June Dreyer Textbook
June Dreyer Textbook
June Dreyer Textbook
System
China’s Political System provides a concise introduction to the political, economic,
and social factors that determine China’s government. Highly respected specialist
June Teufel Dreyer offers expert analysis of the challenges facing China’s
economic, legal, military, social, and cultural institutions while examining the
historical context and current trends. China’s Political System asks readers to
think about the broader problems of governance and modernization in China
and their global implications by comprehensively showing how the past and
present impact leaders, citizens, ethnic minorities, and policies.
New to the Tenth Edition:
• the first text to incorporate results from the Nineteenth Party Congress and
Thirteenth National People’s Congress
• includes a new chapter on developments under Xi Jinping
• considers the effects of slowing economic growth on politics and society
• addresses recent Chinese assertiveness in military and foreign policy.
The tenth edition of China’s Political System continues to provide all of the tools
professors need to introduce their students to Chinese politics in ways that are
informed, accessible, and intriguing.
‘June Teufel Dreyer’s latest edition of China’s Political System continues the high
standard that has been evident in each previous edition. In a crowded field of
textbooks on Chinese politics, the two areas that distinguish the best books are
comprehensiveness in terms of the coverage of important topics and material that
is not only up-to-date but will not become dated quickly. Dreyer has succeeded
admirably on both counts, with the high quality of the new chapter on The Era
of Xi Jinping and the discussion of the results of the Nineteenth Party Congress,
making this the best textbook on Chinese politics currently on the market.’
Stanley Rosen, Professor of Political Science,
University of Southern California
China’s Political
System
Modernization and Tradition
1 Introduction 1
10 Education 227
vii
viii Contents
15 Conclusions 355
TABLES
Table 2.1 The Chinese Dynasties 27
Table 5.1 Size of Politburos and Politburo Standing Committees, 12th–18th Party
Congresses 131
Table 6.1 Size of Politburos and Politburo Standing Committees, 12th–19th Party
Congresses 136
Table 6.2 Politburo Standing Committee CCP 18th Party Congress
(in rank order) 137
Table 6.3 Politburo Standing Committee CCP 19th Party Congress
(in rank order) 144
Table 13.1 Population of China According to Ethnic Group in Censuses,
1953–2010 295
ix
x Illustrations
MAPS
Political Map of China xvi
Map 2.1A Bronze Age China during the Shang Dynasty (c. 1523–1028 b.c.) 25
Map 2.1B Ming Dynasty (1368–1644) 26
Map 3.1 The Northern Expedition of the Kuomintang 59
Map 3.2 Routes of the Long March 67
Map 13.1 China’s Minority Nationalities 299
PREFACE
As the People’s Republic of China approached the seventieth anniversary of its
founding, Chinese patriots had much to be proud of. A country that had been poor
and war-ravaged in 1949 was now the world’s second largest economy—first by
some measures, had developed formidable military might, and was unequivocally
accepted as one of the world’s preeminent powers.
At the same time, major problems loomed with the potential to undermine
these successes. Domestically, communism was moribund as an ideology, and the
Chinese Communist Party had lost its legitimacy in the eyes of many of the PRC’s
citizens. Economic growth was slowing amid uncertainty about where it might
level off. There were questions about how healthy the reported economic growth
rates were: increases in gross domestic product do not necessarily translate into
increased productivity. Moreover, growth had been accompanied by a widening
of income inequality and increasing social instability. Corruption was endemic in
the economic and political systems. Pollution filled the air of many urban areas
and poisoned the waterways.
Although most people appeared content to enjoy the benefits of increasing
prosperity, vocal minorities of farmers, workers, and ethnic minorities voiced
their dissatisfaction with the status quo. Harsh punishments were meted out to
dissidents, not infrequently in trials that seemed to violate the provisions of the
country’s constitution. Better laws were passed but not always enforced. A party
which had come to power on behalf of the rights of the workers and the peasants
seemed to have turned its back on them. While the slogan “serve the people”
remained, party and government leaders seemed now to fear the people: surveil-
lance, aided by artificial intelligence technology, has been tightened in a way that
was scarcely imaginable in George Orwell’s day.
Externally, foreign nations worried that their economies might be swallowed
by the Chinese juggernaut, and complained that Beijing was manipulating the
country’s currency to create trade imbalances in China’s favor. They also voiced
concern about the motives behind rapidly rising defense budgets when the PRC
faced no external threat, objected to Chinese efforts to dominate disputed areas
in the South China and East China seas, and protested against cyber spying that
was shown to have originated in China. Foreign analysts began to question their
initial assumption that economic pluralism would lead inexorably to political
pluralism and an evolution toward liberal democracy. In some areas, the Chinese
system had become more rather than less oppressive. Moreover, the state also
strengthened its control over the economy to some degree.
Whether the genuine achievements of the seven decades can be continued is
a question much debated by scholars of China, both domestic and foreign. The
present problems could represent no more than the growing pains of a greater
xi
xii Preface
and more powerful state. At the other extreme, they could portend the collapse
of the current system. Or the country could be caught in a middle-income trap.
The genesis of the first edition of China’s Political System grew out of my
own efforts to understand how the communist government of China, having
only recently, in the long sweep of Chinese history, come to power, could trans-
form an impressive ancient civilization into an impressive industrialized socialist
or, more recently, authoritarian quasi-socialist, state.
My aim has been to describe and analyze China’s political system, taking as
leitmotif the efforts of successive leaderships to harmonize elements of the coun-
try’s unique indigenous culture with formulas for industrialization and mod-
ernization that originally evolved in the West. The nineteenth-century paradigm
“Chinese learning for the essence; Western learning for practical use” resonates
with Mao Zedong’s injunction to “walk on two legs”—the modern and the
traditional—as does Deng Xiaoping’s search for “socialism with Chinese charac-
teristics,” and Xi Jinping’s “China Dream” with “In Search of Wealth and Power.”
Over the past half century, these and related themes have become prominent in
Chinese politics. As the leadership of the People’s Republic shifted emphasis from
revolutionary ideals to the more mundane but perhaps even more challenging
business of governing, and from a socialist, planned economy to a semi-market-
based system, the question of how much of its communist heritage it should
retain has had to be addressed as well. Elements of retraditionalization coexist
with trends toward modernization and globalization.
The intended audience for China’s Political System is upper-level undergrad-
uates specializing in political science and history or simply interested persons
who want to learn more about China. The author hopes that this will be an
enjoyable experience. Academic jargon has been minimized.
Features
A summary of the different ways in which Chinese politics and history have been
analyzed is followed by brief overviews of the traditional Chinese system, its
Preface xiii
xiv
xvi
POLITICAL MAP OF CHINA.
CHAPTER 1
Introduction
Modernization and Chinese Civilization
As inheritors of the world’s oldest continuous civilization, the Chinese can be
justly proud of their achievements. Early creation of a written language, devel-
opment of elaborate techniques of silk weaving and wet rice cultivation, and
invention of the compass and gunpowder are but a few of the more outstanding
of these accomplishments. Thus, the Chinese had good reasons for feeling secure
in their image of themselves as the Middle Kingdom, Zhongguo, or that entity at
the fringes of which the less favored groups of humanity existed.
The arrival, beginning in the sixteenth century, of Westerners who desired
trade and wanted to spread their religious beliefs was therefore seen as an unwel-
come intrusion into the peace and harmony of the empire. The Chinese govern-
ment summarily rebuffed Western overtures, since it was obvious that ignorant
barbarians could not contribute significantly to the well-being of the Celestial
Empire and might even cause genuine harm. The Westerners, however, were per-
sistent. They defeated the Chinese with relative ease in a series of armed confron-
tations, beginning with the Opium War of 1839–1842.
This posed a problem for the heretofore self-confident Chinese elite. Because
there are no universally accepted criteria by which to measure aesthetic values,
it is easy to reject another country’s culture as inferior. Military superiority,
however, can be judged on the battlefield, and in this area the Middle Kingdom
proved decidedly deficient. Continued military inferiority jeopardized the sur-
vival of both the empire and its esteemed culture. It therefore became a matter
of great importance to the Chinese government to build the country’s defenses to
the point where Western intrusions would no longer need to be feared.
One solution which occurred to a number of people was that China should
learn the barbarians’ military secrets in order to use them against the enemy.
In addition to seeming perfectly reasonable, this solution could be—and was—
rationalized by calling upon the authority of China’s first and leading military
strategist, Sun Zi. Writing in the fourth century b.c., Sun Zi had advised, “Know
yourself, know your enemy, win ten thousand battles.” At the same time, how-
ever, this precept raised a fundamental dilemma in the minds of many of the
intelligentsia: Could one sustain the belief in the superiority of one’s own civiliza-
tion while borrowing from another’s? If so, how much could be borrowed before
one’s own culture was lost? What actually was the essence of what one might call
“Chineseness”? And, faced with a stark choice between saving one’s culture at
1
2 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
the risk of sacrificing the empire to the barbarians or of sacrificing one’s culture
in order to save the empire from the barbarians, what should the decision be?
These and other related questions were heatedly debated by some of China’s
most brilliant minds. Initially, most of them deemed it acceptable to borrow
military techniques only. This type of imitation was not unprecedented. Several
times in the past, the Chinese had copied barbarian ways of war. The idea of
fighting from horseback, as opposed to using horse-drawn chariots, had come
from China’s nomadic neighbors to the north. At a somewhat later date, the
stirrup, which enabled mounted warriors to shoot backward, was adopted from
Turkic invaders. Nevertheless, even in this area, borrowing from foreigners had
been quite limited.
Western military techniques, however, were more elaborate. Their acquisi-
tion required, among other things, the creation of factories, foundries, and a
system of raw material procurement on a much larger scale than had ever been
attempted before. The desirability of adopting these, too, was eventually ratio-
nalized, as epitomized by the late nineteenth-century slogan “Chinese learning
for the essence [ti]; Western learning for practical use [yong].” Unfortunately,
certain difficulties emerged in putting this ti–yong ideology into practice. For
example, the establishment of the factory system entailed fundamental changes
in social organization. Its needs for a mobile labor force, specialized production,
and the like necessitated major modifications in the Confucian family system,
the educational curriculum, and many other areas. Western learning, it was later
discovered, had an essence of its own.
By the end of the nineteenth century, a new generation began to reject many
aspects of the Confucian tradition that most earlier Chinese thinkers had consid-
ered to be the essence of their civilization. Sun Yat-sen, an iconoclast, a Christian,
and a medical doctor, sought to strengthen and modernize China in ways he
considered compatible with the characteristics of the culture. The philosophy (or,
more properly, ideology) that Sun attempted to substitute for Confucianism was
the Three Principles of the People: People’s Nationalism, People’s Democracy,
and People’s Livelihood. He explicitly stated that his inspiration had been Abra-
ham Lincoln’s government “of the people, by the people, and for the people.”
The imperial government was overthrown in 1911, a victim of its own inept-
itude as well as of the revolutionaries’ efforts. Sun, however, died before the
movement he founded, which came to be known as the Kuomintang (KMT, or
Chinese Nationalist Party), could come to power. His successor as head of the
KMT, Chiang Kai-shek, was able to wrest control of the central government
from a variety of warlords and almost immediately restored large elements of
Confucianism to official ideology. Nevertheless, China remained poor and weak
in relation to the Western powers and Japan. Within a few decades, the KMT
government fell—the result of a combination of its own internal weaknesses, a
bloody and draining war with Japan, and a communist insurgency.
One reason a number of Chinese intellectuals found communism appealing
as a solution to their country’s problems is that it purported to be a scientific, cul-
turally neutral process that would occur naturally during the course of historical
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 3
Later, Mao declared that it was necessary to “make the past serve the present and
foreign things serve China.”
The way in which Mao sought to deal with the Chinese cultural context
involved a bitter attack against official, or high culture, and a glorification of
the culture of the masses or low culture. The term for official, guan, became one
of opprobrium; the bureaucrats of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) are
called by a different name: ganbu or cadres. History was revised to emphasize the
contributions of ordinary folk. Thus, a placard on the Ming tombs near Beijing
focused on just how many of the masses toiled in the construction of the tombs
rather than on the grandeur of the emperors buried there. And folk art, such as
paper-cutting, was praised and encouraged, while art forms associated with the
upper classes, such as richly embroidered silks and delicate paintings on gilt,
were criticized. The distinction between high and low cultures was not clear-cut,
however, and backward thoughts and practices were not confined to the upper
classes. Hence, choosing which items from China’s past to serve China’s present
was not easy. There were sharp disagreements over which elements to keep and
which to discard, and several changes in the official party attitude occurred.
As for making foreign things serve China, Marx provided little help. He was
primarily a theorizer and had few concrete suggestions about how to make his
theories operational in the day-to-day administration of a state. For guidance in
this area, Chinese communists looked to the example of the first, and for several
decades the only, communist state, the now-defunct USSR. What they received
were Leninist and Stalinist interpretations of Marx that had been influenced
4 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
both by the worldviews of the Soviet leaders and by their perceptions regarding
the needs of the Soviet Union. Even in the early years of the PRC, Mao Zedong
and other leaders cautioned against blindly copying the experience of the USSR
and urged adapting the Soviet experience to Chinese reality. But, since the Soviet
Union was the PRC’s only important ally and aid donor in these early years, it
was almost inevitable that the Soviet model would be closely imitated.
A realization of the limitations that the experience of the relatively sparsely
populated and capital-intensive USSR would have for the densely populated and
labor-intensive PRC was an important reason for the Great Leap Forward of
1958. This daring socioeconomic break with the Soviet model attempted to mod-
ernize the PRC by making use of China’s advantages, such as its abundant labor
power, and certain traditional techniques, such as herbal remedies and acupunc-
tural medicinal approaches. The culture of the masses was lauded to a much
greater degree, with some elements of what had been regarded as acceptable
heirlooms from the past now hastily discarded. The Great Leap Forward’s mes-
sage was radically egalitarian. It tried to implement Marx’s definition of commu-
nism: “from each according to his ability, to each according to his need.” Lacking
incentives to work hard, however, too many people discovered ways to work less.
For these and other reasons, production levels fell and, almost immediately, the
country was plunged into yet deeper poverty and weakness. Production dropped
to levels that prevailed during the early years of the communist government but
with a substantially larger number of people among whom to divide what was
produced. Millions died of hunger or malnutrition-related diseases. This partic-
ular effort to implement a Chinese version of modernity had failed disastrously.
By 1962, after many of the Great Leap Forward’s more ill-advised measures
had been reversed or modified, the PRC regained its pre-Great Leap Forward
production levels. Returning along with recuperating production levels, however,
were some of the phenomena that had induced Mao to begin the Great Leap For-
ward: greater disparities in income levels, officials using their positions for finan-
cial gain, marriages contracted for economic reasons, traditional superstitious
practices, and gambling. The latter three, though definitely part of traditional
culture, were clearly not acceptable in making the past serve the present.
In 1966, Mao unleashed the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, another
massive effort to purge the country of Soviet, other Western, and traditional
influences. In its zeal to purify the country of both foreign and decadent old
influences, the Cultural Revolution radicals had to make some odd compromises.
For example, totally reworking Chinese opera to remove “decadent” themes,
including banning traditional musical instruments, meant performing it to a
piano accompaniment. When asked how this fitted in with purging the culture
of decadent Western elements, Madame Mao replied, “We have liberated the
piano.”
The Cultural Revolution’s message, like that of the Great Leap Forward, was
egalitarian and strongly anti-hierarchical, but to an even greater degree. Those
who dressed better or ate better than others were believed to have been affected
by Western bourgeois liberal or Soviet revisionist poison. Many people became
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 5
the targets of brutal attack. Normal work activities were seriously disrupted in
some areas, though the overall effect on production was not nearly as much as
that during the Great Leap Forward. Social and political problems, however,
were far greater. Although the violence of the Cultural Revolution had abated by
late 1968, many of its policies remained for a number of years thereafter.
Mao’s death in 1976 led indirectly to Deng Xiaoping’s accession to power
and the repudiation of many of Mao’s more radical policies. Deng’s “second-
generation leadership” abandoned Mao’s emphasis on class struggle and social
transformation in favor of creating prosperity for society as a whole. (His repu-
tation as an anti-ideological pragmatist had been the cause of Deng being purged
during the Cultural Revolution.) Deng immediately announced that his priority
was to modernize China and that his method would be to proceed on the basis of
“seeking truth from facts.” By modernization, Deng appeared primarily to mean
industrialization and the attainment of higher living standards for the popula-
tion. While explicitly acknowledging the need for greater personal freedom and
pluralism in the decision-making process, Deng appeared to regard these as nec-
essary in order to give people incentives to work harder rather than because he
believed in freedom as a value in itself. Similarly, Deng announced that he would
support the introduction of the rule of law, which is normally considered to be
another concomitant of democratization in the West. His rationale, however, was
less civil libertarian than a result of his belief that a legal system was necessary to
resolve disputes, both between people and among businesses, before the wheels
of production could turn smoothly. Modernization was not to be construed as
slavish copying of the capitalist states but, rather, as a process of building “social-
ism with Chinese characteristics.”
No precise definition of socialism with Chinese characteristics has ever been
given. While stating that he had no intention of abandoning socialism, Deng was
explicit that it was acceptable to be rich, as long as one became rich through
one’s own diligence and hard work rather than by inheriting wealth or getting
it through speculative activities or personal connections. Moreover, he added,
it was not necessary for everyone to become rich at the same time. Deng, like
so many of his country’s previous leaders during the past century and a half,
was in search of wealth and power—a common slogan of nineteenth-century
reformers—for his country: He sought to make China equal or superior to the
Western states in a manner that was compatible with Chinese reality. Unlike
the nineteenth-century reformers, Deng did not proclaim the necessity to select the
best from East and West. But his policies, which included that of the Open Door
to the West, encompassed importing advanced scientific and technical equip-
ment and sending Chinese students abroad to acquire the ability to produce and
improve upon this equipment. Although Deng’s final goal of a prosperous, eco-
nomically modernized China was not unlike that of Mao, the two men differed
in important ways. Faced with making a choice between equality and prosperity,
Mao had a tendency to favor equality, and Deng prosperity.
Under Deng, the profit motive was restored. Factories were allowed to retain
their earnings beyond a certain amount to be paid to the central government, and
6 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
peasants were allowed to sell on the free market whatever they raised beyond a
fixed quota to be delivered to the government. Given these opportunities, a num-
ber of people prospered to a degree that would have been unimaginable only a
few years before. A wider variety of consumer goods appeared in the stores, and
the country’s gross national product began a period of rapid growth. At the same
time, however, other people were left behind. Sometimes, this was because they
were inept farmers or indifferent workers. Often, however, it was because they
were not able to take advantage of the new opportunities due to factors beyond
their control. Farmers who held poorer land or could not procure adequate sup-
plies of seed and fertilizer might actually become poorer regardless of how hard
they worked. In addition, the state’s investment policies favored coastal areas,
on the sound assumption that these were the places that would most readily
produce a quick return on investment capital. But at the same time, these policies
discriminated against residents of the PRC’s vast and more needy hinterland.
The new policies also generated inflationary pressures, to the detriment
of those who lived on fixed incomes. These included the large number of state
employees as well as students and the elderly. While businesspeople and farmers
could increase prices to keep up with the rising cost of living, these other groups
could not. Those who prospered under the new system were the envy of those
who did not, and jealousy—the red-eye disease, as Chinese call it—became more
prominent. When Deng deemed it acceptable for some to become rich before
others, he had tacitly sanctioned others to become poorer. In order to increase
the PRC’s efficiency and prosperity as a whole, unprofitable factories and busi-
nesses would be allowed to go bankrupt. The system of guaranteed employment
could no longer be sustained, he declared. “The iron rice bowl” was to be broken.
Understandably, people worried about the disappearance of their safety net.
At first, these concerns were expressed privately and hesitantly. As the decade
wore on, however, citizens began to take advantage of the less stringent controls
over freedom of expression, a loosening that Deng considered necessary to pro-
vide economic incentives. Letters to the editors of newspapers, journal articles,
and even protest marches became more common. Concerned with rising levels
of civil disorder, Deng seemed to back away from earlier promises of liberaliza-
tion and advanced the theory of neo-authoritarianism, meaning that the PRC
needed firm guidance from above in order to continue its development. Partially
obscured by the shock and horror of the Chinese government’s brutal suppres-
sion of the demonstrations in 1989 was the message that large numbers of the
PRC’s citizens were dissatisfied with important elements of Deng’s plan to build
socialism with Chinese characteristics. There was widespread agreement about
what was wrong with the present model, but little consensus on what should
replace it.
After the 1989 demonstrations, the government made a number of adjust-
ments to economic policy in an attempt to deal with the people’s grievances while
at the same time restricting their ability to express their concerns. It also blamed
the unrest on a small handful of counterrevolutionaries who had been misled by
foreign bourgeois liberalism. This was followed by a major propaganda effort
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 7
to convince people that such Western concepts as the separation of powers, the
theory of checks and balances, and human rights were inappropriate to China.
A number of Chinese disagreed, feeling that only when China adopted such con-
cepts would it be able to become a strong and prosperous power. Although much
about China had changed in the past 150 years, these debates were remark-
ably similar in tone and substance to those of the nineteenth century. The
ti–yong argument was again advanced: One cannot have Western-style economic
development (the practical manifestations) without the underlying freedoms (the
essence) that make economic development possible.
Coexisting with desires for more freedom, however, were profound feel-
ings of uneasiness over the culture of materialism that Western capitalism was
believed to have brought with it. Some people turned to religion, including faiths
of Western origin, for solace. Others looked back into the Chinese past for guid-
ance. There was renewed interest in both Buddhism and Confucianism as alter-
natives to Western commercialism. Having observed the deficiencies of Marxism
as the motivating force for modernization, some intellectuals began to search the
past for ways to insert a uniquely Chinese element into the Chinese revolution.
As these developments were taking place, Jiang Zemin chose to press forward
with economic reforms. For a variety of reasons, some of which were interna-
tional and beyond Jiang’s control, these reforms proved difficult to implement.
His successor, Hu Jintao, fared no better, with current leader Xi Jinping finding
progress equally difficult. A dissonant chorus of advice, ranging from those nos-
talgic for Maoism to advocates of popular direct elections, is emboldened when
economic difficulties occur.
As the legitimization of Marxism disappears, some people feel it is all the
more important to emphasize the Chinese nature of the Chinese revolution. This
same revolution aimed to destroy China’s feudal culture, however, so it is unclear
how this can be done. Proponents argue that unless some way is found, the Chi-
nese value system will be established on a dry streambed or a trunkless tree. The
search for a formula that will permit the modernization of the PRC in a manner
compatible with Chinese reality continues.
This book examines efforts to achieve modernization in the Chinese con-
text. There are, to be sure, a variety of different opinions on what constitutes
modernity. Several of these theories of modernization, and their implications for
the Chinese case, are discussed in some detail in subsequent chapters. Briefly,
some individuals concentrate on the end goals of modernization, such as control
over destiny, individual autonomy, and the acquisition of material goods. Others,
including all the leaders of the PRC thus far, would define modernization more
narrowly, in terms of increased levels of industrialization and higher standards
of living. Yet a third group favors a broader definition, including additional fac-
tors, such as the commercialization of agriculture, increased urbanization, the
spread of mass literacy and improved education, the development of mass com-
munication, and promotion based on merit. As people acquire a new sense of
being able to influence their own destinies, they will demand a larger share of
political power, and the modernized system will accommodate these demands.
8 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
This author uses the broader definition, believing that in practice it is extremely
difficult to achieve industrialization and higher living standards in the absence of
commercialized agriculture, urbanization, mass literacy, mass communications,
and a merit system.
in Chapter 4), but how decisions are made remains a mystery. Politburo meetings
are not televised except on ceremonial occasions, and politburo members do
not give interviews about the differences of opinion that arise in their discus-
sions. The memoirs of elderly or deceased leaders are sometimes published but,
with the exception of those recorded surreptitiously by former Chinese president
Zhao Ziyang while he was under house arrest and contrarian views expressed
by his nemesis, former premier Li Peng, they have a suspiciously unreal tone and
follow the current party line scrupulously, no matter what period in the past the
writer is discussing. Who, then, decides how much money and attention will be
allocated to which sectors of the society? In the absence of more specific infor-
mation, foreign analysts sometimes resort to ambiguities, such as “the party has
decided.” The CCP, however, is a large and unwieldy organization—as of 2017
it had 89 million members, so the party as such does not really decide anything.
Other analysts write as though the country’s leader makes all the decisions, as in
“Xi Jinping plans to re-redesign the structure of central government.” The PRC is
a huge country, though, with many problems calling for resolution each day. No
one person can actually make all these decisions. The party and Xi are used here
as shorthand: meaningful in the general sense, but potentially misleading unless
one realizes that there is a great deal more to the decision-making process than is
embodied in these names alone.
Because we do not know a great deal about the internal workings of Chinese
politics, people have been obliged to make educated guesses on the basis of the
facts available to them. Particularly during the early years of the communist
regime when hard facts were much scarcer than they are at present, analysts
resorted to such tactics as looking at photographs of the National Day parade
and other ceremonial occasions to see who stood next to whom and who was
missing. Sometimes, this indicated that someone had fallen out of favor (he was
standing further from the center of the leadership group than before) or had been
purged (he was not present on the parade’s reviewing stand at all). Differences
of opinion often arose over what one might conclude from this. If, for example,
several people who were associated with leftist causes were missing for a long
period of time, analysts expected that to be correlated with the implementation
of moderate policies in the country.
This, however, would be unusual. More typical was that if one person whom
China-watchers thought was associated with a particular policy would not be
seen in public for perhaps a month or two, one might conclude that he had been
purged. On the other hand, and given the advanced ages of many leaders in the
PRC, it was also plausible that he had died of natural causes. This, too, had its
pitfalls, since the dearly departed might suddenly reappear in apparent good
health. He or she may have been recuperating from a non-life-threatening dis-
ease, escaping Beijing’s less-than-salubrious climate for a while, or conducting a
discreet investigation in the provinces. Sometimes, analysts were able to corrob-
orate their hunches with gossip from within China, but even here they remained
on shaky ground. Like many countries in which citizens do not trust their news
media, the PRC has a lively and vivid gossip network. Frequently, however, it
10 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
period and checking this list against which generations hold which levels of posi-
tions in the leadership hierarchy, one may be able to predict policy interests and
predispositions.
For example, the first two generations to have joined the communist party
were almost all born and raised in the central Yangtze Valley provinces, came
from peasant backgrounds, had very little formal education, and had not trav-
eled much outside China. Hence, they were assumed to have xenophobic ten-
dencies: suspicious of foreign powers, and probably against close relations with
them, no matter how benign their intentions toward China appeared. The polit-
ical focus of these generations was likely to be local or regional. Militarily, they
would favor defending China by means of small-unit, irregular tactics, such as
those provided by guerrillas and local militias.
By contrast, the third and fourth generations entered the party at a time of
increasing specialization and division of labor between the party and the army
as well as within the party and the army themselves. After November 1931, the
party had a special school to train military officers. It also began to put more
emphasis on technology and less on guerrilla tactics. The people who joined the
CCP during this period came from a larger number of geographical areas com-
pared with those of the first two generations. They tended to be better educated
and were more likely to have traveled outside China. Adherents of the genera-
tional school of analysis saw them as being more oriented to the national scene
than to local areas. They were likely to be less suspicious of people who were
not from their own native place, more cosmopolitan, and more open to alliances
with other countries. Thus, a shift from a leadership composed mainly of the first
two generations to a leadership predominantly from the third and fourth gener-
ations should correlate with greater emphasis on professional specialization and
more internationalist policies. Those who entered the CCP at the time of close
relations between the PRC and the USSR during the 1950s and who studied in
the USSR may be assumed to be pro-Soviet in their outlook. An important ratio-
nale for the United States’ offering Chinese students educational opportunities
in the U.S. has been that they will return to the PRC with a good impression of
the country, which will aid Sino–American relations when these young people
become leaders of their country.
In a general sense, there was a great deal to recommend this line of analysis.
The first two generations did seem to have been more inward-looking than the
third and fourth, although it may be argued that there were few alternatives
available, given the fact that it was necessary to mobilize members—a local/
regional task rather than an international one—during the early days of the par-
ty’s existence. Later, the party’s championing of the idea of resistance to Japan
became a useful technique for drawing supporters. This may be construed as
reacting to an opportunity rather than the result of a mindset conditioned by
when one joined the CCP.
In addition, while some important members of the first-generation CCP
ruling elite did come across as xenophobic and suspicious of foreigners, others
did not. Mao—poorly educated, from the central Yangtze Valley, and not well
12 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
traveled—has indeed been regarded as distrustful of the outside world and preoc-
cupied with China’s domestic concerns. This, however, did not preclude him from
concluding an alliance with the Soviet Union in 1950 or from approaching the
United States at the end of the 1960s. Again, circumstances, rather than a mindset,
seem to have been operative. Moreover, it should not be forgotten that the other
towering figure of the first generation, Zhou Enlai, was a consummate cosmopoli-
tan. Since there will be people of different backgrounds and experiences belonging
to each generation, there will not be unanimity among them. A persistent minority
can sometimes change the views of the majority, and changing circumstances can
alter political perceptions as well. Former Chinese premier Li Peng, who studied
for several years in the USSR, may be seen as pro-Russian in some ways. However,
it is not necessarily the case that study in a given country will create warm feelings
about that country. One might come away from the Soviet Union having made
some close friends there but, at the same time, convinced from firsthand observa-
tion that the country’s political and economic systems were not worth emulating.
Hence, analytical schemes that depend on knowing the percentages of high-
ranking positions held by a given generational group can be misleading.
A generational form of analysis is still applied but in its post-Mao view refers
to the period during which a particular leadership group holds power. Hence,
the elite during the Mao years is considered to be the first generation, and, when
Deng was paramount leader, to be the second generation. Jiang Zemin and his
cohort constitute the third generation, Hu Jintao the fourth, and Xi Jinping the
fifth. Although it is acknowledged that there may be differences of opinion among
them, a common mindset is still assumed. For example, foreign commentary on
the leadership that emerged following the 1989 Tiananmen incident dwelt on the
officially released picture of eight octogenarians who were assumed to have sim-
ilar views on the need to suppress dissent and rein in the economy. It predicted
that not until these “eight immortals” passed from the scene could meaningful
political change be expected. When the “immortals” did pass away, however, the
hoped-for political changes did not materialize. Nor did these changes come with
the third, fourth, or fifth generation, better educated and more familiar with the
outside world though they were. Analysts now seem less sure about when, or
even if, such changes may occur.
Yet another theory of analysis, the strategic interaction school, saw the cru-
cial issue motivating Chinese politics as the PRC’s struggle for great-power sta-
tus. Strategic interaction analysts believed in the importance for the present day
of China’s humiliation in the nineteenth century by foreign powers, including
the so-called unequal treaties that were forced on it and the territorial conces-
sions that China was forced to make. Hence—and this represents a rather large
assumption—China’s main goal at present is to erase, or at least compensate for,
that memory. Thus, China’s behavior can be explained in terms of trying to gain
the respect—even the fearful respect—of the great powers.
Although this school starts from a historically conditioned premise, the
humiliations of the nineteenth century, specific cultural–historical factors actually
play very little part in its analytical scheme. It assumes that China is a rational
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 13
A third criticism of the strategic interaction school is that it gives too much
weight to foreign policy. The average Chinese citizen, like her counterpart else-
where in the world, is apt to be more concerned with wages, health care, and
children’s educational opportunities than whether her country receives proper
respect within the United Nations. And the Chinese leadership has a great many
domestic problems to cope with that preclude it from dealing exclusively, or even
predominantly, with foreign policy matters.
In sum, the Chinese elite continue to be concerned with maintaining and
enhancing what members consider to be their nation’s rightful place in the world.
This was seen in the outrage expressed when Beijing was not chosen as the site of
the year 2000 Olympic Games, and in the importance the government placed on
China becoming a founding member of the World Trade Organization. (Beijing
was later chosen to host the 2008 games, and the PRC entered the World Trade
Organization in 2002.) The generation that felt most keenly the humiliations vis-
ited on their country by external powers has passed away, and China has already
succeeded in winning the respect of those powers. Nonetheless, the leadership
has found that reminders of China’s “century of shame” can evoke powerful
patriotic emotions among the population when it wishes them to back a strong
foreign policy stand.
Another commonly heard theory during this period, which continues to
have adherents today, might be called the China-is-China-is-China school. It
assumes that communist China’s economic landscape, psychological mindset,
and bureaucratic processes are basically the same as those of imperial China.
The paramount leader is similar to the emperor in what he may or may not do:
unlimited in many ways, but also constrained by his fellow old revolutionaries
or, later, his fellow politburo standing committee members, who perform the
function of nobles; his wife (who may have a political agenda of her own); and
the bureaucracy, which is seen as behaving much like the mandarinate that pre-
ceded it. Parallels are found between Confucianism and communism, although
adherents to the China-is-China-is-China school generally argue that ideology is
of secondary importance: All Chinese governments will eventually act in a simi-
lar fashion because of the force of tradition and the necessity to deal with a large
population, scarce arable land, and water-control problems.
There is a great deal to recommend this line of analysis. Mindsets developed
over centuries are not erased by a revolution, and there are relatively few ways
in which to allocate modest amounts of cultivable land to an enormous popula-
tion in a manner they consider tolerable. Mao’s personal physician reported that
Mao read Chinese history books rather than Marx when preparing strategies. He
referred to his time with the chairman as “life in Mao’s imperial court,” noting
that Mao occasionally even referred to himself as the emperor. In planning to
seize power following her husband’s death, Mao’s wife consciously saw herself as
a latter-day embodiment of the powerful Empress Wu Zetian, even to the extent
of ordering copies of the woman’s gowns for herself.
Chinese citizens who are not members of the elite are also prone to finding
parallels with the past. Even though ordinary folk knew nothing of Madame
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 15
to do so. The most important concern of a faction is to protect its own base of
power while opposing accretions of power by any other faction. Because today’s
enemy may be tomorrow’s ally, factional alliances cannot remain stable. It is
therefore impossible for factions to make ideological agreement a primary con-
dition for alliance with other factions. There is an ongoing struggle for office and
influence: To stay in the game, factions must often cooperate with those with
whom they have recently disagreed.
Nathan believes that pre-Cultural Revolution China did approximate the
factional model, though conceding that lack of data makes it impossible to iden-
tify the faction leaders. He sees Mao Zedong’s decision to launch the Cultural
Revolution as breaking the rules of factionalism: By calling on students—the
so-called Red Guards—to destroy the other factions, Mao was mobilizing new
sources of power from outside the elite. The rest of the factional elite tried to
resist Mao’s extra-party offensive, demobilize the Red Guards, and restore the
factional conflict system of the first 15 years of the regime. In essence, they suc-
ceeded. Following the defeat of the fourth mobilization of the Red Guards in
September 1967, there was no longer any hope of using the Guards to purge the
party center of factionalism.
Nathan critiques his own model, pointing out that it simplifies by consid-
ering only one of many constraints that mold behavior: the organizational con-
straint. Ideological and cultural constraints are ignored. Insufficient data make
it impossible to decisively accept or reject the model even within the confines of
the organizational sphere. Also, the model does not explain why people adopt
a factional framework, how long they will adhere to it, or why they persist in
disagreeing with one another at all.
A variation on Nathan’s theory, the central–regional school, also empha-
sizes personal affiliations and loyalty in its analysis of Chinese politics. Adher-
ents point out that despite the unifying force of the imperial institution and an
elaborately conceived hierarchy of central government, China has nonetheless
had a long history of localism. The capital city was far away, communications
poor, and the imperial bureaucracy thinly spread. Typically, the cultural milieu
that one related to was not China as a whole but rather, in descending order of
importance, one’s village, clan, and province. As habitués of Chinese restaurants
already know, the various Chinese provinces have distinctive styles of preparing
food. They also have very different artistic styles and musical traditions. Differ-
ent dialects may actually be mutually unintelligible, even where the speakers live
in close proximity to one another. The minnan and minbei tongues of Fujian
province are probably the most striking example of this.
Chinese culture also includes a strong element of personal loyalty. One relates
to one’s superior on grounds of personal feelings rather than obeying because of
the position that he or she holds. In turn, the superior takes care of one in terms
of security and serves as a mentor in more than career terms. Superiors may, for
example, help subordinates find a spouse or perform intermediary functions to
settle a dispute that has nothing to do with the workplace.
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 17
Analysts who favor the central–regional school initially saw the Chinese
communist military, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), as the framework
within which these loyalties developed. In the process of coming to power, the
Chinese communists developed five so-called field armies. Because the CCP’s
road to power was through the rural hinterland, and because Japanese and KMT
armies occupied a number of contiguous areas, communication among the dif-
ferent field armies was sporadic. Hence, they essentially developed independently
of each other, with relatively little interaction. There were few transfers of people
from one field army to another.
For several years after the communist victory in 1949, China was divided
into six regions for administrative purposes. In each of these regions a given field
army predominated (one of the field armies controlled more than one region).
When transfers occurred, people often moved from one field army to another in
groups, thereby maintaining the previously existing loyalty network. The field
army hypothesis sees political behavior in China as a balance-of-power process
involving five major interest groups—the field armies—with the central elite act-
ing essentially as a power broker.
This theory, too, seems to have some validity in explaining past political
behavior. Lin Biao’s rise to power at the time of the Cultural Revolution was
accompanied by the promotions of a disproportionately large number of mem-
bers of his Fourth Field Army and far fewer promotions for members of other
field armies. After Lin’s fall from power, many of those who had risen with him
were purged, and a larger number of promotions for those from other field armies
occurred. The balance of power among the field armies that had existed before
the Cultural Revolution was essentially re-created following Lin’s death in 1971.
Central–regional theorists interpret these events as the Fourth Field Army trying
to destroy the balance of power and to dominate the military–political hierarchy.
Other field armies resisted what they perceived as an attack on their territories,
combining to force Lin out and re-establish the balance of power.
The statistical evidence bolstering the field army interpretation, however, is
not as clear-cut as it may initially appear. We do not know the field army affili-
ation of a large number of PLA commanders and commissars, and are not sure
how to factor in the approximately 15 percent of those whose field army affilia-
tion we do know who served in more than one field army. Occasional transfers
of officers from one field army into the bailiwicks of others may be as easily
explained on the basis of random selection processes as by a conscious effort to
achieve a balance of power among the military regions.
Although a purge of high-ranking Fourth Field Army officers occurred after
the fall of Lin Biao, a number of Fourth Field Army people retained their import-
ant posts, and several of those purged with Lin were from other field armies. The
fact that the dismissals began at the top suggests that Mao and other leaders were
more concerned with the loyalties of the military people at the central govern-
ment level than at the regional level. Finally, however convinced one may be that
the field army analysis is a satisfactory explanation of what happened during
18 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
the Cultural Revolution, it is no guarantee that field armies remain reliable pre-
dictors of loyalty affiliations in the twenty-first century. Ties formed during the
CCP’s rise to power in the 1930s did not appear to closely bind officers who were
born in the 1950s or thereafter.
Expanding the central–regional analysis beyond the military, Korean scholar
Jae Ho Chung sees the central leadership in an ongoing struggle to contain cen-
trifugal tendencies, even to the extent of imposing a single time zone on the
continent-sized country. After Mao’s death, many manifestations of this were
criticized as “blind commandism” and removed, though the leadership continues
attempts to find the proper balance between vertical control and allowing for
local diversities. He concludes that, while Beijing is in charge, localities listen to
it selectively. The central government must also mediate among regional factions
with different needs and aspirations.
Another variant of factional analysis, the political-cultural school, holds that
the central issue in the PRC’s politics is China’s struggle to assimilate Western tech-
nology without destroying its own cultural traditions. In a general sense, this is a
problem faced by all developing countries: how to modernize and industrialize
without Westernizing and losing their cultural “soul.” The problem has been espe-
cially painful for China, however, as the country has been unusually proud of its
own culture. Analysts who adhere to this scheme of analysis see China as sharply
divided within itself among groups who differ from one another in the level and
amount of what they are willing to accept from the West and in how much they feel
must be rejected. There is conflict among the groups, and political-cultural analysts
feel that this conflict explains a great deal of, if not most, Chinese political behavior.
There is some validity to this line of analysis. Even a cursory check of the
Chinese communist press over past decades will reveal the existence of conflicts
that are dichotomized in precisely this manner. There are frequent references
to the “struggle between the two camps”—the “counterrevolutionaries versus
the socialists,” the “Maoists versus the revisionists,” and so forth. Ideologues
of the early 1990s accused Western countries of plotting to subvert China
through a campaign of “peaceful evolution.” Among those deemed to have
been subverted were individuals considered to be far too Westernized. Some
playwrights, for example, suggested that Chinese culture should be discarded
and replaced with that of the West. One of their productions, River Elegy, is
discussed in Chapter 12.
Analysts formerly referred to these disputes as the red-expert conflict, red
being symbolic of those who adhere quite rigidly to ideology and expert referring
to technocrats who are willing to borrow Western techniques to a significant
degree. As Marxism faded, so did the use of the term red. The debate turned
back toward the nineteenth-century dilemma of what to absorb from foreign
countries and what of the Chinese tradition—however that is defined—to retain.
Although redness has been replaced by traditionalism, as seen in how to define
“socialism with Chinese characteristics,” this basic dichotomy remains.
A difficulty in conceptualizing Chinese politics according to the political-
cultural school is that it is often impossible to know whom to classify in which
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 19
group. This is partly owing to lack of data and partly because the same people
who have been classified by the Chinese media as belonging to one group may
get shifted to another group a short time later. Sometimes, circumstances have
led the person to change his or her position; sometimes, the party line will have
changed, leaving the person on the wrong side of an issue. For example, during
the Cultural Revolution, defense minister Lin Biao led the campaign to study the
thoughts of Chairman Mao. He was lauded as a leading leftist and typically iden-
tified as “Chairman Mao’s closest comrade in arms.” Indeed, the constitution of
1969 named Lin as Mao’s heir apparent. By 1971, however, Lin had been accused
of trying to kill Mao, and the media referred to him as China’s leading rightist.
When queried on this apparently complete about-face, the media explained that
Lin had been “left in appearance, right in essence.” Later, when the party line
shifted to being anti-leftist, Lin was again described as a leftist. Lin’s case is just
one instance, albeit the most spectacular example, of many. The important point
is that giving people labels like left and right, or conservative and radical, has
only limited value. These labels may not describe their behavior patterns, or even
their political beliefs, in any meaningful way. Clearly, this limits the usefulness of
the political-cultural school as a tool of analysis.
Yet another form of factional analysis is that of the bureaucratic politics
school. For those who espouse this methodology, the crucial question is to iden-
tify which part of the PRC’s bureaucratic organization has decisive power over
the direction and scope of sociopolitical change. This may be a certain ministry,
or one part of the armed forces, or some department within the party organi-
zation. The underlying premise of this line of analysis is that Chinese political
behavior is the result of inter-organizational bargaining for budgets, status, and
power.
This is certainly a phenomenon noticeable in other countries where more
information is available, and it is highly likely that this type of competition exists
within the PRC. The problem is that, given the information we have, it is very
difficult to identify the major players in this bureaucratic bargaining game and
the stakes for which they are playing. There is some evidence of jurisdictional
disputes between ministries on various issues. For example, an especially vig-
orous crackdown on crime in the mid-1980s was rumored to be the result of a
turf fight between the newly created Ministry of State Security and pre-existing
public security forces over which of them could cope better with the rising crime
rate. At best, however, these are vague clues, as opposed to analytical schemes.
It would be helpful to be able to examine the relative shares of the budget allo-
cated to each organization and department over a substantial period of time. Not
having the necessary supporting data limits the usefulness of the bureaucratic
politics school as a tool of analysis.
The palace politics school focuses almost exclusively on the issue of who will
succeed to the top position within the Chinese leadership. It assumes an ongoing
struggle among a number of people who wish to put themselves in line for the
succession—or at least move themselves closer to it. Adherents see this strug-
gle as personality oriented rather than rooted in policy disagreements, fighting
20 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
begins, albeit within a rather narrowly drawn system of political controls. The
atomization of individuals is only a temporary phenomenon: Social groups, not
necessarily the same as those that existed before the communist government
come to power, arise, and begin to articulate and otherwise pursue their common
interests. Their activities may not be organized in the same ways as are interest
group activities in liberal democratic regimes, but they are based on group identi-
ties and interests nonetheless. The more a totalitarian system tolerates this plural-
istic competition, the more group politics will pervade bureaucratic institutions,
and the more originally totalitarian systems will approximate liberal regimes.
Eventually, convergence may take place.
Those who favor this paradigm cite evidence that a civil society is emerging
in China, in which citizens feel free to voice their dissatisfactions with party,
government, and individual leaders. They form associations and groups that,
while in general loyal to party and government, seek to press them for changes
consonant with the agendas of their constituents. Economic development, and
particularly the economic decentralization that fosters this development, is gen-
erally seen as crucial. People who have become accustomed to making their own
economic decisions will soon demand to make political and social choices, since
these are often closely intertwined with economic decisions.
The PRC’s citizens have indeed become more publicly assertive in recent
years, and groups such as students, workers, and farmers have sometimes pro-
tested against government policies. This was most conspicuous in the mobiliza-
tion and deployment of groups around Tiananmen Square during the spring of
1989. As the government’s brutal suppression of these demonstrations showed,
however, democracy is not the necessary outcome of this assertiveness. Cer-
tainly, the political situation since the overthrow of communism in the Soviet
Union does not give rise to optimism that democracy is a natural successor to
authoritarianism.
Although adherents of the pluralist paradigm view incidents like the sup-
pression of the 1989 demonstrations as no more than temporary setbacks in
an inexorable march toward liberalism and a civil society, other analysts argue
that fundamental differences exist within the society that make such an evolu-
tion unlikely. The theory of communist neo-traditionalism put forth by Andrew
Walder agrees with adherents of pluralism that communist societies are charac-
terized by competition and conflict at all levels and that people have a choice
of means through which to pursue their interests. At the same time, this the-
ory affirms the validity of two major features of the totalitarian model. First,
neo-traditionalists agree that there are distinctive communist institutions that
make organized control possible; second, they argue that these forms of organi-
zation shape patterns of association and political behavior in distinctive ways.
However, in contrast to the totalitarian emphasis on disincentives to resis-
tance caused by fear and the absence of alternatives to the existing government
and ideology, neo-traditionalism emphasizes the incentives offered for compli-
ance. Walder notes that political loyalty is rewarded systematically: with career
opportunities, favored treatment in the distribution of scarce resources, and such
22 C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction
other favors that officials in communist societies are uniquely able to dispense. In
addition, the enforcement of the party’s ideology has the unintended, but import-
ant, consequence of creating a highly institutionalized system of patron–client
networks. These associations are composed of party loyalists and activists who
trade their support for the party in exchange for preferential career opportunities
and other rewards. Social atomization is replaced by the development of instru-
mental personal ties. Through them, individuals circumvent formal regulations
to obtain official approvals, housing, and other public and private goods con-
trolled by low-level officials.
Neo-traditionalism disagrees with the pluralist view that the “real” political
and social forces are group forces: The social network rather than the group is its
main structural concept. Neo-traditionalists reject convergence theories, arguing
that the evolution of Chinese communism will result in a historically new system
of institutionalized clientelism—in effect, a neo-traditional pattern of author-
ity based on citizens’ dependence on social institutions and their leaders. Ken-
neth Lieberthal takes this line of analysis further, describing an already partially
evolved model of fragmented authoritarianism involving policy making through
protracted bargaining among the top leaders and their bureaucracies, particu-
larly in the provinces. Through their control over personnel appointments, the
military, and key economic resources, the central authorities are able to influence
the behavior of cities and provinces. Still, the decentralization of the economy
has given these lower levels a certain ability to resist the central authorities as
well. Hence, analysis should focus on the relationship between the center and
the provinces and localities.
It has also been suggested that analysis should supplement its studies of the
relationship between the state and various social groups by considering how
these groups relate to each other. For example, as entrepreneurs have seen their
economic status rise and their ties to the state strengthen, workers’ economic
status has declined, and their ties to the state have weakened. This is apt to have
profound effects in shaping the sociopolitical dimensions of the Chinese state.
More recently, some scholars have challenged the applicability of these theo-
ries for analyzing China, arguing for what is known as Chinese exceptionalism.
To insist on paradigms developed largely, albeit not exclusively, for Western soci-
eties amounts to “methodological totalitarianism.” Chinese politics cannot, they
believe, be understood outside the frame of reference of Chinese culture, with
its different variety of state–society and central–local relationships. Critics argue
that China is hardly unique: Although every society has its particularities, the
logic of comparative political theory is applicable to all, since, as a value-neutral
scientific method of inquiry, it seeks to explore and explain general patterns and
regularities. They suspect that the party-state propounds the theory of exception-
alism to lend credence to what amounts, in essence, to the party line. The ruling
group has a clear vested interest in maintaining that Western-inspired democracy
is unsuited to China, with its allegedly very different Confucian value system,
and that a strong authoritarian leadership in the form of the Chinese Communist
Party is needed to prevent the country from descending into chaos.
C H A P T E R 1 ▸ Introduction 23
Conclusions
As we have seen, each of the theories discussed seeks to explain the formal and
informal rules under which the Chinese leadership operates, how they organize
themselves to deal with differences of opinion, how resources are mobilized in
support of a given end, what benefits accrue to the winners, and what sanctions
are meted out to the losers. Their emphases differ, encompassing history, culture,
ideology, personal power struggle, organizational theories, and the supremacy of
domestic or foreign policy factors. Some seem more relevant at a particular point
in time than others; none seems to have been an accurate predictor for the entire
post-1949 period. Although each theory has something to recommend it, none
is without its deficiencies. No single model can explain elite political behavior
sufficiently and one should be skeptical of analyses based exclusively on any one
of them. No one method of analysis is perfect, but the various different factors
that are collectively central to them provide us with a list of useful variables to
bear in mind when examining Chinese politics. Indicators such as the relative
balance between state and society and that between the central government and
lower level units as well as leaders’ family background, level of education, for-
eign travel, date of entry into the party, service in particular geographic areas
and/or ministries, and long association with particular persons provide valuable
data for analysis and the inherently imperfect art of prediction.
Basic Characteristics
First, China was one of the earliest sites inhabited by organized groups of human
beings. In the cold, dry soil of the Yellow River basin in north China, archaeolo-
gists have discovered skeletal remains, tools, and pottery dating from Neolithic
times. The rest of the area now known as China was inhabited by what would
later be referred to as barbarians. This small, core group gradually spread out to
take control of an area whose contours are roughly similar to those of present-
day China. Migration generally occurred in a southerly direction, along cultiva-
ble river banks, rather than toward the less hospitable north, with the original
inhabitants being either absorbed or driven into less fertile areas.
This raises the question of what characteristics set the Chinese—or, as they
normally refer to themselves, the Han—apart from neighboring ethnic groups.
One is that the Han possessed the sophisticated agricultural techniques necessary
for wet rice cultivation and silk production. Ironically, due to marked climatic
changes, neither practice can now be carried out in the areas in which they were
originally developed. The Han also developed a sophisticated written language
at an early date. Chinese may be the world’s oldest continuously used script.
Egyptian hieroglyphics were developed considerably earlier, about 3000 b.c.,
but fell out of general use in the third century a.d., and disappeared entirely in
the sixth century.
The records of Chinese civilization are relatively good. An early and sus-
tained interest in history and chronology is another characteristic that set the
Han apart from its neighbors. India, for example, also developed a highly sophis-
ticated civilization, but one that was relatively little concerned with chronology.
Originally, some of the earlier parts of traditional Chinese history were thought
24
C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition 25
MAP 2.1A Bronze Age China during the Shang Dynasty (c. 1523–1028 B.C.)
26 C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition
a golden age of perfection existed in the distant past, history was now cyclical.
A dynasty is set up by a moral man in order to rectify existing evils. The ruler
basically rules through presenting an example of virtue to be emulated by his
people, and the person who is best qualified to rule is the one who is most
moral. The first few emperors will fit this example, working very hard. After
that, decline will begin to occur: Emperors will become more pleasure-loving
and less virtuous.
A restoration, or mid-course correction, is possible. Eventually, however, the
moral quality of the rulers will decline again, and the dynasty will deteriorate still
further. Portents such as the appearance of comets, plagues of insects, drought,
floods, and barbarian invasions are the indicators of the onset of decay. Those
who are unjustly ruled will raise rebellions, and, when the quality of the emperor
is poor enough, one of them—presumably through a rebellion led by the most
moral man—will succeed. Its leader will found a new dynasty.
Unfortunately, in China as elsewhere, the existence of a theory influences
one’s perception of reality. In this case, the theory of history provided a mold for
the writing of history: The last emperor of a dynasty was always portrayed as
bad. There was also a belief that a short, brutal, and efficient dynasty would be
succeeded by a longer, benevolent one. The dynasty became the unit of history,
and most dynasties had a separate official volume devoted to them, with admin-
istrative organization, major personalities, and events recorded in meticulous
detail. There are at least 24 of these dynastic histories, depending on how many
one chooses to accept. These histories were typically compiled by the scholar-elite
of the succeeding dynasty (see Table 2.1).
C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition 27
listening to the barking of the dogs in the next village, but never to visit that
neighboring village. Intensely quietistic, Daoists meditate in order to search for
The Way. An often-quoted Daoist slogan advises that “the best form of action is
inaction”; a Daoist ruler would accomplish everything by doing nothing.
Legalists, with the eminent Lord Shang as their principal spokesperson,
insisted that the well-ordered state depends on a clearly enunciated rule of law
that the state must enforce regardless of who may commit a crime. They advo-
cated posting the laws of a city outside its gates so that all who entered would
be aware of proper standards of behavior. In contrast to Confucius’s image of
the sage-king eliciting proper behavior from his subjects by providing them with
a role model, the Legalists did not expect the people to do good by themselves.
Rather, the ruler would, through the use of rewards and punishments, make sure
that they would do no wrong. Legalist philosophy provided the guiding principles
for the Qin dynasty (221–207 b.c.). Although Chinese tradition does not remem-
ber the Qin fondly, the system of governmental organization and criminal law for
the next 2,000 years was basically of Legalist derivation.
The Logicians, or School of Names, vigorously debated the meaning of abso-
lute versus relative terms. Despite an intense and ongoing interest in philosophy,
China never developed a system of logic. In fact, the very name in use today,
luoji, is borrowed from the West. But the logicians seemed to be groping toward
a system of logic, as exemplified in the “Discourse on the White Horse” by its
leading practitioner, Long Gongsun. Its main proposition asserted that “a white
horse is not a horse,” indicating the realization that adding the adjective white
qualified the universal concept horse. The Logicians believed that only when
names had been properly defined could any proper system of government and
laws be set forth.
Yin–yang theory provided China with a cosmology. Yang, originally meaning
sunshine, came to represent masculinity, activity, heat, brightness, dryness, and
hardness, whereas yin was associated with the moon, femininity, passivity, cold,
darkness, wetness, and softness. The interaction of these two primary principles
was believed to produce all the phenomena of the universe. Yin and yang are
complementary so that when one extreme is reached, the other principle begins
to assert itself. The greatest of successes contains within itself the seeds of its
own destruction, just as the sun at midday is on the verge of giving way to night.
The diagrammatic representation of the yin–yang interaction is depicted on the
present-day South Korean flag. Yin–yang theorists were concerned with divining
the future through interpreting the configurations of the so-called eight trigrams,
each one made up of combinations of three divided or undivided lines. They also
devised prescriptions for good health through eating certain foods, some classi-
fied as hot and others as cold. Yin–yang principles had a brief popular revival in
the United States during the 1960s.
Various folk religions incorporating other forms of geomancy also flourished
during the Hundred Schools era. One popular belief was that the feng shui, or
spirits of the winds (feng) and water (shui), had to be placated; otherwise disas-
ter would ensue. A shaman would be brought in to determine the best site for a
30 C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition
building or a grave in order to make sure that ill fortune would not befall those
who commissioned the structure.
Buddhism is not properly a part of the Hundred Schools, as it arrived in
China somewhat later, in the second century a.d. But, because it contended for
power with the others, it is appropriate to consider Buddhism with them. Unlike
the other schools, which are indigenous to China, Buddhism had its origins in
India. Although many different sects of Buddhism exist, there is general agree-
ment among them that human suffering arises from the individual’s ignorance of
the nature of things. From this ignorance comes the craving for and clinging to
life, which binds the individual to the eternal wheel of life and death. Through
enlightenment comes emancipation, or nirvana. This search for nirvana is essen-
tial to Buddhism.
Eventually, Confucianism won out over its rivals and became accepted as
the state philosophy. However, in the process, it was fundamentally influenced
by the other schools. For example, yin–yang symbolism was absorbed by Con-
fucianism. Elements of Buddhism and Daoism figure prominently in the neo-
Confucianism that emerged during the Song dynasty (960–1279 a.d.), and feng
shui was incorporated as well. In addition to borrowing elements from other
philosophies, Confucianism was not exclusivist. One could be a Confucian
scholar, take time out for Daoist contemplation, and also be a practicing Bud-
dhist. This basic tolerance did not hold true for all faiths, as will be seen later.
It is important to remember that Confucianism is not a religion in the usual
sense of the word. Its concerns are with statecraft and with the proper relation-
ships among human beings. Heaven is mentioned only once, when one of Master
Kong’s disciples states that heaven hears as the people hear and heaven sees as
the people see. As a philosophy, it is unconcerned with the supernatural or with
life after death. Confucius is revered as a great teacher rather than worshipped
as a god.
with the empress and other concubines. There was also typically a large eunuch
population within the palace compound. In order to make sure that the imperial
sons and heirs were really the children of the emperor, only castrated males were
permitted in the parts of the palace where women lived. Because eunuchs were
allowed substantial freedom of movement, which the palace ladies were not, a
eunuch and a palace lady might ally for mutual benefit. The eunuch would pro-
vide the palace lady with information crucial to the advancement of her career
in return for material and status benefits if she succeeded. Eunuchs could—and
sometimes did—lead the imperial heir into a life of dissolution, opening the way
for another woman’s son to be named heir apparent. They might also administer
poison to their lady’s rival or to the rival’s son.
The imperial bureaucracy was an elaborate hierarchy staffed by those
who had passed the civil service examinations. From the fourteenth century
onward, the pinnacle of the bureaucracy was the so-called Six Boards, corre-
sponding to ministries in contemporary bureaucracies. Their respective admin-
istrative purviews also sound contemporary: The Board of Personnel granted
civil service appointments to those who passed the examination system; the
Board of Revenue collected taxes; the Board of Rites supervised the examina-
tion system, state festivals, and government-sponsored schools; the Board of
War appointed military officers from the ranks of those who had passed the
separate military examination system; the Board of Punishment provided the
court system; and the Board of Works was in charge of building, irrigation,
and “the produce of mines and marshes”—mostly salt, which was a govern-
ment monopoly.
A seventh entity, the Censorate, was a uniquely Chinese institution. It existed
to criticize the other organs of government, including the emperor. Censors had
to be extremely courageous; they received no immunity by virtue of their posi-
tion. Some were flogged to death by order of the ruler who was angered by their
complaints. Others might receive the gift of a silken cord or a lump of raw opium
from the emperor, thus conveying the imperial desire that they commit suicide.
That so many censors were willing to take these risks speaks highly both for
them as individuals and for the system that produced them.
Local government also had a well-articulated structure. Below the central
government were the provinces. By the eighteenth century, there were 18 prov-
inces in China proper; since then, more have been carved out of border districts
that originally had other forms of administration. Provinces were divided into
prefectures, which were in turn divided into counties, townships, and villages
or hamlets. The county level was normally the farthest down that the imperial
bureaucracy reached. By the time of the Qing dynasty (1644 a.d.), a typical
county might contain several hundred thousand people. Supervising so many
people, spread over a wide area, with roads that were often few in number and
poor in quality, and without modern communications, was exceedingly difficult.
The county magistrate had a staff of assistants, but they were far too few to actu-
ally administer the area under their jurisdiction. The county magistrate therefore
had to seek the help of prominent local people and organizations.
32 C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition
In effect, then, the magistrate governed by supervising the local power struc-
ture, which was not part of the imperial bureaucracy. There was a tendency to
preside passively, intervening only when it seemed absolutely necessary. Should
the magistrate deem the situation important enough to do so, a number of mea-
sures were at his disposal. These ranged from dispensing informal advice, to
calling in military forces to maintain order or gain compliance with imperial
commands. The local worthies on whom the magistrate relied were typically
members of a class known as the gentry. They were people of some wealth and
social cultivation. Sometimes they were wealthy and, therefore, able to provide a
son or sons with an education so that they might succeed at the examination sys-
tem. Or they might be an originally poor family with a bright son who had man-
aged to pass the examinations, become an official, and make his family wealthy.
The informal hierarchy of elders that every village had was another set of people
with whom the magistrate had to coordinate and work.
Yet another organization that might help the administration at the local
government level was the baojia. In good Confucian fashion, the head of every
household was responsible for the conduct of his family members. Since families
tended to be large and multi-generational, this was a substantial responsibility.
Every 100 households formed a jia, with one head of household designated as
head, and every 10 jia formed a bao, again with a designated head. Each of these
was responsible to those above him in the hierarchy for the conduct of those
below him. Although the incumbents could be punished for breach of responsi-
bility, none was paid for his efforts. This informal mutual security system did not
always work: If one can be punished for something one’s subordinates do, there
are essentially two choices. First, one can try hard to keep potential troublemak-
ers in line. Second, one can try to conceal what the troublemaker does. Often, the
second choice proved to be easier than the first.
Concealment was also the hallmark of the secret societies. These groups had
fanciful names, such as the Triads, the Yellow Turbans, the White Lotus, and the
Fists of Righteous Harmony. Members were initiated in an elaborate ceremony
that included such mystic rites as chanting, dancing, and animal sacrifice. They
claimed a Robin Hood role, but tended to finance it by running Mafia-like pro-
tection operations. Secret societies were adept at resisting whatever aspects of
central authority they did not like, such as tax increases. Not confined to partic-
ular local areas, they often had branches in other counties and provinces. When
angered at imperial actions or mismanagement they might stage large rebellions.
Secret societies were influential in toppling several dynasties.
Bandit groups operated in similar fashion, preying on travelers or demand-
ing protection money from merchants and peasants. The larger their numbers,
the more noticeable they became, and sometimes the magistrate was compelled
to use force to deal with them. Imperial officials had no doctrine of hot pursuit,
nor did they have any real incentive to resort to it: Bandits chased out of one
magistrate’s bailiwick became someone else’s problem. Bandits thus preferred to
operate from border areas, which had several advantages. First, they were far
from the county seat and the magistrate’s dwelling. Second, roads in border areas
C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition 33
tended to range from sparse to nonexistent, and the bandits had the advantage of
knowing the terrain. Third, should the pursuing force get too close, the bandits
could quickly flee into another administrative area. Members of secret societies
and bandit groups led lives of high adventure and, as a result, became a favorite
topic of vernacular novelists. Mao Zedong, an avid reader of such novels in his
youth, would later use some of the bandits’ techniques in overthrowing the Chi-
nese government of his day.
Faced with the enormous task of governing a large area with limited
resources, the county magistrate tried to accommodate the informal power struc-
ture so that it would look to his superiors as though his district were peaceful
and prosperous. In accordance with Confucian philosophy, lack of peace and
prosperity would indicate that the magistrate was not setting a virtuous example.
As a result, he might be removed. The upper levels of the bureaucracy were not
completely unaware of these factors, but they had their own superiors to answer
to. Various devices were tried to reduce the collusion between the magistrate and
the local power structure. One method was periodic transfers. Another was the
law of avoidance, whereby a magistrate was never posted to the area from which
he came so that his judgment would not be compromised by Confucian obliga-
tions to take proper care of his family members. Even so, this did not prevent
the local power structure from being able to circumvent or modify central gov-
ernment directives with reasonable frequency: The empire was too large, and the
bureaucracy too small, to exact complete compliance. In the words of a popular
Chinese saying, “Heaven is high, and the emperor is far away.”
The resulting system of local government, though very informal, was surely
not democratic, as the power structure was governed by rigid norms of authority
and status. It was not even true decentralization, since all local power was condi-
tional on the approval of higher levels. Nor was it really local autonomy, because
a higher level of government could intervene if it decided to do so. It would proba-
bly be most accurate to say that basic-level traditional Chinese government was an
operating arrangement, undertaken largely for reasons of administrative efficiency
and conservatism, in which local authorities were encouraged to control their own
areas, provided they did so effectively and without violation of imperial require-
ments. Gentry and other wealthy individuals, large clan groups, merchant and
crafts guilds, and even secret societies could thus exercise great power over their
subordinates and members. Possibly they could even influence the magistrate. But
their power could go only so far as a direct challenge to the magistrate’s power. At
this point, a higher level would have to be brought in to deal with that challenge.
Although the bureaucracy could be almost nonexistent at the local level, it
was quite top-heavy. There were many officials in the capital city, few of them
with intimate knowledge of conditions in the countryside. For this reason, the
bureaucracy tended to be out of touch with the people, a problem that the Chi-
nese communists would later take considerable pains to rectify. In common with
bureaucracies everywhere, it also had a tendency toward rigidity, with conse-
quent stultifying effects on society. In the Chinese case, a major contributing
factor to this rigidity was the imperial examination system.
34 C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition
and the United States. Traditional China also produced a number of fine novels
on topics ranging from the ribald to the introspective.
Interestingly, there is no tradition of literary and artistic protest. China pro-
duced no equivalent of The Vision of Piers Plowman, with its biting critique of
status differentiations, or Hieronymus Bosch, whose paintings satirized corrup-
tion within the established church. Aesthetics were virtually monopolized by the
scholar-official class, who painted and wrote poetry essentially as hobbies.
Society held those who painted for a living in low esteem: Culture was the
triumph of the amateur ideal over that of professionalism. According to the Ana-
lects, Confucius said that “the accomplished scholar is not a utensil.” It is worth
noting that the great flowering of vernacular drama in China occurred during
the Yuan dynasty (1260–1368 a.d.), when the Mongols suspended civil service
examinations for 78 years. The theater became a way for the literati to com-
pensate for their waning social prestige and wounded pride. To be sure, one can
find examples of literature being used for protest purposes. For the most part,
however, the elite protested through the established political channels—oral and
written protests to the emperor—while the lower classes expressed their griev-
ances by rebelling.
one, it did cause certain problems. Confucius never made clear what should hap-
pen when loyalty to one’s family conflicted with loyalty to the emperor. The
situation was not supposed to arise, since the desires of one’s parents were not
supposed to conflict with one’s official duties. Unfortunately, such situations did
arise—and with some regularity. The system tried to minimize these conflicts
using various techniques. The law of avoidance, whereby officials were not to
be posted to their family seats, has already been mentioned. In addition, the law
provided that officials be granted leave for observance of the elaborate mourning
rites demanded by Confucianism—a year in the case of a deceased father—which
involved wearing special clothing, eating only certain foods, and preparing an
elaborate funeral ceremony.
These codes notwithstanding, most matters were never brought to courts of
law at all. There was no concept of what the Western world knows as torts: In
order to bring a legal action, one had to accuse someone of a crime. The system
recognized parents’ authority to control and punish their children, and disputes
between family members were settled in accordance with an individual’s status
within the kin group.
In addition to the notion that disputes should be settled within family or clan
rather than consigned to the judgment of strangers, there was another important
reason that most disputes were not brought to the courts: to do so was an expen-
sive and risky venture. Bribery was the accepted way to influence one’s case. Fre-
quently, the county magistrate served as judge, and even if he were scrupulously
honest, his various subordinates would have to be paid in order to persuade them
to present the case: The magistrate had many other matters to attend to. This
practice of payments, known as “squeeze,” existed at all levels of government.
Since it was understood that the bureaucrats involved had inadequate salaries
and obligations to their own families, squeeze was not considered to be corrup-
tion unless the fee was exorbitant.
As to law in the higher sense, there were no guarantees against the exercise of
imperial power. Government could initiate, regulate, adjudicate, and repress as it
saw fit. Elites had a moral obligation to provide just and responsive government,
but there were no constitutional or legal safeguards to back up this obligation.
Enforcement depended upon, first, the bureaucratic recruitment process, which
was supposed to ensure that only men of superior virtue would be chosen, and
second, the bureaucracy’s own supervisory system. The latter was really a case of
self-regulation: Bureaucrats would have to agree to remove one of their numbers
whom they believed was not exercising his responsibilities properly.
The traditional political system was essentially free to accumulate and exercise
total power, although, to its great credit, it never made the fullest use of this right.
An elaborate system of checks and balances was developed despite the absence of
a constitutional framework. This system aimed not at safeguarding human rights
but at preventing one faction or group of bureaucrats at the imperial court from
annihilating the other. These informal checks and balances were sanctioned by
custom, not law. This arrangement did not preclude one individual from seizing
power, but it greatly increased the difficulty of anyone actually doing so.
C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition 37
The Military
By 500 b.c., China had produced one of the world’s greatest military strate-
gists, Sun Zi, whose Art of War is even now required reading in military acade-
mies worldwide. However, with a few salient exceptions, most notably the Yuan
(Mongol) dynasty, the military was not held in high regard in imperial China.
A popular saying was: “As one does not use good iron to make nails, one does
not use good men as soldiers.” If the ruler were virtuous, the people would be
prosperous and content, and there would be no need for a strong military. If the
people were not prosperous and content, then the ruler must be at fault, and it
might be necessary to make changes at the top. Hence, the army tended to be
strong at the beginning of a dynasty, having been used to overthrow the previous
incumbents. It would then be allowed to decay because it was no longer needed.
Some military presence was considered necessary at all times owing to the need
to deal with barbarian incursions. There was no navy to speak of, since China
was attacked from the sea only by occasional pirates. Even then, the strategy
adopted was often simply to move the coastal population inland.
Scholar-officials tended to dominate military command functions, especially
during periods of dynastic decline, and always did their best to undercut military
officers, who were usually not literate. This can be seen as another manifestation
of the belief in the supremacy of amateurism over professionalism, but it was
more than this as well. There was a tendency for the official class to want to
wrest control of all areas that might rival their influence. This same tendency is
noticeable in the campaign the scholar-officials waged against the impressive sea
voyages of the early Ming dynasty (1368–1644 a.d.). These expeditions were
run by eunuchs, who gained a great deal of imperial favor through the voyages.
Ultimately, the scholar-officials succeeded in stopping them completely.
respect for the military and produced some formidable fighting forces. This was
particularly true of northern groups, such as the Uygurs, Kazakhs, and Mongols.
Members of these groups did not accept Confucian precepts, so the Han could
not expect that the presence of a virtuous ruler on their own throne would deter
the barbarians’ depredations. A military force had to be maintained in order to
deal with them.
Various techniques were devised to deal with the barbarians in order to min-
imize the need for battle. One was to buy them off through such devices as con-
ferring official titles, with salaries, that entailed responsibility for ensuring peace
in their areas. Another was to play one group off against another, a stratagem
known as “using barbarians to control barbarians.” This did not, however, pre-
vent the barbarians from making alliances with each other against the Chinese.
