Berger 2000
Berger 2000
Berger 2000
Banking Performance
Allen N. Berger, Robert DeYoung, Hesna Genay, Gregory F. Udell
Globalization of Financial
Institutions: Evidence
from Cross-Border
Banking Performance
ALLEN N. BERGER,
R O B E R T D E Y O U N G , H E S N A G E N AY,
a n d G R E G O RY F. U D E L L
The authors thank Bob McCormack and Raghu Rajan for their insightful comments;
Charles Calomiris, Ed Ettin, Bob Litan, Tony Santomero, and other participants at the
Brookings-Wharton conference for their clarifying remarks; Emilia Bonaccorsi, Nicola
Cetorelli, Gayle DeLong, Michel Dietsch, Carmine Di Noia, Larry Goldberg, Iftekhar
Hasan, Ana Lozano-Vivas, Loretta Mester, Laurence Meyer, Stewart Miller, Phil Molyneux,
Darren Pain, Darrel W. Parke, José Pastor, Linda Powell, Rudi Vander Vennet, Ingo Walter,
and Juergen Weigand for invaluable help with the preparation of this article; and Kelly
Bryant, Portia Jackson, Rita Molloy, and Ozlen Savkar for outstanding research assistance.
23
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 24
More to the point of this paper, there also is a trend toward cross-border
M&As between large financial service firms in different nations. These
cross-border M&As often involve large universal-type institutions that
provide multiple types of financial services in multiple nations. One
prominent example is the Deutsche Bank–Bankers Trust mega-merger,
which provided a leading European universal bank with greater access to
wholesale commercial and investment banking resources in the United
States. In Europe, there has been considerable cross-border consolidation
of all types of financial institutions following substantial deregulation of
cross-border economic activity in both financial and nonfinancial markets.
For the securities and insurance industries, the market values of cross-
border M&As involving European financial institutions have actually
exceeded the values of within-nation M&As in recent years.1
The increased M&A activity raises important research and policy ques-
tions about the causes and consequences of consolidation and the future
structure of the financial services industry. There is an extensive research
literature on the motives for and consequences of consolidation, covering
efficiency, market power, and managerial topics. Presumably, much of
the increase in consolidation represents market responses to deregulation
that made it more possible and less costly to consolidate, such as the
Riegle-Neal Act in the United States and the Single Market Programme
in the European Union (EU). Future consolidation may be motivated by
recent policy changes, such as passage of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act in
the United States and creation of the monetary union in the European
Union. These policy changes may precipitate further consolidation of large
institutions, with important social consequences for systemic risk, the
safety net, and monetary policy as well as for efficiency and market power
in the financial services industry.
In this paper, we address these issues in three ways. First, we exten-
sively review several hundred research studies on the causes and conse-
quences of consolidation, covering the topics of efficiency, market power,
managerial and government motives, and consequences. Second, we pro-
vide a number of relevant descriptive statistics, including data comparing
financial systems in different nations, information on cross-border provi-
sion of financial services through both cross-border lending and the estab-
lishment of a physical presence in foreign nations, and the market values
3. All data in this paragraph are from Bank for International Settlements (1999) and are
stated in terms of 1982 dollars for purposes of comparisons.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 30
5. These figures were constructed from Securities Data Company’s database World-
wide Mergers and Acquisitions, which records all public and private corporate transactions
valued at $1 million or more that involved at least 5 percent of the ownership of a com-
pany. These figures will not exactly match those reported in other sources. For example,
small banks are seldom publicly traded, most securities firms are partnerships, and many
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 32
insurance firms are mutually owned by policyholders. Although this is an incomplete reck-
oning of all M&As, it does capture the majority of total M&A value.
6. About three-quarters of the value of the intra-EU acquisitions shown in figure 2 was
generated by “truly” domestic M&As (that is, both target firm and acquiring firm were from
the same EU member nation), indicative of domestic market consolidation similar to, but
occurring later than, the domestic consolidation in the United States. However, the truly
domestic M&As have declined as a fraction of total EU merger activity since the mid-1990s.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 33
$150,000 $30,000
$25,000
Intra-EU M&As a
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
Expansion M&As
$5,000 Entry M&As
COSTS. Practitioners often refer to the need for large scale to reduce
average costs to competitive levels. However, most of the research on bank
scale economies finds that the average cost curve has a relatively flat
U-shape, with medium-size banks being slightly more cost scale efficient
than either large or small banks. Average costs are usually found to be min-
imized somewhere in the wide range between about $100 million and
$10 billion in assets.7 Similar U-shaped average cost curves or conflicting
cost scale results are found for securities firms and insurance companies.8
These findings generally suggest no gains and perhaps even losses in cost
scale efficiency from further consolidation of the type of large institu-
tions typically involved in international activity. Consistent with this, a
recent study that simulated pro forma M&As between large banks in dif-
ferent nations in the European Union finds that these M&As are more
likely to increase costs than to decrease them.9
Most of this research uses data on financial institutions from the 1980s,
and it is possible that recent technological progress may have increased
scale economies in producing financial services and thus created opportu-
nities to improve cost scale efficiency through consolidation, even for large
institutions. The tools of financial engineering, such as derivatives con-
tracts, off-balance-sheet guarantees, and risk management may be
exploited more efficiently by large institutions. In addition, financial and
regulatory innovations in securities activities (such as 144A private place-
ments and the shift toward bought deals in underwriting) may be relevant
only for large commercial and investment banks.10 Moreover, some new
7. Hunter and Timme (1986); Berger, Hanweck, and Humphrey (1987); Ferrier and
Lovell (1990); Hunter, Timme, and Yang (1990); Noulas, Miller, and Ray (1990); Berger
and Humphrey (1991); Mester (1992b); Bauer, Berger, and Humphrey (1993); Clark (1996).
8. For securities firms, see Goldberg, Hanweek, Keenan, and Young (1991). For insur-
ance companies, see Grace and Timme (1992); Yuengert (1993); Gardner and Grace (1993);
Hanweck and Hogan (1996); Rai (1996); Toivanen (1997); McIntosh (1998); Cummins
and Zi (1998). It is also sometimes argued that scale efficiency gains from consolidation will
be most prevalent when the combining institutions have substantial local market overlap,
allowing for the closing of retail branch offices and consolidation of back-office opera-
tions. However, studies of the scale efficiency effects of bank in-market M&As and research
on scale efficiency of branch offices suggest little or no gain from this source. See Berger
and Humphrey (1992b); Rhoades (1993); Akhavein, Berger, and Humphrey (1997); Berger,
Leusner, and Mingo (1997); Berger (1998).
9. Altunbas, Molyneux, and Thornton (1997).
10. Unlike conventional private placements, 144A private placements can be traded
and underwritten on a firm commitment basis. A “bought deal” occurs when an investment
bank makes a firm commitment, underwriting before syndicating the risk.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 36
19. Allen and Rai (1996); Vander Vennet (1999); Lang and Welzel (1998), respectively.
20. Goldberg and Saunders (1981); Budzeika (1991); Grosse and Goldberg (1991);
Seth and Quijano (1993); Terrell (1993).
21. Goldberg and Grosse (1994).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 39
sometimes about equal for large and small institutions.24 One study finds lit-
tle or no revenue scope efficiency between deposits and loans from charg-
ing customers for joint consumption benefits, while another study finds
revenue scope diseconomies from providing life insurance and property-
liability insurance together, consistent with a greater ability of specialists to
tailor products to their customers’ needs.25 Studies of profit scope efficien-
cies both within banking and within insurance find that joint production is
more efficient for some firms and specialization is more efficient for oth-
ers.26 One study finds that universal banks in Europe typically have both
higher revenues and higher profitability than specializing institutions.27
RISK–EXPECTED RETURN TRADE-OFFS. The prospect of efficiency gains
from improvements in the risk–expected return trade-off may also moti-
vate cross-border consolidation. The greater scale, more diverse scope or
mix of financial services, or increased geographic spread of risks associ-
ated with cross-border consolidation may improve the institutions’
risk–expected return trade-off. This improved trade-off fits into our broad
definition of efficiency gains to the extent that the increased diversification
reduces the impact on shareholder wealth of the expected costs associ-
ated with financial distress, bankruptcy, and loss of franchise value.
Taking the risk–expected return trade-off into account also allows for
possible scale, scope, and product mix efficiencies in managing risk. For
example, larger institutions may be able to deploy sophisticated models
of credit and market risks more efficiently. In addition, for commercial
banks and other regulated or supervised financial institutions, regulatory
rules like prompt corrective action and supervisors with discretion may
restrict the activities or impose other costs on institutions in poor finan-
cial condition, giving additional value to keeping risks low. An improve-
ment in the risk–expected return trade-off does not necessarily mean that
the institutions would have lower risk—they may still choose a higher-risk,
higher-expected-return point on the improved frontier.28
24. Berger, Hancock, and Humphrey (1993); Berger, Humphrey, and Pulley (1996);
DeYoung and Nolle (1996); Berger and Mester (1997); Clark and Siems (1997); Berger,
Cummins, Weiss, and Zi (1999); the paper by Cummins and Weiss in this volume;
25. Berger, Humphrey, and Pulley (1996); Berger, Cummins, Weiss, and Zi (1999).
26. Berger, Hancock, and Humphrey (1993); Berger, Cummins, Weiss, and Zi (1999).
27. Vander Vennet (1999).
28. Of course, some combinations of financial institutions can worsen risk–expected
return trade-offs. For example, a commercial bank may be more likely to fail or have higher
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 41
These risk considerations would not affect shareholder value and there-
fore would not be included in our definition of efficiency under an assump-
tion of perfect capital markets with no informational opacity, no distress,
bankruptcy, or franchise costs, and no regulatory or supervisory interven-
tion. Investors in perfect capital markets would diversify their own risks by
owning shares of different institutions and thereby would negate any diver-
sification value that arises when the institutions they own purchase other
institutions.
