SmallCapCh8Part1 LongTechnicalSetups
SmallCapCh8Part1 LongTechnicalSetups
SmallCapCh8Part1 LongTechnicalSetups
INTRO TO MOMO
The Gap and Go strategy is a subset of the Momentum Strategy. Any stock gapping up has momentum.
However, the Gap and Go strategy applies to trading stocks gapping up in the first 15 min of the day, and
is the most consistent and easiest strategy I’ve developed.
Many of the examples we look at in this chapter could have easily been included in the Gap and Go
chapter if the stock was a gapping stock. Some of the examples in this chapter were stocks gapping up,
but after the first 15 min of the “Gap and Go” strategy, they continued to provide momentum setups. You
will see a lot of overlap between Gap and Go and Momentum strategies.
Also, once the Gap and Go trades are finished (usually by 9:45-10 AM), we start to look for momentum in
the market anywhere we can find it. This means watching our momentum scanners.
Extreme momentum and parabolic moves (when stocks go straight up) are extreme imbalances between supply and
demand, and represent crowd mentality that every stock market experiences.
Whether it’s a currency like Bitcoin, or the real estate market, investors and traders experience fear and greed, and
what results are massive moves. Some of these moves last only hours, others last days, weeks, or even months.
Traders who missed Setup A get aggressive (greed) on Setup B thinking, “Since A ran, B will run, too.” Multiply this
trading mentality across hundreds of thousands of day traders, and we start to see some incredibly exaggerated
moves in the market. These imbalances offer opportunity for smart traders to profit.
We find gap and go with a gapper scanner, and momentum trades with the momo scanner.
My Favorite Scans
Momentum Example
Stock Type: Low float stock (under 50mil shares, parabolic stocks will be under 10mil shares)
Range Today: Should already be up at least 10% or up at least 50% to be considered parabolic
Daily Chart: Price should be above the 9 EMA and with room to the 200 EMA, or well above the 200 EMA
Requirements: Stock should have a catalyst or be a former runner, but technical breakouts are okay
Price Range: Price preferred between $1.50-10.00, but applicable for all prices. Higher prices should be 5-min
patterns only
Entry: Any of the setups we’ll discuss today. Parabolic setups are also valid when the stock is up more than 50%.
In order to take FAST breakout trades, you will need the following:
2) Check the news and break down the daily chart for support/resistance.
4) Now that I know the price I want to enter, I’m watching the level 2 and time & sales to confirm a
flow of buyers, and to confirm no big sellers on the ask. I’m watching the level 2 when I enter the
trade.
5) Once I’m in the trade I’m still watching the level 2, but I also check back at the chart to keep
checking the low of the last candle. That will continue to be my stop, unless I see an earlier exit
indicator.
1) I see heavy resistance on the level 2 in the form of a big seller -- I bail out by selling on the bid.
2) I stop seeing buying, and I’m just seeing a lot of selling on the time & sales -- I bail out by selling
on the bid.
3) my first profit target has touched -- I sell half by selling on the ask , and adjust stop to breakeven
for remainder.
4) 2nd or 3rd profit targets are hit -- I continue to sell small pieces on the ask.
5) my entry is on the 5-min chart; typically I will sell on the first red candle on the 5-min chart,
unless I’m already up so much that I can afford to hold through the pullback.
Breakout or Bailout
Is it a hot market where leading gappers are +50 or 100% or more and continue to make 100%
intraday moves? If this is the case, I’ll be much more aggressive adding into breakouts and holding
into possible halts.
Is it a cold market where leading gappers are routinely fading and closing much lower? Are we
seeing only small breakouts and a lot of false breakouts? This is the time to be more conservative,
to trade less, and to be extremely fast to take those tiny profits off the table. It’s not a time to be
aggressive and add to positions and expect home runs.
I will continue to upload live trading examples specifically to this chapter, and to our Live
Trading Archives. You can continue to check out the latest examples as long as you continue
to remain a member of the Warrior Pro Courses.
Almost immediately upon entry I want to see the price moving up. If the price moves down immediately, my timing is wrong. If I
have a starter position, I may hold with my stop at the low of the pattern and look to add near the support level of my stop, or
add if the price returns to the breakout.
However, when I go red on a trade almost immediately, I often change my perspective to getting out breakeven, either through
adding near support and selling when it comes back out, or simply trying to exit at the price I entered.
This is the type of trade that, when it works well, will work almost instantly, and the early entry allows me to start to accumulate
a position as we see volume coming in. This is likely due to other trades also anticipating the breakout and perhaps short sellers
covering as the stock is showing increased strength.
