. water-based systems like lower strength and
bad penetration into carton substrates. Packaging Line Supervisor
Eliminating malodor is an issue particularly with multi-national customers.
Vice President, Adhesive Manufacturer
A growing need is for adhesives that will not soften when in contact with aromatic
oils contained within the package. Chemist, Adhesive Manufacturer
Processing aspect is where we have the most unmet needs. Processing
improvement is driven by line conditions- not all about speed necessarily, just don't
want the packaging line to shut down. Packaging Engineer, CPG
Increasing imports of cartons from Asia containing plasticizers like DIPP, DBP which
are no longer used in NA or Europe. This impacts adhesion characteristics and
recycling of the cartons. Sales Director, Adhesive Distributor
Increased use of compostable bio plastics (poly lactic polymers, and cellophanes)
making adhesion more difficult. Packaging Engineer, CPG
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL
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Unmet need themes focus on processing robustness, diversity
and bio-based materials
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Hot melts with zero migresives to satisfy the trends coming from EU to avoid migration of
chemical substances into packaged food materials.
Marketing Director, Adhesive Manufacturer
A hot melt adhesive based on bio-based raw materials that alleviates more than one problem
on the line (or reduces labor costs/ processing time) would be substantially rewarded.
Technical Manager, CPG
A hot melt adhesive that can adhere to a wide breadth of non-polar substrates, alleviating
need for multiple SKUs. Packaging Design Engineer, CPG
We want the performance at low cost and something thats recyclable and compostable and
finally minimum amount of usage source reduction. Fast processing so a hot melt with a
wide range of applications. One glue fits all, if you will. Lets say were using 6 different types
of adhesives. Why? Do we really need 6 types? Could we do it with 2 or 1? It would help the
economy of scale of the operation. Makes everything easier because you dont have to secure,
store and manage all of these different adhesives and then #2 there is less risk of somebody
selecting the wrong adhesive and #3 simplification all the way around.
R&D Director, Converting Company
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL
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TECHNOLOGY DYNAMICS
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Natural or bio-based polymers on the forefront of
development
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Natural polymers are ranked as the number one disruptive technology. It is
considered to have significant potential in fast food/ grocery packaging due to
sustainability implications and consumer behavior.
Product Development Chemist, CPG
New HM adhesives emerging on the market with bio-based content of 25%-75%.
Technical Director, Adhesive Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL
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HYGIENE
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Diapers make up 71% of hot melt demand
The North American hygiene 2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives
Hygiene Volume Share By Subsegment
market is 210 million pounds
in 2015.
71% of the market is Bedding
1%
dominated by diaper
Meat pads,
etc.
8%
Adult incontinence is a
Adult Care
distance second with 15% 15%
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 73
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Adult care driving growth of hot melt adhesives in hygiene
4.0%
population in North America, 350
Value In Millions
Canada. 250
3.0%
2.5%
Diapers and sanitary uses are 200
1%. 50 0.5%
CONFIDENTIAL 74
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TRENDS, DRIVERS AND DYNAMICS
CONFIDENTIAL 75
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Diapers, sanitary and adult care account for 28 billion units of
production volume
Diapers make up 76% of 2015 North American Hygiene Production
Forecast
2015 production, while 35000
Million Units
Adult care is gaining 15000
by 2019. 5000
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: Euromonitor
CONFIDENTIAL 76
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Construction applications account for the majority of volume
pounds.
hooks,
wetness
considered commoditized.
Elastics account for 20% of the
volume. Elastic
20%
Positioning adhesives make up
8% share, while the remaining 7% Construction
65%
is for a diverse set of value added
features like stretch panels, core,
hooks, wetness indicators, etc.
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 77
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Continuing innovation drives growth and differentiation
CONFIDENTIAL 78
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Stable, predictable business and customer dynamics
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 79
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Meat pads provide a sense of security, that the meat or poultry
is fresh
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Eye-appealing meat, poultry, seafood and produce packages that are free from excess juice -
coupled with clean display cases - drive purchases and consumer satisfaction in retail perishable
departments.
A consumer market research study confirms 85 percent of shoppers prefer an absorbent food
pad in their packages of fresh meat, poultry, and seafood.
More than 90 percent of consumers recognize absorbent pads' value for controlling excess
fluids and natural juices. Shoppers appreciate absorbent pads for their important benefits:
prevents juices from leaking outside the package
keeps perishable foods fresher and cleaner
eliminates mess in grocery carts, bags, cars and at home
enhances overall appearance of packaged fresh foods
improves customer satisfaction
74% of consumers noted that absorbent pads prevent juices from leaking on the kitchen
counter, floor, or in the refrigerator once the package has been opened.
54% of consumers believe that absorbent pads keep meats from clinging to the foam tray.