However, capital market imperfections may be quite important for
financial institutions. Under the modern theory of financial intermediation,
financial institutions are delegated monitors with economies of scale or
comparative advantages in the production of information about informa-
tionally opaque assets.29 These institutions exist to solve these information
problems, and part of the solution is to diversify large pools of the opaque
assets. In addition, many small financial institutions are owner-managed,
and the owner-managers have invested a substantial portion of their per-
sonal or family wealth in their institution. Diversifying this risk away by
selling a substantial portion of their investment is problematic because it
results in loss of control and because investments in these institutions are
typically illiquid. Thus these institutions are likely managed in a way that
reflects the risk aversion of their owners.30
Financial institutions are also concerned with risk because of govern-
ment regulation and supervision. Governments typically provide a safety
net for at least some of their nation’s financial institutions, and this safety
net absorbs some of the losses or provides liquidity in the event of the
failure or distress of the institutions. The safety net may include deposit
insurance, unconditional payment guarantees, access to the discount win-
dow, help in arranging private sector funding or M&A partners, forbear-
ance, or other explicit or implicit government guarantees. It is often argued
that the safety net provides moral hazard incentives to take on more risk
bankruptcy costs in the event of failure if it is combined with another type of financial
institution with lower expected return or higher variance of returns that are highly correlated
with those of the bank.
29. For example, Diamond (1984, 1991); Boyd and Prescott (1986); Boot and Thakor
(1997).
30. Consistent with this, Sullivan and Spong (1998) find evidence that owner-managers
of small banks who have a substantial portion of their wealth invested in their banks tend
to pursue safer strategies.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 42
than would otherwise be the case and that this incentive to risk taking
becomes stronger as an institution’s equity capital or charter value gets
very low.31 However, prudential regulation and supervision works in the
opposite direction, imposing costs on risk taking and giving incentives
for value-maximizing institutions to reduce risk to avoid penalties. Pru-
dential regulations designed to deter risk taking include risk-based capital
requirements, risk-based deposit insurance premiums, prompt correct
action rules, and legal lending limits. Prudential supervision includes reg-
ularly scheduled examinations backed by threats of cease-and-desist
orders, withdrawal of deposit insurance, closure, limits on growth, and
prohibition of dividend payments.
Some empirical evidence suggests that large U.S. banking organizations
act in a risk-averse fashion, trading off between risk and expected return.32
However, it is difficult to determine whether this trade-off is for the bene-
fit of shareholders or managers of professionally managed institutions who
are protecting their own job security at the expense of shareholder value.
Managerial incentives with regard to risk are discussed below.
The available empirical research also suggests that at least some types
of cross-border consolidations are likely to improve the risk–expected
return trade-off. The literature on commercial banks in the United States
generally finds that larger, more geographically diversified institutions
tend to have better risk–expected return trade-offs.33 Similarly, interna-
tional diversification has been found to improve the risk–expected return
trade-off and profit efficiency in the reinsurance industry.34 More relevant
to the issue of universal-type financial institutions, some simulation-type
studies have combined the rates of return earned by U.S. banking organi-
zations and other financial institutions from the 1970s and 1980s with
mixed results.35 Another study of U.S. firms also finds that risk can be
reduced by combining banks with securities firms and insurance compa-
nies.36 Other studies of combining commercial banking organizations with
X-efficiency
Improvements in X-efficiency may also be an important motive for and
consequence of cross-border consolidation. Improvements in X-efficiency—
movements toward the optimal point on the best-practice efficient frontier—
may be accomplished through consolidation if the M&A improves the
managerial quality of the organization or changes its focus. X-efficiency
may be improved, for example, if the acquiring institution is more efficient
37. For the United Kingdom, see Llewellyn (1996). For the United States, see Kwan
(1998). Institutions may also achieve risk diversification through cross-border lending or
investments, or through a secondary market in financial instruments. They may buy loans,
nonasset-backed or original or primary securities, or asset-backed securities issued in other
countries, or they may engage in derivatives contracts with foreign institutions.
Table 1. Correlation Analysis of Bank Return on Equity among Select Countries, 1979–96a
Luxem- Nether- United United
Country Spain France Austria Belgium bourg lands Germany Kingdom Italy Portugal Denmark Finland Greece Sweden Japan States
Spain 1.000
France 0.742 1.000
Austria 0.274 0.586 1.000
Belgium –0.573 –0.654 0.019 1.000
Luxembourg –0.463 –0.854 –0.324 0.705 1.000
Netherlands 0.170 0.223 0.768 0.185 0.102 1.000
Germany –0.286 –0.236 0.229 0.188 –0.336 0.210 1.000
United
Kingdom –0.460 –0.543 –0.137 0.798 0.648 0.084 0.384 1.000
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 44
Italy 0.518 0.926 0.519 –0.436 –0.912 0.126 0.248 –0.473 1.000
Portugal 0.158 0.514 –0.250 –0.364 –0.229 –0.673 –0.176 –0.386 –0.025 1.000
Denmark –0.240 –0.154 0.213 0.358 0.080 0.475 0.527 0.532 –0.182 –0.024 1.000
Finland 0.419 0.519 0.526 0.077 –0.404 0.533 0.465 0.089 0.533 0.035 0.562 1.000
Greece 0.123 0.117 –0.296 –0.260 –0.329 –0.685 0.336 –0.075 0.099 0.475 –0.201 –0.207 1.000
Sweden 0.207 –0.084 –0.283 0.013 0.292 –0.296 –0.203 0.082 –0.362 0.085 –0.005 –0.114 0.675 1.000
Japan 0.268 0.740 0.654 –0.362 –0.783 0.314 0.393 –0.460 0.885 0.045 –0.017 0.455 –0.027 –0.473 1.000
United
States –0.588 –0.815 –0.522 0.477 0.585 –0.182 0.206 0.761 –0.686 0.079 0.243 –0.307 –0.278 0.015 –0.490 1.000
Source: OECD (1998). Annual data for Denmark, Finland, Germany, Japan, Luxembourg, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and the United States are for 1979–96. Annual data for Belgium are for 1981–96. Annual
data for Italy and the United Kingdom are for 1984–96. Annual data for Austria and the Netherlands are for 1987–96. Annual data for France are for 1988–96. Annual data for Greece are for 1989–96.
a. Return on equity is aggregate commercial profit after taxes divided by aggregate commercial bank capital and reserves.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 45
ex ante and brings the efficiency of the target up to its own level by spread-
ing its superior managerial expertise or policies and procedures over more
resources. Alternatively, the M&A event itself may awaken management to
the need for improvement or may provide an excuse to implement substan-
tial unpleasant restructuring.38
We consider both cost and profit X-efficiency.39 Cost X-efficiency im-
provements occur when an institution moves closer to what a best-practice
institution’s cost would be for producing the same output bundle using
the same input prices and other environmental conditions. Profit X-efficiency
improvements occur when an institution moves closer to the profit of a best-
practice institution under the same conditions. Profit X-efficiency is a more
inclusive concept than cost X-efficiency. Profit X-efficiency incorporates cost
X-efficiency, the effects of scale, scope, and product mix on both costs and
revenues, and to some degree the effects of changes in the risk–expected
return trade-off. Profit X-efficiency also corresponds better to the concept of
value maximization than cost X-efficiency, since value is determined from
both costs and revenues.
We review the results of four types of X-efficiency studies. First we
examine research on the effects of M&As on financial institution
X-efficiency. These are important to the prospects for X-efficiency gains
from cross-border consolidation, given that cross-border market pene-
trations usually are performed via M&As rather than via the opening of
new branch offices. Second, we examine the research on international
comparisons of financial institution X-efficiency. This bears on our
hypotheses, in that the institutions from one or a few nations are more
likely to expand across borders under the limited form of the global
advantage hypothesis if the institutions from these nations are much
more X-efficient than those from other nations. Third, we review the
research on the X-efficiencies of foreign versus domestic institutions
within a single nation. This is the most important type of evidence in
our opinion for evaluating the global advantage versus home field advan-
tage hypotheses because it is the only direct evidence on the extent to
38. M&As that diversify the institution may also improve X-efficiency in the long term
through expanding the skill set of managers (Milbourn, Boot, and Thakor 1999).
39. Some efficiency analyses using linear programming techniques such as data envel-
opment analysis do not use prices and so do not calculate costs or profits. Instead of using
cost or profit X-efficiency, they focus on minimizing inputs for given outputs or maximizing
outputs for given inputs, but the concepts are similar.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 46
which financial institutions are able to monitor and control their sub-
sidiaries operating in other nations. Finally, we examine evidence on
the effects of deregulation, especially the reduction of entry barriers.
This may contribute to the debate on the hypotheses, given that this type
of deregulation precedes most cross-border consolidation.
THE EFFECTS OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTION M&As. The extant research
suggests a substantial potential for improved X-efficiency from consolida-
tion. Average X-inefficiencies on the order of about 25 percent of costs and
about 50 percent of potential profits are typical findings. 40 Simulation
evidence also suggests that large X-efficiency gains are possible if the
best-practice acquirers reform the practices of inefficient targets.41
The research also suggests that many institutions engage in M&As for
the purpose of improving X-efficiency. Many studies have found that
acquiring institutions are more efficient ex ante than targets.42 Also, acquir-
ing banks bid more for targets when the M&A would lead to significant
diversification gains, consistent with a motive to improve the
risk–expected return trade-off and increase profit X-efficiency.43
A number of studies measure the change in cost X-efficiency after
M&As. Studies of U.S. commercial banking generally show very little or
no improvement in cost X-efficiency, on average, from the M&As of the
1980s, on the order of 5 percent of costs or less.44 Studies of U.S. banks
and other types of financial institutions using 1990s data are mixed, but
some show more gains in cost efficiency.45 Studies of M&As of credit
institutions in Europe find that some groups of M&As, particularly cross-
border consolidations, tend to improve cost efficiency, whereas other types
tend to decrease cost efficiency.46 Studies of Italian banks and U.K. build-
ing societies find significant cost efficiency gains following M&As.47
improvements at the target bank, generally are not successful in raising the
acquired banks’ performance up to the levels of their domestic peers.52
There is some evidence that M&As in Europe increase combined value.
One study that examines M&As among banks and between banks and
insurers in Europe finds positive combined returns mostly driven by
domestic bank-to-bank deals and diversification of banks into insurance.53
This study attributes the differences in findings from many of the U.S.
studies to differences in structure and regulation in Europe. However,
another study of European bank M&As finds that abnormal combined
returns are not significantly different from zero.54
INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS. A number of studies compare the aver-
age X-efficiency of institutions in different nations, focusing on the oper-
ations of institutions operating within each nation, rather than
cross-border. For example, one study evaluates the efficiency of banks
operating within Norway, within Sweden, and within Finland relative to a
common frontier made up of the best-practice institutions from the three
nations.55 Similar studies compare the average X-efficiencies of institu-
tions across different sets of nations.56 The results often show that some
institutions of some nations are substantially more efficient than the insti-
tutions of other nations, although the ordering among nations sometimes
differs across the studies. Swedish banks tend to be measured as superior
performers, despite the fact that these banks suffered a crisis in the early
1990s requiring substantial government intervention and that U.S. banks
sometimes are measured as inferior performers, despite the common cross-
border result that U.S. banks tend to be more efficient than foreign com-
petitors in the United States.
