Investment Appraisal
Investment Appraisal
Investment Appraisal
One of the key areas of long-term decision-making that firms must tackle is that of investment
- the need to commit funds by purchasing land, buildings, machinery and so on, in anticipation
of being able to earn an income greater than the funds committed. In order to handle these
decisions, firms have to make an assessment of the size of the outflows and inflows of funds,
the lifespan of the investment, the degree of risk attached and the cost of obtaining funds.
The main stages in the capital budgeting cycle can be summarized as follows:
Even the projects that are unlikely to generate profits should be subjected to investment
appraisal. This should help to identify the best way of achieving the project's aims. So
investment appraisal may help to find the cheapest way to provide a new staff restaurant, even
though such a project may be unlikely to earn profits for the company.
Capital expenditure is expenditure on fixed assets (including additions to fixed assets) which
is extended to benefit future periods.
It usually involves large sum of money.
In the case of the construction of very large assets such as factories, ships, bridges etc the
expenditures may be committed for a long time.
Capital expenditure may well decide the “shape” (i.e. the location, size, pattern of operation,
efficiency, ability to compete in the market etc) of a business for a very long time.
Errors of judgement in the capital expenditure decisions cannot be easily reversed.
It is therefore extremely important that as much information as possible should be available
to the management to make it a prudent capital expenditure decision.
Some pieces of information provided for management may contradict other information
because of the different methods used to provide the information assess the proposed
expenditure from different point of views. It is then the management’s decision how much
weight should be given to each piece of information.
Management often have to take non-financial decisions into account. The concept of
corporate social responsibility might be a deciding factor.
The average rate of return expresses the profits arising from a project as a percentage of the
initial capital cost. However the definition of profits and capital cost are different depending on
which textbook you use. For instance, the profits may be taken to include depreciation, or they
may not. One of the most common approaches is as follows:
A project to replace an item of machinery is being appraised. The machine will cost £240 000
and is expected to generate total revenues of £45 000 over the project's five year life. What is
the ARR for this project?
Sales 66000
Machinery £100000
Additional working capital £40000
£140000
Average capital employed: £ (1/2x 100000) + £40000= £90000
So,
ARR= £28000 x 100
£ 90000
= 31%
The company may proceed with the project as it is generating more return than its existing one.
Note: if a resale value of the machine bought is mentioned the proceeds will be added with the
capital employed.
Payback:
This is literally the amount of time required for the cash inflows from a capital investment
project to equal the cash outflows. The usual way that firms deal with deciding between two or
more competing projects is to accept the project that has the shortest payback period. Payback
is often used as an initial screening method.
So, if £4 million is invested with the aim of earning £500 000 per year (net cash earnings), the
payback period is calculated thus:
This all looks fairly easy! But what if the project has more uneven cash inflows? Then we need
to work out the payback period on the cumulative cash flow over the duration of the project as
a whole.
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the first Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) technique covered here. It
relies on the concept of opportunity cost to place a value on cash inflows arising from capital
investment.
Remember that opportunity cost is the calculation of what is sacrificed or foregone as a result
of a particular decision. It is also referred to as the 'real' cost of taking some action.
We can look at the concept of present value as being the cash equivalent now of a sum
receivable at a later date. So how does the opportunity cost affect revenues that we can expect
to receive later? Well, imagine what a business could do now with the cash sums it must wait
some time to receive.
In fact, if you receive cash you are quite likely to save it and put it in the bank. So what a
business sacrifices by having to wait for the cash inflows is the interest lost on the sum that
would have been saved.
Looked at another way, it is likely that the business will have borrowed the capital to invest in
the project. So, what it foregoes by having to wait for the revenues arising from the investment
is the interest paid on the borrowed capital.
NPV is a technique where cash inflows expected in future years are discounted back to their
present value. This is calculated by using a discount rate equivalent to the interest that would
have been received on the sums, had the inflows been saved, or the interest that has to be
paid by the firm on funds borrowed.
ARR and payback period are criticised for not taking the time value of money into
consideration.
The time value of money recognises that £1 invested now will amount to £1.10 if
invested at a compound rate of 10%.
If meaningful comparisons are to be made the future receipts should be discounted
to present day values.
A positive NPV means that the project is worthy of further consideration and the
larger the NPV the better. A negative NPV project should be rejected.
When the finance of a project comes from a single source the cost of capital is
clearly the expected rate of return by that source. However companies rarely have
one source of finance and different sources or classes expect different return as for
example a company might need to raise £10million for a new project. It might issue
£5 million worth of ordinary share capital, where the shareholders expecting a
return of 12%, £2 million at £1 each 9% preference share and £3 million 10%
debentures. The corporation tax is 20%. In this type of case weighted average cost of
capital will have to be calculated to make the calculations more meaningful and
accurate.