On occasion, barbarians conquered all or part of Han China and established
their own dynasties. This was accepted to the degree that the conquerors accepted
Chinese cultural norms and assimilated themselves to Confucian precepts. The
Yuan dynasty, founded by Mongols who strenuously resisted adapting to the
existing system, was short-lived, and most Chinese regard it as unsuccessful. In
contrast, the Manchus’ Qing dynasty, whose leaders displayed considerable inge-
nuity in functioning as Confucian rulers while avoiding assimilation, lasted more
than twice as long and, until its last half-century, was far better regarded.
Foreigners could even command Chinese armies in battle, as did An Lushan,
a Sogdian, during the Tang dynasty, and Frederick Townsend Ward, an American,
in the nineteenth century. Culturalism rather than nationalism characterized the
Chinese empire: Birth and race mattered less than one’s willingness and ability to
conform to accepted standards of ethics, behavior, and dress.
for the success of hydraulic economies: Crops must be planted, irrigated, and
harvested within fairly narrow periods of time. Systematic observation, care-
ful calculations, and dissemination of results are needed. Hence, China needs a
strong central government.
In consequence, those who control this network of laborers, calculators, and
disseminators are well positioned to wield supreme political power. The resulting
regime will be decisively shaped by the leadership and social control required
by hydraulic agriculture. The state will be stronger than the society, and those
outside the ruling apparatus are essentially enslaved to it. This contrasts sharply
with multi-centered societies such as existed in medieval Europe and Japan, and
with their modern democratic incarnations, where the need for water control
was never so crucial.
In those other societies, Wittfogel argues, the state was effectively checked
and restrained by other strong and competing organizations, such as the reli-
gious establishment, craft and merchant guilds, and private owners of land and
industrial capital. Such political systems offer vastly greater protection to the
individual and also provide a basis for adaptive and progressive social change. By
contrast, the fate of hydraulic societies such as China is apt to be slow stagnation.
Critics have charged that Wittfogel’s analysis overemphasizes the importance of
water control. They point out that the emperor and his officials viewed the col-
lection of taxes, the administration of justice, and the conducting of annual sac-
rifices to heaven and earth as matters of far higher priority.
A fourth view is that China became modern during the midpoint of the Tang
dynasty, about 850 a.d. This is known as the Naito hypothesis, after Naito Kon-
san, the Japanese scholar who first articulated it. As previously discussed, the
term modernization can be defined in a number of ways. Naito’s major crite-
rion is that of social mobility: In a modern society one rises through merit, as
opposed to inheriting one’s status. This did actually happen in the mid-Tang
dynasty, thanks to the widespread institutionalization of the examination system
during that period. At about the same time, one begins to find military leaders
who had been common soldiers of peasant background, as opposed to the aris-
tocratic warriors who predominated in feudal society. Vernacular literature also
spread, supplementing Confucian treatises and Buddhist sutras. The position of
the commoner improved.
There is no doubt that all these phenomena took place, as Naito points out.
However, one may argue that China did not necessarily become modern because
of them. A bureaucracy chosen by merit does not in itself confer modernity on a
state. According to Max Weber, the eminent sociologist of bureaucracies, the hall-
mark of modernity is functional specificity: Bureaucrats have specific tasks, such
as supervision of engineering projects and preparation of the state budget. The
first group would have been trained in bridge building and dam construction; the
second in accounting. This ran counter to the primacy of amateurism over pro-
fessionalism in the Chinese bureaucracy. The examination system trained gener-
alists, not specialists. What it tested was the candidate’s ability to expound on
the Confucian classics, not his ability to build public works or analyze statistics.
C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition 41
One should point out, however, that there is a consensus that nineteenth-century
Great Britain was a modern state. Yet its bureaucrats were also trained as gener-
alists: A background in Greek and Latin classics was considered to be excellent
preparation for future leaders.
Another argument against the Naito hypothesis is that whereas modernity
includes the ability to rise through merit within a hierarchy, success in the Chi-
nese bureaucracy was heavily dependent on whom one knew. Assuming a person
was able to rise within the official hierarchy, he was also supposed to help those
who passed the examinations in the same year, and their children as well. A coun-
terargument is that the phenomenon of promotion on the basis of connections,
whether one’s own or one’s relatives and their friends’, is scarcely unknown in
modern Western societies, and the perception of obligation to help members of
one’s peer group is the very essence of the “old school tie” in Britain and the Bur-
schenschaft in Germany. The crucial element that kept China from modernity is
less likely to have been the absence of a modern bureaucracy than the country’s
lack of industrialization.
As we have seen, Confucianism was a rich and varied tradition. There were
different interpretations of the classics over the years, and the original philoso-
phy absorbed elements from other philosophies and religions. However, regard-
less of time or dynasty, Confucianism had a pro-agriculture, anti-commercial
bias. Peasants were considered to be the producers of wealth—that is, food.
Merchants were regarded as nonproductive parasites on society: dishonest folk
who sought to make a profit out of other people’s work through such schemes
as buying at a low price at one time of year or in one area and selling at higher
prices at another time or place. Neither Confucius nor his disciples saw any value
in the entrepreneurial function.
Those states that have succeeded in industrializing have done so by har-
nessing capital derived from a commercially marketable, agricultural surplus to
manufacturing purposes. The Confucian attitude toward merchants and their
42 C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition
activities made this virtually impossible. The socially sanctioned outlet for money
derived from the sale of produce was investment in land. The goal was gentry sta-
tus, not merely through possessing substantial landholdings but also by passing
the examination system or having a son or close relative do so.
In addition to being anti-commerce, Confucius was not favorably disposed
to the rule of law as we know it; hence, no codes that could regulate business
transactions developed. Merchants did exist, the Confucian attitude toward them
notwithstanding, but they could not protect themselves to a sufficient extent to
be able to compete with officialdom. Business activities were inhibited by the
need to pay bribes or taxes, often to the point of unprofitability.
A third basic ingredient of industrialization, the concept of progress, was
also absent in traditional China. There was no motivation to strive toward a
better age. Confucius perceived the golden age as in the past, during the period
that preceded the Warring States era (443–221 b.c.). History after this golden
age was seen as a series of cycles, as in the dynastic cycle. The virtue of rulers
and the prosperity of the country would wax and wane in the manner depicted
by yin–yang symbolism. Change certainly took place, but it was not regarded
as a good thing in itself—and the ultimate perfectibility of the society was not
expected. The aim was not progress but harmony, as represented by the Chinese
character for king: three horizontal lines, representing heaven, earth, and man,
joined by a vertical stroke through the middle (王). The king, through his virtue,
aligns heaven, earth, and man in equilibrium.
Science, the fourth prerequisite for industrialization, was regarded as unim-
portant and unnecessary. As is well known, the Chinese made some remark-
able discoveries, including the compass and gunpowder, many years before they
were invented in the West. In medieval times, their shipbuilding techniques were
far superior to those of the West. These skills made long voyages possible, of
which those of the early Ming dynasty are the best known. Confucius was not
opposed to science, but he viewed exploration and invention as trivial: It was
more important to cultivate one’s moral virtue.
Confucius’s emphasis on the veneration of ancestors also inhibited geo-
graphic mobility. It was incumbent on one to keep up the ancestral graves, and
the village occupied an almost mystical point of reference for its inhabitants.
This did not prevent some Chinese from venturing far and wide: Prosperous Chi-
nese merchant communities grew up in such places as Cambodia, Singapore, and
Indonesia many hundreds of years ago. Generally speaking, however, Chinese
tradition did not encourage geographic mobility, and even those who migrated
great distances often set aside funds to ensure that their earthly remains would
be sent back to the ancestral village for proper burial.
Confucianism might, of course, have adapted to industrialization. One could
easily look at medieval Europe, with its religiously mandated prohibition against
lending money at interest and fatalistic belief that because human misery was
divinely ordained nothing could be changed, and conclude that Christianity must
permanently prevent industrialization. Such adaptation, however, did take place
in Europe, leading to speculation about why this did not occur in China.
C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition 43
using the best pre-modern methods; the dotted line shows the proportion of
output needed for the subsistence of a given labor force. With land being con-
stant, potential surplus shrinks, first relatively, and then absolutely, as the labor
force grows. At the farthest end of the chart, adding inputs no longer results in
increased output. This trap can be broken out of only through the use of industrial-
scientific inputs.
Conclusions
To briefly summarize the many points touched on in this chapter: First, the opin-
ions of some Marxist-influenced analysts notwithstanding, China was not feu-
dal in the usual sense of the word, nor had it been for almost two millennia.
Second, there was a great deal of social mobility in traditional China—in fact,
an unusual amount for a pre-modern society. Hard physical labor and diligent
study had raised a number of paupers or their sons into the official class. Third,
C H A P T E R 2 ▸ The Chinese Tradition 45
China was not unchanging, although changes tended to come slowly and within
the context of tradition. Fourth, history was perceived as cyclical rather than as
marching progressively onward. Fifth, the Chinese state was culturalistic rather
than nationalistic. Acceptance into the society depended less on an individual’s
ethnic background than on his ability to assimilate Confucian principles. Sixth,
the imperial bureaucracy was hierarchically arranged and subdivided according
to function, but did not extend down to the level of local government. Seventh,
the individual was subordinated to his or her family group. The empire was
conceived as a family writ large, with the emperor as a benign, if authoritar-
ian, father. Eighth, scholars, administrators, and even the emperor himself were
expected to follow an ethical rather than a legal code of conduct. Western-style
individualism and the supremacy of law never became established, nor did the
personal freedom under law as represented by Western civil liberties and insti-
tutions of private property. It should be noted that legal safeguards of personal
liberty are relatively recent even in the West, and still far from perfect. Ninth, tra-
ditional China was based on noncommercial agriculture and ruled by a powerful
bureaucracy. Although politically centralized, China was economically decentral-
ized. Its structures were sanctioned by customs and ethical beliefs rather than by
religion or law. When traditional China lived up to its ideals it was a relatively
good system.
46
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 47
This changed dramatically with the arrival of foreign opium. More and more
Chinese smoked ever larger amounts. In addition to its deleterious effects on
the health of the population, foreign opium caused financial problems for the
government: A large net outflow of silver meant less prosperity, more unrest,
and a greater likelihood of rebellion—a further slide down the slippery slope of
dynastic decline.
The foreign intruders refused entreaties to stop shipping opium, pointing out
that China also produced it and that if they were to do so, demand would simply
be served by domestic sources. In 1839, an imperial commissioner at Guangzhou
(Canton) seized nearly three million pounds of British raw opium and flushed
it out to sea. Urged on by irate merchants, London dispatched a fleet whose
modern, steam-driven vessels and long-range guns quickly destroyed Chinese
defenses. This was the most decisive defeat the Qing (Manchu) dynasty had ever
received, though worse were yet to come. The settlements ending the Opium
War of 1839–1842 gave the foreigners substantial concessions in trade, tariffs,
right of residence, extra-territoriality, most favored nation status, and redress for
damages. Britain was also given Hong Kong island. These were the first of the
so-called unequal treaties, discussed in Chapter 1.
After signing, however, the Qing court delayed compliance, trying the
patience of the British and French governments. Jointly seizing on a fairly minor
incident in 1856 to recommence hostilities, they marched on Beijing, forcing the
emperor to flee. The 1860 Treaty of Beijing—actually a series of treaties, since
through the most favored nation clause, other nations participated in conces-
sions won by the victors—constituted the second set of unequal treaties. After
more than two decades of trying to ignore the barbarians, the court at last real-
ized that something would have to be done.
• the Grand Canal and some lesser canals that had been allowed to silt up,
essentially through mismanagement, were dredged and reopened.
• a new and generally successful tax was instituted to ease the government’s
revenue problems. Called likin, a tax of one-thousandth, it was too small to
make avoidance worthwhile and so proved easier to collect than other taxes.
• new, regionally based armies and navies were founded, funded by customs
revenues and likin. Efforts were made to recruit literate gentry as officers and
healthy young peasants as volunteers. Arsenals and shipyards were founded,
again on regional bases, to supply the new armies with better weapons. Offi-
cers of the new armies were warned against corrupt practices, such as padding
the payrolls with the names of deceased or nonexistent soldiers and keeping
the money that should have been paid to their actual troops.
• a school for the study of foreign languages was set up.
• a coal-mine was opened.
• a proto-foreign office was set up. None had existed before, as all other coun-
tries were considered too inferior to warrant it.
• army officers were sent to Germany to study military science.
• a group of students was dispatched to the United States to study at Yale
University.
Despite all these efforts, the Tongzhi restoration as a whole was a failure that
contrasted starkly with the success of Japan’s comparable effort. China’s neighbor
to the east had felt the pressure of the West even later than China. It was much
smaller than China, was much poorer in natural resources, and had a similarly
Confucian bias against commerce. Large parts of Japanese culture, including the
written language, had been borrowed from China. Although it was not widely
recognized at the time, some of Japan’s apparent disadvantages also had advan-
tageous aspects: Being smaller meant that new ideas and new technologies could
be disseminated more quickly than in China’s far-flung domains. In addition,
because the Japanese had borrowed major parts of their culture from China, they
were psychologically less averse to borrowing from the West.
Beginning in 1868, several years later than China, Japan’s Meiji restoration
had raised the country to major power status within a few decades. In 1894/1895,
Japan easily defeated its much larger neighbor, which symbolically marked the
failure of China’s program.
Why did the Tongzhi restoration fail while the Meiji restoration succeeded
brilliantly? One theory is that the Chinese program aimed at a genuine resto-
ration, whereas the Japanese were, in essence, cloaking a revolution in traditional
garb, the better to obtain compliance. In this view, trying to make China into
a strong, modern nation through restoring Confucian principles was doomed
to failure, because Confucianism was incompatible with the requirements of a
modern nation. It was not even nationalistic but rather cultural. Other factors,
such as anti-commercialism, the relatively low regard with which technology and
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 49
practical matters in general were held, and the belief that the golden age lay in
the past, have been discussed in Chapter 2.
The Tongzhi restoration did attempt some genuine changes, carefully ratio-
nalized as being compatible with tradition, and therefore cannot be too starkly
contrasted with the Meiji restoration on this matter. It was how the reforms
worked themselves out that was crucial, and here many of them were rejected
definitively, portending the certain defeat of the self-strengthening movement.
For example, officials understood well the necessity of efficient communications
for administrative purposes, as can be seen in their great concern for maintaining
the speed of the traditional courier service, but rejected the means for even faster
communication. When foreigners suggested building railroads and telegraph
networks to do so, the officials replied that the existing system was fast enough
for them. The only reason to send messages more quickly would be to facilitate
commercial transactions and, since commerce was despicable, there was no need
for railroads or telegraphs.
After being repeatedly refused permission to build a telegraph, a foreign con-
sul suggested building one that would connect only treaty ports, in order to cir-
cumvent the official objection that the telegraph system would adversely affect
China. At the same time, however, building the system in this way would reduce
much of its value to China. The consul was eventually permitted to proceed with
construction—provided that all the lines were immersed in water and all the
terminals were on ships.
The steamship company that had been established as part of the self-
strengthening movement failed dismally. Set up under the principle that mer-
chants would run the company under official supervision—a concession to the
prerogatives of the official class as well as a recognition of the inferior position
of the commercial class—it performed quite well at first. However, the com-
pany failed financially when its initial profits, which should have been reinvested,
were used instead to buy land or unproductive goods. Confucius would have
approved, but Adam Smith would not.
The Tongzhi restoration’s educational mission failed as well. After the stu-
dents had been at Yale for a few years, they were sent to meet with the newly
appointed supervisor of the mission. When the boys were ushered into his pres-
ence, they failed to perform the ketou (kowtow) of deference, as called for by
traditional manners. Taking this as an indication that studying Western ways had
caused them to neglect Chinese tradition, the supervisor arranged to have the
mission recalled.
The common theme of these examples is that borrowing from the West
was considered acceptable so long as it did not interfere with Chinese tradition.
Unfortunately, this attitude did interfere with China’s self-strengthening. In actu-
ality, unswerving adherence to tradition was in itself untraditional. Chinese tradi-
tion had never been rigid and unbending, changing somewhat—albeit slowly—in
response to the needs of the time. Neither manners nor technology remained the
same from dynasty to dynasty. Tradition was not an imperative “we must” but
rather a guide: “How could a reasonable person do otherwise?” Thus, insistence
on blindly following tradition actually ran counter to Chinese tradition.
50 C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists
Most of them felt strongly that China would have to be saved at all costs, even
if it meant drastically changing or discarding Confucianism. This change of pri-
orities marks an important step away from culturalism and toward nationalism.
Some also began to blame China’s problems on the fact that non-Han Chinese
occupied the throne.
One of the most interesting of the second-generation reformers was a scholar
named Yan Fu. Reading and translating the works of many Western philosophers
into Chinese, he originally aimed at a compromise between Western thought and
that of traditional China. Yan was struck by Herbert Spencer’s theory of social Dar-
winism, which applies Darwin’s concept of survival of the fittest to nations. Spen-
cer’s ideas seemed most relevant: Many Chinese scholars during the last quarter
of the nineteenth century did entertain doubts about their country’s survivability.
Eventually, Yan Fu came to the rather devastating conclusion that the Confucian
system could not be preserved and that, in fact, there was a fundamental flaw in the
entire ti–yong dichotomy: Western civilization contained an essence (ti) of its own,
of which the coveted items for practical use (yong) were manifestations.
As is common during times of widespread dissatisfaction with the status
quo, those who wanted change fell into three broad categories: reformers, reac-
tionaries, and revolutionaries.
The Reformers
The most famous of the reformers was Kang Youwei (1858–1927). After pass-
ing the first level of the imperial examination system while still quite young, he
became passionately interested in Western studies, especially science. He then
began writing to the emperor about the need for reform.
After Tongzhi’s death in 1874, Cixi chose her husband’s 6-year-old nephew
to succeed him. He reigned as the Guangxu emperor (1875–1908), though func-
tioning as little more than her puppet during his childhood. As time went on, the
empress dowager gradually took less interest in the affairs of government, and
Guangxu gained in stature. The emperor, perhaps flattered, since it was quite
unusual for people to pay so much attention to him as opposed to his aunt,
agreed to receive Kang in person, a rare privilege.
Kang’s technique for reforming China was to entirely reinterpret Confucius,
describing the great sage as a progressive and dismissing as forgeries those ancient
writings that conflicted with his point of view. Kang’s plan was to find support
for Western ideas within the Chinese tradition so that traditional Chinese, who
would otherwise be unable to accept ideas from the West, could do so with a
clear conscience.
In 1898, Kang managed to persuade the emperor to promulgate a daring set
of reforms. Called the “Hundred Days Reforms”—because they were in effect
only for that period of time—they included:
Unfortunately, Kang had persuaded only the emperor of the wisdom of these
reforms. The empress dowager, the nobles, and the officials, including those who
controlled military power, had never even been consulted about the changes,
much less consented to them. Seeing their status threatened by Kang’s reforms,
these influential groups agreed that both Kang and the emperor would have to
be dealt with. Rumors of Guangxu’s ill health began to circulate, and the empress
dowager, professing great reluctance, stepped in to conduct government affairs
again. Helped by a leading military commander Yuan Shikai, she effected a coup
d’état. Although Kang escaped to Japan, a number of his followers were exe-
cuted. Guangxu was put under the equivalent of house arrest, and the reforms
were rescinded.
The Reactionaries
The failure of the Hundred Days Reforms weakened the reform movement while
strengthening the more extremist forces of ultraconservatism and revolution. The
ultraconservatives made their move first. Many Qing officials began to support,
at least tacitly but sometimes openly, a violently xenophobic movement. The lit-
eral translation of the movement’s Chinese name, Yihetuan, is “Fists of Righteous
Harmony,” but Westerners referred to its practitioners as Boxers because the
ritual calisthenics they practiced somewhat resembled shadow-boxing.
The Boxers’ leader believed he had received a command from the Jade
Emperor, a Daoist deity, to kill all foreigners. They stalked and murdered West-
ern missionaries, Chinese Christians, and foreign officials, often horribly mutilat-
ing them. The empress dowager played a delicate game: encouraging the Boxers
covertly while publicly deploring their actions.
In 1900, the Qing government declared war on the foreign powers, and the
Boxers laid siege to the foreign legation sector in Beijing. After two difficult
months, the siege was lifted by an allied force from eight foreign nations. Its
arrival forced Cixi, dressed as a peasant, to flee from the capital in a crude cart.
Through no fault of her own, the empress dowager had not been outside the
imperial palace since she was a teenager. The condition of the Chinese country-
side therefore came as a shock. This experience, the death of many prominent
ultraconservatives, and the humiliating settlement exacted by the foreign powers
left Cixi with little choice but to institute reforms.
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 53
Over the next few years, many of the reforms that Kang Youwei had called for,
including the establishment of a regular foreign office and the abolition of many
sinecure positions, were instituted. The examination system, in both its civil and
military forms, was ended altogether. Traditional Confucian academies were con-
verted into Western-style universities, and students were encouraged to go abroad
to learn. Provinces were told to establish Western-style military academies to train
officers rather than, as in the past, recruit them through the military examination
system. A Ministry of Education and a Ministry of Police were established. How-
ever, the reforms may have come too late. In 1908, realizing that her end was near,
Cixi had the Guangxu emperor poisoned and arranged for yet another small child
to assume the throne. She died the next day. In 1911, the dynasty itself fell.
The Revolutionaries
Sun Yat-sen, leader of the forces of revolution, was born to a poor family in
Guangdong province, not far from Hong Kong, in about 1866. His elder brother
went to Hawaii as a common laborer, prospered, and sent for his sibling. Enrolled
in one of the most expensive and prestigious Western-style schools in Honolulu,
young Sun excelled in English and declared his intention to become a Christian.
Unhappy with the conversion, his brother sent Sun home, where Sun promptly
destroyed the idols in the village temple. After this scandalous act of civic des-
ecration Sun’s father packed him off to Hong Kong, where he formally became
a Christian and earned his medical degree. He also began to advocate the over-
throw of the Qing.
In 1894, shortly after the outbreak of the Sino–Japanese War, Sun founded
his first revolutionary society, the Xingzhong Hui, or Revive China Society, with
some friends. The society advocated establishing schools to educate the masses,
newspapers to help them become good citizens, and industries to improve
their standard of living. Among those who joined were a financially successful
American-educated Chinese businessman named Charles Jones Soong and his
wife. Sun Yat-sen later married one of the Soong daughters.
The revolutionaries tried to smuggle arms and dynamite into China from
Hong Kong but failed. Sun managed to escape not only this but several other
efforts to apprehend him. He began to travel around the world raising money,
mainly from among overseas Chinese communities, to support the revolution.
In 1897, Qing secret agents caught Sun in London and imprisoned him in
the Chinese legation there, pending the Qing government’s authorization of
the money for his passage back to certain death in China. Ironically, the very
inefficiency that Sun railed against saved his life. While the wheels of Qing
bureaucracy creaked slowly, Sun convinced a chambermaid that he would be
executed because he was a Christian, and she agreed to get a message to one
of his former medical school professors. Finding the British government unin-
terested in interfering with internal Chinese affairs, the professor turned to
London’s yellow press. Their sensationalized story of a persecuted Christian,
to whose plight Her Majesty’s government was utterly indifferent, created
54 C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists
sufficient official embarrassment that Sun was eventually released. The incident
also made him a celebrity.
Sun continued his fund-raising activities and refined his ideology. In 1905, he
founded a new organization, the Tongmeng Hui, or Alliance Society, which was
later to become the Kuomintang (KMT), or Nationalist Party. It had four slo-
gans: Drive out the Manchus, recover China for the Chinese, establish a repub-
lic, and equalize landownership. Sun described his country as a “sheet of loose
sand,” with the individual particles rolling over each other in response to exter-
nal forces. His new organization was intended to cement these pieces together in
order to form a counterforce capable of resisting these forces.
In 1911, in the Yangtze River port of Wuhan, one of the Tongmeng Hui’s
homemade bombs exploded by accident. With the location of their arsenal thus
revealed, society members had to fight to protect themselves. This provided the
spark for the overthrow of the Qing dynasty: As news of the Wuhan uprising
spread, it roused others to action in many different parts of the country. Sun
himself was on a fund-raising trip in the United States at the time, and learned
about the revolution from a newspaper.
The Qing court turned for help to Yuan Shikai, the general Cixi had used to
put down the Hundred Days Reforms in 1898. However, the court, fearing that
Yuan had become too powerful, had dismissed him in 1909 on totally specious
grounds of ill health. The general therefore had little incentive to rush into the
fray, and informed the court that unfortunately his ill health prevented him from
commanding armies. Meanwhile, Manchus were being massacred throughout
China. After extensive bargaining with both the court and the revolutionaries,
Yuan Shikai exacted his compromise: The Republic of China was founded, with
himself as president.
The 1911 revolution was better at tearing down than building up. The aboli-
tion of the traditional examination system had meant the end of the scholar-official
class that had provided such an important support for the dynasty and undermined
the basis of the gentry class, which had been an important factor in the stability
of China’s vast rural areas. This left a virtual administrative vacuum in the coun-
tryside. In addition, students now attended Western-style universities in China’s
major cities. This outflow of intellectuals meant less understanding of the problems
of China’s rural areas—which then constituted about 90 percent of the country—
than had been the case before. The gap between the Westernized city dweller and
the Chinese peasant widened, compounding the problems of government.
The connection between civilian government and the military had deterio-
rated as well. The professional officers turned out by the new provincial military
academies founded by the empress dowager’s decree were more likely to feel
loyal to their regional commanders than to the central government.
While peasants raised their crops in much the same way that their ancestors
had, intellectuals gathered in university common rooms and urban teahouses
to discuss ideologies. Sun Yat-sen’s infant KMT could not provide a check on
Yuan Shikai, who grew increasingly autocratic, even attempting, unsuccessfully,
to make himself emperor. Yuan died in 1916, ushering in a period of warlordism
as various military leaders vied with each other to succeed him.
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 55
victory was expected to mean, at the very least, the return of the area in Shan-
dong province that China had been forced to lease to Germany.
The merits and drawbacks of differing social and political systems were
debated in a number of newly founded journals. Neither capitalism nor com-
munism had much initial appeal, the latter because Marx himself had felt it
inappropriate for any but the most developed countries. Anarchism had many
advocates—including, at one point, the young Mao Zedong. Most intellectuals
were sympathetic to socialist ideas, particularly the moderate forms espoused
by eminent British philosopher Bertrand Russell, and John Dewey, an American
known for his advocacy of pragmatism. Echoing this message, prominent Chi-
nese intellectual Hu Shi advocated the slogan “more study of problems and less
talk of isms.”
The feelings of hope and optimism that pervaded this period received a rude
shock on April 30, 1919, with the announcement of the terms of the Versailles
Treaty that formally ended World War I. Rather than returning Shandong to
China, the treaty awarded it to Japan, which had also been on the victorious
side in the war and claimed Shandong as its prize. Chinese patriots were hor-
rified to learn that their country’s delegate had acquiesced in this abomina-
tion, undoubtedly because he felt unable to do anything else: The Japanese had
already taken Shandong from the Germans in 1914. Yet another shock was
finding out that, during the war, the Chinese government had secretly agreed to
most of the humiliating Twenty-One Demands Japan had presented it with in
1915. The Versailles Treaty destroyed the faith that many of the new intelligen-
tsia had placed in the West.
On May 4, 1919, several thousand students demonstrated in Beijing. A scuf-
fle with police ensued, with some injuries resulting. One student subsequently
died of his wounds, setting off a nationwide strike in which the students were
joined by merchants and other members of the new urban middle class. Work
strikes, anti-government harangues, and boycotts of Japanese goods continued
for six weeks; Japanese nationals were accosted and beaten. Finally, on June 12,
the Chinese cabinet resigned. If the Versailles Treaty had disillusioned Chinese
intellectuals about the West, the May Fourth movement showed them what a
group of dedicated activists could accomplish. The May Fourth generation was
a generation in revolt against many aspects of its culture, and the movement had
effects in a number of fields, including a renewed attack on the Confucian family
system and an impetus toward the vernacular written language. It also resulted in
a rejuvenated KMT and in the founding of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Since the KMT and the CCP were to coexist, usually not peacefully, in differing
but always complicated relationships for many years, it is important to under-
stand these interactions as well as the plans that each had for China.
The Kuomintang
While Yuan Shikai’s successors vied for power in northern China, Sun Yat-sen’s
KMT supporters made their way to Guangzhou, capital of Sun’s home province
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 57
exploitation of one group by another simply would not occur. Moreover, Marx
promised immediate results, which seemed far more preferable to the time-
consuming gradualism advocated by people like John Dewey. An apocalyptic
revolution would sweep away problems. In addition, the founding of the Soviet
Union in what had been regarded as one of Europe’s most industrially backward
areas—and much of whose land area was located in Asia—seemed to indicate
that China could have such an apocalyptic revolution, despite its lack of indus-
trialization. A number of prestigious intellectuals became attracted by a Marxist
solution for China’s problems, as were several less prestigious figures, including
a young clerk at the Beida library named Mao Zedong.
Mao was born in 1893 to a rich peasant family in Hunan. His strict father
sent him to a Confucian academy for a traditional education. Resistant from the
outset, young Mao hid bandit novels behind the Confucian texts and read those
instead. He also refused to consummate the marriage his father, following tradi-
tional practices, had arranged for him. One of Mao’s earliest writings, prompted
by the suicide of a young woman who chose suicide rather than an arranged mar-
riage to a man she did not love, concerned the evils of the traditional family sys-
tem. He was also intensely concerned with the plight of his country, and devoted
much thought to discovering the reasons for China’s weakness. Another of his
early writings castigates the traditional distaste for physical labor. A lifetime of
indolence, Mao argued, creates weaklings; a nation of weaklings is a weak nation.
In the wake of the Bolshevik Revolution and the May Fourth Movement, Mao
found in Marx a quick solution to strengthening China.
The suddenness of the conversion of this group had important implications
for the future development of communism in China. Its members had never sys-
tematically studied Marxism. Early Chinese communists were thus quite unlike
European and Russian Marxists, who typically spent years studying and debating
the fine points of Marxist theory before they decided to participate in the kinds
of activities indicated by the communist worldview. The group around Chen
and Li first became committed to a course of action to effect a Marxist-style
revolution; only later did they accept even the basic assumptions of the Marx-
ist worldview—for example, Marx’s internationalism. Communism’s appeal to
Chinese intellectuals was that it provided an immediate solution for China. In
addition, since its members had no strong attachments to Marxist formulations,
they found it relatively easy to change these formulations to fit the needs of the
Chinese situation. This gave Chinese communism a certain amount of flexibility,
but would later lead to debates on what was orthodox and what was not: One
person’s idea of creative adaptation of the sacred texts may be another person’s
definition of revisionist heresy.
Initially, this was not a major problem: On July 1, 1921, 12 people arranged
to meet quietly in Shanghai’s French quarter, where they were less likely to be
harassed by the Chinese authorities. Here, the CCP was formally founded, with
delegates arguing about such questions as whether to cooperate with the bour-
geoisie and, if so, how much. They reached a consensus that the party should
work toward the eventual achievement of a dictatorship of the working class but
62 C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists
that the party must always control the gun instead of the gun controlling the
party. At Jiangxi also, Mao began to work out the principles that would later
become known as People’s War. Acting on traditional Chinese wisdom that “the
army is the fish and the people are the water; the fish cannot swim without
the water,” Mao tried to enlist the entire population in support of the military.
The military was to pay a fair price for anything it took from the people; harass-
ment of civilians could be, and sometimes was, punished with death. The tech-
niques of guerrilla war were developed, with slogans such as “enemy advances,
we retreat; enemy retreats, we pursue.”
The rudiments of administration were set up: government offices, schools,
and medical facilities. While the soviet’s constitution proclaimed it a democratic
dictatorship of the proletariat and peasantry, in reality the CCP monopolized
power, with not even the semblance of a coalition. In addition, its proletariat was
confined to village artisans and handicraftsmen.
A radical-sounding land reform law was also less than it seemed. Landlords
and rich peasants managed to retain political authority by declaring their loyalty
to the new regime. Hence, they were able to control the implementation of land
reform, either completely avoiding the confiscation of their land or arranging to
have the best land allocated to themselves. This did not satisfy the poor peas-
ants, whose continuing demands led to repeated redistributions. More than once,
the government had to stop a redistribution in order to save crop production.
The Jiangxi soviet exerted relatively tenuous control over the scattered mountain
areas that were nominally under its jurisdiction.
Mao’s soviet faced external problems that were just as troublesome as those
of internal management. There was a great deal of interference from the CCP’s
politburo in Shanghai, which was concerned with maintaining a link, however
tenuous, with the proletariat in whose name the revolution was to be fought.
The Comintern had conferred the CPP leadership on a group of people known
as the “Returned Student” group or “the Twenty-Eight Bolsheviks”: young party
members who had studied at Moscow’s Sun Yat-sen University. Mao and his
supporters considered this group to be almost as out of touch with Chinese
reality as their Soviet mentors and tried to ignore them as far as possible. In
1932/1933, Chiang Kai-shek’s repression forced the Central Committee to move
its headquarters from Shanghai to the Jiangxi soviet. Some of the Returned Stu-
dent group received influential positions there, consonant with Mao’s tendency
during this period to absorb rather than eliminate rivals. However, their leader,
Mao’s chief nemesis within the group, was sent back to Moscow as China’s dele-
gate to the Comintern.
The Central Committee’s relocation to the Jiangxi soviet marked a formal
end to the CCP’s urban link and also a sharp drop in the degree of the USSR’s
control over the CCP. The claim to an urban base, and the degree to which the
Soviet Union exercised control over the communist movement in China, had
been weakening for some years. Comintern advisers lamented that, despite their
best efforts, what had started out as a proletarian revolutionary movement had
degenerated into a typical Chinese peasant rebellion. Such disillusionment with
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 65
the CCP led Stalin to refer to the Chinese communists as “margarine commu-
nists” or “radish communists”: red on the outside but white within.
To summarize the important events of the Jiangxi period: First, it saw the
development of the technique of building up rural base areas from which to
begin the takeover of China and the abandonment of the technique of urban
insurrection to achieve this end. Second, a regular army was created to aid in this
task. Third, the CCP became increasingly independent of ideological direction
from the Soviet Union. Fourth and finally, Mao Zedong rose to a position of de
facto pre-eminence in the CCP although he was not yet formally acknowledged
as its leader.
there. This turned out to be ill advised, since it intruded on the turf of a number
of landlords and turned them against the communists. Whereas their attitude
had previously been that the KMT and CCP were equally bad, the landlords
now decided to support the KMT. During the fifth encirclement campaign,
Chiang adopted a strategy of building blockhouses in an ever-tightening cir-
cle around the soviet, and it was landlord control of the baojia system that
provided the manpower to build these blockhouses. As the blockhouse strat-
egy began to succeed, the Jiangxi soviet experienced acute shortages of med-
icine, cloth, kerosene, and even salt. However, as the KMT’s net grew tighter,
it became apparent that the blockhouses were not being built in a complete
circle according to plan. Here again, the piecemeal way in which the KMT had
unified China inhibited its strategy. To the east and north of the Jiangxi soviet,
units who were loyal to the KMT built blockhouses as ordered. But areas to the
south and west of the Jiangxi soviet were controlled by warlords who wanted
to overthrow Chiang. They built no blockhouses and kept their military forces
concentrated in county seats.
This gap in the blockhouse circle allowed the communists to break out,
abandoning the Jiangxi soviet and beginning the arduous trek across China that
is known to history as the Long March. In October 1934, an estimated 100,000
men and 35 women, one of them Mao’s pregnant third wife, crossed Jiangxi
province and entered Hunan. Later communist writings have glorified the march,
describing participants’ courageous struggle against strong resistance. They also
allege that the reason for the march was to fight Japan. Foreign scholarship,
however, indicates that about 70 percent of the troops deserted relatively early
on, and that it was fear of annihilation by the KMT rather than a desire to fight
Japan that motivated the Long March.
Efforts at mythologizing the Long March notwithstanding, the fact that even
a small percentage of the group survived represents a triumph over adversity. The
KMT’s efforts at annihilation were a minor part of the CCP’s problems. Chiang
Kai-shek needed to be concerned with keeping up the strength of his own troops
vis-à-vis potential warlord rivals, and he therefore tried to destroy the Red Army
with minimal involvement of his own units. In several instances, warlords who
likewise did not wish to weaken themselves by fighting the communists simply
withdrew and allowed the Long Marchers to pass through. However, other haz-
ards awaited the CCP. The march had begun in October and passed through
wild, mountainous terrain during the coldest months of the year. The locals were
generally not hospitable. Often, they were members of ethnic minorities who had
been pushed into marginal lands by the expansion of the Han Chinese state (see
Chapter 2) and were quite resentful of the Han. The marchers were set upon by
Yi snipers with rifles, had boulders rolled down on them by Tibetans as they filed
through narrow mountain gorges, and were attacked by skilled Muslim cavalry-
men who despised infidels.
The progress of the Long March was further impeded because its leaders had
no clear destination in mind (Map 3.2). Having failed in an attempt to link up
with another, smaller soviet in northern Hunan province, the march turned west
to Sichuan. In January 1935, the exhausted survivors decided to rest in a desolate
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 67
area of Guizhou province called Zunyi. It was here that Mao Zedong, whose
career had suffered as a result of the poor results his military strategy had yielded
in 1931, called for an enlarged conference of the CCP’s politburo. Supported by
several of the party’s important military figures, he emerged as the dominant fig-
ure in the politburo. The Zunyi conference was the great turning point in Mao’s
career. Although the wisdom of his decisions would sometimes be challenged, he
remained the party’s dominant figure until his death in 1976.
Finally, in October 1935, almost exactly a year after the Long March began,
an emaciated band of between 7,000 and 10,000 persons straggled into north-
ern Shaanxi, where a small communist base area centered in the city of Yan’an
already existed, We have no accurate statistics on how many died en route and
how many deserted, but even accepting the higher number of arrivals at Yan’an
would amount to less than 10 percent of those who left Jiangxi a year before.
Since the total includes some people who became impressed with the communists
en route and joined the Long March while it was in progress, the number of orig-
inal marchers was even smaller.
68 C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists
party controlled the gun, or vice versa, was moot. The majority of these leaders
had no formal military education, but gained valuable on-the-job training in this
hostile environment of landlords—some of whom had their own armies—plus
the KMT and the Japanese.
The Xi’an agreement did nothing to allay the distrust that the CCP and KMT
had for each other, and each seemed more concerned with countering the other
than with fighting the Japanese. For example, by 1938, the Eighth Route Army
had moved into Shandong province, beyond the territory the KMT government
had assigned to it, and the New Fourth Army began organizing the population
in the Jiangsu–Zhejiang–Anhui area, which was also beyond the scope of the
agreement. Chiang Kai-shek became increasingly concerned, with adverse effects
on the functioning of the united front.
Meanwhile, the CCP began functioning as a legitimate government. While
Shaan-Gan-Ning was not the party’s only base area, it was the only one where
conditions were stable enough to allow the CCP’s programs to be carried out
with any consistency. Other areas, often located behind Japanese lines, had to
be concerned with survival as a first priority. These bases took general direction
from Yan’an but, since they had only minimal ability to communicate, exercised
a significant degree of autonomy.
The techniques of mass mobilization, already seen in earlier CCP efforts
to organize workers and, subsequently, peasants, were further developed and
refined during the Yan’an period. Partly because of Leninist influence and partly
because of the persecution to which it had been subjected, the CCP was a secre-
tive, elite organization. Yet it wanted to encourage popular participation in its
programs. One of the ways in which this was done was to create mass organiza-
tions, structured to channel the energies of specific groups within the population.
There were, for example, a women’s group, a youth organization, and peasant
and merchant federations. The goal was to have the entire population, including
the lowest levels, involved in and supportive of CCP programs.
The first of the party’s programs to be carried out after the formation of the
united front was elections. These had enormous significance, both domestically
and internationally. Even before the 1911 revolution, many Chinese intellectuals
had come to believe that powerful nations were democratic nations and that
holding competitive elections was an important component of democracy. For-
eign observers were impressed that a communist party would encourage and
permit free elections, thereby contributing to the impression that CCP members
were communists of a different—and infinitely preferable—sort.
The election law called for universal, direct, equal suffrage by secret ballot
to all those over 16 years of age, regardless of social class. Rhetoric stressed Sun
Yat-sen’s Three Principles of the People rather than Marxist–Leninist class strug-
gle. Mass organizations were encouraged to nominate and campaign for their
candidates. Discussion meetings were held in the villages and townships, with the
aim of getting people to discuss local issues and state their opinions. For peasants
who had never participated in elections before (indeed, some of them had never
even heard of the concept), this was an important educational technique.
C H A P T E R 3 ▸ Reformers, Warlords, and Communists 71
1930s and 1940s, had become counterproductive by the 1960s and 1970s.
Nonetheless, the Yan’an spirit is part of the founding myth of Chinese commu-
nism, and continues to be honored, particularly during periods of ideological
and economic uncertainty.
Compared to its relative lack of success during the Jiangxi period, the stun-
ning success of the CCP at Yan’an has led to speculation on the reasons. One
explanation is that the communists were better able to appeal to the patriotic
spirit of the peasantry than the KMT. The CCP was helped immeasurably in this
endeavor by the tremendous cruelty that characterized the Japanese occupation,
and also by the fact that the Japanese were more firmly ensconced in the areas
of north China, near the communist base areas, than they were in the areas of
south-central and south China, to which the KMT had fled. Thus, the party
was able to win over the peasantry in the course of the struggle against Japan.
An alternative explanation downplays the nationalism of the peasants, crediting
instead the appeal of the party’s economic reforms. The two explanations are not
mutually exclusive. It is possible that some people responded primarily to the
CCP’s anti-Japanese message, others to its economic program, and still others
to both.
While both foreign journalists who visited Yan’an and post-1949 communist
historiography generally portray Mao’s leadership and accomplishments during
the periods of the Long March and Yan’an soviet in glowing terms, later schol-
arship tends to focus on his shortcomings. Some accounts describe Mao as a
heartless tyrant who needlessly sacrificed his own followers. Since over 70 years
have passed since the events, the truth is difficult to ascertain.
for the KMT, urban areas had provided its original base of support, and that
support now slipped away. Meanwhile, the CCP, ensconced in its largely rural
base areas, was relatively little affected. CCP morale had never been higher, and
several KMT-affiliated warlords defected to the communist side. One of these
was the general in charge of Beijing. His switch in allegiance was of great import,
both strategically and symbolically.
On October 1, 1949, Mao Zedong rode through the streets of Beijing in a
captured American jeep and, ascending the rostrum at Tiananmen Square, pro-
claimed the founding of the People’s Republic of China. Although a number of
battles remained to be fought in southern China, the end of the civil war was
foreordained. The mandate of heaven had passed to the Chinese Communist Party.
76
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 77
the proletariat. Under such an arrangement, China would be able to pass through
the bourgeois–democratic phase called for by Marx while simultaneously pre-
paring the conditions for the socialist revolution. The CPPCC would serve as the
vehicle to initiate this dictatorship.
The CPPCC, its disparate composition allowing the CCP’s carefully orga-
nized voice to dominate, passed a document called the Common Program. This
would function as a proto-constitution until elections could be held and a more
legitimate constitution agreed upon. The program declared that China was a
democratic dictatorship of four classes: workers, peasants, petty bourgeoisie, and
national bourgeoisie. The petty bourgeoisie included such people as tradesmen,
peddlers, and owners of small shops. The national bourgeoisie comprised persons
of more substantial means who were considered patriotic: They had not collabo-
rated with the Japanese or been suborned by any other foreign power.
Under the leadership of the working class and the CCP, the People’s Demo-
cratic Dictatorship would suppress the lackeys of imperialism: landlords, bureau-
cratic capitalists, and KMT reactionaries. Those who could be reeducated would
be dealt with leniently; those who could not, or would not, would be dealt with
ruthlessly. The CPPCC also adopted a flag whose symbolism reflected this class
structure: red, with four small gold stars, representing the four classes, surround-
ing the large gold star of the CCP. The design of the flag has sometimes also been
described as the large star representing the dominant Han nationality and the
smaller stars standing for the more important minority groups—Tibetans, Mon-
gols, Manchus, and Muslims.
The decision to include the bourgeoisie in the coalition allowed the adoption
of parliamentary forms, since China was judged to be in the bourgeois–democratic
phase of the revolutionary process. It also provided the theoretical basis for a
new united front. Unlike the two previous united fronts, this was composed of
several different classes instead of an alliance between the CCP and the KMT.
Its job was to promote the unity of all the people against the “non-people,” this
latter category comprising big landlords, capitalists, and those who had collab-
orated with foreigners. Although democratic in theory, this alliance was to be
under the dictatorship of the workers and peasants in the institutional form of
their party, the CCP.
Class labels were assigned, with a certain amount of arbitrariness, to
everyone. Many bourgeois who considered themselves very patriotic may have
cooperated with foreigners, sincerely believing that what they were doing was
good for China as well as for themselves. One person’s judgment of patriotic
cooperation might be another person’s verdict of treasonous collaboration. In
addition, a number of peasants had a landlord or person of some wealth in their
background. As one peasant about to be assigned a bad class label argued poi-
gnantly to party officials, given the fact that marriages entailed the payment of
expensive bride prices from the groom’s family and the provision of dowries by
the bride’s family, the sort of really poor peasant family favored by communist
propaganda would have been unable to arrange a match and was apt to have
died out as a result.
78 C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976
To make matters worse, class labels were not only assigned for life, they were
hereditary as well. This caused problems when the children of bad classes wished
to get married, apply for jobs, or seek educational opportunities. Such heredi-
tary designations cannot be considered Marxist, since if a person no longer con-
trols the means of production, he or she cannot be considered a member of the
exploiting class. They do not even seem to be properly Maoist, since, as we have
seen, Mao emphasized the value of persuasion and education in molding social-
ist attitudes. Hereditary class designations are decidedly anti-modern—in fact,
feudal. As time went on, they were increasingly irrelevant to the Chinese context,
as former landlords became the exploited class and party members took charge
of the means of production, albeit on behalf of the collective, and prospered
thereby. Why, then, did the CCP not undertake a new class analysis? Clearly, it
was because this would risk alienating its main supporters.
Meanwhile, the party set about creating unity among those it had designated
“the people.” A series of mass campaigns was begun in order to build popular
enthusiasm behind a common cause. The first was a 1950 campaign to “Resist
the United States and Aid Korea.” In addition to allowing the leadership to sup-
port its socialist brethren in North Korea and castigate its chief enemy, the United
States, the theme was an excellent one in terms of building a sense of national
unity against an external threat. As previously mentioned, many Chinese had
stronger loyalties to clan, village, and province than to the nation. This made
it difficult to coordinate responses to external aggression. Unity and patriotism
would allow the leadership to give concrete form to the society that Sun Yat-sen
had described as a sheet of loose sand.
This campaign, and others like it, took place in a celebratory atmosphere.
Workers received time off to attend and were given small flags to wave; children
in brightly colored costumes performed traditional dances. The military paraded
to the accompaniment of bands. Stirring speeches were punctuated with firecrack-
ers and concluded with a display of fireworks. The new symbols of loyalty were
much in evidence: The national flag and large pictures of Mao Zedong.
Other, less dramatic efforts at unity were also undertaken. The party attempted
to impose a common spoken language—standard Mandarin, which the new
regime, understandably having no desire to honor the Mandarins, referred to as
“the national language” or “common speech” in official documents. China is a
land of many dialects, some of them mutually unintelligible even when the groups
who speak them live in close proximity. Attachment to one’s dialect may indicate
localist sentiments; hence, imposing a standard that everyone was required to
learn was one way of breaking down local barriers.
The party also took charge of printing and distributing mass-circulation
magazines and newspapers, using a written language that was closer to actual
spoken Chinese than the literary language that had been used by the official
class. This had been one of the demands of the May Fourth generation. Publi-
cations written in this “new” form were much easier to read; hence, the party’s
message could be absorbed more easily. Since the magazines and some of the
newspapers were distributed nationwide, they also contributed to unity. At least
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 79
in theory, Chinese all over the country would be reading the same things. The
plethora of currencies that had existed in China before the communist takeover
was standardized as well.
A second mass campaign, which began a few months later, had the coun-
terrevolutionaries as its main focus. Secret societies and anti-communist groups
were searched out and, to the extent possible, destroyed. The non-people were
identified, brought to mass meetings, and struggled against. Repentance might
save one, but there were nonetheless a number of executions after the mass meet-
ings had assessed guilt. Drug dealers, war profiteers, big landlords, pimps, and
prostitutes were among the victims. Efforts were made to be more lenient with
the less culpable, who may have been forced into their illicit trades through pov-
erty. There were programs to train beggars and prostitutes for other professions,
and cold-turkey rehabilitation for drug addicts. The methods were crude but
effective. Official sources indicate that more than 800,000 executions took place;
other estimates run up to 10 million. Party leaders defended the process as nec-
essary: “A revolution is not a dinner party,” and “To make an omelet, one must
break some eggs.” Meanwhile, a generally successful effort was made to convince
people that the new government was for the people.
The third major campaign, begun in 1951, is known as the sanfan, or “three
antis”: anti-corruption, anti-waste, and anti-bureaucracy. Its main targets were
the cadres—as the CCP called officials, in preference to the old term for bureau-
crat that they despised—of party and state organs. There was concern within the
ruling elite that a number of opportunists had joined the CCP when its victory
was assured, with the motive of profiting themselves and their careers rather
than because they sincerely believed in the party’s goals. Other party and state
cadres, they worried, had become corrupted by the new opportunities that super-
vising activities in postwar China offered. The sanfan aimed at purging party and
government of careerists.
At first, outside observers viewed the campaign through the perspective
of the eighteenth-century revolution in France: The Chinese revolution was
devouring its own children. Later, opinion changed, and the sanfan came to
be seen as a manifestation of party health rather than as sickness. The attack
on deviations and weaknesses within its own ranks was regarded as increasing
CCP strength and discipline. A few months later, in January 1952, a wufan
or “five anti” campaign began, with the bourgeoisie as its target. The sanfan
had revealed that most party and government corruption occurred in agencies
that dealt with economic matters and had ties to the bourgeoisie. Hence, it
was decided to attack them as well. The targets of the five anti campaign were
bribery, tax evasion, fraud, theft of government property, and theft of state
economic secrets. Since the two movements overlapped so closely, both in time
and targets, they are sometimes referred to as the sanfan–wufan, or “three-
anti–five-anti” campaign.
Also during its first years in power, the party worked hard to restore the
economy and bring it under party control. This included ending inflation, rebuild-
ing and expanding the infrastructure, instituting land reform, and preparing for
80 C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976
81
82
FIGURE 4.2 Organization of the Government of the People’s Republic of China
Source: Adapted from the Constitution of the People’s Republic of China, 1982.
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 83
USSR’s Soviet of Nationalities, and China’s constitution, unlike the USSR’s, does
not allow the PRC’s constituent units the right to secede.
The highest organ of state, at least in theory, is the National People’s Con-
gress (NPC). It is empowered to enact laws, ratify treaties, and select the presi-
dent and vice-president. NPC members are influential within their communities
and, like candidates at every other level of the state hierarchy, are individuals
who are considered acceptable to the party. It is not necessary that they belong
to the CCP, although many do. The NPC has no fixed size, though typically
there have been 2,000 to 3,000 members. In recent years, the NPC has become
more assertive (see Chapter 6). Nonetheless, its unwieldy size, plus the fact that
it meets infrequently, means that power is delegated. There is a Standing Com-
mittee of the NPC with perhaps 150 members, which is still relatively large for
interactive debate. It meets fairly frequently, seemingly to explain party policy to
the more important non-party officials.
The organ that performs most administrative work is the State Council,
headed by a powerful premier assisted by several vice-premiers. Again, there is
no fixed number of vice-premiers. The various ministries and commissions are
responsible to the State Council. Below the central government, in descending
order of importance, are four tiers. Thirty-four provincial-level governments
include five autonomous regions (which have very little actual autonomy: see
Chapter 13) with substantial ethnic minority populations; four large cities
that report directly to the central governments; the two special administra-
tive regions of Hong Kong and Macau; and Taiwan, which the PRC claims
but does not control and which functions as an independent nation. On the
second level are over 300 prefectural-level administrative units. Below pre-
fectures there are nearly 3,000 counties and county-level cities. The lower tier
comprises about 40,000 towns and townships. Except at the prefectural level,
all have political structures similar to that of the central government. Although
prefectural-level cities and so-called autonomous prefectures have government
organizations and people’s congresses, regular prefectures have administrative
agencies instead.
The party hierarchy is more important. A National Party Congress—again,
a very large body: Over 2,000 at the most recent Nineteenth Party Congress—
elects (at least in theory) a central committee. The committee has no fixed size,
although it currently has over 200 full members, who vote, and a somewhat
lesser number of non-voting alternates. The Central Committee has a secretariat,
selected from among its members, which in turn supervises the descending hier-
archy of provincial party and municipal party committees, and so on down to
basic-level party organizations.
Central Committee members, in theory, choose a politburo of perhaps 15
to 25 members, and it in turn selects approximately 5 to 9 of them as mem-
bers of the Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC). Currently, the PBSC has seven
members. These individuals, and particularly the PBSC chair, are considered the
most powerful people in China. The chair, who has in recent years served as
president of China and chair of the Central Military Commission, can exercise
84 C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976
land reform, and made their views known in a variety of ways. A repression cam-
paign against certain writers led to a decline in both the quality and quantity of
what was written, to the dismay of party leaders.
Mao Zedong realized that these tensions existed and was concerned to
do something about them. Elsewhere in the communist world following the
death of Stalin, popular discontent had boiled over into rioting in several areas.
The Chinese leadership seemed to agree with analyses made elsewhere that an
important cause of these outbursts was that dissension had been repressed for
too long.
The Hundred Flowers campaign was Mao’s attempt to ease the tensions
within Chinese society. In May 1956, he made a speech that included the phrase
“let a hundred flowers bloom; let a hundred schools of thought contend.” The
second half of the slogan is a reference to the numerous philosophies that vied
for pre-eminence in the Warring States period 2,000 years before. The “hundred
flowers” metaphor seems to have been coined by Mao himself, based on his
conviction that criticism would strengthen socialism, since, in the end, truth wins
out. In the course of debate, more people will become convinced that socialism is
true precisely because the controversies will have forced them to think carefully
about various options. This sounds remarkably like ideas advanced by the British
utilitarian philosopher John Stuart Mill, though there is no evidence that Mao
was familiar with Mill’s writings.
Mao’s speech was made to a group of party leaders and was never pub-
lished. What we know of it comes from references to the speech that appeared
in the Chinese press. These references indicate that there were limits within
which free speech was to be encouraged. Pornography was explicitly forbidden,
as were attitudes such as “The moon in America is rounder than the moon
in China” and “Let’s all play mah-jongg and to hell with state affairs.” The
underlying assumption was that differences of opinion would not be serious
because they would be examples of what Mao referred to as “non-antagonistic
contradictions”—that is, those which do not need to be dealt with by coercive
means—among the people.
At first, the result of this call for debate was a deafening silence. A well-
known anthropologist hinted at the reason with an oblique reference to fear of
“early spring weather,” which encourages buds to bloom but is quickly followed
by a frost that kills the flowers. In February 1957, Mao made another speech,
again not published at the time. Quotations and excerpts that appeared in the
press indicate that this second effort went considerably further in encouraging
freedom of speech. Backed up by party pressures, it began to yield results.
Initially, the criticism was mild. Intellectuals asked for a larger role for the
CPPCC and democratic parties, and for the right to import more foreign peri-
odicals that were relevant to their work. Later, the citizenry became bolder, indi-
cating that it now interpreted the still-unpublished second speech as sanctioning
freedom of expression. Criticism escalated in ways that the leadership found
shocking. Students at China’s leading university, Beida, designated a particular
wall as the place to vent their feelings and covered it with “big-character” posters
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 87
that were highly critical of the party. A Tianjin engineer complained that the
communists had promised China a revolution but gave it no more than a change
of dynasties. A journalist wrote that the party had quickly become estranged
from the masses and that most of its members were “flatterers, sycophants, and
yes-men.” A professor pointed out that Marx and Lenin had constantly revised
their theories and opined that they would not be pleased to learn that people
with petty bureaucratic minds—that is, the CCP leaders—were applying their
doctrine so rigidly.
Peasants complained that the cooperatives were no good and demanded
their land back. Workers proclaimed that the wage system was irrational and
voiced their annoyance at being required to “volunteer” to work overtime
without pay. Some people even said that they had been better off under the
KMT. Ethnic minorities advocated splitting off from China and founding inde-
pendent states.
This was not the kind of criticism the party had anticipated. Rather than
helping to create unity, it seemed to be inciting disunity and centrifugal forces.
Mao’s February 1957 speech, entitled “On the Correct Handling of Contradic-
tions among the People,” was finally published, but some passages appear to
have been added. Among other things, it noted that certain criticisms were no
longer to be considered as fragrant flowers: They had been reclassified as nox-
ious weeds in the garden of socialism. As antagonistic contradictions, they would
have to be uprooted and destroyed.
The frosty weather that would kill the hundred flowers began in June 1957
and took the form of yet another mass campaign. Known as the anti-rightist
campaign, it had identified more than 300,000 people as “rightists” by the end
of the year. Many of China’s brightest and most dedicated intellectuals were
among them. Rather than being encouraged to use their skills in economics,
engineering, and astrophysics to help develop China, their careers were ruined.
Jail, reform through labor, or banishment to rural areas (the latter being to
acquaint them with the “real” China, thus enabling them to understand the
nation better, while breaking down the sharp distinction between city and
countryside) were among the punishments meted out. Promising futures were
destroyed, and families split. Some who had been branded rightists divorced, or
were divorced by, their spouses in an effort to minimize the stigma on the rest
of the family. Others committed suicide, often after being struggled against and
tortured; a few were executed.
Could the Hundred Flowers campaign have been cleverly contrived to ferret
out malcontents? Initially, foreign analysts felt that it had not. They believed that
party optimists, including Mao, were genuinely convinced that the campaign
would solidify a unified population behind the party and ratify its plans for
collectivization. By contrast, ideological hard-liners within the party would have
had real doubts about the wisdom of this course from the beginning, and would
have reminded the optimists of this when criticism escalated. Mao responded
by espousing the hard-line position, rewriting his speech and allowing it to be
published. Unity would then be obtained by weeding out the dissident “rightists.”
88 C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976
Things are just beginning to change. The rightist offensive has not yet reached
its peak. [The rightists] are still very enthusiastic. We want to let them rage for
a while and climb to the very summit.
Emperor of the Blue Ants, the color being a description of the caps, jackets, and
pants that nearly all Chinese wore during this period.
In industry, hortatory slogans appeared on factory walls, urging the workers
on to new goals. At first, these were realistic: For example, “Overtake England
in steel production in 15 years” was a plausible target. Although the PRC’s steel
production in 1957 was well below that of Great Britain, Chinese levels were
rising while Britain’s output remained essentially the same. Britain is also a much
smaller country than China. Hence, the PRC could reasonably be expected to
draw even with England within 15 years. However, the slogan’s time frame
was progressively reduced from ten years to five and even, in a couple of areas,
to three. The slogan “More, better, faster, and cheaper” appeared everywhere.
A visiting Soviet scientist recalled seeing such a banner over the door of a mater-
nity hospital where, given China’s enormous population, he found it especially
inappropriate.
There was also an intensification of a campaign, begun somewhat earlier, to
send young urban intellectuals (defined at that time as those who had graduated
from at least junior middle school) to the countryside to “take root, flower, and
bear fruit.” Known as the xiaxiang, or “sent-down” youth, they were expected
to share their intellectual knowledge with the peasants, while at the same time
learning agricultural techniques that would enable them to raise more food for
China. This fitted well with Mao’s desire to reduce the differences between city
and countryside. In general, however, it did not fit well with the desires of either
peasants or urban youth. Although it would have been dangerous to protest
publicly, peasants resented having thrust upon them large numbers of youth who
were unused to hard physical labor and ignorant of farm work. Conversely, the
xiaxiang youth tended to abhor the rigors of country living and farm chores, and
to miss both their families and the amenities of city life.
Another slogan associated with the Great Leap Forward is “walk on two
legs,” with one leg representing the modern—for example, heavy industry with
its need for expensive machinery or, in the health field, up-to-date Western med-
ical procedures—and the other leg representing the traditional: labor-intensive
spinning and weaving techniques in the textile industry and traditional Chinese
medicine in the health field. The scientific method and research projects of all
sorts were castigated as bourgeois. Correct political views and peasant wisdom
were extolled; “bourgeois scientific objectivism” was ridiculed.
In August 1958, large-scale agricultural units, called communes, were formed
by combining several cooperatives. The economic implications of these com-
munes will be discussed in detail in Chapter 5. Politically and sociologically, the
communes entailed enormous changes. Backyard blast furnaces were intended to
teach peasants the rudiments of industrial techniques, thereby helping to reduce
the differences between city and countryside, and also to solve the problem of
transporting steel to rural areas. This had been a problem due to poor transpor-
tation networks in the countryside. There was also an attack on private property:
Peasants had to give up not only their private plots but even, in many cases, their
personal possessions such as wristwatches and jewelry.
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 91
reason appears to have been that the failures of the Great Leap Forward had
increased the power of a less ideologically hard-line faction within the party. Liu
Shaoqi took over the post vacated by Mao, and the Wuhan Resolution, introduced
by the party central committee that month, in addition to calling for “doing away
with blind faith,” established definitively that China was in the stage of socialism
rather than communism, and confirmed the half-supply system.
This and subsequent directives dismantled much of the Great Leap For-
ward. For example, mess halls were reduced in size and told to improve the
variety of food they served. Their clients often had to spend so long commuting
from their jobs to the mess halls that any economies gained from serving large
numbers of people were negated by peasants having less time to work. The deci-
sion of whether to leave children permanently at nurseries was left to parents,
who were guaranteed the right to bring their children home with them at any
time. No elderly person was to be forced to enter a “happiness home”; if she
or he wished to stay with relatives who were amenable to the arrangement, the
state would not interfere. People were also to be guaranteed the right to eight
hours’ sleep each night. Private plots were returned, along with the right to keep
a few pigs and chickens. The unit of accounting was no longer to be at com-
mune level but at that of the brigade—that is, the former cooperatives, where it
had been before the Leap began. Not long after, it devolved still further, to the
level of the team.
Liu’s replacement of Mao as head of the PRC government did not end dissen-
sion within the elite. Although it was officially announced that the chairman had
resigned because he wanted more time to think and write, Mao was extremely
annoyed with Liu. According to Mao’s physician, he had been angry with Liu
Shaoqi and Deng Xiaoping since mid-1956, holding them responsible for prop-
agating principles that were anathema to him at the Eighth Party Congress in
September of that year. These principles included: (1) supporting the idea of col-
lective leadership; (2) removing Mao Zedong’s thought as the country’s guiding
ideology; and (3) criticizing Mao’s “adventurism.” The physician believed that
Mao spent the next decade trying to reverse these principles, ultimately launch-
ing the Cultural Revolution to do so. The descending economic spiral continued
to exacerbate differences of opinion among them, and in August 1959, at a party
meeting held at Lushan, it was officially admitted that many of the accomplish-
ments claimed for the Great Leap Forward were false. The defense minister, Mar-
shal Peng Dehuai, chided Mao for his role in planning the Leap. Although Peng
had meant his remarks as constructive criticism, the angry chairman sacked Peng
for his candor, replacing him with Marshal Lin Biao. Mao, however, remained a
low-key presence during the following several years.
Remedial measures could not bring immediate improvement. Crop damage
cannot be undone overnight, and depleted animal populations, particularly in
the case of large animals who have few offspring, take several years to recover.
There were problems internationally as well. China’s repudiation of the Soviet
model, and Mao’s urging the Soviet Union to take a stronger ideological line had
angered the Soviet leadership. In 1960, the USSR withdrew its advisers, many
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 93
of whom took their plans and blueprints with them, leaving scientific research
projects incomplete and factories half-built.
Even the weather was uncooperative. Some areas suffered from drought.
others from floods, typhoons, and plagues of insects. Although some people
saw this as the equivalent of the seven biblical plagues and others as a mani-
festation of the mandate of heaven, there were man-made causes as well. One
reason for the plague of insects was a prior mass campaign against sparrows
that had killed many other types of birds as well, thereby removing the natural
predators of various types of insects. Some floods were caused by the collapse
of dams and dikes that had been poorly built by people unskilled in construc-
tion techniques.
Bourgeois expertise, whether red or not, began to seem desirable again. In
terms of Max Weber’s paradigm for modernization, the Great Leap’s attack on
specialization and expertise was antithetical to the modernization which the
leadership hoped to achieve. Indeed, it appears as a Luddite attack on modern-
ization, with disastrous effects for society. In this parlous state, the value of red-
ness paled by comparison to the value of expertise. It was just such a realization
that must have prompted the party secretary-general of the time, Deng Xiaoping,
to remark, “It does not matter whether it is a black cat or a white cat, so long as
it catches mice”—that is, so long as the economic system meets the population’s
needs, it does not matter whether it is communist or capitalist. With actual phys-
ical survival at stake, people resorted to desperate measures. Survival, rather than
ideological orthodoxy of any sort, was the imperative of the time.
The years 1959 through 1961 are known as the “three lean years.” There
were widespread shortages of nearly everything: food, clothing, fuel, and even
paper. An African student at a Chinese university recalled his surprise at see-
ing an otherwise demure young lady lift her skirt high above her waist before
sitting down. He later discovered that, because the cloth ration was so low,
she was trying to make the garment’s thin cotton material last for another year.
The party’s rationing system is credited with preventing many more deaths than
the famine might otherwise have led to. Years later, official sources admitted that
8 million people had died of causes related to the Great Leap Forward. Unofficial
sources estimated the figure at between 12 and 20 million. Whatever the actual
number, the CCP, having expended years of effort attempting to win the loyalty
of skeptics and the uncommitted, had lost considerable prestige with the masses
in whose name it claimed to govern.
tendencies within the party,” and “the spontaneous tendency toward capitalism.”
The situation that lay behind these rather abstract words became clearer when
the Taiwan government released a series of documents obtained by infiltrating
frogmen-commandos into a commune near the Fujian coast. Called the Lianjiang
Documents after the commune from which they were obtained, they describe a
situation believed to be fairly typical of the early 1960s in China.
The documents revealed the existence of considerable concern with so-called
unhealthy tendencies, among which were the following:
The next several years saw a major effort to correct these unhealthy tendencies
and reintroduce socialist orthodoxy through another mass campaign, the Social-
ist Education Movement.
One measure adopted in the campaign was to send groups of higher level
cadres to the countryside. This reflected concern that cadres’ isolation from the
masses they allegedly served had caused many of the country’s present problems.
By living and working with the common people, cadres could better understand
them and, therefore, deal with difficulties more effectively. By early 1963, pre-
liminary results of the experiment were summarized, and the Socialist Education
Movement began to take shape as a systematic campaign.
In May 1963, the party issued a document known as the Draft Resolution
of the Central Committee on Some Problems in Current Rural Work or, more
simply, the First Ten Points. It called for the formation of Poor and Lower Mid-
dle Peasant Associations to oversee management at the commune and brigade
levels and to carry out the “four cleans”—cleaning up of accounts, granaries,
properties, and work points. At the same time, however, the associations were
told to avoid interfering in routine administrative affairs. In practice, the dis-
tinction between intervening to find corruption and not interfering with routine
administrative affairs was difficult to make. In order to coerce cadres to spend
more time in production and less time on administrative work, the number of
work points they could claim for the performance of administrative tasks was
greatly reduced—to 1 or 2 percent from 4 percent or even, in extreme cases,
10 percent. Cadres were also given minimum numbers of days they needed to
spend in productive labor, ranging from 60 for county-level cadres to 180 for
those at the brigade level.
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 95
The following two years saw successive attempts to refine this effort to
reimpose ideological orthodoxy without harming production. In September
1963, the central committee issued what came to be known as the Later Ten
Points, and, in June 1964, the Eighteen Points. This was followed in September
1964 by the Revised Draft of the Later Ten Points, and by the Twenty-Three
Points in January 1965. These and other documents caused no small amount
of confusion. As mentioned earlier, people remained bewildered by the scope of
activities of the Poor and Lower Peasant Associations. They were also unable to
distinguish between legitimate sideline occupations, which the party approved
of as a way to increase production, and “spontaneous capitalist tendencies,”
which the party condemned.
What is clear from a careful reading of these successive documents is the
leadership’s growing pessimism that the unhealthy tendencies could be corrected
quickly: Longer and longer time frames were proposed. A hardening of the class
line was also noticeable, with a greater tendency toward viewing problems as
antagonistic (requiring struggle and violent methods to resolve) rather than
non-antagonistic (capable of solution through persuasion and education). There
were hints that the errant lower level cadres had protectors at higher levels. In
1964, a new “politics takes command” campaign was introduced, and the Peo-
ple’s Liberation Army (PLA) was held up as a model of political and ideological
virtue for all Chinese to emulate. The cult of Mao study began to be propa-
gated nationwide, soon reaching fever pitch. At the same time, the targets to be
struggled against began to be found at higher and higher levels in the party and
government hierarchies. Although there is no direct link between the Socialist
Education Movement and the convulsive Cultural Revolution that followed it,
the latter can be seen as a logical extension of the former.
cultivated among youth, things would go from bad to worse. The authors said
that, to illustrate their point, they would take the example of a “neighborhood
boy” who imitated the expressions of great poets and had written many great
empty talks, including:
The neighborhood boy was unquestionably Mao, while the great empty talk
referred to party propaganda in general. Meanwhile, the cult of Mao study was
escalating, with the study of his thoughts being credited for all sorts of accom-
plishments, from operating on cancerous tumors to raising watermelons, to win-
ning table tennis tournaments.
At the same time, all other culture, both Western and traditional Chinese,
became suspect for its bourgeois and/or feudal content. Chinese opera was con-
sidered as tainted as Bizet and Wagner. Hence “The East Is Red,” a song prais-
ing Mao, became one of the few safe things to sing; the country’s real national
anthem ceased to be heard. Books other than the works of Mao disappeared
from bookstores. A pocket-sized selection of Mao’s quotations, chosen by
defense minister Lin Biao and bound in red plastic, became a runaway bestseller
albeit in the near-total absence of any competition. Its small size allowed the
Little Red Book to be kept conveniently visible on one’s person as a symbol of
loyalty, and even held aloft and waved on appropriate occasions. Another useful
talisman was the Mao button, a small metal pin embossed with the image of
The Great Helmsman which could be pinned on one’s jacket. Since these came
in a variety of shapes and designs, some people took to pinning on several dozen
badges at a time, hoping for a multiplier effect on this evidence of their loyalty
to the chairman.
While it was possible to view Yao’s attack as directed against the opinions
of a few disgruntled intellectuals, his sally was actually a great deal more than
that. In addition to being a historian and playwright, Wu Han was vice-mayor of
Beijing. Deng Tuo was a secretary of the Beijing Party Committee, and the Beijing
Daily and Front Line were official publications of the Beijing Party Committee.