Consumers Market Research Conducted by Paper Pak Industries
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 80
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UNMET NEEDS
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Processing issues, sensory experience and higher stress lead
unmet needs requests
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
We have considerable problems with hot melt buildup in hoses, malodor and
downtime.
Chief Engineer, CPG
Resolving HM processing issues is a major need! We consider HMs as MRO item
and its our biggest headache (hoses and nozzles clogging, tanks plugged, malodor
complaints, overall cost.
Plant Mgr. CPG
Need more sensory performance and tie-in to consumer experienced value, its
the highest portion of the value pyramid for us. For example, wetness indicators,
smart-grip (like pallet stabilization grips the diaper but releases with slight finger
pressure)
Design Engineer and Marketing Manager, CPG
Adhesive able to withstand higher stress loading due to increased usage of elastics.
R&D Director, CPG
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 82
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Demand for ultra-thin products
Consumer Benefits.
More comfortable to wear
Less bulky and more discreet appearance
More convenient to carry
Require less household storage space
Reduced waste disposal bulk
Retailer Benefits.
Reducing shelf space requirements per package that frees up space
for new brands or specialized products
Reduced warehouse space requirements
Reduced freight costs
CONFIDENTIAL 84
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Promoting skin health
CONFIDENTIAL 85
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TECHNOLOGY DYNAMICS
CONFIDENTIAL 86
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Metallocene substitution and ultrasonic welding headline
technology advances
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Metallocene technology has come a long way. It was only a few years ago that we
didnt use any, now were at 20-30% usage and within a couple of years we could
reach 45%. R&D Director, CPG
Ultrasonic welding is a real threat. Business Director, Equipment Manufacturer
We dont see ultrasonic welding as a huge risk! Bigger risk is from HM machine
companies, e.g. Nordson- with every new innovation, a reduction in glue ensues, for
example "Duet" applies less on center of the elastic strand than edges, thus
optimizing on stress points. Business Director, Adhesive Manufacturer
CONFIDENTIAL 87
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Ultrasonic welding advances prompt interest by CPGs
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 88
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ULTRASONIC WELDING
CONFIDENTIAL 89
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Fundamentals of ultrasonic welding
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Ultrasonic welding is a bonding method that uses high frequency mechanical sound
waves to create molecular bonds between thermoplastic materials such as nonwovens.
During the ultrasonic welding process, mechanical vibrations are introduced into the
material at a high frequency of 20,000 or more cycles per second with specific amplitude
in the magnitude of the diameter of a human hair and a certain weld force.
Ultrasound is a term used for high frequencies ranging from 20 kilohertz (kHz) to 1 Rigid mounted
gigahertz (gHz) (Hz = cycles per second). These frequencies are beyond the range of what sonotrodes
humans can hear. Ultrasonic welding systems commonly use frequencies of 20, 30 or 35
kHz.
An ultrasonic generator electronically converts line voltage into a high voltage/high
frequency signal and delivers it to a converter. In the converter, piezoelectric crystals are
sandwiched between two titanium discs and vibrate (expand and contract) at the
frequency of the applied electrical signal. The vibration produces a very fast mechanical
movement of 20,000 cycles per second with small amplitude of about 18 microns (peak-
to-peak).
All thermoplastic resins can be welded using ultrasonics. Best are hard, amorphous
plastics such as PC, PS, SAN, ABS, and PMMA. They have ideal transmission properties for
ultrasonic energy, thus they are also easily weldable and achieve good results even with Rotary
larger dimensions. Semi-crystalline plastics, such as PA, PP, PE, and POM melt generally sonotrodes
faster. Consequently they can only be welded within the near field of the sonotrode
(weld tool). Design Engineer, Equipment Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes. Source: Herrmann Ultrasonics
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 90
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Ultrasonic welding SWOT Analysis
Strengths Weaknesses
Provides savings on repeat buying of consumables and Initial equipment investments given considerable
lower energy costs existing sunk capital
Bonding layers of material simultaneously, such as Specifically designed joints are required
multiple layers in side seams of training pants High tooling costs
Intermittent bonding patterns - allows for better diaper Small contact area between the substrate surfaces
design and construction (higher absorption rates) by Throughput rate is lower in some applications
trapping the absorbent in more strategic areas Stiffens the joint and causes melting of fabric and burns
Safe process - works without hot medium A means for aligning the mating parts is
No machine downtime by adhesive required for to ensure proper repeatable
contamination and clogging nozzles alignment and to avoid marking.
Presently, adhesives and ultrasonic welding Current ultrasonic welding suppliers are
co-exist where combination are jointly used small causing concerns among CPGs
in higher stress applications. Adhesives aid about their scale and global supply.
the process at the speeds applied.
Many variables to consider for each application in
Smart business model is to link ultrasonic welding
determining the appropriate joint design, bond pattern
with diaper equipment manufacturers, e.g.
and melt points.