Stop Loss: Stop can be low of last 5-min candle, or arbitrary stops at 5-10-20 cents.
Profit Target: 10-20-40 cents. I’m typically going to use breakout of bailout rather than identify an exact to-the-penny exit.
Notes: In a strong market, rather than sell partial position into the first move, I may keep adding with the goal of not selling
anything until the second or third leg up (after 2-3 micro pullback setups). This is aggressive, and risks losing initial unrealized
profits if the stock suddenly reverses.
Bull Flags
The proper entry point for an ABCD pattern is the apex of point B (2); however, an early entry would be basically the
second bull flag first candle to make a new high, and yet another entry could be off the ascending support trend line.
The lower you enter, the closer your stop, but of course you lack confirmation and it means you will probably not
see an instant breakout. If you like the immediate win, you may prefer to wait for the apex point that will give you
the instant breakout or bailout setup.
Another note on this setup: when you take a 1-min ABCD pattern you will want to see that this is occuring in the
context of a 5-min bull flag. A 5-min ABCD pattern should also provide logical 1-min entries, although it won’t likely
be a 1-min ABCD pattern; it will look more like a longer period of 1-min consolidation and hopefully curling up with
higher lows on the dips.
ABCD Setup
Target: This will depend on the form of the ABCD pattern. If the pattern is right below high of day and resembles a
flat top breakout, then typically a target would be 25-50 cents up to the next half or whole dollar. If the ABCD
pattern occurs below the highs, then the first target is high of day, then a squeeze through the highs. An ABCD
pattern does carry risk of a double top and false breakout, so it’s important to be cautious as it breaks through the
highs to look for volume to be coming in (visualized by reading the tape/time and sales window). I would say that
some of the most impressive trades I’ve ever seen have come from ABCD patterns. They provide great entries and,
when we have the right combination of float, daily chart, and hot market sentiment, the resolution to an ABCD can
be powerful.
Risk Factor: The fact that the stock first formed a bull flag pattern and then failed is weakness. However, it could
have trapped early short sellers who will likely cover over point B, and then certainly over high of day.
Notes: I like to see consolidation above the 9 EMA. Sometimes this pattern isn’t picture perfect; they continue
flagging and turn into a MA breakout setup.
In order to feel the confidence to press the buy button on a micro pullback on an extended stock, I need to see green buy orders
on the tape. Those signify to me that other traders are stepping up to buy or cover short positions. If there is low volume during
the micro pullback or just red orders on the tape I’ll wait for more signs of strength. If I see a larger seller such as 25k shares, I’ll
watch for that seller to thin out (19k, 15k, 11k, 5k) then start pressing the buy button. As the seller thins out, green orders will be
going through the tape as people buy up that seller’s shares. If I’m feeling aggressive and confident in the stock due to the daily
setup, market sentiment, and specific stock characteristics, I may start buying more aggressively.
Risk Factors: This is an aggressive entry, false breakouts are not uncommon, high risk. This risk is higher if the volume is really
light because suddenly a flush could drop right back down and result in a larger loss or a lot of slippage with large share size.
Stop Loss: Stop can be low of last 1-min candle, or arbitrary stops at 5-10-20 cents. Profit Target: 10-20-40 cents.
Notes: This is the most common setup for parabolic stocks. They are moving so quickly they often don’t pull back for more than
a few minutes before surging back up. If you wait for a 5-min pullback, by the time it pulls back, the stock may simply fade off the
highs because it squeezed up 100% or more in the 5-min breakout. Typically 1-min micro pullback entries are required to profit
from parabolic squeezes.
The entry is at high of day or sometimes just a few cents below it if I’m seeing green on the tape and expect
that a short seller might start covering just before the break through the highs. Just as I would stop out on
a long just before the break of a critical level, a short will often start covering before the break of a critical
level, knowing from experience that once the break occurs it could result in a rapid move and slippage. So
this setup of buying a high of day break is a way of capitalizing on short covering and capturing a quick
profit. Directly following the high of day break, we’d look for a micro pullback to either add back or look for
continuation.
Risk Factors: Risk of a double top if the stock suddenly squeezed up, but short covering should fuel buying through
the breakout point. Also risk that the stock is extended or running into daily resistance levels (always good to
confirm we’re not running into the 200 EMA or something else that is significant on the daily).
Stop Loss: Stop can be low of last 1-min candle, or arbitrary stops at 5-10-20 cents.