The hint made in the course of the Socialist Education Movement that officials
at higher levels were protecting ideologically deviant subordinates now had con-
crete referents. The attacks which curiously—or so it seemed at the time—were
led by the official military newspaper, Liberation Army Daily, then moved on
to ask who was behind the “black gang” of Wu Han and Deng Tuo. No answer
was given, although it was noticed that Peng Zhen, the mayor of Beijing and a
ranking member of the party politburo, had not been seen in public or otherwise
heard from in several months.
Nor had Mao been seen in public. In the West, rumors circulated that he
might be dead or very sick and that the deification campaign had been plotted
by those who hoped to succeed him. These rumors apparently convinced the
chairman that he should appear in public. Mao chose to return to the city of
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 97
Wuhan in July 1966 for a swim in the Yangtze River. The real intent of the swim
was to demonstrate Mao Zedong’s health, although the official account went
a bit far in claiming that the portly, chain-smoking 73-year-old had covered
9 miles in 65 minutes, thus breaking all world records by a wide margin. Mao
was, moreover, in no particular hurry: He was described as having stopped
several times along the way to teach other swimmers some new strokes. Suspi-
cious foreigners also speculated that the official photograph might have been
contrived: the chairman’s face did not look wet and the angle at which his head
met the water did not seem proper. Since the press release quoted several of
those present as saying “our respected and beloved leader Chairman Mao is
in such good health,” those who initially suspected that Mao was ill were now
convinced that he was near death.
In August, Mao called out the Red Guards, young people tasked with
enforcing revolutionary purity. Guards were to be the children of the so-called
five pure classes: workers, poor and lower middle peasants, soldiers, party offi-
cials, and revolutionary martyrs. Mao wrote a big-character poster calling on
activists to “bombard the headquarters” of established authority and struggle
against the power holders who were following the capitalist road. There was
a clear implication that Liu Shaoqi, the man who had displaced Mao as head
of government in the wake of the Great Leap Forward, was the chief capitalist
roader. In addition to attacking established authority, the Red Guards were
admonished to attack the “four olds”: old ideas, culture, habits, and customs.
In order to “exchange revolutionary experiences,” they were encouraged to
travel as well.
Seemingly instantly, Red Guard groups fanned out all over China. Millions
decided that Beijing was the proper place to exchange revolutionary experiences,
jamming transportation systems and causing health and sanitation problems.
Others who had been sent to the countryside in past years felt that revolutionary
experiences could best be exchanged by returning to the families and urban areas
from whence they came. Hundreds of thousands returned to already crowded
Shanghai and other major cities.
Possible ulterior motives notwithstanding, the young Guards proved
extremely zealous. Among their demands were that blood banks draw their
supplies only from those of pure class background, that Tiananmen (Gate of
Heavenly Peace) Square be renamed East Is Red Square, and that traffic light
colors be reversed so that red, the color of revolution, could signify “go” rather
than “stop.” In accordance with Mao’s orders, the Guards did indeed drag out
many power holders. The proof of their decadent capitalist leanings was often
little more than possession of foreign liquor or a penchant for meals compris-
ing a large number of dishes. Any association with the Soviet Union, whose
leaders were believed to have perverted true Marxism–Leninism, was also very
dangerous. Liu Shaoqi and a number of others were declared “revisionists” (as
opposed to Mao, who was declared a genius for creatively adapting Marxism to
the Chinese context). Liu was also castigated as “China’s Khrushchev,” after the
despised leader of the Soviet Union. The Guards also ransacked museums and
98 C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976
being a corrupt power holder. A large number of people were tortured or driven
to suicide. Liu Shaoqi died when, gravely ill, he was denied medical care. Party
secretary-general Deng Xiaoping’s son, driven to jump out of a window by his
Red Guard tormentors, was crippled for life; Deng himself was tortured and
removed from office.
In January 1967, the Small Group succeeded in establishing the Shanghai
Commune based on the real or imagined model of the Paris Commune during the
French Revolution. It was intended to emphasize the spontaneity of the masses
without cadre participation but, unfortunately for the radicals, the commune
proved unworkable. Chaos ensued as radicals in other areas tried to copy the
Shanghai example. Premier Zhou Enlai, who had emerged as leader of the party/
government faction, gave the impression of being unconcerned with whether
radicals or conservatives seized power, so long as production could proceed nor-
mally. Production was definitely not proceeding normally at this time, with rail-
road traffic disrupted and factories becoming battlegrounds for rival groups of
workers. By February, Zhou seemed to have convinced Mao to opt for a more
moderate policy. The formation of new bodies called revolutionary committees,
which would assume both party and state functions, was ordered. The CPPCC
and its functions were not mentioned. As the organ of the united front, which
radicals had attacked since it represented collaboration with impure classes, the
CPPCC simply disappeared. Revolutionary committees were to be composed of
a three-way alliance of representatives of the revolutionary masses, revolutionary
cadres, and revolutionary PLA members.
Radicals, believing that the emphasis on regularizing production meant sell-
ing out their principles, referred to this period as the “February Adverse Cur-
rent,” and began their counterattack in mid-March. Several other shifts were to
occur in what became a power struggle among the Small Group, the PLA, and a
group of bureaucrats around Zhou Enlai. Although Mao’s sympathies appeared
to lie with the radicals, he was not above curbing their activities when it seemed
wise, and went to great lengths to publicly show his affection for Lin Biao. The
two were photographed arm-in-arm, with the caption describing Lin as “Chair-
man Mao’s Closest Comrade in Arms.” Zhou Enlai seemed to have formed a coa-
lition with Jiang Qing’s radicals, despite their ideological and policy differences.
He protected the Small Group against the PLA, perhaps because he wanted to
maintain the balance between the two, with himself as mediator. In return, the
Small Group restrained the Beijing radicals from attacking Zhou.
As time went on, the PLA gained power over the Small Group. Mao gave
the military authority to use force against any attempt to seize its weapons and
told it to unify the various warring factions. Lin Biao was designated Mao’s
heir apparent. With at least the façade of peace being made among some of the
factions, revolutionary committees were set up in 1967 and on into 1968. On
July 31, 1968, Mao sent a gift of mangoes to a workers’ group stationed at Qin-
ghua University, thereby symbolizing his support of the workers in their factional
struggle with the students. The PLA moved onto campuses to maintain order.
Thus, the violent phase of the Cultural Revolution came to an end.
100 C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976
In October, the central committee—or what was left of it—met. Its major
decision was to expel Liu Shaoqi from the party and from all his posts in party
and government. The draft of a new party constitution was also agreed upon.
Formally accepted in April 1969, it contained an unusual article designating Lin
Biao, by name, as Mao Zedong’s successor. Approximately half the politburo
could be considered Lin’s supporters; even his heretofore politically inactive wife
became a member. The Small Group was also prominently represented. Mao and
Zhou Enlai were members as well.
At the middle and lower levels of the power structure—provincial level
and below—a number of old cadres who had originally been targets of the Red
Guards returned to, or remained in, positions of importance. They had neither
forgotten nor forgiven their erstwhile tormentors. The “revolutionary masses,”
on behalf of whom the Cultural Revolution had allegedly been waged, were, at
best, admitted selectively to the lowest levels of power, where they were kept
under the careful surveillance of those whom they had accused of revisionism
and of taking the capitalist road. Some of them were actively persecuted.
If the Great Leap Forward had been antithetical to modernization, the Cul-
tural Revolution was still more so. Its attacks on specialization and routinization
of procedures ran directly counter to the modernization paradigm. While it may
be argued that Mao opposed bureaucratism rather than bureaucrats and elitist
snobbery rather than specialization per se, it proved very difficult in practice to
uncouple one from another.
Although falling considerably short of its goals, the Cultural Revolution had
a number of other consequences. Rather than establishing greater egalitarian-
ism, the revolution simply replaced many long-serving leaders with new leaders,
dubbed “helicopter people” for their rapid ascent upward. The relationships of
authority were destroyed in some areas and badly weakened in others. The party
and certain ministries had all but ceased to function. Meanwhile, the role of the
military in general, and of Lin Biao in particular, had been greatly enhanced.
Production had declined, though the drop was by no means as precipitous as
during the Great Leap Forward. There were drastic effects on the educational
system (see Chapter 10), and both foreign and traditional influences on culture
were sharply reduced. What would take the place of institutions that had been
damaged or destroyed was not yet clear. A large number of lives and careers
had also been damaged. Miraculously, some people emerged from the Cultural
Revolution with their faith in the party intact. However, many others blamed
the country’s leadership for what had happened, thereby further weakening the
CCP’s legitimacy.
Reconstruction: 1970–1976
As the turmoil of the Cultural Revolution subsided, a rebuilding process
began. The year 1970 saw the revival of party organs. Revolutionary commit-
tees remained, but functioned as governmental bodies, replacing the people’s
C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976 101
congresses. Foreign policy also began to return to normal, with diplomats again
being posted abroad.
Behind the scenes, a fierce power struggle raged within the disparate coa-
lition that survived the holocaust. The main contenders were Lin Biao and his
faction within the military; the Cultural Revolution Small Group, including Jiang
Qing, which had its power base in Shanghai; and the less ideological party and
government bureaucrats around Zhou Enlai. The prize was survival—and also
the succession to Mao. Mao Zedong’s health had been the subject of speculation
for some years. The fact that he did not show up at several Red Guard rallies in
late 1967 was considered noteworthy enough that Jiang Qing, who attended in
his place, had seen fit to tour Tiananmen Square in a jeep, announcing repeat-
edly through a bullhorn that Chairman Mao was in “robust” health. Whatever
the truth of this, Mao seemed to decline during the early 1970s; visiting for-
eign dignitaries were summoned from their beds in the middle of the night or
plucked from visits to the Great Wall by helicopter in order to take advantage
of Mao’s lucid moments. Although Mao’s sympathies lay with the Small Group
ideologues, he did not automatically side with them.
The first victim of the power struggle was Lin Biao, who made no public
appearances after June 1971. He was later officially declared dead in a plane
crash that occurred in Mongolia in September of that year. Lin was allegedly
fleeing to the Soviet Union—China’s arch-enemy at the time—after his plot
to kill Chairman Mao was discovered. The “official” story exists in a num-
ber of versions, with several discrepancies among them that have never been
resolved. Nor is there a convincing explanation of why Lin would want to kill
an ill man whom he was constitutionally designated to succeed. Many analysts
believe that Lin was actually removed by his rivals Zhou and the Small Group,
possibly with the help of non-Lin-affiliated factions of the PLA. Whatever the
circumstances, Lin was deleted from the power equation, and more than 130
of his subordinates also disappeared. The succession struggle now had only
two major contenders: Jiang Qing’s Shanghai hard-liners, and Zhou Enlai’s less
ideological bureaucrats.
The Tenth Party Congress, held in August 1973, saw the rehabilitation
of some leading pre-Cultural Revolution bureaucrats, including former party
secretary-general Deng Xiaoping. Regarded as Premier Zhou’s leading protégé,
Deng quickly regained positions of prominence, including the directorship of
the PLA’s general staff department and a vice-premiership. A number of mili-
tary men also re-emerged. Generally from field armies that were different from
Lin’s, they had opposed the Cultural Revolution. These rehabilitations repre-
sented victories for Zhou Enlai and for military leaders outside of the Fourth
Field Army.
At the same time, the Cultural Revolution Small Group began to fight back
hard, launching a mass campaign to “Criticize Lin Biao and Confucius,” in which
Confucius was widely understood to mean Zhou Enlai. The main charge against
“Confucius” was that he was a “restorationist”—that he wanted to return China
102 C H A P T E R 4 ▸ PRC Politics Under Mao: 1949–1976
time—the terminally ill chairman called Hua to his bedside and whispered to
him, “With you in charge, my heart is at ease.”
Mao’s health continued to deteriorate. On July 28, 1976, one of history’s
most devastating earthquakes hit the Tianjin-Beijing area of northeast China,
claiming many hundreds of thousands of lives. Its occurrence seemed portentous.
In classical Chinese, one does not use the usual character for death to describe
the passing of an emperor. The proper ideograph depicts the fall of a mountain
and means “cataclysm” or “earthquake.” A few weeks later, on September 9,
Mao died.
104
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 105
neatly with the analyses of the bureaucratic politics and palace politics schools.
Although foreign policy was of lesser importance than internal considerations
during this period, arguments over the method by which China should acquire
foreign technology and on which, if any, foreign powers to rely have overtones
of the strategic interaction and political-cultural schools. A generational struggle
between old revolutionaries and a younger group who had not endured their
struggles was also occurring.
The reader will also notice a reassertion of traditional Chinese values,
including the importance of family and patronage ties, which resonates with
the China-is-China-is-China paradigm. In the sense that ideological differences
did not preclude alliances among different groups, the factional model seemed
to apply as well. Since the system now permitted a limited form of competition
among those who favored different policies, one may also see an incipient form
of pluralism. As predicted by the communist neo-traditional paradigm, political
competition took place more within the institutional framework set up by the
party than it did along Western-inspired models of interest group articulation.
However, none of these analyses could have predicted what was to follow.
Hua’s acceptability to various groups as a compromise candidate was in
certain ways a liability rather than an asset: He was faced with reconciling
often incompatible demands from across the political spectrum and risked being
attacked from all directions by those whose requests he could not satisfy. For
example, victims of the Cultural Revolution and other leftist-inspired attacks
demanded a thorough repudiation of these policies and a reinstatement of their
pre-purge status. At the same time, those who had profited by the campaigns
strongly resisted attacks on the Maoist system, fearing that their own status
would deteriorate.
At the time of Mao’s death, the Gang of Four, concerned for its future at
the hands of military leaders with whom it had previously dealt harshly, tried to
take over, using the urban militia as its armed force. The military acted forcefully
in support of Hua, easily defeating the militia. Less than a month after Mao’s
death, Hua arrested the Gang of Four. Saved from one group, he became more
beholden to another. In July 1977, acceding to the wishes of leading military
figures, Hua rehabilitated Deng Xiaoping. Understandably reluctant to reinstate
the man whose place he had so obviously moved into the year before, Hua took
this step only after Deng gave written guarantees of his support for Hua as Mao’s
successor and admitted his own mistakes. Deng was then restored to his former
positions of member of the standing committee of the politburo, vice-premier of
the State Council, vice-chair of the Central Military Commission, and chief of
the PLA’s general staff.
Pledges notwithstanding, Deng immediately began to undermine Hua’s posi-
tion. He revived the office of party general secretary, which had been defunct
since Deng had held it at the outset of the Cultural Revolution. Deng then used
the position to take over the responsibility, formerly exercised by Hua as premier
of the State Council, of overseeing the implementation of politburo decisions. At
the same time, Deng began moving his supporters from positions they held in the
106 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
provinces to the central government in Beijing. One protégé, Zhao Ziyang, the
first party secretary of Deng’s native province of Sichuan, showed open contempt
for Hua. Sichuan did not participate in praise of Hua and instituted agricultural
policies that were quite different from those sanctioned by Hua.
In addition to moving his people from the provinces into the center, Deng
consolidated power in areas where he and his former mentor, Zhou Enlai, had
been strongest, such as the foreign ministry. He rehabilitated previously purged
cadres, thereby earning the gratitude and, presumably, the allegiance of experi-
enced and capable people. At the same time, Deng worked to purge or margin-
alize Hua’s supporters. Hua tried to fight back, wrapping himself in the cloak of
Maoist legitimacy and seeing that stories showing his love for the people and his
ties with Mao appeared regularly in the official press. Observers noticed that he
even began to comb his hair in the same style as Mao.
Deng’s supporters retaliated, accusing Hua of attempting to create a cult of
personality. They also ridiculed him for the “two whatevers,” implying that Hua
was incapable of more than slavish imitation of Mao. Moreover, they hinted
strongly, Hua might have fabricated his alleged deathbed conversation with the
chairman. Deng counterposed Hua’s pledge to follow Mao’s principles with a
slogan of his own: “seek truth from facts.” This derived from Mao’s essay on
the need to link theory with practice, which argued that when a theory did not
prove consonant with practice, it was necessary to revise the theory. Apart from
providing Deng Xiaoping with a cleverly indirect way to attack Hua, the slogan
confirmed Deng’s reputation as a pragmatist. Henceforth, he declared, practice
would be the sole criterion of truth. Dogma was officially dead.
Finally, in December 1978, Deng decided to permit a degree of liberalization.
Drawing his inspiration from a Qing dynasty poem that began “Ten thousand
horses stand mute,” he argued that the repressive atmosphere of previous years
had stifled the population’s creativity and desire to work hard. Deng proposed to
allow the people to actually exercise the freedoms of expression that the consti-
tution had, in theory, already given them. The populace responded with enthu-
siasm, writing wall posters that contained vigorous denunciations of policies
and leaders with whom they disagree. Certain walls became gathering places
for poster writers and those who wished to express their views orally. Known as
“democracy walls,” they sprang up in many cities. By far the most famous was in
central Beijing, not far from Tiananmen Square. Because many of the people who
gathered at these walls demanded the removal of precisely those power-holders
whom Deng wanted to get rid of, his decision to permit greater freedom of speech
proved to be an effective weapon.
By early 1979, with its aims largely achieved, the movement was gradually
cut off. No longer content with criticizing past leaders, critics had begun to make
adverse comments about the present elite, including Deng. Wall poster writers
were first moved from central Beijing to a much less conveniently located park,
ostensibly because they had been disrupting traffic. Although this was true, other
government actions indicated that the leadership had more in mind than grid-
lock reduction. Poster writers were told to register their names and work units
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 107
with public security personnel, who were to monitor activities in the park. A few
months later, even this constricted avenue of expression was closed.
At the same time, the journals of dissent that had flourished during this
period were ordered to cease publication; some of their authors received severe
prison terms. The charges against them seemed contrived and implausible. For
example, Wei Jingsheng was accused of having passed secrets on China’s war
with Vietnam to a foreigner. It was difficult to imagine how Wei, an electri-
cian at Beijing Zoo, came to acquire military secrets. What was not controver-
sial was Wei’s outspoken advocacy of human rights and democratic reforms.
He was sentenced to 15 years in prison. In 1980, the “four freedoms” clause,
which allowed people to assemble, express their views, write wall posters, stage
demonstrations, and—a fifth freedom—hold strikes, was removed from the
PRC’s constitution.
Some analysts have interpreted Deng’s sponsorship of the democracy move-
ment as cynically manipulative: a tool to be discarded once it had served its
purpose. Others saw the crackdown not as evidence of a ruse but, rather, as an
attempt to mold democracy into a less socially disruptive form. Yet a third view
is that Deng was himself a reformer and in favor of democratic freedoms, but
had acceded to the wishes of party conservatives who feared that the movement
was getting out of hand.
Deng Ascendant
By the time the Third Plenum of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Chi-
nese Communist Party (CCP) was held in December 1978, the extent to which
Deng had been able to exert his influence was clear. With the cult of personal-
ity proscribed and Hua diminished in stature, Deng reintroduced a much more
ambitious form of the Four Modernizations program that had originally been
discussed some years earlier. It was revived by Hua soon after Mao’s death, but
after the Third Plenum, the program and its ambitious goal of bringing the PRC
into the ranks of the more developed countries by the year 2000 became identi-
fied with Deng.
The primary focus of the Four Modernizations was economic and is dis-
cussed in Chapter 7. The sociopolitical ramifications of these economic reforms
were, however, enormous. In order to encourage people to produce more, the
leadership sanctioned economic incentives that would have been unthinkable
under Mao. They were told that there was no shame in being rich, and, further,
that it was all right for some people to become rich before others. Wealth could
even be inherited. Agricultural goods could be sold in free markets, and produc-
tive factory workers could be awarded bonuses. Unproductive factories would
be closed, with workers forced to find other employment. The media repeatedly
warned people that the “iron rice bowl”—guaranteed employment regardless of
job performance—would be smashed.
Intellectually rigorous examinations were reintroduced as the criterion
for admission to universities. At the same time, the requirement for political
108 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
reliability was quietly downgraded. Under the new regime, “redness” was to be
less important than expertise. Rapid modernization would require knowledge of
modern technology. To accomplish this faster, Deng announced an “open door”
to the advanced countries of the world. Advocating measures that would have
sounded familiar to proponents of the self-strengthening movement a century
before, Deng announced that foreign trade was welcome, foreign technology
could be purchased, and Chinese students would be sent to Western and Japanese
universities. There were other innovations as well. Since increases in productivity
would have a lesser effect if they had to be divided among a larger number of
people, a stringent birth control policy was announced: The ideal family would
have only one child, and no more than two was permitted.
In order to enlist the support of intellectuals, the Maoist characterization of
them as “the stinking ninth category” was removed. No longer to be despised,
experts’ advice would be actively sought out. Major party and state ministries
and commissions began to consult think-tank specialists. The whole concept of
progress through class struggle, which had been so important to the Maoist vari-
ant of Marxism–Leninism, was explicitly repudiated. Henceforth, cooperation
rather than confrontation was to be the driving force of progress. A new state
constitution, promulgated in 1982, deleted the 1978 constitution’s definition of
China as a “dictatorship of the proletariat” and replaced it with a description of
China as a “people’s democratic dictatorship.” This meant a return to the lan-
guage used in the original 1954 state constitution.
Class labels such as capitalist and landlord, that had been awarded as long as
30 years ago and that had been hereditary, were removed. An investigation was
promised into verdicts rendered during such mass campaigns as the anti-rightist
movement of 1957 and the Cultural Revolution of the late 1960s; people dis-
covered to have been wronged would have their verdicts reversed. Many famous
figures, including former head of state Liu Shaoqi, were rehabilitated posthu-
mously. Henceforth, verdicts were supposed to be delivered according to proper
legal procedures. Because the legal profession had all but disappeared by the late
1970s, codes would have to be drawn up and people trained to implement them.
The codes would also cover business practices, since foreign companies were
understandably reluctant to trade with a country that did not provide them with
any means of redress for such problems as delivery of substandard merchandise
or failure to deliver goods at all.
Constitutional guarantees and procedures would also be extended to the
electoral system. In marked contrast to the practice of the previous decade,
party and state organs would now meet at their scheduled times. Members of
these bodies were to be chosen by secret ballot. There would be more candi-
dates than positions, although in lower level elections only, at least at first.
This would be a first step toward competitive elections. The Chinese People’s
Political Consultative Conference was revived. As the organ of the united front,
it had disappeared during the Cultural Revolution, when the whole concept of
the united front came under attack for being tantamount to collaboration with
bourgeois revisionism.
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 109
There are obvious problems with this definition. A great deal of content in
Deng’s new program was in direct opposition to Marxism, Leninism, and the
thought of Mao. And how could one follow the socialist road when many of the
directional signals appeared to be written in capitalist language? Other problems
in operationalizing Deng’s principles soon appeared. Economic decentralization
had uncomfortable consequences for the centralized political leadership of the
CCP, and promises for truly competitive elections at lower levels were contrary
to the practice of democratic centralism. Although the principle of democratic
centralism stipulates that lower level bodies should elect the members of higher
level bodies, in reality it had been just the opposite. Now, when the higher levels
persisted in picking all the candidates for lower level positions, vigorous protests
occurred. Ambiguities and dissonances from reality notwithstanding, the Four
Basic Principles constituted the definition of the new socialism and became the
standard against which loyalty was judged.
who considered themselves victims of Mao’s regime. Several moves were made
in this direction. The Mao mausoleum was closed for several months in 1979,
and stories appeared in the official press describing the hardships of the workers
whose homes had been razed in order to build the edifice. In that it was clear
to all who had given the order to build the Mao mausoleum, this had the effect
of tarnishing Hua as well as Mao. In August 1980, the central committee issued
a directive banning all personality cults of all leaders, dead or alive. Mao’s and
Hua’s pictures were the only ones that were regularly hung in public places, and
images of both rapidly disappeared from most offices and meeting halls. Several
statues of Mao were dismantled, some of them toppled by angry crowds. There
was no overt official sanction of such acts, but neither were the perpetrators
punished, as would have happened only a few years before.
In November 1980, the Gang of Four was put on trial, with carefully edited
excerpts of the proceedings made available for television broadcast. Its members
were charged with executing policies that were widely believed to have had the
backing of Mao. A defiant Madame Mao argued exactly this from the prisoners’
dock. Characterizing herself as “Chairman Mao’s dog,” she described her role as
barking when he told her to bark. Most politically aware Chinese seem to have
understood the trial as an indictment of Mao. Foreign visitors who spoke with
locals about the Gang of Four reported that they pointedly held up five fingers,
the last digit representing the chairman as unindicted co-conspirator.
There were also people who strongly disapproved of the idea of destroy-
ing Mao Zedong’s reputation. Some were ideological hard-liners who had been
advantaged during the period when such policies had prevailed. Significantly,
however, others had not. One elderly military officer who had been cruelly
treated during the Cultural Revolution pleaded poignantly that removing Mao
from his place of honor would leave young people with nothing to believe in,
thus provoking the kind of crisis of confidence he had noticed in many countries
of the West, despite the high level of material well-being they had achieved.
Eventually, a compromise was reached by declaring that Mao’s record was
70 percent positive and 30 percent negative. His mausoleum reopened, with
a chamber containing Zhou Enlai memorabilia added. Pictures of Mao were
rehung in public places, albeit in lesser numbers than before. The study of his
works resumed, but more selectively and with less fervor. No longer idolized,
Mao was at least accorded a modicum of respect.
Because Hua Guofeng had been minister of public security at the time of the
incident, he might well have been indicted in 1980 along with the Gang of Four.
Deng’s price for not doing so was reported to be Hua’s resignation.
Hua was replaced as premier by Deng’s protégé, the former Sichuan party
secretary Zhao Ziyang. Another Deng ally, Hu Yaobang, whose previous career
had been concentrated in the Communist Youth League (CYL), took over as
party general secretary. Deng Xiaoping himself took over Hua’s position as
head of the party’s Central Military Commission. Deng then withdrew from
his position as head of the PLA’s general staff department and replaced himself
with yet another old ally from his Second Field Army, Qin Jiwei. He had thus
chosen to install his protégés in the top positions in party and government
rather than taking either position himself. There was, however, no doubt who
exercised ultimate decision making. Deng was referred to as “the paramount
leader,” a position that existed on no organization chart. Actual power at the
top of the PRC leadership was therefore not synonymous with theoretical
power, as indeed it had not been under the latter part of Hua Guofeng’s time
in high office either.
Deng then moved to discredit the Petroleum Faction by holding it responsi-
ble for concealing the capsizing of an oil-exploration rig in the North China Sea.
Suspicions that the release of this information was politically motivated—the
information was released a year after the event had occurred—were reinforced
when the scandal was not blamed on the remnant poison of the Gang of Four,
as virtually everything else at that time had been. A military faction leader was
removed after a spate of PLA publications took a markedly different propaganda
line from that espoused by Deng. Another military leader, Marshal Ye Jianying,
was decidedly more difficult for Deng to deal with. Although privately defiant,
he did not publicly challenge Deng. As Ye was also nearly 90 years old, Deng may
have considered that time was on his side.
Having successfully neutralized his rivals, Deng found that some of his
reforms were themselves causing problems. The “ten thousand horses” that
had stood mute were definitely energized, but the flaw in Deng’s reasoning was
his assumption that the changes he introduced would cause all of them to rush
forward in the desired direction. What actually happened was that while some
did rush forward, others hung back or charged off in a number of different
directions, and a few even butted heads with each other. In practice, economic
decentralization often led to wasteful duplication, adversely affecting profits and
sometimes leading to cutthroat competition. For example, five areas decided to
build cigarette factories when only one was needed. From the government’s point
of view, too much money was being invested in the wrong kinds of projects:
Localities typically decided to construct upscale guest houses rather than more
needed facilities, such as fertilizer factories. Some areas refused to sell resources
needed by others, preferring to use them locally, and also indulged in other
market-fragmenting actions like imposing levies on trucks passing through. If
selling vegetables brought more money than selling pigs, many independent pro-
ducers switched to raising vegetables, resulting in shortages of pork. A policy that
112 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
tried to limit families to just one child was most unpopular, particularly among
the farmers who formed the great majority of China’s citizens at that time.
Deng’s judgment that it was acceptable to be rich and that it was all right
for some to become rich before others led to increasing inequalities of income
and a concomitant increase in jealousy—the “red-eye disease.” Those with an
entrepreneurial flair and a willingness to work longer hours than their fellows
often became comparatively wealthy, but not without dangers to themselves.
One woman’s neighbors destroyed all the eggs she had planned to sell; another’s
broke the legs of her milk cows, forcing her to kill the cows herself. Still other
newly prosperous people were victimized by cadres who exacted punitive “taxes.”
Moreover, not everyone who became rich did so as a result of intelligence and
hard work. Some prospered because they were able to exploit family or other
connections—the pervasive guanxi. Those who had access to vehicles and ware-
houses could buy items cheaply in one area, smuggle them to another, and hoard
them until scarcity drove the price up to the profit margin they wanted. Regional
income disparities were also widened by the new policies: Nature had endowed
some areas with better resources than others.
Another focus of jealousy was the children of high-ranking officials. It
was noted that they constituted a disproportionate number of those who were
selected to study abroad and that Deng Xiaoping’s own son was among them.
When and if they decided to return to China, these privileged sons and daugh-
ters of the powerful frequently obtained positions with access to foreign cur-
rency and travel to coveted destinations. Often, such positions were connected
with the PRC’s newly founded foreign trading companies, where the children
might receive lucrative bribes from companies desiring contracts or access to
their influential parents. This aroused intense resentment from their peers, who
considered themselves at least as well qualified, and often were. The individuals
thus favored became known as princelings.
Many leaders became concerned with the rise of what they regarded as ram-
pant materialism that led people to have little regard for other human beings.
Examples that would support their claim abounded. A survey conducted at a
Tianjin factory asked the question “What is your ideal?” A composite response
went something like “I find revolutionary ideals hollow. Only visible and tangi-
ble material benefits are useful.” On the other side of the spectrum from mate-
rialism, the reforms also generated idealism of a sort that made some leaders
equally uncomfortable. In 1980 and 1981, a series of disturbances took place
on college campuses in different parts of the country. The proximate cause was
a local communist party decision to delete from the ballot the name of a student
who was a candidate for local office in Changsha. Arguing that elections in
which the party vetted the candidates were not free elections, large numbers of
students began to protest. Their demands soon moved beyond reinstating the
student’s name on the ballot and toward more fundamental issues like human
rights and democracy.
The promise to investigate past judgments and, if warranted, to reverse
verdicts clogged the system. Enormous numbers of petitioners appeared. These
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 113
included people who had been sent down to the countryside 10 or 20 years
before and who were eager to return. When their demands were not dealt with
quickly, they were likely to demonstrate in front of party or government offices
and to publicly declare that they held their leaders responsible. Desperate to pres-
ent their grievances to the leadership, a small army of peasants camped out in
Beijing in the bitterly cold winter of 1979/1980. They also proved ready to talk
with foreign reporters: Much to the annoyance of the elite, their pinched faces
and sad stories were frequently featured by foreign news media.
Generally speaking, there was broad agreement within both the leadership
and the public on what the country’s problems were: inflation, corruption, nep-
otism, inefficiency, and low production levels. Where they disagreed was on how
to deal with the problems. Leftists tended to hold the reforms responsible for the
problems and to argue that recentralization of party and government controls
was needed to curb these dangerous tendencies before chaos ensued. Reformers
believed that many of the problems had arisen because the reforms had been par-
tial: More reforms were needed. They added that to rescind them or to suppress
people’s right to criticize aberrations of the system would lead to worse prob-
lems and even chaos. Both groups favored the goals of the reforms, but leftists
tended to be more fearful of the consequences thereof. They wanted to move
more slowly on implementing the reforms while acting faster to correct problems
they saw as caused by them.
One should be wary of differentiating too sharply between the two groups,
since the specific circumstances of China’s situation at any given point in time
could persuade some people who had been in favor of rapid reforms to opt for
a more moderate pace, or vice versa. Even the strongest pro-democracy activists
were aware that many obstacles had to be overcome before they could bring
about the sorts of sweeping reforms they favored. For example, in the mid-1980s,
a young man who would become a prominent human rights activist during the
1989 demonstrations attempted to survey public opinion in rural Gansu prov-
ince. He abandoned the effort after discovering that most peasants were unable
to read, much less fill out his questionnaires. An interview with one of the richest
and best-educated peasants in the area also yielded surprising results. Of course,
said the patriarch with feeling, he knew who Chairman Mao was: the emperor.
He had been a great emperor, and the new emperor, Deng, also seemed good. The
peasant added emphatically that reform was good, and that he agreed with what-
ever the government did. Later, the frustrated interviewer told a fellow researcher
that “if we gave these people the vote tomorrow, they would simply agree to
surrender all their rights to the emperor.”
The crisis of faith that some had feared would accompany a repudiation of
Mao seemed to come about anyway. One small incident in 1981, involving a
traffic accident between the mayor of Shanghai’s limousine and a truck, may be
indicative of attitudes toward authority. Seemingly indifferent to the matter of
who was responsible for the crash, a crowd of bystanders quickly surged forward
to form a barrier between the truck driver and the traffic police. In shouted con-
sensus, they announced that a fitting punishment would be for the mayor to be
114 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
their seventies and eighties. Below them, a large number of capable people had
remained unpromoted for decades, thus dampening their enthusiasm. Reduc-
tion in numbers and ages of personnel offered a way to solve some of these
problems. Since the cuts could be arranged to fall disproportionately on oppo-
nents of Deng’s programs, the drive could be used to reduce factionalism and
ease the path of reform as well.
The Twelfth Party Congress in September 1982 established the Central Advi-
sory Commission as a way to retire some elderly senior leaders with honor. The
commission did absorb some of these, but not necessarily with the desired effect.
Several individuals agreed to leave their current positions for the advisory group,
but not until they were able to select their own successors. Typically, this was
someone who could be expected to do his mentor’s bidding, and the older leader
therefore continued to rule from behind the scenes.
The handpicked successor was often the retiree’s own son or daughter, thus
swelling the ranks of the princelings and giving credibility to the arguments
of critics of that faction. Some elderly leaders would not resign at all. These
included Ye Jianying, Deng’s erstwhile ally and more recent nemesis. In that
more people who did not possess formal power continued to exercise real power,
the creation of the Central Advisory Commission and various other schemes to
induce the elderly to retire widened the gap between theoretical responsibility
and actual authority.
The retirements caused other problems as well. In his zeal to reduce the
average ages of office holders, Deng had passed over an entire generation in
its sixties and late fifties, leading to grave disappointments and loss of morale.
Moreover, a select group of Deng cronies, headed by Deng himself, remained at
the center stage of power despite being in their late seventies or early eighties.
A newspaper which suggested that Deng should set an example by resigning
himself was promptly closed down. Deng had, in fact, made an effort to relin-
quish his position as chair of the Central Military Commission (CMC)—though
he did not suggest leaving his seat on the politburo—in favor of his protégé
Hu Yaobang. Since Hu was party general secretary, this would have placed the
party’s top military position in the hands of the person who held the highest
position in the party, as had been the case while Mao ruled and also during
the earlier part of Hua Guofeng’s time in office. Arguing that Hu had no sig-
nificant military experience, and apparently also believing that he lacked good
judgment, PLA leaders were able to block the move. This resistance from the
military represented a significant weakness in Hu’s position. While Deng cer-
tainly retained ultimate decision-making power with regard to the military, he
was busy with many more pressing aspects of the administration of China. The
actual day-to-day running of the PLA was in the hands of the CMC’s general
secretary, Yang Shangkun.
The mid-1980s were characterized by some events that allowed the reform-
ers to claim success for their program and by others that lent credence to the left-
ist critique thereof. For example, nominal personal income rose in 1985, but so
did the inflation rate. Rising prices triggered panic buying, which in turn caused
116 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
A few days later, however, the newspaper noted that it had made a mistake; the
commentary should have said that the works of Marx and Lenin should not be
expected to solve all of present-day China’s problems. In March 1985, Deng
stressed the need to heighten ideological vigilance lest the country’s youngsters
fall victim to capitalist ideas. Marx and Lenin had clearly regained official back-
ing, with Deng’s behavior interpreted as yet another of his tactical retreats in the
face of criticism.
Infighting between reformers and leftists continued. Uncertainty about
whether the system would move backward, forward, or stay the same caused
problems as well. The nation’s peasant-oriented newspaper repeated a favorite
slogan of its constituency: “Fear neither waterlogging nor drought, but a change
in the party’s policies.” Those who believed that they could make no predictions
about the future were reluctant to invest in the present. Although such attitudes
were understandable, they had a dampening effect on development. Officials also
worried about the rising incidence of disorder, with the population increasingly
unwilling to accept their directives. In widely different parts of the country there
were soccer riots, anti-Japanese demonstrations, Turkic Muslim protests against
nuclear testing in Xinjiang, and demonstrations against various official abuses
of power. In 1986, a Beijing crowd estimated at 1,000 cornered a police vehicle,
jeering at its occupants and threatening to overturn it. The rather minor incident
that had sparked this confrontation—a policeman had slapped a motorcyclist in
an argument over a traffic violation—suggested the existence of a more serious
underlying hostility toward police authority.
At the end of 1986, large student demonstrations began at a university in
Hefei, Anhui province. Despite an official attempt to suppress the news, the
demonstrations quickly spread to many other areas, including Shanghai and
Beijing. On January 1, 1987, Beijing students assembled in Tiananmen Square,
defying both an explicit ban against demonstrating and the freezing weather. To
further discourage the gathering, the police had sprayed water onto the huge
square, transforming it into a slick sheet of ice. Among the students’ demands
were greater democratization in general and, specifically, the return of the “four
freedoms” clause that had been deleted from the constitution in 1980. After sev-
eral weeks of uncertainty, the demonstrations were put down.
Leftists saw the unrest as proof of their contention that granting political
freedoms would lead to chaos and disruption. Hu Yaobang, with his background
in the Youth League and his association with the reform group, was blamed for
mishandling the demonstrations and resigned as party general secretary. A spate
of anecdotes illustrating Hu’s inept conduct in the office began to circulate. Some
simply repeated previously known stories; others may have been fabricated. The
common thread of the anecdotes reinforced the wisdom of PLA leadership in
blocking Hu’s appointment as CMC chair. Others of lesser renown were also
relieved of their positions for complicity in the demonstrations. Among them
was Fang Lizhi, the vice-president of the Anhui university where the demon-
strations began. An eminent astrophysicist, he had also been vocal in support of
democratization.
118 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
The west is red; the sun has set/A Deng Xiaoping has come
He serves the privileged very well/And tells the rest to go to hell.
protesting injustice was horrifying. The party’s already tenuous claim to repre-
sent the people was weakened still further. Demonstrations in other cities were
also put down.
The failure of the Tiananmen demonstrators to achieve their goals weighed
heavily on the survivors and their sympathizers, particularly after the vic-
tories of similar popular protests in the USSR and in Eastern Europe. They
tended, probably unfairly, to blame themselves. The demonstrations in the PRC,
by encouraging others to voice their grievances openly, may have resonated
throughout the communist world. The Chinese situation was also different
from that in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. Deng Xiaoping’s personal
ties with the military appeared to have been critical in winning over PLA lead-
ers who were reluctant to move on the protestors. By contrast, Gorbachev had
made many enemies within the Soviet military through years of budget cutting,
and the Romanian military did not support Ceaucesçu. Poland, unlike China,
had an organized opposition, the Solidarity movement, headed by the charis-
matic Lech Walesa. Factionalism within the ranks of the Chinese demonstrators
was, however, a problem, and apparently no attempt was made to draw the
peasants into the protest movement. Were the demonstrations to be held again
today, the outcome might be very different. No subsequent leader had or has
the depth of ties with the military and the personal authority that Deng Xiaop-
ing enjoyed, and the peasantry, quiescent during the 1989 demonstrations, has
become far more restive.
In the short run, the resolution of the demonstrations was a victory for
leftists. The day after the Tiananmen incident, Deng appeared, surrounded by
his octogenarian support group, most of them (President Yang Shangkun and
Vice-President Wang Zhen being the exceptions) members of the Central Advi-
sory Commission rather than holders of formal positions of authority. There
seemed no better way to symbolize who was in charge in China: The PRC had
not yet managed the transition from the revolutionary generation to the succes-
sor generation.
Zhao Ziyang was replaced as party general secretary by Jiang Zemin, a for-
mer Shanghai party chief. Like Premier Li Peng, Jiang was an engineer who had
received training in the Soviet Union. Never very popular in Shanghai, Jiang may
have come to the attention of party leftists because of his efficient suppression of
the 1986/1987 demonstrations there. He had also fired the editor of a Shanghai
newspaper known for its willingness to test the limits of government censorship.
Shanghai people believed that Jiang had not worked very hard to obtain their
city’s fair share of resources allocated by the central government, which cen-
tral government leftists may have regarded as a point in his favor. However, Jiang
had presided over a number of reforms in Shanghai and could not simply be clas-
sified as a leftist.
Zhao was also deprived of his seat on the standing committee of the polit-
buro, being replaced by Jiang Zemin. The policies China pursued for two years
following the Tiananmen incident of 1989 were somewhat more to the left, but
with certain important counter-trends. Initial fears that the open door to the
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 123
outside world would be slammed shut were not borne out. The new leadership
continued to value the skills that could be learned in foreign countries; it also
continued to seek foreign investment and foreign tourism. Market reforms moved
ahead, and stock exchanges were opened. Internally, however, the government
became more repressive. Those who spoke out during the demonstrations were
identified and apprehended. There were increased pressures toward ideological
conformity, including a campaign to learn, yet again, from that selfless hero of
the early 1960s, Lei Feng (see Chapter 9).
Domestically, the leadership continued to chart a course of economic reforms
and political authoritarianism. Deng’s well-publicized trip to areas of south
China in early 1992 that had prospered through his reforms symbolized his deci-
sion to again speed up the pace of those reforms. In line with his wishes, the
Fourteenth Party Congress, meeting in October 1992, called for the creation of a
socialist market economy. The Western press immediately renamed this unusual
hybrid “market-Leninism” (see Chapter 8). Deng Xiaoping and the surviving
octogenarian leaders stressed the need for stability. The party congress abolished
the Central Advisory Commission, though this did not guarantee that the mem-
bers thereof, with their powerful network of connections and protégés, would no
longer influence decision making.
Despite Deng’s emphasis on rejuvenation, the average age of the Fourteenth
Central Committee’s members was up slightly, from 55.2 years in the Thirteenth
Central Committee to 56.3. However, in the much smaller and more powerful
politburo, this situation was reversed: The average age of its 20 full and two
alternate members had declined from 68.6 to 62.5 years. Thirteen members had
graduated from college, mostly in engineering and natural sciences, vis-à-vis only
four in the previous politburo. The new politburo also had more of what might
be called an external orientation: The foreign minister and minister of foreign
trade became members, as did the heads of five coastal provinces and cities. Liu
Huaqing, a military man loyal to Deng, joined the politburo’s standing commit-
tee. Yang Baibing became a member of the politburo, though his formal ties to
the PLA were severed at the same time that he was appointed (see Chapter 9).
Deng’s motive was apparently to ensure that his chosen successor, Jiang Zemin,
would not be deposed by a member of the Yang faction of the military. Yang
Shangkun resigned as president of the PRC; shortly thereafter, his position was
assumed by Jiang Zemin. Since Jiang remained party general secretary and head
of the military commission, he had thus concentrated much of the formal politi-
cal power of the PRC in his person.
Although open challenges to party and government authority continued to
be harshly punished, the citizenry became increasingly assertive. A number of
Beijing voters protested at the slate of candidates offered to them in a 1991
local election by casting ballots for Zhao Ziyang, whose name was not listed.
At the National People’s Congress two years later, 11 percent of the delegates
either voted against Premier Li Peng or abstained. Since the delegates had been
chosen partly on the basis of their loyalty, their actions represented a stun-
ning rebuke. In Beijing during the closing months of 1993, leading democracy
124 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
activists formed a “Peace Charter” group that called on the CCP to accept a
multiparty system or face the only other alternative: violent change. Its members
were promptly arrested.
Not all protest was so overt. Although China’s security apparatus was
regarded as so ruthlessly efficient that escape was rarely thought of, much less
attempted, 8 of the 21 June 4 dissidents on the government’s “most wanted”
list managed to flee to the West. Several years later, a cameraman with polit-
ically sensitive film was told by a public security officer, “I could arrest you,
but what for? I’ll get some praise, but I won’t get rich. And then the situation
will change. You will be exonerated and I’ll be the one in trouble for having
arrested you.”
The radio call-in show, a new phenomenon with a potentially great impact
on Chinese politics, appeared in a few urban areas. Callers showed remark-
able frankness in criticizing local officials for poor performance of duty and in
pointing out violations of laws. They suggested ways to better handle problems,
from toll collection to garbage pickup. People were also more willing to pro-
test, sometimes violently, when they felt that their grievances were not being
addressed. Each year brought a new, record number of these disturbances. In
the countryside, clan and religious leaders gained power at the expense of party
organs. Power drifted away from the center, with regions and provinces becom-
ing more important.
so. The Fifteenth Party Congress, held in September 1997, was regarded as an
important test for his leadership.
The result was a qualified victory for Jiang. The central committee sup-
ported his request for a mandatory retirement age of 70, with the year of birth
and the month of June rather than one’s actual birth date being used for pur-
poses of calculation. This allowed Jiang Zemin to remain as general secretary
but forced his major rival, Qiao Shi, to retire. However, a man regarded as
Qiao’s protégé replaced him on the politburo standing committee. Admiral Liu
Huaqing, in his eighties, also retired, meaning that there was no military rep-
resentation on the standing committee. Li Lanqing, a vice-premier of the state
council with special responsibility for education, filled the vacancy. The other
members remained the same.
Jiang also failed to revive the position of party chair, a post he had hoped to
assume. If, as alleged, Jiang was trying to create a Shanghai faction, his success
was only partial. A number of Shanghainese thought to have Jiang’s backing
failed to receive enough votes to serve on the central committee. Only one of
Jiang’s “gang” was elected to the politburo, with his vote tally being one of the
lowest. Jiang’s fellow standing committee member Zhu Rongji was also from
Shanghai, but because of his success in bringing a soft landing to China’s over-
heated economy in the mid-1990s, Zhu was more often regarded as Jiang’s rival
than as a member of his clique.
The new standing committee comprised seven members, the youngest of
whom, Hu Jintao, had been elevated to the standing committee in 1992 at an
unusually early age. Hu was thus regarded as the front-runner to succeed Jiang.
Members of the Fifteenth Central Committee, its politburo, and its standing
committee were comparable in age to, though better educated than, those of the
Fourteenth. Engineering was by far the best-represented profession, with foreign
analysts predicting that this would lead the standing committee to seek prag-
matic solutions to problems.
At the congress, Jiang spelled out in more detail the plan for economic
restructuring which he had initially mentioned at the Central Party School. The
Ninth National People’s Congress, meeting in March 1998, decreed that 40 min-
istries would be reduced to 29 and half of the state bureaucracy’s 8 million jobs
eliminated. Skeptics noted that the PRC’s numerous previous efforts to prune its
bureaucracy had resulted in an initial reduction, after which numbers of cadres
actually increased beyond the original levels. Plans also aimed at reorganizing the
country’s entire financial structure, including its banking system and investment
institutions. State-owned enterprises were to be drastically restructured, privat-
ized, merged, and, if all else failed, closed down.
Civic Organizations
By the mid-1990s, the number of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) had
proliferated. In order to make sure that they do not escape control, all are required
to register with the government. Some, however, manage to evade close super-
vision and behave with a degree of autonomy. Some do not register at all, and
hence exist outside the law. One study of NGOs observed that, while they might
evolve from “state corporatist” to “societal corporatist” modes of organization,
high-status groups rather than ordinary people are likely to be the principal ben-
eficiaries of the evolution. In addition, although some of these groups strongly
favor the protection of individual liberties and democratic reforms, others advo-
cate a variety of other positions, including strong leadership and the suppression
of any sort of freedom of expression that could cause social instability. Even so,
the central government, fearing loss of control, became concerned.
In 1998, Beijing passed more restrictive laws that disestablished a large num-
ber of NGOs for reasons that included redundancy, poor management, illegality,
serious interference in social and economic order, and possession of a politically
problematic nature. One of those which was disestablished was Falun Gong,
a society combining meditative elements of Buddhism and Daoism with tradi-
tional Chinese breathing exercises and certain martial arts techniques. In late
April 1999, more than 10,000 of its members quietly gathered outside the lead-
ership compound of Zhongnanhai to request re-registration. Party and govern-
ment appear to have been taken completely by surprise: The group’s members
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 127
had come to Beijing from many different parts of the country, eluding the surveil-
lance techniques that are supposed to prevent such organized movements. Falun
Gong’s timing was also sensitive, coming exactly ten years after the Tiananmen
demonstrations began. A crackdown resulted in the arrest and often brutal treat-
ment of thousands of innocuous-seeming middle-aged and even elderly people,
some of whom died as a result. Other religions were targeted as well. From the
point of view of those who wanted to see a civil society emerging in the PRC, this
represented regression.
Despite Jiang’s concern with stability, a modicum of freedom was allowed.
Both books critical of reform and books critical of the critics and demanding
more reforms were tolerated. Prison conditions improved somewhat. Some
high-profile dissidents, most notably Wei Jingsheng, were released. This did not
necessarily indicate a softer attitude toward dissent, since the dissidents were
freed so that they could seek medical treatment abroad. This had the advantage
of ridding the PRC of high-profile potential troublemakers while simultaneously
allowing American political leaders who championed their cause to claim that
they had extracted a concession from their Chinese counterparts. Immediately
after one set of dissidents is released, others may be arrested.
Under current regulations, NGOs continue to be restricted in various ways.
They must have an official sponsor, defined as a government or party depart-
ment or mass organization, which undertakes to monitor the NGO’s activities.
NGOs are required to present membership lists, and must have a certain level of
funding, with all donations notarized. Under Hu Jintao, restrictions on receiving
foreign funds were tightened. Organizations with similar agendas are not per-
mitted to function within a given administrative region. They must be inspected
annually, and can be de-registered for even perceived shortcomings. Many report
being harassed in various ways such as having their water or electricity cut off.
Some easing may be taking place: Beijing and Shanghai municipalities and the
Shenzhen Special Economic Zone no longer require certain groups to have a
sponsor organization, for example. Nonetheless, the government remains vigi-
lant in approving and supervising NGOs.
Still, there are limits to the center’s powers. Although officials tend to be very
responsive to orders from their immediate superiors, they tend to be less respon-
sive to superiors at successive levels above them. Individual officials must also
operate within their local bureaucracies, which often have interests and goals
that differ from those of the center. If local officials try too hard to enforce
unpopular policies from higher up, they risk alienating their constituents; if they
do not implement the policies, they may hurt their careers. The art of balancing
these contradictory pressures often involves telling both sides what they want
to hear. Quiet deviation and rule bending are less dangerous and more effective
than outright defiance but, if discovered, can also have adverse consequences for
the individuals involved.
Alternate sources of revenue, such as locally raised, illegal, taxes, can lower
dependence on Beijing. To its dismay, the central government has discovered some
villages, and even small cities, that operate quite autonomously from its control.
While some of these so-called independent kingdoms are well run by what the
media term their “local emperors,” lack of supervision is conducive to the abuse
of power and corruption. Imposing age and educational requirements to improve
cadres’ qualifications has a downside as well. It separates officials into two cate-
gories: promotable and terminal, with most of the latter found at lower levels of
party and government. Knowing that their tenure in office is limited incentivizes
terminal officials to take as many of the spoils of office as they feel they can get
away with. Hence, the decreasing control of the state does not necessarily mean
an evolution toward pluralist government or civil society.
The government’s recentralization of the fiscal system, followed by the aboli-
tion of the agricultural and fee-for-services taxes (see Chapter 7), devastated local
finances in many rural areas and led to the rise of entrepreneur cadres who, in
charge of local businesses, feel less need to be responsive to central government
demands. There has been talk of abolishing township governments, which would
eliminate a great deal of expense but has significant disadvantages. In essence, this
would mean that the reach of the central government would stop at county level,
leading to a re-creation of the situation in imperial China. However, the PRC has
many more people than imperial China, and they have come to expect more of
their government than was true in imperial China. Moreover, the specter of the
return of the roving bandits and secret societies of yore is not attractive; nor is the
prospect of a new Maoist-type political insurgency movement.
At the lowest level of society, Deng’s reforms also fundamentally changed the
nature of central government control. The disbandment of communes led to a
rapid erosion of the party’s authority in rural areas. Crime rates rose, as did resis-
tance to government policies such as tax collection and family planning. Certain
tasks that the commune had taken care of were simply not being done. By the
early 1980s, peasants in some areas began to experiment with various forms of
self-government. The central government saw these as a way to re-legitimate its
authority in rural areas, allowing it to maintain social stability and raise revenue.
In 1987, the National People’s Congress passed a provisional law on village elec-
tions, revising and extending it in 1998. All of the country’s 730,000 administra-
tive villages must now conduct direct elections every three years.
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 129
There have been both successes and problems in the implementation of this
reform. Elections have provided a safety valve for peasants who feel angry and
exploited. They have also introduced a standardized system of elections into a
culture with very little prior experience in making political choices, thus fostering
a new value system and awareness among peasants that they have some leverage
in bargaining with party and government. On the debit side, cadres have some-
times refused to allow individuals to exercise their constitutional right to run
for office. Those who know the law and insist on their rights may be arrested,
charged with endangering national security, and sentenced to several years in
prison. Clan organizations, mafia-style “black gangs,” and quasi-religious lead-
ers exercise powerful pressures in many villages. Vote buying occurs more often
than the government would like. Still, there are also villages where the process
works as it should, providing a valuable education in democracy.
Education in democracy is but a first step. There are few indications that
village democracy is challenging the local power structure. Voters tend to select
candidates who are acceptable to the local power elite, and, since corruption is
often perpetrated by cadres at township or county level, it is difficult for even
the most motivated village leaders to do anything to curb it. An author who was
invited to one county to write about its economic successes described bureau-
crats there and elsewhere as speaking two languages: standard mandarin and
under-the-table deal making. He found that they ignored regulations and the
central government’s guidelines, concentrating instead on their own interests.
The scores of defamation suits which aggrieved officials filed against the author
were dropped after he presented evidence to back up his statements.
In urban areas, elections have been occurring on an experimental basis since
1999, when 12 pilot cities were allowed to choose positions on urban residence
committees. These constitute the lowest level of state power in cities. As is the
case with rural elections, these are sometimes reasonably democratic and at other
times far from it. With regard to the latter, lists of candidates may, for example,
be prepared by an election committee controlled by the municipal government.
Sometimes the committees have achieved results of significant importance to
their constituents, such as getting the government to improve sanitation collec-
tion, close down a noisy karaoke bar, or improve street lighting. The authorities
also hope that the committees will help them in reporting on, for example, the
presence of illegal workers or members of banned religious sects.
The path to reform is not linear, and there have been significant setbacks.
Free-wheeling Shenzhen, the Special Economic Zone abutting Hong Kong, was
chosen as the testing ground for a new municipal structure implemented in 2003.
Government was to be divided into three divisions—policy making, execution,
and supervision, replacing the traditional communist government structure that
had no such division of power. Shenzhen officials, aware that the concept of
the separation of powers is taboo, explicitly denied any similarity between this
tripartite arrangement and the executive–legislative–judicial division that is com-
mon in Western governments. Nonetheless, the plan was quickly abandoned and
replaced with a less ambitious plan that unfortunately failed to solve Shenzhen’s
corruption and other problems.
130 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
Chiang Kai-shek led thieves and mugs; Mao Zedong led peasant thugs;
Deng Xiaoping led a corrupt crew; Jiang Zemin asks “What do we do?”
The common person’s reaction to his plan to restructure the economy was
no better:
to continue, since they were over 70 years of age. Should the transition to the
fourth generation occur without major upheaval, this would be a milestone in
CCP history as well as an important marker in the institutionalization of polit-
ical power in the PRC. Yet the media’s incessant praise of Jiang Zemin and his
Three Represents, championed by the military, caused many to wonder whether
the transition would actually take place.
In the end, Jiang did step down and, apart from Hu Jintao, so did all the
other standing committee members. A rule change assumed to be motivated by
factional interest lowered the maximum eligible age to 68, thereby mandating
even Li Ruihuan’s resignation. Hu assumed the title of party general secretary,
though Jiang retained the position of chair of the party’s CMC. Some argued
that this could open a division between the party and the gun, and there was
much talk of two centers of power, Jiang’s and Hu’s. Jiang’s efforts to place
himself among the great names of the party fell a bit short: The congress agreed
unanimously to take “Marxism–Leninism, the thought of Mao Zedong, Deng
Xiaoping theory and the Three Represents” as its guide to action, pointedly not
attaching Jiang’s name to his contributions. The congress also decreed that the
Three Represents would be a guiding ideology which the party must uphold
for a long time to come—that is, not forever, as appeared to be the case for
Marx’s, Lenin’s, Mao’s, and Deng’s contributions. In his concluding report, Jiang
announced the objective of creating a well-off (xiaokang) society by 2020. This
task would, of course, fall to Hu Jintao to implement.
There were doubts about whether Hu, despite holding the position of
party general secretary, would be able to wield the power associated with it.
The unusually large new politburo standing committee had nine members—two
more than its predecessor. Its increased size was believed to reflect the rivalry
between Jiang’s “Shanghai mafia,” melding with the princeling faction, and Hu’s
power base, the CYL. Five or possibly six of them were regarded as allied with
Jiang (see Table 5.1).
The average age of the standing committee members was 61.1 years, about
the same as that of the comparable group in the Fifteenth Party Congress. Curi-
ously, no member was young enough to be considered as a member of the fifth
generation and therefore as being groomed for a top position. The absence of
military leaders, as in the previous standing committee, seemed to indicate the
institutionalization of a norm that the military should not have formal repre-
sentation at the highest levels of political decision making. All nine standing
committee members had an engineering background, leading many analysts to
conclude that they were technocrats and, therefore, predisposed to seek prag-
matic solutions to problems. Others pointed out that China has many engineers
who did not rise to high political positions: The members of the standing com-
mittee attained their pre-eminence not because they were pragmatic problem
solvers but because they had survived numerous bureaucratic battles and fac-
tional strife. The educational backgrounds of members of subsequent politburos
and their standing committees have become more varied, and current emphasis
has been on analyzing their factional affiliations. Interest in red-expert explana-
tions appeared to have ended.
Speculation about a Jiang–Hu rivalry reached a crescendo as the fall 2004
Fourth Plenum of the Sixteenth Central Committee approached. Jiang was
rumored to want to serve his full five-year term, until 2007, as CMC chair. Ref-
erences to Deng Xiaoping voluntarily resigning the same position appeared in
the press, as did a story about an entertainer believed to be romantically involved
with Jiang demanding an exorbitant fee for performing in a poor city. Jiang’s
supporters responded in kind. In the end, Jiang relinquished the position, ending
the uncomfortable two centers of power situation, at least in the formal sense.
In what was regarded as another defeat for Jiang, his protégé, Zeng Qinghong,
failed to receive the vice-chairship of the CMC. Shanghai–CYL rivalries contin-
ued. Hu’s desire to weaken the Shanghai/princeling faction’s power is believed to
be the underlying reason that Shanghai party leader and politburo member Chen
Liangyu was indicted on corruption charges and removed from office. Chen’s
replacement, Xi Jinping, was, however, a princeling whose father had close ties
with both Deng Xiaoping and Hu Yaobang.
With Hu Jintao and his premier, Wen Jiabao, certain to receive approval for
a second five-year term, attention during the run-up to the Seventeenth Party
Congress focused on the selection of those who would succeed them in 2012. Hu
was believed to favor Li Keqiang, who had been active in CYL work and, like
Hu, was born in Anhui province. Surprisingly, Xi Jinping was selected before Li,
and subsequently confirmed as vice-president at the Eleventh National People’s
Congress in March. This positioned Xi to take over as president in 2012. Xi’s
appointment to vice-chair of the CMC in 2010 solidified his prospects. Li, who
was chosen next, was named vice-premier, and therefore the replacement for
Premier Wen Jiabao.
Insofar as factional affiliations could be ascertained, the princeling group
expanded its membership relative to those affiliated with the CYL and Shanghai
group. Another prominent princeling was apparent rising star Bo Xilai, son of
C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012 133
revolutionary leader Bo Yibo. Apart from Xi and Li, there was little generational
turnover as compared with the Sixteenth Party Congress; the average age of the
new standing committee was 62.
Members of the new politburo not only had more diverse educational back-
grounds but were disproportionally from east China, as had been the case for
several decades. Many had studied in Western countries and Japan, whereas pre-
vious leaders, if they had studied abroad at all, were likely to have done so in the
Soviet Union or one of its client states.
In choosing the top officials of party and government, a fundamental motiva-
tion was believed to be to guard against any one leader or faction from dominat-
ing all the others. While a collective leadership has the advantage of preventing
dictatorship, the need to obtain consensus is apt to inhibit any bold initiatives
to implement the reforms that all parties agree are needed. Political infighting
took the form of pressing Hu to deal with familiar issues centering on official
corruption and social injustice, for which conservatives and progressives had
different solutions. Reiterating familiar positions, conservatives argued that the
socialist cause was being abandoned and urged policies that would alleviate the
grievances of the workers and the peasants. Progressives countered that incom-
plete reforms were the underlying causes of social unrest and political crises, and
urged more reform.
Hu appeared to be trying to find a middle ground between the two. Question-
ing single-party rule or advocating Western-style multi-party elections remained
dangerous, but suggestions for reform included instituting formal checks on the
party’s power through a strengthened legal system and freer media. As the Eigh-
teenth Party Congress approached, doubts emerged about Xi’s abilities. During
a visit to Mexico in 2009, Xi accused Western politicians of interfering in the
PRC’s domestic affairs. A few months later, in Pyongyang, Xi praised the glori-
ous Korean War partnership between China and North Korea, angering South
Korea. Chinese commentators began to express quiet concern about his dip-
lomatic qualities. Xi’s failure to receive the vice-chairship of the CMC at the
fall 2009 party plenum reinforced the impression of doubts about his compe-
tence. These were not entirely erased when, at the fall 2010 party plenum, Xi did
receive the vice-chairship that had eluded him the year before. Still, the evolution
toward a more collective Chinese leadership seemed assured.
Conclusions
By the end of the first decade of the twentieth century, both the legitimacy and
the organizational efficiency of the CCP had eroded badly, particularly in the
years since the death of Mao Zedong. With the passing away of iconic revolu-
tionary leaders and the routinization of governing procedures and social rituals,
some of this was probably inevitable. However, some of these changes could
not have been so easily predicted. Most notably they include the alienation of
large numbers of people from the leadership caused by such upheavals as the
anti-rightist campaign, the Great Leap Forward, and the Cultural Revolution.
134 C H A P T E R 5 ▸ Deng Xiaoping and His Protégés: 1976–2012
Deng Xiaoping’s reform movement caused a further, and more rapid, erosion
of both the party’s organizational efficiency and its legitimacy.
More than three decades of limited, piecemeal reforms weakened the integ-
rity of the previous system while not replacing it with one that most people
believe functions better. The previous system was relatively efficient at equitably
distributing the products of scarcity; the new system has been less efficient at
distributing the new wealth. It generated prosperity in some areas, but at the cost
of producing great inequalities of income and status. Stability and predictability
were undermined, leading to popular doubts about the competence of the party
to manage either the economy or the political system. The June 1989 demon-
strations were simply the most visible of a series of social disruptions caused by
partial reform.
The Deng leadership staked its legitimacy on an ambitious economic pro-
gram. Following several years of relative success, especially in the countryside,
problems generated by the program threatened to overwhelm it. Deng’s reforms
appeared to be suffering from the law of diminishing marginal returns: the easy
reforms—those that might be described as tinkering with the system without
cutting deeply into the vested interests of powerful social and political groups—
had all been tried. Although a thoroughgoing structural reform is regarded as
crucial to future development, popular enthusiasm for further reform is low. Too
many people fear the consequences; surveys indicate that most people prefer the
Maoist iron rice bowl to an uncertain future. Jiang Zemin, in turn, staked his
legitimacy on an effort to restructure the economy and end corruption. His suc-
cess in both was limited, since the consequences of these reforms had sufficiently
adverse short-term effects for so many people that they could not be fully imple-
mented. Hu Jintao’s plans to improve the quality of party and government ser-
vices, and to move China toward the well-off society envisioned in Jiang Zemin’s
valedictory report, were praiseworthy, but accomplishments were meager. Critics
charged that Hu and Wen represented a new style, not a new policy.
high-speed car crash involving the death of Ling’s son as well as that of a nude
female companion, and severe injury to a second, partially clad, young woman.
Netizens quickly remarked that Ling could not possibly have paid for the car, a
Ferrari, from his salary. Western news agencies then revealed—almost certainly
with the help of officials linked with the princeling/Jiang Zemin group—that
Wen Jiabao’s family had amassed huge wealth, thus damaging his image as a
man of the people. Earlier in the year, similar revelations had appeared about Xi
Jinping’s family, again presumably aided by factional enemies.
The opening of the Eighteenth Party Congress was delayed twice. Shortly
before it was due to open, Xi Jinping disappeared for nearly two weeks, giving
rise to sensational rumors. When he reappeared, the official explanation, that
he had been incapacitated by a back injury incurred while playing soccer, struck
many as implausible.
In the end, the party congress and subsequent National People’s Conference
were held, with Xi confirmed as general secretary, president of the country, and
head of the Central Military Commission (CMC), and Li Keping as premier. Hu
Jintao, perhaps due to his political defeat, did not stay on as CMC chair, as had
been rumored. Hence there would not be a reprise of the two centers of power
situation of the first two years of Hu’s time in office. The size of the standing
committee was reduced to seven, with reformer Wang Yang not among them.
In another departure from the past, the holders of the portfolios of propa-
ganda and security were not included in the PBSC, leading to speculation that the
position of the latter had become too powerful. The average age of the members
was 64.4, noticeably older than that of the Seventeenth PBSC. Also in contrast to
the Seventeenth PBSC, and in a nod to central–regional theories of analysis, there
are more members from inland provinces (see Table 6.1).
In terms of factional analysis, the meetings were a clear victory for the prince-
ling/Jiang Zemin group (see Table 6.2).
However, age limits would require all the PBSC members apart from Xi
and Li to retire after the next party congress in 2017; thus the factional makeup
of the Politburo as a whole, from which the new PBSC is normally promoted,
would be more evenly balanced. Hence the CYL faction could conceivably regain
its importance. Another factor to be considered was the importance of the party
elders: for the first time since the founding of the PRC, China would have two
former party general secretaries capable of exercising power from behind the
scenes. Should the octogenarian Jiang Zemin be removed, Hu Jintao’s influence
might, it was speculated, prove influential in the next round of selections. In
terms of policy implications, indications were that Xi intended to follow a con-
servative political agenda while implementing modest economic reforms.
Xi Takes Control
Confounding these predictions, Xi immediately assumed an assertive stance.
Soon after assuming office he began to speak of a “China dream,” of a strong
military and economic power, and he also promulgated the “seven unmention-
ables”: universal values, freedom of the press, civil society, citizens’ rights, the
party’s historical errors, the capitalist elite, and judicial independence.
138 C H A P T E R 6 ▸ The Era of Xi Jinping
Aware of the obstacles that could impede his goals, Xi moved quickly to
centralize power in his hands, earning the half-facetious epithet of “chairman
of everything.” Refuting the theory that China would continue to evolve toward
rule by consensus decision making within the elite, he quickly assumed control
of numerous policy “leading small groups,” some of which, like the “Civil–
Military Integration Leading Small Group,” were newly founded. A national
security commission that seemed as much aimed at internal social control as at
external defense was also established. Premier Li Keqiang became all but invis-
ible. In 2016, for example, Xi pre-emptively announced key economic decisions
before the prime minister was able to deliver the government work report and
budget.
A few months later, the party central committee bestowed on Xi the title of
“core of the party leadership,” with more than half of prime-time news that eve-
ning devoted to central committee members professing their fealty to him as Xi
called for strict discipline and unconditional loyalty.
Announcing an anti-corruption campaign that would spare neither lesser
figures (“flies”) nor those at the pinnacle of power (“tigers”), Xi, through trusted
ally Wang Qishan, pursued it vigorously, ensnaring more than a million party
members in the campaign’s first five years. Skeptics noted, however, that a dis-
proportionate number of the tigers were Xi’s rivals or potential rivals. One of
these, Zhou Yongkang, was a former politburo member who oversaw the coun-
try’s security apparatus and had been ranked the ninth most powerful man in
China. He was sentenced to life in prison for accepting bribes and channeling
lucrative contacts to family members and close associates.
In the defense sphere, General Xu Caihou, a former vice-chair of the Cen-
tral Military Commission and politburo member and at one time considered
to be among the country’s top 24 leaders, was convicted of accepting massive
bribes that included the sale of military ranks. Xu passed away from bladder can-
cer while awaiting trial, his party membership already rescinded and his assets
seized. Many lesser, but nonetheless powerful, figures were also removed from
power. Despite speculation over whether Xi’s true aim was to end corruption or
to purge those who might best be in a position to oppose him, the end result was
to further centralize power in his hands.
As the China dream campaign was promulgated, a cult of Xi unfolded. Visi-
tors to markets in Chinese cities noticed images of Xi on plates and other objects
placed prominently in front of similar images of Mao, and even statues of the
Buddha. Posters praising his “China dream” slogan, never explicitly defined but
clearly implying a prosperous and powerful future for the country, also appeared
with appropriate subtitles, such as “young people’s dream is the China dream”
near schools.
Ambitious economic plans, a sine qua non of achieving the China dream,
accompanied these developments. In November 2013, the party’s third plenum
outlined a plan of proposed economic reforms aimed at increasing international
competitiveness and efficiency by 2020.
C H A P T E R 6 ▸ The Era of Xi Jinping 139
Next came an essay on the website of the party’s Central Discipline Inspection
Commission (CDIC). Entitled “A Thousand Yes-Men Cannot Equal One Honest
Advisor” and signed with the pen-name Lei Si, it pays homage to a phrase found
in a Han dynasty historical document. The essay riffs on an ancient tradition
known as patriotic remonstrance, in which the writer, at the risk of his life, alerts
a powerful superior to missteps that should be corrected. For those who under-
stood the allegory, the message was chilling: King Zhou of the Shang dynasty
surrounded himself with people who told him what he wanted to hear instead of
what he should hear, resulting in the fall of the dynasty in 1046 B.C. The CDIC,
which plays a crucial role in the anti-corruption campaign, was headed by Wang
Qishan, hitherto believed to be close to Xi. Hence speculation about his role in
the post focused on the possibility of a rift between them.
In his closing speech to the National People’s Congress, politburo standing
committee member Yu Zhengsheng cited only two of the “four consciousnesses:”
Ideology and the bigger picture. Those omitted were consciousness of the core
and consciousness of consistency, both being understood to mean unquestioning
obedience to Xi Jinping’s directives. Further, Yu added a new consciousness: That
of responsibility to one’s job. Xi, who was present at the speech, was described
as visibly displeased.