Fameccanica as total bond solutions rather than
present competition pitting one ultrasonic welding
manufacturer against the other. Whats lacking is
coordination- theyre all small.
Opportunities Threats
Image Source: Science How Stuff Works
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Ultrasonic welding FAQ and opinions
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
1. What kind of applications in diapers or fem care lend themselves well to ultrasonic welding?
Primarily elastics and tabs on a diaper, wing attachment and ADL attachment on a sanitary
napkin. R&D Director, CPG
2. What kinds of applications in diapers or fem care will likely never go to ultrasonic welding?
Pulp core because a lot of SAP is in the way where bond point exist. Engineer, CPG
Has a ways to move into mainstream. One global CPG have had it on their lines for 3 decades.
Sales Mgr. Equipment manufacturer
3. What are the benefits of ultrasonic welding?
It saves all the consumables, i.e. hot melt adhesives, particularly given the volatility thats
existed over the past decade Vice President Sales, Equipment Manufacturer
Creating attractive, embossed laminates by using decorative bonding patterns for product
differentiation or brand recognition Chief Engineer, CPG
Safe process - ultrasonic bonding works without hot, pressurized medium that could hurt
operators or maintenance personnel;
Instantaneous system availability, not heat-up time required;
Immediate bond strength with virtually no open time or cooling phase;
No repair of hot and sticky parts required; and
Low energy costs. Process Engineer and Line Superintendent, CPG
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 92
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Ultrasonic welding FAQ and opinions
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
4. What are the down sides?
Due to the nature of the process, ultrasonic bonding normally requires some
thermoplastic contents in the material that can melt to create bonds.
Its an art- whats the right bond pattern
Chemistry is melt points. Many variables can impact it requiring a lot of trial and error.
R&D Chemist, CPG
Ultrasonic vibrations can damage electric components.
Tooling costs for fixtures are high. Process Engineer, CPG
The initial contact area between the mating surfaces need to be small to concentrate
and decrease the total energy (and thus the time) needed to start and complete melting.
Horn contact and placement must be considered to provide proper bearing over the joint
area, to direct the mechanical energy and force to prevent marking of the contact
surface. Design Engineer, Equipment Manufacturer
Vibrating horn typically is narrow width, 1-3 inches. Stationary or blade horn can go
wider, 4-5 inches, but one can put multiple horns to scale across the width of a web.
Both generate higher output. Rotary sonotrodes are used for high-speed
Sales Manager, Equipment Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 93
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Ultrasonic welding FAQ and opinions
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
5. How much does it cost to include ultrasonic welding (especially relative to adhesives) from a
capital standpoint when starting up a new line or retrofitting an existing line?
Its highly dependent on the application. Example 1: Adult incontinence- attach the ear to the
core, maybe slight tack down feature of the ear to stay folded.
3 attachment bond points- that use 20 KHz unit. Cost New would be $600,000. Retrofit cost
$800,000 to $1,000,000.
Example 2: Elastic strand entrapment- glueless- for leg cuff. Cost would be $50K -$60K per unit.
$200,000 per line retrofit.
For example, that one large global CPG is buying $70 million globally in elastic adhesives for leg
cuff- this could wipe that out. In our analysis, we demonstrated payback is less than 12 months
for leg cuffs. Vice President Marketing, Equipment Manufacturer
6. What are the maintenance costs? Is there a significant investment needed in spare parts?
Main maintenance issues- back up parts including horn stack assembly. So need to have $20K
for horn stack spare parts.
Horn has to be pulled out every six months.
Power generation unit as a back up for another $10K.
Another $10K for miscellaneous parts.
All in- $40K of back up equipment per system. Line
Engineer, CPG and Salesperson, Equipment Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 94
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Ultrasonic welding FAQ and opinions
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
7. Do typical diaper or fem care product manufacturers have the technical capabilities to properly
manage ultrasonics once implemented?
Absolutely! Originally developed by CPG. Multiple
respondents from various entities concur
8. What line speeds are possible with ultrasonics?
As lines went faster, stationary horns cant keep up. Rotary can keep up but caveat is width of
bond. Friction creates heat to melt thermoplastic to melt and flow. So different melt flow
points is a challenge (OPP and PE different melt flows, pulp core in middle and doesnt melt).
Line speed of high speed diaper machine is going 1800 ft. / min (500 meters/min)- Aurizon can
go up to 2000. Aurizon is rotary.
Available in 20 kHz, 30 KHz, 50 KHz
At 20 kHz there is more movement more current and more
resident frequency.
Reasonable width is 2 in.
At 30 kHz width is 1 1/3 inch
At 40kHz width is about 1 inch width
Bond force is reduced with higher number.
All made of special high grade titanium that need to be resurfaced over time.