Weighted average cost of capital for the above mentioned example would be:
10 100 1020
The project should be accepted as the net present value is positive if the net present value is
negative the firm should have rejected the proposal if there had been non financial factors involved.
We know that when a positive NPV is produced by our DCF calculations, a project is worthwhile.
We have also seen that when there are competing projects, we should select the one that
produces the highest NPV.
But sometimes a firm will want to know how well a project will perform under a range of
interest rate scenarios. The aim with IRR is to answer the question: 'What level of interest will
this project be able to withstand?' Once we know this, the risk of changing interest rate
conditions can effectively be minimised.
The IRR is the annual percentage return achieved by a project, at which the sum of the
discounted cash inflows over the life of the project is equal to the sum of the capital invested.
Another way of looking at this is that the IRR is the rate of interest that reduces the NPV to zero.
The NPV calculates the net receipts and compares it with the initial investment if it is greater than
the initial investment the project might receive the go ahead signal. However it ignores the current
return which the company is enjoying and what rate of return the company must generate to make
ends meet. This rate is determined by the internal rate of return.
IRR is the discounting rate which equals the discounted net receipts i.e. the rate which will result in
nil NPV.
The IRR can be calculated as follows:
i. Discounting the cash flows using two different rates sufficiently far apart to give one
positive and one negative NPV.
ii. “Interpolating” the NPV’s to arrive at the IRR.
Demonstration of IRR
Example: a project involves an investment of £100000. The annual net receipts for each of the first
Now the business can compare the IRR of 12.44% with the return the business is currently earning
with its existing capital and then can decide whether to proceed with the investment or shelve the
expansion plans.
i
Individual amounts expressed as a percentage of total amount £10 million.
ii
If the rate of tax is 20%, the cost of debentures would be (1-0.2)= 8
The project should be accepted as the net present value is positive if the net present value is
negative the firm should have rejected the proposal if there had been non financial factors involved.
We know that when a positive NPV is produced by our DCF calculations, a project is worthwhile.
We have also seen that when there are competing projects, we should select the one that
produces the highest NPV.
But sometimes a firm will want to know how well a project will perform under a range of
interest rate scenarios. The aim with IRR is to answer the question: 'What level of interest will
this project be able to withstand?' Once we know this, the risk of changing interest rate
conditions can effectively be minimised.
The IRR is the annual percentage return achieved by a project, at which the sum of the
discounted cash inflows over the life of the project is equal to the sum of the capital invested.
Another way of looking at this is that the IRR is the rate of interest that reduces the NPV to zero.
The NPV calculates the net receipts and compares it with the initial investment if it is greater than
the initial investment the project might receive the go ahead signal. However it ignores the current
return which the company is enjoying and what rate of return the company must generate to make
ends meet. This rate is determined by the internal rate of return.
IRR is the discounting rate which equals the discounted net receipts i.e. the rate which will result in
nil NPV.
The IRR can be calculated as follows:
i. Discounting the cash flows using two different rates sufficiently far apart to give one
positive and one negative NPV.
ii. “Interpolating” the NPV’s to arrive at the IRR.
Example: a project involves an investment of £100000. The annual net receipts for each of the first
Now the values just determined need to be put into this formula
IRR= X+ pq x ac
ad
where,
X= the rate which is giving the positive NPV { here it will be 10%}
pq= the difference between the two rate used to generate NPV’s { here it will be
14-10= 4}
ac= positive NPV. The figure and not the rate { here it will be £6120}
ad= the positive + the negative NPV’s. The figure and not the rate { here it will be
£6120+ £3904)
Now the business can compare the IRR of 12.44% with the return the business is currently earning
with its existing capital and then can decide whether to proceed with the investment or shelve the
expansion plans.
4. Billal and Hibban Company presently earns a return of 18%. It is considering manufacture of a
new product which will require £100000. They have asked their finance manager to prepare
some data for them to consider the project. He has come up with the following information:
Sales £75000 p.a.
It is the company’s policy to charge 10% depreciation on all fixed assets. The manager has also
added that the production of the new product will require an increase in the working capital of
£12000.
Required:
The company charges 12% depreciation on all its fixed assets. It is currently earning a return of 15%
on its existing capital. The accountant predicts the machine can be sold for £3000 after the end of
five year period. The company will also require increasing their working capital by £5000 to manage
the production and sale of their new product.