The next salvo was anything but elliptical. In an open letter dated March 16,
a group describing themselves as loyal party members urged Xi Jinping to resign,
charging that he had abandoned the party’s tradition of collective leadership
in the standing committee of the politburo and that due to his gathering of all
power into his own hands and making decisions directly, the country was facing
unprecedented problems and crises in all political, economic, ideological, and
cultural spheres. Moreover, he was responsible for the emergence of an unfavor-
able international environment. The anonymous writers declared that, since Xi
did not possess the capabilities to lead the party and the nation, he should resign
from all his positions and allow the party’s central committee and the people of
the nation to select a virtuous leader capable of leading China into the future.
More was to come. An employee of the official state news agency Xinhua
posted an open letter denouncing the increasingly tight media constraints “for
triggering tremendous fear and outrage among the public,” a message quickly
deleted by censors. Next, the editor-in-chief of the often stridently nationalistic
Global Times became involved in a public spat about the PRC’s foreign policy
with a former Chinese ambassador to France. Responding to an article urging
the government to take a more assertive stance, the ambassador accused the
editor of being ignorant of foreign affairs, and opined that being soft was more
difficult and effective than being hard. The editor then counter-charged that this
attitude showed all that was wrong with the country’s foreign policy.
Revelations that members of Xi Jinping’s family were heavily involved in
an international financial scandal with a Panamanian law firm at its center bore
directly upon Xi’s role as a crusader against corruption. Efforts at censorship
failed to prevent sarcastic commentary on social media, with Xi often referred to
as “brother-in-law” in reference to the direct involvement of his sister’s husband
C H A P T E R 6 ▸ The Era of Xi Jinping 141
in the operation. In mid-April, in separate issues that appeared on the same day,
the websites of two foreign magazines, Time and The Economist, were blocked
after they ran cover stories accompanied by full-page pictures depicting the
cult of Xi.
These rumbles of discontent ceased as quickly as they had begun. Analysts
speculated that, although the standing committee of the politburo was dominated
by people believed to be Xi Jinping’s staunch allies, age limits would require all
but Xi to retire by the next party congress, in fall 2017. While it was unthinkable
that Xi would be prevented from being awarded a second five-year term, there
was speculation that resistance from accumulated discontents would force him
into a more consensual decision-making mode. This would validate the earlier
predictions of foreign analysts that China is no longer the weakened, demoral-
ized country Mao Zedong inherited in 1949, and hence is far less likely to accept
the notion of a strong leader to solve its problems.
In the short run, at least, this did not happen. Under Xi, restrictions on the
press and social media were tightened. In 2013, new regulations forbade journal-
ists from undertaking any investigations not expressly permitted by the party’s
publicity (i.e., propaganda) department. State-sponsored China Central Televi-
sion (CCTV) dropped or toned down its investigative and analytical programs.
China’s more adventurous newspapers such as Guangzhou’s Southern Metropol-
itan Daily and Southern Weekend were silenced, with an editorial writer for the
latter complaining that the press in his province had retreated into its darkest
periods since the start of Deng Xiaoping’s reform and opening up policies of the
late 1970s. Journalists who had previously been simply dismissed when author-
ities deemed they had gone too far were now sent to prison. According to the
Committee to Protect Journalists, China in 2017 incarcerated more journalists
than any country except Turkey.
A particular area of concern in the party, and Xi’s desire for control, are the social
media. The big three—Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent, known collectively as BAT—are,
respectively, the country’s largest search engine, e-commerce platform, and messag-
ing and social media services. Both Baidu and Tencent have been investigated for
alleged violations of cybersecurity as well as for their roles in promoting more
unequivocally objectionable practices like gambling, addictive online gaming, and
bogus medical treatments. Alibaba and Tencent have been approached to sell shares
to the government, thereby enabling the party-state to participate in business deci-
sions as well as, presumably, to receive dividend payments. Since these companies
are world leaders in mobile payments as well as working with the government on
artificial intelligence, the same tools that enable retailers to predict consumer behav-
ior can be used to anticipate and deal with dissent. As mobile payments are increas-
ingly replacing cash transactions, party and government’s ability to track financial
movement is enhanced as well.
In late 2017, new government regulations banned bitcoin, which was being
used to circumvent a worrisome cash flow out of China. However, the ban did
not seem to be effective. Those wishing to use the crypto-currency take cash to
one of the country’s underground money exchanges where they are provided
142 C H A P T E R 6 ▸ The Era of Xi Jinping
with an anonymous bitcoin wallet. The only link between the bitcoins and the
owner is an IP address, which can be hidden by using a Virtual Private Network
or the TOR network, which bounces communications around a distributed net-
work of relays in a number of different parts of the world, enabling the bitcoins
to be connected to an overseas bank account.
For these and other reasons, powerful and politically well-connected real
estate and financial tycoons also came under scrutiny. The Xi administration
wants to avoid the rise of oligarchs who could threaten Xi’s authority and subvert
his reforms. The chairman of China’s largest insurance company was detained
without charges, the only explanation being a terse statement by his company
explaining that for personal reasons the chairman was no longer able to perform
his duties. A leading financier was seized from his Hong Kong hotel, taken across
the border, and was not heard from for several months, when his trial began. One
of the few to have commented publicly, from his luxury hotel suite in New York,
stated, without producing evidence, that he possessed information involving cor-
ruption at the highest levels, including against the leader of the anti-corruption
campaign Wang Qishan.
In these and other areas, the party and Xi are seeking to find a proper balance
between encouraging the growth and innovation needed to enhance the country’s
prosperity, on the one hand without losing control, on the other. High-ranking
party figures continued to be removed from office. Chongqing party head Sun
Zhengcai was abruptly dismissed for failure to curb the “pernicious influence”
of his predecessor Bo Xilai. Sun, who had been the youngest member of the
politburo and therefore a likely candidate to succeed Xi in the Twentieth Party
Congress, was later accused of vote rigging at both the Seventeenth and Eigh-
teenth party congresses, along with two other already disgraced officials. Since
Xi Jinping had emerged victorious on both occasions, analysts were puzzled by
the nature of the allegations, but no details were revealed. What was clear was
that yet another potential rival to Xi had been dismissed.
Another of Xi’s initiatives involved weakening the Communist Youth League.
Xi publicly criticized the CYL for chanting inane slogans and focusing on enter-
tainment rather than on results. Its leading training ground for future CYL cad-
res, the China Youth University of Political Studies, also known as the Central
School of the CYL, was reborn under a new name, the University of the Chinese
Academy of Social Sciences, and placed under the control of the Chinese Acad-
emy of Social Sciences. The net result was to weaken the CYL to the extent that
discussions of balances among factions, so prominent prior to previous party
congresses, faded from analyses.
party and government, to generic and neutral terms. While references to political
infighting could be expected to trigger filters, even references to the anti-corruption
campaign, the one belt one road initiative, and the “glass ceiling,” referring
to the lack of female representation at the highest levels, were blocked. Some
observers speculated that Tencent may have been over-cautious in order to avoid
reprimands from officials.
In the month before the congress was due to open, security in Beijing was
tightened. All police leave was cancelled and thousands of additional secu-
rity personnel were brought into the city to guard against “social instability.”
Veterans, who had several times in the past year protested their treatment
since demobilization, were cautioned against doing so. Identification cards
were checked not only in and near public buildings, but also at airports, sub-
ways, and train and bus stations. All Airbnb contracts were suspended, and
drone flights prohibited. A film with a sensitive theme had its opening post-
poned. Heavy industry was ordered to scale back production to ensure
blue skies, and funds were injected into the stock market to guard against
fluctuations.
Despite the censorship, or perhaps in response to it, rumors abounded. Would
the party constitution be amended, and if so, what would be the formula? Mao
had been memorialized by having his “thoughts” added to Marxism–Leninism
as the guiding philosophy of the CCP, while Deng’s “theory” was added after
his death. Neither Jiang Zemin nor Hu Jintao succeeded in having their names
added to the constitution: Only their respective signature projects the Three Rep-
resents and the Scientific Outlook on Development.
Another much-discussed issue was whether the politburo standing commit-
tee would remain at seven, be increased to nine, as it had been under Hu Jintao,
or decreased to five or six, as it had been in the early 1970s. In theory, a larger
PBSC might mean more voices to take into consideration in order to arrive at a
consensus. Conversely, a smaller PBSC might mean easier control for the party’s
general secretary. But it is also possible that, since they would be more powerful
as individuals, few members could exercise more power against him.
Yet another topic of concern was age limits: the so-called “seven up, eight
down” rule meant that those who were aged 68 or older were expected to step
down from the politburo, since they would be past retirement age by the end
of the current party congress. Wang Qishan, Xi’s confidante and director of his
anti-corruption campaign, was 68. Would the rules be skirted to keep him on?
Moreover, with Sun Zhongcai’s removal from the politburo along with three
other members, no politburo member was of the proper age to be promoted to
the standing committee, and therefore be a likely successor to Xi. Sun’s successor
in Chongqing, Chen Min’er, was young enough to meet the age requirement,
but, unlike Sun, Chen was not a member of the politburo. In theory, he could be
promoted to the politburo standing committee without prior service in the polit-
buro, but this would be highly unusual. If the new standing committee contained
no one young enough to succeed Xi, did that mean that Xi intended to stay on
for an unprecedented third term, or even longer? Furthermore, how would the
144 C H A P T E R 6 ▸ The Era of Xi Jinping
Central Committee delegate votes? Would there be the kind of surprise that saw
Xi Jinping eclipse Hu Jintao’s protégé Li Keqiang?
The constitution was indeed changed, and both Xi’s name and his thoughts
were memorialized, thereby elevating Xi to a status equal to Mao Zedong and
above not only his two immediate predecessors but even above Deng Xiaoping.
The somewhat unwieldy addition reads: “Xi Jinping’s thought on socialism with
Chinese characteristics for the new era.”
Wang Qishan did step down, as did all the other members of the PBSC except
for Xi and Li. But their replacements included no one who, assuming that the
seven up eight down rule continued to be observed, would be eligible to succeed
Xi at the Twentieth Party Congress, thereby leaving open the question of his serv-
ing a third term. Some speculated that Chen Min’er, who was appointed to the
politburo, might receive an unprecedented mid-term promotion into the PBSC,
others that Xi’s goal was to stay in power for life. New rules were instituted in
response to allegations that there had been vote rigging in previous party con-
gresses. It was said that “some comrades just ticked a ballot” unthinkingly, or
that they had been influenced by personalism and cronyism. The solution to this
was to replace voting with a consultation system. There was no explanation of
how consultation would take place, or how it would avoid the personalism and
cronyism of the previous system.
The size of the PBSC remained at seven. Notable was their backgrounds:
Whereas only a decade ago eight of the nine top party leaders had studied engi-
neering or natural sciences—perhaps appropriate in an era where the focus was
on industrialization—no one on the Nineteenth PBSC could be classified as a
technocrat. Two had received degrees in political education; five others majored
in management, philosophy, politics, and law. Although Xi Jinping studied chem-
ical engineering as an undergraduate, he had never worked in the field, going
immediately into party and government work following graduation and later pur-
suing a higher degree in Marxist theory and political education (see Table 6.3).
A continuation of the assertive foreign policy that had characterized the pre-
vious several years seemed assured. Xi Jinping’s address to the Nineteenth Party
146 C H A P T E R 6 ▸ The Era of Xi Jinping
Conclusions
For those Chinese who hope for an evolution away from authoritarianism and
toward pluralism, the centralization of power that Xi has achieved represents
a regression and a disappointment. They argue that a rapidly modernizing and
internationally more powerful China needs to bring together those with different
areas of expertise, be it in managing problems specific to different regions of the
country or as specialists in such fields as energy, finance, trade, and taxation, in
C H A P T E R 6 ▸ The Era of Xi Jinping 147
order to deal with the increasingly complex environment that the country faces.
Despite their different perspectives, the officials would be united around their
common goals of furthering economic development, ensuring stability, and safe-
guarding the country’s sovereignty.
However, others point to what they believe was a lost decade under the
Hu-Wang administration, where a popular saying was that “decisions made in
Zhongnanhai [the leadership compound in Beijing] never come out.” They are
concerned that, without a strong leader to force through the painful structural
reforms that would see China on the way to healthier economic growth, the
country will continue on a path that is ultimately unsustainable. A collective
leadership, they argue, is inherently ineffective, and leads to political infighting,
bureaucratic deadlock, and strategic drift. While some resent Xi’s personalism,
others believe that China needs a strong leader, to take pride in a China that
has asserted what they see as its rightful role in the international order and are
pleased with his accomplishments. However, although a leader who has central-
ized power under himself may be better positioned to overcome resistance to
necessary structural reforms, should those fail the responsibility for that failure
will be his as well.
148
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 149
MATs were formalized, contained five to ten households, and became perma-
nent, year-round arrangements.
Next came the formation of lower level agricultural producers’ coopera-
tives (APCs). Under this arrangement, land, farm animals, and farm implements
were pooled, and a larger number of households, perhaps 35, participated in
each pool. Members retained the title to their land, which was entered into the
account books of the APCs as a share of the household’s capital contribution to
the cooperative. Other capital assets like farm implements, transport vehicles,
and draft animals were treated in the same way, remaining privately owned but
under unified control. A certain amount of land, not to exceed 5 percent of the
average household’s total, could be retained for private use. Referred to as pri-
vate plots, this land was worked by individual families who, within certain limits,
could decide how to use it and how to dispose of what they produced on it.
The APCs’ aggregate amount of agricultural and sideline production, the
latter coming from such activities as handicrafts like weaving straw hats and
baskets, would have a portion deducted to meet depreciation costs. The remain-
der comprised the cooperative’s total income for the year. Part of this was paid
to the state as taxes, and part went into reserve and welfare funds for the coop-
erative. The rest was distributed to the members as payment for their work and
for the use of their land, animals, and tools. Payments for work were tallied in
units called work points that were calculated according to the difficulty of the
task and the number of days spent on it. An extremely physically demanding job
might command ten work points a day; jobs that were considered easier received
smaller amounts.
At least in theory, the cooperatives had two major advantages over MATs.
First, pooling land would eliminate the chief structural weakness of Chinese agri-
culture: small, uneconomic, and dispersed holdings. Simply removing the bound-
ary lines between private holdings would create extra acreage for cultivation.
Second, reducing the number of production units would enable the government
to exercise closer control over planning, investment, and consumption.
There were many negative aspects to the cooperatives as well. Management
was foremost among them. Supervising 30 to 40 households took a great deal
of planning, administration, and bookkeeping. Evaluating job performance in
terms of work points could be subjective and was always difficult. In addition, a
large number of tasks were involved, with legitimate differences of opinion exist-
ing on the matter of comparable worth. Whether a job was classified at eight or
at seven work points per day, for example, could make a substantial difference
to one’s yearly income. In addition, the great majority of peasants were illiterate
and therefore unable to cope with even the simplest bookkeeping tasks.
Although aware of strong resistance to joining the lower level APCs, the lead-
ership, after some wavering, decided in 1956 to forge on to higher level APCs.
When peasants joined these, their land and other principal means of produc-
tion were transferred from private to collective ownership, and payments for
land shares and other means of production were abolished. One’s income thus
depended wholly on accumulated work points. Members could, however, retain
152 C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy
their small, private plots and keep whatever they raised on them. Averaging 158
households each, the new units were also 4 to 5 times as large as lower level APCs.
By the end of 1956, almost 90 percent of the PRC’s cooperatives were of
the advanced type. Their proponents noted three major advantages to the new
arrangement. First, the larger units facilitated land consolidation and the rational
use of land better than lower level APCs. Second, since land rent had constituted
a significant part of rich peasants’ income, the abolition of rent payments would
increase the wages of poor peasants while lowering those of the rich, producing
greater equality. Third, a higher level of collectivization was needed to carry out
the massive water conservation campaign that party and government had sched-
uled for the winter of 1957/1958.
However, peasants were even more unhappy with the higher level APC than
they had been with its lower level version. Many who had only recently real-
ized their dream of becoming landowners reacted badly to seeing their property
and animals snatched away. The higher level cooperatives also further separated
individuals’ level of productivity from the rewards they received, thus further
dampening peasants’ incentive to work hard. Peasant income declined, and there
was a drastic drop in pig production. Serious shortages of pork, the staple meat
in the Chinese diet, were reported in many urban areas. From the time the collec-
tives were first initiated, most peasants had harbored doubts about their ability
to raise their incomes and improve living conditions. As time went on, more and
more of them became convinced that their doubts were justified.
The leadership, faced with yet another decision to either retreat from collec-
tivization or push forward, chose the latter. The result, touted by official propa-
ganda as “fresh as the morning sun” and “the ladder to communist paradise,”
was the rural commune. As with other aspects of the Great Leap Forward, of
which the commune was such an important part, the process of communiza-
tion was characterized by extreme haste. An experimental model commune was
organized in April 1958 in Henan province. In the closing days of August, the
party directed that its example be generalized throughout China, and by the end
of September, more than 98 percent of peasant households had been included in
the communes.
The huge size of the communes—averaging 5,000 households, or about
32 times as large as higher level APCs—would allow them to command the
resources of vastly greater amounts of land and labor. The commune was more
than this, however, being described as “the basic unit of the social structure [of
China], combining industry, agriculture, trade, education, and the military [.] [I]t
is the basic unit of social power.” Whereas the original APCs had been organized
purely for agricultural production, the communes merged peasants, workers,
tradesmen, students, and militia members into a single unit to engage in affor-
estation, animal husbandry, and subsidiary occupations, as well as agriculture.
The communes also ran factories, banks, and commercial enterprises; handled
credit and commodity distribution; did cultural and educational work; and con-
trolled their own militia and political organizations. In terms of administrative
functions, communes replaced townships, which had been of comparable size.
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 153
Under the commune system, private plots were abolished. In their zeal to
eliminate private property, some cadres even took away peasants’ wristwatches,
alarm clocks, and cookware. Confiscating pots and pans meant that their former
owners had to eat in communal dining halls. Metal cookware was then melted
down and contributed to the backyard blast furnaces the peasants were directed
to set up. The shortage of bookkeepers was solved by abolishing work points;
henceforth, one was to contribute work to the commune to the best of one’s abil-
ity and receive from it food and the other necessities of life. Under true commu-
nism, no work points would be needed; ergo, no one was needed to tally them.
As noted in Chapter 4, the result was disaster. Crops died through neglect,
owners slaughtered their animals in preference to turning them over to the com-
munes, cadres were attacked, and public property sabotaged. Basic-level cadres,
hard-pressed by unrealistically high production quotas, resorted to reporting
inflated crop production statistics, which were then passed along to higher lev-
els that had a tendency to inflate them still further. A party central committee
plenum in August 1959 officially admitted that no one knew what production
actually was. After bitter arguments among top leaders, the plenum agreed to
rescind some of the more objectionable aspects of the Great Leap Forward. For
example, brigades rather than communes were given the responsibility for man-
aging the reintroduced accounting system and also for setting production targets.
Since the brigade was comparable in size to the former higher level APC, this was
a distinct step backward for the party. Egalitarianism in income distribution was
also abandoned, as was the slogan “from each according to his ability, to each
according to his need.” Private plots were reinstated. But these measures were not
taken quickly enough to save the situation.
As the agricultural crisis worsened in 1960, production teams, which occu-
pied the level below brigades in the administrative hierarchy, were made the
basic decision-making units determining output quotas and the distribution of
resources. Teams were approximately equal to lower level APCs in size. Com-
munes themselves were reduced to about the size of the average marketing com-
munity in traditional China. Advocates of the China-is-China-is-China school of
political analysis interpreted this as confirmation of their views.
To stimulate peasant initiative, a system called “three guarantees and one
reward” was instituted. Recipients were provided with guaranteed output, time,
and cost levels, and a bonus (reward) from the team if their output exceeded the
agreed amounts. In 1961, when the agricultural situation had become even more
serious, a still more liberal policy, called the “three selfs and one guarantee,” was
instituted. It went further than its predecessor by directing that all communal
land be distributed among individual households as “responsibility land,” with
each household agreeing to produce a certain amount.
The more idealistic members of the party elite bitterly resented this back-
sliding. Particularly after the economy began to improve in 1962, there were
arguments about whether—and, if so, when—to abandon these concessions to
capitalism and forge forward toward communism again. During the early stages
of the Cultural Revolution, with ideologues dominating the party elite, many of
154 C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy
the concessions were abolished. Mergers increased the size of communes. Poor
and lower middle peasants were told to assume power. In many areas, private
plots were again confiscated, sideline occupations banned, and rural markets
closed. Radicals called them “tails of capitalism.”
Some communes moved from a three-level to a two-level system of man-
agement by making brigades rather than production teams the basic unit of
accounting. A major mass campaign was launched to publicize the achievements
of Dazhai, a model production brigade that had adopted the two-level system.
Dazhai was also lauded for having allegedly overcome all sorts of hardships,
including poor land, drought, and invasions by predatory insects, to achieve
impressive increases in production. The proper ideological outlook, one’s “red-
ness,” was believed to be the key to success. In keeping with this notion, political
attitude was added to hard physical labor as a criterion for allocating one’s share
of the collective income.
The result of these changes was rural unrest and agricultural stagnation.
Hoping to avoid the errors of the Great Leap Forward, the PRC’s draft con-
stitution of 1970 affirmed the three-level system of ownership, stating that the
production team would be the basic unit of management. A 1971 Central Com-
mittee directive stressed the need to avoid “absolute egalitarianism,” and empha-
sized that one’s income would be based on one’s work. The agricultural system
which emerged from the Cultural Revolution thus closely resembled that which
prevailed from 1962 to 1965. The agricultural distribution system was restored,
though peasants, mindful of the disruptions of the past, remained apprehensive.
Agricultural growth was disappointing, barely keeping up with the increase in
population. In fact, per capita output of foodstuffs fell below the levels of the
early 1930s.
industrialists, some of whom committed suicide. For others, the fines depleted
working capital to levels that made doing business virtually impossible. At this
point, having their companies taken over by the state may actually have been a
relief. The fines were also a convenient method for capturing the savings of the
capitalist class, which the government used to finance its construction plans.
Also at the time of the Cultural Revolution, several other changes were made
in industry in general. Their net effect was to further depress work enthusiasm.
Unlike certain other Cultural Revolution practices that were quickly discontin-
ued, these changes remained in effect until after Mao’s death. Perhaps the most
important change was the discontinuation of bonuses that had been awarded to
those whose work group had been designated superior. Extra pay for overtime
work was abolished as well. A temporary phenomenon of the Cultural Revolu-
tion, but one with lasting effects, was that workers were encouraged to struggle
against their bosses. These measures, decided upon in order to further egalitarian
goals, had devastating effects on productivity. Workers had no incentive to pro-
duce, and managers, fearing that their workers would denounce them, had no
incentive to make them produce. They also had no rewards to offer employees to
inspire them to work hard.
Because little was produced under these circumstances, goods were in short
supply. Here, too, the factory facilities might come in handy. Machine-shop
workers had access to tools and metal, and could make cookware using what-
ever materials were available. Sometimes this meant using expensive metals that
could have been more productively employed—for example, in the manufacture
of precision machinery. People who worked in plywood manufacturing factories
brought home sheets of it for desks and tabletops. A widespread and pervasive
underground trading system grew up: the plywood factory worker’s tabletop for
the metal worker’s cook pot, and so forth. Although illegal, such practices filled
important needs for people; once started, the system was difficult to stop. Cor-
ruption was fostered in hundreds of ways. For example, workers who wanted to
stay away from work might present the factory doctor with gifts of useful items
that the doctor could not easily obtain by other means. In return, the doctor
would certify that they were too sick to work. Both parties gained from this
transaction, although society as a whole suffered.
case before. This control enabled party and state to invest in the development of
hitherto backward areas, generally in the country’s hinterlands, which had not
enjoyed the benefits of infusions of foreign capital prior to 1949. Shanghai’s and
Wuhan’s surpluses could be used to develop Qinghai and Anhui.
By contrast, the socialist transformation of the economy had mixed results. It
enabled the further development of a centrally planned economy, and the govern-
ment’s large-scale purchases of food, textiles, and other basic necessities made pos-
sible effective rationing and distribution during times of crop failure. The socialist
transformation also helped increase government revenue and accumulation. By
buying out the capitalist sector, party and government could channel 95 percent
of the after-tax earnings of private firms into the state treasury, part of which went
into investment. Massive disruptions and unemployment were averted.
On the debit side, the fact that entrepreneurship was held in low regard
could only inhibit the process of industrialization, as indeed it had when Confu-
cianism held sway. Having so few incentives to produce more, people worked as
little as they could. Although unemployment was not a major problem, underem-
ployment definitely was. In practice, it was virtually impossible to fire a worker.
Overstaffed and under-motivated, Chinese enterprises generally produced the
quantities assigned to them under the state plan’s quota system but were rel-
atively unconcerned with the quality or marketability of those items. Investing
money in backward hinterlands may have been good in terms of promoting
equality, but it did not always make economic sense: Better returns might have
been realized by reinvesting coastal Shanghai’s profits in Shanghai than in cold,
arid, and remote Qinghai.
Moreover, the numerous rapid shifts in the party’s concept of what was or
was not ideologically acceptable had caused the average Chinese to become pro-
foundly distrustful of the system and its leaders. Experience had taught that it
was better to avoid responding to new signals, or at least to lag behind as far as
possible. While perfectly rational in terms of individual experience, this attitude
was nevertheless detrimental to economic development.
Although Maoist policies were undertaken in support of egalitarian goals,
in reality they had an effect that was just the opposite: To get along reasonably
well, one was forced to develop personal ties that were quite outside the system
and, by most definitions of the word, corrupt. Those who succeeded best in this
underground system were, not surprisingly, greatly resented. Their existence also
led to widespread cynicism about the value of collectivism and egalitarianism,
thus undermining popular support for those goals.
widely publicized, much less acted upon. Hua Guofeng had also mentioned it
in February 1978. In December, at the widely publicized Third Plenum of the
CCP’s Eleventh Central Committee, Deng reintroduced the Four Modernizations
with much fanfare, and added to them a sweeping reform of the planning and
management systems in industry and agriculture. Although these changes were
momentous and would eventually result in dismantling much of the socialist
economy, this process would take place gradually: Deng described it as “crossing
the river by feeling the stones.” Following the disintegration of the Soviet empire
a decade later, Western economists advocated that the socialist economies of
those countries be dismantled rapidly—the so-called “big-bang theory.” The sud-
den change caused the economies of several of these countries to contract, with
detrimental effects on the standard of living for many groups within them. Chi-
nese leaders believed that this vindicated the wisdom of their gradual approach
in moving toward a market economy.
The original order of the modernizations put industry first, with heavy indus-
try receiving priority over light industry. Second was agriculture; third, science
and technology; and fourth, national defense. By March 1979, the order had
been changed to put agriculture first, followed by light and then heavy indus-
try. The priorities of science and technology and of defense remained third and
fourth, respectively.
The reform program had four major objectives:
Agricultural Reforms
Deng, who had been criticized during the Cultural Revolution for condoning
“capitalist” practices, now publicly championed the concept of material incen-
tives. Henceforth, he announced, people would have to sell to the state only a cer-
tain specified amount at state-set prices. Anything they raised or produced beyond
these quotas was theirs to keep or to sell on the free market. Local fairs and mar-
kets, once forbidden, were now actively encouraged. Specialized production—
for example, planting tomatoes rather than grain, since tomatoes fetched a higher
price—was acceptable, provided that it suited local conditions.
Dazhai, the production brigade that had been the model for all to emulate
since 1964, was criticized, with its leaders held responsible for low labor produc-
tivity and accused of falsifying production records. Dazhai and other widely pub-
licized models were reported to have had huge amounts of state funds funneled
into them to create the impression that their accomplishments were the result of
applying left-wing egalitarian policies.
To bolster agriculture, more credit was made available to it. The share allo-
cated to agriculture by state capital investment rose from 10.7 percent in 1978
158 C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy
to 14 percent in 1979. Even so, there were problems at the start. Peasants, whose
past bitter experiences with their leaders’ mercurial changes had made them
extremely cautious, were concerned that the new policies might be aimed at fer-
reting out hidden rightists, which they would immediately be classified as if they
tried the policies. Even if there were no ulterior motives, they reasoned, the pol-
icies might be changed in a year or two, and a campaign would be launched to
cut off the “tails of capitalism;” that is, themselves.
Cadres might be resistant even when peasants were not. In one infamous
incident that received extensive publicity, a cadre who was either ideologically
opposed to heeding Deng’s call for specialized production or fearful of its conse-
quences for him personally ordered an entire field of watermelons to be dug up
and destroyed. The media seized this opportunity to point out what it portrayed
as a basic fallacy of leftism: not only was the peasants’ cash crop gone but it was
too late in the season for them to plant another, more ideologically acceptable
crop in its place.
For a time, the government tried to hold the unit of accounting at the team
level, but by 1979 had acquiesced to peasants’ strong preference for using the
household instead. In that same year, it also agreed to a substantial increase in
agricultural procurement prices that made production more profitable. The 1980
harvest, however, was blighted by poor weather.
By 1981, a combination of government reassurance and better weather ush-
ered in a period of rapid growth. Grain production rose rapidly, by more than
5 percent per year. Several excellent harvests culminated in a record crop in 1984,
and in 1985, China was actually a net exporter of grain. However, other prob-
lems came to the fore. Certain functions that had been performed by the com-
munes before they had been dismantled were now simply not being performed
at all. Disputes broke out over issues like water use. The problems of dividing
up a collective’s property among the households that had been its component
parts replicated almost precisely those that had characterized the parceling out
of landlords’ possessions three decades before. Once again, draft animals were
assigned to several families, who overworked and underfed them. As before,
many of the animals died.
Other problems concerned who received which items and at what price. Who
would get the contracts for running such potentially profitable entities as orchards
and fishponds? Who would get which pieces of land? The main issue here was
not how much land, since equality of size could be easily measured. Rather, it
was which land. Plots with good soil that were close to water supplies, homes,
and roads were obviously preferable to plots that did not possess these attributes.
What was not clear was the best method to parcel out plots of land, most of which
had some but not all of the desired characteristics, among the large number of
claimants. Cadres used different methods but found that whatever scheme they
chose, some peasants would accuse them of favoritism. Even where they opted to
draw lots, someone would accuse them of manipulating the process.
Cadres understandably felt resentful of Deng’s reforms for putting them in
this situation, which amounted to presiding over the dismantling of their own
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 159
power and privileges. The team leader became the village leader, and peasants
became more outspoken. However, many of the village leaders quickly perceived
that there were advantages for them too. For example, under the new system,
the village would retain ownership of collective property and businesses. This
gave the village cadres the right to dictate the terms of land contracts and choose
the people who would run the village enterprises. In essence, cadres might make
themselves into socialist landlords. They could arrange for themselves, their
friends, and their relatives to get the best land and contracts at the lowest prices.
Cadres could also impose arbitrary taxes and manipulate the distribution of fer-
tilizer or other commodities that the peasants needed.
Special relationships often grew up between the newly wealthy “10,000-yuan”
households—meaning those favored few whose yearly income equaled or exceeded
10,000 yuan—and the cadres. Cadres might receive expensive gifts from the
affluent households, or even shares in their businesses. Punning on Karl Marx’s
theory of primitive capitalist accumulation, dissident economist He Qinglian
refers to this process as “primitive socialist accumulation.” Watching those who
were advantaged under the Maoist system become those who were advantaged
under the market system, less privileged individuals began to refer to them as the
“never-left-out class.”
If wealthy households were uncooperative, irregularities could be “discov-
ered” in their accounting procedures or in the treatment of those whom they
hired. A time-consuming investigation would follow, accompanied by much bad
publicity. Some wealthy households were “persuaded” to donate one of their
businesses to the town out of gratitude for all that the party and government had
done for them. The newly wealthy household’s neighbors who had not become
wealthy typically had little sympathy for them and were unlikely to defend them
against such treatment. Often, in fact, jealousy led such people to indulge in eco-
nomically counterproductive activities. Prosperous families found themselves the
targets of sabotage: Their warehouses could be burned, their animals maimed,
and their vehicles immobilized.
Not all cadres were corrupt, and jealousy toward one’s more affluent neigh-
bors did not usually take such vicious forms. But the sum total of the several
different types of behavior described here very definitely deprived some peasants
of many of the benefits of Deng’s new policies. For others, knowledge of what
might happen discouraged them from trying too hard to become wealthy.
After a few years of increased investment in agriculture in the late 1970s,
state investments in the sector began to decline. Neither local government agen-
cies nor peasants took up the slack. Rural officials typically preferred to develop
profitable industries on farmland rather than invest in agricultural infrastructure.
Peasants continued to fear that changes in the central government’s agricultural
policies might deprive them of any benefits that might come from investments
in the infrastructure. They therefore preferred to put their money into better
housing and consumer goods. Rural industry boomed as a result of these deci-
sions, taking a substantial amount of land away from agricultural production.
As noted in Chapter 5, the controversy within the leadership over how to deal
160 C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy
with agricultural difficulties became public with the September 1985 exchange
between Deng Xiaoping and leftist economist Chen Yun. It was to be an ongoing
problem.
off the market until they could sell at high negotiated prices. Officials fulminated
against such behavior, warning that economic crimes would be severely prose-
cuted. Some people were indeed given stiff sentences, including execution, but
hoarding and profiteering continued. These practices bid up the price of needed
commodities and caused serious economic inefficiencies.
Scarcities in basic raw materials caused other problems because, while
government-controlled prices for coal, oil, iron ore, and many other mineral prod-
ucts continued to be far below their actual production costs, the products made
from them could be sold at negotiated prices, which were significantly higher.
Hence, producers of these commodities could make huge profits—provided that
they could obtain the necessary raw materials. The situation was particularly
serious with regard to coal, which supplied more than 70 percent of China’s
energy needs at that time. Would-be purchasers went to enormous lengths to gain
access. Bribes, though strictly illegal, became common.
Guandao, or official corruption, was indulged in not only by high-ranking
cadres but also by their princeling children. Deng’s open-door policy toward
trading with foreign countries encouraged many non-Chinese companies to seek
contracts and joint ventures with the PRC. The government set up four special
economic zones (SEZs), all of them on the PRC’s southeastern coast, to facilitate
attracting foreign investment. Later on, Hainan province was also made a SEZ,
and a number of cities were accorded certain special provisions with regard to
doing business with foreigners. Many overseas investors were attracted by the
lure of the Chinese market but found that cutting through the tangle of the PRC’s
overlapping bureaucracies, with their respective rivalries, seemingly inexhaust-
ible supplies of red tape, and unpublished regulations, was a nightmare. They
discovered that access to the right top official, often through gifts to one of his
or her children, could be the key to getting the right stamp, or “chop,” of legit-
imization. Children of high-ranking officials were also prominent members of
state-trading corporations that supervised trade transactions with foreign coun-
tries. They were pleased to take advantage of offers to inspect the home offices
of the foreign corporation with which they might want to do business. Gourmet
dining and sightseeing expeditions could be charged to the corporation’s expense
account. Some took jobs at these corporations. For these princelings, dealing
with foreigners was the key to the good life.
Although industry boomed, these practices led to shortages of energy and
raw materials: factories might be able to work only two to three days a week
because they lacked such basics as power and water. Imports surged in the second
half of 1988 as China turned to foreign suppliers for many of the items it could
not supply domestically. These included sugar, cotton, and grain. The country’s
trade balance deteriorated. The government therefore decided to grant incentives
to state-trading companies to help increase exports. These measures succeeded
in bringing about a rapid increase in exports but caused other problems. Because
an irrational domestic price structure severely underpriced raw materials and
energy, trading companies rushed to export these commodities and sell them at
international prices, which were much higher. Thus, the companies made large
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 163
profits by selling such items as coal, cotton, and silk at the very same time that
domestic factories reported shortages of the same goods.
Rapid growth in exports also widened regional income disparities, which
were already a source of debate within the leadership. In the name of economic
efficiency, the government had for the past decade invested its money where it
thought it could get the best returns, as opposed to the Maoist preference for
redistributing funds away from more profitable coastal enterprises in order to
bring about the economic development of the country’s backward hinterland.
Deng’s policies meant that the coastal provinces forged ahead economically,
while the hinterland fell further behind. By encouraging rapid export growth
in 1988, the government exacerbated this trend. With their more modern fac-
tories, better-skilled workforce, and access to the ports and rail lines that link
China with the outside world, coastal provinces could more easily take advan-
tage of central government incentives to export than could provinces of the
hinterland. This, in turn, gave coastal areas better access to credit and for-
eign exchange, more rapid gains in income, and greater independence from
Beijing.
The interior provinces grew increasingly unhappy with this situation and
retaliated by erecting trade barriers to protect themselves, aiming to prevent the
more affluent, coastal provinces from bidding up the prices for their coal, grain,
and other products. In some areas, local authorities set up checkpoints at roads,
railway stations, ports, or provincial borders to block the shipment of goods
they had not specifically authorized. Local area banks limited their loans to, or
raised interest rates for, enterprises that purchased goods from other regions.
Local courts favored local interests in handing down their rulings. Worried about
the potential destruction of the national market that the communist party had
worked so hard to establish, the central government issued directives prohibiting
various regionalist practices. Arguments that regionalism was bad for the coun-
try, and, in the long run, even bad for the regions, yielded no noticeable improve-
ment in the phenomenon.
Meanwhile, inflation was a far more serious concern. The official inflation
rate for 1988 was 18.5 percent, which is generally believed to understate the
problem. Food prices rose more than 50 percent, causing serious difficulties for
many: in China, unlike more developed countries, consumers spent more than
60 percent of their income on food. Panic buying and runs on banks occurred
in many areas during the summer of 1988. Since consumer bank accounts
amounted to 27 percent of the PRC’s gross national product, the government
was concerned to stop the runs on banks as quickly as possible.
In addition, the central government re-established its monopoly over the dis-
tribution of fertilizer, pesticides, and plastic sheeting to control speculation in
farm inputs.
Control over foreign trade was also reasserted. For example, the number
of corporations authorized to import certain products was restricted, while
the number of products subject to export licenses, quotas, and outright bans
was expanded. The government also reduced the shares of foreign exchange
that the PRC’s five special economic zones were permitted to retain from their
exports. The results of this retrenchment program were not what the govern-
ment hoped for. Growth in capital construction spending did fall sharply but
had a major impact on state enterprises: Rural enterprises grew three times as
fast as state-dominated enterprises. Many factories were able to circumvent the
government’s credit controls by drawing on the resources of widespread non-
government financial institutions. This was particularly easy for those located
on the PRC’s southern coast, which had access to capital from Hong Kong and
abroad. Inflation continued to increase, by more than 25 percent in the first half
of 1989. The 1988 retrenchment was a vivid lesson in how difficult it would be
for party and government to reclaim the economic levers of power once they had
been surrendered.
The rapidly rising inflation rate, the growth of inequalities in the distri-
bution of income, and the pervasive nature of official corruption were major
grievances expressed by antigovernment demonstrators at Tiananmen Square
and elsewhere in the spring of 1989. While rejecting calls for abstract rights
such as freedom and democracy, the government made serious efforts to
address the economic issues they raised, resulting in greater central govern-
ment control over the economy. A 39-point plan adopted in November 1989
ordered joint ventures that already had local or provincial control to apply to
the central government for import–export licenses for previously uncontrolled
items. The central bank withdrew large amounts of money from circulation.
Officials accused private businesses of evading taxes, engaging in illicit activi-
ties, and causing income disparities. Some businesspeople were prosecuted for
such activities and given stiff sentences; some corrupt officials were treated in
the same fashion. Export industries received heavy subsidies at the same time
that imports were severely restricted.
The collective effect of these measures, plus the economic sanctions imposed
by some foreign countries on China after the government’s bloody suppression
of the demonstrations, was to plunge the PRC’s economy into a steep down-
turn. On the positive side, inflation declined to 4 percent. Export subsidies and
import restrictions resulted in a doubling of the country’s foreign exchange
reserves, to over $23 billion, and there was now a trade surplus. However, the
costs were high. Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at only 1.8 percent
in the first half of 1990, losses in state enterprises were twice those of 1989,
and unemployment soared. Large supplies of consumer durables piled up in
warehouses as potential buyers reacted to economic uncertainties by postpon-
ing purchases. The state taxation bureau was able to collect only half of what
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 165
it had expected, partly because the economy had contracted and partly because
widespread tax evasion continued.
The government subsequently rescinded certain measures, which seemed to
ease unemployment and encourage consumer purchasing a little. GDP grew by
5.2 percent in 1990 and by 7 percent in 1991; the inflation rate in 1991 was a
modest 2.9 percent. Party and government pronouncements continued to affirm
the need for both structural reforms and economic retrenchment, thus reflecting
their uncertainty about how to proceed. Pressures and counter-pressures from
leftists, who preferred more central planning, and reformers, who preferred
greater reliance on the market, resulted in vacillating policies, as did central gov-
ernment pressures for greater central control and provincial counter-pressures
for more leeway in economic decision making. Analysts described the Chinese
economy as suspended in a state of disequilibrium.
In early 1992, Deng Xiaoping made a heavily publicized visit to several of
the SEZs, praising their achievements and thereby signaling that a new period
of reforms was about to begin. Annual growth rates surged into the 12 to 13
percent range. However, inflation again became a problem. In addition, the eco-
nomic restructuring that was part of the reforms meant that a number of workers
were dismissed. Worker unrest became a serious problem: In Tianjin, employees
in a state-owned watch factory smashed equipment and fought with police after
hearing that mass layoffs were imminent. In another city, a bank director’s house
was firebombed by a recently dismissed staff member.
In an effort to streamline the bloated and inefficient bureaucracy, officials
were urged to “jump into the sea,” meaning to go into business for themselves
as opposed to working for party or government. A number of them did, often
succeeding by using connections they had made in their previous jobs. This gave
such individuals an advantage over those without connections in the bureau-
cracy, and led to complaints of unfair competition. Many other officials, not
wishing to lose the subsidized housing that came with their jobs, took on new
positions without quitting. Knowing they would be difficult to dismiss, they put
in the absolute minimum amount of time on their official duties, thereby render-
ing party and government still less efficient.
Agriculture, too, had problems. According to government figures, the income
gap between rural and urban dwellers widened from 1:1.7 in 1985 to 1:1.24
in 1991, and continued to increase rapidly. Peasants were also being squeezed
off their land. Between 1949 and 1991, China’s total acreage under cultivation
was reduced from 1.468 billion mu (one mu equals approximately 0.16 acre) to
1.435 billion mu, while the number of rural laborers during the same period rose
from 173 million to 428 million. Although the town and township enterprises
that were first set up in the 1980s absorbed nearly 100 million rural laborers, this
left over 150 million surplus laborers in the countryside, many of whom jammed
trains and roads in search of work elsewhere. Efforts to stop what were called
blind population shifts failed, and emphasis shifted to trying to better channel
the “floating population” toward the jobs that could best help the country’s eco-
nomic development.
166 C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy
pre-reform rate of over 20 percent by 2012. Inflation was modest, while GDP
grew at satisfactory rates.
16 15.2
14.3
13.9 14.2
13.5
14 13.1
12.7
11.6
12 10.9 11.3 11 11.3
10.6
9.9 10.1
10 9.6 9.5
10 9 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.2
8.4
8.3
7.6 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.9 7.8
8 7.3 6.9
6.7
5.3
6
4.1 3.9
4
2
0
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2013
2015
2011
FIGURE 7.1 Growth of China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Source: State Statistical Bureau (2017).
surpassing Germany in 2008; and, despite somewhat slower growth due to the
global economic downturn, it edged past Japan in 2011. It should be noted,
however, that the per capita income of these countries, and many others, is much
higher than that of the PRC.
In 2006 and for most of the period since then, the PRC has had the world’s
largest foreign exchange reserves. In 2006 as well, China’s trade surplus with the
rest of the world rose by an astonishing 74 percent, to $177.5 billion; by the end
of 2008, it rose to $297 billion before dropping a little due to a combination of
foreign pressure and the effects of the global financial crisis.
These impressive gains were accompanied by familiar problems. Growth
continued to be highly unequal, resulting in stunning prosperity in some areas
and abject poverty in others. Increasing labor unrest was also evident, as an
estimated 60 million people who were displaced from their jobs as a result of
restructuring looked for new positions. The government set up retraining centers
to help, with indifferent results. A few people managed to get better positions
than before, but most had to settle for lower paying jobs or even no jobs at all.
In recent years, new entrants to the workforce have exceeded the number of new
jobs by about 20 percent.
Pension funds proved inadequate. When factories defaulted on commit-
ments to displaced workers—sometimes unavoidably because funds did not
exist, at other times because corrupt managers had embezzled the money—tens
of thousands of workers took to the streets in protest. These protests typically
concerned a single factory and were suppressed, generally within a few days. In
an effort to limit the possibility that demonstrations will spread to other cities,
the media are forbidden to report on labor unrest, though text messaging has
undermined the usefulness of this technique. One measure that the government
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 169
has found successful involves undermining support for protest leaders by mak-
ing minimal concessions, such as small cash payments to the rank and file. At
the same time, officials attempt to divide the leaders of the demonstrations by
buying some off and intimidating or incarcerating others. Demonstrators who
tried to organize a union independent of the government-controlled All China
Federation of Trade Unions, for example, were arrested. Reflecting on Karl
Marx’s call to the workers of the world to unite, since they had nothing to lose
but their chains, a Westerner commented that China’s workers were trying to
unite at the risk of being put in chains.
Peasants fared still worse than workers. Their incomes, typically much less
than those of city dwellers, declined still more as a result of cheaper imports
entering China following the PRC’s admission to the World Trade Organization
in 2002. Official statistics indicate that at the end of 2012, the income of rural
citizens was less than one-third of that of city dwellers. According to the Chi-
nese Academy of Social Sciences, when one adjusts for the 40 percent of farmers’
incomes needed to purchase such items as chemical fertilizer, pesticides, and seeds,
the ratio is 5.2 to 1 in favor of city dwellers. Moreover, since urbanites have access
to goods and services that are simply unavailable in the countryside, the discrep-
ancy is even greater. Planners worried about millions of impoverished peasants
flocking to the cities and thereby worsening unemployment problems there.
The 1994 fiscal reform, while increasing the share of revenue to the central
government, threw rural finance into a deep structural crisis that was transferred
downward and ultimately fell on villages and townships. In the 2002–2006
period, many peasant burdens were alleviated by the tax-for-fee reform of 2002–
2004 and the abolition of the agricultural tax, but at the cost of worsening local
finances. Farmers nonetheless remain liable for income taxes, local taxes, and a
number of other levies. Land seizures also became a new source of tension, lead-
ing to an upsurge in peasant protests.
Despite different calculations of China’s Gini coefficient, an internationally
recognized measure of income disparity in which “0” represents perfect equality
and “1” perfect inequality, estimates agree that it has risen steadily. Although the
official figure is 0.47, a study done by researchers at a university in Chengdu
reports that it is 0.61, higher than Mexico’s 0.48, America’s 0.38, and Poland’s
0.3. By contrast, the PRC’s Gini coefficient was 0.36 in 1990 and, in 1978, 0.18.
Since 0.4 is considered to be the danger level, this was alarming. Some Latin
American and sub-Saharan African states have scores at or above 0.6, but, since
the founding principles of its revolution included both egalitarianism and a com-
mitment to the welfare of the workers and peasants, the inequity appears to
be felt more keenly in the PRC. Because people seem to be less bothered by
inequality per se than by the perception of inequity, a crucial factor may be
the government’s ability to maintain the public’s confidence that hard work will
bring increased prosperity. Planners hope that such large income disparities will
not be permanent. Eminent economist Simon Kuznets observed that inequality
tends to increase during the early stages of development but decrease in later
stages. Initially, pockets of modern economic growth generate high incomes in a
170 C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy
few limited areas, while income remains low in most of the traditional economy.
Later, however, growth disperses into those areas.
An attempt to reduce disparities between coastal and inland areas of the PRC,
the “invest in the west” campaign, was begun in 2000. It received much favorable
publicity but produced few substantive results. Foreign investors brought to the
area were not impressed with the prospects for return on their capital. Domesti-
cally, a great deal of privately expressed cynicism existed as well. Members of the
Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference and National People’s Con-
gress worried about “empty words and wasteful duplication,” as well as about
corruption reducing the effect of the money invested. Disparities continued to
grow: a study by Xi’an’s Northwest University revealed that the east–west wealth
gap actually widened in the first five years of the program.
Poverty-alleviation efforts have shown declining results and even, in some
cases, reversed. As always, caution should be exercised in accepting these figures,
since poor counties may want to remain under the poverty line, or be reclassified
beneath it, in order to be eligible for national and international subsidies. Official
statistics indicate that the percentage of the population living below the poverty
line has declined to 2.8, but a Beijing-based team calculates it at 10 percent.
There are disputes over where the poverty line should be drawn. In 2012, the
PRC raised its figure by 80 percent, though that is still below the U.N.’s standard
of $1.25 a day at 2005 prices.
Future Concerns
While much of the world marveled at China’s impressive growth statistics and
worried about the ability of their own economies to compete, others pointed out
structural problems that did not bode well for the country’s future. Economists
have suggested that China’s incremental approach to reform has reached the
limits of its effectiveness, and that rather than continue Deng Xiaoping’s formula
of crossing the river by feeling the stones, the country needs to be comprehen-
sively restructured. Central to this restructuring is the conviction that the econ-
omy must be moved away from its heavy reliance on investment and export for
growth and toward expanded domestic consumption.
Unfortunately, solving one problem seems inexorably to create others. For
example, one way to encourage workers to spend more would be to give them
greater confidence in their future earning power. A labor contract law that came
into effect in 2008 is considered a milestone in legislation designed to protect
workers’ rights. However, it also encouraged a number of factories to relocate
elsewhere. As labor rights activists point out, the interests of workers remain pre-
carious in practical terms: management has routinely ignored or violated other
laws, often in collusion with local authorities. Activists argue that not until the
government gives workers the right of collective bargaining will these rights be
meaningful. Party and government leaders, however, worry that granting these
rights would increase upward pressure on wages, thereby reducing profitability,
economic growth, and ultimately, social stability.
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 171
liquidity have been short-lived, since as soon as they begin to curtail growth
they are abandoned. An additional difficulty is that almost every high-ranking
leader is believed to have at least one relative in the financial sector and hence is
involved in the practices being scrutinized.
Mindful that the economy was overly dependent on investments and exports,
and insufficiently driven by growth in domestic consumption, the government
was able to achieve good results, moving consumption from 35 percent of GDP
in 2012 to 51.6 percent in 2016. This is comparable to India’s rate but a full ten
points below that of Brazil, and 71 percent in the U.S. The percentage increase of
China’s GPD from consumption now exceeds that of either primary or tertiary
industry (Figure 7.2).
Another initiative involves investing financial reserves abroad. China has
fostered the founding of three banks for the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, and
South Africa), Central Asia, and most prominently, the Asia Infrastructure Invest-
ment Bank (AIIB), with the PRC as major stockholder in each. The AIIB, initi-
ated by Xi Jinping in 2013, will finance an innovative reworking of the land
and sea silk roads. If successful, it could alleviate the critical shortage of infra-
structure that inhibits economic development in numerous Asian states, while
spurring demand for Chinese construction and export industries as the PRC’s
domestic economic growth slows.
There are also concerns that a shrinking labor force may cause problems for
economic competitiveness in the future. While the problem of creating jobs for
the millions of new entrants to the job market each year persists, and could be
exacerbated by the increasing use of automation, the working-age population
peaked in 2015 and has since begun to shrink. In several major cities, shortages
of highly skilled workers in some sectors have raised their compensation levels.
This in turn has incentivized corporations to shift their operations to countries
where wages are lower.
Other worrisome signs include a large buildup of unsold inventories in many
state-owned factories; a glut of low interest loans and credits that were extended
to state administrative agencies and their influential clients while neglecting the
needs of those individuals, small businesses, and families who were the intended
recipients of the loans; and massive embezzlement of stimulus funds by officials.
Local government debts are another source of concern. According to official
statistics, widely believed to be underestimates, they had risen to an alarming
31 percent of GDP by the end of 2013. Should the central government allow
local governments to default, there could be serious consequences for social sta-
bility. Alternatively, bailing them out would be expensive and a disincentive to
curbing unwise spending in the future.
Government officials also worry about the lack of indigenous innovation,
meaning that the country’s manufacturers must copy from other countries or
produce goods for them rather than develop new products themselves. Inflation
remains a problem even as economic growth appears to be slowing. There are
concerns about a property bubble fueled by speculators.
Faced with a fragile economic recovery on the one hand and rising infla-
tionary pressures on the other, decision makers find it difficult to implement the
far-reaching restructuring that a 2012 World Bank report indicates will be neces-
sary if the PRC is to continue growing, or, as the report warned, become stuck in
a middle-income trap. Some economists believe that implicit in the World Bank’s
report is the more ominous warning that the alternative to restructuring may be
an economic downturn, which could in turn intensify social unrest. Chinese ana-
lyst Pei Minxin estimates that privatizing the SOEs would jeopardize ten million
jobs: five million of them in the party and another five million in the govern-
ment agencies that profit from strong state control of the economy. Reducing the
SOEs’ power would make the Chinese economy far more efficient, but, Pei points
out, it is highly unlikely that a one-party government would risk destroying its
own political base.
The government’s supporters point out that the impressive economic growth
rates of past years could not possibly be sustained indefinitely, and that China
can continue to develop at rates that would be the envy of most other economies,
in the range of 6 to 7 percent a year,: what Xi Jinping has referred to as “the new
normal” for the foreseeable future.
Others argue that with growth being artificially stimulated, a moment of reck-
oning may be imminent. As the CCP’s Nineteenth Party Congress was taking
place, the governor of China’s central bank warned that excessive optimism
could lead to a “Minsky moment,” meaning the sudden collapse of asset prices
following long periods of economic prosperity and growth.
C H A P T E R 7 ▸ The Politics of the Economy 175
Conclusions
The Chinese economy has turned in an impressive performance in the years after
Deng Xiaoping assumed a leadership rule. However, systemic flaws engendered
by the reforms became prominent and seemed destined to end the upswing in
prosperity. Among these serious structural defects are disparities of income:
• among regions. Despite some easing as higher wages on China’s eastern coast
give some industries the incentive to move inland, income levels in inland
and western provinces continue to lag behind. Average incomes in Shanghai
are more than five times as large as those in Gansu province.
• between urban and rural areas. Farmers earn less than one-third of city
dwellers’ income: though slightly less than half the population of the PRC,
rural residents own less than one-fifth of the country’s savings.
• among different industries, enterprises, and units. Wages have risen the fast-
est in finance, power production, and real estate, but relatively slowly in
agriculture, forestry, and fishing.
• among social strata. The self-employed and owners of private enterprise
receive higher wages than do workers in state enterprises.
• among urban residents. Citizens of Shanghai and Guangzhou earn far more
than residents of “rust belt” cities, such as those in Liaoning and Heilongji-
ang provinces.
• within communities. “Poverty belts” have grown up around cities like Bei-
jing and Tianjin; a Chinese economist has described Beijing as a European
city surrounded by an African countryside.
analysts point out that planning remains essential to the economy in a number of
ways, including the overall balancing of supply and demand, economic restruc-
turing, maintaining fair competition, environmental protection, and social equity.
It is possible that the PRC can muddle through the current situation, as it has
surmounted comparable difficulties in the past, but neither can the possibility for
significant instability be ignored.
All societies attempt to regulate the conduct of their members, though they may
differ widely in the sorts of behavior they condemn and sanction, the mecha-
nisms through which judgments are made, and the punishments that are meted
out. For example, one society may choose to encourage large families by provid-
ing incentives for childbearing and prison terms for the use or sale of contracep-
tives; another society, believing that it is important to limit population growth,
may employ a completely opposite incentive/punishment scheme. Some societies
prefer informal rules enforced by family and group sanctions; others rely on
detailed written codes enforced by an elaborate hierarchy of courts and prisons.
The types of punishment a society deems to be appropriate may vary as widely
as ostracizing the offender at the one extreme, to painful forms of execution at
the other.
The Chinese communist leadership group in 1949 was the survivor of sev-
eral decades of violent struggle against the Kuomintang (KMT), warlords, the
Japanese, and a number of internal rivals. None of these struggles was charac-
terized by respect for legalities. These were not life experiences that predisposed
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leaders to believe in the sanctity of a court
system, or in the notion that society could be bettered by reasoned appeals to
the consciences of its rulers. Communist ideology, moreover, rejected the entire
concept of the impartiality and inherent fairness of the legal system. To the con-
trary, the legal system was regarded as a tool in the hands of the ruling class—in
China’s case, feudal and bourgeois powers—to oppress and exploit the workers
and peasants and to inhibit the forces of progress.
Another factor predisposing the leadership against a formal legal system may
not have been consciously intended: the traditional Chinese preference for infor-
mality in settling disputes and imposing sanctions. Also, like communism, the
traditional Chinese legal system saw law as subordinate to a dominant political
philosophy—in its case, Confucianism.
Mao Zedong was a fervent believer in the concept of permanent revolution.
He was convinced that progress toward communism could be achieved only by
the continuous disruption of settled routines, lest the momentum of the revolu-
tion be lost and the evils of the old society re-emerge. Violence was the order of
the day, with Mao stating bluntly that the old society could not be transformed
177
178 C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC
by genteel means. This attitude also militated against the development of a for-
mal legal system, with its implications of predictability. Initially, therefore, the
emphasis was on destroying the old legal system, with some rather violent alter-
natives imposed in order to cleanse its evils.
The People’s Republic of China’s (PRCs) legal system since 1949 may be ana-
lyzed in terms of the interplay between two models of law: the jural and the soci-
etal. The jural model focuses on formal, elaborate, and codified rules enforced
by a regular judicial hierarchy, whereas the societal model emphasizes socially
approved norms and values. Both jural and societal influences were evident in the
legal procedures of the communist-controlled base areas prior to 1949. On the
one hand, there was extensive use of the mass line in creating and enforcing con-
sensus on ideological matters, and the techniques of mediation were employed
in settling civil disputes. On the other hand, people’s governments enacted a
number of basic laws, and they established a formal judicial system that included
courts, the right to defense, and public trials.
order to point out a false entry or protest an unfair political evaluation. Resi-
dence registration, which required an individual to remain in a given area unless
given specific permission to move or travel, was also a valuable tool in keeping
track of people. In addition to the procuracy and public security organs, the
new government established a three-tier judicial system—basic, intermediate,
and supreme court levels—with one right of appeal. An estimated 148 laws and
regulations were adopted from 1949 through 1953, of which the most important
were the Marriage Law (1950), the Land Reform Law (1950), the Trade Union
Law (1950), the Act for the Punishment of Counterrevolutionaries (1951), and
the Act for Punishment of Corruption (1952).
At the same time, however, public security organs dispensed justice without
reference to the procuracy, the court system, or the law. Arbitrary arrest and
detention, forced confessions, and ad hoc punishments were regularly reported
during this period. They were even celebrated in the literature and drama of
the time (see, for example, the plot of The White-haired Girl, discussed in
Chapter 12).
During the countrywide mass campaigns, such as the “three anti” and the
“five anti,” land reform, and anti-counterrevolutionary movements, hastily con-
vened people’s tribunals meted out revolutionary justice at mass trials. Mao
Zedong stated that 800,000 people deemed to be reactionaries and bad elements
received death sentences at such trials; other estimates run into the millions.
Many more people were sentenced to long terms of reform through labor under
conditions so poor that only the exceptionally strong and fortunate survived.
These methods were defended as absolutely necessary. Reactionary forces from
the old society were considered to be very strong and simply biding their time
before regrouping to attempt to strangle the infant new society. Only by com-
pletely destroying them could this comeback be prevented.
by the Supreme People’s Court, were given sole authority to administer justice.
Similar tiers were created for the people’s procuracies. Headed by the Supreme
People’s Procuracy, the various levels were collectively vested with supervisory
power over the execution of the law. For the first time, albeit in limited form, the
PRC seemed to accept the concept of judicial independence, with the constitution
declaring: “in administering justice, the people’s courts are independent, subject
only to the law.” In fact, however, courts were made responsible to people’s con-
gresses at corresponding levels. Since earlier laws had subordinated courts to the
leadership of the people’s governments—that is, to the executive rather than the
legislative authority—this represented a significant step toward the jural model.
Other articles of the constitution guaranteed equality before the law: free-
dom of speech, of the press, of association, of demonstration, and of religion,
as well as the right to work, to leisure, to education, and to social assistance.
Explicit protection against arbitrary arrest was provided by an article declaring
that “freedom of the person of citizens of the PRC is inviolable. No citizen may
be arrested except by decision of a people’s court or a people’s procuratorate.”
An Arrest and Detention Act, also promulgated in 1954, added detailed proce-
dures to the guarantee. A large number of substantive and procedural laws and
regulations were drawn up, often using Soviet codes as models.
Supplementing the work of courts and procuracies, a system of lawyers
began to take shape. Colleges and universities established legal training pro-
grams to teach the new socialist legal philosophy and laws. By mid-1957, China
had over 800 legal advisory offices, employing more than 2,500 full-time lawyers
nationwide.
Although the legal situation during this period was a definite improvement
over immediate postrevolutionary practices, both people’s rights and judicial
independence remained qualified. In keeping with the communist belief that law
was a tool of the ruling class, those who had been designated as reactionaries or
class enemies had no constitutional rights whatsoever. The constitution’s guar-
antee of equality before the law did not mean that legislation would be equally
applied to all, regardless of class. The idea of different rights for different classes
resonates with the li and fa distinction in traditional China, as does the coexis-
tence of societal and jural models. However, it is unlikely that the PRC leaders
made any conscious connection between their concept of the law and that of
traditional China.
As the post-1949 system took shape, it became apparent that there was no
presumption of innocence on behalf of the defendant: The accused was assumed
to be guilty unless he or she could amass strong evidence to the contrary. More-
over, a gap remained between written guarantees and actual practice. Even those
fortunate few with impeccable class backgrounds might find redress difficult
to obtain. Nonetheless, there could be no doubt that the mid-1950s showed a
noticeable trend toward the regularization and institutionalization of the judicial
system.
In 1956, at the Eighth National Congress of the CCP, Central Committee
Vice-Chair Liu Shaoqi defended these changes. With the passing of the period of
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 181
“revolutionary storm and stress,” new relations of production had been estab-
lished, which called for a corresponding change in methods. The existence of a
complete legal system had become an absolute necessity in order to foster pro-
duction. Individuals should understand that as long as they did not violate the
laws, their civil rights would be guaranteed. Interestingly, in light of future devel-
opments, Mao Zedong’s speech at the same party congress warned of the evils of
bureaucracy and the dangers of becoming isolated from the masses.
debates, bringing the courts directly to the people, using new rules and proce-
dures designed to be more easily understandable, and carrying out justice on the
spot. The retrenchment years that followed the failure of the Great Leap Forward
saw a partial if less than energetic return to some aspects of the jural model. For
example, several codification projects were revived. But, in general, informal rev-
olutionary norms prevailed.
708,000 were the fortunate ones: court dockets became so crowded, and trained
legal personnel were so few, that most plaintiffs faced long delays. Fears grew
that many cases might never be heard at all. Some of those affected believed it
was because the authorities simply did not care about them; others suspected,
often correctly, that their cases were so potentially disruptive to the social struc-
ture of the area that officials did not want to deal with them. Those whose cases
were heard but not decided in their favor became disgruntled, because they felt
they had been denied justice yet again.
Both those who were annoyed at not having their cases heard and those who
believed their cases had not been heard properly began to exercise their constitu-
tional rights to strike and demonstrate. Seeking redress, hundreds of thousands of
people flooded into Beijing and other major cities. Their plight was documented
by the foreign media rather too often for the taste of the leadership. During the
following year, the government responded by removing from the constitution
the “four bigs” and the right to strike. Officials explained that these rights were
created by the hated Gang of Four and hence, by implication, were irredeemably
tainted. Moreover, since people’s rights were now adequately protected in other
ways, to have these rights in the constitution was as unnecessary as “adding legs
to the picture of a snake.”
Others, however, argued that the leadership’s actions showed they regarded
human rights not as a birthright but as merely instrumental or bureaucratic. As
such, rights can be dispensed with if they do not seem to serve the needs of public
policy. In fact, if one accepts the concept of human rights as instrumental, the
public interest may require their suspension. In this case, and in those of subse-
quent mass demonstrations, it could be—and was—argued that China’s major
goal is economic development and the creation of national prosperity. Since
demonstrations disrupt social stability and normal economic activities, they are
inimical to the national interest and subversive in nature. Those who back such
subversive activities are therefore counterrevolutionaries.
This retreat notwithstanding, the leadership continued its commitment to
the institutionalization of a formal system of justice. The constitution adopted
in 1982, and still in force, describes China as a “people’s democratic dictator-
ship” rather than as a “dictatorship of the proletariat.” It not only reinstated the
1954 constitution’s provision that no deputy to the NPC might be arrested or
tried without the consent of the NPC or its standing committee but also added a
clause exempting deputies from prosecution for speeches or votes at NPC meet-
ings. People’s courts and procuracies were not to be subject to interference by
administrative organs, public organizations, or individuals, though it should be
noted that because the CCP is not one of these, it is not restricted by the provi-
sion. Party leaders have consistently described the concept of the separation of
powers as being bourgeois in origin and unsuitable for China. They have also
pointed out that to have each branch of the government go its own way is condu-
cive to inconsistent and confusing policies, with the potential for creating chaos.
The 1982 constitution also puts more emphasis on individual rights than its
1978 counterpart. Major new additions were the imposition of a two-term limit
186 C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC
Legal Developments
Within the framework provided by Deng Xiaoping’s instructions and the suc-
cessive new constitutions, a large number of changes were made in the judicial
system within a very short time. In addition to the supreme court and higher-,
intermediate-, and basic-level people’s courts, specialized courts were established
to handle military, maritime, and railway matters, respectively (Figure 8.1). The
functions of the first two are obvious; the last has jurisdiction over criminal cases
that occur along rail lines and aboard trains as well as cases of economic disputes
related to rail transportation.
The main responsibility of the supreme court is to supervise the administra-
tion of justice by lower courts at various levels and by the special courts. Since its
establishment, the supreme court has considered only a handful of cases that are
considered especially important, such as the cases of Japanese war criminals and
that of the Gang of Four. China’s supreme court is not empowered to determine
the constitutionality of legislation or of government policies: the constitution
reserves that right to the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress.
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 187
However, a 1981 decision by the Standing Committee gave the court the author-
ity to interpret law relating to questions involving the specific application of laws
and decrees in court trials. There is no requirement that these interpretations
be made public, which means that parties to a case, whether domestic, foreign,
corporate, or individual, have no assurance that the rules on which the court is
relying will be made known to them. This is not an issue in all cases, but it is
more likely to occur in new or sensitive areas.
of two years’ college education, but this can be waived for well-respected older
people. In addition, whereas assessors had often been appointed by judges and
behaved like what critics described as ornaments, the new law specified that they
were to be appointed only by local people’s congress standing committees. Asses-
sors found guilty of malpractice or making wrong judgments could be punished.
While the new standards aimed at elevating sentencing standards and reduc-
ing corruption, they raised troubling questions. First, would the representatives
of the local people’s congress choose objective, unbiased individuals? Second,
would punishment for so-called wrong judgments be meted out fairly?
The accused has the right to a lawyer and also the right to defend himself
or to ask one of his relatives to do so. Until the late 1990s, a lawyer’s loyalty
was expected to be with the collective interests of the people rather than with
his or her client. Since leniency is frequently accorded to those who confess and
show remorse, continued insistence on one’s innocence is likely to produce a
more severe sentence than would admitting guilt. The purpose of the courts has
thus not been to determine guilt or innocence but to decide on punishment. Very
few cases result in acquittal. It is possible to appeal one’s sentence by having
it referred to a higher level court, though in practice this is rarely done. If the
procuracy finds errors in the judgment made by the lower courts, it can counter-
plea. The court of second instance will then re-examine the case; its judgment is
final. In stark contrast to many foreign legal systems, justice is swift: Executions
have been carried out within an hour of sentencing. Even when the sentence is
appealed (in the case of the death penalty, an appeal is supposed to be auto-
matic), the final disposition of the case may be accomplished within one week.
Although the constitution provides for public trial except under special cir-
cumstances, there are varying interpretations of what constitutes an open trial.
Tickets are issued in accordance with the number of seats in the courtroom but
may mysteriously have all been given out some time before the proceedings
begin. Foreigners, including journalists, are not normally able to attend trials.
In June 1998, courts were ordered open to the non-foreign public; presenting an
identity card was henceforth to be the sole prerequisite for admission. However,
few people have thus far actually exercised their right to attend trials, and judges
seem uncomfortable with the presence of those who do.
Other departures from constitutional and criminal code guarantees also
occur. Although the government apparently intended its trial of the Gang of
Four in 1980 to demonstrate to the world China’s commitment to a just legal
system, most international observers regarded the proceedings as carefully stage-
managed to achieve maximum publicity for verdicts that had been predetermined.
The trial of democracy wall dissident Wei Jingsheng had the same effect.
Several people who were arrested after the quelling of the spring 1989
demonstrations in Tiananmen Square appeared to have been beaten, and the trial
of one dissident was accompanied by charges of blatant evidence tampering. His
lawyers complained that they had not been allowed to interview the witnesses
for the prosecution. None of the witnesses appeared in court and therefore could
not be cross-examined. Several of them had been told to leave Beijing before
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 189
Mediation
The great majority of cases—on the order of 90 percent or more—are not handled
by courts at all but through the mediation process. There is widespread distrust
of the court system, which is also perceived as being unnecessarily bureaucratic
and slow moving, despite the speed with which it moves once a case is actually
brought to trial. Many people also believe that resorting to the court system
involves loss of face: individuals should be able to resolve their problems among
themselves, and an inability to do so may be perceived as a failing on their part.
There is also the belief that more serious cases, including physical violence and
major theft, often arise out of less serious disputes that might have been resolved
through mediation before tempers grew too short. These might include disputes
within families or among neighbors over the division of labor or property rights.
In urban areas, three-generation families may occupy a one-bedroom apartment
and share kitchen and toilet facilities with a number of other families. The fric-
tions that may arise in such situations are easily imaginable.
Yet another reason for reluctance to resort to the court system is the atten-
tion it may call to oneself. Reporting the theft of an expensive object, such as
costly jewelry or an imported wristwatch, may lead public security personnel,
who are not necessarily honest themselves, to focus on how the owner obtained
the item in the first place.
Mediation can be conducted by a variety of different groups. It is even applied
during court proceedings, where it can be used as early in the process as imme-
diately after the facts are investigated or as late as the court of second instance
in handling appeals. Most mediation, however, is conducted outside the court
system. People’s mediation committees, street committees in one’s neighbor-
hood, or one’s work unit may take on the task. Street committees were typically
composed of retired men and women—energetic busybodies who poked into all
kinds of family disputes and quarrels among neighbors—who volunteered for
the task. Although some people appear to genuinely appreciate their services,
others regard street committees as an unwanted intrusion. They are colloquially
referred to by various names, including “small feet inspection teams”—because
when they were founded in the early 1950s, many of the elderly women who
formed the majority of their membership had had their feet bound as children—
or “eight grannies with seven teeth.”
Given the crowded living conditions in China, it is difficult to keep secrets.