Although these studies may be informative, they are not helpful for
evaluating the global advantage versus the home field advantage hypothe-
ses for two main reasons. First, the economic environments faced by finan-
cial institutions differ across nations in important ways. It is likely that
57. Pastor, Lozano-Vivas, and Pastor (1997); Maudos, Pastor, Pérez, and Quesada
(1999b); Pastor (1999); Pastor, Lozano-Vivas, and Hasan (1999); Dietsch and Lozano-Vivas
(2000).
58. Pastor, Lozano-Vivas, and Hasan (1999), p. 7.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 50
Portugal, Spain, and the United Kingdom) and predict, for example, that
banks from Spain, Denmark, Portugal, and Belgium would have high effi-
ciency scores if they crossed into other European nations.
Although this research is interesting, we caution against drawing such
strong conclusions about cross-border performance from it. It is difficult to
control for environmental differences across nations. More important, not
even perfect environmental controls address the second problem of poten-
tial organizational diseconomies and other difficulties in operating or mon-
itoring financial institutions across borders.
FOREIGN VERSUS DOMESTIC INSTITUTIONS WITHIN A SINGLE NATION.
Some recent studies have compared the X-efficiencies of foreign versus
domestic institutions operating within the borders of a single nation. This
avoids the econometric problem of controlling for all the environmental
differences across nations, since all of the institutions studied face essen-
tially the same environmental conditions. More important for our pur-
poses, this is direct evidence only on the extent to which financial
institutions are able to monitor and control operations on a cross-border
basis, which is critical to distinguishing between the home field advan-
tage and global advantage hypotheses.
Studies of U.S. data generally find that foreign-owned banks are sig-
nificantly less cost efficient on average than domestic banks and less profit
X-efficient on average than domestic institutions.59 Unfortunately, this type
of evidence alone cannot distinguish between our hypotheses. The data are
consistent with both the home field advantage hypothesis and with a case
of the limited form of the global advantage hypothesis in which U.S. banks
tend to be the most efficient. The data are also consistent with another case
of the limited form of the global advantage hypothesis in which foreign
banks from a limited group of other nations tend to be more efficient than
domestic U.S. banks, but this cannot be determined because the authors do
not break out their data by foreign nation of origin. More evidence is
needed to differentiate among these hypotheses—data from more home
countries and disaggregation of the results by nation of foreign ownership.
Some of the research on other nations finds that foreign institutions
have about the same average efficiency as domestic institutions. One study
59. For cost efficiency, see Hasan and Hunter (1996); Mahajan, Rangan, and Zardkoohi
(1996); Chang, Hasan, and Hunter (1998). For profit efficiency, see DeYoung and Nolle
(1996).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 51
finds that foreign banks in EU countries that were acquired in the past
three years have about the same cost efficiency as domestic banks, one
study finds that foreign banks in Spain are about equally as profit effi-
cient as domestic banks, and one study finds that foreign banks in India are
somewhat more efficient than domestic banks held by private sector
investors but that both are less efficient than domestic banks held by the
government.60 Again, the results are not reported by nation of origin, mak-
ing it difficult to determine which hypotheses are consistent with the data.
If the banks from some of the foreign nations tend to have higher effi-
ciency than those from the home country and other foreign nations, this
would support the limited form of the global advantage hypothesis.
Some other research using data from non-U.S. countries finds very dif-
ferent results. These studies measure profit efficiency for fourteen home
countries (Australia, Belgium, Canada, Chile, Denmark, France, Germany,
Italy, Mexico, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland, and the
United Kingdom), classified into four groups based on banking system
development and regulatory and supervisory environment.61 They find that
domestic banks are more efficient on average than foreign institutions
(including U.S.-owned banks), although foreign banks from the same
type of environment as the host nation generally fare better than other
foreign institutions. Although they appropriately measure separate fron-
tiers for the institutions located in each country, they pool the efficiency
estimates from the foreign and domestic banks in the several nations in
each group (after normalizing the estimates to have a common mean and
standard deviation). This may create problems of comparison because of
differences in the environments of these nations. Their logit analysis of
whether foreign bank efficiency is above or below the mean takes into
account the signs, but not the magnitudes, of the efficiency differences.
THE EFFECTS OF DEREGULATION. One of the most important issues in
the current policy debate is the effect of deregulation on efficiency, given
that much of the observed cross-border consolidation has followed sig-
nificant deregulation. For example, much of the consolidation within the
European Union has followed reductions in its cross-border entry barriers
and harmonization of its regulatory structures.
60. Vander Vennet (1996); Hasan and Lozano-Vivas (1998); Bhattacharyya, Lovell, and
Sahay (1997).
61. Miller and Parkhe (1999), p. 22; Parkhe and Miller (1999), p. 25.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 52
Most of the studies measuring changes in performance over time use the
concept of productivity change, rather than X-efficiency change. Produc-
tivity change is a measure of the change over time in the performance of an
industry as a whole (rather than an individual institution); it incorporates
both changes in managerial best practice in the industry and changes in
cross-sectional X-efficiency or dispersion from best practice.
A number of studies examine productivity change during the banking
deregulation in the United States.62 It is often found that measured cost
productivity declined in the 1980s primarily because depositors got the
benefit of higher interest rates after the deposit rate ceilings were lifted.
The increase in competition appears to be primarily a social good,
although it is measured as poorer performance for the banking industry.63
Recent research suggests that the decline in measured cost productivity
may have continued well into the 1990s, but that improvements in rev-
enues more than offset the higher costs, yielding improved profit produc-
tivity.64 The data are consistent with the hypothesis that banks offer wider
varieties or higher quality of financial services that raise costs but also
raise revenues by more than the cost increases and that banks involved in
M&As are responsible for much of these findings.
The results of deregulation in other individual nations are sometimes
found to be favorable to financial institution performance, as in Norway and
Turkey, and are sometimes found to be mixed or unfavorable, as in Spain.65
Finally, one study of the changes in productivity, cost X-efficiency, and
profit X-efficiency in a number of EU nations from 1992 to 1996 finds
small improvements in efficiency and attributes most of the changes
in productivity to technological progress, rather than the effects of EU
deregulation.66
62. For example, Hunter and Timme (1991); Berger and Humphrey (1992a); Bauer,
Berger, and Humphrey (1993); Humphrey (1993); Elyasiani and Mehdian (1995); Devaney
and Weber (1996); Wheelock and Wilson (1996); Humphrey and Pulley (1997); Alam
(1998); Berger and Mester (1999).
63. Consistent with this conclusion, one study finds a positive external effect of consol-
idation following interstate banking deregulation. Out-of-state entry is associated with
increased cost X-efficiency in the long term (DeYoung, Hasan, and Kirchhoff 1998).
64. Berger and Mester (1999).
65. For Norway, see Berg, Forsund, and Jansen (1992). For Turkey, see Zaim (1995). For
Spain, see Lozano-Vivas (1998); Grifell-Tatje and Lovell (1996); Hasan, Hunter, and
Lozano-Vivas (2000).
66. Dietsch, Ferrier, and Weill (1998).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 53
test the limited form of the global advantage hypothesis that institutions
from only one or a limited number of foreign nations have an advantage,
or (c) combine efficiency information from different home countries,
which creates problems of comparison because of significant differences
in the market, regulatory, or supervisory environments of these nations.
None of the studies has all three of these drawbacks, but all have at least
one, to our knowledge. We address these drawbacks in the next section.
68. Akhavein, Berger, and Humphrey (1997); Sapienza (1998); Simons and Stavins
(1998); Prager and Hannan (1999).
69. For example, Berger and Hannan (1989, 1997); Hannan (1991, 1994); Hannan and
Berger (1991), Neumark and Sharpe (1992); Jackson (1997).
70. Hannan (1997); Cyrnak and Hannan (1998); Radecki (1998).
71. Radecki (1998).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 56
tion of the Treaty of Rome in 1957, the European Union has adopted leg-
islation designed to promote competition in financial services through the
creation of a single banking license and harmonization of regulation.75 The
adoption of a single currency is likely to increase financial institution com-
petition further by reducing entry barriers and by lowering currency risk,
which may increase the willingness of some customers to shop for finan-
cial services in other nations. The deepening of capital markets in the
European Union is likely to provide additional competition to banks in
the most banking-oriented nations of continental Europe. This encroach-
ment of securities markets may increase the competitive pressure on banks
by giving business customers additional opportunities to raise capital by
issuing commercial paper, public debt, or public equity in place of bank
loans and by giving savers additional opportunities to invest in money mar-
ket funds, mutual funds, or other traded assets in place of bank deposits.76
There has been some recent empirical investigation into the issue of
whether the single market for financial services in the European Union has
achieved this policy objective. The evidence generally suggests that the reg-
ulatory changes have had only a modest impact on loan, fee, and deposit
prices.77 The impact does not appear to be uniform across countries. Specif-
ically, the decline in prices tends to be greater in countries where regulation
was tightest prior to implementation of the second banking directive in
1993, such as Greece, Portugal, and Spain. Also, the modest decline in
prices was somewhat greater for corporate services than for retail services.
Several studies analyze changes in market power using econometric
models. One study uses the Rosse-Panzar statistic to evaluate changes in
competitive conditions in banking in major EU nations between 1986 and
1989 and finds that the monopolistic competition prevailing at the begin-
ning of the period did not change substantially over time.78 Another study
of the EU uses similar methodology and finds no major change in com-
petitive banking conditions between 1989 and 1996.79 However, one study
finds more price competition that is linked to interest rate deregulation in
individual countries.80
A caveat to this analysis is that there may not be a single uniform mar-
ket for financial services even in one nation. For example, one study finds
that foreign banks in Switzerland exercise more market power than domes-
tic banks, suggesting that foreign and domestic financial services might be
at least somewhat differentiated products.81 Such differentiation tends to
limit the potential for reductions in market power and price convergence as
a result of lower barriers to entry.
