Lecture Notes: Long Lead Times Customer Expectations
Lecture Notes: Long Lead Times Customer Expectations
Lecture Notes: Long Lead Times Customer Expectations
The basic theme discussed in this chapter is the understanding of what really
supply chain management is, and what are the different decisional phases
involved in any decision pertaining to supply chain management.
The different supply chain macro processes both within the supply chain and
at the input and output of the supply chain have been identified.
The basic distinction between push and pull process is that push process is in
the anticipation of the customer demand while the pull process is triggered
after the arrival of the customer demand.
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Increase in labor costs in developing countries
Importance of sustainability
Unprecedented Volatility
Purchasing
Large quantities
Manufacturing
High quality
High productivity
Warehousing
Low inventory
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Reduced transportation costs
Customers
High in stock
Low prices
Strategic Fit
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tend to have more or less the same demand pattern, so to satisfy the uncertainty of
demand for the target segments the supply chain has to build the strategy and
capabilities accordingly. The demand uncertainty of target segments is called
"Implied Demand Uncertainty" which is different from "Demand Uncertainty"
which reflects the overall uncertainty of demand for a product.
Now the question arises as to how to handle this implied demand uncertainty? For
this, companies have to build the supply chain capabilities of responsiveness and
efficiency. Being a strategic fit is all about building the supply chain strategies to
face the customer demand and uncertainty or in other words a supply chain which
is able to supply big quantities required, in the shortest lead time, covering large
product portfolios and providing better services (responsive supply chain features).
Having these capabilities makes a responsive supply chain. Responsiveness
towards customer demand for quantity and quality comes at a price. For example,
to respond to a large product portfolio a company needs to increase the production
and storage capacity which will increase the cost. The increase in cost will have an
inverse effect on the efficiency of the supply chain. So a strategic decision to
increase the responsiveness will have additional cost which will lower the
efficiency. It's a trade-off between responsiveness and efficiency. Some companies
being more responsive will have less efficient supply chain and if companies need
an efficient supply chain then they have to lower the level of responsiveness.
Strategically companies have to decide on the level of responsiveness they need to
provide and try to bring the efficiency by enhancing the processes and
technologies.
Drivers of Supply Chain: The major drivers of Supply chain performance consists
of three logistical drivers & three cross-functional drivers.
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Cross-functional drivers: Information Sourcing Pricing Companys supply
chain achieve the balance between responsiveness & efficiency that best meets the
needs of the company competitive strategy.
FACILITIES are the actual physical locations in the supply chain network where
product are stored, assembled or fabricated. The two major types of facilities are:
1. Product Focus: A factory that takes a product focus performs the range of
different operations required to make a given product line from fabrication of
different product parts to assembly of these parts.
1. Stock keeping unit (SKU) storage: In this approach all of a given type of product
is stored together.
2. Job lot storage: In this approach all the different products related to the needs of
a certain type of customer or related to the needs of a particular job are stored
together.
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3. Crossdocking: In this approach, product is not actually warehoused in the
facility, instead the facility is used to house a process where trucks from suppliers
arrive and unload large quantities of different products. These large lots are then
broken down into smaller lots. Smaller lots of different products are recombined
according to the needs of the day and quickly loaded onto outbound trucks that
deliver the product to their final destination. So the fundamental trade-off that
managers face when making facilities decision between the cost of the number,
location & type of facilities (efficiency) & the level of responsiveness that these
facilities provide the companys customer.
INVENTORY encompasses all the raw materials, work in process, and finished
goods within a supply chain. Changing inventory policies can dramatically alter
the supply chains efficiency & responsiveness. There are three basic decisions to
make regarding the creation and holding of inventory:
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also the slowest mode of transport. It is limited to use between locations that are
situated nest to navigable waterways & facilities such as harbor & canals. Rails
which is also very cost efficient but can be slow. This mode is also restricted to use
between locations that are served by rail lines. Pipelines can be very efficient but
are restricted to commodities that are liquid or gases such as water, oil & natural
gas. Trucks are a relatively quick & very flexible mode of transport. Trucks can
go almost anywhere. The cost of this mode is prone to fluctuations though, as the
cost of fuel fluctuates and the condition of road varies. Airplanes are a very fast
mode of transport and are very responsive. This mode is also very expensive mode
& is somewhat limited by the availability of appropriate airport facilities.
Electronic transport is the fastest mode of transport and it is very flexible & cost
efficient. However , it can be only be used for movement of certain types of
products such as electric energy, data, & products composed of data such as music,
pictures & text.
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3. Enabling technologies: many technologies exist to share & analyze information
in the supply chain. Managers must decide which technologies to use & how to
integrate these technologies into their companies like internet, ERP, RFID.