When neighbors fight, street committee members will hear about it and step in
190 C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC
to try to resolve differences. They record serious disputes and those likely to have
larger implications in a logbook that is kept in the street committee office. Mem-
bers also keep watch for robbers, prevent children from misbehaving, conduct
political study sessions to keep people abreast of new party policies, and try to
mediate family quarrels. One street committee member described her organiza-
tion’s goal as “educating people to live harmoniously and act peacefully.”
Neighborhood teams have mediated in divorce cases and lectured gangs of
rowdy teens. One observer, having watched an elderly lady face down a group of
sullen boys a quarter of her age, attributed a great deal of the teams’ success to
the enforced immobility of urban life in China. In a number of urban areas, the
greater freedom of movement engendered by Deng Xiaoping’s economic reforms
led to loosened social controls. Some welcomed the greater degree of privacy,
while others became uneasy because they felt less safe.
In addition to their mediation function, street committees serve as adjuncts
to public security work. Naturally, serving as an informant can make one unpop-
ular. Not only committee members but even public security personnel have suf-
fered the wrath of their victims and those who sympathize with the victims.
In some cases, those informed upon hire assassins to wreak vengeance. Other
informants find life made difficult for them in various ways, referred to as “being
given tight shoes to wear.” This may take forms that cannot be directly linked
to retaliatory behavior. There are, after all, many reasons besides a desire for
revenge why a person might be demoted in rank or transferred to a less desirable
area. Here as well, mediation may be applied.
Neighborhood committees have been folded into so-called communities,
shequ, in some areas, staffed with younger, better-educated, salaried profession-
als rather than elderly retirees. Their activities may even include finding day care
for the retirees. Several motives are involved. First, with the old work unit system
and the social services it used to perform in decay, it is hoped that the commu-
nities can take over the tasks the work unit used to perform. A second reason
is to put the communist party back in touch with people at the most basic level
of society. The old functions have not disappeared: committees remain powerful
in the issuance of such important documents as driver’s licenses, permissions to
marry, have children, determine eligibility for minimum subsistence allowances,
and in admonitions to parents to have their children vaccinated against dis-
ease. Authorities want staff members to report on the activities of the country’s
increasingly outspoken and mobile population—informing them, for example,
of the presence of illegal migrants, members of unregistered organizations, or
unusual occurrences of any sort.
Petitions
Those who believe that justice has been denied can file petitions with higher
authorities. Their numbers rose rapidly, from 4.8 million in 1995 to upward
of 10 million a decade later—from two to three times the civil cases filed with
the courts each year. Theoretically, petitions serve as an extrajudicial channel
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 191
through which citizens who feel wronged by official decisions can find redress.
Petitions allow higher level authorities a means through which they can gauge
the effectiveness of lower level governance. They may intervene if they perceive
a threat to social stability. The assignment of guilt or innocence seems to be sec-
ondary to avoiding what are called mass incidents.
Since officials whose areas have a high incidence of disgruntled citizens face
disciplinary measures from above, they react by concealing petitions rather than
investigating and dealing with them. Those disgruntled petitioners who take their
grievances to higher levels, including Beijing, may be restrained by other means.
Local authorities hire gangs of thugs who listen carefully for the accents of their
areas, retrieve the petitioners, and send them back, sometimes after beating and
torturing them. If petitioners come to the attention of capital police, they may
offer to “sell” the petitioners back to local authorities. If the local authorities do
not agree to pay, the petitioners’ grievances will be processed. Hence, most local
governments are willing to buy, reasoning that they can find a way to recoup
their expenses from the unlucky victims or their families.
Those apprehended may be sentenced to reform through labor, prison, psy-
chiatric facilities, or consigned to what are known as black jails—private prisons
where conditions are so bad that they are colloquially referred to as “palaces
of hell.” Not a few have died in these jails. Chinese legal analysts complain that
a practice originally established to resolve political problems has evolved into
one that is replacing the judicial system. In a mid-2013 reform that could lessen
such abuses, the State Bureau of Lessons and Calls was ordered to stop compil-
ing a monthly ranking of the number of “illegal petitioners.” The expectation is
that officials who need not fear that large numbers of petitioners will hurt their
careers will have less incentive to retaliate against them. Surprisingly, Chinese
data indicate that although petitioning resolves only 0.2 percent of the griev-
ances brought through this channel, 30 percent of petitioners consider the prac-
tice easier and more convenient than court proceedings.
Another institution that has perverted its original purpose is the Urban Man-
agement Enforcement Bureau, or chengguan. Introduced in the late 1990s to deal
with a broad range of street-level issues such as illegal vendors, unlicensed cabs,
and unscrupulous tour guides, it quickly evolved into an entity whose personnel
apprehend people in order to extract fines, regardless of whether they have com-
mitted the offenses of which they are accused. In 2013, a massive public outcry
after four chengguan members beat an unlicensed watermelon seller to death
resulted in the chengguan being sentenced to prison.
people without trial from one to three years, with the possibility of a fourth, for
offenses in any of six vaguely defined categories such as speaking in opposition to
the CCP or socialism, instigating low-level turmoil, drug use, vagrancy, behavior
that disrupts workplace or school order, and even chronic complaining. Misuse
of RTL has been the subject of much criticism: public opinion became incensed
when a woman who complained about police failure to deal with the rape of her
young daughter was sentenced to 18 months. In another case, a man received two
years for tweeting other people’s opinions on political reform. How many people
are held under RTL is difficult to determine: official sources reported 170,000 in
2009, but just over 60,000 in 2012. Human rights organizations speculate that
the sharp reduction may have resulted from people being transferred from RTL to
black jails or other types of correction facilities. After much criticism, the system
was abolished in 2013, although abuses continue in other forms.
Because prisoners can be made to work for little more than basic subsis-
tence and cannot leave to take other work or threaten to go on strike, the prod-
ucts of their labor can be sold for very low prices. Several Western nations have
laws against importing the products of what they term slave labor. The Chinese
government has vehemently denied that it exports items produced by prisoners,
though this can be disputed by reference to official PRC publications.
There have also been persistent reports of organ harvesting—that is, prisons
selling the organs of recently executed inmates to wealthy individuals who need
transplants. Prison officials state that the inmate has freely consented to become
a donor; family members and human rights groups question whether the indi-
vidual’s permission was actually obtained and, if it were, whether it was truly
voluntary. Adherents to the Falun Gong religious group have claimed that their
members are singled out for organ harvesting, in some cases before the individual
is actually dead.
Although the harsh punishments described here would certainly seem suf-
ficient to deter most people from committing any proscribed acts, such has not
been the case. During the era of Maoist austerity, possessing items of conspicu-
ous consumption—even as modest as hair ribbons or bottles of foreign liquor—
could mark their owners as bourgeois and, therefore, the objects of struggle
sessions. Hence, money and material goods were dangerous. When Deng Xiaop-
ing declared that it was acceptable for some people to become rich before others
and that it was no crime to live well, many people were tempted to take chances.
For example, responding to the government’s encouragement for the formation
of group cooperatives in the service industries, small hotels proliferated. Some
came to be used for gambling, prostitution, smuggling, or other illegal activities.
Smuggling was likewise facilitated by the increased exchange of goods between
China and other countries and by the larger number of tourists and businesspeo-
ple entering and leaving China.
As mentioned previously, Deng’s economic reforms caused dossiers to lose
some of their effectiveness as a method of social surveillance. Entrepreneurial
companies tend to care more for a job applicant’s saleable skills than prior pec-
cadilloes and may not bother to check their files. For the wealthy, bribing the
right official to change their dossiers is another possibility. Not everyone is able
to exercise these options, however, and maintaining an impeccable or at least an
innocuous dossier is still a desideratum.
In 1994, the government loosened several of the restrictions in its residence
registration system, with another change introduced in 2010. These tacitly
accepted the reality that Deng’s economic reforms had enabled large numbers of
people to circumvent the restrictions (see Chapter 11) but simultaneously weak-
ened yet another of the government’s control mechanisms. What to do about the
migrant or floating population, officially reported as 245 million as of 2017, has
become a major issue for the government. The migrants are economically useful,
since they perform the “three-d” jobs—dirty, difficult, and dangerous—that many
urban residents find distasteful. However, their technically illegal presence means
that the migrants are ineligible for most social services, major contributors to the
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 195
crime rate, a health hazard, a threat to family planning policies (see Chapter 11),
and easy prey for corrupt police.
The 2010 proposal envisioned a nationwide residence permit system to
reform the household registration system, but with many caveats. A point system
advanced by Guangdong, for example, was limited to migrants from rural areas
within the province only, with criteria that included age, education, adherence to
family planning policies, a clean criminal record, participation in community ser-
vice, social security status, and several other determinants. Municipal authorities
felt that they could not afford to grant residence permits to all migrants owing
to the huge cost entailed in providing social welfare benefits, such as education,
housing, and health care, for which the migrants would become eligible. Skeptics
scoffed that the new proposals amounted to talking about change while enforc-
ing the previous policy; others saw them as a transitional step toward abolishing
the household registration system and therefore representing progress.
With party and government controls attenuated, other organizations became
more important. Secret societies, which had scarcely been mentioned since the
early days of the communist government, reappeared and began to play a prom-
inent role in criminal activities. Because many of these societies had branches in
different parts of China as well as in foreign countries, they were able to coordi-
nate the movement of large sums of money and large quantities of goods around
the country and beyond its borders. Some of the money and goods were used to
bribe officials at various levels to ignore the societies’ activities. Party–gangster
(“red–black”) collusion extends to the highest levels of party and government.
In 1993, the PRC’s minister of public security created a furor when he admitted
that the police maintained links with the notorious Triad society and had once
even enlisted its aid in protecting a Chinese leader traveling abroad. In major
cities, gang syndicates practice tax farming: They take charge of tax collection,
agreeing to pay the authorities a previously agreed-upon sum while retaining
for themselves anything beyond that sum. Gangs have laundered money in the
form of foreign investment and cooperated with the Russian mafia to prey on
merchants in the Russian Far East.
The rising crime rate, which included a marked increase in violent crime,
became a major issue, both for the leadership and for the ordinary person. It is
difficult to compare crime statistics in the PRC with those of other countries,
since many acts that are classified as offenses in China are not legally actionable
elsewhere. What concerns most Chinese, however, is not the crime rate in other
countries but what they perceive as a deterioration in their own situation. Several
crackdowns notwithstanding, the incidence of crime continues to be worrisome.
One reason is that criminals are often able to bribe the police and other author-
ities, including those at high levels of party and government. Sometimes, corrupt
officials receive a percentage of the profits, becoming rent seekers on criminal
activities. Several of the bribers have argued, convincingly, that, given the irratio-
nal nature of the economic system and the attitude of the authorities they must
deal with, it is impossible for a business to prosper unless its owner pays off the
authorities.
196 C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC
The legal developments of the 1990s and early twenty-first century reflect
cross-cutting pressures on decision makers. One goal is to placate the com-
plaints of human rights advocates, both foreign and domestic; a second, often
in conflict with the first, is to respond to public demands to deal with the rising
crime rate. Finally, but not least in importance, policy makers want to ensure
that reforms do not result in weakening party control over the judicial process.
In 1991, a civil procedure law was passed that, among other provisions, allows
class action lawsuits. These have been used with some success by, for example,
persons who have suffered deteriorating health and loss of income from facto-
ries that pollute the environment. While the ability to bring class action suits
is clearly advantageous for would-be plaintiffs, suits are most likely to be suc-
cessful when they simultaneously benefit the central government. Beijing has
found it difficult to control local officials and factory managers, and is pleased
to throw its influence behind such class actions. By contrast, a class action suit
by aggrieved democracy activists or relatives of those killed by the military in
the Tiananmen Square demonstrations of 1989 is not possible, at least under
current conditions.
A law on lawyers promulgated in 1996 established the basis for attorneys
to move from being state-subsidized legal workers to independent professionals
responsible to their clients and to the law. As part of this responsibility, clients
who were harmed by their lawyers’ incompetence could claim compensation.
The law also stipulated that lawyers must set aside an unspecified portion of
their time to provide legal aid services to the poor. Although the accused has the
right to hire an attorney, the government is not obliged to provide defendants
with a lawyer unless they are blind, deaf, or mute, or, as of 2013, indigent. Law-
yers may be reluctant to take on the cases of political dissidents or those with a
grievance against the powerful, since they may be severely beaten or even mur-
dered if they do so. Because their licenses, which are issued by the state rather
than by bar associations, must be renewed annually, lawyers who take on unpop-
ular cases can be dealt with quickly. Attorneys who offered to defend Tibetans
charged with instigating riots and who advised earthquake victims of their rights
under the law were warned of exactly this consequence. In mid-2013, lawyers
attempting to investigate a black jail were badly beaten.
In a seemingly important advance, a criminal procedure law that went into
effect in 1996 proclaimed that the accused were not to be considered guilty
until convicted by a court. The law also gave defendants greater access to law-
yers and abolished the procedure of shoushen, or “sheltering for examination,”
under which police had been able to detain people for three months and even, in
practice, much longer without charging them with any crime. Originally devised
to prevent transient suspected criminals whose status and residence were not
known from leaving, shoushen was frequently misused, and was criticized by
both Chinese and foreigners concerned with human rights.
The reform was not quite all that it appeared to be, however, since the new
law gave police the right to hold suspects without charge for up to seven months
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 197
There are problems in making even good laws work properly. Major con-
cerns include:
Given these circumstances, it is not surprising that the new laws do not
function as human rights advocates would wish. For example, the 1996 Crimi-
nal Procedures Law adopted the presumption of innocence, expanded the right
to counsel, increased the role of the courts so as to eliminate the prior prac-
tice of pretrial determination of guilt, and limited public security organs to 30
days’ detention of persons “strongly suspected of wandering around committing
crimes, committing multiple crimes, or forming gangs to commit crimes.” But the
requirement for public security organs to inform detainees’ families of the rea-
sons for detention and of the place of custody within 24 hours after the individ-
ual is detained may be waived if police believe it could hinder the investigation or
if they have no way of notifying the families. Police may also deny that suspects
are actually being detained, saying that they are being “accommodated” (forci-
bly) in a guest house run by the police, for which the individuals are required to
pay room and board. Persons thus accommodated are warned that, should they
wish to protest, they risk being actually charged.
In addition, even though lawyers are now able to call witnesses, they have no
way of making them appear in court, or even to be interviewed. In these situa-
tions, cross-examination becomes impossible, and the entire investigative process
may become a sham. Although the law stipulates that clients be able to meet with
their lawyers within 48 hours of their arrest, the authorities may, through vari-
ous tactics, prevent such meetings for months. Police sometimes sit in on these
meetings or even stop them. Lawyers who become too insistent, or too successful
in unpopular cases, may themselves be jailed on trumped-up charges that are
difficult to disprove, have their license to practice revoked, or be indicted for
perjury if a witness recants. Lawyers are especially vulnerable to such treatment
in cases with high political salience, whether at the central government or local
level. Bar associations exist, but they are weak and have thus far been ineffective
in protecting the professional rights of their members.
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 199
Under provisions that came into effect in 2013, lawyers must pledge to “ful-
fill the sacred mission of socialism with Chinese characteristics and uphold the
leadership of the CCP,” with legal experts protesting that lawyers should only
pay attention to the law itself and be faithful to their clients. Another new ruling
allows judges to prohibit legal representatives from participating in litigation
for six months to a year if they “disrupt the order” of hearings, which seems to
include emailing or microblogging about hearings.
Although it is not legal, torture is used to extract confessions from recalci-
trant suspects, some of whom are not guilty. It is impossible to tell how wide-
spread this practice is. A number of factors are involved. Given popular concern
with crime, police are more concerned with cracking cases than they are about
abusing suspects. Second, given their meager training in investigative techniques
and forensic science, the police have few other ways to get a suspect to confess.
As long as confessions extracted through torture remain admissible in court pro-
ceedings, laws forbidding torture will exist in name only.
The “strike-hard” campaigns introduced in 1996 put police under pressure
to produce results, and civil liberties inevitably suffered. More than 2,000 exe-
cutions were reported in the course of a few months. Human rights activists
pointed out that this was yet another example of the subordination of law to
politics: a crime is a crime whenever it is committed and should carry the same
sentence. The implication of the “strike-hard” campaign is that criminals might
be prosecuted leniently the year before the campaign and again the year after.
The campaign also seems to have been used as a convenient tool to arrest and
incarcerate those suspected of ethnic separatism, political activism, and practic-
ing religion in non-state-sanctioned settings.
Black marketeering continues to be a problem, as does the kidnapping of
women and children. The women are forced into prostitution or sold to desper-
ate farmers who are unable to find wives in the more normal fashion, while the
children are sold to childless couples or set to work in factories as virtual slaves.
Thieves on motorbikes ride up behind well-dressed pedestrians, snatch their
purses or briefcases, and speed away. Organized gangs have proliferated. Rather
than fight each other, some gangs reportedly divide cities into “turf” for each
gang. In some areas, villagers turn to local strongmen to deal with their problems
and disputes, completely circumventing the party apparatus. Secret societies also
provide an alternate channel of authority and decision making, as do powerful
clans. Clan heads and religious leaders may serve as arbiters in disputes, some-
times even at the request of the party organization itself.
Not least among the justice ministry’s problems is corruption between the
police force and judicial system. High-ranking Bank of China officials have
laundered more than $485 million through Las Vegas casinos; the deputy chief
of the supreme court was found to be involved with organized corruption in
Guangdong; and the chief of the Beijing cyber police was convicted of fabricating
evidence to convict a company because its business rival paid him a large sum
of money to do so. In 2017, the country’s long-serving justice minister, a mem-
ber of the party’s Central Committee, was removed from her job and charged
200 C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC
with accepting bribes. How to deal with corrupt officials has been an ongoing
problem that successive leaders have repeatedly vowed to address, but with no
tangible results. Xi Jinping’s forceful campaign against it has been tainted by
charges of politicization, since it has targeted his enemies disproportionately.
A prominent Chinese lawyer observed that, although his country has many beau-
tiful laws, enforcing them is quite another issue.
Nonetheless, the fact that more people have been using the courts to settle
certain types of grievances indicates that there is a degree of public confidence in
the system. Some homeowners, for example, have managed to successfully resist
developers, although this is not the norm.
Conclusions
In the post-Mao era, the goals of the legal system may be summarized as follows:
On the positive side, the educational level of court personnel has improved, and
serious legal scholarship has developed. However, party control over the judicial
system, which during the Deng era appeared to be weakening, has been reas-
serted. Hu Jintao seemed to have concluded that law had failed to further the
interests of party and government, and to prefer mediation to resolve disputes.
Xi Jinping appears to view law as instrumentalist: supporting economic develop-
ment while serving to consolidate his personal power. He has been explicit about
the need for strong party control of the legal system. Under his administration, the
system has become less liberal and more centralized, There is no effective way to
enforce constitutional rights, since the courts are not empowered to do so, and the
standing committee of the National People’s Congress, which is empowered to do
so, has thus far not chosen to exercise its authority. In sum, there is little evidence
that a rule of law which includes liberal democracy and gives priority to civil and
political rights is evolving. The Chinese legal system would appear to be moving
toward the institutionalization of a statist, quasi-socialist, neo-authoritarian sys-
tem. At least at present, China’s legal system appears to more closely resemble the
expectations of the communist neo-traditionalist model than those of pluralistic
liberalism. One scholar sees the evolution of a different kind of pluralism quite
outside the rule of law, characterizing it as a hybrid of authoritarian politics, mass
line justice, and bureaucratic law institutionalized through the courts.
Although post-Mao legal reforms represent a significant improvement over
the legal nihilist views of the Cultural Revolution, the instrumental bureaucratic
view of law runs counter to the legal relationship of state and society that a
market-oriented economy and civil society would seem to require. In several
important respects, the PRC’s legal system is not like that prevalent in the West.
C H A P T E R 8 ▸ The Legal System of the PRC 201
For example, the judiciary is not independent, the presumption of innocence for
the accused is not well established, decisions are made much more quickly and
with fewer opportunities for review, and mediation plays a much greater role
than in the West.
Generally speaking, law is viewed as an instrument of government, with cit-
izens as the objects of legal regulation. Courts often try to discourage litigation.
The Chinese legal system is willing to forgo the enforcement of rights when
other pressing values seem to be at stake, to the point where, as one expert has
observed, the system recognizes interests more than rights. In the late 1990s, it
seemed that the Chinese legal system, though continuing to restrain human rights
at its highest levels, might nonetheless be moving in the direction of producing an
effective system of control over abuses of human rights by lower level officials.
By the latter part of the following decade, assessments became more pessimistic.
Reform-minded Chinese jurists have complained that the rule of law is in full
retreat. Referring to the revised criminal procedure law, one expert described the
progressive parts as like a woman with bound feet, while the regressive parts are
like an adulterer on the run. The ambiguous language of the law has been lik-
ened to a gunnysack into which the police can fit any excuse they want. Human
rights lawyer Teng Biao characterizes the system as “Lenin plus Emperor Qin
Shi Huang—modern totalitarianism combined with pre-modern Chinese legalist
philosophy, and nothing more than a tool to further control society.”
How important it is to have a universal legal system is a controversial matter
among scholars. Some take a relativist position, claiming that while the PRC’s
legal system would not be suitable for much of the rest of the world, it is none-
theless, if fairly administered, admirably suited to China. Others argue that
human rights are mankind’s birthright, and not subject to restriction on the basis
of alleged cultural differences. What is clear, however, is that in many important
ways the current Chinese legal system does not live up to its own standards as
defined by its constitution and judicial codes, and that there is widespread dissat-
isfaction with its current condition.
come about spontaneously, but bitter experience soon taught the party that this
was unlikely to happen. As noted in Chapter 3, CCP attempts at putsches were
put down relatively easily, with surviving party members fleeing to rural areas to
avoid extermination. It was at this point that the party reluctantly accepted the
need for a regular military organization.
When the Red Army was founded on August 1, 1927, and for several years
thereafter, it was a ragtag group that included idealistic but untrained commu-
nists, deserters from warlord armies, veterans of peasant militias, and bandits.
Mao Zedong believed that the last category was the most numerous. His com-
plaints about officers mistreating their troops, lack of discipline, and “the roving
insurgent mentality” (banditry) indicate the difficulties of welding this disparate
mass into a fighting force in support of communist goals. Communist leaders
were concerned that the Red Army would degenerate into the warlord bandit
force that formed a significant part of its origins.
Despite this inauspicious start, the party was able to wrest power from its
Kuomintang (KMT) rivals in 1949. During the intervening two decades, the Red
Army, renamed the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) after 1949, had evolved into
a well-disciplined force that provided effective support for the party’s expansion
on, and eventual control of, the Chinese mainland. In the process, it developed
certain characteristics that are collectively referred to as the Maoist model. How-
ever, one should be aware that, first, the model evolved gradually in response to
circumstances, and second, leaders other than Mao played important roles in its
development. Major elements of this model include:
would avoid the defense of fixed points, preferring highly mobile, guerrilla-
type tactics to isolate enemy units from one another. The element of sur-
prise was considered crucial. When superior forces could be concentrated
against dispersed units, communist troops were to surround and destroy
them. When this could not be done, they were to withdraw and practice
harassment tactics. Following a protracted period during which opposition
forces became progressively more exhausted and demoralized, the enemy
would surrender.
• a high degree of democracy within the military. From the earliest days of the
Red Army, Mao insisted that officers must not mistreat soldiers, and should
eat, sleep, work, and study alongside their men, “sharing weal and woe” with
them. Nonetheless, Mao drew a distinction between democracy, of which
he approved, and absolute egalitarianism, which he emphatically opposed.
Although distinctions were made between officers and men in terms of cer-
tain privileges, they were relatively minor by comparison with those of other
military organizations.
• economic functions of the military. To minimize the costs of the military to
society, the army was to strive for maximum self-sufficiency. Insofar as possi-
ble, units were to raise their own food, mend their clothing, knit their socks,
and build and service their barracks. Further, the army was to help build and
maintain the civilian economy.
• the army as a model for society. In addition to being of the people and for
the people, the army was to serve as a model for mass behavior. Mass media
described efforts to solve the country’s economic and social problems as a
battle, and enjoined citizens to emulate the army’s energy, organization, dis-
cipline, and devotion to duty while launching a concerted attack on the evils
of the old society. The slogan “everyone a soldier” referred to civilian person-
nel engaged in economic and social reforms.
• lack of clear distinctions between the military and civilian leaderships.
As mentioned previously, a high percentage of the early PLA leaders had
little or no formal military education. In addition, political and military
powers were tightly intertwined during the period of the civil war. This
close connection between military and civilian administration contin-
ued for several years after the CCP came to power. The six Military and
Administrative Regions into which China was divided after 1949 exercised
both civil and military functions. When they were abolished a few years
later, many military leaders assumed administrative duties. Subsequently,
some who had received formal military training, and others who had not,
assumed positions in the PLA or in the party and government organizations
supervising it.
While such career patterns of exit from and re-entry into the military are
far from the norm, they occurred often enough, and at a high enough level,
to blur the distinctions between the military and civilian elites. For example,
Wei Guoqing, a military academy graduate, held several important military
C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military 205
positions during the revolutionary war and for several years after. In 1958, he
became first party secretary of the newly founded Guangxi Zhuang Autono-
mous Region, and was one of a handful of first party secretaries to survive the
Cultural Revolution. In 1977, he returned to the PLA as head of its general
political department. Wei served in this capacity until 1982, when he was fired
after differing with Deng Xiaoping about loosening restrictions on art and
literature. During the Cultural Revolution, a majority of the members of the
politburo and the party’s Central Committee were military officers. For a time
in the late 1980s, China’s president served simultaneously as general secretary
of the Central Military Commission (CMC); the country’s vice-president was
another veteran soldier.
When the PRC adopted its first constitution in 1954, Peng Dehuai was named
the new government’s first minister of defense. It was under his aegis that many
of these changes occurred. They included:
cleaning spittoons and latrines, caring for animals, and weeding crops, in order
to lessen their arrogance and give them an understanding of their subordinates’
point of view.
PLA members were reminded of the importance of good relations with civil-
ians, and the army worked on behalf of economic development on an unprec-
edented scale. The media reported that the PLA contributed 59 million days to
economic development in 1958 alone. Although this figure, like all other statistics
from the period of the Great Leap Forward, was apt to be grossly exaggerated,
there is no doubt that the PLA was heavily involved in nonmilitary activities,
leaving little time for training. Simultaneously, the militia was raised to virtual
parity with the PLA. The “everyone a soldier” movement of 1958 claimed to have
enrolled over 200 million ordinary citizens in the militia. Maoist “reds” believed
that allocating an important role to the militia would make the country better
able to fight a true People’s War while simultaneously undercutting the PLA’s
claims to a superior position because of its vaunted expertise in defense mat-
ters. The disparity between military and civilian living standards was redressed
through such measures as lowering officers’ pay and reducing the quality of the
army’s food and uniforms.
In 1959, Defense Minister Peng Dehuai, widely regarded as supportive of
“expert” professionalist views, was dismissed after he criticized Mao for cham-
pioning the Great Leap Forward. Peng was replaced by Lin Biao, who might then
be considered to espouse “red” amateur positions. What actually happened is a
great deal more complicated. Although Peng almost certainly resisted radical pol-
icies that he felt weakened PLA morale and combat capabilities, the proximate
cause for his dismissal was his criticism of the economic and social policies of the
Leap—something on which a purely professional soldier would normally avoid
commenting. It fell to Lin to regularize and reorganize the PLA into a force capa-
ble of ensuring the country’s defense—a task that required substantial attention
to professional criteria.
Secret Chinese military documents published in the PRC in 1961 and later
made public by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency reveal the devastating effect
that the Great Leap Forward had on the PLA. Widespread malnutrition and
poor sanitary conditions caused debilitating diseases among young men who had
been selected from the country’s most physically fit. Weapons maintenance had
deteriorated, leading to a rise in accidents caused by malfunctioning equipment.
This was particularly noticeable in the air force, where equipment was expensive
and hard to replace. Repudiation of the Soviet model had exacerbated strains
in Sino–Soviet relations to the point where the USSR ceased giving military aid
and withdrew its advisers to the Chinese military. This further compounded the
problems of equipment replacement. PLA morale was dangerously low.
By October 1962, the PLA had improved to the extent that it gained a
decisive victory over Indian forces during a confrontation in the Himalayas.
The Chinese triumph was made easier by India’s poor planning and mismanage-
ment. Nonetheless, the PLA coped successfully with long supply lines through
difficult terrain inhabited by a hostile Tibetan population: there had been a
210 C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military
the work of party and government organizations. Lin Biao had, it appeared,
achieved a successful synthesis of the PLA’s different roles.
The synthesis proved short-lived when Mao decided that the “learn from the
PLA” campaign had not been a success and that, in any case, the army was insuf-
ficiently radical. In May 1965, in a move that was unequivocally pro-amateur
and anti-professional, the PLA’s rank system was abolished. During the same
year, the military’s official newspaper began an attack on “bourgeois” intellec-
tuals that proved to be the opening round of the Cultural Revolution. Signifi-
cantly, it began with an attack on a play set in the Ming dynasty whose hero
bore a striking resemblance to Peng Dehuai, Lin Biao’s predecessor as minister of
defense (see Chapter 12). All expertise, including military expertise, came under
attack as bourgeois and anti-Maoist. The slogans being chanted left no doubt
that the correct ideological line no longer sought a blend of politically reliable
people with superb training and advanced weapons: people counted; weapons
and training did not.
Many PLA leaders came under attack, and the command structure was
severely affected. Still, the military suffered less than most other institutions due
to concern about external attack. At this time, China was surrounded by hostile
powers: the Soviet Union, India, and Taiwan all seemed menacing. Moreover,
the United States maintained a large and growing military presence in Vietnam,
just a few hundred miles from the Chinese border. Internal factors also tended
to bolster the army’s position. The chaos of the Cultural Revolution was some-
times so extreme that the leadership felt it best to call in the army to restore
domestic order. Although the PLA was regularly enjoined to “support the left,”
its peacekeeping mission frequently put it on the side of the moderates. Radical
ideologues were critical of the PLA’s conduct at such times.
Lin Biao, whether because he had shrewdly calculated which way the polit-
ical wind was blowing or from a sincere conviction that this was the proper
course of action at this particular point in time, strongly espoused leftist/
radical causes in general and amateur views with regard to the military. He and
many of his fellow Fourth Field Army members profited handsomely in terms of
promotions. Nonetheless, the PLA’s interventions on behalf of domestic order
convinced other radicals that the army as a whole could not be counted on to
support them. They began to organize the militia as a counterweight to the PLA.
This effort was, however, scarcely noticeable at the time.
The army emerged from the Cultural Revolution with greatly increased pow-
ers. Mao had ordered it to back worker-peasant teams when they entered the
universities during the summer of 1968 and to quell student violence. The PLA
ran study classes to “re-educate” Red Guards, and became a fixture on university
campuses and in industrial enterprises. There was heavy military representation
in the party and government organizations that emerged from the Cultural Rev-
olution, and frequently a PLA officer held, concurrently, the top party, govern-
ment, and military positions in a province. The PLA’s societal role had reached
its zenith. In April 1969, the CCP’s Ninth Party Congress adopted a new consti-
tution that designated Lin Biao as Mao’s successor.
212 C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military
Although Lin was an avowed radical and apparently had an even more radical
constituency, any further moves away from military professionalism were inhib-
ited by deteriorating Sino–Soviet relations. Localized but potentially serious armed
clashes on the eastern border began in March 1969 and spread to the western
border during the summer. The PLA’s military training increased, as did emphasis
on the care and maintenance of weapons. Military budgets rose. In a number of
cases, major defense plants were either relocated to or established in remote parts
of China, making it more difficult for the USSR to destroy them. This “third-line”
strategy was, however, exceedingly costly, and in light of the deficiencies of the
transportation network in the country’s outlying areas, made it much harder to get
the products of third-line industries into the hands of the troops.
Lin Biao’s death under mysterious circumstances in the fall of 1971 (see
Chapter 4) was followed by a purge of officers loyal to him, many of them from
his Fourth Field Army and presumably also radical in their views. This meant a
concomitant increase in the power of moderates and professionals in the PLA.
Such an explanation is consonant with an intensification of Shanghai radicals’
renewed efforts, beginning in 1973, to build up the militia as a counterweight to
the regular army. In December of the same year, Mao Zedong rotated eight of the
eleven military region commanders. Although the commanders assumed leading
military positions in different regions, they lost the positions they had held in
provincial party and government and were not given new ones. The transfers
thus reasserted the party’s control over the gun and, specifically, over the mod-
erates and professionals in the PLA who constituted most of the gun after the
demise of Lin and his faction.
The radical-inspired reorganization of the militia had the same aim: Many
of the People’s Armed Forces Departments, through which the PLA exercised
control of the militia, were abolished. Militia units were put under a new orga-
nization, the militia headquarters, which was subordinate to the party. The reor-
ganized militia incorporated public security and firefighting functions. It was
further strengthened through receiving substantial quantities of weapons, many
of them produced in factories in Shanghai, the radicals’ power base. The new
militia was urban based, to take advantage of radical elements within the cities.
Rural areas, which had typically been the mainstay of militia recruitment, tended
to be less activist. In 1975, a new Chinese constitution gave the militia equal
status with the PLA.
These moves did not go unnoticed by professionals. Deng Xiaoping, purged
from his post as party secretary general during the Cultural Revolution and reha-
bilitated only in 1973, became the symbol of resistance to radicals and the cham-
pion of military professionalism. In January 1975, Deng was named PLA chief
of staff and appointed to the CMC as well. He bluntly characterized the army
as a “mess” created by its “support the left” work during the Cultural Revolu-
tion, and pledged to prepare the PLA to fight future wars in terms of “iron and
steel”—that is, weapons. Deng also opposed the new-style urban militia, even
sending the PLA to disband unruly militia elements in the city of Hangzhou
during the summer of 1975.
C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military 213
Radicals interpreted these actions as negating the primacy of politics over the
gun and of people over weapons. By this time, both Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai
were elderly and ailing, and the radicals’ opposition to Deng and his policies was
intensified by fears that he and his supporters might assume their positions. They
were able to oust Deng from power in the Tiananmen incident in April 1976,
in which the militia played a highly publicized role. But when Mao died a few
months later, radicals’ attempts to stage a militia-led uprising to put themselves
in power failed dismally. Only in Shanghai did the militia’s effort assume major
proportions. The PLA aborted the uprising with ease, simultaneously destroying
the power of radical leaders. Although the militia continued to exist in a reorga-
nized form, it would never regain its previous level of prominence. Deng, backed
by professionals in the military, was rehabilitated during the summer of 1977,
almost immediately assuming his old position of head of the PLA’s General Staff
Department and vice-chair of the CMC. Shortly thereafter, he became head of
the CMC and relinquished his general staff position to a long-time protégé, Yang
Dezhi.
Professionalism Returns
The pendulum again swung in the direction of professionalism. Deng, his views
clearly unchanged despite his past disgrace, instituted sweeping changes within
the military. These included:
• reassertion of party and government control over the military, with the PLA
more clearly separated from party and government. There was a marked
decrease in the number of individuals holding positions in either two or all
three of the party, government, and military hierarchies. By 1990, there were
no individuals with a primarily military background in the standing commit-
tee of the politburo, and very few in the politburo itself. A 1987 change in the
party constitution dropped the requirement that the chair of the CMC must
be a member of the standing committee.
The railway corps, heretofore under PLA control, was transferred to the rail-
way ministry, and the capital construction corps was also civilianized. The Peo-
ple’s Armed Police was created from the PLA and charged with internal security
functions that had heretofore been carried out by the army. The increased func-
tional specialization made possible by these more clearly differentiated military
and nonmilitary roles constituted a major step away from the amateur, “red”
position and toward expertise.
Although abrupt, these changes did not represent a total break with the past.
The military retained an important role in China’s industrial enterprises. Indeed,
the army’s continued participation was considered vital to the success of the
country’s economic modernization. Encouraged by explicit party/government
directives, the PLA actually went into business for itself, in the form of large
marketing enterprises for both civilian and military items. Many of its products
were sold to other countries. There was no noticeable diminution of the PLA’s
charge to provide for its own food and other items. Military units also partici-
pated regularly in mass tree-planting campaigns and other activities designed to
help civilians and blunt the edge of civil–military tensions.
Not surprisingly, the magnitude and abruptness of Deng’s innovations caused
a number of problems. Advocates of the old-style People’s War pointed out that,
given the weaknesses of the PLA’s weaponry, a forward defense would expose the
Chinese side to being outflanked and overrun. In addition, they contended, the
disadvantages of positional warfare had been shown by the Red Army’s ability
to capture cities from the countryside during the war against Chiang Kai-shek.
Advocates believed that the Maoist concept of People’s War retained its
basic validity in the capital-poor, labor-intensive Chinese context; they also saw
a none-too-veiled attack on Mao as implicit in the revision of his military doc-
trine. More attention to troop training and the acquisition of weaponry raised
fears that troops were receiving less instruction in proper political attitudes.
It was, moreover, expensive to develop and purchase technologically sophisti-
cated weapons. China faced no imminent external threat, whereas its internal
needs were many and urgent. The societal imperative, they believed, far out-
weighed the external imperative.
Military modernization was ranked lowest among Deng Xiaoping’s Four
Modernizations, and the amount of money that could be devoted to technolog-
ical improvements fell far short of perceived needs. There was also the question
of how much to procure indigenously and how much to acquire from foreign
216 C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military
sources. Local design bureaus and those that feared dependence on external sup-
pliers strongly favored the indigenous route; others pointed out that in the past,
this path had proved slow and inadequate. Arguments also existed over which
kinds of weapons should receive priority.
Reorganization met massive resistance. Reducing the army by one million
meant turning a large number of people out into a civilian job market that could
ill afford to absorb them. Officers had joined the military with the expectation of
a lifetime career: To be demobilized unexpectedly caused anger and hurt as well
as financial difficulties. There was also the matter of who got demobilized and
who was allowed to stay. Personal connections, the ever-present guanxi, played
an important role. Streamlining also involved merging certain units, causing other
problems. Typically, members served their entire career in the same unit, and strong
loyalty networks developed. Those who were transferred into new units found that
they were regarded with suspicion and treated as outsiders. In a few cases, soldiers
who managed to retain their weapons after discharge formed bandit groups and
preyed upon local populations. Officers who were told to retire because, at age 50,
they were considered to be too old noted that both the head of the CMC, Deng,
and the CMC general secretary, Yang Shangkun, were in their eighties.
At the lower end of the military hierarchy, there were very different prob-
lems: while older officers did not wish to leave the PLA, younger people did not
wish to join. Deng’s agricultural reforms had a strong disincentive effect on mil-
itary service, since it was now more profitable to stay in the countryside. More-
over, draft-age youth were also marriage-age youth, and finding a suitable bride
while serving in the 90 percent male PLA was exceedingly difficult. The plight of
bachelor soldiers was made more difficult since, at this time, peasant men earned
higher incomes. Hence young women and their families tended to consider them
more desirable matches than poorly paid PLA members. For the first time in the
history of the PRC, large numbers of peasant youth, heretofore the mainstay of
the military, began to avoid the draft.
Commanders were not pleased at the thought of compensating for the drop
in numbers of peasant youth by enrolling urban young people in their place.
First, since peasants constituted more than 70 percent of the PRC’s population,
the pool of urban youth was much smaller. Second, though recognizing that city
youth were generally better educated than their rural peers, commanders felt
that they were also too soft for the rigors of military life, and too infected with
bourgeois ideology to make good soldiers. Rural young people were inured to
hardship and far less likely to pose discipline problems.
Urban youth were as unwilling to join the army as their commanders were to
have them. Prior to Deng’s reforms, joining the PLA had been an important ave-
nue of upward mobility for peasant youth, and often the only realistic way that
a young man could escape the tedium of his village. However, joining the mili-
tary gave fewer advantages to urbanites. Even city youth who were unemployed
tended to regard waiting for a job as preferable to committing themselves to
military service. Work units tried in various ways, including bribery, to keep their
best workers while persuading PLA recruiters to accept social misfits, those with
C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military 217
was also being called upon to resolve a leadership struggle at the highest levels
of party and government. This ran directly counter to the trend of separating
and differentiating military from civilian administrative functions that Deng had
been fostering during the previous decade.
While Deng backed this reversal of his own policies, several commanders,
including individuals whom Deng himself had appointed, were reluctant to do
so. A number of soldiers said openly, in front of television cameras, that the peo-
ple’s army must not be used against the people. Deng spent several days lining
up support from the various military regions, and even then there were reports
of skirmishes between different divisions. After the demonstrations were crushed
and the leadership crisis resolved, the newly reconstituted elite tried in a number
of ways to ensure that this situation would not recur. Collectively, these policies
represented a step away from professionalism and toward the amateur model.
Awards were issued to servicemen who had acted strongly against the alleged
handful of counterrevolutionaries who had instigated the subversive demonstra-
tions, and the campaign to learn from Lei Feng was revived. Army newspapers
also reiterated, time and again, the impossibility of separating the army from
politics: the PLA was the party’s own army and must take its direction from
the party. Yet another technique to ensure loyalty was to encourage research on
the Chinese communist military’s glorious past when, at least as seen through the
haze of nostalgia, right and wrong were easily distinguishable.
The results of these efforts were mixed. For example, the campaign to learn
from Lei Feng met considerable cynicism. It was rumored to have been designed
by president and, concurrently, CMC general secretary Yang Shangkun to enhance
the power of his faction. This included his younger half-brother, Yang Baibing,
who was head of the PLA’s general political department. Moreover, some of the
research published on the PLA’s glorious history came to less-than-idealized
judgments about past campaigns.
Following the PLA’s suppression of the 1989 demonstrations, foreign ana-
lysts predicted, first, that the military would play a much more important role
in high-level decision making and, second, that the “Yang family village” would
play a major role in that decision making. The first prediction was quickly dis-
proved: military leaders were not promoted to leading positions within party and
government in any greater numbers than before; nor was there any indication
that the military was exercising increased influence on policy in other ways.
The second prediction, on the power of the Yangs, proved erroneous as well.
Immediately before the CCP’s Fourteenth Party Congress in the fall of 1992,
rumors began to circulate that high-level changes were to be made in the mili-
tary, with the aim of destroying the Yangs’ power. Yang Baibing was accused of
a variety of unacceptable actions, including having held a private meeting at a
Beijing hotel to plan security arrangements for after Deng’s death. Although the
charges were never confirmed, the Yangs’ fortunes definitely took a turn for the
worse. Yang Shangkun resigned as president of China and from his CMC posi-
tion, while Yang Baibing was replaced as head of the general political department
and on the military commission.
C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military 219
Although Yang Baibing received a seat on the politburo, the Yangs’ ties with
their power base, the PLA, had been severed. A number of officers believed to
be part of their “village” were also removed from their positions. Since there
had been no hint of disloyalty to Deng Xiaoping himself, the most likely expla-
nation for the purge is that the paramount leader wished to ensure that the PLA
would remain loyal to his chosen successor, Jiang Zemin, after Deng’s death.
This hypothesis was confirmed when two elderly generals with no known fac-
tional bases of their own, Liu Huaqing and Zhang Zhen, replaced the Yangs
on the CMC. Liu was appointed to the standing committee of the politburo as
well, in what seemed to be a setback for Deng’s plans to separate the military
from the party. That it was felt necessary to reassign officers in order to deal
with military factionalism bearing on the selection of the next civilian leader
of China would also seem to indicate the persistence of a strong societal role
for the PLA.
Pressures for increasing the PLA’s functional role existed as well. The impres-
sive performance of the American military in the UN–Iraq war of 1991 and the
disintegration of the Soviet Union during the same year helped focus the Chi-
nese leadership’s attention on the combat capabilities of the PLA. PLA officers,
shocked at the sophistication of U.S. weapons, told Western military attachés that
they did not see how the PRC could ever catch up. The 1991 Iraq war seemed to
have dealt a final blow to the Chinese communist strategy of overwhelming an
enemy with sheer numbers of troops. A strategic reassessment shifted emphasis
from limited regional conflict to limited high-technology war. There was intense
interest in the American military’s Revolution in Military Affairs, in which net-
worked computers combine with precision-guided weapons to destroy the ene-
my’s war-fighting capabilities. The PLA began to purchase arms from Russia and
continued to work with Israeli arms dealers.
One very important societal function remained: the PLA’s business empire.
As mentioned above, Deng Xiaoping had encouraged the PLA to help in Chi-
na’s modernization effort through producing and marketing both civilian prod-
ucts and weapons. It did so enthusiastically, though the motive appeared to be
profit rather than modernization. By the mid-1990s, products such as washing
machines, refrigerators, and socks accounted for nearly 70 percent of defense-
sector production. The military ran at least 10,000 businesses, with profits of
$5 billion to $10 billion a year. The growth of these businesses was accompa-
nied by massive corruption. Many of the profits were not declared; therefore, no
taxes were paid on them. In 1993, China’s defense minister warned that if such
practices continued, the country’s “‘Great Steel Wall’ [a common metaphor for
the PLA] will self-destruct.” A Chinese Academy of Social Sciences report issued
shortly thereafter argued that the PLA should be removed from business and
returned to its proper role of defending the country. Aware of the high cost of this
switch from the PLA’s societal role to its functional role, the author of the report
suggested that military industries be purchased for a fair price so that soldiers
could concentrate on training.
In July 1998, as part of an anti-corruption drive, Jiang Zemin actually took
this action. However, the divestment may have taken place more in form than in
reality: less profitable enterprises were sold off, but more successful ones simply
changed ownership while remaining at least partially under PLA control. From
8,000 to 10,000 enterprises, including some of the most lucrative ones, were
retained. Still, the fact that the order to divest could have been given indicates
that the PLA had advanced another step toward functionalism.
The military is nonetheless regarded as the party’s army rather than as belong-
ing to the state, and political qualifications, though far less stringent than in Mao
Zedong’s era, remain important. As faith in Marxism receded, patriotic consider-
ations came to the fore as a focus of devotion. So, as well, did material factors: to
keep pace with the private sector, the PLA raised starting salaries for new officers
and noncommissioned officers by 80 percent to 100 percent in 2006 and began
offering an attractive package of additional tax-free subsidies and allowances.
Military budget increases that had begun in 1989 continued at an impres-
sive rate. Considered in current dollars, defense expenditures multiplied over
40 times between 1988 and 2017 (see Figure 9.1).
Most of this happened during a period in which, owing to the disintegra-
tion of the Soviet Union, the defense budgets of the major powers were sharply
reduced. Since the PRC faces no external threat and has many pressing domestic
concerns that could be addressed with the money being spent on the PLA, Chi-
na’s neighbors have expressed concern that Beijing is bent on aggressive behav-
ior. The leadership has sought to calm these fears by explaining that increments
in defense expenditure have reflected the need to compensate for inflation and
provide soldiers with a better living standard. However, one cannot be certain of
this, for several reasons.
First, official figures are generally believed to underestimate actual inflation
rates, although it is difficult to say by exactly how much. Second, even if inflation
C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military 221
rates were known to be accurate, they would not tell us how inflation impacted
the defense sector. Third, the PLA received double-digit budget increments in
1997/1998 and again in 2009: years when the inflation rate ranged from 2 per-
cent to below zero. The 7.5 percent increase announced for 2010, the lowest
since 1988, was not considered to reflect curtailed interest in building up defense
but as part of an attempt to wean the economy away from the huge fiscal stimu-
lus injected into the economy in 2009 to avert financial disaster (see Chapter 7).
Moreover, comparing defense allocations with other projected expenditures in
the 2010 budget shows that the military was in fact one of the least disadvan-
taged sectors. Defense expenditures again reached double-digit levels in the next
several years.
The argument that the PLA was being compensated for divesting its com-
mercial empire is also less than convincing, since the double-digit increases
reported for 1997 and 1998 occurred before the order to divest was given in
July 1998. Finally, the actual defense budget is much larger than the reported
defense budget. For example, weapons purchases from the former Soviet Union
were made from a separate budget under the State Council. The costs for other
large expenditures, such as nuclear research and development, are hidden or oth-
erwise unavailable. Estimates of true defense spending have typically fallen into
the two- to three-times range, though the most recently released official figures
seem to be more in line with actual expenditures. Defense is believed to represent
1 to 2 percent of GDP and 7 to 10 percent of central government expenditures.
By any calculations, these represent substantial amounts, albeit telling us nothing
about how well the money has been spent: in the PLA as in other sectors of the
economy, waste and corruption abound.
There is no question that important advances are being made, with for-
eign purchases being replaced with domestically developed weapons. The PLA’s
222 C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military
journals contain many articles stressing the need to develop both “information-
ized warfare” and “asymmetric warfare.” The former involves creating a structure
that coordinates command, control, communications, computers, information/
intelligence, surveillance, targeting, acquisition, and reconnaissance to attack
enemy targets. These identify an enemy’s weak points and, using an “assassin’s
mace” weapon, deliver a killing blow through attacking these vulnerabilities. In
the case of the United States, these weak points are judged to be its military’s
heavy reliance on high-technology weapons and the American public’s aversion
to casualties. PLA analysts discussed the ability to seize control of a battlefield
from a much more powerful enemy (unnamed, but presumably the United States)
by inserting computer viruses into the opponent’s communication systems. In a
book entitled Unlimited Warfare, two senior colonels opined that since the PRC
was a poor country, it had to use whatever means it could. International mili-
tary codes of conduct could be ignored since, they argued, incorrectly, Western
powers had devised the codes in order to advantage themselves. Among the tech-
niques the colonels suggested were chemical and biological warfare, terrorism,
and altering environmental conditions in order to produce changes in the climate
of the enemy’s territory.
Chinese military doctrine also encompasses nonlethal aspects, chief among
which are the so-called Three Warfares: psychological, public opinion, and legal.
These should begin before the onset of combat operations, with the PRC seeking
to undermine enemy morale. It must use its mass media to promote Chinese
views while blocking and refuting the adversary’s media in order to persuade
international public opinion of the validity of China’s claims.
Despite the attention given to state-of-the-art weaponry and asymmetric war-
fare, People’s War remains enshrined in military doctrine. However, a reworking
has defined it as “a form of organization of war that has nothing to do with the
level of military technology.” People’s War now encompasses the mass mobiliza-
tion of civilian resources in support of conflict, as exemplified by the passage in
2010 of a national defense mobilization law. The law, which is explicitly linked
to the concept of People’s War, provides the statutory basis for the mobilization
of civilian resources for military purposes. But it appears to be less about People’s
War per se than an effort to solve long-standing central–local government ten-
sions over the latter’s obligations to military units billeted in their areas. The law
provides compensation for requisitioned assets and mandates that items taken be
either returned or fair value remitted for their loss. That the law could be passed
only after a decade of debate indicates the intensity of the disagreements that
must have taken place over it.
Xi Jinping instituted far-reaching changes in the PLA designed to make it
both a more capable and a more politically reliable fighting force—both red
and expert. Explicitly linking political loyalty to his anti-corruption campaign
put officers on notice that any manifestations of lack of allegiance to himself
would be followed by close scrutiny of their and their families’ finances. Moti-
vated by a conviction that institutional barriers were creating ineffective joint
command systems, the country’s seven military regions were replaced by five
C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military 223
theater commands, sometimes referred to as combat zones: one each for east,
west, north, south, and central China. He also replaced the previously existing
four military departments with 15, with the aim of dispersing their functions and
placing the successor group directly under the control of the Central Military
Commission which he heads. New services were also created: the PLA Rocket
Force, which took over the Second Artillery Force, was charged with responsi-
bility for China’s increasingly powerful nuclear arsenal. The Strategic Support
Force would deal with cyber war and high-tech warfare in space (Figure 9.2).
At the Nineteenth Party Congress, the CMC was downsized from 11 to 7,
all of whom, with the exception of Xi, are generals or admirals. The paramilitary
People’s Armed Police (PAP), which serves as backup for the military in times of
war while serving domestically in putting down protests and counterterrorism,
was placed under the direct supervision of the CMC. Previously, the PAP was
under a dual command structure of the CMC and Ministry of State Security.
A further demobilization of troops is to fall disproportionately on the
ground forces. Consonant with China’s more assertive maritime and aerial
activities, the strategy of anti-access/anti-area denial, or A2/AD, aims at enforc-
ing China’s expansive claims to a self-designated nine-dash line that the United
Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration has ruled has no basis in international
law and is opposed by states that fear it impinges on freedom of navigation on
the high seas.
New weapons have also favored the navy and air force. In 2013, China
launched its first aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, with two more soon to join it.
A new anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) has the ability to destroy aircraft car-
riers: the United States and Russia agreed several years ago not to build them,
and there are no ship-board defenses against ASBMs. China’s submarine force
has been augmented in numbers and quality: the navy now has a long-range
sea-based nuclear capability and can engage adversary surface ships up to 1,000
nautical miles from the Chinese coast.
The PRC has the world’s largest inventory of extended-range ground-
launched ballistic missiles; its air force is rapidly improving its ability to conduct
interdiction missions at extended ranges beyond China’s periphery; and there is
an active drone program. Both Japan and the U.S. territory of Guam are within
range of PRC missiles. Hypersonic missiles, whose high speeds and maneuver-
ability are beyond their adversaries’ ability to defend against, have been tested.
Exercises are becoming truly joint, as opposed to earlier ones where each
service participated without actually interacting. Sustained attention is being
devoted to cyber warfare, with the majority of incidents of hacking into the
computer networks of foreign governments and businesses being traced to PLA-
affiliated sites. While some foreign observers see these developments as threat-
ening, others point out that, as an expanding global trading power, the PRC has
legitimate concerns with protecting the security of its commercial interests.
Still, foreign observers who wonder what the PRC’s end goal is continue to
press for more transparency on this issue. In response, the government began
issuing defense White Papers approximately every two years beginning in 1998,
Central Military Commission
1 General Office, 6 Departments
General Office
3 Commissions
5 Subsidiary Offices
Audit Bureau
Command Administration
Central TC Army
Southern TC Navy
224
C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military 225
but foreign analysts found that the papers did not address major concerns. Nor
has the inauguration of a ministry of defense website in 2009. Although White
Papers are written in bland form, careful readers can discern important clues,
particularly by comparing the texts with those of previous iterations. Analysts
noticed, for example, that the 2006 document omitted previous versions’ call
for a ban on space-based weapons. The reason soon became apparent: in Jan-
uary 2007, the PLA conducted a successful anti-satellite missile test against an
obsolescent weather satellite. Heightening concerns about transparency, the gov-
ernment did not confirm that the test, first revealed by the Western press, had
taken place until five days later, in the wake of rumors that the PLA had not kept
Hu Jintao informed of its plans.
The most recent White Paper indicated concern over rising terrorism, sepa-
ratism, and extremism, all of which have negative impacts on the security of Chi-
na’s periphery. This, the paper argued, justified the creation and weaponization
of artificial islands in the South China Sea as well as other measures designed to
protect the PRC’s maritime interests. Like its predecessor, this iteration omitted
previous versions’ pledge that the PRC would never be the first country to use
nuclear weapons.
Conclusions
The PLA has been transformed from a mass army designed for protracted wars
of attrition on its territory to a thoroughly modern force capable of fighting
high-intensity conflicts beyond China’s borders against adversaries equipped
with state-of-the-art technology. Post-Mao military reforms have produced a
younger, better-educated, and better-trained PLA with greater technical capa-
bilities and improved weaponry. Rising military budgets, purchases of advanced
weapons and military systems from abroad, and the development of an increas-
ingly sophisticated indigenous defense technology industry have raised questions
among many of China’s neighbors as to the PRC’s military intentions. However,
the PLA has not fought in many years and hence is an untested force. The effect
of the anti-corruption campaign is also believed to have adversely affected mili-
tary morale.
In the post-Mao era, the functional role of the PLA greatly increased as its
societal role diminished. Although the PLA still performs a societal role in times
of crisis—for example, helping out the population in the aftermath of floods and
earthquakes—it is now firmly focused on its functional responsibilities. Since the
Fifteenth Party Congress in 1997, no member of the military has been named
to the standing committee of the politburo. Although the PLA has other ways
to express its views to party and government leaders, the fact that the standing
committee has no serving military officer carries important symbolism.
The greater separation of the military from party and government hierar-
chies may portend the evolution of a sharper sense of PLA interests as separate
from those of party and government, which might then insist that its corporate
voice be heard and accommodated by the system.
226 C H A P T E R 9 ▸ The Role of the Military
Soon after assuming office, Xi aligned himself with “the China dream” of a
militarily strong and economically prosperous PRC, the title of a book written
by a senior military academician three years before – and which is now required
reading in China’s military academies.
Chinese observers have, however, noted an apparent paradox of the PLA’s
increasing professionalization alongside the increase of cronyism. Charges
brought against top military leaders during Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption cam-
paign revealed that promotions to higher rank were often bought rather than
awarded on the basis of merit, and that personal connections were more import-
ant to success than military skills. Xi, warning that military corruption meant
defeat in war, has vowed to wipe it out through stricter party control. Yet there
is skepticism that, given the absence of checks and balances within the system,
this will be possible. Even so, there can be little doubt that Xi is in control of an
increasingly powerful gun.
Devising a System
The Chinese communist party faced decisions on whom to educate, on what
topics, and in what numbers. At one extreme it could opt for providing large
numbers of people with a relatively low standard of education; at the other, it
could train a much smaller number of people in areas that would enhance the
nation’s prestige. For example, a few superbly trained medical scientists equipped
with state-of-the-art laboratories and equipment could be expected to achieve
major breakthroughs in disease prevention, thus adding to their country’s pres-
tige. Similarly, a substantial amount of money devoted to educating and equip-
ping nuclear physicists would allow the PRC to join the nuclear club, whose
members had heretofore been a small number of Western powers. The former
goal appealed to the egalitarian strain of Chinese communist ideology; the latter
to adherents of the strategic interaction theory.
There were also questions about how much time in the curriculum should
be devoted to the study of politics and ideology and how much to more sub-
stantive material like mathematics and foreign languages. How to treat China’s
past was a difficult question: Despite diatribes about the dead weight of tra-
dition inhibiting the country’s modernization and industrialization, to negate
that tradition completely would leave the PRC without a national identity. The
leadership was concerned with matters such as what aspects of tradition to
preserve and how to blend those with a still largely formless concept called
socialist culture. Also at issue was whether to give preferential treatment—and,
if so, how much—to the children of workers, peasants, and party members as
opposed to those of the bourgeoisie and nonparty members. Every decision
involved a trade-off that would benefit one or another social group. As in so
many other aspects of policy making in the PRC, arguments took the form of
red-versus-expert polemics.
227
228 C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education
Initially, the party’s task involved expanding and revising the educational
system which it had inherited from the republican government. Textbooks were
rewritten to praise communism, the communist party, and the Soviet Union.
The value of socialist thought, the evils of capitalism, and the wisdom of Mao
Zedong’s views were taught in various degrees of sophistication, depending on
the level of the educational institution involved. The importance of collective
behavior was inculcated, starting from the earliest years. Textbooks stressed the
value of the masses in making history rather than, as heretofore, giving credit to
emperors and high-ranking ministers.
As in other areas of PRC policy making, there was a heavy Soviet influence
on the educational system. This included emphasis on mathematics, science, and
technology, noticeable not only at the theoretical level but also in the founding
of a network of vocational schools to train technicians. Many textbooks were
simply translated from Russian into Chinese, some of them generating numerous
complaints because the examples they gave were so inappropriate to the Chinese
context, and at least some children of landlords were discriminated against by the
educational system. However, in general, academic criteria were applied impar-
tially during this early period, with relatively little emphasis on class background.
At the same time, the educational system was greatly expanded, with the
goal being to provide schooling for all, including the children of the poorest peas-
ants and factory workers. For adults, spare-time literacy classes were established.
In factories, these might be held after the work shift ended; in farming commu-
nities, during the slack season. Normal schools were set up in areas that had not
previously had them in order to train more teachers.
The government tried in various ways to make it easier for people to become
literate. For example, it propounded the use of baihua in writing Chinese, which
was closer to the way people actually spoke the language than the terse and more
elegant wenyan previously favored by scholars. It also popularized the use of a
phonetic system known as pinyin so as to standardize the pronunciation of the
Chinese characters across the country. The PRC’s vast expanse includes a number
of linguistic dialect groups and subgroups, several of which are mutually unin-
telligible. The new regime propounded the use of what is known in the West as
mandarin. Since the communists had a very negative opinion of the old official
class, they referred to the language as guoyu, the national language, or putong-
hua, meaning ordinary speech.
Basic lists of the most frequently used characters were drawn up, with books,
newspapers, and magazines to use only those. Eliminating a large number of com-
plicated and seldom-used characters would make it easier to learn how to read.
The forms of some complicated characters were simplified: For example, a char-
acter written with 11 strokes of the pen might be reduced to 4 (Figure 10.1). The
standard for literacy was later established as the ability to recognize 1,500 charac-
ters (for peasants) or 2,000 characters (for workers and urbanites). The intent was
to enable people to read popular newspapers and periodicals, keep basic accounts,
and write simple statements. It would appear that in earlier periods, the ability to
recognize 1,000 or 1,200 characters sufficed as the standard for literacy.
C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education 229
A formal educational system evolved that was not very different from the one
prevalent in the West. Six years of primary school were followed by three years of
junior high school, three years of senior high school, and six years of university.
This was supplemented by a variety of vocational and technical schools, with the
whole fairly tightly controlled by the ministry of education in Beijing. Chinese
culture had always emphasized hard work and placed great value on education,
so student motivation was not a problem. The main concern during this period
was to prevent young people from ruining their health because they studied
too hard.
Although the system was impressive in many ways, there were complaints
that it was elitist. Frequently, the most successful students turned out to be the
progeny of the bourgeoisie who, being better-educated themselves, could more
easily help their children to learn. Mao Zedong occasionally voiced strong
anti-intellectual feelings, perhaps derived from the days when he was looked
down upon by Moscow-educated party bureaucrats who referred to him as a
“dirt” (rural) communist. The Hundred Flowers campaign of 1957 had the
effect of reinforcing these anti-intellectual tendencies, since many of the most
articulate criticisms of communist rule came from the more educated segment
of society.
Although the slogan of the time called for every student to be both red and
expert, redness received far more attention than expertise. Academic standards
declined markedly.
The failure of the Great Leap Forward was accompanied by a return to
pre-1957 teaching standards. Academic achievement was again valued. Certain
institutions, usually in major urban centers, were designated key schools and
provided with exceptional resources, better-trained teachers, and the most prom-
ising young students. However, the same criticisms of this educational system
emerged as during the anti-rightist campaign, adding fuel to the ensuing fury of
the Cultural Revolution.
A third criticism was that owing to the tight control exercised by the ministry
of education in Beijing, local needs were not taken into consideration. For exam-
ple, school vacations in tea-growing areas of Zhejiang were set according to a
schedule devised to be in harmony with the very different needs of rice-growing
areas elsewhere. Finally, villagers who had been assigned a bad teacher could do
nothing to dismiss her or him, since the individual was considered a state cadre.
An entire folklore grew up around the theme of the thin, pale-faced, near-
sighted intellectual who really knew nothing about survival or productive labor.
This image was invariably contrasted with the quick-minded and open-hearted
“local expert” who, keen-eyed, fit, and tan from hard physical labor, knew how
to grow rice and wheat from extensive practical experience without regard to
tedious scholarly discourses on hybrid seed strains.
For a time, no one could be sure of what was acceptable in teaching meth-
ods or content. Since students were encouraged to smash the old society and to
exchange revolutionary experiences, most schools simply closed down. A num-
ber of students chose to denounce their teachers and school administrators as
exemplars of the evils of the old society. Teachers and school administrators
were “struggled against” and humiliated in various ways. Some were tortured to
death; others committed suicide to escape further torment. All learned people,
not only teachers, were targets of derision; Mao castigated them as the “stink-
ing ninth category,” the eight others of which included such obvious villains as
capitalists. Bonfires were made of books deemed to be tainted with bourgeois
thought, which nearly everything except the works of Mao was suspected of
being. The educational system ceased to function. Despite general agreement
that schools should be reopened, widely divergent opinions on what should be
taught and how prevented the resumption of a normal academic schedule for
several years.
When schools began to function again in 1968, a number of changes were
evident. Instead of an entrance examination, students were selected on the basis
of recommendations. Political criteria became important, as did one’s willingness
to engage in productive labor for several years before applying to a university.
Outstanding workers and peasants who were political activists would receive
preferential admission to universities even if they had received only a junior high
school education, provided that they had been endorsed by their work units
and party authorities. Although many such individuals were able to attend uni-
versity under this new system, its aims were perverted in various ways. First,
children of cadres found it easier to obtain the necessary official endorsements.
Second, those sent down to the countryside could have their class labels changed
to “peasant” at the end of two years. Hence, those university students who were
classified as peasants were often not really peasants. Third, it was easier for the
well-connected to get their class designations changed.
The age limits for admission to various levels of the educational system were
widened, and the curriculum was shortened. Six years of elementary school were
to be compressed into five, and the three years each of junior and senior high
school combined into a single, four-year segment. University took just three years.
C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education 233
The curriculum was simplified, with new teaching materials introduced. There
was a noticeable bias against “bourgeois expertise”: one group of students was
reportedly writing its own textbook on organic chemistry. Other students were
described as trying to discover the principles involved in inventing a radio. Illiter-
ate but wise local peasants were brought in to assist in writing textbooks as well
as lecture on such topics as growing crops.
Decentralization was another feature of the educational system to emerge
from the Cultural Revolution. In rural areas, it became common for produc-
tion brigades to run primary schools and communes to assume responsibility
for secondary education. In urban areas, primary schools might be run by street
committees and secondary schools by factories. Teachers would be members of
these units rather than employees of the state, and local people would be able to
ensure that the curriculum was linked with reality. In rural brigades, which were
habitually short of people able to keep accounts, teachers’ arithmetic skills could
be put to immediate practical use. By managing their own school finances, local
areas would be free to abolish tuition fees and to support schools in whatever
ways they found most convenient—for example, payments in kind. Hence, it was
hoped, more children would be able to receive an education.
A great deal of emphasis was placed on integrating study with productive
labor, albeit with varying ideas on how this should be done. For example, if
schools were combined with factories, should the school have a separate admin-
istration or be run by the factory administration? Having students actually par-
ticipate in productive labor proved a somewhat easier problem to deal with. The
visiting chancellor of a major U.S. university system observed a group of high
school students making electrical turn signals for automobiles. They soldered
wires, put on metal tapes, finished off the unit, and took the completed sets to an
automobile factory. The chancellor was most impressed, though he mentioned no
precautions with regard to quality control.
With the examination system discredited as a means of evaluating student
performance, a combination of other criteria took its place. Test results, home-
work, and a child’s attitude toward study and labor were all taken into consid-
eration. It became harder to have a student repeat a grade, though it could be
done if the child performed poorly in two of the three major subjects (political
study, Chinese language, and arithmetic), if the parents agreed, and if the poor
performance had been due to laziness. If a child failed because of ill health, the
parents might be reimbursed for additional tuition costs.
For graduates of junior or senior high school—in certain areas, even the
former were considered intellectuals in the PRC’s categorization at this time—
the xiaxiang, or down-to-the-countryside, movement was intensified. Young
people were urged to volunteer, with sanctions available for use against those
who did not. The party’s admonition to integrate themselves with the peasants
was not popular with most students, who felt that they had not spent so many
years in school in order to waste what they had learned. They found life in rural
areas very harsh, with few diversions. Routes out of the countryside were also
very few: One could find a job at an urban factory, join the military, or enter a
234 C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education
university. None was easy or simple. Here again, however, the children of cadres
had connections that eased the process.
a mathematics exam and had asked the student next to him for help, the teacher
had failed him for cheating. The young man asserted:
[t]eachers are wrong when they say that one should not consult other people
during an exam. The main task of the student is learning. Suppose a student
does not understand a subject. With the help of another student, he now
understands the subject. Is this not itself a kind of achievement?
Other students, even including some at primary school, took up the call,
denouncing their teachers in the pages of major newspapers for discouraging
group learning in tests. This tug-of-war between reds and experts on educational
matters continued for several years.
The era of the Cultural Revolution was not without its research accomplish-
ments. During this period, Chinese scientists announced a major medical break-
through in the laboratory synthesis of insulin. The country’s nuclear program,
which had first detonated a bomb in 1964, continued to make progress, and a
satellite was launched in 1970, making China the third country in the world,
after the Soviet Union and the United States, to have done so. However, these
advances occurred in small, well-protected areas. In general, educational levels
fell sharply during the period from 1966 through 1978. An entire generation that
could have been of immense value to the country’s modernization was lost.
of the twenty-first century, there were over 60,000 elite private schools. Efforts
to impose rules on how much tuition these schools can charge have been resisted
by those who argue that restraining private institutions’ ability to offer the high-
est quality educational experience will simply incentivize parents to send their
children abroad to study. According to the Institute of International Education,
the number of Chinese students in the U.S.A. alone more than tripled between
2008 and 2015, and they are coming at increasingly younger ages.
In rural areas, the decollectivization of agriculture removed an important
underpinning of the collective management of education. When the household
became the unit of production, peasants found their children’s presence at home
more valuable, and many ceased to send them to school. The number of illiter-
ates in China actually increased during the early 1980s. The government became
concerned, and, among other responses, it promulgated a nine-year compulsory
education decree in 1985. However, as in other areas of policy making, what is
ordered from Beijing is not necessarily implemented at local levels. The number
of students who actually receive nine years of education is considerably lower
than government statistics suggest. Local officials exaggerate enrollment figures;
in some schools children whose names appear on class lists are not actually
attending the school. Schools have sold diplomas to children who never studied
there, and can borrow students from elsewhere to fill classrooms when inspec-
tors come.
Dropout rates reach as high as 10 percent in some areas. Even so, the studies
have found that many rural county governments have fallen heavily into debt in
order to pay for the compulsory education plan. Lack of funds has led to a serious
shortage of teachers, with many schools using unqualified substitutes to reduce
costs. The government spends an average of 40 percent less per year on rural
students than on urban students. Several reasons are involved in the high rural
dropout rate. One is the perception—correct in many cases—that brainwork
earns less than physical labor. Therefore, any effort spent studying is wasted.
A second factor contributing to high dropout rates is that many businesses have
taken to hiring children at very low wages, even by Chinese standards. This prac-
tice has been repeatedly condemned by the State Education Commission, but it
continues. A third reason is the rising cost of tuition, books, and other school
expenses. Some of these increases are understandable. The high inflation of the
mid- to late 1980s meant higher prices for books, electric power, food, and other
school needs. When the central government basically ceased to subsidize primary
education in the early 1990s, the situation grew worse. Since education budgets
did not keep pace with the rate of inflation, many schools began increasing their
fees to make up the shortfall.
In some instances, however, the increases in fees were so exorbitant that
parents and government bodies began to suspect malfeasance; occasionally, they
were able to prove it. In urban areas, a parent’s work unit might agree to pay
the child’s education fees, but in rural areas, where the entire burden fell on
individual households, the impact was much greater. Moreover, peasants saw
little benefit in terms of a better future for their children. Hence, the number
C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education 239
of rural dropouts began to rise. Parents who wanted to keep their children in
school grew increasingly unhappy. Fees were assessed creatively, for items such
as fresh flowers, watching students’ bicycles, and being assigned a seat near the
stove in winter. In one Shaanxi village whose education budget had fallen short,
thousands of children were barred from classes when their parents could not pay
an additional 50 yuan ($6) levy on top of the usual fees. In Guangdong, 1,000
people participated in a two-day protest against high tuition fees. Five people
received jail sentences of up to ten years for incitement to riot.
