Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 504 Likely Voters Field Dates: September 26-28, 2012
Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 504 Likely Voters Field Dates: September 26-28, 2012
Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 504 Likely Voters Field Dates: September 26-28, 2012
OVERAL
L
PARTY REGISTRATION
Democra Republic
Overall
t
an
504
181
66
GENDER
Unenroll
ed /
Other
257
AGE CATEGORIES
Male
Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59
245
259
76
121
178
60+
129
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorable
52%
25%
87%
61%
56%
47%
42%
55%
56%
47%
Unfavorable
33%
53%
10%
24%
34%
32%
31%
30%
30%
40%
Heard of / undecided
13%
16%
4%
12%
6%
18%
16%
13%
13%
9%
Never heard of
2%
3%
0%
2%
3%
1%
5%
2%
1%
3%
Refused
1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
5%
0%
0%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Favorable
47%
72%
11%
39%
46%
48%
43%
40%
49%
56%
Unfavorable
37%
12%
73%
46%
42%
33%
20%
44%
38%
39%
Heard of / undecided
13%
14%
13%
13%
9%
17%
28%
15%
12%
4%
2%
3%
4%
1%
2%
1%
8%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Favorable
61%
87%
12%
55%
58%
65%
72%
50%
63%
65%
Unfavorable
32%
8%
80%
37%
34%
30%
15%
45%
31%
30%
6%
4%
7%
7%
7%
5%
11%
5%
7%
4%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Favorable
34%
10%
76%
40%
35%
33%
17%
41%
38%
30%
Unfavorable
59%
83%
21%
51%
57%
60%
76%
49%
56%
65%
7%
6%
2%
8%
7%
7%
5%
10%
6%
5%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Never heard of
Refused
Total
Favorables - Barack Obama
Heard of / undecided
Total
Favorables - Mitt Romney
Heard of / undecided
Total
Favorables - The Tea Party
Favorable
17%
5%
42%
19%
22%
12%
9%
18%
18%
19%
Unfavorable
59%
81%
23%
52%
56%
61%
61%
59%
55%
62%
Heard of / undecided
19%
12%
32%
22%
18%
21%
23%
21%
22%
12%
Never heard of
3%
1%
1%
4%
3%
2%
4%
2%
2%
3%
Refused
3%
1%
2%
4%
1%
4%
2%
1%
4%
3%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Page 1 of 20
RACE
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some
Women
White /
High
college, College
Men age age 18- Men age Women Caucasia
School or
no
graduate Advance
18-49
49
50+
age 50+
n
All others
less
degree (BA/BS) d degree
127
120
118
139
436
41
104
100
211
87
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorable
58%
51%
55%
44%
57%
28%
49%
58%
54%
38%
Unfavorable
31%
29%
36%
35%
32%
35%
26%
30%
33%
46%
Heard of / undecided
7%
17%
5%
20%
10%
27%
22%
6%
12%
16%
Never heard of
4%
1%
3%
1%
1%
5%
3%
4%
1%
0%
Refused
0%
3%
0%
5%
0%
2%
0%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Favorable
44%
40%
48%
58%
45%
59%
42%
46%
48%
57%
Unfavorable
38%
37%
46%
28%
43%
6%
37%
39%
40%
31%
Heard of / undecided
13%
21%
6%
13%
11%
27%
14%
16%
10%
12%
Never heard of
5%
1%
0%
2%
1%
9%
8%
0%
2%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Favorable
55%
58%
60%
71%
57%
82%
62%
57%
60%
71%
Unfavorable
35%
36%
34%
24%
37%
9%
29%
37%
35%
23%
Heard of / undecided
8%
6%
6%
4%
6%
8%
10%
6%
4%
6%
Never heard of
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Favorable
33%
39%
38%
26%
37%
20%
29%
37%
37%
29%
Unfavorable
Refused
Total
Favorables - Mitt Romney
58%
54%
57%
67%
55%
73%
62%
58%
56%
61%
Heard of / undecided
9%
7%
5%
7%
7%
6%
8%
5%
6%
10%
Never heard of
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Favorable
16%
14%
28%
10%
19%
10%
17%
20%
19%
7%
Unfavorable
56%
59%
57%
63%
58%
60%
50%
55%
63%
67%