MARKET POWER OVER WHOLESALE CUSTOMERS. The impact of cross-
border consolidation on the wholesale market for financial services might
be quite different from its impact on retail markets. One the one hand, it
may be difficult to exercise market power against large wholesale cus-
tomers. These customers often have sufficient resources to choose among
many suppliers on a global basis, and product differentiation may be less
important in wholesale commercial banking, securities, and insurance
service markets than in retail markets. On the other hand, the number of
suppliers in wholesale markets is considerably smaller than in retail mar-
kets, and cross-border consolidation may reduce the number of wholesale
financial institutions. For example, the ten-firm concentration ratios in
U.S. domestic corporate stock and bond underwriting and in Euromarket
underwriting exceed 80 and 50 percent, respectively.82 Evidence from the
1980s also suggests the presence of some market power in the securities
industry.83
More recent work sheds further light on this market. A study of the mid-
size initial public offering (IPO) market in the United States finds that
more than 90 percent of the issues paid precisely the same 7 percent under-
writing fee.84 The authors argue that, in the absence of market power, the
percentage fee would be declining with issue size due to economies of
scale in spreading fixed costs. In addition, IPO fees in other areas (such
as Australia, Europe, Hong Kong, and Japan) are approximately half as
high.85 These data suggest that market power is exercised in pricing for this
mid-issue-size range in the U.S. market. However, for large deals, spreads
90. Allen and Cebenoyan (1991); Subrahmanyam, Rangan, and Rosenstein (1997);
Cornett, Hovakimian, Palia, and Tehranian (1998).
91. Bliss and Rosen (1999).
92. For example, Murphy (1985); Jensen and Murphy (1990).
93. For corporate finance, see Jensen and Murphy (1990); Hall and Liebman (1998). For
banking, see Barro and Barro (1990); Hubbard and Palia (1995).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 61
potential acquirers, reduced the market share of poorly run banks, and gen-
erally improved performance.106
106. Schranz (1993); Hubbard and Palia (1995); Jayaratne and Strahan (1996, 1998).
107. Giddy, Saunders, and Walter (1996); White (1998).
108. Lannoo and Gros (1998).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 65
115. The effects of monetary union on financial institutions and capital markets have
been examined extensively elsewhere. See, for example, Dermine (1999a, 1999b, 1999c,
2000); De Bandt (1999); De Bandt and Davis (1998); Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (1998);
McCauley and White (1997); White (1998); Dermine and Hillion (1999); European Cen-
tral Bank (1999); Hurst and Wagenvoort (1999); Merrill Lynch (1999).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 67
systemic risk by increasing the size of the institutions. This may increase
systemic risk because the systemic consequences of the failure of larger
and larger institutions may be increasingly more severe. However, sys-
temic risks may also decrease if the smaller number of larger institutions
increases the efficiency of monitoring by government supervisors or other
market participants.
Systemic risk may also either increase or decrease with cross-border
consolidation. On the one hand, the effects of a systemic crisis within one
nation may be mitigated because some of the institutions are diversified
across national borders and can use their foreign operations as a source of
strength. On the other hand, these transfers of funds may help to spread a
crisis by weakening the institutions in the other nations.
Cross-border consolidation may also expand the safety net and raise the
government’s cost of maintaining the safety net in at least four other ways.
First, if the government provides more safety net protection to larger insti-
tutions because they may be considered “too big to fail” or for other rea-
sons, then safety net costs are increased by consolidation, which creates
larger institutions that receive stronger explicit or implicit government
guarantees. Thus, in addition to the moral hazard incentive to take on more
risk, the presence of the safety net also may encourage consolidation by
institutions trying to become too big to fail.116 To offset these costs, gov-
ernments use prudential regulation and supervision to try to control risk
taking and may block or discourage M&As that appear likely to increase
substantially the costs of safety net or systemic risk.
Second, cross-border consolidation may expand the safety net by
extending government guarantees to types of financial institutions that nor-
mally receive much less safety net protection. Consolidation that creates
universal-type institutions by combining commercial banks with securities
firms or insurance companies may extend the safety net because commer-
cial banks typically receive much more protection than these other types of
institutions. Much of the current debate over operating structure centers on
the issue of how best to control this potential extension of the safety net.117
The potential costs of extending the safety net may be the greatest for com-
binations of commercial banks with nonfinancial firms, which typically
receive much less government protection.118
116. Kane (1999b); Saunders and Wilson (1999).
117. For example, Kwast and Passmore (2000); Whalen (2000).
118. Boyd, Chang, and Smith (1998).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 68
markets that allocate financial resources across borders where and when
they are most productive.
The research is consistent with the prediction that increases in finan-
cial institution scale are associated with reduced supplies of small busi-
ness credit from these institutions. Several studies have found that large
U.S. banks devote lesser proportions of their assets to small business
lending than do small institutions.123 As banks get larger, the proportion
of assets devoted to small business lending (measured by domestic com-
mercial and industrial loans to borrowers with bank credit less than
$1 million) declines from about 9 percent of assets for small banks
(assets below $100 million) to about 2 percent for very large banks
(assets above $10 billion).
Some evidence also suggests that it is specifically relationship-
dependent small business borrowers that tend to receive less credit from
large banks. One study finds that large banks tend to charge about 1 per-
centage point less on small business loans and require collateral about
25 percent less often than small banks, other things being equal.124 These
data suggest that large banks tend to issue small business loans to higher-
quality transaction-based credits, rather than relationship-based loans that
tend to have higher interest rates and collateral requirements. Similarly,
one study finds that large U.S. banks tend to base their small business loan
approval decisions more on financial ratios, whereas the existence of a
prior relationship with the borrowing firm matters more to decisions by
small banks.125 Consistent with this, another study finds that large U.S.
banks more often lend to larger, older, more financially secure businesses,
consistent with the predicted focus on transaction-driven lending; the
reverse is true for small banks focusing on relationship-driven lending.126
The data are also consistent with the argument that large financial insti-
tutions may provide efficient, stable flows of retail credit services. One
study finds that during the U.S. credit crunch of the early 1990s, a $1
decline in equity capital at a small bank reduced business lending more
than $1 at a large bank, and the financial distress of large financial insti-
123. For example, Berger, Kashyap, and Scalise (1995); Keeton (1995); Levonian and
Soller (1996); Berger and Udell (1996); Peek and Rosengren (1996); Strahan and Weston
(1996); Berger, Saunders, and Udell (1998).
124. Berger and Udell (1996), p. 622.
125. Cole, Goldberg, and White (1999).
126. Haynes, Ou, and Berney (1999).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 71
tutions had fewer adverse effects on the health of small businesses in their
states.127 Other studies find that loan growth by banks in multibank bank
holding companies is constrained less by the banks’ own financial condi-
tions than by the financial condition of the holding company, consistent
with the argument that bank holding companies serve as internal capital
markets to provide efficient, stable loan funding.128
The arguments about the effects of increased organizational complexity
from cross-border consolidation are similar to those for increased financial
institution scale. Many of the institutions engaging in cross-border con-
solidation are likely to (1) add layers of management, (2) expand the num-
ber of nations in which they operate, or (3) increase the number of
different types of wholesale financial services they provide. Similar to the
effects of increases in financial institution scale, it may be difficult to
maintain strong local relationships and process relationship-based infor-
mation when (1) there are more layers of management through which to
pass the local information, (2) there are more local conditions to monitor,
or (3) there are more wholesale businesses drawing the attention of the
institution. Also similar to the arguments for scale, the increased organi-
zational complexity may improve stability in the delivery of retail credit
and other services, as risks may be better diversified or more sources of
financial strength are available.
Two dimensions of complexity that have been studied are out-of-state
ownership and multibank affiliation of bank holding companies in the
United States. Out-of-state ownership is analogous to foreign ownership,
and multibank affiliation is analogous to being a separately chartered
entity in a multinational financial institution. Out-of-state ownership is
usually found to have a negative effect on small business credit, although
one study finds no effect and one study finds that recent interstate acqui-
sitions may provide at least a temporary offsetting boost to small busi-
ness lending. 129 Multibank affiliation is also generally found to have a
negative effect on small business lending.130 However, empirical analysis
127. Hancock and Wilcox (1998), pp. 996, 997, 1006.
128. Houston, James, and Marcus (1997); Houston and James (1998).
129. Keeton (1995), Berger and Udell (1996), Berger, Saunders, and Udell (1998), and
Berger, Bonime, Goldberg, and White (1999) find a negative effect from out-of-state own-
ership. Whalen (1995) finds no effect. Berger, Saunders, and Udell (1998) find a temporary
offsetting boost from recent acquisitions.
130. Berger and Udell (1996); Berger, Bonime, Goldberg, and White (1999); DeYoung,
Goldberg, and White (1999).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 72
131. For example, Berger and Udell (1996); Berger, Saunders, and Udell (1998); Berger,
Bonime, Goldberg, and White (1999).
132. For example, Keeton (1996, 1997); Peek and Rosengren (1996, 1998); Strahan
and Weston (1996, 1998); Craig and Santos (1997); Kolari and Zardkoohi (1997a, 1997b);
Zardkoohi and Kolari (1997); Walraven (1997); Berger, Saunders, and Udell (1998).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 73
lending from this type of M&A (although M&As between small organi-
zations are often found to increase small business lending).
Some research also measures the external effect or dynamic responses
to consolidation of other financial institutions in the same local markets.