Straitened educational budgets could be met by means other than raising
fees, sometimes with disastrous consequences. In Jiangxi, more than 40 children
died when the fireworks they were assembling to earn money for their elemen-
tary school exploded. In Gansu, education officials discovered that primary and
high school children were traveling two hours each way to work in cotton fields
for below-market wages that were paid to their school; in Anhui, students were
required to pick tea; and a Guizhou school forced girls into prostitution.
Other problems contribute to the difficulties of remaining in school. Dilap-
idated buildings pose dangers to children, especially during the rainy season.
While many of these structures are old, some are simply poorly constructed.
Periodic earthquakes have destroyed many schools, killing hundreds of children,
while surrounding buildings remained standing. Rebuilt, they fared no better in
subsequent quakes. Bereaved parents demanded an investigation, staging angry
protests when local authorities tried to cover up malfeasance rather than remove
its causes.
Failure to meet safety standards has been alleged as the reason for closing a
number of urban schools that serve the children of migrant workers. The chil-
dren’s parents suspect the real reason is that permanent residents of the neigh-
borhoods in which the schools are located object to their presence. They argue
that although the makeshift schools may be substandard, their children are not
wanted in regular schools, and that an inferior education is preferable to no
education at all.
Regional differences are important, with resources favoring eastern China
over the country’s western areas. There is also an economic divide. Academic
pressures can be intense in more affluent urban areas, but in poor areas even
key schools may not be popular. In some areas, the number of available places
in senior high school is less than 40 percent of the number of students who enter
junior high school. Since many of them see no realistic chance of continuing their
education, dropout rates are high. Those who complete the program often prefer
to apply to technical or specialist schools or teacher-training institutions, because
the state will give them jobs after graduation.
When economic reforms made salaries in other professions more lucrative,
teachers dropped out as well. Financial problems and poor working condi-
tions were the primary reasons. The difficulties are most acute in schools run
by rural communities. Wages are low, health allowances are inadequate, and
teachers receive no bonuses or other subsidies. The Chinese press has lamented
that it is therefore impossible for teachers to maintain normal living standards.
240 C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education
In addition to the disincentives of low pay, teachers have sometimes become the
victims of vindictive parents. In Anhui, a student whose parents had been sum-
moned to school because he was frequently late for class assaulted his teacher
with a machete, inflicting serious injuries. In another area, a teacher who was
accused of not having intervened quickly enough to stop a fight between two
students received a large fine when one of them died. The teacher was forced to
go into hiding after the parents threatened to kill him.
In 2006, a new policy allowed more than 50 million students in rural west-
ern areas of China to be exempt from paying tuition fees and incidental school
fees. In the following year, the program was extended to 100 million more pupils,
with the cost to be split between central and local governments according to the
financial capacity of each. Given the parlous financial capacity of many local
governments, the program has proved difficult to implement. A 2008 report
found that over 85 percent of the counties it investigated had misappropriated
funds, so that the added spending had not benefited students. Many schools were
forced to operate on only 55 percent of their budgets, running up large debts.
Back pay owed to teachers accounted for a significant proportion of these debts.
Central government officials complained that lower levels had shown little com-
mitment to the country’s nine-year compulsory education law.
A final factor contributing to the high dropout rate stems from teachers
concentrating their attention on those students deemed most likely to pass the
entrance exams at the expense of those who are less academically promising.
Believing that they are regarded as backward, these students may lose their
self-esteem, begin to cut classes, and eventually cease to attend altogether. The
children of migrant laborers are particularly discriminated against. Again, the
State Education Commission recognizes the problem and has urged schools to
pay attention to the needs of all students rather than just those of a select few.
The results have been indifferent: there are more immediate pressures on urban
schools to have their best and brightest students pass the university entrance
exams.
Sometimes, these pressures take the form of teacher-assisted cheating. The
incentive for teachers and officials may be financial—they are paid for their ser-
vices. Money is not always the issue, however: the percentage of exam-passers
is one criterion in the evaluation of teachers’ job performance, and they want
to look better in the eyes of their superiors. A series of scandals showed a vari-
ety of methods, ranging from the obvious—teachers selling answers or agreeing
to change already posted grades for a fee—to the high-technology ingenious.
In Beijing, invigilators had the areas around test-taking centers checked for
abnormal radio waves, and the central China city of Luoyang hired a drone to
detect radios that were broadcasting answers. The authorities announced that
those caught up in such schemes would be charged with theft of state secrets
and sentenced to seven years in jail. Opinion polls reveal that clever cheats
often receive the respect of their peers, with students commenting that such
cheating is a kind of ability. In Hubei, educators who imposed strict measures
to prevent cheating were attacked by students and their parents, who argued
C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education 241
that since the practice was so widespread, not being allowed to do it consti-
tuted an unfair penalty against them.
Some cities have instituted fingerprint scanners to detect those who hire oth-
ers to take exams for them, paying several thousands of dollars to the substitute.
Similar amounts have been quoted for purchasing admission slips to university,
with the higher end price being required for the more selective institutions. Par-
ents can, and occasionally have, protested against these illegal practices, but most
do not, since they fear retaliation against their child. In some cases, connections
rather than money appear to be decisive. In one widely publicized instance, the
website of Shanghai’s prestigious Jiaotong University accidentally posted the
names of high-ranking officials who had supported the applications of students
who had been accepted.
Geography also plays a role in admissions: A 2012 study revealed that top-
ranked Beijing University has 100 times more students from the capital than
from Guangdong and Anhui provinces. Shanghai’s most prestigious university,
Fudan, enrolls 274 more students from that city than from Shandong province,
even though Shandong’s population is four times that of Shanghai. Efforts to
change this have been strongly resisted by people in areas that were advantaged
by the previous admissions policy,
Study abroad is popular, although only one-third of those who choose to do
so return. Those who do not are criticized for depriving the country’s moderniza-
tion effort of their skills—in effect, biting the hand that fed them. China’s brain
drain has been called the worst in the world, although it may be only temporary.
As wages and working conditions in China rise, returning home may become a
more attractive option. The government has established science parks in selected
areas, offering seed money and tax incentives for start-up ventures to encourage
the return of talented nationals. The establishment of such centers has, however,
exacerbated another problem: the brain drain out of Chinese provinces where
such incentives do not exist and toward cities, such as Beijing and Shanghai,
where they do.
In the past, the matter of state-assigned jobs for university graduates caused
considerable friction between students and state authorities. In 1987, more than
5,000 of 360,000 graduates were rejected by their designated employers, and the
government abolished the system of guaranteed job assignments for new gradu-
ates. From the students’ point of view, there were advantages and disadvantages
to this: one might be assigned to a remote area and/or be given responsibilities
different from those one had trained for, but one was at least guaranteed a job.
Officials defended the change, saying it would ensure that supply met demand.
Under the previous system, too few students had elected specializations, such as
English, computer software, accounting, and civil engineering, for which there
was a need. And too many had opted for history and basic science, fields in
which there were many more qualified people than openings.
Two years later, the government reversed itself, saying that completely free
competition for jobs was “still not a suitable option for China.” Students had
spent so much time during their senior year looking for jobs that their academic
242 C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education
allocate 10 percent of tuition fees to provide scholarships for poor students, but
this provision fell short of what was needed. Numerous sad stories concerning
lack of money for these fees appeared: A desperate father who could not pay
his son’s tuition fees committed suicide, as did an ill mother, knowing that the
family could not afford to pay for both her medical bills and her child’s educa-
tion. These fees impact students differently, since the highest ranked universities
receive state funding that allows them to charge lower tuition fees.
For those who wanted a college degree but were unwilling, or unable, to
spend the time or money to attend an institution of higher learning, forged
degrees could be purchased. In one widely publicized instance, the education
documents submitted by all the applicants for a local government vacancy were
found to be forged. Those involved took considerable risks: Forgery is punish-
able by up to ten years in prison; sellers are treated as accomplices. In order
to raise money, some universities, or individual departments thereof, spun off
subsidiary institutions, promising that graduates would receive the same degrees
as regular students even though admission standards were not as high. In 2006,
there were protests, some of them quite unruly, when students discovered that
their diplomas were not what they had been promised. These protests were even-
tually defused through such methods as offering to refund tuition fees or to
accommodate the students in other programs.
It is difficult to tell how widespread these practices are, and one should be
wary of generalizing on the basis of a few highly publicized examples. Most Chi-
nese schools, though extremely spartan in terms of equipment and creature com-
forts, are not hazardous to their inhabitants’ lives. Most teachers do not assist
their students to cheat, and neither they nor their students must fear for their
lives. Despite the obstacles to academic success, some motivated rural children
manage to enter even the most prestigious universities and distinguish them-
selves in professional careers, and most students probably resist the temptation
to cheat. But there is a consensus that the system is not functioning properly.
Plans for improvement continue, although progress has been slow. In 1993,
the head of China’s State Education Commission described the four major prob-
lems in basic-level education as insufficient funding, arrears in teachers’ wages,
dropouts, and the illegal charging of school fees; 25 years later, the same issues
remain priorities. Some ameliorative work has been undertaken. Guangzhou has
given favorable development opportunities to privately run locally organized
and legally registered schools. Shanghai’s migrant children’s schools are fully
supported by the city’s education commission. Private or semi-private funds,
such as Project Hope, to which Chinese and foreigners are invited to contribute,
have enabled a number of dropouts to return to school, though corruption has
short-changed those poor students who so badly need help.
Because of the demand for low-wage labor, rural dropouts can leave for fac-
tory jobs in the cities, thus relieving pressure from farmers for better educational
opportunities. At the same time however, critics claim, China is being deprived
of an important reservoir of potential talent that could help the country reach
its goal of becoming the world’s leading information technology center by the
244 C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education
mid-twenty-first century. They are also concerned that, as China moves up the
value-added chain of production, it will need better educated workers, who are
not being trained in sufficient numbers under the current system.
Expanding vocational training seemed to hold promise: In 1996, then-
premier Li Peng expressed the hope that such training would help stem the fall-
ing literacy rate in certain rural areas. However, the plan proved unpopular with
students despite employment rates exceeding 90 percent for graduates due to
the widespread attitudes that those with blue-collar jobs are of lower suzhi, or
quality. Given a choice between attending a third-tier university and vocational
training, the great majority chose the former; as of 2013, only 4 percent of post-
high school students were in vocational institutions.
Several major revisions in the basic educational system have been attempted,
with less than satisfactory results. A two-stage program to improve rural edu-
cation began in 2000. Schools were to be repaired or rebuilt, classes set up to
upgrade teachers’ skills, and books were to be supplied free of charge. School fees
were waived for children from poor families. In 2002, the State Council ordered
county governments to take over from township and village governments the
responsibility of providing nine years of compulsory education. Observers
pointed out that corruption could siphon off funds meant for these improve-
ments and that the success of the reform was dependent on the uncertain good-
will and diligence of county governments. Distance learning was also proposed,
though skeptics observed that neither students nor teachers in the rural areas
that were most in need of help had ever touched a computer. Even were they
able to, electricity costs, which can be three times those of urban areas, would
make the cost of using the computers prohibitive. The large number of shoddily
built schools that have collapsed in earthquakes indicated the deficiencies of the
school repair program; several of the rebuilt schools were no safer, collapsing
again in later earthquakes.
A plan approved by the State Council in 2010 aimed to solve many of the
same issues which the 2000 plan should have resolved. By 2020, the urban–rural
gap in education is to be narrowed, teachers’ skills upgraded, sturdier schools
constructed, and corruption eliminated. At least 90 percent of middle school
graduates will attend high school, and the average citizen will receive 11.2 years
of education. There was considerable public skepticism about whether these
goals would be achieved. The government claimed to have admitted 21.3 percent
more students from poor rural areas to universities in 2016, but it will be several
years before the efficacy of the reform can be assessed.
At the second-city level, Chinese data show a widening urban–rural educa-
tion gap. Whereas Beijing’s labor force has an upper secondary school attainment
rate of 71 percent, and Shanghai’s is 58 percent, Guangxi’s and Guizhou’s are
only 19 and 15 percent, respectively.
In response to complaints about the corruption involved in getting children
accepted into prestige schools, the government in 2006 required schools to post
their fees on government websites and ordered an end to the distinction between
key schools and ordinary schools. An educational expert commented that since
C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education 245
everyone knows the many ways around publicly posted fee schedules as well as
which schools have the highest rates of admission to higher level institutions, he
expected both directives to be ignored. A recent study found that schools oper-
ated beyond the control of the central government, quoting one headmaster as
saying, “Policy is one thing and implementation is quite another.”
Another major innovation aims at encouraging creativity and teaching chil-
dren to think for themselves. This is to include livelier textbooks and new teaching
methods designed to encourage dialogue between pupils and instructors. Imple-
mentation will entail changes in the entire educational culture. Both teachers and
parents have expressed strong preferences for strict classroom discipline, with rig-
orous homework assignments. Critics also worry that teaching children to chal-
lenge authority in the classroom will encourage a dangerous culture of dissent in
society at large. Those who are being taught to challenge their teachers while chil-
dren may, as adults, feel free to challenge the party, government, police, and judges.
Teachers who ask how to reconcile the conflicting pressures of teaching chil-
dren to think creatively at the same time that they are urging respect for author-
ity are advised to use “one soft hand, one hard.” Although catchy, the slogan is
difficult to put into practice. Moreover, as long as college entrance exams empha-
size rote learning, teachers will continue to prepare their students by emphasizing
rote learning. Allowing the examination system to be supplemented by letters of
recommendation, so that one’s future does not depend on rote memory answers
on a single test, has been proposed. However, opponents argue that this would
simply compound existing problems of corruption and favoritism to the children
of the wealthy and well connected.
Provincial educational authorities restricted the plan’s provision for more
freedom of choice in textbooks in order to protect provincial publishing houses.
Educational reform also included consolidation of universities, since the pre-
vious system had encouraged a plethora of low-level facilities with overlap-
ping departments and too many narrow disciplines. Between 1992 and 2000,
490 universities and colleges were merged into 204. While redundancy may have
been reduced, other problems were created. An analysis conducted by the Chi-
nese Academy of Social Sciences revealed that the newly consolidated universities
launched a number of large building projects, on the grounds that they would
have to accommodate more students. Some of the projects, however, involved
construction of less necessary facilities like golf courses and guest houses. Many
universities ran up huge debts, with most of their income then being spent on
paying the interest thereon rather than on improving the quality of education.
In China’s western and central regions, local governments are legally required to
reserve limited education funds for primary and secondary schools, compound-
ing the debt problems of universities located in those areas.
General agreement exists that the PRC’s universities are still far from the
world-class institutions they aspire to be. Still, some progress has been made. The
2018 Times Higher Education World University Ranking list included 7 Chinese
universities among its top 200, up from just two in past years. Even so, only two
were in the top 50: Beida (Beijing University) at 27th and Tsinghua at 30th. Rating
246 C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education
agencies typically put heavy weight on research output in assigning scores, lead-
ing critics to charge that the government is gaming the system in a way that alters
the mission of the university from an educational institution to a factory produc-
ing what the rankings reward, with quantity of publications prized over quality.
Pressure to produce scientific breakthroughs may be a factor in the sharp
increase in fraud and plagiarism cases in the academic community. A number of
researchers and administrators were found to have falsified their academic back-
grounds. Experts estimated that about 90 percent of research papers and scientific
projects were flawed, for reasons ranging from plagiarism to overstatement of the
significance of the research. In one case, a dean at one of China’s most eminent
universities was discovered to have falsely claimed that he invented a computer
chip; in another, university administrators were found to be covering up a case
of blatant plagiarism lest the reputation of the institution be adversely affected.
With quantity seemingly taking precedence over quality, there were concerns
that the goal of the PRC becoming a world leader in scientific innovation might
be sacrificed. China’s most renowned scientist, Qian Xuesen, complained to
then-premier Wen Jiabao that not a single university had come up with an inno-
vative mechanism to nurture inventions in science and technology. Lacking an
innovative way of teaching, he continued, it was not surprising that they had not
produced world-class talent. Several programs are attempting to address these
issues. The 863 program, named for its establishment in March 1986, allocated
several hundred billion dollars to nine key technological fields that include bio-,
laser, and marine technology. Project 211 aims at raising the research standards
of 117 Chinese universities in the twenty-first century, and Project 985 provided
funding to an elite group of nine universities to build research centers, upgrade
facilities, hire world-class faculty, and send Chinese scholars abroad. Thirty more
universities, funded somewhat less generously, were later added.
In terms of university entrance, there is much criticism of the gaokao.
Although it continues to emphasize rote learning rather than analytical skills,
a number of changes have been instituted. Under a pilot program introduced in
2017, students will no longer be required to choose either liberal arts or science
subjects. They will continue to be tested in Chinese, math and English, but can
choose the topics of the other three subjects from among six electives, such as
chemistry, history, and politics.
With the expansion of universities that began in 1999, about 22 percent
of the PRC’s college-age population now attends universities; the government
hopes to increase this to 40 percent by 2020. The question remains whether
the economy will be able to absorb the larger number of degree holders. When
they began graduating in 2003, the larger number of college graduates had more
trouble finding suitable jobs, and salaries were lower for many of those who
did. Approximately one-third remain unemployed, while others toil at low-wage
jobs where their skills are unused. According to data collected by the Chinese
Academy of Social Sciences, the earnings of college graduates are now on a par
with or even lower than those of migrant workers. Universities appear to have
resorted to ruses to disguise the high unemployment rate of their students by, for
C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education 247
example, requiring that they present proof that they have obtained a job before
their graduation certificate can be issued.
Employers have complained that many do not have the skills they should
have: the rapid expansion of the system meant that less academically qualified
students appeared on campuses where the facilities were inadequate for their
needs and well-qualified professors were not available to teach them. Students
began to joke about being cabbages, vegetables known for their low price. A few
committed suicide; others, referred to as the ant tribe, clustered together in low-
rent fringe districts of major cities, causing government officials to worry about
social instability in those areas.
The image of universities as venues for the free exchange of ideas has also
been inhibited by Xi Jinping’s concern with conformity to his interpretation of
socialist ideology. While the motivation is clearly to avoid the social instability
that might accompany the clash of ideas, the imposition of ideological rigidity
would seem directly counter to the desire to teach students to think creatively.
In 2017, university leaders were told that they must become “socialist states-
men” who persevere in building their institutions into bastions of socialism and
against the spread of Western values. Those universities who are perceived as
insufficiently ideologically rigorous are to be shamed, with observers being sent
to nearly 2,600 universities to monitor their mandatory ideology classes. Those
who speak out have had their classes canceled and are liable to lose their jobs. At
the same time, the government’s National Social Science Fund has underwritten
increasing numbers of projects on Marxism and party history (see Figure 10.2).
On Marxism–Leninism
Party History, Party-building
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2006 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16
FIGURE 10.2 Projects Funded on Marxism–Leninism, Party-building, 2006–2016
248 C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education
Conclusions
The twists and turns of China’s educational policies over the past five decades
have been costly. Arguments between those who favor emphasis on political
studies and a broadly egalitarian system vis-à-vis those who would prefer to
emphasize technical specialization and are comfortable with a more elitist system
have consumed precious time and creative energies, and caused much bitterness.
Rampant plagiarism, corruption, and exorbitant schools fees and surcharges
continue to exist despite efforts to curb them.
Nonetheless, the PRC’s educational system has succeeded in changing a liter-
acy rate of 25 percent to one that exceeds 90 percent, a significant achievement.
Some skepticism is in order, since counties told to reduce illiteracy by a certain
date may simply report that they have done so, whether or not residents have
actually learned to read. Moreover, standards for literacy can vary widely, with
the lower end, in rural villages, reportedly being as little as the ability to recog-
nize the characters for the numbers from one to ten. Some of those who pass
more stringent character identification tests become illiterate again because they
do not read for long periods of time. To its dismay, the government also discov-
ered a resurgence in the use of local dialects. A national survey revealed that
47 percent of the population could not communicate in the national language.
Moreover, the average educational level is 5.6 years nationwide, indicating that
even though most people have learned to read, they do not possess a very high
level of literacy. Only two-thirds of students complete primary school.
Although local governments spend as much as half of their budgets on edu-
cation, they still impose tuition fees that are high enough for 4 million children
to drop out each year because their families cannot afford to pay. A study by the
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences found that spending on education ranked
sixth on a list of serious public concerns and that school bills consumed over
10 percent of the average household budget.
Progress is unevenly distributed. Urban students are more than twice as
likely to attend secondary school, and richer provinces spend 50 percent more
per student than poorer ones. The gap between the western part of the country
and other areas is even greater. Especially in rural areas, males are more likely to
be literate than females, and Han Chinese are more likely to be educated com-
pared to ethnic minorities. Ninety-two percent of China’s illiterates live in rural
areas, 70 percent of them women. The illiteracy rate in Tibet is nearly 50 percent.
Academics blame the deficiencies of the PRC’s educational system for China’s
poor showing in international competitiveness. The World Economic Forum’s
Global Competitiveness Report for 2016/2017 ranked China’s education and
training at 74th of the 135 countries it reported on, citing the educational level of
the population as one of the major problematic factors of doing business there.
C H A P T E R 10 ▸ Education 249
The health of China’s population is important not only in terms of the govern-
ment’s commitment to its people’s well-being but also to the ability of the people
to enhance economic development. Good health is a factor in good productivity
and, conversely, poor health contributes to poor productivity. Reducing infant
mortality and lowering death rates may, however, cause problems of overpop-
ulation: There are simply too many people among whom to divide the fruits of
economic development. Moreover, a large population uses more resources and
also creates more waste, leading to pollution and environmental degradation.
Hence, the issues of health, demography, and the environment are closely inter-
twined not only with each other but also with economic prosperity. With varying
degrees of intensity over time, all have been of considerable concern to party and
government.
Health
China’s medical system was in very bad condition when the communist party
took power in 1949. It was not unusual for hundreds of thousands to die in
widespread natural disasters, such as floods, droughts, and earthquakes, which
were then followed by epidemics and famines. Most people had little under-
standing of the value of sanitation procedures. Infant mortality was very high, as
was the incidence of infectious, parasitic, and hereditary diseases.
There were a few bright spots in this dismal picture. The Kuomintang gov-
ernment founded a national health administration in the late 1920s, and health
programs were an important part of the government’s plans for rural recon-
struction. China also had a number of missionary hospitals, jointly staffed by
foreign and foreign-trained Chinese personnel. A few medical schools were set
up in China as well. A grant from the Rockefeller Foundation made possible the
establishment of Peking Union Medical College, which, among other activities,
did research on the causes of China’s most devastating diseases. The reports left
by health care workers during the republican era provide vivid insights into the
frustrations experienced by this relatively small group of medically trained per-
sonnel trying to function in a vast countryside of ignorance and superstition.
250
C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment 251
cajoled villagers to set up public latrines. Since manure was valued as a fertilizer,
more people were resistant to this form of communism than one might think.
Peasants were taught to put stone walls beneath the latrines, so that excrement
would not pollute the drinking water supply through seepage into underground
streams. They were also told how long waste matter should stay in the latrines
before it could be used as fertilizer in the fields.
The mass-campaign technique was also employed against specific diseases.
For example, people were first informed about how schistosomiasis spread and
then mobilized to drain the water of affected ponds and ditches and turn over
the earth. They were advised to kill the snails by burning them with matches or
pouring boiling water over them rather than touching the creatures. Drugs were
supplied to those already infected with schistosomiasis. Although harsh, they
succeeded in reducing the number of sufferers.
Considerable effort was devoted to draining swamps where malaria-carrying
mosquitoes bred. This, too, met with resistance: peasants in some areas were
reluctant to disturb the local deities whom they believed to reside in the marshes.
As for kala-azar disease, the government ordered dogs to be removed from urban
areas and their numbers were greatly reduced in the countryside. Insecticides
were employed against the sandflies that had lived on the dogs, and drugs were
provided for those who had kala-azar.
Another major focus of post-1949 health programs was infant mortal-
ity. Maternal and child health stations were established, and midwives were
instructed to boil their instruments before using them. Traditionally, the midwife
would either bite off the umbilical cord or sever it with an unclean knife, plac-
ing a piece of dung or unsterile cloth over the cut. Hence, the relatively simple
and inexpensive techniques of sterilization introduced by party health workers
greatly reduced the number of deaths from tetanus and childbirth fever.
Initial efforts produced impressive results, though the cyclical nature of mass
campaigns did not provide the kind of sustained effort needed for effective disease
control. In addition, despite the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)’s commitment to
ameliorate peasants’ lives, the majority of China’s health care facilities were located
in urban areas. Even the more modern urban hospitals were dirty by Western stan-
dards. Another problem was that medicine was in short supply. During the first
decade of the PRC, the government’s emphasis was on Western medicine, though
traditional remedies continued to be used. For many people, traditional medicines
were the drug of choice; others opted to use both types of remedy at once.
As part of its commitment to “walking on two legs,” meaning the traditional
and the modern, the Great Leap Forward attempted to raise Chinese medicine to
equal status with that of the West. Although tremendous successes were claimed
for the large-scale reintroduction of old remedies, they must be evaluated in the
general context of the hyperbolic rhetoric of the Great Leap period. The Leap’s
slogan “More, better, faster, and cheaper” did little to improve the quality of
medical care, and the famines that followed the collapse of its policies caused
untold numbers of deaths as millions starved or succumbed to diseases from
which better-nourished people normally recover.
C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment 253
therefore occurred in the medical insurance system, since the best coverage gen-
erally belonged to those who least needed it.
Particularly in rural areas, this system changed markedly with the dissolu-
tion of the commune system in the early 1980s. Collective medical insurance
plans disappeared along with the collectives, and the number of barefoot doctors
declined sharply. The emphasis of the health care system shifted from preventing
illness toward treatment after the patient became ill. Many barefoot doctors were
required to contract for farmland along with anyone else who was classified as
a rural resident. Some became the equivalent of private practitioners, charging
a fee for their services and taking a profit on the medicines they dispensed. The
official media began to complain that unqualified people in rural and urban
areas alike were pretending to be doctors and charging exorbitant fees for bogus
treatments and fake medicines. The fake medicines were sometimes not mere
placebos but actually dangerous to the user.
The government’s attempts to clamp down had marginal results. For exam-
ple, in 2001, after nearly 200,000 Chinese died from bogus or tainted medica-
tions, it closed down half of the country’s pharmaceutical factories for turning out
substandard products. But the problems continued unabated. Concerns spread
beyond the PRC when exported foods, drugs, and even toys began killing citi-
zens abroad. Milk powder containing melamine, which mimics protein in quality
testing, caused kidney failure in the children who ingested it. Although those
found guilty were executed, the problem returned two years later: The milk pow-
der had been taken off the market but not destroyed. Repackaged, it reappeared
on store shelves and, in a 2016 case, a student died after being treated with a
bogus cancer treatment advertised on Baidu, China’s largest search engine.
Another distinctly negative effect of the reforms was the return of diseases
scarcely heard of in the PRC for decades. Hepatitis, plague, and schistosomiasis
reappeared, as did syphilis. When owning pet dogs became a symbol of pros-
perity, rabies returned as well. Other diseases recurred because children were no
longer being regularly immunized. Separate polls revealed that a leading concern
of both workers and peasants was getting sick.
The previous state medical care system, modest as it was, had cost the state
excessive amounts of money. Government efforts to make hospitals more self-
reliant caused health care costs to rise by 20 percent and more each year from
the 1990s onward, far in excess of the increase in gross domestic product (GDP).
Because hospitals were forbidden to raise fees for services, they covered the short-
falls in their budgets by overprescribing medicines and tests to patients who were
covered by their enterprises. Since the enterprises were also now expected to be
self-reliant, some ran out of money to even pay their workers, much less cover
their medical costs. Cash-strapped hospitals turned away patients who could not
pay deposit fees, sometimes with fatal results. Riots have broken out when news
spreads that a person has died after being refused treatment.
Patients, too, can be motivated by materialistic motives. If the sick person
cannot be completely cured or dies, she or her survivors may insist on financial
compensation, even when there has been no apparent malpractice. They may
C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment 255
threaten the staff with bodily harm and sometimes carry out such threats. Several
thousand personal are injured each year, with millions of yuan of medical facil-
ities destroyed. The government acknowledges the gravity of the medical situa-
tion. Nearly half of the millions of Chinese who live below the poverty line were
put there by catastrophic medical expenses. The average age of the population
is rising, and older people typically have greater health needs than the young.
Hence, greater demands for medical services are expected at the same time that
fewer working people are available to pay the costs.
During the 1990s, there was a precipitous rise in the use of narcotics—again,
something that had been essentially eradicated in the 1950s. The mass media
reminded people of the events surrounding the Opium War of 1840 and pointed
out the deleterious effects that drug use had, not only for individuals and their
families but also for the strength of the country internationally. Despite stiff
new penalties, drug use continued to spread. Starting from Yunnan province,
which borders Southeast Asia’s Golden Triangle, drugs were brought into China
by local ethnic minorities whose communications networks spread the drugs
throughout the provinces. Secret societies (see Chapter 2), which, like narcotics,
were believed to have been eradicated after 1949, reappeared as well and became
heavily involved in the drug trade. An internal ministry of public security docu-
ment noted that among the numerous gangs involved, the Triad society had been
particularly successful in bribing officials to ignore their activities.
The same gangs who control narcotics are involved in prostitution, another
revival from the ill-remembered days before 1949, and one that also facilitates
the transmission of AIDS. Although prostitution is a crime according to the cen-
tral government, some local governments view it as a source of revenue: bar
girls pay taxes on their supposedly illegal activities. According to one survey,
less than 6 percent use condoms. Drug use and unprotected sex account for
only part of the spread of AIDS. Unsanitary methods of blood donation are a
major contributing factor: so-called bloodheads pay desperately poor people to
donate blood, centrifuge the pooled blood of many people to separate the com-
ponents they want, and then return the leftover pooled portion to donors. Thus,
the AIDS virus, as well as hepatitis and other diseases, quickly spread. In one of
the most heavily impacted areas, Wanshou village in rural Henan, the infection
rate exceeded 65 percent. County officials, behaving much like bureaucrats in
traditional China, tried to conceal the epidemic. In this case, they were abetted
by the central government, which arrested several individuals who were trying to
educate the population on how the disease is contracted and what measures they
can take to protect themselves. Officially, 700,000 Chinese are HIV infected,
although there is massive underreporting from local areas, and World Health
Organization experts believe the number may be ten times as high.
Similar attempts to conceal the outbreak of severe acute respiratory syn-
drome (SARS) in 2003 allowed the virulent disease to spread both within
China and to foreign countries, causing hundreds of deaths. In addition, lack
of attention to developing safety standards for the workplace has resulted in
a high incidence of occupation-related accidents. The burgeoning “floating
256 C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment
Demography
Confucius considered a large population a sign of prosperity and contentment:
an indication that the mandate of heaven lay securely on the dynasty. In addi-
tion, the Confucian family system encouraged the idea of large families. Imperial
bureaucrats were also in favor of large populations, since more people would
mean increased tax revenues. Thus, the government considered it important to
keep an accurate population count. China conducted its first census in 2 a.d.;
other censuses took place at irregular intervals thereafter. The population
remained remarkably stable for over 1,000 years, fluctuating between 37 million
and 60 million in response to the presence or absence of natural disasters.
Starting from the early years of the Ming dynasty in the fourteenth century,
China began a period of six centuries of population growth. Originally encour-
aged by the development of faster growing varieties of rice, it was later also helped
by the introduction of new types of food from the Americas and by technolog-
ical innovations. New areas were opened to cultivation, and irrigation works
were extended. Some Chinese began to worry about the Malthusian dilemma
of land expanding arithmetically whereas population increased geometrically—
much faster than new land could be put under cultivation, even where such land
was available.
The century preceding the communist takeover was, as has been seen,
characterized by dynastic decline, societal disintegration, civil war, and for-
eign invasion. With their attention absorbed by a struggle for control, Chinese
communist leaders were not so much concerned with the absolute size of the
population as with the percentage of it that was under their jurisdiction. Karl
Marx had, moreover, taken issue with Malthus, declaring that poverty was not
caused by too large a population but by an unfair distribution of economic
resources. Under socialism, these resources would be distributed equally, and
all would prosper.
Despite the benign attitudes of Confucius and Marx toward a large popu-
lation, the results of the PRC’s first census, in 1953, shocked the leadership. On
hearing that China had 582.6 million people, Mao is reported to have wondered
how there could possibly be that many. The country had been at peace since
1950, and this, together with the aforementioned better health care measures, led
to a rise in the number of births while the mortality rate dropped sharply. A few
voices, hesitant at first, began to question Marx’s theory of population and to
advocate family planning. Accused by their critics of bourgeois Malthusianism,
they denied that birth control had anything to do with Malthus. Rather, it was
258 C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment
needed in order to protect the health of the mother, ensure that parents could
give the best of care to each child they brought into the world, and allow them
sufficient time to study and work hard in order to build socialism in China.
Beginning in 1955, China began to manufacture large quantities of contra-
ceptives. However, even these quantities could meet the needs of only 2.2 percent
of the couples of childbearing age, and the quality of what was available was
often poor. Condoms were unlubricated, intrauterine devices uncomfortable, and
contraceptive foams and jellies unreliable. Those who wanted to practice family
planning—and the overwhelming majority of people apparently did not—often
had to resort to folk remedies. One of these involved the consumption of large
numbers of live, whole tadpoles; this was supposed to prevent conception for
five years. Advocates pointed out that their formula had the advantages of being
safe, effective (?), and inexpensive. Unfortunately, they admitted, it had the disad-
vantage of being feasible only in the spring—since the tadpoles would turn into
frogs thereafter.
It is unlikely that this first effort to reduce births succeeded in significantly
reducing fertility rates, with the possible exception of a few large cities. It did,
however, show the government how difficult population stabilization would be.
Research began on better methods of contraception. China’s doctors devised
the vacuum aspiration method of abortion, which is both much simpler and
safer than the previously used dilation-and-curettage technique. It was quickly
adopted worldwide.
Led by eminent economist Ma Yinchu, who was also president of Beijing
University, the movement for a family planning program gained momentum. As
the Hundred Flowers campaign unfolded, Ma decided that it was time to speak
out. Delegates to the fourth session of the First National People’s Congress heard
Ma contend that it was absolutely necessary for China to control its population
in order to decrease consumption and, thereby, increase the accumulation of
capital. Because, said Ma, the PRC’s large population was basically unskilled,
it would also be inappropriate to rush into mechanization and industrializa-
tion; this would result in reducing the number of jobs and cause greater unem-
ployment. He advocated shifting China’s emphasis to light industry, which could
absorb a larger labor force.
Unfortunately for Ma, the Hundred Flowers began to wilt shortly after his
speech. Among the many indictments issued against him, Ma was vilified for
being a Malthusian, an anti-Marxist, and a poor economist. He was forced to
relinquish his position at Beijing University. Undaunted, Ma continued to write
papers but was forbidden to publish them. The leadership, reasoning that every-
one comes into the world with two hands but only one mouth, decided that a
large population was actually good for production. A massive application of
labor power would unleash the forces of production; the resulting huge expan-
sion of agriculture and industry would refute conclusively the bourgeois notion
that the growth of population would outstrip the growth of production. The
media stopped encouraging birth control and began talking about the need for
more people.
C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment 259
Some analysts believe that the birth control effort begun in 1955 was not
actually abandoned but simply went underground. However, the starvation and
malnutrition that followed the collapse of the Great Leap Forward did more to
curb population growth than any family planning information. They also defin-
itively discredited the notion that the larger the population, the better for pro-
duction. By early 1962, there was renewed pressure for family planning. The
Great Leap’s “more, better, faster, and cheaper” slogan was replaced by “later
[marriage], longer [intervals between births], and fewer [children].” Young peo-
ple were urged to postpone marriage until their mid- to late twenties and to have
only two children, preferably spaced three to five years apart. Greater efforts
were made to provide inexpensive and convenient contraceptives. The govern-
ment also encouraged research, leading to the development of a birth control pill.
In 1964, a family planning office was established under the supervision of
the State Council. Provinces and large cities set up guidance committees to coor-
dinate propaganda work and the distribution of contraceptives. Their efforts
were heavily focused on urban areas. Partly, this was because urban areas were
more likely to have modern medical systems and be able to supply contraceptives
and perform abortions. Partly, it was because the party’s control system was bet-
ter in urban areas: Residents could be threatened with loss of jobs or withdrawal
of other privileges more easily than in the countryside.
Various techniques were used. Some areas would issue ration coupons for
up to three children; parents who insisted on having more would have to feed
everyone on proportionately less food. Neighborhood health stations kept track
of menstrual cycles, methods of contraception, and previous births. Typically,
this information was posted on wall charts for all to see. Factories and work
units were assigned quotas for the maximum number of births allowed; cou-
ples wishing to have a baby had to apply for permission. Should one couple
conceive out of turn, another couple would have to postpone childbearing. This
created tremendous pressure, from both one’s superiors and one’s peer group, to
conform to the plan. The shortage of housing in major cities undoubtedly also
discouraged the creation of large families. Fertility seems to have declined rapidly
in many cities from 1962 to 1966. However, the overwhelming majority of the
PRC’s citizens lived in the countryside.
The family planning program, like most other officially sponsored plans, dis-
integrated during the Cultural Revolution. Still, since the period of time involved
was fairly short, no large number of births resulted. By 1970, official pressure for
family planning was back again, but new problems awaited. The large number
of babies born in the early 1950s, before population-planning measures became
effective, had reached childbearing age themselves, threatening an all-time high
in births even if every couple were to agree to only two children. Agricultural
production had been essentially stagnant, and Malthus’s theory began to seem
like an imminent reality.
In December 1978, delegates to the Eleventh National Party Congress’s
Third Plenum were informed that only drastic curbs in population growth would
enable the PRC to achieve the ambitious economic goals of Deng Xiaoping’s
260 C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment
While many families were willing to stop at one child if that child were a son,
nature did not grant that wish in slightly less than 50 percent of first births. The
incentive was to try again and, if the second child were a girl as well, as many
additional times as it took to produce a boy. There are sound economic reasons
for preferring sons to daughters in China. Traditionally, when a woman marries,
she goes to live with her husband’s family, which then gains the use of her labor
while her own family loses it. Since most men are physically stronger than most
women, their labor is more highly valued. Also, despite the PRC’s professions on
equality of the sexes—Mao Zedong’s “Women hold up half of the sky” is duti-
fully repeated every March in honor of Women’s Day—females are frequently
paid less than men for the same tasks. Although the law provides for equal pay
for equal worth, the government’s own surveys find that women receive about
70 percent of what men earn for the same work. Moreover, most women work
in lower skilled and lower paid jobs than men.
Horrifying stories followed attempts to impose the one-child policy strictly.
Many baby girls were drowned, suffocated, or strangled. Other unwanted girls,
and boys with birth defects, were abandoned, filling orphanages that had neither
the money nor the staff to properly care for them. In the mid-1990s, a BBC tele-
vision crew filmed the conditions under which these infants lived; it reported that
certain children were consigned to “dying rooms,” where they slowly starved to
death.
Disappointed fathers of daughters, or their families, beat the mother, often to
death, or insisted on a divorce. When it was announced that parents could have
a second child if the first were non-hereditarily handicapped, there were reports
of parents maiming helpless children. Cadres under pressure to impose the one-
child limit forced abortions on women who were late in pregnancy. The cadres,
in turn, risked retaliation from relatives and friends of the women. Some couples
did not register the birth of girls; others decided not to register their marriages.
When wives got pregnant with an additional child, the couple would often sim-
ply leave their area until the child was born. Alternatively, they could join the
floating population. With the introduction of Deng’s economic incentive system,
people were no longer so tied to their work units. In 1991, the State Family
Planning Commission began issuing a series of increasingly stringent regulations
to crack down on migrants’ childbearing. An unintended result of the confusing
mass of rules and certificates that the new regulations called for was to deprive
many migrant women of health care; migrant women comprise a disproportion-
ate number of maternal deaths.
Nor did these techniques exhaust the tactics used by those who wished to
evade the one-child policy. Women who had been fitted with intrauterine devices
against their will paid physicians, and even witch doctors, to remove them. Those
who had had sterilization operations arranged to have them reversed. These ille-
gal acts were facilitated by the fact that there were now many private medical
practitioners. In the countryside, where Deng’s agricultural reforms had made
the household the unit of production, peasants reasoned that it made sense to
have more children to provide the family with more labor power. They regarded
262 C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment
the fine for excess births as just another annoying tax and either paid it or bribed
officials to ignore the births. Since peasants built and owned their own homes,
giving preference in housing to one-child families was no incentive. Nor was
preference in school entrance, since many peasants did not aspire to long periods
of education for their children.
The threat to remove cadres from their jobs or expel them from the party if they
failed to set a good example for the masses was also less than completely effective.
In the PRC’s new incentive-based economy, being a cadre was no longer as desir-
able as it had once been; nor was party membership so esteemed. Even in the cities,
results were less than hoped for. There was a tendency for the promised incentives
to disappear. For example, inflation wiped out the value of promised cash bonuses,
even where they were paid. Where there was an acute lack of housing and nearly
everyone held a one-child certificate, being given priority for housing meant little.
In short, the government had lost many of the economic levers over public
behavior that it had once had. Faced with widespread passive resistance to the
one-child policy, the leadership had to come to terms with the limitations on its
ability to control population growth. The idea of reducing the population to
700 million—or at all—dropped quietly from the press. Instead, the media began
to speak, none too confidently, of holding the population to 1.2 billion, and later
1.3 billion, by the year 2000 rather than 1.1 billion—that is, 200 million more
people than originally anticipated.
Since Deng introduced these measures, policies have alternated between
tougher measures to ensure compliance and softer measures that permit sec-
ond births under certain specified conditions. Shifting emphases put the cadres
responsible for enforcing them in a difficult position. In 1991, faced with wide-
spread flouting of regulations, the government instituted draconian enforcement
measures. Pregnant women were forced to undergo induced labor, which gener-
ally killed the fetus, and then were sterilized. Huge fines were levied for out-of-
plan children; sometimes, the family’s possessions were confiscated and its home
destroyed. Hospital officials who supplied falsified sterilization papers faced the
possibility of prison or even execution.
The introduction of ultrasound scanning machines, which allow prospective
parents to know the sex of the fetus, helped the government’s goal of reducing
the birth rate while thwarting its desire to achieve a more balanced male/female
ratio. Word about the new machines spread rapidly to even remote parts of the
countryside, and in Deng Xiaoping’s money-conscious society it made excellent
economic sense for hospitals and even private practitioners to purchase them.
Although the going rate for the brief procedure is more than many farmers make
in a month, couples are nonetheless willing to pay. The government tried banning
the use of scanners for sex determination, but since the machines are simulta-
neously used to discover birth defects, this is hard to enforce. Many women
who are told that the fetus is female immediately schedule an abortion. When
asked how they feel this skewed sex ratio will impact their chances of having
grandsons, people tend to reply that having grandsons depends on having sons
first. In 2006, a bill to criminalize sex-selective abortion was brought before the
Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, Volume II: Demographic Profiles. ST/ESA/SER.A/400.
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World
FIGURE 11.1 Total Population by Broad Age Group
2100 2050 2000 1950
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 0
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 100
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 200
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 300
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 400
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 500
65+
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 15–64
600
Population (millions)
0–14
............................................................................................................................................................................................................
700
............................................................................................................................................................................................................
800
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 900
............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 1000
.......................................................................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................................................................
By 2017, the population was 1.38 billion, and predicted to peak at 1.6 billion
in 2030. However, Chinese demographers privately estimate that 25 to
35 percent of births are simply not reported, and that the true population is
about a 100 million larger (see Figure 11.1).
Even accepting the higher figure, it is a remarkable achievement for a devel-
oping country to have reduced its population growth rate this far and so quickly.
However, since births are lowest among educated professionals and highest
among the poor and marginally literate, there are concerns that the quality of the
population may decline.
In 2016, a more lenient policy allowing married couples to have two chil-
dren went into effect. In the first year, the number of total births was said to be
between 1.3 and 1.9 million more than the previous year, well below the 3 mil-
lion births originally predicted. However, this could be temporary, since a lunar
calendar year believed to be more auspicious for childbirth was soon to arrive.
This, too, is not certain, since more and more couples seem to have decided that,
1978 1990
18% 26%
82% 74%
urban rural
urban rural
2003 2016
41%
47%
59% 53%
given the high cost of education and the disruption to their careers, a single
child is enough. Officials hope that allowing couples to have more children will
decrease the preference for boys, and that the sex ratio will even out by 2030.
While increasing the population means more people available to support
each retiree, they will need food, housing, and jobs; and the additional waste
matter they create will have to be dealt with. Increasing the rate of urbanization,
now over 50 percent (see Figure 11.2), is one suggestion, though there are huge
challenges in terms of taking agricultural land out of use to build new satellite
cities, constructing transportation to and from hubs, founding schools and hos-
pitals in the new areas, ensuring adequate supplies of water, and devising drain-
age and sewage systems. The most ambitious of these plans, the Xiong’an New
Area, was introduced in 2017. Located south of Beijing and aimed at reducing
congestion and pollution in the capital, it is to house 4.5 million people in an
area three times the size of New York City.
The Environment
China has traditionally been a country in which the population pressed hard
against existing land and resources, resulting in a substantial amount of envi-
ronmental degradation. The loess plateau described in Chapter 3 is believed to
be the largest and most seriously eroded area in the world. Even had they under-
stood the causes of degradation better, people whose immediate survival was at
stake had little reason to be concerned about the penalty it would impose on
future generations.
The Chinese communist party came to power dedicated to the goal of rapid
industrialization and showed little concern for environmental problems. For
decades, party and government officials would not acknowledge that such prob-
lems even existed, much less try to deal with them. As late as 1972, a Western
reporter who commented on the soot pouring from dozens of factory smoke-
stacks was told that pollution was a product of rapacious capitalists who did
not care what they did to the environment. Since China no longer had rapacious
capitalists, the Chinese people did not need to be afraid of pollution.
In fact, concern did exist. For example, many people were acutely aware
that the Great Leap Forward had caused tremendous environmental problems.
In 1958, large quantities of the country’s coal were wasted in trying to make
steel using backyard blast furnaces, forcing peasants in some areas to denude
the countryside of trees and bushes in order to get enough fuel to survive the
winter. In Tibet during the 1970s, an ill-conceived plan to substitute wheat for
barley had exhausted the soil and caused famine. People who lived near belching
smokestacks complained about the soot. Responding to these and other con-
cerns, in August 1973 the State Council convened a national conference on envi-
ronmental protection work.
In 1974, the Office of Environmental Protection was established under the
State Council, and similar units were set up at the provincial level in many parts
of the country. However, establishing the national unit as an office meant that
266 C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment
it did not have authority over subordinate levels in the same way as might a
ministry or commission. The office could coordinate and plan, but it could not
order compliance. The National People’s Congress passed the PRC’s first envi-
ronmental protection law in 1979, though deficiencies in financing, personnel,
and organization made its provisions difficult to enforce.
Environmental degradation became a matter of public concern by the end
of the 1980s, and continues to be so. By 2008, more than 400 of the mainland’s
669 largest cities had water shortages, and nearly every year brings news of a
new low in river levels. North China has suffered from chronic drought since the
1980s, while flooding has become more serious in the south. By 2030, when the
population is predicted to be 1.6 billion, per capita water resources will be 1,760
cubic meters, barely above what experts believe is the critical limit of 1,700.
Current levels of 2,200 cubic meters per person are only a quarter of the world’s
average. Water shortages are common in major cities at certain times of year, and
factories have had to close production lines for lack of water.
Serious pollution means that very little of the water that remains is drink-
able. The economic boom has resulted in geometric increases of environmen-
tal contaminants. Rural areas also suffer from agricultural runoff tainted with
chemical fertilizers and toxic pesticides. In some areas, high levels of metal and
organic pollutants cause cancer and deformities in humans and marine life. In
a number of areas, drinking wells that have been used for centuries have had to
be abandoned, and it has become impossible for fish to live in some rivers and
lakes. Periodic “red tides,” which result in toxic seafood, threaten coastal cities.
Polluted drinking water has also been linked to a rise in hepatitis and stomach,
liver, and intestinal cancers. Chinese experts complain that such water as exists is
inefficiently used, and suggest that if households and businesses were charged a
per-unit fee for water, the situation would improve noticeably. Desalinization has
also been suggested, though it is currently very expensive.
Another very expensive project is the South–North water diversion project
initiated in 2002. In addition to misgivings about the wisdom of such a large-
scale and expensive undertaking, there has been fierce opposition from officials
in the areas where the water is to be diverted, resistance from those who must be
relocated, and unforeseen technical difficulties relating to geographical hazards
and pollution control.
The huge increase in the population of coastal China has resulted in short-
ages of surface water. Groundwater has been used to make up the difference,
meaning that the land level drops. In addition to causing structural damage to
buildings and highways, this means that coastal cities are more prone to flood-
ing, particularly if the rise in sea levels that has been predicted actually occurs.
Urban planners have been warned to take this into account when formulating
development schemes. Suzhou, whose beauty gave it the nickname Venice of the
East, has sunk by 1.5 meters since the 1950s, compared with only 24 centimeters
in the last century for its Italian counterpart. Ningbo, a major port city, may sink
below sea level by 2030. Incursions of salt water inland lead to salinization of
the soil, reduced crop yields, and further erosion. Development in the Pearl River
C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment 267
Delta area has brought unprecedented prosperity to many of its residents, but the
construction of large numbers of bridges, harbor terminals, and container berths
over the past 30 years is destroying the ecosystem.
In Yunnan, sharp rises in the price of rubber led the government to encour-
age the expansion of rubber tree plantations with grievous damage to the envi-
ronment of one of the PRC’s most scenic areas. A World Bank study placed the
PRC’s environmental sustainability index near the bottom of the countries of the
world, warning that the ecological underpinning of Chinese society is fraying.
It estimates that air and water pollution cost the PRC $100 billion a year, equal
to about 5.8 percent of GDP, mostly in increased health costs. Air pollution is a
growing concern. In 2008, the PRC achieved the dubious distinction of becom-
ing the world’s leading emitter of greenhouse gases. According to World Health
Organization data, 16 of the 20 cities in the world that suffer from the worst air
pollution are in China. Most of China’s energy needs are met by coal, which is
typically of low quality, untreated, and burned from relatively low smokestacks,
thus adding to the amount of pollutants released into the air. Particularly in
winter, a large proportion of urban residents suffer from bronchitis. Those who
can afford it invest several thousand dollars in air filtration equipment for their
apartments.
As more people own cars, smog grows worse: China buys cheap “sour crude”
oil on world markets. It is lower in price, but contains far more sulfur, a major
cause of air pollution. Fearful that choking smog would obstruct the long-coveted
2008 Olympic games, Beijing officials ordered every-other-day driving for cars
based on whether the last digit on their license plates ended in an odd or even
number, and shut down several factories temporarily. Although some managed to
evade the restrictions through such ruses as purchasing additional license plates
with different endings, the measures helped. However, matters deteriorated again
soon thereafter: worse smog enveloped Beijing, which is not even China’s most
polluted city. A 2017 survey by the University of Chicago’s Energy Policy Insti-
tute found that poor air quality was shaving an average of three-and-half years
off the lives of the PRC’s citizens, and, among the 338 cities surveyed by the
country’s Ministry of Environmental Protection, only 84 met national guidelines.
Soil erosion and desertification are problems as well, leading to reduc-
tions in soil fertility and agricultural production. The mass of sediment eroded
from upstream erosion is eventually deposited in downstream rivers and lakes,
increasing the risks of flooding. One important contributing cause is deforesta-
tion. Depending on one’s source, only 12 to 19 percent of the PRC’s land area
still has forest cover, compared with 33 percent in the United States, 35 percent
in the former USSR, and 26 percent in India.
China had 21,000 more square miles of desert in 2016 than in 1975: with so
many trees being cut for firewood and so many factories and farms drawing on
groundwater, more land continues to dry up. The government’s efforts to create
a “great green wall” to stem the advance of the deserts have been less successful
than hoped for: many trees, planted where they do not grow naturally, die. The
others soak up groundwater that normally nourishes native grasses and shrubs,
268 C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment
thus actually expanding desertification. Farmers and herders resent being forced
off their land to make way for the trees.
Another highly touted initiative, but one which may prove to be a far larger
problem, is the controversial Three Gorges project. A massive dam was con-
structed across the most scenic stretch of the Yangtze River in order to produce
clean electricity, enhance river transport capacity, and help channel water to
drought-prone north China. Critics charged that the huge cost (up to $1 trillion)
of the project could have been better spent on other endeavors, and predicted
that, although the dam may alleviate flooding in one part of the Yangtze, it will
increase flooding in other parts. Construction work meant razing entire cities,
thousands of villages, and large swathes of farmland whose inhabitants were not
properly compensated for their relocation expenses; rare flora and fauna were
destroyed as well.
Landslides also became an issue, since the area surrounding the large res-
ervoir that is part of the dam complex is characterized by loose-textured soil,
and by frequent floods and rainstorms. As subterranean water levels rise, so do
the incidence and size of landslides. As has happened elsewhere, the creation of
such a large reservoir may induce earthquakes, but even if not, the ecological
consequences will be catastrophic. Some Chinese scientists posited a connection
between a recent series of earthquakes in southwestern China and the construc-
tion of dams in the area, while local officials claimed that the Three Gorges Dam
worsened the severe drought of 2010. Central authorities denied any causality
with the events.
Silt causes a rise in riverbed levels and a reduction in lake water volume.
Sandstorms have become larger and more prevalent. When riverbeds rise, floods
become more likely. The siltation of the Yellow River, “China’s Sorrow,” is an
ongoing phenomenon. But changes in the course of the Yellow River, which his-
torically occurred every few hundred years, became more frequent in recent cen-
turies. By the late 1990s, however, the Yellow River was running dry: water was
being pumped out at double the recharge rate to serve industrial and human
needs. Vows to ameliorate the situation did not prevent its worsening: Whereas
40 percent of the Yellow River’s water was drinkable in the 1990s, this figure
had shrunk to one-third by 2007. And impossible as it must have appeared to
those fleeing the periodic Yangtze floods, that body of water was expected to dry
up as well. As floods become more likely in some areas, desertification increases
in others.
Reflecting a growing feeling that environmental deterioration was proceed-
ing unchecked, the State Council raised the status of the Office of Environmental
Protection to commission level in 1984; made it an agency, the State Environ-
mental Protection Agency (SEPA), in 1988; and raised it to ministry status (MEP)
in 2008. Officials have repeatedly been warned that their annual performance
evaluations would take their efforts on behalf of the environment into account.
In practice, it has proved easier to falsify results: A SEPA report released at the
end of 2006 revealed that although regional data indicated that emissions had
been reduced by 2 percent, they had actually increased by 2 percent. Official data
C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment 269
tend to be suspect, and recently there have been charges that those of interna-
tional organizations may be as well. In responding to critics’ charges that major
environmental protection groups have not protested against China’s destruction
of coral reefs in order to reinforce its claim to areas of the South China Sea, orga-
nization officials respond that they are able to operate in China only with the
permission of the Chinese government. Compounding their difficulties, many of
the organizations’ most generous donors operate businesses in China.
Due to conflict between a vertical chain of command from the MEP and a
horizontal one from authorities at provincial, county, and township levels, juris-
dictional issues have so far defied attempts to expand the scope of environmen-
tal bureaus and to clarify the division of responsibilities among the ministries
and levels of government involved. Local environmental bureaus responsible for
enforcing central government regulations are understaffed and often tied to the
industries they are supposed to regulate. The majority of the biggest polluters
are state-run industries and factories that cannot realistically be shut down or
severely punished. Local officials often protect pollution-causing industries, since
they contribute to tax revenues as well as provide employment.
A number of factories have included fines in their production costs rather
than improve their ability to control pollution. Others simply ignore the regula-
tions, reasoning that they cost too much to comply with and that there is small
risk of being caught. At present, interest in short-term profits and material ben-
efits far exceeds concern for the environment. When regulations are enforced,
tragic consequences have ensued. After years of complaining about a factory that
was spewing hydrogen sulfide gas, residents finally succeeded in getting it closed
down. Angry at being unemployed, factory workers turned on area residents at
random, murdering two people in an exceptionally grisly fashion and injuring
many more. In another area, police arrested farmers who protested that pollution
from a paper mill was poisoning their crop, charging them with obstructing pub-
lic duties. In Sichuan, a man who took part in an environmental protest in which
a policeman was killed was executed after a closed-door trial without his lawyers
being informed. Frustrated environmental officials have closed down factories,
only to see them reopen a few days later. Shockingly, China is now importing
a substantial proportion of the garbage of the rest of the world: Millions of
tons of “e-waste”—discarded computers, television sets, and mobile phones—are
shipped to the PRC for recycling, adding to the huge amounts of domestically
produced toxic by-products. In 2017, the import of 24 kinds of waste material
was banned, though there are doubts on how effective the ban will be.
Since China occupies a large proportion of the world’s land area and has
so many people, the PRC’s environmental situation is also important to the
stabilization of the global environment. Given the PRC’s growing demand for
energy to fuel its economic expansion, and the fact that China uses energy far
less efficiently than developed countries, emissions are expected to be double
those of the United States by 2050 if left unchecked. Should China remain an
environmental spoiler, the effects on the rest of the planet could be severe. For
this reason, leaders of the international ecology movement have made efforts to
270 C H A P T E R 11 ▸ Health, Demography, and the Environment
are aware that those who have been forced to relocate often fail to receive prom-
ised new housing and other compensation, people have become more militant.
Conclusions
Better health care and a long period of peace led to a sharp increase in China’s
already large population. Efforts to convince the PRC’s citizenry of the need
for family planning have had impressive results, but have neither reduced nor
stabilized the size of the population. Efforts to improve the living standards
of this much larger number of people led to intensive exploitation of existing
resources and a worrisome deterioration of the environment. These have taken
a toll on economic growth, as well as on the general health of the population.
Party and government leaders are cognizant of the intricately intertwined issues
of health, demography, the environment, and economic growth. The trade-offs
among these issues are difficult to make and, in terms of public opinion, have
potentially explosive consequences. The enormous nature of the task involved
and the decreasing ability of the central government to exact compliance from
its subordinate units and from the citizenry at large make it doubtful that these
quality-of-life problems can be solved easily or soon.
272
C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control 273
Yan’an government. One example involves a short story, “In the Hospital,” pub-
lished in 1941 by feminist writer Ding Ling. The protagonist, a young woman
from Shanghai, describes an administration composed of incompetent old cadres
who do not know how to run the hospital and are indifferent to the needs of
its patients and staff. Her attempts to correct the problems she sees result in her
being slandered and censured. Finally, in frustration, the heroine leaves the hos-
pital. Most readers understood that Ding Ling meant the hospital to symbolize
the Yan’an government; what happens to the heroine represents the inability of
well-meaning individuals to correct its problems.
Artists saw their criticism as constructive, since they were trying to correct
defects in the system. However, party leaders were convinced that critical works
were destructive, since they might undermine the masses’ faith in the party and
its infallibility. Ding Ling and others like her were forced to make self-criticisms
during the zhengfeng, or rectification campaign. In May 1942, Mao Zedong
delivered a speech at the Yan’an Forum on Art and Literature that laid down
guidelines—albeit guidelines that could be interpreted either strictly or loosely—
for literature, art, and journalism that endured for a half-century thereafter. Mao
stated explicitly that there is no such thing as art for art’s sake. It exists primarily
for politics, and not for amusement or entertainment. Moreover, he maintained,
all of the arts have a class character.
to the party line found it very difficult to have their work published by such
journals. The associations also controlled the prizes that were so important to
the prestige of writers and artists.
A small number of established, older artists and writers drew their sala-
ries directly from these professional organizations. The great majority, however,
had as their work unit the troupe, film company, or magazine to which they
belonged. The units issued salaries, assigned housing, controlled transfers, held
political study meetings, and so on, functioning very much as those of other work
units. The troupes, companies, and magazines were subordinate to their relevant
professional associations and, ultimately, to the ACFLAC. Those who refused
to conform to the party line could be expelled from their units, meaning loss
of salary, housing, and the opportunity to practice their profession. These were
powerful incentives to produce politically correct works.
Other, less drastic means were at the government’s disposal. For example,
funding had to be obtained before work could proceed on a film. The script had
to undergo several levels of approval, from that of party leaders at the studio to
the provincial department of culture to the propaganda department of the pro-
vincial party committee, or to the ministry of culture and the ministry of propa-
ganda directly if the script were from a central-level company. The movie was
scrutinized again after filming was completed. At that point, it could be rejected
outright or held indefinitely in a kind of limbo, with no decision being rendered.
Or it could, and still can, be withdrawn after it has been released to theaters.
Given the risks of deviating from established orthodoxy, one may well ask
why anyone dares to do so. First, many writers and artists consider that it is
their responsibility as intellectuals to protest against social injustice. Second, it
is not always clear where the limits of the permissible lie, and many writers and
artists find it tempting to test the boundaries. Third, the party line has changed
frequently, ranging from relative tolerance of a variety of viewpoints to rigid
ideological orthodoxy. One can always hope that a work that is criticized at one
point will later be tolerated. Perhaps its creator will even be praised for her or
his courage.
Party leaders favored socialist realism in literature and art; they explicitly
rejected what they referred to as “the doctrine of the wavering middle.” This
meant that heroes had to be completely heroic. They must be in no doubt that
the course of action they had chosen was the correct one, no matter how adverse
the consequences to themselves and to their families. Conversely, villains had to
be completely reprehensible. Writers who portrayed Japanese soldiers or Kuo-
mintang (KMT) officials as worrying about the fate of the peasants or of their
own families were harshly criticized.
Artists were to portray the workers and peasants as happy under all cir-
cumstances. Among the absurdities produced was a painting depicting several
female electrical repair workers atop a pole swaying precariously in an ice storm.
In drawing their facial expressions, the artist chose neither intense concentration
nor anxiety over the dangerous position they were in but broad, apple-cheeked
smiles. The message, no matter how unrealistic, was that the women were pleased
276 C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control
to be doing their bit for the masses and the state by repairing the downed lines.
A short story had a herdsman singing to his sheep, telling them how lucky they
were to live under communist rule, since now they were owned by the people
instead of by a landlord. No great amount of sophistication was needed to figure
out that it was of little consequence to the sheep whether they were eaten by the
people or by a landlord.
In general, these works were not well received by audiences; nor did writers
and artists wish to produce them. One writer, Hu Feng, became the target of a
mass campaign in 1954/1955 for protesting what he referred to as “mechanical-
ism” in literature and predicting that if Marxism were used as a substitute for
realism, artistic endeavors would be blocked and art itself destroyed. He and
writers associated with him disparaged Mao’s Yan’an talks as discouraging cre-
ativity. Hu was also unwilling to use native folk styles in literature. He was crit-
icized for insulting Chinese culture, for worshiping Western bourgeois ideology,
and for misrepresenting Marxism–Leninism.
that the real reason they had been sent to the countryside was to punish them for
having spoken out.
The glorification of the amateur and denigration of expertise were important
facets of the Great Leap Forward. At the same time that writers, musicians, and
artists were ordered to learn from the peasants, peasants were urged to write,
paint, and compose. Just as with industry and agriculture during the Leap, quo-
tas were set for the production of songs, stories, and artwork. And just as in
industry and agriculture, the quotas were raised again and again. Press releases
spoke only of over-fulfillment. Thousands of songs were produced, often with
such catchy titles as “Carrying Manure up the Hill” or “Dance of the Mongolian
Sheepherders.” The government put its favorites on records and cassettes and
made them available for export. Short stories, generally extolling the joys of
hard labor or the valiant fight against Japanese and KMT aggressors, were not
only made available domestically but were also translated and sent abroad. Art
became rigidly socialist realist, with a heavy emphasis on folk forms, such as
paper cuts.
Despite the Great Leap Forward’s emphasis on folk forms, proletarianization
of the arts, and the spirit of Yan’an, it was far less hostile to so-called bourgeois
culture and to China’s so-called decadent feudal past than the Cultural Revolu-
tion that was to come. During the Leap, which also placed great value on doing
things in large collectives, huge singing groups performed Western choral music,
and enormous orchestras performed Beethoven’s Ninth Symphony. In addition,
there were concerts featuring ancient Chinese instruments.
The abject failure of the Great Leap Forward provided socially responsible
intellectuals with an excellent issue to criticize. Since speaking out openly con-
tinued to be dangerous, oblique criticisms and metaphors were the weapons of
choice. Veiling one’s charges in the form of a short story or journal article that
ostensibly dealt with the past became popular. Several examples of using the past
to ridicule the present appear in Chapter 4. One of the most controversial plays
of the period, Hai Jui Dismissed, is a perfect example of the genre. The real Hai
Jui was simultaneously a censor and a governor during the Ming dynasty. A zeal-
ous official, he informed the emperor that tax evasion by landlords in the Suzhou
area was ravaging the lives of the peasants there. The Suzhou landowners, who
had their own faction at court, began to conspire against Hai Jui. As a result of
their machinations, the emperor dismissed him.
In Hai Jui Dismissed, the protagonist is depicted as having brought the
exploiters of the people to justice, returning to the peasants land that had been
stolen by government officials, and then being dismissed from office by the
emperor. Some of his language sounds curiously modern. For example, Hai Jui
frequently refers to local officials appropriating people’s land by force and mak-
ing it difficult to farm. He also mentions large numbers of “wrongful judgments”
that need to be straightened out and warns the emperor that only when these
problems have been solved can there be a return to peace and prosperity.
Since the play’s author, Wu Han, was a historian who specialized in the Ming
dynasty, it is unlikely that the discrepancies between the real Hai Jui and the Hai Jui
278 C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control
of the play were accidental mistakes. Careful readers understood that the author
was criticizing defense minister Peng Dehuai’s dismissal in 1959, after Peng pro-
tested to Mao about the effects of the Great Leap Forward’s communization—
that is, expropriation of peasants’ land by the party. Although people like Wu
Han may have sincerely believed that they were helping the party by pointing out
its mistakes, many party leaders did not appreciate their efforts.
Another subtle way to criticize was by using metaphor. For example, since
party hagiography compared Mao Zedong to the sun, one could compose poetry
ostensibly about the sun and its role in growing crops while adding that even
the sun has spots. Art, too, could be used as a weapon. In December 1964, the
back cover of the official journal of the Communist Youth League contained a
picture that, at first glance, was a typical exercise in socialist realism: a team of
peasants harvesting grain. Closer scrutiny revealed Chinese characters formed by
the way stubble in the painting’s foreground had been cut. They read “Kill Mao
Zedong” and “Long Live Chiang Kai-shek.” In the background, one of a group
of three red flags, symbolizing the then-current “three red banners” slogan, had
fallen to the ground. The peasants were happily striding forward but not actually
following a shadowy and unhappy-looking figure at the head of the line. Embar-
rassed authorities quickly tried to recall all of the journal’s issues, but were only
partially successful.
piano as a “coffin in which notes rattled about like the bones of the bourgeoisie”
did not realize that Madame Mao, a driving force in the Cultural Revolution and
the impetus behind the revolutionary operas, was fond of the instrument. When
questioned about this apparent inconsistency, she reportedly replied, “We have
liberated the piano.” While it is easy to ridicule this statement, there is a serious
point behind it. In effect, the Cultural Revolution’s answer to the century-old
problem of how to import Western technical knowledge without eroding Chi-
nese values in the process was to detach European musical instruments and their
techniques from the context in which they had been created.
Despite the reprieve of the piano, cultural life during the Cultural Revo-
lution was relatively limited. Troupes performed the same eight revolutionary
operas over and over again. Mao was the sole approved author of books. Stir-
ring choruses of “The East Is Red” introduced each new segment of Radio Bei-
jing approximately every 15 minutes, followed by an inspirational quotation
from the chairman. Artists, working in materials as diverse as oils, plaster, jade,
and rose quartz, produced images of Mao greeting the worshipful masses of the
world, Mao meeting ethnic minority children, and just plain Mao. Hit songs had
titles like “Chairman Mao Is the Red, Red Sun in All Our Hearts” and “Chair-
man Mao Visits Our Village.”
For some people, danger was preferable to boredom. The maker of a clas-
sical bamboo flute adorned his instrument with a protest poem written in Tang
dynasty style; the flute had been exported to the West before the counterrevolu-
tionary act was discovered. Amateur authors produced their own works by hand.
After appropriating paper from their own or someone else’s work unit, they
would secretly write their stories, perhaps by flashlight, huddled under a blan-
ket. This method somewhat limited the length of the work. Sometimes, eight or
more people would share copying duties. The finished manuscripts could then be
quietly passed around among friends. Participants risked severe punishment for
either creating or reading works outside the officially approved topics, but they
were not typical dissidents. Surviving copies of these manuscripts indicate that
favorite topics were love stories, detective and spy thrillers, knight-errant fiction,
and pornography. The values found therein are remarkably similar to those of
popular fiction in the Qing and early republican periods.
When the furor of the Cultural Revolution had died down, cultural life
became slightly more relaxed. Within the Chinese population itself, there were
stirrings of dissent. Protest wall posters began to appear, calling for implemen-
tation of the rights and freedoms guaranteed by the constitution and obliquely
criticizing the party and Mao. Typically, they were tacked up mysteriously in
the dark of night, and signed with pseudonyms such as Golden Monkey and
Li Yizhe. Golden Monkey was apparently never caught, but Li Yizhe, actually an
acronym for parts of the names of each of three students, received long prison
sentences for attempting to exercise their rights.
Certain periodicals served to transmit the viewpoint of specific factions. For
example, the journal Study and Criticism represented the Shanghai-based radical
faction. Literature and journalism now served as vehicles for a power struggle
280 C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control
within the leadership. During the early 1970s, a campaign against Confucian-
ism assumed several confusing forms. Shanghai radicals led by Madame Mao
intended the campaign to be directed against Zhou Enlai, with his plausibly Con-
fucian attributes of pragmatism and desire to bring harmony to a China that
the Cultural Revolution had nearly torn apart. Zhou and his group fought back
with long articles and essays denouncing very different aspects of Confucius in
order to attack Lin Biao’s followers and the Gang of Four. As a case in point, they
praised Confucius’s enemies, the Legalists, for having introduced universal law
and unification—both antithetical to the radical agenda of arbitrary sentencing
and class struggle.
A little later, in 1975, another denunciation campaign began. This one was
directed against The Water Margin, one of Mao’s favorite childhood novels. Like
the campaign against Confucianism, it had Zhou Enlai as its target. By changing
certain details of The Water Margin’s Robin Hood-like plot, the Gang of Four
was pleading that unless the king (Mao) took drastic action immediately, a reac-
tionary and his followers (Zhou Enlai and Deng Xiaoping) would suppress his
revolutionary generals (the Gang of Four) after the king’s death. Ironically, with
a few small modifications, the Gang accurately foretold its own defeat.
her parents’ label. In short, her life has been ruined by political and ideological
power struggles.