Vice President Sales and Marketing, Ultrasonic Welding Equipment Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 95
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Ultrasonic welding FAQ and opinions
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 96
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WOODWORKING
CONFIDENTIAL
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Woodworking primarily for furniture assembly dominates
Source: ChemQuest
CONFIDENTIAL 98
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Relatively mature segment with 2.3% aggregate growth
2019. 2.5%
Value In Millions
60
Furniture & cabinets and 50
2.0%
1.5% respectively. 10
0.5%
0 0.0%
Sandwich panels and other
applications reflect a
growth forecast of 3% per
annum.
TOTAL NA Adhesives (MM lb)
TOTAL NA Adhesives ($ MM)
CAGR % 2015 - 2019 (Volume)
Source: ChemQuest
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TRENDS, DRIVERS AND DYNAMICS
CONFIDENTIAL 100
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Furniture sales forecast at 2.7% CAGR through 2019
$ Billion
120
105
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: International Tropical Timber Organization (ITTO)
CONFIDENTIAL 101
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Window & Door sales forecast at 1.8% CAGR through 2019
Furniture sales in North 2015 North America Window & Door Production
195
America are forecast to grow
to 188 million unit production
in 2019 from the existing 174
190
construction activity.
Million Units
180
On the remodeling side, 193
CONFIDENTIAL 102
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Flat laminating dominates hot melt usage
CONFIDENTIAL 103
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Steady growth since 2009
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Demand is primarily driven by housing starts, remodeling. Very sensitive to GDP growth
rates.
Very robust since 2009. Starting to slow but still growing.
Hard floors is growing 4-6% / year
Engineered Wood or Laminated Floors growing 5%
Vinyl floors growing 5% favoring demand in SBC hot melts
Kitchen & Bath Cabinets growing 5%
Polyamide Hot Melt growing 7%.
Composite Panel Market growing 4%
Engineered wood flooring, furniture driving growth
Decorative Laminate Market growing 3%
Upholstered Furniture
While mainly made overseas, some re-shoring taking place due to lead-times and
customization
Profile wrap and Edge Banding growing 3%.
Business Directors and Marketing Managers at three different Adhesive Manufacturers
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
CONFIDENTIAL 104
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Rising construction and investment activity spur sales
Rising construction and investment activity,
supported by general economic recovery and
positive consumer sentiment, are projected to
spur purchases.
Non-upholstered wood products are expected
to see fastest growth short-term.
However, longer-term, upholstered furniture
can require more frequent replacement, as
the quality of the fabric and cushioning
generally deteriorates due to wear at a faster
rate than non-upholstered wood.
In addition, upholstery is more fashion-
oriented and increasing demand for the latest
styles has the effect of shortening product life
cycles.
Popularity of outdoor furniture, particularly in
USA, where consumers are treating the
outdoor as extensions to their indoor living
spaces lends more growth opportunity to both
upholstered and non-upholstered furniture.
CONFIDENTIAL 105
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Furniture industry moving toward higher performance and
many technical advantages
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Furniture industry moving to more difficult to bond decorative plastic foils, thick high gloss
foils, lighter panels, high performance, high production speed, versatile adhesion.
Technical Director, Adhesive Manufacturer
Increased use of chipboard and honeycomb (less MDF and HDF).
Production Manager, Furniture Manufacturer
Increasing demand for woodworking and furniture (although most of growth is likely to come
from reactive HM).
Chemist, Adhesive Manufacturer
Demands for more work place safety drive more furniture sales.
Purchasing Manager, Furniture Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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UNMET NEEDS
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Heat resistance, green strength and energy consumption
highlight additional unmet needs
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Higher performances at lower application temperatures and reduced energy consumption.
Plant Engineer, Sandwich Panel Manufacture
Higher green strength.
Optimizing cost to performance ratio.
Production Manager, Furniture Manufacturer
Comparable heat resistance (120 C over 3 days) and water resistance to liquid counterparts
Production Manager, Plywood Manufacturer
Exceptional heat resistance that allow manufacturers to produce, lacquer and cure profiles in a
single pass operation
Plant Superintendent, Furniture Manufacturer
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TECHNOLOGY DYNAMICS
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Polyurethane hot melts favored and growing strongly,
although environmental concerns exist
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Woodworking- generally speaking polyurethane hot melts are growing substantially, as well as
polyolefins as well, whereas EVAs stagnate.
General Manager, Adhesive Manufacturer
Hot melt moisture cures growing in engineered wood due to performance over water
based and addressing formaldehyde issues.
Decorative laminate predominantly water based but pre-applied hot melts to decorative
papers are growing
Marketing Manager, Adhesive Manufacturer
Profile wrap and edge banding- Hot melt moisture cure is growing faster than non-reactive
hot melts due to better heat resistance. Environmental concerns exist relative to
polyurethanes, but our suppliers are on top of the situation.
Laser Edge Banding, using pre-applied polymer to tape, is taking small share of traditional
EVA hot melt edge banding. Equipment dependent and expensive, but excellent results.
