CIES Demographic Study (2014)
CIES Demographic Study (2014)
CIES Demographic Study (2014)
DEMOGRAPHIC S T U D Y
Raffaele Poli, Roger Besson & Loc Ravenel
With the collaboration of Andrea Pessina, Elias Georgiou, Raphal Crettol and Grgory Martin
Copyright 2014 CIES Football Observatory. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced without the prior written permission of the authors.
Foreword
Doctor, is it serious?
The more we know, the more we want to find out. This is the modus operandi of the CIES Football Observatory research team when we tackle our annual Demographic Study of the European football players labour market. We can say with confidence that our thirst for knowledge is shared by many actors in professional football. We hope that this latest edition will whet your appetite to find out more about the dynamics at work in the 31 championships studied. New analyses specifically elaborated for this edition will help you to compare the state of football between different countries. Generally speaking, the Study shows that professional European football is still confronted with processes that do not necessarily augur well for its future. The cloud of economic uncertainty that hangs over sporting logics is flagrant in many clubs and countries. In general, the number of transfers carried out by teams during the current season is at an all-time high. A trend that is difficult to understand given the actual climate with its numerous financial difficulties. The increasing speculation surrounding players transfers is also visible through the progressive drop in the number of club-trained players, which has attained its lowest level since 2009. Conversely, the percentage of expatriate players has risen for the second consecutive year. Here too, the figure has never been so high. More and more teams are integrated into international networks driven by the desire to increase the market value of players by transferring them whenever a lucrative opportunity presents itself. Our Study shows that a thorough rethink is necessary to introduce adequate regulatory mechanisms to protect players in particular, and football more generally, against the increasingly speculative nature of the transfer market. Our analyses allow us to identify not only the situations most at risk, but also the more worthy realities from which we can draw inspiration. Enjoy your read! Raffaele Poli, head of CIES Football Observatory
Introduction
Continental areas
Northern
FIN NOR SCO DEN ENG SWE
Eastern
RUS
Western
FRA
NED BEL
GER CZE
Central
POL
BLR
UKR SVK
SUI
POR
ESP
ITA
BUL
TUR GRE
Southern
Not in the sample
CYP ISR
League category
Level 1
-- England -- Spain -- Germany -- Italy -- France
Level 2
-- Portugal -- The Netherlands -- Ukraine -- Russia -- Belgium -- Greece -- Denmark -- Turkey -- Austria -- Switzerland -- Romania
Level 3
-- Cyprus -- Czech Republic -- Israel -- Sweden -- Poland -- Norway -- Croatia -- Belarus -- Serbia -- Slovakia -- Bulgaria -- Hungary -- Scotland -- Finland -- Slovenia
Introduction
Highlights
Record low for club-trained players
The Study shows that the percentage of expatriate players reached a new record high this season: 36.8%. The proportion of footballers who have already experienced international migration during their career was also never as high as for current season: 49.3%. These findings confirm the growing internationalisation of football players labour market. While Brazil remains the most represented foreign origin, their number decreased by 67 since 2009: from 538 to 471. France is the second nation with the highest number of expatriates in top division European leagues: from 247 to 306 (+59) during the same period. The biggest increase since 2009 was observed for Spain: from 57 to 178 (+121). The increase in international mobility goes hand in hand with the decrease in the percentage of club-trained players. Despite the regulations introduced in many countries and at UEFA club competition level, the relative presence of footballers playing for the club where they were trained reached a new record low: 21.2%. A new record was also registered with regard to the number of new signings. On average, 41.3% of top division teams in Europe are made up of players recruited from January 2013 onwards (10.2 signings per club). Transfer activity is particularly high in Southern and Eastern Europe: on average 12.1 new signings per team in both