The publication of this story encouraged many others to write about their
own family tragedies. Scar literature was acceptable to the new leadership, most
of whom had themselves suffered terribly during the Cultural Revolution. It was
also useful to their desire to repudiate Maoist radicalism. Although scar liter-
ature was well received by the populace, it is unremittingly gloomy and is not
considered very interesting artistically.
It included paintings in a variety of modern Western styles that had earlier been
proscribed: French impressionism, abstractionism, and the nude. The fact that
the exhibition could be held at all attests to the loosening of controls over art at
this time.
Among the show’s offerings were wood sculptures done by a young former
Red Guard named Wang Keping. The most attention-getting was carved in the
fashion of a Buddha wearing a cap with a red star in place of the usual headdress.
Whereas the traditional Buddha has both eyes closed, Wang’s rendition, whose
features bear a remarkable resemblance to Mao Zedong’s, has one eye slightly
open. This is, the sculptor explained, so that he can see who is worshiping him.
The consistent theme of Wang’s work is of arbitrary, unfeeling repression by a
bureaucracy that has lost touch with the people.
In sharp contrast to the tight control of literature and journalism during
the Mao years, small journals and newspapers proliferated. Their contributors
seemed to delight in provoking the leadership. For example, one of the ways the
leadership sought to enhance the PRC’s foreign exchange reserves was to set up
“friendship stores,” which sold certain goods only to foreigners, for hard cur-
rency. Ordinary citizens who attempted to enter such stores were turned away by
guards, often very rudely. How, one journal asked, did this differ from the sign
“no dogs or Chinese allowed” that was allegedly posted at the entrance to a park
in the foreign concession of Shanghai before the revolution?
The journal was ordered to cease publication, and its editor was sent to jail.
This temporarily reduced, but did not halt, the production of objectionable mate-
rial from unauthorized sources. Particularly worrisome to the leadership was
the degree of sympathy which dissidents seemed to enjoy within the party. At a
major speech delivered to 10,000 party cadres at the Great Hall of the People in
January 1980, Deng Xiaoping asked rhetorically why it was that “certain secret
publications” were printed so beautifully. Observing that their authors could
not possibly possess printing plants, Deng concluded that the publications could
only have appeared with the support of party members, many of whom must be
cadres.
Another worrisome development from the leadership’s point of view was
the “unhealthy” intrusion of romance into the new music, films, plays, and nov-
els. Such stories might or might not be accompanied by overtones of political
protest. Regardless, they proved very popular with the average citizen, whose
chief emotional role model for years had been Lei Feng, the young soldier whose
only love was for Chairman Mao (see Chapter 9). The government worried that
too much attention was being paid to romance, and that this misdirection of
energies would distract people from the much more important goal of building
China’s economy. Little could be done to stop this development. Efforts at repres-
sion of domestic production simply enhanced the value of videocassettes—often
pornographic—smuggled in from Hong Kong, or of tapes of love songs from
various countries. The music of a young woman from Taiwan, surnamed Teng
(Deng in pinyin), was so sought after in the PRC that it gave rise to a popular say-
ing: “The day belongs to Deng Xiaoping, but the night belongs to Teng Li-chun.”
C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control 283
Another genre of dubious value from the leadership’s point of view was sci-
ence fiction. In the abstract, this form of literature was valuable, since it promoted
science and technology, which were collectively one of the Four Modernizations.
However, as science fiction was actually written, the implications were frequently
quite different. The description of life on other planets was often consciously
intended to contrast with conditions in China: officials discovered, for example,
a less than subtle story in which a group of aliens emerge from their spaceship
and immediately begin to denounce socialism.
Literature continued to tweak the leadership and to incur its periodic ire. During
the height of Deng Xiaoping’s campaign to rejuvenate the leadership by forcing
elderly party and government officials to resign, a youth newspaper in Shenzhen
was shut down for suggesting that the octogenarian Deng set an example by
doing so himself.
Looming Confrontation
Other authors concentrated on the question of why, more than a century after
beginning efforts to make China the equal of the West, their country was still
internationally weak and economically poor. Their answer was similar to that of
Lu Xun: The defects were to be found in the Chinese character itself. One writer,
advocating that China correct what he believed to be an excess of national
pride, likened the Yellow River—a symbol of China—to a stream of urine.
Another, based in Taiwan but well known in the PRC, wrote a book entitled
The Ugly Chinaman. It complained that, among other things, the Chinese are
too conformist, too loud, too cruel, too crass, and above all, too willing to tol-
erate injustice. Implicitly or explicitly, these critics argued for a greater degree
of Westernization. Their solutions bear a close resemblance to the science and
democracy solutions proposed by their counterparts a century earlier.
The student demonstrations of December 1986 and early 1987 set off just
such a chain reaction for what the government regarded as Western values.
A number of journalists were dismissed, and Liu Binyan, one of the most famous,
was expelled from the CCP along with the outspoken astrophysicist dissident
Fang Lizhi. A Shanghai newspaper, the World Economic Herald, which had been
sympathetic to the students, was nearly shut down. There was another effort to
eradicate illegal publications. Only temporarily daunted, China’s writers and
artists soon returned to heterodox themes. In 1988, a television drama caused
considerable anxiety in official circles. Known abroad as River Elegy, the literal
translation of the Chinese title is “Premature Death of a River.” The river is the
Yellow River, representing Chinese civilization, and the implication is that it died
at an early age. The message of River Elegy is the necessity of the Yellow River
merging with the blue Pacific Ocean, symbolic of the West, and into which the
Yellow River actually does flow. The World Economic Herald continued to be
obliquely critical of officialdom. In January 1989, the paper’s editor compared
his philosophy of journalism to playing ping pong: “If you hit the ball and miss
the end of the table, you lose. If you hit the near end of the table, it’s too easy.
So you want to aim to just nick the end of the table. That’s our policy.”
many Chinese cities that spring. After the demonstrations had been put down,
the expected repression began. In contrast to the spirited denunciations of art-
ists and writers during prior periods of repression, the period that followed the
quelling of the 1989 demonstrations was more akin to slow asphyxiation. The
number of newspapers was reduced, and it was announced that no additional
licenses would be granted. New guidelines were issued for art exhibitions. Film
studios experienced sharp budget cuts. Sister Jiang, a politically correct opera
first produced in the early 1960s but not seen in many years, reopened. The diary
of selfless hero Lei Feng was republished. Stage and screen productions renewed
their attention to Mao Zedong as a subject, and the People’s Liberation Army
prepared to spend $21.3 million—far in excess of the cost of all 150 films made
in China during 1989—to produce a three-part epic, Great Strategic Battles. At
the same time, the latest works of several of the PRC’s most acclaimed directors
were quietly banned.
Party leaders urged everyone to study the lessons of Yan’an, when men were
men and art was politics. A newly appointed leader of the Chinese Writers’ Asso-
ciation compared literature to groceries: In both cases, the government should
encourage what is nutritious and ban what is poisonous. As one cynic observed,
this is precisely the reason why, under socialism, both the best groceries and the
best literature are found in the black market.
There was considerable resistance to the party’s new policies. For exam-
ple, the first part of Great Strategic Battles contains a scene in which it looks
as though the valiant communist troops may be annihilated by KMT forces.
Audiences cheered. On June 4, the first anniversary of the Tiananmen incident,
public security forces were deployed on university campuses to guard against
demonstrations. The students threw small bottles, xiaoping, out of windows to
symbolize their attitudes toward Deng Xiaoping, whose name is written with a
different Chinese character and actually means “small peace.” They also broad-
cast a Western rock hit containing the lyrics “every move you make, every breath
you take, I’ll be watching you.” As the students knew, but the security force
apparently did not, the group that recorded it was called The Police.
Cui Jian, an ethnic Korean and former trumpeter in the Beijing Philhar-
monic, emerged as the nation’s rock superstar. His lyrics are profoundly sub-
versive. For example, the “Official Banquet Song” expresses Cui’s view of the
bureaucracy. In it, a high-ranking cadre describes the different restaurants he
frequents, closing with the lines “anyway, it’s not my money—so eat, drink, and
be merry.” Another number involved Cui tying a red bandanna over his eyes to
symbolize a population that communist propaganda has blinded from reality.
Whether Cui was allowed to continue to perform because he was too famous to
arrest or because the leadership simply paid no attention to his lyrics is a matter
of speculation.
As before, periods of relative freedom alternated with periods of restrictive
policy. However, repression was never as severe as it had been in the Maoist
period. As mentioned previously, the attempt to achieve politically correct art and
journalism which followed the suppression of the Tiananmen demonstrations
286 C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control
met with considerable resistance. When Deng Xiaoping criticized the left during
his 1992 visit to the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone, intellectuals were embold-
ened. For example, a fall 1992 adaptation of theater-of-the-absurd playwright
Friedrich Dürrenmatt’s Romulus the Great satirized Deng and the effect of his
reforms. Set in ancient Rome at the time when the barbarians (the West) were
storming the gates of the capital (Beijing), emperor Romulus (Deng) announces
that he intends to save the empire (communism) by destroying it. The only hope,
he says, is to go into a business partnership with the barbarian tycoons, since
the hard choice is between a catastrophic capitalism and a capital catastro-
phe. A theater-goer commented ruefully that her country had reached the point
where the theater of the absurd seemed a straightforward description of the
PRC’s reality. The play closed briefly, but not because of censorship: The leader-
ship had requested that a special performance be given for them in the Zhong-
nanhai compound where most of them lived.
what they considered the core values of Chinese tradition. Others were concerned
that foreign ideas would erode socialist values. Liberals, whose voices continued
to be heard, countered that neo-traditionalists really knew nothing about the
Chinese tradition or Confucius: they had been educated under a Marxist system
and were simply inventing a past that was useful for their purposes. Liberals
also attempted to refute the neo-leftists: A book called Crossing Swords strongly
asserted the need for continued reforms and criticized the “10,000 Character
Memorial” for opposing the PRC’s interactions with Western capitalist states.
Neo-leftists responded in a manner that would have been highly unlikely during
the Mao era: by suing the authors of Crossing Swords for quoting the memorial
without permission and for allegedly misrepresenting its contents. In short, by
the late 1990s, many different schools of thought contended and were fairly well
tolerated by the leadership.
Although Jiang Zemin’s time in office saw tighter restrictions than under
Deng Xiaoping, people were able to criticize leaders and their policies in private
with little fear of retribution, unlike the Mao years. Academic journals could
also print critical articles as long as they did not confront leading officials too
bluntly. For example, it is usually acceptable to disagree with the effectiveness of
a given policy, but not acceptable to call politburo standing committee members
idiots for foolishly proposing the policy. One technique which authors employ
is to position heterodox thoughts in the center of their articles, wedged between
ideologically correct introductions and conclusions. Academic journals, with
their fairly limited readerships, are not normally carefully scrutinized by official
censors.
By the 1990s, efforts to cleanse the media of tasteless shows that audiences
liked had ceased. Chinese television now has game shows and variety programs
similar to those found in other consumer-oriented societies. Programs which crit-
ics regard as tacky serve to divert popular attention from society’s more serious
problems. There are parallels with the bread-and-circuses techniques used by
Roman emperors. Fantasy novels featuring dragons, treasure hunters, and ghosts
are popular, as are the adventures of Harry Potter. Whereas in 1989 the Chi-
nese government had to make great efforts to erase the internationally known
dissident Wei Jingsheng’s name from the Chinese information environment,
today very few people know who Wei is because their attentions are focused on
Hollywood starlets and the NBA championships. Although this tactic was
almost certainly stumbled upon rather than consciously planned, it has proven
very effective.
Nonetheless, in 1997, more than 10 percent of the PRC’s newspapers, as well
as several hundred journals, were shut down. Party officials explained that the
decision had been taken to avoid redundancy and upgrade quality. The surviving
publications were grouped into media conglomerates or syndicates in order to
maximize publishing efficiency and cut costs. Officials had legitimate concerns
about journalistic ethics: there were documented instances of reporters refusing
to cover stories unless paid by the people or businesses they were to write about.
In one well-publicized case, a favorable story about a company persuaded many
288 C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control
people to invest in it: The company, which had bribed reporters to praise it, was
actually financially weak. When it failed, investors lost hundreds of millions of
dollars. Moreover, some artists really did seem to be pandering to the lowest
standards of their audiences.
Liberals, however, argued that the press and journal cuts fell disproportion-
ately on those who were critical of party and government policies. They point
out that investigative reporting can be hazardous to the health of the investiga-
tors. For example, public security personnel have threatened reporters to make
them surrender a videotape showing police abusing their power. Artists and jour-
nalists are sued for producing critical works. Liberals suspected that the real
motive behind the establishment of media syndicates was to enhance official
control rather than, as stated, to save money and improve journalistic ethics.
Syndicates can operate only print media: they are forbidden to own television or
radio outlets and cannot cross provincial borders. Their establishment reinforces
the hypothesis that post-Mao China is more apt to resemble the communist neo-
traditional model than a civil society.
Those who had hoped that Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping would allow more
tolerance than their predecessors were disappointed. Critics charged that Hu’s
campaign to achieve a harmonious society was an excuse to suppress any infor-
mation that could be construed as implying that society was anything less than
harmonious. Fears that the “color revolutions” in Eastern Europe could spread
to the PRC may have reinforced Hu’s desire to monitor expressions of dissent
more closely. In October 2004, authorities told the media not to report on offi-
cials seizing land from farmers and not to follow up on land-seizure cases they
had been investigating. Since the government had previously pledged to protect
farmers’ land rights, the presumed reason behind banning news on the seizures
was fear that reports would stoke anti-government protests, or even more drastic
action, by the dispossessed. In 2005, the government banned dozens of news-
papers and confiscated almost a million unregistered or improperly registered
publications. A year later, it ordered several art galleries in Beijing to remove a
number of paintings whose themes could be interpreted as political. One of the
objectionable works depicted Mao’s famous swim, save that the Yangtze is blood
red. Another showed Tiananmen Square with tanks visible. The censors also
closed a weekly supplement to China Youth Daily after the newspaper published
a university professor’s article that criticized textbooks for their biased treatment
of historical events. Interestingly, two separate groups of influential individuals,
including retired party and government officials, openly protested. They accused
the Central Propaganda Department of manipulating and controlling the range
of speech and of making itself the sole judge of truth.
New rules introduced in 2007, purportedly aimed at creating a healthy envi-
ronment by banning violence, pornography, and false information, have been
used to restrict access to topics that have nothing to do with these categories.
There are also more subtle forms of coercion that induce people to censor them-
selves. The charges which police bring against those they arrest tend to be vague.
C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control 289
Often, they will say, “you yourself know what you did,” and imply that they
have sufficient evidence to back up their claims. The individual is advised to
confess immediately and beg for lenient treatment. Not knowing what the rules
are, most people choose to err on the side of caution: they self-censor. Chinese
literature expert Perry Link compares the plight of the outspoken to coping with
an anaconda in the chandelier. Although the anaconda rarely stirs, those below
it are aware of its presence and move carefully, since they are unsure about what
actions will cause the snake to strike.
Filmmakers have less to complain about. Now able to obtain independent
funding, they are freer from government restrictions than before, although their
movies may be banned from Chinese theaters. Filmmakers report that it is now
possible to argue with the censors about what portions they want to cut. One
of the PRC’s most famous directors, Zhang Yimou, several of whose films had
been censored and banned, was chosen to orchestrate the lavish ceremonies of
the 2008 Beijing Olympics. Nonetheless, and in direct contravention of prom-
ises made to the International Olympic Committee as a condition of Beijing
being awarded the 2008 games, media censorship was tightened rather than
loosened.
A few authors have also published books that would have been banned a
few years previously. Jiang Rong, whose bestselling novel Wolf Totem is set in
Inner Mongolia, describes his work as a metaphorical critique of the sheep-like
mentality of the Han Chinese. However, Yang Jisheng’s Tombstone cannot be
sold in the PRC: it concerns the still-taboo topic of the famine brought about by
the foolhardy policies of the Great Leap Forward 60 years ago. Ma Jian’s Beijing
Coma, a fictionalized treatment of the pro-democracy movement that was cut
off by the events at Tiananmen Square in 1989, is banned as well. In fall 2008,
there was an eerie echo of Cultural Revolution charges that authors were using
the past to criticize the present. A magazine was censured for a seemingly innoc-
uous article reporting that forensic analysis on the hair of the Guangxu emperor
(see Chapter 3) confirmed long-standing beliefs that he had been poisoned. On
closer scrutiny, the article could also be read allegorically as praise for former
leader Zhao Ziyang. Both Guangxu and Zhao tried to change the system from
within; both were deposed by the real power holders behind them: the former by
Empress Cixi and the latter by Deng Xiaoping.
News, as opposed to variety shows or interviews with or about celebrities,
is carefully monitored. Certain topics, such as criticism of, or speculation about,
China’s leaders, are always off-limits. Attitudes toward other issues may change
according to circumstances. Logging on to their computers each day, journalists
for state television find guidance on how to treat specific issues. The media are
warned not to report on such topics as violent attacks in Chinese schools, on
“incidents” that might occur during important gatherings, and on the risk of a
real estate bubble. Critics refer to these warnings as “directives from the Ministry
of Truth.” According to a professor of journalism, the state news agency produces
three versions of the news. The first, for government officials, is straightforward
290 C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control
and factual. The second, for the public, is a more sanitized account. The third,
targeted at foreign audiences, typically covers events in greater and more factual
detail than the second so as to create the illusion of openness in the Chinese
media.
International rating agencies give low marks to press freedom in the PRC: In
2017, the Paris-based non-governmental organization Reporters Without Borders
rated China 176th among 180 countries in press freedom, with North Korea in
last place and the U.S. in 43rd.
An underground publishing industry manages to exist despite pervasive
censorship, and interested parties can buy many banned books from unlicensed
publishers and retailers. Several newspapers continue the “edge ball” tradition
begun by the World Economic Herald. Those who overstep the invisible line of
the censors have seen personnel dismissed and been reorganized in order to deter
future journalistic activism. But some have re-emerged undaunted, and other
papers and journals have become more active. The editor of one such magazine
compared her technique to that of a woodpecker: to hammer the tree constantly,
with the intent of helping it to grow better rather than to destroy it.
The advent of the internet has been accompanied by the simultaneous growth
of grassroots activism and authoritarianism. Those who blog, twitter, and oth-
erwise use the internet are harder to control than reporters, despite strenuous
efforts to do so. In 2010, internet service provider Google created a sensation
when it announced that it had been the target of a sophisticated attack on its
corporate infrastructure that resulted in the theft of intellectual property as well
as the surveillance of the gmail accounts of Chinese human rights activists. The
company subsequently removed its operations from China. Authorities hope that
more easily controlled domestic internet providers like sina.com and QQ will
fill the gap. Under Xi Jinping’s administration, the government has sought to
become a partner with major internet providers by purchasing shares in them,
thereby giving it a voice in the companies’ decision making.
When rules are tightened, the rationale is given as the need to crack down
on pornography or false advertising, which do indeed exist but could be targeted
more selectively. Party and government find the internet useful as a safety valve
for outraged public opinion, and sometimes as a source of information on mis-
deeds by officials and their children—as long as public anger does not lead to the
dreaded social instability. Some online postings have been extremist and abusive,
verging toward a decidedly uncivil society. A legitimate fear is that such postings
may lead to mob violence. In what has been called a human flesh-eating search
engine, cyber-vigilantes may seek out, and often find, the identities of people
deemed to have committed offensive acts and urge vengeance against them and
even their families.
The authorities have responded in various ways. One is using censors.
Although numerous, they have a difficult job: For example, a children’s group
ostensibly singing about a grass mud horse doing battle with an evil river crab cir-
culated widely before regulators realized that it was actually code for an obscene
act which the horse, written with different characters that are pronounced the
C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control 291
same, commits on the river crab, a homonym for Hu’s harmonious society. Anon-
ymous cartoonists regularly post scathing criticisms on the internet: these are
removed, though often not before thousands of people have seen and remarked
on them. The PRC is considered to be the world’s most advanced country in
internet filtering, much of it carried out using equipment bought from companies
in Western states that pride themselves on freedom of expression.
Although a number of bloggers have been arrested for their comments,
a small number of high-profile individuals seem to be immune despite their
very pointed criticisms. Still, fame is no guarantee against official retaliation.
Outspoken artist Ai Weiwei, creator of Beijing’s celebrated Bird’s Nest stadium,
spent 81 days in prison in 2011, charged with tax evasion and barred from
leaving the country. Supporters threw packets of money over the wall around
his home to help Ai pay what the government said he owed. It is believed
that the proximate cause for his apprehension was the government’s fear that
Ai would encourage the Arab Spring unrest then gripping the Middle East to
spread to China.
Another technique to control the internet involves paying people a small
amount to post messages supportive of party and government policies. Referred
to contemptuously by dissidents as “the 50 cent party,” they are estimated to
number about two million. A third effort is the requirement for real-name regis-
tration. Beginning in 2012, internet users, though able to post with pseudo-names,
must register their real names, as linked to their national identity cards or mobile
phone numbers, with the authorities. The unregistered can view microblogs, but
can neither pass them along nor post for themselves.
Yet another method of control is a 2013 law announcing jail sentences of up
to three years for posting rumors that are shared 500 times or seen 5,000 times.
There is no clear definition of what constitutes a rumor, which may simply be a
story that authorities are displeased with. One can receive jail time for rumors
that are true.
Chinese hackers have devised ways to circumvent internet blockages—
substituting “1” for “i” to access the banned word Tibet, for example, or using
a proxy server in a different country. These prompt countermoves by official-
dom to re-block them by other means. Falun Gong members have, on occa-
sion, succeeded in inserting their own messages onto government websites and
in hijacking satellite signals. It is not clear who will win these cat-and-mouse
games, although officialdom would seem to have the more difficult task. Since
2008, China has had the world’s largest number of netizens. According to a 2016
report, they exceeded 738 million, or more than 53 percent of the population.
Hopes that Xi Jinping’s administration would usher in a more liberal atmo-
sphere received a setback when, soon after assuming office Xi announced the
“seven unmentionables” (see Chapter 6). Shortly thereafter, several university
professors lost their jobs, and restrictions on news media were tightened. Follow-
ing the publication of a compendium of Xi’s thoughts, bookstores throughout
China featured them prominently, often gift-wrapped, and centers for the study
thereof opened at universities. This does not guarantee how faithfully people
292 C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control
will adhere to the new orthodoxy. A government app offering rewards to citi-
zens who report problems ranging from traffic violations to subversive activities
has not been a success. Since people must reveal their locations and identities to
claim their prizes, many are reluctant to do so.
Conclusions
By the 1990s, despite the efforts of party and government to retain control
over literature, the arts, and journalism, China had achieved a degree of cul-
tural pluralism that appears to be irreversible. Critics believe that although
there is more variety and a greater range in these areas now than existed a
decade ago, this does not equate to liberalization. Repressive periods alternate
with periods of greater freedom, although generally speaking restrictions have
tightened progressively since the Tiananmen demonstrations of 1989. Artists
and journalists continue to test the limits of the leadership’s toleration. Pres-
sures for self-censorship indeed deter many would-be critics, but courageous
individuals and publications who wish to make their views known continue
to come forth. A human rights activist describes the current situation as one
of high walls, but with spaces existing within the walls. When, in late 2010,
imprisoned dissident Liu Xiaobo was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, the news
spread almost instantly, as did news of his death in prison in 2017. Although
censorship efforts are not completely successful, the authorities have so far
been able to balance internet growth with what may be called networked
authoritarianism.
Whether increased activism will be able to bring about a fundamental
change in the system, as predicted by the civil society hypothesis, or whether it
will be shaped and co-opted by the system, as proponents of the communist neo-
traditionalist theory predict, remains to be seen. It should be remembered that
not all of the activists are proponents of democracy: Some are advocates of a
return to Maoist or traditional Chinese values; others urge the government to
take a stronger stand internationally.
It is possible that fundamental modifications in the system can be achieved
gradually. Neither party nor government is monolithic, and influential segments
in both are aware that listening to the criticisms of the PRC’s literati and accom-
modating their suggestions are important to the country’s social stability.
Party and government want to use the media to achieve certain goals, such
as unearthing corruption, but do not want to have their own legitimacy under-
mined in the process. Since a great deal of corruption involves party and gov-
ernment officials, this puts participants in a difficult position. In the words of a
popular slogan that may be heard all over China, “If we do not root out corrup-
tion, the country will perish; if we do root out corruption, the party will perish.”
Xi Jinping’s vigorous campaign against corruption has claimed more than a mil-
lion alleged perpetrators, though cynics see it as a tool against his opposition
that has not touched what they believe to be the comparable behavior of his
supporters and their families.
C H A P T E R 1 2 ▸ The Arts, Media, and Social Control 293
294
TABLE 13.1 Population of China According to Ethnic Group in Censuses, 1953–2010
Ethnic Language
Group Family 1953 % 1964 % 1982 % 1990 % 2000 % 2010 %
Han Chinese 547,283,057 93.94 651,296,368 94.22 936,703,824 93.30 1,039,187,548 91.92 1,137,386,112 91.53 1,220,844,520 91.60
Minority
groups 35,320,360 6.06 39,883,909 5.78 67,233,254 6.67 90,570,743 8.01 105,225,173 8.47 111,966,349 8.40
Zhuang Tai-Kadai 6,611,455 1.13 8,386,140 1.21 13,441,900 1.32 15,555,820 1.38 16,178,811 1.28 16,926,381 1.27
Hui Chinese 3,559,350 0.61 4,473,147 0.64 7,207,780 0.71 8,612,001 0.76 9,816,802 0.78 10,586,087 0.79
Manchu Tungusic 2,418,931 0.42 2,695,675 0.39 4,299,950 0.43 9,846,776 0.87 10,682,263 0.84 10,387,958 0.78
Uyghurs Altaic (Turkic) 3,640,125 0.62 3,996,311 0.58 5,917,030 0.59 7,207,024 0.64 8,399,393 0.66 10,069,346 0.76
Miao-Yao/
Hmong-
Miao Mien 2,511,339 0.43 2,782,088 0.40 5,017,260 0.50 7,383,622 0.65 8,940,116 0.71 9,426,007 0.71
Yi Tibeto-Burman 3,254,269 0.56 3,380,960 0.49 5,492,330 0.54 6,578,524 0.58 7,762,286 0.61 8,714,393 0.65
Tujia Tibeto-Burman 284,900 0.03 5,725,049 0.51 8,028,133 0.63 8,353,912 0.63
Tibetans Tibeto-Burman 2,775,622 0.48 2,501,174 0.36 3,821,950 0.38 4,593,072 0.41 5,416,021 0.43 6,282,187 0.47
Mongols (Altaic Mongolic) 1,462,956 0.25 1,965,766 0.28 3,402,200 0.34 4,802,407 0.42 5,813,947 0.46 5,981,840 0.45
Buyei Tai-Kadai 1,247,883 0.21 1,348,055 0.19 2,103,150 0.21 2,548,294 0.22 2,971,460 0.23 2,870,034 0.22
Korean Korean 1,120,405 0.19 1,339,569 0.19 1,783,150 0.18 1,923,361 0.17 1,923,842 0.15 1,830,929 0.14
Tai-Kadai
Dong Miao-Yao/ 1,446,190 0.14 2,508,624 0.22 2,960,293 0.24 2,879,974 0.22
Hmong-
Yao Mien 1,414,870 0.14 2,137,033 0.19 2,637,421 0.21 2,796,003 0.21
(Continued)
TABLE 13.1 Population of China According to Ethnic Group in Censuses, 1953–2010 (Continued)
Ethnic Language
Group Family 1953 % 1964 % 1982 % 1990 % 2000 % 2010 %
Bai Sino-Tibetan 1,147,360 0.11 1,598,052 0.14 1,858,063 0.15 1,933,510 0.15
Tibeto-
Hani Burman 1,063,300 0.11 1,254,800 0.11 1,439,673 0.12 1,660,932 0.12
Kazakh Altaic (Turkic) 878,570 0.09 1,110,758 0.10 1,250,458 0.10 1,462,588 0.11
Li Tai-Kadai 882,030 0.09 1,112,498 0.10 1,247,814 0.10 1,463,064 0.11
Dai Tai-Kadai 864,340 0.09 1,025,402 0.09 1,158,989 0.09 1,261,311 0.09
Miao-Yao/
She Hmong-Mien 379,080 0.04 634,700 0.06 709,592 0.06 708,651 0.05
Tibeto-
Lisu Burman 466,760 0.05 574,589 0.05 634,912 0.05 702,839 0.05
Gelao Tai-Kadai 59,810 0.01 438,192 0.04 579,357 0.05 550,746 0.04
Altaic
Dongxiang (Mongolic) — — 373,669 0.03 513,805 0.04 621,500 0.05
Gaoshan Austronesian 1,750 0.00 2,877 0.00 4,461 0.00 4,009 0.00
Tibeto-
Lahu Burman 320,350 0.03 411,545 0.04 453,705 0.04 485,966 0.04
Sui Tai-Kadai 300,690 0.03 347,116 0.03 406,902 0.03 411,847 0.03
Va Mon-Khmer 271,050 0.03 351,980 0.03 396,610 0.03 429,709 0.03
Tibeto-
Nakhi Burman 248,650 0.02 277,750 0.02 308,839 0.02 326,295 0.02
Tibeto-
Qiang Burman 109,760 0.01 198,303 0.02 306,072 0.02 309,576 0.02
Altaic
Tu (Mongolic) 148,760 0.01 192,568 0.02 241,198 0.02 289,565 0.02
Mulao Tai-Kadai 91,790 0.01 160,648 0.01 207,352 0.02 216,257 0.02
Xibe Tungusic 77,560 0.01 172,932 0.02 188,824 0.02 190,481 0.01
Kyrgyz Altaic (Turkic) 108,790 0.01 143,537 0.01 160,823 0.01 186,708 0.01
Altaic
Daur (Mongolic) –– –– 121,463 0.01 132,143 0.01 131,992 0.01
Jingpo Tibeto-Burman 100,180 0.01 119,276 0.01 132,143 0.01 147,828 0.01
Maonan Tai-Kadai 37,450 0.00 72,370 0.01 107,106 0.01 101,192 0.01
Salar Altaic (Turkic) 68,030 0.01 82,398 0.01 104,503 0.01 130,607 0.01
Blang Mon-Khmer –– –– 87,546 0.01 91,882 0.01 119,639 0.01
Indo-European
Tajik (Iranian) 27,430 0.00 33,223 0.00 41,028 0.00 51,069 0.00
Tibeto-
Achang Burman 31,490 0.00 27,718 0.00 33,936 0.00 39,555 0.00
Tibeto-
Pumi Burman 18,860 0.00 29,721 0.00 33,600 0.00 42,861 0.00
Ewenki Tungusic 19,440 0.00 26,379 0.00 30,505 0.00 30,875 0.00
Tibeto-
Nu Burman 25,980 0.00 27,190 0.00 28,759 0.00 37,523 0.00
Gin
(Vietnamese) Mon-Khmer 12,140 0.00 18,749 0.00 22,517 0.00 28,199 0.00
Tibeto-
Jino Burman 11,260 0.00 18,022 0.00 20,899 0.00 23,143 0.00
De’ang Mon-Khmer –– –– 15,461 0.00 17,935 0.00 20,556 0.00
(Continued)
TABLE 13.1 Population of China According to Ethnic Group in Censuses, 1953–2010 (Continued)
Ethnic Language
Group Family 1953 % 1964 % 1982 % 1990 % 2000 % 2010 %
Altaic
Bonan (Mongolic) 6,620 0.00 11,683 0.00 16,505 0.00 20,074 0.00
Indo-European
Russian (Slavic) 2,830 0.00 13,500 0.00 15,609 0.00 15,393 0.00
Yugur Altaic (Turkic) 7,670 0.00 12,293 0.00 13,719 0.00 14,378 0.00
Uzbek Altaic (Turkic) 13,810 0.00 14,763 0.00 13,370 0.00 10,569 0.00
Tibeto-
Monba Burman 1,040 0.00 7,498 0.00 8,923 0.00 10,561 0.00
Oroqen Tungusic 2,280 0.00 7,004 0.00 8,196 0.00 8,659 0.00
Tibeto-
Derung Burman 4,250 0.00 5,825 0.00 7,426 0.00 6,930 0.00
Chinese Tatars Altaic (Turkic) 7,510 0.00 5,064 0.00 4,890 0.00 3,556 0.00
Hezhen Tungusic 670 0.00 4,254 0.00 4,640 0.00 5,354 0.00
Tibeto-
Lhoba Burman 1,030 0.00 2,322 0.00 2,965 0.00 3,682 0.00
Unrecognized 3,370,880 0.33 3,498 0.00 734,379 0.06 640,101 0.05
Unknown 4,720 0.00 752,347 0.07 735,379 0.06 — —
Foreigners — –– — — 941 0.00 1,448 0.00
Total mainland China 582,603,417 694,581,759 1,008,175,288 1,133,682,501 1,242,612,226 1,332,810,869
Source: Chinese census data, 2010.
299
MAP 13.1 China’s Minority Nationalities
300 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
its minorities as prosperous and contented, they could serve as living proof of
the successes that the Chinese model of socialism would have for non-Han peo-
ples. Conversely, having discontented and rebellious ethnic populations would
be, and continues to be, an embarrassment for the PRC. Ethnically based discon-
tent could also compound China’s strategic problems in that dissident minorities
would be more receptive to subversive influences from foreign powers.
A fifth reason is more recent: tourism. The post-Mao era has included both
an opening to the outside world and ambitious plans for economic development.
Many minorities wear colorful costumes of exquisite workmanship and possess
rich artistic traditions. Some live in areas of breathtaking scenery. Thus, visiting
minority areas has been popular with tourists, and provides a pleasant contrast
with the somewhat drab appearance of many of the PRC’s major cities. It has
become an important source of foreign exchange for the government.
Finally, even though minorities may total only 8.4 percent of the PRC’s pop-
ulation, this amounts to approximately 112 million people. Their numbers thus
exceed the populations of most of the countries in the world, including France,
Germany, and Great Britain. Hence, in spite of being a small part of the total
population of the PRC, what China’s media refer to as “the minorities prob-
lem” has occupied an important place in Chinese policy making. Essentially, the
minorities problem is one of integration: For reasons of defense, economic and
social well-being, and national pride, the Chinese communist elite has attached
considerable importance to, first, assuming jurisdiction over minority peoples
and, second, obtaining their loyalties. This chapter examines the steps taken by
the party and government to achieve integration and attempts to assess the suc-
cess of these efforts.
There are many different methods by which to bring about the assertion of
administrative authority and reorientation of loyalties. These may be conceptu-
alized as a continuum ranging from assimilation at one end to pluralism at the
other. Assimilation involves minorities being absorbed into the dominant group.
In the process, they lose their languages and other distinguishing characteristics,
being, in essence, indistinguishable from the majority group. At the other end
of the spectrum, in a pluralist system, minorities retain their languages as well
as large parts of their culture and traditional ways of behavior. They accept the
administrative authority of the government of the dominant group, and even
participate in it. But they remain distinct from the majority group. Minorities’
policy in post-1949 China has vacillated between an emphasis on pluralism and
an emphasis on forced assimilation. During Mao’s lifetime, these shifts were sud-
den and violent; in the Deng era and thereafter, there have been moves toward
greater and lesser restrictions on the exercise of minorities’ freedoms, with an
underlying acceptance of a degree of pluralism, albeit with the end goal of their
being firmly under party and government control.
Past Chinese governments have tried each of these extremes. Although there
were wide variations over the long course of Chinese history, and even several
non-Han dynasties, the dominant pattern in traditional China was pluralistic. It
was also quite condescending. The Ming dynasty philosopher-statesman Wang
C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration 301
their problems were; conversely, possessing such knowledge would allow the
party to approach them with suggestions for solutions.
The people who were best equipped to enlighten the party’s representatives,
or cadres, and who could also be most influential in winning the trust of the
minorities’ masses for the party, were typically the pre-1949 leadership elite of
the minorities. Particularly in the case of the smaller and more primitive minority
groups, headmen were the interpreters of the outside world to their constituen-
cies and sometimes the only ones of their group who could speak Chinese. To
approach the “exploited masses” directly, as the party had done in Han areas,
was more apt to cause confusion and rejection than to achieve the desired results.
The fact that the party needed to work with traditional pre-1949 elites was also
conducive to a policy of tolerance and accommodation of differences.
Hence, the Chinese communists fashioned a minorities policy that resembled
a pluralistic model of integration. Many of its elements were borrowed from
the Soviet Union; a number of Soviet ethnologists served as advisers to the Chi-
nese and assisted in research and data collection in minority areas. However, the
PRC’s situation differed from that of the USSR in some important ways: Nearly
half of the USSR’s population was non-Russian, and a much higher proportion
of the USSR’s minorities were educated and economically developed to a level
equal to, or higher than, that of Russians.
In accordance with Soviet doctrine, minorities were given so-called auton-
omous areas. Depending on the concentrations of minority populations
involved, these areas could be created at province, prefecture, county, or town-
ship level. The areas provided certain accommodations for the customs of the
host nationality and preferential treatment for them in the selection of official
positions. Minorities received the right to use their own languages, both spoken
and written. In the case of those minorities who did not have a written lan-
guage, the party promised to help them to devise one. Minorities were guaran-
teed the right to keep their traditional costumes and customs so long as these
did not interfere with production. In the majority of cases, they could even
keep their traditional leaders, so long as those leaders did not actively oppose
socialism. This policy fitted well with the idea of a united front of cooperation
with “patriotic” bourgeois upper strata in general, which was prevalent in the
early days of the PRC.
The party organization most closely connected with minorities work was,
and remains, the United Front Work Department (UFWD) of the party central
committee. Originally set up in Yan’an in 1944, the UFWD has been responsible
for shaping the broad outlines of policy in minority areas in accordance with the
party line. It is also in charge of other aspects of united front work concerned
with the implementation of the People’s Democratic Dictatorship, which Mao
had deemed appropriate for China in this transition period from “new democ-
racy” to socialism. The UFWDs also exist as sections of the party apparatus on
the provincial level. At lower levels where no UFWD exists, the Rural Work
Department of the local party organization may fill the task of political guidance
for minorities.
C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration 303
At the central government level, broad guidelines from the UFWD are sent
to the Nationalities Affairs Commission (NAC) of the State Council, which has
the responsibility for implementing them. Major pronouncements on minorities’
affairs are drawn up by the commission, and then approved and promulgated by
the State Council. The NAC is then charged with implementing them. Despite
its subordination to the UFWD, the NAC, meeting every day and functioning
as a regular ministry, has considerable powers. NACs also exist at provincial,
prefectural, and county levels in areas with substantial minority populations
(Figure 13.1). Where minority populations are not large and their problems are
deemed uncomplicated, they may be handled by a department of civil affairs at
the relevant level, with an office or a particular cadre designated as responsible.
The National People’s Congress (NPC) has a nationalities’ committee. Com-
prising all ethnic minority delegates to the NPC, it has no real power, being
confined to discussion and approval of measures decided upon elsewhere. How-
ever, delegates’ speeches may include important information about problems in
minority areas, even though the delegates themselves have little ability to effect
solutions. In addition, the members’ selection as NPC delegates provides an
index of the party’s assessment of their prestige in their own respective areas.
Minorities were initially given assurances that socialist reforms would not
be introduced until the minority masses wanted them. In addition, they received
exceptions from certain other rules imposed upon the Han. For example, ani-
mals killed in connection with a ritual sacrifice were exempt from the slaughter
tax. Muslim minorities, whose customs included polygamy, and Tibetans, whose
culture encouraged multiple husbands, were allowed to continue these practices.
Where early marriage was a tradition, it could remain. The Yi could even con-
tinue to own slaves.
Meanwhile, the party made various efforts to speed up the transition period
into socialism and the homogenization of proletarian culture. A network of
nationalities’ institutes was established in order to educate minorities, and some
Han Chinese, to carry out the party’s work in minority areas. They were trained
as teachers, administrative cadres, veterinarians, and entertainers. All courses of
study, even entertainment, carried a pro-communist message.
Research teams, which included anthropologists and linguistics experts,
among others, were sent out to live with the minorities and learn their languages
and customs. Health teams also visited minority areas, as did work teams, which
were generally staffed by People’s Liberation Army (PLA) members. These vis-
its had propaganda motives in addition to their overt functions. Doctors and
paramedics dispensed pills and salves as gifts from the CCP and Chairman
Mao; work teams dug irrigation ditches and reclaimed wasteland with the same
message. They focused on unity and patriotism. The teams also tried to build a
positive image of the party and socialism. They did not emphasize ideology or
sweeping social or economic reforms.
Pleased with the results of these early efforts at social mobilization, the party
moved on to the next step: setting up so-called people’s governments in minority
areas. These were established at different times in different minority areas during
304 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
the early 1950s, consonant with the party’s estimate of the receptivity of the tar-
get group. Such governments generally included a fair sprinkling of traditional
minorities’ leaders. In Tibetan and Mongolian areas, lamas were included; in the
southwest, tribal heads participated.
C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration 305
Also included were as many minority group activists as the party had been
able to train. Some of these actually were from the stratum of society that the
party considered exploited: children of serfs or slaves who were bright, person-
able, and quick to absorb the party’s message. Quite a few others, however, were
scions of the traditional elite, for whom cooperation seemed the best way to
ensure their survival. For example, the numerous offspring of the Tibetan noble-
man and arch collaborator Ngapo Ngawang Jigme were trained at the Central
Nationalities Institute in Beijing and given various positions of responsibility
when they graduated. Han Chinese administrators constituted a third group in
the memberships of the new people’s governments. Nearly always party mem-
bers and sometimes PLA members as well, they were the decisive elements of
decision making, whether or not they held the top positions.
Including the more cooperative and prestigious members of the traditional
minority elite in the new people’s governments gave the party a way to allow
traditional governmental structures to wither out of existence without actually
abolishing them. Many of the traditional leaders themselves, and their prestige,
remained intact. The party’s motive seems to have been to maintain traditional
symbols of power, thereby minimizing their resistance to change while gradually
modifying the power structure they had represented. Another attempt at symbol
manipulation was the granting of the title bator, a Mongolian word meaning
hero. It had been used by Uyghurs and Kazakhs as well as Mongols to honor
outstanding individuals among them, usually for valor on the battlefield. Hence-
forth, it was to be given to heroes of socialist labor.
Certain other gestures were made to accommodate minority sensitivities. For
example, the names of many minority groups had been rendered into Chinese
using characters containing the dog radical, the obvious intent being to dispar-
age the humanness of the particular group. Other groups were called not by the
name they commonly called themselves but by a pejorative term, such as Lolo
for the group that knew itself as Yi. The party ordered an end to such prac-
tices although, of course, changing long-standing attitudes was a more difficult
task. Offensive place names were also changed; these had typically been given to
commemorate Han conquests of so-called barbarian areas or the suppression of
rebellion therein. For example, Dihua, the capital of Xinjiang, was changed to its
Uyghur name, Urumqi.
The goal of introducing socialist reforms had not been forgotten; it was sim-
ply postponed until after the preliminary work had been done. Land reform in
minority areas began only around 1952/1953, by which time it had been almost
completed in Han Chinese areas. Research efforts helped decide whether an
area’s level of development was suitable for the introduction of reforms. Target
areas were chosen as test cases, with reforms generalized to surrounding loca-
tions only after they had been judged successful in the target area. The result was
a relatively flexible reform process that was responsive not only to differences
between one minority group and another but also to differences within minority
groups. For example, Mongols whose main occupation was fixed agriculture,
termed “sedentary Mongols,” were judged ready for reforms, while Mongols
306 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
who were nomadic herdsmen, termed “pastoral Mongols,” were not. The Yi of
Yunnan were ordered to emancipate their slaves, whereas the Yi of Sichuan, who
were found to be “less culturally advanced”—meaning less sinicized—were not.
Tibetan areas east of the Jinsha River underwent land reform in 1954, whereas
land reform was not attempted west of the Jinsha.
In 1956, there was a speed-up in agricultural collectivization in minority
areas similar to that which had occurred in Han areas in mid-1955. But it, too,
was based on an assessment of what a given minority would be receptive to:
minorities who had already undergone land reform were moved up to mutual
aid teams, those already at the stage of mutual aid teams were raised to lower
level cooperatives, and so forth. In other words, the 1956 collectivization effort
did not remove the differences between Han and non-Han areas; it simply raised
them to a loftier level in the hierarchy of socialism.
Dissatisfaction with this flexible system began to grow when, in 1956 and
1957, as part of a routine investigation of minorities’ work and also in connection
with the Hundred Flowers campaign (see Chapter 4), ethnic minorities were asked
to express their opinions about party and government. What they said proved
shocking. Some wanted to secede from China. Others said that they thought the
party’s policies amounted to thinly disguised plans for assimilation. A third group
pointed out that the party was violating its own promise to allow dispensations
from certain policies that ran counter to minorities’ special characteristics. Col-
lectivization and socialism in general, they argued, were incompatible with their
customs and religions. The party’s policy of autonomy was denounced as a sham,
“as useful as ears on a basket,” since, in actuality, they had no rights. Moreover,
critics expressed the attitude that minorities who had joined the party or become
cadres were traitors to their fellow ethnics, “jackals serving the Han.”
The party responded much as it had to the Han Chinese who had been overly
frank during the Hundred Flowers campaign. Some efforts were made to deal
with certain grievances that minorities critics had raised: For example, where
there were complaints of arrogance on the part of Han cadres, or where it could
be shown that the language of the minority had been suppressed, there were
attempts at redress. However, just as in Han areas, an anti-rightist campaign
was carried out in minority areas. There, its main target was “local nationalism,”
which was equated with antisocialism. The chief victims were certain traditional
leaders whom the party viewed as stumbling blocks on the road to the reforms
that the party wanted to introduce in minority areas. A number of traditional
leaders were replaced by young minority activists whom the party had trained.
Nonetheless, the campaign against local nationalism was far from a thoroughgo-
ing purge. The united front continued in both theory and practice.
would end in the atrophy of those special characteristics. This reassessment fed
into a general mood of impatience with the pace of China’s progress in other
spheres as well, culminating in the massive social and economic upheaval of
the Great Leap Forward. The Leap’s goals of increasing production, simplifying
administration, eliminating bureaucratism and red tape, and achieving pure com-
munism seemed ill served by the congeries of special arrangements the party had
made in minority areas. The existence of a number of different levels of collec-
tivization, the issues of the timing of the introduction of reforms, the policies of
cooperation with the traditional upper strata, respect for special characteristics,
and encouragement of local languages were now seen as standing squarely in the
way of progress.
Hence, in 1958 and 1959, areas that had widely different levels of socialist
reforms were hurriedly organized into communes. Often, several different nation-
alities, including some that had very different economic levels and cultures, were
combined in these communes. The mere mention of “special characteristics” was
dangerous: it was regarded as equivalent to opposing socialism. Likewise, the
policy of tolerating, and even encouraging, minorities’ languages changed, and
a hitherto unnoticed high tide of enthusiasm for studying the Chinese language
was suddenly discovered.
All kinds of customs the party had tolerated became regarded as “decadent.”
What had been promised, the media pointed out, was that customs not detrimen-
tal to production could be kept. Festival days were now deemed detrimental to
production, since people did no work on those days. So also was the ritual killing
of animals, because it reduced the food supply. Traditional turbans were coun-
terproductive: They were a waste of cloth. Moreover, many turbans were very
heavy and apt to cause headaches for wearers who were engaged in hard phys-
ical labor. A cloth cap or straw sun hat was superior. Colorful sashes were also
declared counterproductive. Like turbans, they wasted material. Many sashes
were intricately embroidered, a process that wasted time that could have been
spent in producing more necessary items. In addition, wearing sashes prevented
one from bending over freely while working in the fields. A belt would keep one’s
trousers on just as well, at less cost and greater convenience.
Research projects into minorities’ languages, history, and cultures were
terminated. Castigated as “bourgeois scientific objectivism,” they, too, were
considered a waste of time and money that could better be devoted to increas-
ing production levels. For example, a dictionary compilation project that had
amassed 50,000 words was ridiculed, since a few hundred words, mostly relating
to production, were all that were really needed. In their zeal to raise production,
officials also took land that had been promised to herders for pasture and reclas-
sified it as crop land. The people thus affected were reported to be very pleased
with the changes. Even the Hui, who are Muslims, were said to be enthusiastic
about joining communal mess halls, despite the fact that dishes containing pork
were served there.
The Great Leap Forward produced a fiasco in minority areas, just as it had
in Han China, but with one crucial difference: ethnic minorities, unlike Han,
308 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
protection of the much more powerful Soviet Union and, moreover, had evinced
no interest whatsoever in reuniting with its fellow Mongols in China, it is diffi-
cult to see how even the most imaginative plotter could have intended to proceed.
Radical assimilationists aided by Red Guards used an earlier statement of
Mao on the minorities problem—“The nationalities problem is in essence a
class problem”—as their rallying cry and interpreted it in the most extreme way
possible. Since nationalities’ problems were class problems, they reasoned, and
since class differences were to be abolished, nationality differences must also
disappear. Consonant with this logic, Red Guards attacked the “four olds” in
minority areas. They called for an end to the united front, which they regarded
as “class capitulationism,” and demanded that concessions to minorities’ special
characteristics be terminated. Class struggle, they argued, must be introduced
into minority areas; autonomous areas themselves should be abolished.
Radical assimilationists had some successes during the Cultural Revolution.
For example, communes were begun in the TAR where they had never existed
before, and were re-imposed in other minority areas where they had been dis-
banded. Many of those to whom the radicals referred as “entrenched power
holders” in minority areas were removed from office. But the net result of the
Cultural Revolution fell far short of radicals’ hopes. Quite a few of the old guard
in minority areas, including nobles, headmen, and respected religious leaders
known as Living Buddhas, were retained. Some of the minorities’ special charac-
teristics also remained, and the autonomous areas were never abolished. Mem-
bers of minority groups continued to be identified as such in the press.
Part of this failure to achieve assimilationist goals was the fear that push-
ing minorities too hard would jeopardize border defense. Another was simply
that the goal was essentially unrealizable. In areas where radical supervision was
strong, ethnic feelings went underground. For example, Xinhua news agency
proudly reported that in Lhasa, the capital of Tibet, pictures of Mao Zedong
had replaced pictures of the Dalai Lama in local homes. However, Mao had not
replaced the Dalai Lama in the residents’ esteem. As soon as the pressure was
off, Mao’s picture came off the walls and the Dalai Lama’s went back up. Where
radical supervision was sporadic or nonexistent—which was often the case, since
a number of minorities lived in remote, not easily accessible areas—the changes
that were ordered could be, and were, ignored.
From 1968 through mid-1971, however, minorities were a low-key presence
in the PRC. On the fairly rare occasions when they were mentioned at all by
the mass media, they were treated as Han by any other name. Individuals with
noticeably non-Han names were regularly included among the chorus of praise
for the party line of the moment. For any problems of livelihood and production,
studying the works of Mao was the recommended solution.
Lin Biao, heretofore regarded as Mao Zedong’s heir apparent, and key members
of his Fourth Field Army. From May to November 1971, several regional broad-
casting stations resumed the programming in minority languages that had ceased
in 1966/1967. In addition, the media began to encourage people, both minorities
and Han, to study minorities’ languages.
Books in minorities’ languages began to be printed again. Party propaganda
boasted that they sold for less than the same book in Han Chinese, because the
party subsidized the costs. The party also took credit for saving the Mongo-
lian language from dying out. This was ironic in view of the Inner Mongolian
party secretary having been purged during the Cultural Revolution for, among
other crimes, urging people to study Mongolian. Ulanhu was soon rehabilitated
and cleared of all charges, including, presumably, his plans to make himself
emperor. The media announced that the government was making special con-
sumer goods available to the minorities, and restrictions were eased on religious
practices.
There were some problems with minorities during this period. For exam-
ple, in 1975, a directive that forced people to work on Fridays was issued. This
being the Muslim holy day, riots among Muslims were reported from Xinjiang to
Yunnan. Frictions continued to exist between various minorities and Han, occa-
sionally escalating into violence triggered by some essentially minor incident.
But basically, the years after mid-1971 saw a return to pluralistic policies, and
minority–Han relations began to improve.
reduce tensions between Han and non-Han, minorities were exempted to various
degrees from the one-child policy imposed upon the Han. Their children also
enjoyed easier access to higher education.
Efforts were made to deal with these problems. Hu Yaobang made an inspec-
tion visit to Yunnan and Tibet to try to soothe problems. Tibetans were again
allowed to cultivate the barley they preferred; state subsidies were increased.
Tibet was also exempted from certain taxes. Border minorities in general were
encouraged to develop their economies through trade with neighboring coun-
tries. Hence, Tibetans began to trade with Nepal and India; Yunnan minorities
with Laos, Burma, and Thailand; Xinjiang minorities with the then-Soviet Union;
and Inner Mongolians with the Mongolian People’s Republic and the former
USSR. Tourism to minority areas began to be encouraged. The government also
announced that it would welcome foreign investment in minority areas. Although
the investment potential was not as great as in coastal areas, the government
hoped that foreigners would invest for essentially noneconomic reasons. For
example, wealthy Saudis or Malaysians might wish to aid their co-religionists
in China.
Well meant as these efforts were, they had serious side effects. Borders
became more porous. Calls for increased trade, tourism, and foreign investment
in minority areas coincided with an upsurge of fundamentalist sentiments in the
Islamic world. Potential Muslim investors were interested in how their fellow
Muslims were treated, and often asked to tour mosques and religious schools.
Spies could pose as businesspeople or tourists. Given that few Han administra-
tors in minority areas had learned the local languages, foreign visitors could
often converse freely with minorities while their guides remained oblivious to
what was being said. Subversive materials, weapons, and explosives could be
smuggled in, and letters and tapes alleging or documenting atrocities smuggled
out. Yunnan’s border trade included an upsurge of traffic in the Golden Trian-
gle’s most famous export product: opium.
Dai minorities were impressed with the affluent lifestyles of their fellow Thai
who came as tourists to Yunnan. The cultural and economic lure of Bangkok was
apparently strong enough that when Thailand’s state airline suggested opening
a direct route from Chiang Mai to Jinghong, the capital of the Xishuangbanna
Dai Autonomous Prefecture, Beijing initially refused. Visitors from the Repub-
lic of Korea (ROK) similarly impressed their fellow Koreans in the PRC. Until
the authorities began to keep close watch on them, Chinese Korean “tourists”
simply disappeared after checking into their Seoul hotel rooms, and sought jobs
in the vibrant South Korean economy. Chinese Koreans tried to enter the ROK
on undocumented boats as well. The ROK police also discovered a thriving
marriage-of-convenience market involving elderly ROK males and young Chi-
nese Korean women.
In addition, there were complaints that the policies devised to develop the
economies of minority areas primarily benefited the Han residents thereof. This
was an especially sore point in Tibet, where the aforementioned tax exemptions
resulted in a flood of Han migrants into the TAR in order to take advantage of
them. Most of the peddlers in the tourist areas of Lhasa were Han from Sichuan.
Western guests at the Lhasa Holiday Inn who spoke Tibetan to waitresses wear-
ing traditional Tibetan clothing discovered that the young women were likewise
314 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
External Factors
As for the effects of tourism, while some members of minorities profited from
the presence of the outsiders and welcomed them, others believed that the cen-
tral government was exploiting them on behalf of its desire for more foreign
exchange. In effect, minorities are being exoticized in pursuit of profit. There are
also complaints that the government is perverting and trivializing their culture.
Many of the handicrafts marketed as minority-made are not authentic in style
and not made by minorities. So-called “minority villages,” in which foreign vis-
itors are shown how several different minority groups live, strike outsiders as
more like human zoos than authentic representations of minority life.
Western views of minorities were also influenced by the increased concern
with human rights that began in the 1980s. Tibet, in particular, captured the
imagination of large numbers of people. Buddhism became the fastest-growing
religion in the West, and adherents to its Tibetan variant spanned a range that
included eminent scholars and prominent entertainers. Hollywood produced
several films sympathetic to the Tibetan cause, and a U.S. congressman slipped
into Tibet disguised as a tourist, later charging that the local culture was being
systematically destroyed. Some genuine tourists readily complied with Tibetans’
requests to send in pictures of the Dalai Lama—possession of which is intermit-
tently banned by the Chinese government—and to take out documents detailing
abuses.
These difficulties were compounded by the disintegration of the Soviet empire
and the rise of Islamic fundamentalism. States governed by ethnic groups with
kin in China, several of them predominantly Muslim, appeared on the PRC’s bor-
ders. The Mongolian People’s Republic, whose government had discouraged any
“greater Mongolia” sentiments, was replaced by a noncommunist republic that
found it more difficult to repress such feelings. Adherence to Tibetan Buddhism,
which had been the religion of most Mongols before communism, revived. This
was accompanied by an upsurge of interest in studying the Tibetan language.
Despite Chinese protests, the Dalai Lama was invited to Mongolia and warmly
received.
Repression Increases
The years 1988 through 1990, while these events were unfolding externally, were
particularly difficult for Beijing’s relations with its most restive minorities. In
June 1988, the Dalai Lama addressed the European Parliament in Strasbourg.
There, he offered Beijing a compromise under which the PRC would have respon-
sibility for Tibet’s foreign policy, while the TAR would have a popularly elected
legislature and its own legal system. Beijing rejected the proposal, lashing out at
the European community for hosting the Dalai Lama and at the Dalai Lama for
internationalizing what it saw as a domestic issue.
At this point, the central government decided to add the stick of increased
repression to the carrot of its post-1979 policy of economic development as
316 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
a solution to its minorities problem. Police and military forces in the TAR
were augmented with personnel sent in from outside the region. Monasteries
were searched, and persons believed to be sympathetic to the Dalai Lama were
arrested. Antigovernment demonstrations took place in December 1988. In Jan-
uary 1989, the normally placatory Panchen Lama stated publicly that although
there had been progress in Tibet since the communists arrived, it had exacted
too high a price. Four days later, the heretofore healthy 51-year-old was reported
to have died of a heart attack. Many assumed he had been killed for speaking
out, and there were more protests. Martial law was declared in Lhasa in the
spring, and continued for more than a year. During this time, the Dalai Lama
was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, indicating that the Tibet issue had indeed
been internationalized.
Also in the spring of 1989, Uyghurs and Kazakhs attacked communist party
headquarters in Urumqi with rocks and steel bars. The publication in Shanghai
of a book containing defamatory statements about Islam was the proximate
cause of the protest, though other ongoing grievances were expressed as well.
At the same time, Chinese Muslims (Hui) were causing problems in neighboring
Gansu and Qinghai provinces over other Islam-related issues. Their activities
included attacks on rail lines, causing several suspensions in service. A govern-
ment investigation produced evidence of collusion among Muslim groups in
different provinces, as well as foreign support for their activities. Han settlers
who had been moved into Xinjiang’s border with the former Soviet Union to
provide a buffer against movements of minorities back and forth provided a
further irritant in that area. Major protests occurred in Inner Mongolia as well,
probably influenced by the growth of anticommunist sentiment in neighboring
Mongolia.
Following the Tiananmen disturbances and the fall of the Soviet Union, there
were sharp crackdowns in all these areas. Inner Mongolia’s leadership group was
reorganized. Teams investigated monasteries in Tibetan areas as well as mosques
and religious schools in Islamic enclaves. There were many arrests, some for
matters that might have been considered relatively trivial a few years before. For
example, members of two organizations to promote research into Mongolian
culture, both of which had tried to register themselves legally with the govern-
ment, were accused of subversive and splittist intentions.
A “strike hard” campaign against crime that began in the mid-1990s was
used in minority areas to target separatism. Human rights advocates charged that
the government was equating any expression of disagreement with government
policies, no matter how innocuous, with separatism, and using the campaign
to make arrests accordingly. Repression in Xinjiang became still more severe
after the September 11, 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon.
PRC sources claimed that over 1,000 Taliban-trained Uyghurs had infiltrated
Muslim communities in China to disseminate fundamentalism and terrorist pro-
paganda. Foreign experts placed their numbers from four to thirteen, some of
whom were from the Uyghur exile community in Pakistan who had left Xinjiang
in the 1930s.
C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration 317
Official propaganda stresses that the problems are caused by a small handful
of malcontents who are deceiving others. Most people are happy and appreciate
the many benefits which party and government have brought to their previously
“backward” areas. Han and minorities are interdependent, part of the same fam-
ily of the PRC; each must help the other for the good of the country as a whole.
Although the central government does extract resources from minority areas, it
pays a fair price for these materials. Moreover, it also subsidizes the economies
of many minority areas to a significant degree and fosters the development of
their cultures.
There are differences of opinion between party and government on the one
hand and certain members of minorities on the other about what constitutes
fostering the development of minority languages, cultures, and traditions—
which party and government publicly favor—and what constitutes undermin-
ing the unity of the state and engaging in splittist activities. Most parties to
these disputes understand that languages and cultures are not frozen in time
but rather adapt to changing circumstances and changing perceptions of what
is appropriate. The point at issue is that the central leadership reserves for
itself the right to determine these changes. In actual practice, cultural devel-
opment carried out by party and government on behalf of minorities seems to
be acceptable, whereas cultural development carried out by minorities on their
own behalf is not. Ethnic minority culture under the direct control of party and
government is celebrated; all other manifestations thereof are regarded with
utmost suspicion.
The issue of control is starkly evident in party/government attitudes toward
local efforts to deal with alcoholism, heroin, and the HIV/AIDS problem that
accompanies drug use. In 1997, Uyghur students in Ili, one of Xinjiang’s more
secular areas, organized a campaign to persuade people to limit their consump-
tion of liquor, and stores to limit sales to those with drinking problems. The
government, assuming that fundamentalist Islam, which prohibits drinking
alcohol, was behind the campaign, clamped down on the organizers. An esti-
mated 5,000 students demonstrated against this, with an estimated 300 Uyghurs
killed when police moved against the demonstrators. During the previous year,
Rebiya Kadeer, a successful Uyghur businesswoman, was arrested for subversive
activities. She had campaigned for women’s rights and AIDS education, and
against heroin use. Rebiya was released from prison in 2005, but only after a
major international campaign for her release. Subsequently, two of her children
were convicted of tax evasion, and a third was charged with “attempting to
split the state.” Now living in the United States, Rebiya has found it difficult to
travel, since the Chinese government warns other countries against allowing her
to enter.
In contrast to the marked shifts between pluralist and assimilationist pol-
icies that characterized the early years of the PRC, a model has evolved that
is pluralist in form but assimilationist in function. For example, as plans for a
conference on Tibetan literature were being finalized in Beijing and the party
was taking credit for rescuing lamaist ritual dances from extinction, one of the
318 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
religion must not intrude, included education, family planning, burial arrange-
ments, and the legal system.
The central leadership sought as well to enlist the cooperation of border
states in curbing dissident activities. This was one motive behind the founding of
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, whose first meeting, in April 1996, was
hosted by Jiang Zemin. Members have pledged mutual support against national
separatism and religious extremists. Burma has complied with Chinese demands
to return Uyghurs to the PRC, and the Nepalese government has turned over
Tibetans, although its border guards can often be evaded or bribed. In 2007,
Chinese border guards fired on an unarmed group of would-be refugees, at least
one of whom died. The incident was filmed by Western mountain climbers, thus
disproving the government’s version of what had happened.
As government repression increases, dissident forces develop countermea-
sures. For example, one government effort involved sending work teams into
rural areas, where they were instructed to set up “joint-defense” teams to ensure
public security. The teams were to apprehend not only dissidents but also those
who harbored suspects; both would be punished. Dissidents struck back by
assassinating not only those who joined the teams but also their family members.
Even religious leaders who appeared to tolerate government supervision were
targets of assassination, as were their family members.
Party and government expressed concern that lower levels were simply indif-
ferent to their wishes. There were repeated complaints that primary organiza-
tions showed “weak political sensitivity” and had “not exerted themselves in
the struggle against national separatism and illegal religious activities.” Worse,
some officials actively sided with the dissidents. Contrary to the policy that party
members should be atheists, they openly practiced their religious beliefs. Tibetan
officials maintained lavish shrines in their homes and kept pictures of the Dalai
Lama in plain view. A number of cadres whose children attended schools in India
run by the Dalai Lama refused a party directive to bring them back.
Officials in Muslim areas proved similarly recalcitrant. In mid-1996, the
Xinjiang regional party committee called for:
[S]ternly dealing with party members and cadres, especially leading cadres,
who continue to be devout religious believers despite repeated education; instill
separatist ideas and religious doctrines into young people’s minds; publish
distorted history; [issue] books or magazines advocating separatism and illegal
religious ideas; or make audio or video products propagating such ideas.
Dalai Lama has often indicated that this would be sufficient for him to return
to Tibet, and several Inner Mongolian dissidents have said so as well. Noting
that repressive policies which do not address the underlying causes of hostil-
ities will simply breed more hostility, a Han who is sympathetic to minorities
has compared the central government’s situation to chair acrobatics, wherein
chairs are piled progressively one on top of another while the acrobats twirl ever
more precariously as each new layer is added. Sooner or later, the tower will fall.
Although he advocates not independence but simply granting true autonomy to
autonomous areas, he has had to go into hiding periodically.
A Uyghur professor who is also a party member makes similar arguments:
phasing out minority languages when the law says they are to be encouraged
is not only illegal, it is counterproductive. There is also a glaring contradiction
between the CCP’s stated goal of bringing enlightenment to minorities and shut-
ting down their internet access. He has been arrested several times.
A law on regional autonomy was enacted in 1984 as part of Deng Xiaoping’s
reforms. When discussions on it began in 1979, there were immediate complaints
from party members that “some communist party members hardly sound like
Marxists on the question of minority nationalities.” The law required that the
administrative head of an autonomous region be a citizen of the nationality or
nationalities exercising regional autonomy in the area, and gave autonomous
areas the power to administer local finances. However, it said nothing about
appointing ethnic minorities to leadership positions in the party hierarchy, which
is far more powerful. In addition, since the economies of many minority areas
depend on state subsidies, which come under the purview of the State Council,
there are limits on how financially autonomous they can be.
Three years after the law was passed, there were complaints that Han chau-
vinism was blocking its implementation and that leaders were unwilling to actu-
ally grant autonomy. Minorities worried that their areas could be overrun by
Han migrants whom they had no power to keep out. The lack of implemen-
tation of the autonomy law, or its partial implementation, was termed “quite
serious;” with “some leading cadres” accused of never even having read it. Only
a more liberal and better enforced autonomy law could hope to blunt separatist
demands.
The national autonomy law was revised in 2001 in order to bring it into
line with the campaign to develop the west: Officials described it as providing
higher levels of support for minority regions in terms of policy, infrastructure,
and finance than its predecessor. Critics, noting that the revisions enhanced the
central government’s involvement in all these areas, charged that the develop-
ment program is based on the wider needs of the Chinese market rather than on
local needs or interests. They questioned whether development that is against the
wishes of the local population should be considered development.
Adding to these grievances, long-standing plans to write more explicit guide-
lines on the practice of autonomy into law were postponed as unrest increased
in some minority areas. As of 2018 there had been little devolution of author-
ity to the autonomous region level. Even legislation on autonomous regions’
C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration 323
they are the majority by perhaps 7:1. The trend has been to move in more Han to
preserve stability and aid in economic development. Minorities have complained
that such practices amount to “ethnic swamping,” in which Han are resettled in
their areas to dilute the voice of minorities. Critics also believe that Hu Jintao’s
quest for a harmonious society was, like the campaign against terrorism, a pre-
text to suppress requests for true autonomy.
Conclusions
At present, it does not seem likely that the central government intends to deviate
from its current policy of encouraging economic development while suppressing
expressions of dissent in ethnic minority areas. Tensions appear to cluster around
three interrelated factors: first, minorities’ limited and ineffectual participation
in the power structure of the PRC; second, inequitable and discriminatory devel-
opment; and third, inadequate protection of cultural identity. The gap between
C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration 325
income levels in minority areas and Han China, particularly coastal Han China,
continues to grow. Although economic growth reports from Tibet and Xinjiang
are higher, these are the results of massive infusions of capital from outside.
There is consensus that few of the minorities who live there have benefited from
the preferential policies.
Discrimination is an acknowledged fact. For many minorities, religion is an
integral part of their ethnic identity, whereas party and government tend to see
religion and other manifestations of a non-Han identity as breeding grounds
for separatism. To be fair to the central government, it is in a difficult position:
Leaving the areas alone risks widening the gap in living standards relative to
Han China, while bringing in development opens it to charges of exploitation
of resources and the destruction of local cultures. Nonetheless, whether good
or bad, many of the projects seem to have been carried out with unnecessary
insensitivity to local feelings. Political institutions provide few opportunities
for minorities to influence decision making at either central or lower levels of
party and government. Yet modernization projects are liable to fail if they do not
address the concerns of those whose lives are directly affected by them. Although
the stated policy is development and stability, the way in which development has
been carried out has fostered instability, while efforts to suppress dissent seem to
breed more instability.
Party and state have made genuine efforts to accommodate ethnic minori-
ties within the framework of the PRC, and a degree of mutual accommodation
has evolved in certain areas. For example, Hui use the term minjian, literally
“among the people,” to refer to people, places, and things, such as clerics,
mosques, and tombs, that are not registered or sanctioned by state law. This
is a realm not dominated by the state, is practiced according to the minority’s
tradition, and is apt to exist where the law is silent. When it is not, for example,
in property transactions, compromises can be worked out. Basic-level courts
have sometimes referred to the minority’s traditions in making decisions. Nego-
tiation, subterfuge, evasion, and collaboration are common. These adjustments
notwithstanding, the fundamental nature of the nationalities problem is little
changed: Minorities who were content to be part of imperial China have not
been disruptive under the PRC; those who were unhappy continue to be so. Nei-
ther pluralist nor assimilationist policies have succeeded in solving the nation-
alities problem.
Dissident minorities do not have the strength to force the government to
accept their demands for separatism or true autonomy. They will in all likeli-
hood continue to press their demands through remonstrations and demonstra-
tions. But in the absence of some fundamental change in the system as a whole,
which would include pressure from important segments of the Han majority,
such as peasants, workers, and intellectuals, it seems unlikely that minority
unrest can win anything more than token concessions from the central govern-
ment. The integration of ethnic minorities into the PRC is far from complete,
yet those minorities who are discontented have little hope that there will be
disintegration.
326 C H A P T E R 1 3 ▸ Ethnic Minorities and National Integration
Tradition
As mentioned in Chapter 1, the traditional Chinese worldview saw the country
as the Middle Kingdom: the center of the world and the hub of civilization. The
concept of the nation-state system, with sovereign states interacting as theoreti-
cal equals, was unknown. Rulers of culturally inferior lands or their envoys were
expected to appear in the Chinese capital, make the ceremonial kowtow of obei-
sance to the emperor, and present tribute. This consisted of costly gifts of local
products—for example, lacquerware, incense, or exotic animals native to their
areas. In return, the rulers received confirmation of their leadership over their
own people as well as expensive gifts of Chinese workmanship. Reflecting its
view of all other states as inferior, imperial China did not have a foreign ministry,
but dealt with non-Chinese groups through its Board of Rites or Court of Colo-
nial Affairs. The Chinese believed that their culture was superior in all respects—
morally, materially, and aesthetically—and that it had universal validity.