Heard of / undecided
24%
23%
11%
19%
19%
23%
23%
20%
13%
23%
Never heard of
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
4%
6%
3%
1%
1%
Refused
2%
2%
1%
5%
2%
3%
4%
2%
3%
2%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Page 2 of 20
INCOME RANGES
Less
than
$25k $25-$75k
46
127
$75$150k
163
FAV TEA
PARTY
More
than
Total
Total
Total
Total
Total
$150k favorable favorable favorable favorable favorable
72
261
241
307
169
83
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorable
43%
52%
60%
51%
100%
24%
29%
90%
91%
Unfavorable
31%
34%
28%
40%
0%
62%
49%
5%
6%
Heard of / undecided
18%
11%
11%
9%
0%
11%
17%
3%
4%
Never heard of
8%
1%
1%
0%
2%
3%
1%
0%
Refused
0%
3%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Favorable
58%
51%
42%
44%
22%
100%
71%
13%
8%
Unfavorable
22%
34%
43%
46%
67%
0%
12%
77%
82%
Heard of / undecided
10%
13%
16%
9%
10%
0%
13%
8%
11%
Never heard of
10%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Favorable
83%
62%
55%
56%
35%
93%
100%
17%
9%
Unfavorable
Total
Favorables - Elizabeth Warren
Refused
Total
Favorables - Barack Obama
13%
32%
39%
36%
57%
3%
0%
80%
88%
Heard of / undecided
5%
5%
5%
7%
8%
4%
0%
3%
3%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Favorable
31%
33%
38%
41%
59%
9%
9%
100%
87%
Unfavorable
Total
Favorables - Mitt Romney
63%
60%
56%
53%
34%
88%
86%
0%
11%
Heard of / undecided
5%
6%
6%
6%
7%
3%
4%
0%
3%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Favorable
10%
22%
21%
8%
30%
3%
3%
43%
100%
Unfavorable
51%
55%
56%
71%
41%
82%
78%
24%
0%
Heard of / undecided
28%
16%
20%
21%
24%
13%
15%
26%
0%
Never heard of
6%
3%
1%
0%
3%
3%
2%
3%
0%
Refused
4%
4%
1%
0%
3%
2%
3%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Total
Favorables - The Tea Party
Total
Page 3 of 20
PRES HORSERACE
SENATE HORSERACE
Other /
Barack
Mitt
DK /
Obama Romney Refused
300
165
39
Other /
Scott Elizabeth
DK /
Brown
Warren Refused
223
247
34
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorable
28%
93%
63%
95%
16%
25%
Unfavorable
51%
3%
12%
2%
62%
22%
Heard of / undecided
17%
3%
22%
3%
17%
44%
Never heard of
3%
3%
1%
3%
8%
Refused
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Favorable
71%
5%
32%
6%
86%
36%
Unfavorable
11%
84%
43%
79%
2%
14%
Heard of / undecided
14%
9%
25%
13%
10%
41%
3%
1%
0%
1%
2%
8%
0%
0%
0%
0%
305
162
37
224
246
34
95%
4%
36%
22%
95%
73%
Unfavorable
1%
91%
30%
69%
3%
7%
Heard of / undecided
4%
4%
33%
9%
2%
17%
Never heard of
Refused
Total
Favorables - Barack Obama
Favorable
Never heard of
0%
0%
2%
Refused
0%
1%
0%
0%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Favorable
6%
88%
27%
67%
5%
28%
89%
5%
46%
24%
92%
48%
5%
6%
27%
9%
3%
22%
Never heard of
0%
0%
2%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Favorable
2%
45%
13%
35%
2%
7%
Unfavorable
80%
21%
44%
33%
83%
50%
Heard of / undecided
14%
26%
36%
26%
12%
31%
Never heard of
2%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
Refused
2%
3%
2%
4%
10%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Unfavorable
Heard of / undecided
Page 4 of 20
OVERAL
L
PARTY REGISTRATION
Democra Republic
Overall
t
an
504
181
66
GENDER
Unenroll
ed /
Other
257
AGE CATEGORIES
Male
Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59
245
259
76
121
178
60+
129
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Scott Brown
44%
15%
88%
53%
48%
40%
31%
52%
45%
41%
Elizabeth Warren
46%
74%
9%
36%
40%
51%
51%
39%
47%
50%