One study finds that increases in small business lending of other banks in
the same local market tend to offset much, if not all, of the negative effects
on small business lending of M&As, although this external effect is not
precisely measured.133 In contrast, another study finds a very small exter-
nal effect of M&As on the lending of small banks in the same market,
and the measured effect depends on the age of the bank, with the positive
effect primarily occurring for more mature small banks.134
Another way the external effect may be manifested is through increased
market entry. That is, there may be an external effect in terms of additional
provision of services by institutions that were not in the market prior to
consolidation. One way that this might occur is that loan officers who
leave the consolidated institution may take some of their relationship-
based loan portfolios with them and start a de novo bank. This effect may
be substantial, given that studies have found that recent entrants tend to
lend much more to small businesses than do other banks of comparable
size. 135 However, the research on the effects of M&As on entry are
mixed—one study finds that M&As increase the probability of entry, and
another finds that M&As decrease the probability.136
Finally, some studies have examined the treatment of small business
borrowers and depositors based on the consolidation of their banks, that of
other banks in the market, or the size distribution of banks in their mar-
ket. Their results indicate the net effect of consolidation on the supply of
retail services, inclusive of the effects of the consolidating institutions
and the external reactions of other preexisting and entering firms. One
study examines the probability that small business loan applications will
be denied by consolidating banks and other banks in their local market and
finds no clear positive or negative effects.137 Another study examines a
number of dimensions of how well the borrower is treated after its lender
is acquired and finds mixed results for the effects of consolidation on sat-
isfaction of borrowing needs, loan approval or rejection, shopping for
lenders, and loan rates.138 A third study finds that the probability that a
small firm will obtain a line of credit or pay late on its trade credit does not
depend in an important way on the presence of small banks in the mar-
ket.139 A fourth study examines the effects of M&As on the number of
bank branches in local markets in the United States and finds that only in-
market M&As reduce the number of branches per capita, but that other
M&As that would be analogous to cross-border consolidation have little
effect on the availability of branch offices.140 The results of these studies
and the other evidence summarized here suggest that the total effects of
consolidation on retail customers may be relatively small.
AVAILABILITY AND PRICES FOR LARGE WHOLESALE CUSTOMERS. Cross-
border consolidation of the financial services industry may also raise
issues about the availability and prices of financial services for wholesale
customers. Two separate trends may affect wholesale customers and must
be distinguished. The first is the consolidation of the institutions associated
with wholesale capital markets. These institutions include securities firms,
universal banks, commercial banks, and other institutions that underwrite
securities, act as brokers, traders, and market makers in the secondary mar-
kets, or offer other wholesale corporate financing products such as deriv-
atives or M&A advisory services. There is also consolidation of the stock,
bond, and derivatives exchanges, the institutions that comprise the sec-
ondary market on which the securities are traded.
The second trend is the globalization of wholesale capital markets,
which may occur without the consolidation of financial institutions. This
trend arguably began with the first eurobond underwriting in 1964. The
market for eurobonds began in London and has now spread to other loca-
tions such as the Bahamas, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, and the
United States. There has also been a trend toward globalization in the
corporate securities and derivatives markets. For example, the New York
Stock Exchange and the London Stock Exchange now both list substan-
tial numbers of foreign companies.
mergers are not explicit. Cross-border mergers and alliances can also allow
participants to defray transaction and operating costs and enable them to
introduce new technologies.143 Technological advances that provide alter-
native delivery channels (for example, electronic links and screen trad-
ing) may also create new sources of competition and lead to specialization
in the provision of exchange services.144 In either case, increased compe-
tition and consolidation among exchanges can lead to more efficient pro-
vision of listing and trading services, increase the attractiveness of capital
markets to investors, and lower the cost of capital to listing firms. The
evidence on scale economies associated with the size of exchanges them-
selves (as opposed to ancillary activities such as clearing and settlement)
suggests that they may be limited, although significant X-efficiency gains
may be available from consolidation.145 However, estimation of economies
of scale in securities exchanges is problematic because it is difficult to
determine the inputs and the outputs and because many of the M&As have
not yet reached fruition.
Another segment of the customer market that may benefit from con-
solidation of the securities markets is high-growth, often technology-
based, start-up firms, although such firms do not fit our classification of
wholesale customers. High-growth start-ups often require substantial pri-
vate external equity financing in the early stages of their growth cycle from
individual investors (“angels”) or from formal venture capitalists.146 As a
condition for investment, both types of private equity investors require a
viable exit strategy, a market where they can sell their equity stake via an
IPO if the firm is successful. An IPO, in turn, requires a vibrant small-cap
stock market—something that is currently absent in continental Europe.
The development of such a market (possibly out of Easdaq or EuroNM)
could lead to a significant increase in high-tech entrepreneurial activity
similar to that in the United States.
BANKING - ORIENTED FINANCE VERSUS MARKETS - ORIENTED FINANCE .
An analysis of the effects of consolidation on wholesale customers must
also be viewed in the context of a separate but closely related phenome-
non—changes in the mix of funding between intermediated markets (inter-
mediated finance) and securities markets (direct finance). The principal
147. Tables 2 and 3 give only a rough indication of this trade-off. Specifically, in table 2
the size of the stock market itself is not as important as the ownership of stock. In addition,
it does not account for double counting such as in Germany and Japan where banks own a
significant fraction of stocks. The ideal would be a breakdown of external finance (both
private and public debt and equity) in terms of whether they are passively or actively owned.
This would take into account the strong individual ownership of equity in the United States
and the proxy ownership of equity in Germany by banks. Data limitations, however, pre-
vent such an analysis. The closest to this type of breakdown is a study that estimates this just
for the equity side (Prowse 1995). According to that study, the United Kingdom is similar to
the United States in being skewed toward individually owned and passively owned equity.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 78
Under the bank lending view, the impact of the monetary policy may
depend on the structure of the banking industry. Small banks may be much
more sensitive to shifts in monetary policy because their access to non-
deposit money market funding is significantly less than that of large banks.
The evidence suggests that small bank lending is more sensitive to changes
in monetary policy than large bank lending and that this sensitivity is
greatest for those small banks that are the least liquid.161 It has been argued
that countries with a higher fraction of bank-dependent borrowers, weaker
banking systems, and fewer market alternatives to intermediated finance
may be much more sensitive to monetary policy shocks.162 The nations of
the European Union are ranked according to these criteria. Belgium, the
Netherlands, and the United Kingdom appear to be the least sensitive to
the lending channel, whereas Italy and Portugal appear to be the most
sensitive.163 These asymmetric responses across member countries will
likely continue under the common monetary policy of the European Cen-
tral Bank.
Bank consolidation may reduce the effect of the lending channel in
part by creating larger institutions with greater access to capital markets.
In addition, cross-border consolidation may also reduce the effect of mon-
etary policy through the lending channel by diversifying the effects of
any one nation’s monetary policy. To the extent that monetary policies
are independent, the multinational banks can use more of the reserves from
their operations in the nation with the looser monetary policy to lend in the
nation with the tighter monetary policy. Of course, this effect is nullified to
the extent that monetary policies tend to be coordinated or, in the case of
the European Union, there is a common monetary policy for multiple
nations.
Consolidation of the financial services industry might also affect non-
financial firms’ access to funding and the macroeconomy by affecting
the number of potential sources of funding. While consolidation does
ciated higher interest rates impair collateral values or otherwise reduce the net worth of
certain borrowers, diminishing their ability to obtain funds. This channel differs from the
bank lending channel in that it implies a reduction in the demand for credit, rather than a
reduction in the supply of credit in response to monetary policy tightening (Bernanke and
Gertler 1995; Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist 1996).
161. Kashyap and Stein (1995, 1997a, 1997b); Gibson (1996)
162. Kashyap and Stein (1997a).
163. Kashyap and Stein (1997a).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 84
reduce the number of financial institutions, it may also increase the num-
ber of options available. If consolidation is associated with a shift from a
banking-oriented system to a markets-oriented system, this could increase
the menu of alternative markets in which firms may obtain financing.
For example, the highly developed private placement market and the junk
bond market in the United States represent alternatives to bank loan
financing for lower-quality firms. For investment-grade firms, the com-
mercial paper market and the medium-term note market represent alter-
natives to the bank loan market. There is some evidence to suggest that
firms shift their funding sources as macroeconomic conditions change,
such as shifting from bank loans to commercial paper in the United
States. 164 Small firms may also benefit to the extent that larger firms
increase their issuance of commercial paper to finance more trade credit
to small firms.165 More generally, the impact of macroeconomic crises
on economic activity may be mitigated by diversification across funding
sources, as firms shift sources when one source of funding fails.166 How-
ever, credit crunches may be correlated across markets. For example,
evidence suggests that a contraction of supply occurred simultaneously in
the early 1990s in the United States across three different markets—the
bank loan market, the junk bond market, and the below-investment-grade
segment of the private placement market.167
168. McAllister and McManus (1993); Mitchell and Onvural (1996); Berger, Cum-
mins, and Weiss (1997); Berger and DeYoung (1997); Berger, Leusner, and Mingo (1997).
169. Berger and Mester (1997). Alternative profit efficiency generally yields similar find-
ings to standard profit efficiency, which specifies output prices rather than quantities in the
profit function (Berger and Mester 1997). Standard profit efficiency is more problematic to
estimate because output prices have to be approximated by balance sheet and income state-
ment ratios. In addition, by controlling for output prices, standard profit efficiency may not
account as well for advantages that cross-regional organizations may have in terms of risk
diversification and enhanced quality or variety of services.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 87
Commission income 0.0170 0.0102 0.0103 0.0164 0.0118 0.0097 0.0118 0.0057
to assets (0.0312) (0.0257) (0.0188) (0.0333) (0.0099) (0.0104) (0.0397) (0.0200)
Equity to assets 0.0879 0.1040 0.0732 0.1329 0.1399 0.0842 0.1506 0.1708
(0.0899) (0.1069) (0.0647) (0.1416) (0.1386) (0.0869) (0.1810) (0.1345)
Price of borrowed funds 0.0056 0.0595 0.0498 0.0515 0.0674 0.0689 0.0514 0.0509
(0.0138) (0.0131) (0.0107) (0.0117) (0.0163) (0.0159) (0.0102) (0.6669)
Price of labor (thousands 61.8500 65.8220 110.7222 133.8141 17.7960 16.7892 31.1824 36.7001
of 1997 home currency) (7.4410) (4.1122) (19.8552) (15.7091) (3.2683) (3.3591) (9.6702) (6.2216)
Total assets (millions of 8,126.00 1,435.67 16,970.70 3,106.06 5,824.16 1,741.76 6,181.40 2,730.37
1997 home currency) (32,727.00) (2,533.53) (65,489.12) (6,580.76) (14,121.72) (1,683.17) (16,023.29) (6,095.86)
Number of banks 158 57 121 85 60 16 26 31
Number of observations 867 312 642 439 329 83 231 238
Source: Data from Fitch-IBCA.
a. The costs, profits, variable outputs, fixed outputs, and fixed inputs were scaled by gross total assets in the table, but not in the regressions.
b. The price of labor equals salaries and benefits to total assets.
c. Costs are included only for fifty-seven banks.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 91
Empirical Results
Table 6 shows the results of our cross-border alternative profit effi-
ciency tests. Each of the five columns of the table corresponds to an alter-
native profit frontier estimated only for banks operating in that home
country. The first row displays efficiency results for the domestic banks
in each home country. The second row displays efficiency results for all the
foreign banks in each home country. The other rows correspond to sub-
sets of foreign banks, grouped according to their nation of ownership.