areas. This figure is almost twice as high as in Northern Europe (6.8). At league level, Italy and England top the table for the largest squads (26.8 players per club on average). Italian Serie A also gathers the most seasoned footballers (27.3 years) and the least percentage of club-trained players (8.4%). The tallest league is German Bundesliga (183.8cm), while the shortest is Spanish Liga (180.1cm). The highest percentage of players with national A-team caps in 2013 was recorded in England (44.3%). The English Premier League also has the second highest percentage of expatriate footballers (60.4%), just after Cyprus. The latter country also tops the ranking of the highest number of players signed after January 2013 (on average 14.1 per club). This figure was only 5.3 in Sweden. At club level, the Study reveals that Barcelona has the second shortest squad (177.4cm) among the 472 club surveyed, as well as the most stable one. Players in the Catalan club have been on average for 5.5 years in the first team squad. The average stay is above 5 years in only one other club: Manchester United. The highest percentage of players having represented national A-teams in 2013 was recorded at Chelsea (80%). The London club outranks Manchester City and Fenerbahe. Inter Milan has the greatest proportion of expatriate footballers (89%), ahead of Porto. Crystal Palace has the largest squad among teams surveyed (34 players). Finally, our analysis confirms the excellent work undertaken by Ajax in the area of youth training. The Dutch side tops the table of clubs having trained the most players under contract with top division teams in Europe. With 69 representatives, Ajax outranks Partizan Belgrade, Barcelona, Hajduk Split and Sporting Lisbon. The last section of the Study presents the most employed U21 players for each league analysed. This allows us to identify some of the most promising footballers throughout Europe.
CLUB-TRAINEd PLAYERS
Szombathelyi Halads (Hungary) is the European top division team composed of the highest percentage of players trained in the club (85.7%). Club-trained footballers represent more than three-quarters of squad members in two other teams: Hearts of Midlothian and Osijek. At big-5 league level, only four clubs out of 98 are made up of a majority of club-trained players: Barcelona, Athletic Bilbao, Real Sociedad and Lyon.
GER Freiburg ENG Arsenal ITA Atalanta Level 2 DEN Midtjylland NED Feyenoord GRE Ergotelis AUT SUI BEL Admira Wacker Young Boys Cercle Brugge UKR Karpaty
ROM Ceahlul POR Sporting CP TUR Genlerbirlii RUS CSKA Moskva Level 3 HUN Szombathelyi Halads SCO Heart of Midlothian CRO Osijek SVK Trenn SWE Brommapojkarna SRB FK Rad CZE FIN ISR BUL BLR POL Sigma Olomouc JJK Beitar Jerusalem Litex Dnepr Mogilev Wisa Krakw
SVN Triglav
* Footballers who played for at least three seasons between the ages of 15 and 21 for their employer club
13 18 7 2 16 15
European Top 20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
19 12 17 4 10 1 14 8 11 6 20 5 3
8 9 10 9 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Szombathelyi Halads (HUN).85.7% Heart of Midlothian (SCO) .......80.0% Osijek (CRO) ...........................77.4% Trenn (SVK)..........................68.2% MTK (HUN)..............................65.2% Barcelona (ESP)......................64.0% Brommapojkarna (SWE) .........62.5% Athletic Bilbao (ESP) ...............60.9% FK Rad (SRB) .........................60.0% Ruomberok (SVK) .................59.1% Real Sociedad (ESP) ..............57.7% Sigma Olomouc (CZE) ............57.1% JJK (FIN) .................................54.2% Lyon (FRA) ..............................53.8% Midtjylland (DEN) ....................53.6% AaB (DEN)...............................52.4% Slovcko (CZE) .......................52.2% Lahti (FIN) ...............................52.2% Feyenoord (NED) ....................52.0% Hajduk Split (CRO)..................52.0%
20
TRAINING CLUBS
As last season, Ajax is the most prolific training club in Europe. The Dutch side has trained 69 players under contract with top division teams. While 12 footballers still play for Ajax, 57 are employed by other teams. The second most prolific training club is Partizan Belgrade, followed by Barcelona. The latter club tops the big-5 league table, followed by another very competitive Spanish team: Real Madrid. Many other top flight teams are in the top positions of the ranking.