Required:
Additional information:
The finance manager adds that the machine used in project B can be sold for £40000 after
the end of year 5.
Required:
a. Calculate the Accounting rate of return, payback period for both the projects.
b. Outline the advantage and disadvantages of payback period. (4)
c. Recommend an investment. (4)
d. Would you give your go ahead to the investment just with the calculations done above?
Explain your opinion. (6)
7. Billal and Hibban Company presently earns a return of 27%. The firm has £900000. They have
asked their finance manager to come up some projects where they can invest the money. He
has come up with the following information:
Additional information:
The finance manager adds that working capital would have to be increased by £50000.
Required:
a. Calculate the Accounting rate of return, payback period for both the projects.
b. Outline the advantage and disadvantages of payback period. (4)
c. Recommend an investment. (4)
d. What other information or calculations do you think is required to make the investment
decision more meaningful and accurate? (6)
Additional information
• Ordinary share holders expect 6%, 7% and 8% From Company A, Company B, Company C
respectively.
• The rate of corporation tax is 30% applicable to all firms.
Required:
a. Calculate the weighted average cost of capital for the three firms.
b. Assume that all of the above firms have equal access to funds. Which firm has the
cheapest source of finance?
Required:
a. Calculate the weighted average cost of capital for the three firms.
b. Assume that all of the above firms have equal access to funds. Which firm has the
cheapest source of finance?
10. Following are the sources of finance of three different companies.
Company X Company Y Company Z
£ £ £
Ordinary share 1500000 300000 4000000
(6%, 8.5%, 10%)Preference share 600000 100000 100000
(10%, 11%, 9%) Debentures 200000 400000 2000000
Additional information
• Ordinary share holders expect 12%, 9% and 10% From Company A, Company B, Company C
respectively.
• The rate of corporation tax is 40% applicable to all firms.
Required:
a. Calculate the weighted average cost of capital for the three firms.
b. Assume that all of the above firms have equal access to funds. Which firm has the
cheapest source of finance?
c. Discuss the attractiveness of the project after the given revised cost of capital. (5)
12.
a. Two firms Jabbar ltd and Akkas Ltd have following the cash flows. The cost of capital
for Jabbar ltd is 12% while Akkas ltd has 15%.
Year Cash flow £
0 (200000)
1 17000
2 25000
3 300000
4 50000
b. The new plant and machinery which will be bought for £200000 will have a resale value of
£20000 at the end of five years.
c. Labour costs will be £0.5/unit in year 1 and rising by 25% in every proceeding year.
d. Material costs will be £0.25/unit for the first two years of production rising by 10% in year 3
and a further 10% in both the years 5and 6.
e. Other costs will be £5000 for year and will remain the same for first three years of
production. It will fall by 10% in every year for production after the third year.
f. The cost of the capital for the company is 12%.
g. The company is earning 15% in its existing capital.
It is forecasted that for both the options running costs will increase by £10000 for
each year of operation commencing in year 2. The room charge will be increased by £2/night
for both options commencing in year 3. The occupancy rate will remain the same
throughout the five year period.
Required:
I. Evaluate the motel project for the two pricing options using the discounted cash flow
technique.
II. Advise the directors of Hammad Motel Co. Of the pricing option they should use. (4).
£(000)
Ordinary share 10000
10%Preference share 5000
12% Bank loan 5000
The ordinary shareholders expect a return of 9% per annum.
The following information is forecast for Music Series TV.
Income will be received from advertisers. Advertisements will be broadcast for 8 minutes in
every hour. The Music Series TV will be broad cast 24 hours a day, 365 days a year. The fees
charged to the advertisers consists of four levels:
Level A Midnight to 06:00 hours £150/ minute
Level B 06:00 to 12:00 hours £100/minute
Level C 12:00 to 18:00 hours £200/minute
Level D 18:00 to Midnight £250/minute
Running expenses for the TV, mainly royalties on video broadcast are expected to be
£120000/week. Depreciation is expected to be 20% of the running expenses and is included
in the running expenses.
In years 3, 4 and 5 it is expected that the channel will be able to raise the fees charged to
advertisers. A 10% increase in the fees is planned at the beginning of year 3 as the channel
becomes popular. Fees will be held at this level for the following years.
At the beginning that all the running expenses will rise by 5%. Expenses will be held at this
level for years 4 and 5. Depreciation is expected to stay at 20% of all running expenses.
Required:
a. Calculate the weighted average cost of capital for the two proposals.
b. Calculate the net present value of the new project
c. Advise G- Series, giving two reasons, wether to invest in the new project. (2)
d. Evaluate the capital structure proposed for the new project. (6).