Production Manager, Furniture Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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ASSEMBLY OPERATIONS
BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION
FOOTWEAR & LEATHER
CONSUMER/DIY
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Assembly operations dominates hot melt usage
Bn.
Leather
1%
Consumer/DI
Source: ChemQuest
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Mature segments growing in aggregate at 2.4% CAGR
through 2019
All four segments exhibit 2015 North America Hot Melt Adhesives
All Other Segments Share By Market
mature growth rates. 1000 3.5%
900
Assembly operations are 800
3.0%
Value In Millions
600
growing at 2% per annum.
2.0%
500
1.5%
400
Building & Construction and 300 1.0%
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TRENDS AND DRIVERS
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Higher performance, durability, processability and
sustainability drive general assembly growth
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Performance and durability improvements are driving the change to better materials,
especially reactive hot melts as a result of delivering higher performance based on improved
heat resistance, chemical resistance, water resistance and broader range of bonding surface
compatibility.
General Manager, Adhesive Manufacturer
Environmental concerns and sustainability driving solvent based adhesive replacement due to
better recyclability.
Business Director Adhesive Manufacturer
LSE (low surface energy) applications and higher heat resistance.
Production Engineer, General Assembly Shop
Processing aspect is where we have the most unmet needs. Processing improvement is driven
by line conditions- not about speed necessarily, just don't want it to shut down.
Plant Manager, Equipment Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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Growing use of hot melts in Building & Construction
Many fragmented applications for
construction
Weather-strips
Roofing
Acoustic seals
Floor covering
Wall covering
General non-structural
Many others
Use of diverse dissimilar materials
on the rise such as masonry,
wood, plaster, paper, glass,
composites, fiber-cement, etc.
Due to increasing energy
regulations more usage of
material requiring adhesives and
foam is expected.
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Re-shoring driving footwear growth
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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Targeting diversification and lighter materials headline
additional footwear growth
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Achieving Growth through Diverse Product Development targeting different parts of the
population and different activities.
Catering to Baby Boomers Needs and Style Sense in Therapeutic Footwear. Baby boomers
looking for therapeutic footwear today are part of the original Nike generation and have spent
much of their lives wearing athletic shoes. They want to be fashionable, and therapeutic shoes
now meet that desire with a range of options from running and court styles to walking shoes.
Design Engineer, Shoe Manufacturer
Baby boomers now entering the market for therapeutic shoes are driving an emphasis on
appearance as well as benefits. Baby Boomers are not willing to compromise on look and
style. We want to provide footwear that is good looking and healthy for their feet.
Among the product trends is a swing back from a recent emphasis on minimalism, with shoes
that are now more biomechanically inclined and take advantage of newer materials. Shoes are
getting lighter and lighter, but they still feel comfortable and supportive, despite how light they
are.
Brand manager, Shoe Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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UNMET NEEDS
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Safety, energy, sustainability and processing drive innovation
needs
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Safe-to-use, less hazardous
Replace solvent contacts.
Lower or eliminate VOCs.
Lower or eliminate formaldehydes
Marketing Manager, Adhesive Manufacturer
Sustainability or Green
USGBC LEED initiatives.
Safe Indoor Air Quality
Production Manager, Furniture Manufacturer
Energy Conservation
Insulation properties, Radiant Barriers.
Decrease energy to apply adhesives
Design Engineer, Window Manufacturer
Process improvements:
Improve productivity example, reduce press times
Improved Heat, Water, Chemical resistance
Marketing Manager, Adhesive Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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Cost reduction, low surface energy and environmental
concerns drive additional unmet needs
Perceived Benefits- Relevant quotes from respondents
Continuous cost reduction reducing material prices and processing cost.
Production Manager Filter Manufacturer
Ability to disassemble and repair components in the aftermarket.
Sales Person, Building & Construction distributor
Weight reduction lower density materials and/or lower weight parts and
assemblies.
Technical Director, Adhesive Manufacturer
Low-surface energy bonding polyolefins continue to grow in hard parts and
composites increasing the problems with bonding and laminating.
Plastic and Composite Parts Manufacturer
Reduced environmental footprint technologies and processes with less waste,
emissions and greenhouse gases.
Applications Chemist, Adhesive Manufacturer
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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TECHNOLOGY DYNAMICS
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Polyurethane hot melts headline technology growth
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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KEY MERGERS AND
ACQUISITIONS
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Sellers market driving significant rise in multiples
through acquisitions. 25
9.8 9.6
9.5 9.5
9.9
10
9 9.1
Historically low interest 8.6
Number of Transactions
EBITDA Multiples
rates and the continued 20 7.3 8
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Adhesives M&A poised for continued growth and consolidation
End user interviews are intended to provide qualitative information based on small sample sizes.
When interpreting these statements the reader should be cautious of the opinions provided.