Table 7 displays estimates of cost efficiency. The results can be summa-
rized as follows. In most countries, domestic banks are found to have both
higher mean profit efficiency and higher mean cost efficiency than the
mean of all foreign banks operating in that country, although these differ-
ences are not always statistically significant. This result, consistent with
most of the findings in the literature, has been interpreted as supporting the
home field advantage hypothesis, but we do not draw this same conclusion.
Rather, by disaggregating the results by foreign nation of origin, we find
that the data appear to reject the home field advantage hypothesis in favor
of the limited form of the global advantage hypothesis. As shown below,
the disaggregated results suggest that domestic banks may be more effi-
cient than banks from most foreign countries, may be about as efficient as
banks from some foreign countries, but may be less efficient than banks
from one of the foreign countries.
DOMESTIC VERSUS FOREIGN BANK EFFICIENCY. In France, Germany,
and the United Kingdom, cost efficiency and alternative profit efficiency
are both higher on average for domestic banks than for foreign banks.
Some of these differences are small, although in Germany and the United
Kingdom the difference in profit efficiency is economically large, over
4 percent of potential profits.
In Spain and the United States, domestic banks exhibit either higher
cost efficiency than foreign banks or higher profit efficiency than foreign
banks, but not both. In Spain, mean domestic cost efficiency is about
2.1 percent of costs higher than mean foreign bank cost efficiency, but on
Table 6. Cross-Border Alternative Profit Efficiency
United United
Bank France Germany Spain Kingdom States
All domestic banks
Mean 0.4459 0.5404 0.6596 0.6833 0.67394
Number of observations 158 121 60 63 1,940
Standard error 0.0214 0.0231 0.0232 0.0270 0.0034
All foreign banks
Mean 0.4308 0.4946 0.7138 0.6373 0.418#
Number of observations 57 85 16 61 43
Standard error 0.0279 0.0240 0.0340 0.0273 0.041
All other EU banks
Mean 0.4082 0.4545 0.7465* 0.6627 0.628
Number of observations 34 23 11 9 6
Standard error 0.0327 0.0446 0.0395 0.0948 0.0675
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 94
Belgian banks
Mean 0.2619# — — — —
Number of observations 6
Standard error 0.0505
Canadian banks
Mean — — — — 0.532#
Number of observations 11
Standard error 0.0347
French banks
Mean — 0.5539 0.7699* — —
Number of observations 5 6
Standard error 0.0847 0.0399
German banks
Mean 0.4866 — — — —
Number of observations 6
Standard error 0.0811
Italian banks
Mean 0.6178* 0.4517 — — —
Number of observations 10 4
Standard error 0.0674 0.1706
Japanese banks
Mean — 0.4591 — 0.6406 0.258#
Number of observations 17 10 14
Standard error 0.0487 0.0462 0.069
Luxembourgian banks
Mean — — — 0.5669 —
Number of observations 3
Standard error 0.0861
Netherlandic banks
Mean 0.3884 0.3571# — — 0.628
Number of observations 5 5 3
Standard error 0.0720 0.0789 0.1396
South Korean banks
Mean — — — — 0.257#
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 95
Number of observations 4
Standard error 0.1477
Swiss banks
Mean 0.6059 0.4196# — 0.648 —
Number of observations 3 7 5
Standard error 0.2066 0.0569 0.1111
U.K. banks
Mean — 0.3368# — — —
Number of observations 4
Standard error 0.0772
U.S. banks
Mean 0.6485** 0.5845 0.7243 0.5801 —
Number of observations 6 17 3 12
Standard error 0.1230 0.0536 0.0469 0.0679
Source: Authors’ calculations.
— Fewer than three foreign banks.
* Significantly higher than the domestic bank mean at the 5 percent level.
** Significantly higher than the domestic bank mean at the 10 percent level.
# Significantly lower than the domestic bank mean at the 5 percent level.
Table 7. Cross-Border Cost Efficiency
United United
Bank France Germany Spain Kingdom States
All domestic banks
Mean 0.7122 0.7966 0.9195 0.8061 0.773
Number of observations 158 121 60 26 1,940
Standard error 0.0126 0.0099 0.0062 0.0158 0.0019
All foreign banks
Mean 0.6995 0.7889 0.899 0.7792 0.801*
Number of observations 57 85 16 31 43
Standard error 0.0211 0.0120 0.0128 0.0234 0.0141
All other EU banks
Mean 0.7189 0.7648 0.9088 0.75 0.855*
Number of observations 34 23 11 5 6
Standard error 0.0274 0.0197 0.0139 0.0709 0.0381
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 96
Belgian banks
Mean 0.675 — — — —
Number of observations 6
Standard error 0.0563
Canadian banks
Mean — — — — 0.833*
Number of observations 11
Standard error 0.0189
French banks
Mean — 0.7453 0.8979 — —
Number of observations 5 6
Standard error 0.0604 0.0176
German banks
Mean 0.7294 — — — —
Number of observations 6
Standard error 0.0576
Italian banks
Mean 0.6566 0.7847 — — —
Number of observations 10 4
Standard error 0.0493 0.0220
Japanese banks
Mean — 0.8195 — 0.7939 0.754
Number of observations 17 5 14
Standard error 0.0297 0.0483
0.0246
Luxembourgian banks
Mean — — — — —
Number of observations
Standard error
Netherlandic banks
Mean 0.9117* 0.8172 — — 0.867
Number of observations 5 5 3
Standard error 0.0476 0.0463
0.0729
South Korean banks
Mean — — — —
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 97
0.866*
Number of observations 4
Standard error
0.0431
Swiss banks
Mean 0.7517 0.7576 — — —
Number of observations 3 7
Standard error 0.1327 0.0257
U.K. banks
Mean — 0.7177# — — —
Number of observations 4
Standard error 0.0454
U.S. banks
Mean 0.7169 0.768 0.8598 0.7769 —
Number of observations 6 17 3 6
Standard error 0.0752 0.0276 0.0450 0.0598
Source: Authors’ calculations.
— Fewer than three foreign banks.
* Significantly higher than the domestic bank mean at the 5 percent level.
# Significantly lower than the domestic bank mean at the 5 percent level.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 98
average domestic banks are less profit efficient than foreign banks by about
5.4 percent of potential profits. This implies that while domestic Spanish
banks may have a slight cost advantage over their foreign rivals, their
lower revenues overwhelm their lower costs. This may be due to poor
investment choices, to poor risk diversification that requires a relatively
low risk, low-expected-return choice of investments, or to poor service
quality such as skimping on expenditures necessary to monitor and service
customers.
In the United States, domestic banks are more profit efficient on aver-
age than foreign banks by a wide margin, 25.5 percent of potential prof-
its, but domestic banks are on average slightly less cost efficient than
foreign banks by 2.8 percent of costs. Both differences are statistically
significant. The much higher profit efficiency suggests that the extra
spending by U.S. domestic banks likely is not due to waste or ineffi-
ciency—rather, these higher expenses more likely reflect efforts to pro-
duce a quality or variety of financial services that generates substantially
greater revenues.172
DISAGGREGATING FOREIGN BANK EFFICIENCY BY NATION OF OWNER-
SHIP. Thus far, our results are consistent with the main finding of the prior
research in this field, that is, the average domestic bank is generally more
efficient than the average foreign bank. In four of our five home coun-
tries, mean domestic bank profit efficiency is higher than mean foreign
bank profit efficiency. In some cases, particularly the United States, this
efficiency edge is also economically large, accounting for a substantial
percentage of potential profits. However, we cannot draw conclusions
about our hypotheses without also disaggregating these results by nation of
origin for the foreign banks. We show this disaggregation in tables 6 and 7.
In France, domestic banks have slightly higher mean cost and profit effi-
ciency than foreign banks on average, but this masks considerable hetero-
172. Our findings for the United States differ notably from prior efficiency studies of for-
eign banks in the United States. A number of studies using 1980s data find relatively low
cost efficiency or relatively low profit efficiency for foreign banks operating in the United
States. Our results suggest that foreign-owned banks in the United States have improved
their cost efficiency over the past decade, but that their profit efficiency has continued to lag,
possibly due in part to turnover of these institutions. Since the 1980s, foreign banks from
some countries (for example, Japan) have reduced their U.S. presence, while foreign banks
from other countries (for example, the Netherlands) have increased their U.S. presence.
Thus, while domestic U.S. banks appear to continue to be more efficient than foreign-owned
banks, the underlying characteristics of this difference may have changed.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 99
geneity across the foreign banks by nation of origin. For example, U.S.-
owned banks in France have the highest mean profit efficiency of 64.85
percent, which is more than 20 percent of potential profits higher than
domestic French banks, and the difference is statistically significant. The
Netherlandic-owned banks in France have much higher measured cost effi-
ciency but lower measured profit efficiency than domestic French banks,
suggesting poor revenue performance. In contrast, Italian-owned banks in
France have much higher measured profit efficiency, but lower cost effi-
ciency, than domestic French banks.
In Germany, as in France, heterogeneity among foreign institutions is
again apparent once the results are disaggregated by nation of origin.
Again, the U.S.-owned banks have the highest mean profit efficiency of all
foreign institutions, and again the U.S.-owned institutions post a higher
mean profit efficiency than domestic banks (although the difference is not
statistically significant). Domestic German banks have statistically higher
mean profit efficiency than foreign banks from the Netherlands, Switzer-
land, and the United Kingdom, although the foreign U.K. banks have sta-
tistically higher cost efficiency than the domestic German banks. Again,
these mixed cases suggest that studies using only the less-comprehensive
cost efficiency measure can be misleading, because this measure does not
account for differences in the ability to generate revenues. There is weak
evidence that the strong profit efficiency of German domestic banks carries
over to their foreign operations in France, although this result is not sta-
tistically significant and we do not have any data from German banks in
foreign nations other than France to determine whether German banks
have a global advantage.