1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
9%
9%
2%
11%
10%
8%
18%
7%
7%
9%
Refused
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
7%
0%
0%
11%
8%
5%
14%
0%
6%
4%
31%
61%
0%
17%
27%
36%
36%
65%
24%
7%
3%
0%
0%
4%
5%
0%
10%
0%
0%
0%
58%
39%
100%
66%
60%
55%
40%
35%
70%
83%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
6%
45
16
29
24
22
13
13
11
45%
15%
88%
54%
49%
40%
34%
52%
46%
41%
Elizabeth Warren
49%
79%
9%
37%
43%
54%
57%
44%
48%
50%
Another candidate
1%
2%
0%
2%
0%
2%
2%
0%
0%
5%
3%
2%
7%
6%
5%
7%
2%
5%
8%
Refused
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Barack Obama
60%
88%
13%
53%
56%
65%
74%
52%
61%
62%
Mitt Romney
32%
5%
82%
39%
35%
30%
16%
42%
31%
31%
2%
2%
4%
1%
2%
2%
3%
1%
3%
0%
5%
5%
2%
5%
6%
3%
7%
4%
4%
4%
Refused
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Page 5 of 20
RACE
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some
Women
White /
High
college, College
Men age age 18- Men age Women Caucasia
School or
no
graduate Advance
18-49
49
50+
age 50+
n
All others
less
degree (BA/BS) d degree
127
120
118
139
436
41
104
100
211
87
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Scott Brown
48%
48%
48%
31%
49%
21%
43%
51%
43%
31%
Elizabeth Warren
39%
45%
42%
58%
42%
65%
45%
42%
48%
52%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
3%
0%
0%
0%
10%
7%
9%
9%
8%
12%
8%
7%
9%
14%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
9%
7%
7%
4%
9%
0%
0%
10%
15%
0%
29%
67%
25%
10%
31%
40%
16%
31%
31%
43%
10%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
11%
0%
0%
53%
26%
68%
80%
54%
60%
76%
49%
54%
57%
0%
0%
0%
6%
2%
0%
8%
0%
0%
0%
13
10
11
12
34
11
13
13
49%
49%
49%
32%
49%
21%
43%
52%
44%
31%
Elizabeth Warren
42%
49%
44%
59%
45%
69%
46%
44%
51%
58%
Another candidate
3%
0%
0%
0%
1%
3%
3%
1%
0%
0%
6%
2%
6%
7%
5%
7%
6%
3%
5%
8%
Refused
0%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Barack Obama
55%
60%
56%
70%
55%
90%
59%
57%
59%
71%
Mitt Romney
34%
36%
36%
23%
37%
10%
29%
35%
37%
22%
3%
2%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
3%
1%
1%
7%
3%
5%
4%
5%
0%
6%
5%
3%
6%
Refused
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
4%
0%
0%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Page 6 of 20
INCOME RANGES
Less
than
$25k $25-$75k
46
127
$75$150k
163
FAV TEA
PARTY
More
than
Total
Total
Total
Total
Total
$150k favorable favorable favorable favorable favorable
72
261
241
307
169
83
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Scott Brown
29%
44%
52%
47%
80%
6%
16%
88%
90%
Elizabeth Warren
57%
47%
40%
48%
13%
85%
71%
6%
6%
5%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
10%
9%
7%
5%
7%
9%
11%
5%
4%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
10%
0%
12%
0%
17%
6%
1%
8%
34%
35%
46%
47%
35%
36%
40%
40%
8%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
7%
6%
4%
0%
0%
54%
54%
40%
65%
37%
44%
53%
77%
66%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
3%
2%
8%
0%
13
12
18
20
35
30%
44%
52%
47%
81%
6%
16%
88%
91%
Elizabeth Warren
60%
51%
43%
50%
15%
89%
76%
7%
6%
Another candidate
5%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
4%
6%
4%
3%
Refused
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Barack Obama
75%
62%
56%
56%
33%
91%
94%
11%
8%
Mitt Romney
Total
If the November, twenty twelve election
for President were held today, and the
candidates were Democrat Barack
Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for
whom would you vote?