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Key Transactions
Avery Dennison agreement to acquire the European business of Mactac
from Platinum Equity (2016)
Purchase price of 200 million
2015 year-end run-rate revenues of 147 million and approximately 470
employees, the business is a leading manufacturer of high-quality pressure-
sensitive materials
Kraton Polymers purchase of Arizona Chemical (2016)
Purchase price of $1.37 billion
Further strengthens Kratons position as the leading global producer of
styrene block copolymers
Arkemas purchase of Bostik (2015) and Den Braven (2016)
Bostik purchase price of 1.71 billion
1.5 billion sales and 4,900 employees Bostik is the 3rd largest adhesive
company in the world
Dutch sealant-and-adhesives maker Den Braven deal valued at 485
million ($534 million). Den Braven will add sales of about 350 million
and create a global market leader in high performance sealants for
insulation and construction.
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Key Transactions
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Global Adhesives Related M&A Transactions 2016/15
Acquirer Country Target Country Month Year Description
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Global Adhesives Related M&A Transactions 2014
80 per cent stake in Seal It Services Ltd (dba Bond It), an Elland, UK-based
Astral Poly Technik IN Seal It Services Ltd GB Aug 2014 industrial sealants and adhesives manufacturer. The consideration was GBP 4.4
million.
Taiwan-based thermoplastic polyurethanes (TPU) adhesives base material
BASF DE Taiwan Sheen Soon Co. TW Dec 2014
manufacturer
Beardow Adams GB Klebstoffwerke Colodin DE Jan 2014 Germany-based adhesive manufacturer
Brenntag DE Philchem Inc. US Jun 2014 South Carolina-based adhesive distributor
CCL Industries Inc. CA Bandfix Ag CH Jun 2014 Switzerland-based self-adhesive tapes and labels manufacturer for $18 million
Royal Adhesives & Sealants US Advanced Polymers International Inc. US Sep 2014 Syracuse, New York-based microsphere-based adhesives manufacturer
Royal Adhesives & Sealants Ontario-based polyurethane adhesives, sealants, resins and foams
CA Chemque Inc. CA Sep 2014
Canada manufacturer
Sika CH Klebag Chemie CH May 2014 Switzerland-based adhesive manufacturer
Sika CH Lwart Qumica BR Feb 2014 Brazil-based waterproofing products manufacturer.
Soudal BE Zaklady Chemiczne Bochem Sp. z.o.o. PL Oct 2014 Poland-based adhesives manufacturer
Soudal BE Accumetric US Jun 2014 Kentucky-based adhesives and sealants manufacturer.
75 per cent stake in Oliv Qumica SA, the Gava, Spain-based silicones and
Wolf Group EE Oliv Qumica ES Feb 2014
sealant manufacturer
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Global Adhesives Related M&A Transactions 2013/12
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Global Adhesives Related M&A Transactions 2012
Planatol Holding Gmbh DE Wetzel GmbH & Co. DE Apr 2012 Germany-based wood and industrial adhesives manufacturer and wholesaler
Roxtec SE Sleev-It Fire Systems Ltd GB Mar 2012 construction and marine penetration seal manufacturer based in Kent, UK
Royal Adhesives & Sealants US Clifton Adhesive US May 2012 New Jersey-based aerospace industry adhesives manufacturer
Raymond, New Hampshire-based industrial glues manufacturer and
Royal Adhesives & Sealants US Extreme Adhesives Inc. US Apr 2012
wholesaler
Massachusetts-based adhesives, sealants and resins custom packaging
Royal Packaging Specialties US Adhesives Packaging Specialties US Dec 2012
company
Sherwin-Williams US Geocel Holdings Corporation US Jul 2012 Elkhart, Indiana-based caulks, sealants, and adhesives manufacturer
Germany-based wood coatings, wood preservation and fire protection
Sika CH Rtgers Organics DE Oct 2012
products manufacturer
Sika CH Inatec PY Dec 2012 Paraguay-based construction chemicals manufacturer and wholesaler
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CUTTING EDGE RESEARCH AND
NEW TECHNOLOGIES
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Bio-based efforts headline innovation
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Materials for Renewable Resources
The use of bio-renewable materials per se in adhesive applications, including hot melt adhesives, is not
particularly new tree rosin ester based tackifiers and dimer acid (derived from fatty acids) based
polyamides have been in use for years. What is trending is the studying of replacements for
petroleum-derived polymers (EVA, SBS / SIS). As mentioned in a recent review1, replacements to
the base polymers have been found mainly from soy, modified starch, polylactides and vegetable oils.
The most popular approach has been the use of poly(lactic acid) (PLA) and its blends due to their
excellent hot tack, moderate setting time and cost effectiveness. Polyamides and polyesteramides from
seed oil and soy-derived dimer fatty acids have been reported to provide strength comparable to best
HMAs. Work has also been reported on the use of starch esters and ethers as components in low
melting, high flexibility HMA formulations for packaging applications.