PRICING determines how much a firm will charge for goods & services that it
makes available in the supply chain. Pricing affects the behavior of the buyer of the
good or services, thus affecting supply chain performance, for example, if a
transportation company varies its charges based on the lead time provided by the
customers, its very likely that customers who value efficiency will order early &
customers who value responsiveness will be willing to wait & order just before
they need a product transported. This directly affects the supply chain in terms of
the level of responsiveness required as well as the demand profile that the supply
chain attempts to serve. Pricing is also a lever that can be used to match supply &
demand. Components of Pricing Decisions: Fixed Price versus Menu pricing: A
firm must decide whether it will charge a fixed price for its supply chain activities
or have a menu with prices that vary with some other attribute, such as response
time or location of delivery. Everyday low pricing versus High-Low pricing
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Obstacles to Achieving Strategic fit Increasing variety of products Decreasing
product life cycles increasingly demanding customers Fragmentation of supply
chain ownership Globalization
In theory, everyday low pricing (EDLP) is a great idea. It refers to a pricing strategy in which a
retailer offers its customers consistently low prices on every product, without running sales or
price promotions. The store sets prices fairly and then maintains them for a long time (until costs
change significantly).
Highlow pricing (or hilow pricing) is a type of pricing strategy adopted by companies, usually
small and medium-sized retail firms, where a firm charges a high price for an item and later when the
item's popularity has passed, sell it to customers by giving discounts or through clearance sales. E.g
wardrobe sales.
WHY IT MATTERS:
Companies that provide made to order (MTO) create competitive advantages by
providing what other companies cannot -- custom-made products. However, the made-
to-order approach costs much more because companies must retool, redesign or restart
production processes for each order. This in turn often means that customers pay much
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more. This creates a competitive disadvantage, though this is easily overcome if the
companies in the sector are competing on features rather than price
There are also BTO (Build to Order) and ATO (Assemble To Order) in which assembly
starts according to demand.
Made to Stock (MTS) is a production and inventory strategy in which companies manufacture
products or provide services according to their forecast of customer demand.
In MTS (Make to Stock), products are manufactured based on demand forecasts. Since
accuracy of the forecasts will prevent excess inventory and opportunity loss due to stock out,
the issue here is how to forecast demands accurately.
MTS (Make to Stock) literally means to manufacture products for stock based on
demand forecasts, which can be regarded as push-type production. MTS has been
required to prevent opportunity loss due to stockout and minimize excess inventory
using accurate forecasts. (Prevent stock out and minimize excess inventory cost)
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holiday season, Company XYZ manufactures triple the amount of widgets in July to
fulfill these orders. Company XYZ is using an MTS approach
WHY IT MATTERS:
Companies that provide MTS products and services create competitive advantages by
providing what other companies cannot -- more product or service at a crucial time.
However, the MTS approach costs much more because companies must retool,
redesign or ramp up production processes at certain times rather than operate at an
even keel all year. This in turn often means that customers pay more but get product
when they want it. This creates a competitive disadvantage because sometimes this
means they must pay more, though this is easily overcome if the companies in the
sector are competing on service and timing rather than price. Of course, being wrong
about demand forecasts can also be an expensive mistake.
The (MTS) method requires an accurate forecast of demand in order to determine how
much stock should be produced. If demand for the product can be accurately forecasted,
the MTS strategy is an efficient choice for production.
Therefore, the main drawback to the MTS method of production is that inaccurate forecasts
will lead to losses, stemming from excessive inventory or stockouts. Common alternative
production strategies that avoid this downside include make-to-order (MTO) and assemble-
to-order (ATO).
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Assemble To Order ATO
Assemble to order (ATO) is a business production strategy where products ordered by
customers are produced quickly and are customizable to a certain extent.
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The assemble-to-order (ATO) strategy requires that the basic parts for the product are
already manufactured but not yet assembled. Once an order is received, the parts are
assembled quickly and sent to the customer.
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Bullwhip effect
The Bullwhip Effect Bullwhip effect - the inaccurate or distorted demand information created in
The bullwhip effect on the supply chain occurs when changes in consumer demand causes
the companies in a supply chain to order more goods to meet the new demand. The bullwhip
effect usually flows up the supply chain, starting with the retailer, wholesaler, distributor,
manufacturer and then the raw materials supplier. This effect can be observed through most
supply chains across several industries; it occurs because the demand for goods is based on
demand forecasts from companies, rather than actual consumer demand.
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Decoupling point:
Protect zone:
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Those customers who are high on net sale and low cost to serve, the most profitable.
Danger zone:
Low net sale and high on cost to serve. Customers are the least profitable and incur a loss.
3 alternatives: change customer interaction with firm so the customer can move to another
segment, charge the customer the actual cost of doing business, and switch the customer to an
alternative distribution channel
Build zone:
Customers have low cost to serve and low net sales value, so the firm should
maintain the cost to serve and build to drive the customer into the protect segment
Cost engineering: have a high net sales and high cost to serve.
Agency theory
Firms in supply chain have the overall goal to improve the supply chains
competitive power because the market competition is no longer the
competition among the firms but among the supply chain.
Firstly, the agent may make false quality promises for not having the
ability to provide some level of quality; the principals cant correctly
identify the true ability of the agent, which brings the problem of adverse
selection
Secondly, the agent may take cheating actions that causes the problem of
moral hazard.
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Adverse selection happens when the principal of the supply chain tries
to choose a suitable partner in a big range of related enterprises before
implementing the supply chain management
To assure the supply chains efficiency and effectiveness, its very crucial
to choose the most suitable partner from the underlying agents by
preventing the adverse selection in supply chain.
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The total profit of the supply chain may be higher when there is information
asymmetry between the supplier and retailer.
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