16%
32%
39%
38%
58%
3%
2%
83%
86%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
3%
9%
2%
4%
5%
6%
2%
3%
5%
3%
Refused
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Total
Page 7 of 20
PRES HORSERACE
SENATE HORSERACE
Other /
Barack
Mitt
DK /
Obama Romney Refused
300
165
39
Other /
Scott Elizabeth
DK /
Brown
Warren Refused
223
247
34
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Scott Brown
15%
96%
50%
99%
0%
0%
Elizabeth Warren
73%
3%
16%
0%
94%
0%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
9%
11%
1%
30%
1%
6%
83%
8%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
7%
50%
0%
100%
0%
0%
44%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
45%
50%
94%
0%
0%
93%
0%
0%
6%
0%
0%
2%
33
11
14
28
16%
97%
50%
100%
0%
0%
Elizabeth Warren
77%
3%
16%
0%
100%
0%
Another candidate
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
13%
5%
29%
0%
0%
78%
Refused
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
9%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
100%
0%
0%
22%
96%
59%
Mitt Romney
0%
100%
0%
70%
2%
2%
0%
0%
25%
2%
1%
6%
0%
0%
64%
6%
1%
23%
Barack Obama
Refused
0%
0%
12%
1%
0%
9%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Page 8 of 20
OVERAL
L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Unenroll
ed /
Other
257
AGE CATEGORIES
Male
Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59
245
259
76
121
178
60+
129
44%
13%
87%
54%
50%
38%
30%
51%
45%
41%
50%
82%
9%
38%
43%
56%
58%
44%
49%
53%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
6%
5%
4%
7%
5%
6%
10%
4%
6%
4%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
43%
13%
87%
53%
49%
37%
29%
50%
45%
41%
49%
79%
10%
38%
43%
55%
57%
44%
48%
53%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
6%
7%
3%
7%
6%
7%
13%
5%
7%
4%
Refused
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
3%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Elizabeth Warren
20%
33%
1%
16%
22%
19%
20%
16%
21%
26%
Scott Brown
33%
17%
53%
39%
35%
31%
27%
34%
35%
32%
Both equally
33%
36%
37%
29%
28%
37%
35%
34%
33%
30%
4%
2%
2%
5%
4%
4%
2%
6%
4%
2%
10%
12%
6%
10%
12%
9%
16%
11%
7%
11%
Democra Republic
Overall
t
an
504
181
66
GENDER
504
Total
PARTY REGISTRATION
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Elizabeth Warren
43%
69%
9%
33%
40%
45%
47%
37%
42%
48%
Scott Brown
35%
11%
67%
42%
38%
32%
25%
35%
36%
37%
Both equally
18%
15%
20%
20%
18%
19%
21%
21%
19%
13%
1%
1%
3%
1%
2%
1%
4%
0%
3%
4%
1%
3%
3%
3%
6%
3%
2%
3%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Page 9 of 20
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some
Women
White /
High
college, College
Men age age 18- Men age Women Caucasia
School or
no
graduate Advance
18-49
49
50+
age 50+
n
All others
less
degree (BA/BS) d degree
127
120
118
139
436
41
104
100
211
87
50%
44%
50%
31%
48%
20%
42%
50%
46%
30%
42%
50%
45%
61%
45%
75%
49%
46%
49%
60%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
5%
6%
4%
7%
6%
4%
5%
4%
5%
10%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
48%
44%
50%
30%
47%
21%
43%
49%
43%
30%
42%
50%
45%
61%
45%
71%
46%
46%
51%
59%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
8%
6%
4%
8%
6%
8%
7%
5%
6%
10%
Refused
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Elizabeth Warren
20%
13%
24%
25%
17%
38%
24%
22%
19%
15%
Scott Brown
31%
32%
40%
30%
34%
27%
36%
36%
31%
25%
Both equally
33%
41%
23%
34%
36%
17%
24%
32%
34%
42%
3%
5%
5%
2%
4%
3%
5%
1%
5%
6%
15%
9%
9%
9%
9%
15%
12%
9%
11%
12%
RACE
Refused
If the election is very close, would you be Scott Brown
more likely to vote for Democrat Elizabeth Elizabeth Warren
Warren or Republican Scott Brown in the
Another candidate (do not read)
election for U.S. Senate?