One specific example of this type of approach was recently reported by Severtson2 and colleagues at
the University of Minnesota where the normal acrylic monomer was replaced by a macromonomer
derived from L- lactide. Utekar, P. "Hot-Melt Adhesives from Renewable Resources: A Critical
Review". Reviews of adhesion and adhesives (2168-0965), 4 (1), p. 104 (03/24/2016).
1 Utekar, P. Hot-Melt Adhesives from Renewable Resources: A Critical Review. Reviews of adhesion and adhesives (2168-0965), 4 (1), p.104
(03/24/2016).
2 Cheng Gu, Matthew R. Dubay, and Steven J. Severston*,
Department of Bioproducts and Biosystems Engineering, University of Minnesota Kaufert Laboratory, 2004 Folwell Avenue, Saint Paul, Minnesota 55108,
United States
Larry E. Gwin
Franklin International, 2020 Bruck Street, Columbus, Ohio 43207, United States
Ind. Eng. Chem. Res., 2014, 53 (27), pp 11000-11006
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Materials for Drug Delivery
In efforts to improve the efficacy of pharmaceuticals delivery, there have been
multiple studies of hot melt adhesives and hot melt extruded materials as
transdermal or dental film drug delivery vehicles. As two examples, studies have
come from the laboratory of Repka and colleagues3 at the University of Mississippi as
well as from several pharmaceutical laboratories in China4 - examples of which are
cited below.
In many of the publications, the hot melt materials offered better, time release
delivery of the active ingredients.
3 Jun-Born Park, Suneela Prodduturi, Joe Morott, Vijay I Kulkarni, Melissa R Jacob, Shabana I Khan, Steven P Stodghill & Michael A Repka
The University of Mississippi, School of Pharmacy, Pii Center for Pharmaceutical Technology, Department of Pharmaceutics and Drug Delivery, USA
Expert Opinion of Drug Delivery, 12:1, 1-13
4 Fabrication of pH sensitive amphiphilic hot-melt pressure sensitive adhesives for transdermal drug-delivery system
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Other Published Studies
Additional work of interest consists of a variety of reactive polyurethane hot melt
products including materials that are electrically conductive5 as well as materials that
are more thermally processable6.
5 Rheology, electrical conductivity and crystallinity of a polyurethane/graphene composite: Implications for its use as a hot-melt adhesive
Jorge Canales, Mara Eugenia Muoz, Mercedes Fernndez, Anton Santamara
POLYMAT and Polymer Science and Technology Department, Faculty of Chemistry, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, P.O. Box 1072, 20080 San
Sebastin, Spain
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RAW MATERIALS
SUPPLY DEMAND DYNAMICS
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Key Raw Materials and Feedstocks for Hot Melt Adhesives
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Petrochemical Feedstock Diagram
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Crude Oil and Natural Gas
downstream derivatives. A
rebound in crude pricing 120 12
beginning in Q2 2016
notwithstanding, it appears that 100 10
$ per MM BTU
most of the key raw materials are
Spot $/barrel
likely be in equilibrium through 80 8
2020.
60 6
Shale gas is a game-changer for
the U.S. petrochemical industry 40 4
that is driving a paradigm shift for
the U.S. cost position, catapulting 20 2
it down the cost curve. The
expanding supply of natural gas 0 0
has led to considerably lower
prices anduntil 2015a
pronounced divergence from
crude oil. WTI Crude Oil Spot Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot
Source: U.S. Energy Information Association
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Ethane and Ethylene
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VAM (vinyl acetate monomer)
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Styrene, Butadiene, Isoprene
Products 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
Ethylene 84.9 85.9 86.1 86.5 87.4 89.1 88.7 87.6 86.8 88.6 89.8
Propylene 82.5 82.7 81.6 83.1 83.0 83.8 83.0 83.0 83.7 85.0 86.4
Acrylic Acid 83.0 90.5 84.0 83.2 75.3 64.9 63.8 66.2 68.4 69.7 72.4
MDI 81.4 81.6 84.7 87.0 86.1 83.6 84.5 84.4 85.9 86.3 87.9
TDI 88.3 89.7 81.1 81.6 84.6 81.7 84.8 85.8 84.8 84.0 83.4
Butadiene 77.3 79.8 78.4 77.8 76.2 75.0 73.2 72.6 74.0 75.5 77.3
Source: Deutsche Bank, IHS, Nexant
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MDI, Adipic Acid
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HOT MELT ADHESIVE SUPPLIERS
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Key Hot Melt Adhesives Manufacturers in North America
Building & Footwear/ Paper Board &
COMPANY Assembly Consumer/DIY Hygiene Transportation Woodworking
Construction Leather Related Products
3M X X X X X
American Adhesive Coatings, LLC X X
Artecola Quimica X X X X X
Ashland, Inc. X X X X X
BeardowAdama, Inc. X X x X X X X
Bostik, Inc. X X X X X X
BTI Bond Tech Industries, Inc. X X
Cattie Adhesives X X X X
Chicago Glue Machine & Supply Company, Inc. X X X X X X X
Chief Adhesives, Inc. X X
DHM Adhesives, Inc. X X X X X X X
Dow Corning X X
Evans Adhesive Corporation, Ltd. X X
Flexo-Technologies, Inc. X X
Franklin International X X X X X
H.B. Fuller X X X X X X
Henkel Corporation X X X X X
Henry Company X X X
IFS Industries X X X X X
Jowat Corporation X X X X X
Novamelt Americas, LLC X X X
Palmetto Adhesives Company X X X X X
Paramelt USA X X X X
PPI S. DE R.L. DE C.V. X X X
Royal Adhesives X X X X
Savare Specialty Adhesives X X X X
SCHAETTI AMERICA, Inc. X X X X X X X
Selena USA, Inc. X
Sika Corporation X X