In Spain, our database contains only two foreign nations (France and
the United States) operating three or more banks. On average, both of
these sets of foreign banks are more profit efficient than the domestic
banks, providing further evidence against the home field advantage
hypothesis in Spain. The cost efficiency results continue to differ from
the profit results in Spain, suggesting that most of the profit efficiency
advantage of the foreign banks is on the revenue side.
In the United Kingdom, domestic banks have higher mean cost effi-
ciency and higher mean profit efficiency than all of the foreign nations
operating in the United Kingdom. However, none of these differences is
statistically significant, and they do not suggest that U.K. banks have a
global advantage. U.K. banking organizations have only three or more
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 100
banks in one other home country in our data set, Germany, where the cost
efficiency and profit efficiency of U.K. banks are both statistically and eco-
nomically significantly lower than those of domestic German banks. Thus,
although it may be hard for foreign banks to do business in the United
Kingdom, U.K.-owned banks do not appear to be particularly efficient
players outside their home country.
In the United States, domestic banks have higher mean profit efficiency
than the foreign banks from all other nations, and the difference is usu-
ally statistically significant and economically large. The much higher profit
efficiency and somewhat lower cost efficiency of domestic U.S. banks
relative to foreign banks in the United States suggest a strong advantage
for U.S. domestic banks on the revenue side of the ledger. Furthermore,
unlike the results for the other home countries, the domestic profit effi-
ciency advantage of U.S. banks does not disappear when these banks go
abroad—U.S.-owned banks earn higher-than-domestic levels of profit effi-
ciency in France, Germany, and Spain.
Overall, these disaggregated data tend to support rejection of the home
field advantage hypothesis in favor of the limited form of the global advan-
tage hypothesis. In three of the five home countries, foreign banks from
at least one other nation are more efficient on average than domestic banks,
contrary to the predictions of the home field advantage hypothesis. Banks
from one nation, the United States, exhibit mean efficiency levels that are
higher than those of domestic banks in all but one of the other home coun-
tries, supporting the limited form of the global advantage hypothesis.
Banks from Germany also exhibit high mean efficiency levels both at
home and abroad, although the foreign performance of German banks is
based on a single, statistically insignificant result in only one foreign coun-
try. These data suggest that some efficient institutions from the United
States (and perhaps Germany) may have overcome the difficulties imposed
by distance, language, and culture to operate in foreign countries above the
mean domestic efficiency levels, possibly because of specific favorable
market or regulatory and supervisory conditions at home. However, deter-
mining which home-market conditions might give these banks an advan-
tage is beyond the scope of this study.
A potential problem with our finding of support for the limited form of
the global advantage hypothesis is that a banking organization may use
transfer pricing or other accounting methods to shift profits from an affil-
iate in one country to an affiliate in another country for tax, regulatory, or
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 101
We address the first question by dividing the United States into eight
distinct geographic regions and evaluating the “cross-regional efficiency”
of U.S. domestic banks. That is, we compare the estimated efficiency of
1,883 within-region banks (domestic U.S. banks operating in the region
in which their organization is headquartered) to the estimated efficiency of
57 out-of-region banks (domestic U.S. banks operating in a region differ-
ent from the one in which their organization is headquartered). The results
of these tests, which are shown in table 8, suggest a modest efficiency
advantage to cross-regional ownership. Large banks owned by out-of-
region organizations have a statistically significant cost efficiency edge of
3.1 percent of costs and a statistically insignificant profit efficiency edge of
2.3 percent of potential profits over banks owned within the region. 174
Given that the United States is a relatively homogeneous nation with
potentially large distances between banks and their headquarters, these
results suggest that efficient organizations can overcome any organiza-
tional diseconomies of operating or monitoring subsidiaries from a dis-
tance. If these results extrapolate to the cross-border context, they suggest
that other barriers—such as differences in language, culture, regulatory
or supervisory structures, currency, or monetary policy—more likely
explain why domestic banks tend to be more efficient than foreign banks
on average.
We address the second of these questions by comparing the efficiencies
of foreign and domestic banks in the United States within each of these
geographic regions. The results of these tests, which are shown in table 9,
are consistent with the results in tables 6 and 7 that suggested an advan-
tage for U.S. banks. The forty-three foreign banks operate in just four of the
eight U.S. regions (Mideast, Great Lakes, Southeast, and Far West) and
are located predominantly in the regions that include the international bank-
ing centers of New York (Mideast), Chicago (Great Lakes), and San Fran-
cisco (Far West). In three of these four regions, the average foreign bank has
significantly lower profit efficiency than the average domestic bank, the
only exception being the Southeast region, with only two foreign banks.
Furthermore, in three of the four regions there is no significant difference
between foreign bank and domestic bank cost efficiency. Foreign banks’
locational choices do not appear to be driving our results.
174. This result may be stronger than it at first appears, because the extra operational cost
of a multibank holding company (a required organizational structure for interstate banks
during most of our sample period) biases against finding cross-regional efficiency.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 103
border efficiency gains from the Single Market Programme in the Euro-
pean Union and other liberalizations in other parts of the globe.
Our results may also have important implications for research method-
ology. While the aggregated results in the top two rows of tables 6 and 7
alone appear to support the home field advantage hypothesis, the more
detailed results in these two tables appear to support the limited form of
the global advantage hypothesis. These results suggest disaggregation by
foreign nation of ownership in future research.
Our results also suggest that it is important to include a substantial num-
ber of different nations in the analyses. If we had only used European
data in this study, our results may have supported the home field advantage
hypothesis, since the nation with the global advantage would have been
excluded. If we had only used data from a single home country, our results
would have supported either the home field advantage, the global advan-
tage, or the limited global advantage hypothesis, depending on which
country we investigated. And if we had been able to expand our database
to include additional home countries, we may have found global advan-
tages for banks from additional countries as well.
Finally, our results support the future use of complete separate analy-
ses of data from each home country. Estimating efficiency jointly or pool-
ing the efficiency estimates from institutions in different countries may
create problems of comparison because of significant differences in the
environments of these countries.
higher profit efficiency than foreign banks operating in the country. This
result is consistent with most of the findings in the extant literature, where
it has been interpreted as supporting the home field advantage hypothe-
sis. However, after disaggregating our results by foreign nation of origin,
we find that the data appear to reject the home field advantage hypothesis
in favor of the limited form of the global advantage hypothesis. The dis-
aggregated results suggest that domestic banks may be more efficient than
foreign banks from most foreign countries, may be about equally efficient
with foreign banks from some foreign countries, but may be less efficient
than foreign banks from one (the United States) of the foreign countries.
These results, should they continue to hold in the future, may have
important implications for the structure of globalized financial markets, for
financial institution policy, and for future research. First, the finding here
and in the extant literature that foreign banks are less efficient on average
than domestic banks suggests that efficiency considerations may limit the
global consolidation of the financial services industry. Thus domestically
based institutions would continue to play a large role in the provision of
financial services. Second, our finding that some banking organizations
can operate in foreign countries at or above the efficiency levels of domes-
tic banks suggests that additional global consolidation of financial markets
may be in the offing. Third, our finding that banking organizations from
some countries, particularly the United States, are better able to operate
efficiently across borders suggests that financial institutions from these
countries may capture disproportionate shares of international financial
services business in the future. Fourth, if future research finds that U.S.
banks derive their apparent efficiency advantage from U.S. regulatory or
supervisory conditions (for example, easy geographic mobility) rather than
from U.S. market conditions (for example, a well-developed securities
market), then one might predict cross-border efficiency gains from simi-
lar liberalizations in other nations, such as the Single Market Programme
in the European Union. Finally, our results suggest that future empirical
investigations in this area should include a substantial number of home
countries and institutions from a substantial number of foreign nations.
The results also suggest that researchers should disaggregate their analysis
by foreign nation of ownership. These changes appear to be important for
discerning between the home field advantage and the global advantage
hypotheses.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 107
175. Claessens, Demirgüc-Kunt, and Huizinga (2000) find that foreign banks outperform
domestic banks in less-developed economies.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 108
Regulatory Changes
Traditionally, financial service firms have been heavily regulated and
protected from competition. As a result, credit markets in most countries
have been highly fragmented and specialized on the basis of region, prod-
uct line, or clientele. In the United States, the operations of credit unions,
thrifts, commercial banks, securities firms, and insurance companies were
kept separate, and banks were restricted to a single state. In Japan, separate
entities provided commercial banking, securities, and insurance services.
Banking services were highly segmented by both region and product line
and were provided by major Japanese banks (city, long-term credit, and
trust banks), regional banks, financial institutions for small business, gov-
ernment financial institutions, financial institutions for agriculture,
forestry, and fisheries, and the post office. In France, universal banks
belonging to the French Bankers Association were distinct from mutual
banks, cooperative banks, and savings and provident banks with narrow
business or regional focus and also were distinct from finance companies,
securities houses, brokerage firms, and other specialized institutions. The
German system contained large universal banks, regional banks (and their
central giro organizations), private banks, savings banks (and their cen-
176. Other studies provide more detailed descriptions of credit markets in these and
other countries. Berger, Kashyap, and Scalise (1995) discuss the U.S. market. Beduc,
Ducruezet, and Stephanopoli (1992), de Boissieu (1993), Matherat and Cayssials (1999),
and Pfister and Grunspan (1999) discuss the French market. Bauer and Domanski (1999)
and Pozdena and Alexander (1992) cover the German system. Bruni (1993), Fazio (1999a,
1999b), and Szego and Szego (1992) discuss the Italian system. Cargill and Royama (1992),
Genay (1998), Hoshi and Kashyap (2000), and Toyama (1999) cover the Japanese market.
Caminal, Gual, and Vives (1993), Pastor (1993), and Fuentes and Sastre (1999) discuss the
Spanish market. Birchler and Rich (1992) and Braun, Egli, Fischer, Rime, and Walter (1999)
discuss the Swiss market. Bowen, Hoggarth, and Pain (1999) and Llewellyn (1992) dis-
cuss the U.K. market.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 109
Germany 77,326 59,695 –22.80 17,354 24,083 38.77 1,031 1,375 33.37
Italy 32,162 39,936 24.17 54,056 61,366 13.52 1,790 1,440 –19.55
Japan 68,142 69,022 1.29 19,686 29,578 50.25 1,814 1,828 0.77
Netherlands 8,161 7,071 –13.36 98,092 123,261 25.66 1,839 2,214 20.39
Sweden 5,136 3,624 –29.44 62,227 70,800 13.78 1,672 2,442 46.05
Switzerland 8,021 6,995 –12.79 14,746 19,604 32.94 842 1,015 20.55
United Kingdom 41,431 35,234 –14.96 90,082 106,691 18.44 1,385 1,675 20.94
United States 107,703 73,538 –31.72 7,881 11,997 52.23 2,330 3,643 56.35
Source: For number of credit institutions and branches, Bank for International Settlements (1995, 1998). For branches and subsidiaries of foreign banks in Europe excluding Switzerland, European Central Bank
(1999); in Switzerland, Bank for International Settlements (1995, 1998); in Japan, Bank of Japan (1997, 1999); in the United States, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (1996).