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Elizabeth Warren
37%
40%
43%
51%
39%
60%
41%
43%
41%
46%
Scott Brown
32%
36%
44%
27%
38%
17%
34%
41%
34%
24%
Both equally
23%
19%
12%
19%
19%
19%
16%
15%
22%
23%
3%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
1%
4%
5%
3%
1%
4%
2%
5%
7%
1%
3%
3%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Page 10 of 20
INCOME RANGES
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
More
than
Total
Total
Total
Total
Total
$150k favorable favorable favorable favorable favorable
72
261
241
307
169
83
29%
44%
50%
47%
79%
7%
15%
88%
91%
66%
53%
42%
49%
14%
87%
77%
8%
6%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
2%
8%
4%
5%
4%
6%
3%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
29%
44%
49%
47%
78%
7%
15%
88%
91%
59%
53%
43%
48%
15%
87%
76%
7%
7%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
12%
1%
6%
5%
6%
5%
8%
4%
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Elizabeth Warren
26%
17%
18%
22%
8%
33%
30%
3%
7%
Scott Brown
42%
36%
39%
20%
53%
13%
17%
61%
71%
Both equally
15%
34%
32%
46%
29%
39%
37%
27%
15%
2%
2%
5%
4%
3%
3%
4%
4%
3%
15%
11%
6%
8%
6%
11%
13%
5%
5%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Elizabeth Warren
47%
46%
34%
45%
12%
76%
65%
8%
6%
Scott Brown
24%
33%
46%
27%
63%
5%
12%
77%
82%
Both equally
18%
19%
17%
23%
22%
17%
18%
13%
12%
1%
0%
2%
3%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
11%
3%
1%
1%
2%
2%
4%
3%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
$75$150k
163
FAV TEA
PARTY
0%
Total
Less
than
$25k $25-$75k
46
127
Page 11 of 20
PRES HORSERACE
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Other /
Barack
Mitt
DK /
Obama Romney Refused
300
165
39
Other /
Scott Elizabeth
DK /
Brown
Warren Refused
223
247
34
15%
96%
57%
95%
1%
15%
78%
4%
18%
1%
96%
31%
0%
3%
0%
0%
7%
7%
16%
4%
3%
39%
7%
0%
0%
6%
0%
0%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
14%
94%
55%
94%
1%
8%
77%
5%
17%
2%
96%
24%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
4%
8%
17%
4%
2%
55%
8%
9%
305
162
37
224
246
34
31%
4%
9%
5%
37%
1%
Scott Brown
17%
63%
37%
61%
9%
18%
Both equally
37%
24%
37%
25%
39%
35%
4%
4%
0%
3%
4%
5%
12%
6%
17%
6%
11%
40%
SENATE HORSERACE
Refused
If the election is very close, would you be Scott Brown
more likely to vote for Democrat Elizabeth Elizabeth Warren
Warren or Republican Scott Brown in the
Another candidate (do not read)
election for U.S. Senate?
305
162
37
224
246
34
Elizabeth Warren
67%
3%
15%
4%
81%
25%
Scott Brown
10%
81%
34%
75%
1%
11%
Both equally
19%
14%
31%
20%
16%
31%
1%
8%
1%
1%
9%
3%
1%
12%
1%
2%
25%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Page 12 of 20
OVERAL
L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PARTY REGISTRATION
Democra Republic
Overall
t
an
504
181
66
Unenroll
ed /
Other
257
GENDER
AGE CATEGORIES
Male
Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59
245
259
76
121
178
60+
129
45%
73%
10%
34%
41%
49%
46%
40%
46%
49%
39%
15%
81%
47%
42%
37%
37%
43%
41%
34%
Both equally
8%
8%
2%
10%
8%
9%
11%
8%
7%
8%
2%
1%
2%
3%
3%
1%
3%
1%
5%
5%
4%
5%
6%
6%
5%
6%
6%
5%
4%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
47%
73%
12%
37%
47%
47%
55%
44%
43%
51%
25%
9%
57%
27%
28%
21%
13%
28%
24%
28%
21%
12%
24%
27%
16%
26%
22%
20%
27%
14%
2%
4%
3%
3%
1%
2%
4%
2%
2%
5%
5%
3%
5%
5%
5%
8%
5%
4%
4%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Yes
40%
34%
44%
42%
42%
37%
36%
35%
40%
46%
No
60%
65%
56%
57%
56%
63%
62%
63%
60%
53%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Who would you say did a better job in the Scott Brown
debate--Scott Brown or Elizabeth
Elizabeth Warren
Warren?