The Reynolds Company X X X X X X
Warren Adhesives, Inc. X X
Wisdom Adhesives Worldwide X X X
Worthen Industries, Inc. Upaco Adhesives Division X X
YH America, Inc. X X
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CHANNELS
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Key channel players have become de facto regulators
Retailers such as Walmart have become de facto regulators by quickly enacting (and competently
enforcing) comprehensive chemicals policies for suppliers. A decision made in Bentonville has far
reaching global implications and arguably can have a far greater impact on ASC members vs. a
regulatory decision made by the US EPA or by an individual state on a product category.
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Walmart informs consumers on chemical ingredients
Walmart promotes transparency
as integral to product quality in
its 2016 Global Responsibility
Report.
Consumers are empowered to
make their own choices with
Walmart as the information
provider on materials and
ingredients.
Walmart aspires to use its
strength to make choices easier
for consumers, and to work with
government and other retailers
to provide better transparency
standards for products.
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Disclosure practices for online product ingredients
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Bridging the regulatory-environment divide
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Bridging the regulatory-environment divide
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Outreach to Channel Leaders
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Perceptions of chemicals among Information Consumers
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Perceptions of chemicals among Information Consumers
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Organizational hierarchy of de facto regulators
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Rampant misinformation in the age of mass-information
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Rampant misinformation in the age of mass-information
Google searches produce pages of results with
sexy headlines and scary stories about
consumables, plus People also ask results.
Scientific evidence is rare and not required.
~ 15 to 20% of hard-core environmentalists
are firm in their positions (i.e., My mind is
made up. Dont confuse me with the facts.)
Scare tactic of Do you know what is in your
childs backpack? demands answers from a
good parent while posing no obligation to
the other side in terms of a risk assessment.
There are few attorneys willing to take on the
spread of misinformation and less fact-
checking is required vs. traditional
investigative journalism. In short, few checks
& balances to curtail this trend; the spread of
misinformation is flourishing and profitable.
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Chemical Industrys online resource for information seekers
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Chemical Industrys online resource for information seekers
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B2B online resources for retailers
UL Wercs is an on-line
supplier portal for use by
the retail channel.
Retailers ask their product
suppliers to submit their
product and chemical
composition data using this
tool.
Hazard communication and
sustainability documents
can also be uploaded by
retailers to UL Werc to
facilitate regulatory
compliance.
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Retailers standard for making ethical purchasing decisions
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Example of Sourcing Decision Support Promotions
Green Chemistry Scoring
Through GreenWERCS, manufacturers can drive
greener formulations by analyzing ingredients
and their potential impact on human health
and the environment.
Use pre-identified scoring and weighting
algorithmsor input your own parametersto
flag bio-accumulative and toxic substances
(PBT); carcinogens; mutagens or reproductive
toxicants (CMR); potential hazardous waste;
and probable endocrine disrupters in your
products.
The resulting green score and visual analysis
provides actionable information about the most
immediate opportunities for reformulation.
Retailers and distributors benefit by gaining the
information they need to drive sustainability
throughout the supply chain.
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Challenges of full ingredient disclosure in retail channels
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Challenges of full ingredient disclosure in retail channels
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Challenges of full ingredient disclosure in retail channels
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Concluding Thoughts
Hot melt adhesives represent an attractive and growing
technology sector with a compelling value proposition.
Hot melts will experience disproportional growth as a result
of a number of factors amongst the strongest being
conversions from mechanical fastening as well as substitution
of solvent-borne and water-borne adhesives.
Sustainability and food safety are major emerging drivers of
change.
Higher performance requirements, HM processing /
operational efficiency & productivity and evoking consumer
sensory response headline unmet needs.
Ultrasonic welding is a potential, albeit not imminent, threat
for hygiene.
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Thank You
TM
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