Notes: This setup capitalizes on early short sellers covering through high of day.
However, if it does break the VWAP, on a 1min retest, I want to see it hold that level, then I take my
position with a stop just below VWAP. These can be powerful setups as the stock swings from red
the green.
Risk Factors: Biggest risk factor is that the early weakness shows there has been an imbalance to the sell side;
short sellers may line up and bring it back below VWAP. A bull trap at VWAP and then a quick flush back below
VWAP could result in panic long traders stopping out and a flush all the way back to low of day or even a halt
down.
Stop Loss: Stop losses can be relatively tight, just below VWAP.
Notes: These can become parabolic stocks when it occurs on a low float stock.
VWAP Breakout
Risk Factors: Risk of the stock not halting and then I’ve just bought very high, which is why I start with smaller size
and then keep adding. Risk of FALSE HALTS. A false halt is when it looks like the stock is about to be halted (pinned
price action for 10-12 seconds but not the full 15 seconds required) and then suddenly drops. This can happen
because of a few very large sell orders taking out the buyers holding the stock above the halt level. False halts going
up can sometimes provide quick dips then a surge back to the halt level, or, if the halt level moves up, a move to the
next level. But in any case, false halts do create some risk. Another risk is simply the fact that trading stocks around
halts mean they are trading at extreme prices vs. the last 5 minutes. If we’re in a market where we’ve seen several
stocks reverse from halts up and halt down, that may be a time to be more conservative about holding into halts to
the upside. If that’s the case, I can still trade around the halt level, but I may choose to take profit off the table before
the stock actually halts.
Profit Target: 10-20-40 cents. Generally this is a trade where breakout or bailout applies, but by the time you’re
bailing out, a bigger loss is possible. I’ve had trades around halts where, nearly instantly, I was down over 1.00 a
share.
Notes: Short squeeze potential, FOMO, feeding frenzy, etc. I always ask myself, “Is this stock the one?” Meaning: is
this the obvious stock today that most active day traders will be watching? If the answer is yes, the follow through
will almost always be better. If the answer is no, people won’t be watching this stock and it’s more likely to fail.
Sometimes, when we have many stocks moving at the same time, there isn’t an obvious stock and that can be a
problem.
This is a strategy of capitalizing on FOMO and potential parabolic momentum in the market. Gap up & continuation!
While this setup is similar to a bottom bounce reversal setup, a bottom bounce is typically a setup we look at when stocks are
at the bottom. In order words, at low of day.
A panic selloff dip buy setup can occur while a stock is extremely strong, but just has a momentary panic drop then pops
right back up.
This is a complex setup, and will likely be one of the last you’ll master as a momentum trader. It requires a strong
understanding of level 2 and technical levels. These skills help you understand potential bounce spots and signs of strength
coming back in.
I don’t think a dip trade has ever been my first trade on a stock. I typically only start doing dip trades if I’ve already traded a
stock very well, have great profits, and can afford to throw small orders (1/10th of full size) out to see if a dip pops right back up.
I would do this on stocks that are making big moves, that generally have shown dips to get bought up, and are bouncing off what
I think is a clear area of support.
Dip trades sometimes are from false halts down; sometimes they are after the panic sell off that can result from a false halt up,
or that can simply result from a parabolic stock being so extended. This setup is reserved for parabolic stocks.
Risk Factors: Biggest risk factor is that you are literally buying a stock dropping. If you are too early, you’ll
immediately get stopped out. If you keep adding while it keeps dropping, you could be caught into a halt down and
then find out it’s because breaking news just came out. That’s why I start with small size in case I’m early and use
extreme caution if averaging down.
Stop Loss: Stop losses are a bit bigger, typically 25-50 cents on parabolic stocks, or near the next half or whole
dollar.
Notes: This setup works best on parabolic stocks with big range.
The best dips are when I’m already watching the stock very closely and, in almost what
seems like a flash, it drops 50 cents or a 1.00 or more per share. This to me is what I’d call
“irrational” and I try to immediately buy the dip. However, I do have to be careful if it keeps
flushing that I’m not holding into a halt down as they often gap lower.
I will already have ascending and descending support lines drawn to help me predict
possible bounce spots.
If a stock is dropping due to simply panic, and is still trending up, even if it halts
going down, it’s still worth watching for a bounce, as long as it’s not a breaking-
news-related drop.
The best time to trade a dip is when a stock is still generally strong (above VWAP).
When a halt going up opens flat, I often think short (but primarily if there have already been
1-2-3 halts going up that gapped).