Both (not read)
40%
12%
78%
47%
41%
40%
29%
51%
43%
34%
35%
63%
6%
27%
36%
35%
42%
29%
38%
34%
13%
18%
7%
12%
11%
15%
19%
5%
7%
25%
4%
4%
2%
5%
5%
4%
0%
7%
7%
0%
7%
3%
7%
9%
8%
6%
10%
7%
5%
8%
Total
199
61
27
111
103
96
26
49
72
53
Scott Brown
16%
4%
34%
20%
17%
15%
10%
18%
17%
16%
Elizabeth Warren
14%
21%
3%
11%
15%
13%
15%
10%
15%
16%
5%
6%
3%
5%
5%
6%
7%
2%
3%
12%
2%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
0%
3%
3%
0%
60%
65%
56%
57%
56%
63%
62%
63%
60%
53%
3%
2%
3%
5%
5%
2%
5%
4%
2%
4%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Page 13 of 20
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
RACE
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some
Women
White /
High
college, College
Men age age 18- Men age Women Caucasia
School or
no
graduate Advance
18-49
49
50+
age 50+
n
All others
less
degree (BA/BS) d degree
127
120
118
139
436
41
104
100
211
87
35%
44%
46%
54%
42%
63%
38%
43%
46%
57%
41%
44%
44%
29%
43%
22%
36%
44%
42%
31%
10%
8%
6%
9%
8%
11%
15%
5%
8%
7%
4%
1%
3%
1%
2%
0%
2%
2%
1%
3%
10%
3%
1%
6%
5%
4%
9%
6%
3%
2%
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
47%
42%
47%
51%
43%
69%
48%
40%
50%
54%
25%
23%
31%
20%
27%
14%
27%
26%
23%
20%
18%
29%
15%
23%
23%
13%
13%
27%
21%
21%
4%
2%
3%
2%
0%
3%
2%
3%
3%
6%
4%
4%
6%
4%
4%
8%
5%
3%
3%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Yes
37%
33%
48%
41%
42%
30%
33%
40%
44%
39%
No
61%
67%
51%
59%
57%
70%
65%
60%
55%
60%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
2%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Who would you say did a better job in the Scott Brown
debate--Scott Brown or Elizabeth
Elizabeth Warren
Warren?
Both (not read)
39%
52%
42%
30%
43%
14%
35%
37%
46%
44%
37%
22%
34%
46%
31%
64%
33%
35%
34%
40%
3%
18%
17%
13%
14%
6%
15%
16%
11%
8%
11%
1%
0%
6%
4%
7%
8%
6%
2%
3%
10%
7%
7%
5%
7%
9%
10%
6%
6%
5%
46
45
57
51
173
22
33
69
61
35
Scott Brown
15%
17%
20%
12%
18%
4%
11%
15%
21%
17%
Elizabeth Warren
Total
WATCHED DEBATE / WHO DID A
BETTER JOB
14%
7%
16%
19%
13%
19%
11%
14%
15%
16%
1%
6%
8%
5%
6%
2%
5%
6%
5%
3%
4%
0%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
1%
1%
61%
67%
51%
59%
57%
70%
65%
60%
55%
60%
6%
2%
4%
2%
4%
3%
5%
2%
3%
4%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Page 14 of 20
INCOME RANGES
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Less
than
$25k $25-$75k
46
127
$75$150k
163
FAV TEA
PARTY
More
than
Total
Total
Total
Total
Total
$150k favorable favorable favorable favorable favorable
72
261
241
307
169
83
54%
46%
39%
45%
11%
82%
69%
8%
5%
22%
36%
49%
46%
72%
5%
13%
84%
90%
Both equally
5%
9%
8%
5%
9%
8%
11%
3%
1%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
15%
6%
3%
1%
5%
4%
6%
4%
1%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
60%
49%
38%
46%
18%
77%
69%
9%
10%
19%
29%
26%
23%
44%
4%
8%
58%
71%
12%
17%
29%
26%
29%
16%
17%
26%
17%
0%
1%
3%
4%
3%
1%
1%
3%
2%
10%
4%
4%
2%
6%
1%
5%
5%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Yes
31%
41%
42%
35%
41%
41%
38%
46%
54%
No
66%
59%
58%
64%
59%
58%
61%
54%
46%
3%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Who would you say did a better job in the Scott Brown
debate--Scott Brown or Elizabeth
Elizabeth Warren
Warren?