ENG Arsenal GER Bayern Mnchen ITA Internazionale Level 2 NED Ajax POR Sporting CP UKR Dynamo Kyiv BEL Standard RUS Spartak Moskva DEN Brndby GRE Panathinaikos SUI AUT Zrich Rapid Wien
29 (11)
27 (10) 26 (10) 26 (10) 26 19 17 66 46 41 37 32 (9) (2) (3) (7) (6) (8) (4) (8)
TUR Beikta ROM Dinamo Bucureti Level 3 SRB Partizan CRO Hajduk Split CZE BLR BUL SVK FIN ISR POL Sparta Praha Dinamo Minsk Levski Sofia Nitra HJK Maccabi Tel Aviv Wisa Krakw HUN MTK
52 (13) 43 (15)
SWE Malm FF SVN Gorica SCO Celtic NOR Rosenborg CYP Apollon Limassol
European Top 20
1 2 3 14 19 1 10 7 20 9 18 5 8 3 4 16 12 15 2 6 17 11 4 5 6 13 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ajax (NED) .............................69 Partizan (SRB) .......................66 Barcelona (ESP).....................61 Hajduk Split (CRO).................52 Sporting CP (POR) .................52 Crvena Zvezda (SRB) ............50 Sparta Praha (CZE)................46 Real Madrid (ESP) .................46 Dinamo Zagreb (CRO) ...........45 Feyenoord (NED) ...................44 Dynamo Kyiv (UKR) ...............44 MTK (HUN).............................43 Shakhtar Donetsk (UKR)........43 Dinamo Minsk (BLR) ..............41 Osijek (CRO) ..........................41 Slavia Praha (CZE) ................39 Levski Sofia (BUL)..................37 Porto (POR)............................37 Arsenal (ENG) ........................36 Bayern Mnchen (GER) .........36
(12) (7) (16) (13) (8) (5) (6) (7) (7) (13) (5) (15) (4) (8) (24) (11) (4) (1) (10) (7)
Club records
21
CLUB-TRAINEd
The percentage of club-trained players has decreased for the fourth consecutive season, reaching a new record low (21.2%). This proportion is much greater in the least competitive leagues (27.0%) than in the most competitive ones (16.5%). The biggest decrease since 2009 was recorded in Eastern Europe (from 23.0% to 16.6%, -6.4%). The only continental area where the relative presence of players trained in the club has increased is Northern Europe (from 30.5% to 32.5%, +2.0%). At league level, Sweden outranked Slovakia in the table of the leagues with the highest percentage of club-trained players (38.9%). Sweden is also the country where the percentage of club-trained footballers increased the most since 2009 (+8.1%).
Northern
20.3%
Western
26.7%
Central
16.6%
Eastern
15.6%
Highest increases
1. Sweden 2. Scotland 3. Austria 4. Switzerland 5. Czech Republic +8.1% +5.7% +5.4% +4.8% +4.7%
Northern
Western
-0.8%
-1.9%
Central
-6.4%
Eastern
Highest decreases
1. Slovenia 2. Romania 3. Israel 4. Bulgaria 5. Ukraine -14.8% -7.0% -6.8% -6.5% -6.3%
Southern
-1.1%
34.8%
32.4%
32.3%
32.2%
32.2%
30.6%
29.5%
26.9%
26.6%
26.1%
24.3%
24.2%
21.1%
20.6%
20.4%
30%
23.6%
19.7%
19.2%
17.1%
16.6%
16.0%
15.5%
13.8%
13.6%
12.9%
12.0%
9.1% TUR
GRE
ROM
NOR
SVK
FIN
CZE
SVN
FRA
ESP
SWE
SRB
BEL
SUI
ISR
DEN
SCO
NED
UKR
CYP
AUT
BUL
ENG
POL
GER
CRO
POR
HUN
26
RUS
BLR
ITA
0%
8.4%
15%
11.3%