Strategik 8
Strategik 8
Strategik 8
What is a multinational
corporation?
A corporation that operates
in two or more countries.
Decision making within the
corporation may be
centralized in the home
country, or may be
decentralized across the
countries the corporation
does business in.
Firm strategy,
structure, and
rivalry
Demand
conditions
Related and
supporting
industries
Transnational
strategy
Multidomestic
strategy
Low
Low
High
International
Global
Strengths
Limitations
Strengths
Limitations
High
Joint Venture
Strategic Alliance
Franchising
Licensing
Exporting
Low
Low
High
Degree of Ownership and Control
Characteristics
Exporting
Licensing
Strategic alliances
Acquisition
Languages
Role of Advertising in Society
Media Availability
Government Controls
Competition
Advertising Agency Availability
Population Tools
Population Size: Range from over 1 billion to less than
100,000
Population Growth Rates: significant variance in growth
rates around the world; generally industrialized countries
have lower growth rates and the developing countries are
growing much faster
Distribution of Population by Age: examines the
percentage of the population in each segment - the
dependent group (0-14), the productive group (15-64), and
the senior group (over 65)
Population Density: will affect how concentrated and
reachable the market is and the logistics problems facing
the firm
Income Measures
Per capita income: range is extreme around the world; over half
the worlds populations live in countries with a per capita income
of $380; although it is the most widely used measurement to
indicate market potential, it may not reflect purchasing power
adequately
Distribution of income: the distribution of incomes relative to the
average income of a given population
Bi-modal income distribution: occurs when most people are
below the per capita income figure and there is a small wealthy
group above it (a dual economy without a middle class)
Gross National Product: measures the total domestic and
foreign value added claimed by residents; industrial sales and
purchases by governments may be best indicated by GNP
Infrastructure of a Nation
Transportation: a firm is dependent on local transportation
infrastructure for procuring products and supplies as well
as for reaching its customers.
Energy: a firm needs energy for local production and
conducting business; energy availability influences the
kinds of products that the firm can sell (see table 3-7).
Communications: a firms marketing and operational
success depends on the local communications
infrastructure.
Commercial Infrastructure: Marketing is a commercial
activity and its success depends on a number of
commercial institutions outside of the firm (wholesalers,
retailers, advertising agencies, banks, etc.)
What is Culture??
Technology, Material Culture, Language,
Aesthetics, Education, Religion, Attitudes,
Values, Social Organization, Politics
CULTURE
Culture is the distinctive way of life of a
people.
POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT
National interests of the host country - all want to protect
their national sovereignty, security, prestige, and
economic welfare (Freeport, Blok Cepu ?)
Controls used by the host country - countries use a variety
of controls to try to assure the maximum contribution by
foreign firms: 1) entry restrictions (ex. prohibit 100%
ownership) 2) price controls 3) quotas, tariffs, and
exchange control (the firm is forced to decrease imports,
increase local purchases, and/or limit profit remittances)
and 4) expropriation- the official seizure of foreign property
Political risk assessment: the firm must continuously
monitor the political environment of the host-country using
consultants, government services, etc. (ex. South Africa)
External Factors
The firms home country relations with the host
country
The potential sensitivity of the product or
industry (ex. defense, public utilities,
communications)
The size and location of the firms operations
The visibility of the firm (consumer vs. industrial
goods, level of advertising, popularity of brand,
etc.)
Host-country political situation
Risk Rankings
Credit
Total Risk
Economic Political
Rank Country
Assessment Performance Risk
1
Luxembourg 99.51
25.00
24.51
2
Switzerland
98.84
23.84
25.00
3
United States 98.37
23.96
24.41
40
China
71.27
18.93
16.87
55
Poland
57.12
18.56
13.97
63
Vietnam
52.04
14.80
11.91
86
Russia
42.62
11.47
8.33
114
Albania
34.23
8.48
5.04
161
Mozambique 21.71
3.28
2.75
178
Afghanistan
3.92
0.00
3.04
Exhibit 7.3
Total of
Total
and Access
Debt
to Finance
Indicators Indicators
20.00
30.00
20.00
30.00
20.00
30.00
19.73
15.74
9.36
15.23
18.51
6.82
17.99
4.83
19.62
1.09
13.85
1.83
0.00
0.88
AMERIKA
INGGRIS
ITALIA
ARGENTINA
BRASIL
INDONESIA
73,0
65,5
60,0
19,0
31,0
19,0
Economic Factors
and a Firms Value
Economic Growth
Economic growth in the Indonesia is commonly
measured as the percentage change in the gross
domestic product (GDP).
Firms in some industries are more exposed
to changes in economic growth (autos, housing).
Financial managers must try to anticipate changes
in economic growth and estimate the extent to
which these changes will affect the firms cash
flows.
Economic Factors
and a Firms Value
Economic Growth
When growth is expected to decline, financial
managers reduce production, inventory, new
projects, and new capital.
The reduction in cash flows from existing and
planned new business can cause a firms value to
decline.
Investors tend to shift their investments to those
firms that are more insulated from changes
in economic conditions.
Economic Factors
and a Firms Value
Interest Rates
Changes in interest rates can affect a firms value
in several ways.
First, increases in interest rates will raise the cost
of borrowing for consumers, thus reducing
the demand for a firms products.
Second, increases in interest rates will raise the
cost of financing for the firm which adversely
affects firm value.
Increases in interest rates will also raise investor
required rates of return which reduces firm value.
Economic Factors
and a Firms Value
Interest Rates
Firms whose cash flows are most
sensitive to interest rate
movements are those that
commonly sell products on credit.
Examples would include auto
manufacturers, home builders,
boat manufacturers, and
appliance manufacturers.
Economic Factors
and a Firms Value
Inflation
Inflation can force the firm to have higher cash
outflows as the cost of purchasing supplies and
hiring labor rises during periods of high inflation.
Some of these higher costs may be offset in whole
or in part by rising prices for the firms products.
Inflation can also affect the firm through its impact
on interest rates.
Higher rates of inflation are normally accompanied
by higher interest rates.
Economic Factors
and a Firms Value
Government Effects
on Firm Value
Monetary Policy
Monetary policy describes the BI programs for
controlling the Indonesian money supply, which
influences interest rates.
The BI controls the money supply through (a)
open market operations, (b) changes in the
discount rate, or (c) changes in reserve
requirements.
In general, reducing or slowing the growth in
money supply increases interest rates which has a
negative impact on firm value.
Government Effects
on Firm Value
Fiscal Policy
Fiscal policy describes the Indonesia governments
programs of taxation and public spending.
Expansionary fiscal policy would result
from a reduction in the overall level of taxation
and/or increase in Government spending.
On the other hand, contractionary fiscal policy
would result from an increase in taxes or reduction
in spending.
Government Effects
on Firm Value
Fiscal Policy
An increase in personal tax rates will reduce
disposable income, thereby reducing the demand
for a firms products; this has a negative affect
on firm value.
An increase in corporate tax rates reduces firm
cash flows directly; this has a negative affect on
firm value.
Not only can the level of government spending
affect firm value, but also the allocation of that
spending.
Government Effects
on Firm Value
Fiscal Policy
For example, fiscal policy that increases military
equipment spending will benefit those firms that
produce that equipment.
Finally, the aggregate level of government debt
may also affect firm value.
If the level of debt increases, the government
demand for funds will put upward pressure on
interest rates, increasing the cost of financing for
firms.
Government Effects
on Firm Value
$/Yen
$/GBP
$/Euro
USA
Jepang
10
Indonesia
5
Thailan
Singapore
-5
61
56
51
46
41
36
31
26
21
16
11