Both (not read)
17%
41%
48%
42%
69%
9%
14%
79%
90%
58%
31%
25%
37%
11%
59%
55%
6%
3%
25%
18%
11%
19%
7%
23%
20%
4%
4%
0%
5%
9%
0%
7%
2%
4%
7%
1%
0%
6%
8%
3%
6%
7%
7%
3%
1%
14
56
69
25
106
97
118
79
46
5%
17%
20%
14%
28%
4%
5%
36%
49%
Total
WATCHED DEBATE / WHO DID A
BETTER JOB
Scott Brown
Elizabeth Warren
18%
13%
11%
13%
5%
24%
21%
3%
2%
8%
7%
5%
6%
3%
9%
8%
2%
2%
0%
2%
4%
0%
3%
1%
2%
3%
1%
66%
59%
58%
64%
59%
58%
61%
54%
46%
3%
3%
4%
2%
3%
4%
4%
2%
1%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Page 15 of 20
PRES HORSERACE
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
SENATE HORSERACE
Other /
Barack
Mitt
DK /
Obama Romney Refused
300
165
39
Other /
Scott Elizabeth
DK /
Brown
Warren Refused
223
247
34
70%
3%
20%
2%
86%
13%
90%
40%
86%
2%
4%
10%
4%
14%
6%
8%
25%
2%
1%
9%
2%
1%
11%
5%
3%
17%
4%
2%
28%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
70%
8%
27%
10%
81%
35%
6%
59%
26%
53%
1%
6%
28%
Both equally
32%
19%
26%
22%
27%
15%
1%
3%
7%
3%
1%
8%
4%
4%
17%
6%
1%
24%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Yes
38%
44%
35%
41%
39%
34%
No
61%
56%
65%
59%
59%
66%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Who would you say did a better job in the Scott Brown
debate--Scott Brown or Elizabeth
Elizabeth Warren
Warren?
Both (not read)
15%
82%
42%
75%
8%
39%
57%
2%
17%
6%
64%
24%
18%
4%
17%
6%
21%
7%
4%
4%
15%
7%
2%
8%
6%
8%
9%
6%
6%
22%
Total
116
71
13
92
96
11
Scott Brown
6%
36%
15%
31%
3%
13%
Elizabeth Warren
22%
1%
6%
3%
25%
8%
7%
2%
6%
2%
8%
2%
1%
2%
5%
3%
1%
3%
61%
56%
65%
59%
59%
66%
4%
3%
3%
3%
4%
7%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Page 16 of 20
OVERAL
L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Too often
Democra Republic
Overall
t
an
504
181
66
Unenroll
ed /
Other
257
GENDER
AGE CATEGORIES
Male
Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59
245
259
76
121
178
60+
129
3%
1%
10%
3%
3%
4%
0%
4%
2%
6%
34%
56%
13%
25%
34%
35%
38%
34%
35%
32%
48%
28%
65%
58%
52%
44%
44%
53%
51%
40%
14%
15%
12%
14%
11%
17%
17%
9%
11%
23%
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
58%
88%
15%
47%
53%
61%
62%
52%
58%
61%
29%
5%
75%
34%
32%
27%
14%
34%
31%
29%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
5%
2%
5%
7%
9%
1%
5%
8%
4%
4%
7%
4%
3%
9%
5%
8%
18%
5%
5%
5%
Total
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
48%
78%
14%
37%
44%
52%
58%
42%
46%
54%
38%
13%
80%
45%
43%
33%
22%
47%
38%
37%
2%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
1%
3%
1%
2%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
0%
10%
6%
4%
13%
9%
10%
15%
7%
10%
9%
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Very similar
15%
19%
17%
12%
13%
17%
13%
14%
17%
15%
Somewhat similar
42%
32%
59%
45%
46%
37%
38%
47%
39%
43%
Somewhat different
27%
35%
20%
24%
26%
28%
25%
28%
27%
28%
6%
5%
1%
8%
6%
7%
10%
4%
7%
6%
10%
9%
2%
12%
8%
11%
14%
7%
11%
8%
504
179
63
262
244
260
71
138
181
114
Total
PARTY REGISTRATION
Very different
Don't Know / Refused
Total
Page 17 of 20
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Too often
RACE
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some
Women
White /
High
college, College
Men age age 18- Men age Women Caucasia
School or
no
graduate Advance
18-49
49
50+
age 50+
n
All others
less
degree (BA/BS) d degree
127
120
118
139
436
41
104
100
211
87
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%
4%
6%
1%
5%
2%
33%
33%
36%
37%
31%
50%
29%
37%
31%
42%
51%
52%
53%
36%