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 113
177. In some countries, such as France and Italy, the restructuring also involved signifi-
cant decreases in the role of the state in the banking industry. For instance, in France, the
number of public institutions declined from ninety-two in 1984 to twenty-three in 1997
(Matherat and Cayssials 1999, p. 171). In Italy, the share of total banking assets held by
banks in which the state has a majority control declined from 68 percent in 1992 to 20 per-
cent in 1998 (Fazio 1999a, p. 9).
178. Another notable development in the U.K. markets has been the demutualization of
building societies and the conversion of these societies into banks. Also, while the number
of domestic institutions declined over 1990–97, the number of foreign banks operating in the
United Kingdom increased significantly (Bowen, Hoggarth, and Pain 1999).
179. Bank of Italy (1998), p. 318.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 114
has been argued that the potential impact of market integration and dereg-
ulation on the EU-wide concentration ratio is likely to be influenced by the
extent to which competition is based on fixed or variable costs.181
Except for the United States, foreign banks are smaller than domestic
banks in every nation.183 With the exception of banks in Spain, foreign
banks invest a greater fraction of their assets in securities and have lower
ratios of loans to total assets than domestic banks. In France and Germany,
foreign banks finance a similar fraction of their assets with deposits as do
domestic banks. Foreign banks in Spain are more reliant on deposits than
domestic banks, while foreign banks in the United Kingdom and the
United States have a lower ratio of total deposits to total assets. In most
countries, domestic banks have more retail deposits (demand, time, and
savings) than foreign banks, where retail deposits rely more heavily on
“other deposits” that are composed mostly of interbank deposits. Further-
more, in most countries, foreign banks have lower net interest income than
domestic banks. The lower concentration of assets in loans, greater use of
interbank deposits, and lower levels of interest income for foreign banks
suggest that foreign banks focus less on traditional banking intermediation
and more on other banking services than domestic banks. The data also
suggest that domestic banks are generally more profitable than foreign
banks. This simple comparison of accounting profitability is consistent
with our evidence on profit X-efficiency.
Among foreign banks of different origin, there are significant differ-
ences in the operations of U.S., European, and Japanese banks in each
market. For instance, in France and Germany, foreign banks from other
European countries appear to focus more on traditional intermediation
than U.S. banks. European banks have higher ratios of loans to total assets
and deposits to total assets (particularly, demand deposits) than U.S.
banks. In addition, U.S. banks earn more commission income per unit of
assets than European banks in France, Spain, and the United Kingdom.
Japanese banks are less profitable, with the exception of Germany, and
focus more on security investments than their U.S. and European coun-
terparts. These patterns suggest that foreign banks in any given country are
impact of mergers, we excluded bank-year observations for which the annual growth in
inflation-adjusted assets was more than 50 percent in absolute value. We also excluded
banks that reported negative values of book-value capital and banks in the lower and higher
1 percent of the distributions of return on assets and return on equity to remove the influence
of these outliers on the mean values.
183. The large size of foreign banks relative to domestic banks in the United States
may be due to our sampling methodology. Our definition of large banks in the United States
(assets greater than $100 million) is small by international standards.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 120
Comments and
Discussion
126
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 127
effects going this way, and some effects going that way. But the fact that
you are on one side of the country and you own a bank on the other side
of the country does not have much effect on the operations of the bank on
the other side of the country. This does not necessarily mean that you can
run a bank efficiently sitting on the opposite side of the country, but it
may mean that the way in which you selected the bank to buy compensates
for whatever lack of efficiency you may have. Conversely, it might be that
the acquired bank has competent management who can work indepen-
dently, which is why you bought it in the first place.
In short, the systematic underperformance of foreign-owned banks in
another country does not have a cross-state counterpart in the United
States. Physical distance does not seem to matter a lot. This implies that
currency and language differences may well be key. Another possibility
is that the underperformance we find internationally is mismeasurement.
Also, unlike previous papers, this study does not simply find that all
foreign-owned banks are less efficient than domestic banks. It offers a
more nuanced view. Some foreign-owned banks are more efficient. So
U.S. banks are generally more efficient in other countries than domestic
banks. Japanese banks are particularly inefficient in other countries. It may
well be that U.S. banks have been more efficient since they cleaned up
their act in the late 1980s and that Japanese banks have been doing the
wrong thing at the wrong time. They have been buying at the peak in the
United States and getting out in the trough, and this might account for the
fact that they have been less efficient.
I would like to see more on this subject. For example, the Spanish
domestic banks are less efficient than foreign banks in Spain. So perhaps if
we had more data, we could look at Spanish banks in other countries and
ask if they underperform in other countries also. This approach is consis-
tent with the U.S. evidence; for example, U.S. domestic banks typically are
more efficient than foreign banks in the United States, but it would be
nice to see if this holds for other countries.
Even with the caveats, this study finds that foreign-owned banks under-
perform in a country. Before concluding that cross-border mergers are a
mistake, we should recognize the limitations of the analysis. For example,
the nature of banking business may be different for banks from different
countries. Perhaps U.S. banks take more risks than other banks in part
because they have learned to manage these risks. When we look at profit
efficiency, are we capturing the greater risks that banks might be taking?
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 130
would get out of it; we could not compete with the Spanish banks. The
Spanish banks were telling us that they would give away the business in
Spain to keep their customers. They had a tremendous home field advan-
tage in that sense, and we did not have much to offer. It was very difficult
to make money in Spain. From a business point of view, it is interesting
that the articles reviewed said that Citibank was great, but this fact had no
actual impact on the way we ran our business.
In contrast, in Japan, Citibank makes no money at all in local corpo-
rate banking, yet we have one of the most successful global businesses
with regard to Japanese corporations. Japanese corporations are a big piece
of our corporate income. We do business with them all over the world
because we are the only bank that is active globally as well as in Japan.
This means that corporations can receive service from their home. So we
do not make much money in Japan, but we do make money all over the
world. So judging that bank through the dimension of the local numbers
is quite difficult and, I think, a stretch.
Another example is the cards business in Europe Citibank. All of that
business is managed out of South Dakota. When you put your card in one
of the machines in London, it is picked up in South Dakota, and it is run
there. The advantages of doing that globally are tremendous for the bank,
so the geographic dimension does not measure global businesses, and it
is very hard to draw conclusions from it.
Regarding efficiencies in mergers, I would be very surprised if the evi-
dence showed that there were not some efficiencies in mergers. I also
would be really surprised if some chief executive officer went to his board
of directors and said, “We are going to merge with Alpha Bank over there.
And, by the way, we are going to spend more money.” It just is not going
to happen.
In almost any merger, you are going to get some assistance when you
combine head offices. At this stage of the game and in this day and age,
getting the efficiencies is just part of the game. It is like making your num-
bers. It is something that you have to do, but it is not why these mergers are
happening. And I would disagree with the paper’s conclusion that it is a
driving force.
I think that the driving force in the banking business is fundamentally—
and we use this term in Citibank—that corporate banking, meaning com-
mercial and investment banking together, is a tricky business. The math
problem is very simple. In order to attract capital in today’s world capital
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 132
What are some of the causes of this excess capacity of the industry?
First and foremost is the technology itself. When I joined the bank,
decisionmaking was done by telex and maybe by phone, but the phone was
very expensive. Today, it is done on the Internet, and it is done in groups
on the Internet; it is done instantaneously, and it is done asynchronously,
and it is done asymptotically. You do not have to be in the same place,
and you do not have to do it at the same time, but you can get it done
almost instantaneously, if you have to.
The speed of the technology in a business that is fundamentally nothing
more than an information arbitrage is creating the excess capacity of the
industry. Most of the industry basically was involved in dealing with the
information arbitrage. In banking the arbitrage concerns what is in the
marketplace against what the customer’s needs are and what the cus-
tomer’s needs are as a group against what is in the marketplace.
If the information becomes ubiquitous and free, there is no more value
for the people who are using it to break the arbitrage. In the foreign
exchange business, which is the heart and soul of Citibank’s business glob-
ally, we used to know what was going on in the market, and the customer
maybe knew what was going on in the market, and we could always make
a spread between the two.
Now the customer knows absolutely as much as, if not more than, what
the trader knows, and he can see the market by just turning on his com-
puter. There is no spread in the effects business. The only way that you can
make money in the effects business is to front run your customers or to
position and gamble in the business.
What happens to all of those folks who were in the effects business
and are no longer there? If you look at foreign exchange as a business
alone, the number of competitors and the number of true players in the for-
eign exchange business have shrunk dramatically over the past fifteen
years simply because the arbitrage is no longer there.
Every single business that the banks do is suffering from the same phe-
nomenon, and this is creating the excess capacity. The second thing that
has created the excess capacity are the turf issues that have all gone away
or are about to go away. Certainly, doing away with Glass-Stegall broke
down some more turf barriers. It was probably long after the horse was out
of the barn, but certainly the turf issues are all gone. Couple that with the
technology, and it does not matter where you are anymore. You can deliver
services just about anywhere.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 134
international basis. DeYoung added that although their study did not eval-
uate the organizational performance of banks on a worldwide basis due to
limitations of the data, the study did address at least one organizational
issue by examining the relative performance of U.S. banks operating in
different regions.
A difference of views was expressed during the discussion on whether
European banks had less or more incentive to engage in consolidations
than their U.S. counterparts. Those arguing that they had fewer incentives
pointed to the fact that European banks no longer need to be physically
located in other European countries to operate and retain profit. Those tak-
ing the opposite position asserted that European banks could reduce their
overall risks by diversifying into other countries. On this view, it was sug-
gested that the authors in their future work use the consolidated results of
banks rather than their profitability only in specific locations.
9550—04-Brks Wharton Ch 1 8/11/00 16:29 Page 136
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