53%
26%
45%
47%
54%
46%
13%
12%
8%
23%
13%
21%
21%
15%
10%
11%
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
50%
56%
57%
68%
53%
84%
60%
54%
54%
68%
27%
31%
36%
22%
33%
9%
28%
24%
37%
25%
0%
3%
2%
2%
0%
2%
2%
1%
0%
Total
15%
1%
3%
1%
5%
2%
6%
8%
3%
2%
8%
9%
3%
7%
7%
6%
4%
11%
5%
5%
Total
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
44%
48%
44%
57%
44%
73%
59%
45%
44%
49%
41%
39%
46%
26%
43%
16%
31%
42%
42%
31%
1%
4%
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
1%
1%
4%
3%
3%
2%
3%
3%
2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
11%
6%
7%
14%
9%
9%
9%
10%
9%
10%
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Very similar
15%
14%
11%
19%
14%
20%
11%
14%
19%
13%
Somewhat similar
42%
41%
51%
33%
44%
37%
40%
42%
42%
44%
Somewhat different
24%
29%
28%
28%
29%
20%
26%
28%
23%
33%
7%
7%
5%
7%
5%
11%
10%
5%
6%
5%
11%
8%
6%
13%
8%
12%
13%
11%
9%
4%
125
135
119
125
409
76
100
175
137
89
Very different
Don't Know / Refused
Total
Page 18 of 20
INCOME RANGES
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Too often
$75$150k
163
FAV TEA
PARTY
More
than
Total
Total
Total
Total
Total
$150k favorable favorable favorable favorable favorable
72
261
241
307
169
83
1%
5%
4%
1%
4%
1%
7%
35%
41%
29%
37%
14%
58%
50%
6%
9%
31%
41%
60%
55%
73%
24%
32%
78%
77%
32%
13%
7%
6%
8%
17%
18%
8%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
75%
62%
49%
54%
28%
91%
87%
12%
10%
19%
29%
33%
32%
51%
4%
5%
71%
85%
0%
0%
3%
1%
2%
1%
2%
0%
1%
5%
7%
5%
8%
2%
2%
8%
4%
5%
4%
8%
8%
11%
2%
4%
7%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
60%
51%
41%
49%
21%
80%
73%
11%
4%
27%
38%
45%
41%
66%
8%
12%
80%
92%
0%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
0%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
1%
2%
13%
8%
9%
7%
9%
8%
11%
6%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Very similar
17%
12%
15%
22%
13%
19%
15%
15%
17%
Somewhat similar
22%
45%
48%
40%
46%
34%
32%
59%
64%
Somewhat different
31%
30%
25%
30%
27%
31%
31%
16%
14%
8%
6%
7%
6%
9%
5%
8%
4%
4%
22%
7%
6%
2%
6%
11%
13%
5%
0%
44
137
165
71
260
238
308
171
85
Total
Total
In your view, would a Massachusetts
Positive development
delegation made up of all Democrats be a Negative development
positive or a negative development?
Both (not read)
Neither (not read)
Don't Know / Refused
Total
Would you say Scott Browns positions
on important issues are very similar,
somewhat similar, somewhat different or
very different from those expressed by
Mitt Romney?
Less
than
$25k $25-$75k
46
127
Very different
Don't Know / Refused
Total
14%
Page 19 of 20
PRES HORSERACE
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Too often
SENATE HORSERACE
Other /
Barack
Mitt
DK /
Obama Romney Refused
300
165
39
Other /
Scott Elizabeth
DK /
Brown
Warren Refused
223
247
34
8%
6%
6%
4%
51%
6%
22%
7%
61%
29%
32%
79%
48%
80%
21%
32%
17%
7%
24%
7%
18%
34%
305
162
37
224
246
34
89%
6%
26%
14%
98%
53%
4%
78%
20%
62%
1%
13%
3%
2%
3%
0%
0%
2%
7%
22%
9%
16%
5%
6%
30%
12%
1%
17%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
73%
6%
27%
11%
83%
42%
10%
88%
44%
77%
6%
9%
1%
0%
12%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
5%
12%
4%
14%
9%
6%
41%
Total
305
162
37
224
246
34
Very similar
16%
15%
9%
11%
19%
5%
Somewhat similar
33%
63%
19%
51%
36%
23%
Somewhat different
32%
14%
48%
23%
31%
29%
7%
4%
10%
9%
4%
10%
12%
3%
15%
6%
10%
33%
305
162
37
224
246
34
Very different
Don't Know / Refused
Total
Page 20 of 20