There have been certain resonances of these views in post-1949 China. Par-
ticularly during the 1960s, the reverence accorded to Mao Zedong reminded
observers of that paid to the emperor. Mao’s claim of a world communist move-
ment based in Beijing, with himself and his close associates as arbiters of what
constituted true Marxism and who had committed the heresy of revisionism, is
another case in point. So were the claims by Mao’s disciples that he had raised
Marxist–Leninist thought to a higher level of validity, and their contention that
it was suitable for the rest of the Third World. Richard Nixon’s February 1972
visit to Beijing, during which Mao received the U.S. president in a formal state
audience and presented him with a pair of panda bears, struck some Western
observers as uncomfortably reminiscent of the tribute system, with Nixon unwit-
tingly performing a symbolic kowtow. Most recently, countries that are irked
when Beijing orders them not to invite certain individuals to visit or what weap-
ons systems not to acquire have complained that the People’s Republic of China
(PRC) continues to practice kowtow diplomacy.
327
328 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
Both the soft and hard lines on sovereignty may be viewed as situational: The
PRC’s acceptance of limits on sovereignty was strongly conditioned by its desire
to enter the U.S. capital market and to make the prospect of unification with the
mainland more attractive to Taiwan. In the early 1990s, the PRC’s immediate
concern was to assert itself against what it perceived as foreign bullying. And,
despite rejecting other countries’ human rights policies, Beijing has criticized
those of other countries.
More recently, China’s assertive actions toward areas it claims in East and
Southeast Asia, plus efforts that seem to be aimed at making China the fulcrum
of an international economic system in which it dictates the rules, have led to
speculation that, while paying lip service to the idea of a multinational state
system, Xi Jinping is attempting to establish a modern-day tribute system with
himself as ruler of tianxia, all under heaven.
Ideology
The analysis of international politics found in the works of Marx and Lenin
forms one facet of the prism through which the Chinese leadership has inter-
preted world events. The Marxist–Leninist view of rapacious capitalist–imperi-
alist states that colonized other nations to exploit their resources and workers
resonated with the founders of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP): they saw
China in exactly that position. Mao Zedong’s worldview was heavily influenced
by his desire to further the cause of international communism even when, as
in the Korean conflict, it harmed more immediate Chinese interests such as
rebuilding the economy and conquering Taiwan. Later in the 1950s, when the
USSR seemed to have abandoned the revolutionary cause, Mao asserted China’s
right to lead the international communist movement. However, Mao was not
rigidly constrained by Marxist–Leninist categories. In 1970, in a classic balance
of power-influenced decision, he opted to move closer to the capitalist United
States when he believed that the PRC was threatened by the socialist Soviet
Union. Post-Mao leaders have followed pragmatic rather than ideologically
based foreign policies.
Although communist ideology has greatly declined in importance, it is not
dead. Marxist–Leninist thought categories remain. For example, the United
States is frequently denounced as a “hegemonic power bent on a desire for
world conquest.” This has clear implications for Beijing’s interpretations of U.S.
actions which Americans might view as more benignly motivated. In general,
however, communist ideology has become less a guide for policy formulation
than an instrument for after-the-fact rationalization of actions taken on the basis
of other criteria. As the influence of ideology declined, nationalism came to the
fore. Party and government may have consciously fostered it to shore up their
declining legitimacy after the suppression of the Tiananmen demonstrations and
a decade of decidedly unsocialist economic reforms. Nationalism served to unify
the citizenry behind the authorities while focusing on external threats to the
330 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
Capabilities
The PRC has the world’s largest military force, backed by a still larger reserve/
militia component. Since it also possesses the world’s largest population, China
has the ability to call up more reinforcements than any other state. The navy has
developed a blue-water capability that has become worrisome to neighboring
states with which the PRC has territorial disputes. New missiles give it the ability
to attack ships, including aircraft carriers, from great distances. China now has
two aircraft carriers and stealth fighter planes, and has advanced from catch-
ing up to leaping ahead in military and dual-use technology. However, logistics
remains a weak link, and since the military has no recent combat experience it
is not battle-tested. Moreover, the country’s economy would be severely strained
by a major confrontation. Since most of China’s domestically produced food is
raised in three river basins, a nuclear attack on those areas could have devastat-
ing effects, for both the long and short term, on the country’s ability to feed itself.
This is, however, unlikely to happen.
Since no state currently has such intentions, this is a moot point. China’s
military is capable of causing significant disruption and anxiety to its neigh-
bors and their allies. Military capabilities are rapidly improving, as are the
incidence and sophistication of cyber hacking into other countries’ security
establishments.
Diplomacy and intelligence operations, though less visible than military
capabilities, are equally important components of the PRC’s foreign policy appa-
ratus. The PRC’s diplomacy is generally regarded as relatively effective. Its intel-
ligence services, however, receive less high marks. A foreign intelligence agent
describes the PRC’s operations as inefficient, mired in red tape, and unable to
keep secrets. There have indeed been successes. In one case, a Chinese employee
of the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, arrested in 1981, was found to have
been passing secrets to CCP sources since 1944. In another, a French diplomat
who fell in love with a performer in the Beijing opera was persuaded to provide
classified information to the PRC for over 15 years. He was eventually allowed
to marry his love, who presented him with a son. Only after the couple’s arrest
by French counterintelligence did the diplomat learn that he had been set up:
His “wife” was male, and the child was not his. The publicity surrounding this
bizarre episode inspired the Broadway show M. Butterfly, a Hollywood movie,
and a bestselling book.
Another factor contributing to the success of PRC intelligence operations
is lax security in many of the areas it targets. Foreign experts believe that their
sheer numbers rather than their quality enable a portion of Chinese intelligence
operations to succeed, since target countries’ counterintelligence and law enforce-
ment agencies are simply overwhelmed. In addition, because many of the PRC’s
collection activities concern mid-level technology, they are not a major focus of
concern for the foreign governments affected.
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 331
Goals
China’s foreign policy has shown underlying continuities, despite tactical shifts
taken in response to international and domestic factors. These goals may be sum-
marized as:
• preservation of China’s territorial integrity;
• recovery of lost territories considered to be part of China;
• recognition of the PRC as the sole legitimate government of China;
• enhancement of China’s international stature.
and analysis of given geographic areas of the world. It also has departments
for other specialized functions, including consular affairs, foreign press informa-
tion, international organizations, and treaties (Figure 14.1). While in theory the
international liaison department had responsibilities for relations between the
CCP and other communist parties whereas the foreign ministry was in charge
of state-to-state matters, there was a great deal of overlap between them. Not
surprisingly, the relationship had its frictions.
Externally, tensions also surrounded the use of the communist party-to-
communist party channel. Where China had formal diplomatic relations with a non-
communist state, the latter was understandably concerned about PRC support for
subversive movements aimed at overthrowing that government. These tensions less-
ened when, in the 1980s, Beijing greatly reduced its support for insurgent communist
parties in foreign countries. Following the collapse of communism abroad, the inter-
national liaison department began to host delegates from other countries’ political
parties regardless of ideological affiliation. Thus, it might sponsor visits by members
of the British Labour Party or Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party. The party-to-party
channel is particularly useful when relations between China and a foreign country
are strained: opposition parties are invited to Beijing and cultivated with the hope
that they may come to power and prove more sympathetic to Chinese positions.
Other organizations subordinate to the State Council, such as the defense
ministry, the finance ministry, the People’s Liberation Army, and the People’s
Bank, are concerned with foreign relations to varying degrees. A mass organi-
zation, the Chinese People’s Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries,
is responsible for a semi-official channel, “people’s diplomacy.” This involves
exchanges of sports teams as well as professional groups like surgeons, archaeol-
ogists, nuclear physicists, and businesspeople. Theoretically, these activities take
place between nongovernmental groups, although in practice they are closely
monitored by the PRC leadership and, to varying degrees, by the leadership of
the other countries involved. People’s diplomacy aims to create goodwill for the
PRC and is a means to influence domestic public opinion in a foreign country.
Decision makers also receive information relevant to foreign policy mak-
ing through other channels. Personnel of the official news agency, Xinhua (New
China), who are stationed in foreign countries, are one such conduit. Intelligence
operatives, some of whom may use embassy or Xinhua employment as cover,
are another. Chinese who study or travel abroad or who maintain contacts with
foreign sources may also provide information. Several research institutes may be
called upon for facts and analysis. These include the Chinese Academy of Social
Sciences (CASS), the Shanghai Institute for International Studies (SIIS), and the
China Institute of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR). The personnel
thereof are typically well informed and able to express their opinions frankly to
policy makers. As in other governments, however, policy makers may choose not
to act on their advice, and the analysts therein do not necessarily speak with one
voice. While precisely how these individuals and organizations impact the for-
eign policy decision-making process is not known, we are at least able to analyze
the differing strategies which the PRC has pursued to effect its goals.
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 333
expansionism that had caused the Chinese mainland to be absorbed by the com-
munist camp, and they demanded immediate action. U.S. resistance, channeled
through the UN, ended America’s “let the dust settle” policy in favor of a policy
of protecting Taiwan. Since a Chinese communist takeover of Taiwan would com-
plicate the logistical problems of U.S. forces fighting in Korea, President Truman
ordered the Seventh Fleet to “neutralize” the Taiwan Strait, thereby preventing the
CCP government from invading the island. Chinese research into Soviet archives
has found evidence that Stalin drew Mao into the Korean conflict to weaken his
ability to invade Taiwan. He reasoned that, should communist forces succeed in
unifying Korea under Kim, the peninsula would surely become a client state of
the USSR. However, were the PRC able to absorb Taiwan, China would rival the
USSR for primacy in the communist world. Presumably, Mao did not anticipate
that intervention in Korea would doom his efforts to deal a final blow to Chiang.
In addition to blocking the PRC from attaining one of its major foreign
policy goals and, moreover, one that had seemed within easy reach, the Korean
war hardened attitudes between the United States and China. U.S.–PRC ani-
mosity increased when, in October 1950, Chinese “volunteers” began crossing
into North Korea to aid their fellow communists in fighting U.S. and UN forces.
Direct confrontation between U.S. and Chinese troops in Korea resulted in the
war becoming a stalemate. In the course of prosecuting the conflict, the United
States increased its aid to Chiang Kai-shek’s government on Taiwan. A vigorous
effort by the PRC in 1954 to take Taiwan, including shelling the offshore island
of Quemoy (Jinmen), stiffened U.S. determination to protect the island. In late
1954, the Eisenhower administration signed a mutual defense treaty with Chi-
ang’s government, thus delaying Mao’s plans indefinitely.
The failure of the United States and China to create sufficient common
ground for the establishment of diplomatic relations increased China’s reliance
on the Soviet Union. In part, this resulted from the circumstances described pre-
viously, and in part it was a response to Stalin’s personality. Becoming more
paranoid with advancing age, the Soviet leader exacted fanatic loyalty from his
followers, proclaiming that “whoever is not with us is against us.” In general, the
Soviet Union’s allies conducted their foreign policies accordingly.
China’s trade and other relations during this period were overwhelmingly
with other communist bloc countries. While the military strength evinced by
Chinese forces in Korea increased international respect for the PRC, this was
not necessarily accompanied by international diplomatic recognition. The United
States, reminding the UN that China had fought UN troops in Korea, was able
to block the PRC’s bid to unseat the KMT government from membership in that
body. On a state-to-state level, most nations continued to recognize Chiang Kai-
shek’s Taiwan-based government as being the legitimate representative of China.
In addition to its intervention in Korea, the PRC also strongly supported Ho
Chi Minh’s struggle against the French in Indochina, sending arms and supplies
to his Viet Minh. When accused by Western sources of being one-sided in his
policies, Mao replied, “Exactly! . . . All Chinese without exception must lean to
the side of imperialism or to the side of socialism. Sitting on the fence will not
do, nor is there a third road.”
336 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
Relations between China and India during this period were relatively har-
monious, despite a border dispute between the two countries and the distaste of
many Indians for China’s forcible occupation of Tibet. Ties with Burma, which
also had a territorial dispute with the PRC, improved as well. A Sino–Burmese
border agreement soon followed.
Both India and Burma agreed to remain aloof from the Cold War and to
maintain friendly relations with China. In return, the PRC agreed to refrain from
aggression on the Indian and Burmese borders—both countries had problems
with independence-minded ethnic groups who inhabited border areas—and to
negotiate on the delicate issue of the people of Chinese ancestry who live abroad.
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 337
There is a saying in China: “If the East wind does not prevail over the West
wind, then the West wind will prevail over the East wind.” I think that the
characteristic of the current situation is that the East wind prevails over the
West wind: that is, the strength of socialism exceeds the strength of imperialism.
Mao’s metaphorical message was meant to prod the Soviet Union into a more mil-
itant stance: the communist states, led by the USSR, should take advantage of their
momentum over the capitalist world and pursue more aggressive revolutionary
policies. Not to take advantage of this momentum might result in serious damage
to the communist camp. His efforts, however, were unsuccessful. Khrushchev, who
had assumed Stalin’s leadership position after the latter’s death, was faced with
growing demands from the Soviet populace for better living standards. Adopting a
more aggressive foreign policy would mean diverting funds from consumer goods
to military purposes. The post-Stalin Soviet leadership was also more wary of the
dangers of a confrontation with capitalism than were the Chinese. While the PRC
pursued peaceful coexistence with Third World countries, Khrushchev went even
further, evincing willingness to coexist peacefully with capitalist countries as well.
Annoyed by the USSR’s reluctance to capitalize on its revolutionary advan-
tage, China assumed a more militant posture on its own initiative. Annoyance
turned to anger when the Soviet Union refused to support its ally’s more aggres-
sive stance. For example, in 1958/1959, China adopted a harder line on Taiwan
and resumed bombardment of the offshore island of Quemoy. Another disputed
offshore island, Matsu, was also shelled. Khrushchev, visiting Beijing, countered
with a metaphor of his own. In a speech criticizing adventurism, he mentioned
Brest-Litovsk—an allusion to the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk, under the terms of
which the newly founded, weak USSR had agreed to cede a large area of formerly
czarist territory to Germany. The term became synonymous with a policy of trad-
ing space for time: Hence, Khrushchev was unsubtly telling China to bide its time
with regard to Taiwan. Mao was reportedly livid.
In another instance, the PRC decided to put pressure on India to resolve a
complicated border dispute between the two countries. The Soviet Union not
only refused to back China, but also sought openly to improve relations with the
Nehru government. Khrushchev’s position was all the more irritating in that the
weight of evidence tended to support China’s position that the border had not
been legally demarcated, vis-à-vis the Indian government’s contention that it had.
These and other accumulated disagreements between the PRC and the Soviet
Union culminated in an open break between the two countries, permanently
rupturing communism as a monolithic entity. The Sino–Soviet dispute had many
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 339
causes. First, czarist Russia had incorporated a large amount of territory that the
PRC claimed as Chinese, building cities, railroads, and ports on it. The USSR,
despite promises to end the unequal treaties of its predecessor government, had
never returned these lands.
Second, the Soviet government had ordered the infant Chinese communist
movement to pursue policies that many CCP members felt to be unwise, and that
had resulted in the deaths of many of their comrades, including Mao’s wife and
their two children.
Third, Stalin had consistently supported CCP members other than Mao
during Mao’s drive for leadership of the party. He had also publicly criticized
Mao’s movement as little more than agrarian reform, describing the CCP as
“margarine communists,” or “radish communists,” the latter epithet implying
that they were red on the surface but white inside.
Fourth, the Soviet Union had taken large quantities of material from north-
eastern China during the USSR’s occupation of that area following World War II.
The Chinese saw this as being looted by an ally. Moreover, the USSR continued
to negotiate with Chiang Kai-shek long after it was clear that the CCP was win-
ning its battle to control China. Stalin sought to sell arms to Chiang in return for
concessions in Xinjiang and elsewhere.
The Sino–Soviet Treaty of 1950 had granted aid to China when the PRC could
not expect aid from elsewhere. Nonetheless, the terms of the agreement were hardly
generous by international standards, and included concessions to the Soviet Union
in Xinjiang, Dalian (Port Arthur), and on the Chinese Eastern Railway. These con-
cessions were canceled by Khrushchev in 1954, but Chinese pride had already
been hurt. The Chinese leadership was also annoyed by the terms under which
the Soviet Union had supplied the PRC with weapons to pursue the Korean War.
They saw China as fighting on behalf of the socialist world in a war that would,
moreover, protect the Soviet Union. Yet, the USSR not only supplied China with
weapons that were obsolescent but required the PRC to pay for them as well.
The Chinese were shocked when, at the Twentieth Congress of the Commu-
nist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU) in 1956, Khrushchev delivered a biting
denunciation of Stalin. Khrushchev had not consulted them beforehand, and, to
the intense embarrassment of the Chinese leadership, the Chinese delegate to the
CPSU had just finished a speech eulogizing Comrade Stalin. The PRC leadership
also believed that Khrushchev had acted recklessly. Although they had excellent
reasons for disliking Stalin, they were concerned that to publicly destroy the rep-
utation of this symbol of the unity of the communist bloc might cause the bloc’s
unity to disintegrate. Mao may also have feared that Khrushchev’s denunciations
of the cult of Stalin would subsequently be used to put pressure on Mao to elim-
inate his own personality cult.
To compound these other dissatisfactions with the Soviet Union, Chinese
planners became increasingly convinced that the Soviet developmental model
was not adequately serving the PRC’s needs. When they adopted a radically
different developmental scheme, the Great Leap Forward, Khrushchev pub-
licly ridiculed it. Sino–Soviet differences were expressed in rather muted form
340 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
at first, but reached a major turning point by early 1960, when the PRC’s
media began to imply that since Khrushchev had betrayed the most funda-
mental beliefs of Marxism–Leninism, China must now assume leadership of
the communist world. Monolithic communism was henceforth dead, in both
theory and practice.
The immediate consequences of this declaration were not to China’s benefit. The
Soviet Union, having already reneged on promises to help China develop nuclear
weapons, abruptly withdrew its technicians and much of its aid, thereby hindering
the PRC’s economic development. Most communist states tended to side with the
Soviet Union. In states where communist parties existed but did not govern, the
communist party often split over the issue of the Sino–Soviet dispute, thus weaken-
ing its chances of coming to power. In general, the larger portion of these bifurcated
parties remained loyal to the USSR, while the smaller splinter was pro-PRC. With
Khrushchev’s removal from office in October 1964, public Sino–Soviet polemics
abated, but the ideological differences between the two countries remained.
In the noncommunist world, China appeared threatening because of its dia-
tribes against peaceful coexistence, insistence that wars were inevitable so long
as imperialism remained, and denial of the possibility of peaceful roads to com-
munism. Chinese actions exacerbated the fears aroused by its propaganda. In
1962, the PRC used military force against India with regard to the border dispute
between the two countries. Its decisive victory appeared to arouse more fear than
admiration in world public opinion.
Other Chinese foreign policy actions were less successful. Although defin-
itive proof is lacking, the PRC is likely to have been involved in an attempted
coup d’état by the Communist Party of Indonesia (PKI) in 1965. The Indonesian
coup was put down by a coalition of generals; a bloodbath followed in which not
only members of the PKI were massacred, but many thousands of noncommunist
overseas Chinese as well. Thousands more Indonesian Chinese were herded into
detention camps and eventually deported to the PRC. The formerly pro-PRC
government of Indonesia was replaced by one distinctly cool toward China, and
diplomatic relations between the two countries were suspended.
In the Middle East, China’s support for the activities of the Palestinian Lib-
eration Organization (PLO) annoyed the Egyptian government, as did China’s
efforts to wean Egypt away from its alliance with the Soviet Union. In Kenya, the
popular nationalist leader Jomo Kenyatta resented Chinese support for his oppo-
sition party and declared, “It is naive to think that there is no danger of imperial-
ism from the East . . . this is why we reject communism.” And in Latin America,
Fidel Castro complained of Chinese interference in Cuban affairs, asserting that
he had not liberated his country from U.S. imperialism only to endure similar
treatment from the PRC.
A final rebuff occurred when China’s efforts to exclude the Soviet Union from a
projected Afro–Asian conference in 1965 failed. The PRC announced that it would
not attend a conference convened in disregard for China’s views, and the gathering
was postponed indefinitely. Chinese sources acknowledged these reversals, stating
that “temporary setbacks” to the world revolution were to be expected. Because
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 341
truth was on its side, the PRC, though presently outnumbered by the forces of
imperialism—that is, the United States and its allies—would yet triumph.
China’s isolation reached an extreme during the Cultural Revolution from
1966 to 1969. During this period, radical leftists criticized the PRC’s foreign
policy for giving insufficient weight to world revolution. The PRC increased its
encouragement of subversive movements in several countries, and groups of
Chinese militants, most of them students, caused disruptive incidents in a num-
ber of foreign states. As a result, the PRC’s diplomatic relations with more than
30 countries were damaged. In addition, China’s foreign policy-making appara-
tus was attacked by radicals who claimed that it had succumbed to subversive
bourgeois influences from the foreigners with whom they interacted. Red Guards
attacked foreign embassies, terrorizing their personnel and causing at least one
death. They also sacked their own country’s foreign ministry. With organs of
decision making near paralysis, the PRC recalled all its ambassadors save that
to Cairo. The importance China attached to the Middle East, and to Egypt’s
importance within the Middle East, is the most probable explanation for this
exception. It also suggests that, despite the feverish ideological pronouncements
of this era, some modicum of pragmatism remained.
Chinese leftists’ feelings against the Soviet Union ran especially high. Mili-
tant extremists believed that China was in danger of contamination from Soviet
“revisionism” and the USSR’s tolerance of various invidious heterodox forms of
capitalism. Thus, it is not surprising that Soviet diplomats were a special target
of extremist attacks, and that polemics against the Soviet government increased.
The USSR’s media responded by denouncing the turmoil within China as the
product of insanity among the CCP elite. The Sino–Soviet dispute, quiescent since
Khrushchev’s fall in October 1964, became increasingly bitter. China denounced
the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968 as a “monstrous crime,” and there
were rumors that the USSR was planning a pre-emptive strike against the PRC’s
nuclear installation in Xinjiang, its only nuclear facility at the time.
Border tensions heightened, and there were minor incidents involving border
guards and civilians on both sides throughout 1968 and early 1969. In March
1969, on a small island in the Ussuri River that formed one part of the territorial
disputes between the two countries, Chinese soldiers opened fire on a Soviet
patrol. The Soviets retaliated. Other clashes then followed on the border between
China’s Xinjiang and the Soviet Union’s Kazakh SSR, far to the west of the
Ussuri incident. China’s isolation from the international community was virtu-
ally complete, and even its territorial integrity seemed in jeopardy.
actually under water a great deal of the time—seemed absurd. Moreover, even if,
as the PRC claimed, the démarche aimed to demonstrate that China would not
be “bullied,” the scenario seemed ill conceived. Soviet troops were well trained
and showed themselves fully competent to deal with the PLA. Finally, it seemed
pointless to provoke a major foreign policy crisis just a few weeks before the
CCP’s Ninth Congress was scheduled to open.
Some Western analysts believed the clash to be a natural outgrowth of the
foreign policy excesses of the Cultural Revolution; others suggested that a local
commander had simply exceeded his orders. A third explanation is that one fac-
tion of the highest echelon of the party’s decision-making elite ordered the PLA
to attack Soviet troops to force another faction of that elite to agree to a startling
change in China’s foreign policy: rapprochement with the United States.
In this scenario, Mao and Zhou Enlai interpreted the Soviet invasion
of Czechoslovakia and the USSR’s subsequent enunciation of the Brezhnev
doctrine—that other socialist countries had the right to interfere when events
within a socialist country were endangering the socialist community as a whole—as
threatening the security of China. At the same time, the United States began to
look less threatening. The Paris peace talks on Vietnam had begun, and a new
president, Richard Nixon, had been elected. Part of Nixon’s campaign rhetoric
had included promises to reduce America’s presence in Asia. Since the Soviet
Union was far more menacing to the PRC than the United States, and since the
United States was hostile to the Soviet Union while being approximately equal to
it in strength, conciliatory moves toward the United States were indicated.
However, according to this line of analysis, the Mao–Zhou group was
prevented from improving relations with the United States because they were
opposed by Cultural Revolution radicals led by Defense Minister Lin Biao. Lin’s
group preferred to try to improve relations with the Soviet Union, reasoning that,
despite its many faults, the USSR was still preferable to a capitalist state. Lin
would in any case not have wanted to agree with a policy alternative suggested
by Zhou Enlai, since Zhou was his principal rival for power.
In this interpretation, then, the Ussuri clash was contrived to discredit those
members of the Chinese elite who believed that a rapprochement with the Soviet
Union was possible and to open the way for better relations with the United
States. Chinese media, of course, described the clash as having been instigated
by the Soviet Union. Lin Biao’s demise in 1971, as he was allegedly fleeing to
the Soviet Union, and the rapprochement with the United States that actually
occurred in that same year, have been adduced as further evidence for this sce-
nario. Whatever the truth of this hypothesis, and although Chinese propaganda
continued to regularly denounce the machinations of both the United States and
the USSR, the dominant faction of the post-1971 Chinese leadership clearly indi-
cated that it considered the USSR to be the more dangerous of the two super-
powers. However, the issue of U.S. support for Taiwan remained outstanding,
inhibiting PRC moves toward better relations with the United States.
China responded favorably to President Nixon’s relaxation of restrictions
on trade and travel with the PRC, and in April 1971 Mao Zedong invited an
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 343
American table tennis team to tour China. With enthusiastic approval from
Washington, the team accepted. Their widely publicized trip, which included
meetings with high-ranking Chinese officials, was dubbed “ping-pong diplo-
macy.” It formed the antecedent to President Nixon’s own trip to Beijing in 1972.
Nixon’s visit brought a further advance in the rapprochement process. After
extensive talks, in February 1972 the two sides issued the Shanghai Commu-
niqué, which affirmed their mutual desire to normalize diplomatic relations. It
finessed the Taiwan issue by stating that “All Chinese on either side of the Taiwan
Strait maintain that there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China.
The U.S. government does not challenge that position.” However, the United
States did not go so far as to state that it agreed with that position. There were
awkward ethical and legal considerations for the United States to deal with. To
break relations with its loyal Taiwan ally might call into question the sincerity
of America’s commitments to other allies. There was also the question of what
to do about the U.S.–ROC Mutual Security Treaty. Moreover, a large number of
native-born Taiwanese did not consider the island part of Chinese territory or
consider themselves to be ethnically Chinese, and were vehemently opposed
to unification with a mainland to which they felt no ideological or emotional
affinity.
With the question of Taiwan temporarily in abeyance and the Shanghai Com-
muniqué as a basis, relations between the United States and the PRC improved.
In lieu of regular diplomatic representation, each side established a liaison office
in the capital of the other. Bilateral trade increased, and contacts and exchanges
took place in a number of areas, including technology, sports, and culture. Even-
tually, on January 1, 1979, Beijing and Washington began full diplomatic rela-
tions. America agreed to end formal ties with the Republic of China on Taiwan
while declaring its intention to maintain cultural, commercial, and other unoffi-
cial relations with what it would henceforth refer to only as Taiwan. The 1954
defense treaty was abrogated in accordance with its own provisions, which gave
either party the option of termination after giving one year’s notice. The Taiwan
Relations Act, passed by Congress in April 1979, attempted to provide for the
security of the island by declaring that the United States would provide its gov-
ernment with such defensive weapons as were deemed necessary to maintain a
balance of power in the Taiwan Strait.
At the same time that Mao Zedong began seeking better relations with the
United States, China’s attitudes toward countries other than the Soviet Union
also became a great deal more conciliatory. Ambassadors began to return to their
posts in 1970, and the PRC not only formally apologized to foreign countries
for what had happened to their embassies in Beijing during the Cultural Revo-
lution but agreed to make restitution as well. This more accommodative posture
enabled China both to re-establish relationships that had been broken off during
the Cultural Revolution and to win new supporters. The PRC’s acceptance as a
legitimate member of the international community received formal endorsement
in October 1971, when the country was admitted to membership in the United
Nations and made a permanent member of the UN Security Council.
344 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
minority there. When one of the bombs landed on the Chinese embassy in Bel-
grade, Beijing refused to believe Washington’s explanation that it was accidental.
Angry mobs hurled rocks at the American embassy in Beijing, and the Chinese
government publicly repudiated the idea of a strategic partnership between the
two countries.
Only weeks after the signing of the agreement strengthening the U.S.–Japan
alliance, Jiang Zemin convened the leaders of Russia and three Central Asian states
in Shanghai to form a countervailing organization. Initially called the Shanghai
Five, the group was renamed the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)
when another Central Asian member joined. Among the issues discussed were
border demarcations, border security, and “a long-term convergence of strategic
aims” which was generally interpreted as aimed at resisting undue U.S. influence.
China regularly referred to Russia as its strategic partner. In July 2002, the two
countries concluded a treaty—the first since the 1950 agreement between Mao
Zedong and Joseph Stalin. Other potential allies were not neglected: there were
proposals, never acted upon, that the Sino–Russian partnership be expanded to
include Iran and even India. Beijing argued for ending UN sanctions against Iraq,
and helped upgrade Baghdad’s air defenses.
Post-9/11 Developments
Events set in motion by Muslim fundamentalists’ attacks on the World Trade
Center and Pentagon on September 11, 2001 led to yet another realignment of
power, although in a direction that the PRC perceived as hostile to its interests.
Although Beijing pledged to assist Washington in its efforts to deal with terror-
ists, the result was a deepening of Chinese concerns that the United States was
using the war against terrorism to expand its hegemonic designs rather than as
a united front against terrorism. After several SCO members offered support,
including basing rights, to Washington, Beijing became concerned that the U.S.
presence in Central Asia might become permanent, to the detriment of Chinese
interests there. Moreover, Russian president Vladimir Putin also moved closer to
the United States; in 2002, Washington and Moscow signed an arms reduction
treaty and issued a joint declaration on the establishment of a new strategic rela-
tionship between them. Against Chinese wishes, Putin acquiesced in the abroga-
tion of the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, and Russia became a participant, though
not an actual member, of NATO—an alliance that was originally established
to contain the Soviet Union. Chinese analysts assessed this as signifying “the
complete assimilation of Russia into the American orbit,” thereby upsetting the
balance between the hegemonic and anti-hegemonic forces in the world. Beijing
saw U.S. plans to replace Saddam Hussein as an attempt to impose its notions of
liberal democracy on yet another area of the world, as well as to take over Iraq’s
oilfields in order to benefit America.
Beijing was likewise unhappy when President Bush’s vow to pursue terror-
ists and whatever countries harbored them led to American military advisers
being sent to several Southeast Asian states. More anxiety was generated by
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 349
the mending of relations between India and the United States. These had been
strained since India carried out nuclear tests in 1998. India’s defense minister
made it clear at the time that fear of China had been behind his country’s deci-
sion to develop a nuclear arsenal. Consonant with its policy of opposing prolif-
eration, Washington initially responded by levying sanctions on India. By early
2002, however, Washington and New Delhi had agreed to conduct joint military
training, and India’s president had made a speech to the U.S. Congress declaring
that the two states were natural allies.
International opposition to the U.S. decision to invade Iraq in search of
weapons of mass destruction gave Beijing an opportunity to redress these trends.
China courted the EU countries, lobbying strongly for the EU to lift an arms
embargo which it had imposed against the PRC following the Tiananmen inci-
dent in 1989. Free trade agreements were signed with ASEAN states. Relations
with India, though remaining wary, improved as the two Asian giants discovered
the benefits of an information-technology partnership between India’s impressive
software and China’s computer hardware industries.
The search for oil and raw materials to fuel the PRC’s rapidly growing econ-
omy also led it further afield in the early twenty-first century. While sellers in
many countries welcomed these new customers, others worried about the toll
on their environments. Southeast Asian rain forests were being depleted because
of growing Chinese demand for lumber. Wildlife was also adversely affected:
according to international conservation organizations, the demand for ivory,
most of it from the PRC, would, if sustained, result in the extinction of the
world’s elephant population.
Chinese companies and high-ranking leaders visited Latin America and
Africa in search of resources needed to sustain the PRC’s rapid economic growth.
Energy and geopolitical concerns converged in Venezuela as China signed an
agreement for oil with then-president Hugo Chavez. Chavez, who had been
criticized by Washington for human rights violations, welcomed an additional
buyer for his country’s crude oil, and Beijing was happy to have made a friend in
America’s backyard. China’s need for oil also led it to support a far more serious
human rights violator, the government of Sudan.
Relations with Japan were economically warm but politically tepid. Japa-
nese appreciated that trade with China accounted for much of their country’s
recent economic growth, but considerable friction existed between the two coun-
tries over a range of issues. These included territorial disputes, matters related to
Japan’s conduct in China during World War II, Tokyo’s concerns with the PRC’s
rapidly increasing military expenditures, and what each side regarded as high-
handed treatment by the other. Accumulated tensions erupted into anti-Japanese
violence in several Chinese cities in April 2005. Although these tensions calmed
down for a time, a 2010 incident in which the Japanese government arrested the
captain of a Chinese fishing ship that rammed two Japanese coastguard vessels
set off another round of anti-Japanese demonstrations in the PRC.
With regard to Taiwan, Beijing’s decision to ignore the country’s incum-
bent, anti-unification president in hopes that he would be replaced with a more
350 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
copper and iron mines and resentment over an influx of Chinese traders into the
retail clothing industry. In Nigeria, Chinese workers have been kidnapped. Latin
American concerns are strikingly similar. From the inception of Chinese control
of the Hierro Peru iron complex in 1992, there have been strikes centering on
allegations of substandard wages and failure to live up to promises made to
workers. Both African and Latin American countries have also complained that
the Chinese typically prefer to bring in their own workers rather than hire local
people, and that their factories and infrastructure projects show no concern for
the environment.
Beijing was put in an awkward position when North Korea torpedoed a
South Korean navy ship in March 2010, and again when the DPRK military
forces shelled a ROK island in November of the same year. It was unable to
placate both sides. Similarly, Beijing’s agreement to attenuated sanctions against
Iran in the UN Security Council irked officials in Tehran while falling short of the
measures hoped for by the United States and Europe.
Recent Developments
With China becoming stronger economically and militarily, the PRC’s leadership
seems to have decided that the time has come to move beyond Deng Xiaop-
ing’s advice that China should observe international events calmly, take a firm
stance while hiding its accomplishments, and bide its time: by the second decade
of the twenty-first century, Beijing’s more assertive stance was undeniable. Bei-
jing strongly asserted the PRC’s claim to the so-called nine-dotted line or “cow’s
tongue” that encompasses the numerous dispute areas within the East China
and South China seas. Beijing has designated certain entities “core areas,” pre-
sumably meaning that, if challenged, China will fight to control them. When, in
2010, the U.S. secretary of state suggested at an ASEAN foreign ministers’ meet-
ing that territorial disputes be settled through peaceful negotiations, the PRC
foreign minister reacted angrily. Looking pointedly at the Singaporean repre-
sentative, he remarked that China was a big country and other countries would
have to understand that they were small. In 2012, Beijing established a new
prefecture, Sansha, to back up its South China Sea claims. When Vietnam and
the Philippines attempted to take their territorial disputes with China to ASEAN,
Beijing put pressure on host government Cambodia to prevent the item from
being included on the agenda.
As for Japan, after imposing economic sanctions that forced Japan to release
the fishing boat captain (see p. 349), Beijing announced that its ships would
patrol the area around the disputed islands, and did so. In response to this
increased pressure, Tokyo’s nationalistic governor declared his intention to buy
the islands on behalf of the municipality from the Japanese family that owned
them. Hoping to forestall a diplomatic crisis, the Japanese premier arranged
to purchase the islands on behalf of the nation instead. Beijing reacted angrily
nonetheless: there were unruly demonstrations in several of the PRC’s cities,
and China stepped up its patrols in the area. In 2013, China announced an Air
352 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
Conclusions
In terms of achieving major foreign policy goals, China’s record contains several
successes and a few failures. The PRC’s territory has remained free from attacks,
and the humiliating concessions made to foreign powers within China in the
past have been abolished. China’s international prestige has been restored. The
country has attained membership in the UN, holds a permanent seat on the UN
Security Council, and participates actively in major international financial orga-
nizations, such as the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the
World Trade Organization. It enjoys observer status in ASEAN and the Arctic
Council. The PRC has the second-largest economy in the world.
All but 19 nations recognize the CCP as the legitimate government of China,
and even those few count the PRC as an important force in international poli-
tics. China no longer aspires to a position of leadership over the Third World;
since it occupies such an anomalous position in the Third World, some have
C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy 353
argued that it should not even be classified therein. From a position of abject
weakness during the century preceding 1949, China has come to be regarded as
one of the more important powers in the world. Particularly when considered in
light of the PRC’s until recently modest military capabilities, this is an impressive
achievement.
As for recovering the territories which China claims, the record is mixed.
The PRC has regained Tibet, Hong Kong, and Macao. It has achieved border
settlements with several countries, including Burma and Nepal, and established
de facto control over substantial segments of its disputed borders with India
and Vietnam. There has been a peaceful resolution of contending claims on the
Sino–Russian border.
Taiwan remains independent, with polls indicating that a large majority of
its population does not want to be part of the PRC. Many schemes for unifica-
tion, such as a “one country, two systems” idea, have been proposed but found
to be unacceptable. Beijing has rejected the idea of federation or confederation.
Taiwan’s citizens reject the status of SAR, pointing out that provisions for the
self-government of SARs are ultimately dependent on China’s voluntary acquies-
cence, and that Hong Kong’s experience has proved that China’s promises can-
not be trusted. Moreover, the island’s residents enjoy one of the highest living
standards in Asia, including a per capita income level far higher than that of the
mainland. They also have a functioning democratic political system and a free
press. Mongolia seems unlikely to be recovered. The freer intellectual climate
in Mongolia has included a revival of the area’s traditional lamaist Buddhist
religion. Since this is the faith of most of Tibet’s population as well, Mongols’
sympathies are likely to lie with the Tibetans in their ongoing conflict with Chi-
nese rule. Many Mongols are also apprehensive lest their country become an
economic colony of China.
The more recent goal of establishing a multipolar world to counter Ameri-
can influence has also proved elusive. The Atlantic alliance has held firm. With
Britain leaving the EU, many of its members recovering only slowly from the
financial crisis of 2007/2008, and democratic values having more in common
with the United States than with China, Europe does not currently seem capable
of constituting a pole. Japan has added a quasi-security alliance with the U.K. to
its strengthened cooperation with the U.S., India, and Australia.
Ties with Russia continue to the extent that some Westerners worry about
the rise of an “authoritarian internationale” replacing the former Sino–Soviet
alliance. But at the same time, a reassertive Russia is apt to have differences
with the PRC on many issues. With regard to Georgia, for example, Beijing has
misgivings about Russia aiding the separatist ambitions of South Ossetians and
Azerbaijanis, seeing dangerous precedents for its control of restive areas, such as
Tibet and Xinjiang. And Russia worries about Beijing’s one-belt-one-road initia-
tive encroaching on its influence in Central Asia.
Changes in the PRC’s foreign policy since 1949 have been described as China
moving from being a “shaker” of the world order from 1949 through the early
1970s to being a “taker”; that is, accommodating to its principles, in the 1980s
354 C H A P T E R 1 4 ▸ Foreign Policy
and 1990s, to being a more assertive “shaper” and even “maker” of international
norms in the twenty-first century. Its foreign policy makers have shown consid-
erable skill and flexibility in bringing about relatively smooth shifts in strategy
in response to perceived changes in the international climate. In contrast to rhet-
oric that has often been militant and pro-revolutionary, China’s international
actions have generally been rather circumspect, indicating careful forethought
and shrewd calculation of both adversary capabilities and foreign public opin-
ion. Exceptions to this are associated with the periods of the Great Leap Forward
and the Cultural Revolution, and with certain aspects of the 1978/1979 dispute
with Vietnam. Over the 65 years since the founding of the PRC, many of its
initial goals have been attained. In the process, foreign policy has evolved in a
manner in which the PRC’s international responses may be fairly described as
pragmatism with Chinese characteristics.
355
356 C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) came to power with clearly articulated
goals of equality and prosperity for the society it wished to create. For a time,
the party enjoyed relatively solid support from the people in whose interests
it claimed to rule. Since the best path to the goals the CCP espoused was not
preordained, there was a great deal of social and economic experimentation.
Loyalty to the party, to Marxism–Leninism, and to Mao Zedong’s interpreta-
tion of Marxism–Leninism, was not merely encouraged but demanded. There
was a tendency for all of these to be subsumed into a demand for absolute and
unswerving loyalty to the person of the supreme leader himself. While Mao’s
desire for self-aggrandizement was certainly a factor in the growth of his per-
sonality cult, it was also a way to smooth over the strains of modernization and
industrialization. There appeared to be a genuine belief that however difficult the
problems of the present, the emergence of a classless society was inevitable: the
communist cause would triumph in the end. Meanwhile, peasants and workers
were regarded as the most worthy classes, and loyalty both to the person of Mao
and to communist doctrine was rigidly enforced.
The cult of personality that developed around Mao and the style of rule
that characterized his leadership seem to fit the eminent German sociologist
Max Weber’s description of charismatic rule. According to Weber, the norms
and practices developed under this leader, who generally eschews past practices
and makes his own rules, will gradually become accepted ways of behavior and
decision making. Hence, the stage of government after charismatic leadership is
called the transition to institutionalization. In Weber’s paradigm, bureaucracies
will grow up to enforce these norms and staff the institutions. The third, and
final, stage described by Weber is that of rational rule legitimization, a process
he called the routinization of charisma. The result is a modern, bureaucratic
state.
Most social scientists assumed that China would follow the path outlined by
Weber in its quest for modernity. However, Mao strenuously resisted the routin-
ization and bureaucratization of his revolution. Fearing a return to everything
he had disliked about the mandarinate of his childhood, Mao was concerned to
keep society from settling into comfortable rules and routines.
They would undermine progress toward creating the type of society that
had been his life’s work. The best way to prevent this was, in Mao’s own words,
to have the country in a state of permanent revolution until the advent of the
classless society. Periodic economic and social upheavals, most notably the Great
Leap Forward and the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, were designed to
further this end.
Unfortunately, the widespread economic and social disruptions they caused
also led many Chinese to have doubts about the party’s ability to govern them
and to improve living standards. Mao’s death was followed not by the routiniza-
tion of charisma, as in Weber’s paradigm, but by what has been termed a transi-
tional crisis system. In such a system, conflict may not be expressed openly, but
can be discerned through differences in terminology among members of the elite,
removal of leaders from office, expulsions from the party, and, occasionally, an
C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions 357
open rift within the party. The period of Deng Xiaoping’s de facto leadership was
characterized by a pragmatic reworking of communism. “Socialism with Chinese
characteristics” was defined as including a definite commitment to moderniza-
tion and to the raising of living standards, as well as an acceptance of the need
for laws and regulations to govern conduct. The PRC seemed well on its way to
Weber’s stage of rational rule legitimization. Particularly in the first few years
after Deng’s plans began to be implemented, there were marked improvements
in living standards.
However, these were accompanied by rapidly increasing differences between
rich and poor in terms of both individual persons and geographic regions. If
Deng Xiaoping’s reforms made some people and areas wealthier, they made
others poorer by comparison. In his efforts to achieve industrialization through
energizing enthusiasm for production, Deng dismantled the welfare state. The
expectation of protection from insecurity, inequality, and uncertainty had been
an important factor in the ordinary person’s support for the communist party.
In essence, Deng gambled on being able to compensate these individuals with
greater prosperity in exchange for this erosion of security, equality, and certainty.
Thus far, this has not happened, and the ordinary person’s faith in party and gov-
ernment has also eroded. Escalating inflation, corruption, arguments within the
leadership elite, and uncertainty about the future of reform undermined stability
and further weakened many people’s faith in their government and leadership.
These phenomena indicated that China continued to resemble a transitional cri-
sis system.
Abolition of the communes and decentralization of economic decision mak-
ing, although good for raising production, led to a diminution in the capabilities
of central-level institutions. Generally, no compensatory mechanisms emerged
to fulfill the important services they had provided. The system appeared to be
becoming less, rather than more, capable of coping with problems. In a number
of areas, political development was replaced by political decay. There was a resur-
gence of traditional forms and patterns of authority. This retraditionalization
included the revival of the power of clans, religious figures, and secret societies
as well as that of village leaders, who were chosen by consensus within the village
rather than by the party. The position of women, whom Mao metaphorically
described as “holding up half the sky,” deteriorated in a number of ways. When
economic restructuring occurred, for example, females were disproportionately
likely to be among the first workers to be laid off. Local and regional protection-
ist tendencies in the economy and even in the court system caused problems for
the further development of a nationwide market directed by the party from the
capital city. Decentralization and market reforms also strengthened centrifugal
forces in ethnic minority areas.
Individuals, groups, and regions became increasingly assertive vis-à-vis party
and central government. Sometimes, as in the cases of tax assessment and man-
datory retirement ages, they engaged in extensive bargaining, thereby causing
significant modifications in the policies. Occasionally, meaningful proportions
of the citizenry were able to passively resist, or completely ignore, the central
358 C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions
which the government is able, and willing, to use the countryside to contain
and pacify the city. If the government can build a bridge to the countryside—if
it can mobilize support from the rural areas—it can contain and ride out the
instabilities of the city.
This characterization seemed to accurately describe the PRC at the time of
the 1989 demonstrations. Rather than being mobilized in support of the govern-
ment, however, the rural areas simply gave the leadership the margin of passivity
it needed to ride out the crisis caused by widespread demonstrations. Since then,
China’s rapid industrialization has resulted in city dwellers now outnumbering
those in rural areas. Moreover, rural areas have their own problems: it cannot be
assumed that they will remain passive in a future confrontation. Deng Xiaoping’s
educational reforms concentrated almost wholly on the large cities, allowing the
countryside to go its own way so long as it produced sufficient food to nour-
ish the population and support the government’s modernization programs. The
number of rural semi-literates and school dropouts increased. Since coastal cities
rather than the rural hinterland garnered most of the benefits of Deng’s reform
programs, resentments sharpened.
As a result of efforts to restructure and rationalize the economic structure,
workers have fared little better than peasants. The alliance between the party
and China’s new entrepreneurs, symbolized by Jiang Zemin’s Three Represents,
is yet another indication that the twenty-first-century CCP no longer accords
the workers and the peasants the same degree of respect as the party’s founders.
Although the country’s leaders would disagree, many Chinese feel that in its
quest for modernization and industrialization, the CCP has betrayed the interests
of the workers and peasants who brought it to power.
Despite a proliferation of small-scale protests, there have been no large
anti-government demonstrations in the 20 years since the Tiananmen incident:
The PRC no longer resembles a praetorian society. Jiang Zemin’s assumption of
office as a result of the Tiananmen upheaval rather than through regularly estab-
lished selection processes is an example of the transitional crisis system. Yet the
smooth transfer of power after Deng Xiaoping’s death and the transitions from
Jiang to Hu Jintao and from Hu to Xi Jinping seemed to indicate that routiniza-
tion is occurring—despite evidence of considerable maneuvering beforehand, as
well as Jiang’s holding on to military power for an extended period and attempts
by both Jiang and Hu to pack the standing committee of the politburo with their
supporters even though they were retiring. An orderly transition to the fourth
and fifth generations of post-1949 leaders does not, however, mean leadership
consensus on how China should, and will, evolve in the future. The disruptions
that preceded the Eighteenth Party Congress in 2012, and the re-centralization of
power under Xi Jinping that were consolidated in the Nineteenth Party Congress
five years later have been interpreted as a regression back to the Maoist era.
In the analysis of Pei Minxin, the PRC may be trapped in a different problem
of transition: as a consequence of Deng’s opting for a gradual transformation of
the economy from state-controlled to market-driven, China is caught in a partial
reform equilibrium where partially reformed economic and political institutions
360 C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions
Historical prediction is always difficult and fraught with errors. Thirty years
ago, anyone who predicted the dismantling of the Berlin Wall and the fall of the
Soviet empire would have been thought a misguided idealist. China, as the PRC
government frequently points out, is very different from the Soviet Union, or
from Europe, and one cannot assume that it will replicate developments in either.
This said, certain developments seem more likely than others.
The first scenario resembles the neo-authoritarian paradigm that Chinese
media began to publicize around 1988. With party and state firmly in control
again, mechanisms will be established to substitute for those functions that
were lost after Deng Xiaoping’s reforms were introduced. System decay, to use
Huntington’s terminology, will be halted. Economic development, adherents of
neo-authoritarianism argue, needs a firm guiding hand. Market reforms must be
introduced gradually and closely monitored by the central government in order
to correct for such unwanted side effects as inflation and maldistribution. This
guided economic development and, ultimately, the country as a whole could only
C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions 361
In short, some believe, state capacity is actually on the rebound. Party and
government leaders do not seek to resuscitate the all-powerful Maoist state and
are aware of the need to reform. While rejecting multi-party democracy and the
separation of powers, they hope to improve state–society relations and become
more responsive to the people through intra-party democracy and by establish-
ing more transparency in government operations. They envision what might be
called consultative Leninism, whose major characteristics include:
Performance-based criteria have replaced ideology as the basis for the legit-
imization of the party’s rule. A major overriding goal, in addition to keeping the
party in power, is to provide stability within which economic development can
continue. The CCP will institutionalize checks and balances within its leadership,
meaning that there will be intra-party democracy, not liberal democracy. Efforts
are being made to improve the effectiveness of organs of government. Restruc-
tured fiscal and tax systems have given central authorities a stronger revenue
base. Regulatory institutions are being improved, and attempts made to curb
bureaucratic abuses of power. If used vigilantly, the central government’s ability
to appoint officials to posts and rotate them at will may prevent the emergence
of personal fiefdoms.
362 C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions
Other scholars see this as overstating what has happened. For example, Jiang
Zemin’s ability to retain military power for a period after his resignation as pres-
ident and party head, and to arrange for the appointment to the politburo stand-
ing committee of persons known more for their loyalty to him than for their
competence, indicates that there are limitations on the routinization of leader-
ship succession and the application of meritocratic criteria for promotion. Such
aberrations are not, these scholars point out, isolated phenomena. Princelings
occupy high positions that are disproportionate to their numbers.
Moreover, increased functional specialization of bureaucracies does not nec-
essarily mean better government, as shown by the miscarriages of justice that
occurred during the “strike hard” campaign. There is no guarantee that the
groups participating in intra-party checks and balances will cooperate with each
other to maintain the overall stability of the society: They could collude with
each other to conceal malfeasance or, on the other hand, indulge in conflictual
factional behavior that disrupts stability. Furthermore, although a fair and pre-
dictable legal system is recognized as important to the maintenance of stability,
leaders have not accepted that the party itself should be bound by this system.
Xi Jinping has been able to centralize power in his person while carrying out a
major purge that, although nominally directed only against corruption, has fallen
hardest on his opponents. This hardly seems like intra-party democracy.
Finally, while village elections have often improved governance in rural
areas, the party will not tolerate any actions there that contravene its policies.
It has invalidated the election results of candidates who it believes might chal-
lenge party authority, and has resorted to a variety of methods to impose, or
re-impose, its control. There has been no change in the fundamental values
of party and government. Repression has not been mitigated; it has simply
become more subtle and therefore better able to operate below the scrutiny of
international monitoring agencies or, in the manner of the “anaconda in the
chandelier” metaphor described in Chapter 12, to induce individuals to exercise self-
censorship. As seen in the arrest and sentencing of petitioners, of the signatories
of Charter 08, and of those who sought to defend the rights of earthquake vic-
tims, when self-censorship fails, party and government quickly resort to harsher
measures. This scenario may be termed authoritarian stability: the leadership
will make such adjustments as it deems necessary to preserve its hold on power.
China 20 years from now may be economically more prosperous, but its form of
government will not be more liberal. Artificial intelligence is being used to over-
see the population in ways that Mao Zedong could not have imagined.
The second scenario, namely that the present government will be overthrown,
is predicted by those who believe that an accumulation of problems is causing
pressures which will lead to an explosion of anger against the current form of
government. They do not agree with proponents of the first scenario that the
authoritarian government is stable. Protests by farmers and displaced workers
will escalate; runs on banks will cause the fragile economic system to collapse.
Democracy will follow. Unfortunately for proponents of this scenario, however
unpopular the party and state leaders may be, they have effectively prevented the
C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions 363
Despite the increasing disparities of income between rich and poor, a middle
class has developed: in time, it may demand an increase in civil liberties. None-
theless, in the near term, the evolutionary process is likely to be accompanied by
a great deal of economic and social disruption. This will cause great discomfort
within the ruling elite, who will be strongly tempted to crush it.
Moreover, even if an evolution toward civil society occurs despite government
attempts to stifle it, the result may not be liberal democracy: the illegal auton-
omous groups are divided among themselves on the issue of political reform.
Some do want liberal democracy, but others want to return to Maoist politics or
espouse militantly nationalistic agendas. Ethnic separatists may advocate the dis-
solution of the current political system but do not necessarily advocate democ-
racy, even for their own areas. There are a variety of positions within all of these
groups, and little discourse among the holders of these positions.
Certain key counter-elites who could potentially challenge the current com-
munist leadership, most notably the new private entrepreneurial class, show
little concern for meaningful political change. Their interests are closely tied
to the stability of the process of market reform under the auspices of the cur-
rent authoritarian government. Pro-democracy dissidents argue that the two
groups—political and economic elites—have a common interest in exploiting
and repressing the peasants and workers. Hence, market forces tend toward an
incorporation of society rather than a liberation of society. In this view, it is not
simply party/government repression that prevents economic freedom from gen-
erating political freedom; it is the type of capitalism that has developed in the
PRC, which does not lend itself to generating demands for freedom. China has
developed relation-based capitalism, in which the interests of entrepreneurs are
protected not by institutions but by special relationships with those in power.
Hence, entrepreneurs not only do not demand autonomy but may actually fear
it, since their persons and their business activities will no longer be protected.
The result could be what has been called the Latin Americanization of China.
Those who make this argument realize that China is different from Latin Amer-
ica, where both the military and the church have traditionally exercised far more
influence than in the PRC. They focus on the development of a collusive rela-
tionship between business and political elites, particularly at the local level, that
functions to create prosperity for them at the expense of workers and farmers.
This has spawned class conflict that could pit the have-not class against the enti-
tled business/bureaucratic elite in the sort of ongoing and economically costly
low-level disputes that have characterized much of Latin American politics.
Those who espouse the fourth scenario—paralysis within the central govern-
ment as power devolves to lower levels—see state capacity continuing to dete-
riorate. Leaders from Deng Xiaoping through Xi Jinping have strongly backed
continued reform and announced ambitious plans to effect it, but their view of
reform is relatively narrow and, essentially, instrumental: political reform must
serve the needs of economic modernization while simultaneously supporting the
party’s hold on power. The gradual transition from communism begun by Deng
has helped entrench the party state, which now thwarts efforts to deepen market
C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions 365
reforms and ease the transition into democracy. The emergence of an increasingly
collective leadership would actually reduce the likelihood that thoroughgoing
reforms will even be attempted, much less implemented, since the need for con-
sensus makes bold moves improbable. Gradualism allows the ruling elites to make
selective withdrawals from the centrally planned state that maintain their control
of the most lucrative, high-profit rent sectors of the economy. Control over sectors
with rich financial yields also facilitates the emergence of political alliances with
stakes in the semi-reformed system but no interest in political reform. The ruling
elites use their control to co-opt emerging social elites into a collusive network of
rent-sharing, which pre-empts political challenges. Initial reform efforts buy the
regime a temporary lease on life, but high economic growth rates cannot compen-
sate indefinitely for weak political institutions. Because of the problem of dissi-
pation of rents among so many groups, party and government’s ability to extract
compliance with their directives continues to erode. Each incremental reform step
must be carefully negotiated and will therefore necessitate compromises that per-
mit the continuation of local protectionism as well as the expansion of existing
economic inefficiencies. Ultimately, these will take a toll on growth rates.
Authoritarian power, already fragmented, will become more so. Advocates
of this position describe the PRC as in a crisis of governance, and note that an
intrusive state is not necessarily an effective state. Among other factors:
Local forces continue to gain strength and, so long as they do not directly
challenge the central authorities, are rarely challenged by those central authori-
ties. For the time being at least, the clientelist networks that arose from the insti-
tutional framework established by the party are functioning sufficiently well to
bind state and society together, albeit not in the manner originally envisaged by
the CCP leadership. In this analysis, China is trapped in a transition state that is
ultimately unsustainable.
What this means for the future is problematic. Broadly speaking, there is a
debate between those who feel that the current authoritarian government can
reform itself—that is, the autocracy is resilient—or that it cannot withstand the
pressures which partial reform has created and hence must democratize or disin-
tegrate. In other words, will China continue in the neo-traditional paradigm or is
the emergence of civil society a necessity for continued modernization?
Those who believe that China’s best interests are served by the former
acknowledge that the PRC has serious problems, but point out that party and
government have shown themselves capable of reforms, which include returning
the fiscal system to more firm central control, implementing a rotation system
366 C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions
for officials to avoid localism, and imposing mandatory retirement ages to intro-
duce circulation within the bureaucracy. Meritocracy has become an important
criterion in official promotions; millions of people have been lifted out of pov-
erty. Policy experiments continue at the local level, are modified on the basis
of experience, and, where appropriate, introduced more widely. Evolution and
innovation will continue within the current structure.
Under Xi Jinping, however, there has been a reversal of what seemed to be a
trend toward collective leadership. The capacity of the party-state has increased;
power is less fragmented. Polls indicate that the citizenry accepts the legitimacy
of party and government. Democracies, too, have problems with corruption and
pollution, with an autocratic government perhaps better positioned to deal with
them. Repression is needed to deal with the small minority who wish to top-
ple the system; the current economic slowdown is cyclical, not structural. The
leadership will consolidate the one-party model, challenging the Western world’s
democratic paradigm with a post-democratic one.
Those who believe that only democracy can solve China’s problems scoff at
data indicating that the majority of citizens accept the CCP’s rule as legitimate:
in a country without free speech, such polls are similar to giving a single-choice
examination. Rather than being confined to a small minority of the perpetually
dissatisfied, calls for democratic reform continue to gain strength despite repres-
sion. The PRC is not a meritocracy, since patronage, not ability, is the chief crite-
rion for promotion. Some highly capable people do manage to rise through the
system, just as patronage and princeling-like connections allow some less capable
people to rise to power in democracies. But in neither case are they the norm.
A Bo Xilai simply could not have gone so far as he did in the West.
The current system’s ability to innovate should not be underestimated, and
is one reason why the PRC’s political system has not crumbled sooner. But many
more promising reforms have been stifled by apparatchiks who fear threats to
their vested interests or the wrath of their superiors. The party has indeed pre-
sided over impressive economic growth, but it has been ineffective at distributing
it equitably and providing the social services the economic growth would enable.
At the same time, it devotes immense sums to the military, even though China
has no external enemy. Expenditures for domestic security are even higher, not
so much against crime as because party and government feel they must pro-
tect themselves against the Chinese people. In this analysis, a democratic China
might not exceed the economic growth rate of previous decades, but at least
the growth would be more inclusive, flowing to the majority of the population
rather than, as at present, to party/government functionaries and a small number
of well-connected capitalists. Since 1989, the party has not adopted any genuine
political reforms, with high economic growth rates providing an emollient to
many discontents, but, as the World Bank has pointed out, these growth rates
cannot be sustained without fundamental reforms to the system. If these are not
forthcoming, existing discontents will be magnified. Past economic gains have
provided a cushion for the implementation of such reforms, thereby providing an
opportunity for liberalization which party and government must not squander.
C H A P T E R 1 5 ▸ Conclusions 367
369
INDEX
agricultural producers Bloc Within See First United Chinese Academy of Social
cooperatives (APCs) Front (“Bloc Within”) Sciences (CASS) 142, 169,
151–153 Bloc Without See Second United 220, 245, 246, 248, 322
acupuncture 251 Front (“Bloc Without”) Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
“adventurism” 92, 338 blockhouse strategy 66 xi, 8–13, 62–76, 143, 145
Ai Weiwei 291 Bo Xilai 20, 132, 135, 145, 366 and economy, 148
AIIB see Asian Infrastructure Bolsheviks; Bolshevik revolution and education 227
Investment Bank 3, 57, 60, 82 founding of 56–71, 75
AIDS, HIV/AIDS 255, 256, 317 bourgeois scientific objectivism and legal system, 177
All-China Federation of Literary 90, 181, 230, 307 and military 202
and Art Circles (ACFLAC) Boxers (Fists of Righteous and minorities 294
274 Harmony Society) 52 takes power 76
All-China Federation of Trade Brezhnev doctrine 342 Chinese People’s Political
Unions (ACFTU) 169 Britain, Great Britain 41, 47. 90, Consultative Conference
“anaconda in the chandelier” 167, 300, 334, 344, 353 (CPPCC) 76–77, 84, 86, 99,
289, 362 bubonic plague 251 178
Analects 35 Buddha, Buddhism 7, 30, 126, civil liberties. See human rights/
An Lushan 38 138, 282, 315 civil liberties
anti-rightist campaign 87, 91, bureaucratic politics school of civil society 21, 127–128,
108, 133, 181, 208, 230, analysis 19 137, 200, 288, 292, 363,
231, 276, 281, 306, 309 Bus Stop 281 364–365, 383
anti-secession law 222, 350 Cixi (empress dowager) 50–54,
Asian Infrastructure Investment Castro, Fidel 340 102
Bank 139, 173 CCP See Chinese Communist clans
asymmetric warfare, 224 Party (CCP) resurgence in power of 81,
Autumn Harvest Uprising 63 Censorate 31, 57 199, 215, 357, 373
avoidance, law of, 33, 36 Central Advisory Commission in traditional system 16, 33,
115, 118, 122, 123 36, 78
Ba Jin, 272 Central Discipline Inspection class labels 77–78, 108, 232
backyard blast furnaces 90, 153, Commission (CDIC) 140 class struggle 5, 70, 93, 108,
230, 265 Central Military Commission 150, 280, 310
baihua 228, 229 (CMC) 83, 105, 111, 115, collectivization 80, 85–88, 152,
Bandung spirit 336–337 117, 118, 120, 131, 132, 154, 206, 306–307
bankruptcy law 161 133, 136, 138, 205, 223, Comintern (Communist
baojia system 32, 59, 66, 74, 224 International) 57, 62–63,
99 Central Party School 124, 125 80
barbarians 1, 2, 25, 27, 38, 39, central-regional school of commandism 18, 72, 85
46–47, 286, 301, 305 analysis 16–18, 80, 104, Common Program 77, 178
barefoot doctors, 253–251 136 communes 90–91, 109,
BAT (Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent) “century of shame” 14 128, 152–154, 158, 233,
141 CDIC See Central Discipline 307–310, 357
Beida (Beijing University; Inspection Commission communist neo-traditionalism
Peking University) 61, 86, Chavez, Hugo 349 21–22, 105, 365, 367
241, 245. Chen Min’er 143, 144 Communist Youth League (CYL)
Beijing Coma 289 Chen Xitong 124, 130 84, 111, 131, 132, 135, 137,
Beijing, Treaty of (1860) 47 Chen Yun 116, 118, 160 142, 178, 214, 278
Beijing University See Beida Chiang Kai-shek 2, 57, 58, Confucius; Confucianism 2, 7,
big-character posters. See 62–70, 74 15, 22, 28, 30–34, 37, 38,
wallposters, big-character China Can Say No 290 40, 45, 47–48, 58, 59, 61,
posters China-is-China-is-China school 350, 360
Bird’s Nest Stadium 291 of analysis 14, 15, 105, 153 and family system 35, 56, 273
370
Index 371
Former Soviet Union. See Soviet guanxi (connections) 112, 216 337, 338, 340, 346, 348,
Union (USSR) Guangxu emperor 51–53, 289 349, 352, 353
“four cleans” movement 94 guoyu. See mandarin (as Indonesia 34, 42, 334, 337, 340,
Four Basic Principles 109, 118, language) 347
126, 215 inflation
“four big freedoms” 183 Hai Jui 277 and military 220–221
Four Modernizations 107, 110, Halley’s Comet 25 brought under control post-
156, 157, 260, 283 Han (as ethnic group) 24, 37, 1949 79, 85, 149, 155
“four olds” 97–98, 310 38, 51, 58, 66, 77, 248 effect on minority areas 312
Fourteen Points 55 Han Dynasty 39, 140 effects on education 238
Fourth Field Army 17, 101, 211, “happiness homes for the aged” in republican period 74
212, 311 91 as result of Deng’s reforms
fourth generation of CCP leaders He Qinglian 159, 363 113, 115, 118–120,
130–131 “helicopter people,” 100 163–167, 174, 262, 357,
fragmented authoritarianism 22 high-level equilibrium trap 360
Front Line 94, 96 43–44 informationized warfare 222
functional (external) imperative HIV/AIDS, See AIDS, HIV/AIDS intellectuals, intelligentsia 1–3,
206, 210, 215 Hong Kong 47, 53, 57, 60, 99, 7, 54–56, 60–61, 68, 70, 72,
120, 129, 142, 164, 166, 86–87, 90, 96, 108, 119,
Gang of Four (Shanghai 282, 328, 334, 344, 353 211, 230–231, 233, 236,
radicals) 98, 102, 104, 110, Hu Feng 276 242, 273–277, 286, 325,
111, 156, 185, 186, 188, Hu Jintao 7, 12, 15, 20, 84, 125, 358, 361
212, 280 130, 131, 132, 135–136, involutionary commercialization
generational school of analysis 143, 359 43
10–11 economic goals 131, 177 “iron rice bowl” 6, 107, 134,
Geneva Conference 336 and legal system 197, 200 160–161
gentry 32, 33, 42, 48, 59 and military 219, 225 Israel 334
Germany 41, 48, 50, 56, 168, and social controls 127, 197,
300, 338 288 Japan 2, 10, 40, 48, 50, 52, 60,
Gini coefficient 169 Hu Shi 56 133, 146, 223, 263, 270,
“Goddess of Democracy” 121 Hu Yaobang 20, 115–119, 132, 286, 346–349, 351–353
“Golden Monkey” 279 242, 313 demonstrations against 56
Golden Triangle 255 Hua Guofeng 20, 84, 102, 104, during World War II 11, 13,
gongjianfa 182 111, 157 65–66, 68–69, 73–74, 162
Gorbachev 121, 122, 346 Huang, Philip 43 economic comparison 168,
Grand Canal 48 Hui. See Muslims/ Hui 344, 355
“Great Empty Talk” 95, 96 human flesh-eating search influence on Chinese military
Great Harmony 15, 35, 350 engines 290 202
Great Leap Forward 97, 133, human rights/civil liberties 7, 10, Jiang Qing (Madame Mao
329, 354, 356 36, 45, 107, 112, 113, 185, Zedong
compared to Cultural 186, 192–194, 196–199, Jiang Rong 289
Revolution 100, 121 201, 290, 292, 315, 316, Jiang Zemin 12, 15, 20,
economic purpose and effects 323, 328, 329, 346, 349, 122–125, 135–137, 143,
4–5, 88–93, 152, 153, 154 352, 364, 371 148, 361
effect on education 230–231 Hundred Days Reforms 51–52, and economic reforms 7, 134
effect on environment 265 54 and military 131, 219–220
effect on ethnic minorities Hundred Flowers campaign 28, and Shanghai Cooperation
306–309, 314 85–88, 181, 230, 258, 276, Organization (SCO) 319,
health 252, 259 280, 292, 306 348
legal system 181–182 Hundred Schools of Thought satirized 130
literature and art 276–277, 28–30, 39, 86 Jiangxi soviet 63–669, 69
289 Huntington, Samuel 206, 358 Joffe, Adolph 57, 62
military 208–210 hydraulic society 39–40 jural mode of legal system
Great Strategic Battles 285 178–180, 182, 184
Green Gang 62 “independent kingdoms” 80, 128
guandao (official corruption) India 24, 30, 173, 211, 267, 308, Kadeer, Rebiya 317
162 313, 319, 323, 334, 336, kala-azar disease 25–252
Index 373
Kangda (Resist Japan University) life expectancy 257 and bandit novels 33
202 likin 48 compared to emperor 14, 90,
Kang Youwei 51, 53 limited high technology war 113, 327
Kazakhs, Kazakhstan 38, 294, 219 cult of 95–96, 110, 273
305, 314, 316, 341 Lin Biao 17, 19–20, 92, 96, in Cultural Revolution 95–100
ketou (kowtow) 49, 327 98–101, 209, 211–212, 234, death of 5, 103, 213, 367
key schools 231, 235–237, 239, 280, 311, 342 de-Maoification 110, 311
244 Lincoln, Abraham 2, 58 early years of 11, 56, 61–63
Khrushchev 97, 338–340 Ling Jihua 135 economic goals 134, 148,
KMT See Kuomintang (KMT) Link, Perry 289 154–156, 163, 177
Kong, Master See Confucius, literacy rates 229, 244, 248, and education 228, 230–239,
Confucianism 355 249
Koran reprinted 109 “Little Red Book” 96, 98, 145 and ethnic minorities 294,
Korea, Koreans 78, 120, 133, Liu Binyan 284 300–311
146, 290, 313, 334–336, Liu Huaqing 123, 125, 219 and foreign policy 327–331,
347, 351–353 Liu Xiaobo 292, 352 335, 338–339, 342–334,
Korean War 78, 206–207, 339 Liu Shaoqi 84, 89, 92, 97, 99, 348, 356
Kuomintang (KMT) 177, 203, 100, 108, 180 and Great Leap Forward 4,
275, 334 “local emperors” 128 88–91
and economy 149 local government and health 253, 256
and education 229 in traditional China 31–33, 45 and Hundred Flowers 28,
and ethnic minorities post-1949 159, 174–175, 191, 85–87
founding and early years 2, 10, 198, 222, 240, 243, 245, legacy of 7, 8, 11, 109–110,
17, 54, 56–60, 62, 63, 65–76 248, 255, 263, 365 356
health policies of 250 local, limited wars on China’s and legal system 182–183,
Kuznets, Simon 169 periphery 213 194, 200
Kyoto Protocol and loess soil 68, 265 and literature 96–97, 274, 276,
environmental summit 270 Logicians 29 279–283, 285, 287–288
Long Gongsun 29 military model 64, 202–205,
land reform, land redistribution Long March 65–73 209–212, 215, 225
after 1949 79, 85–86, 150, Lushan Plenum 92 on population 257
179, 206 Lu Xun 272–273, 284 and rapprochement with U.S.
in ethnic minority areas satirized 130, 278–279
305–306 M. Butterfly 330 on women 261, 357
in Jiangxi soviet 64 Ma Yinchu 258, 260 “margarine communists” 65,
in Yan’an period 69, 71, 150 Macao 334, 344, 353 339
laojiao (education through Madame Mao Zedong. See “market-Leninism” 123, 166
labor) 103, 179, 191, 236 Jiang Qing (Madame Mao Marriage Law 179
law of avoidance 33, 36 Zedong) Marx, Karl; Marxism; Marxism-
“lean to one side” policy malaria 251, 252 Leninism 3–4, 7, 14–15, 18,
334–336 Malthus, Thomas 257–259 38–44, 56, 58, 60–61, 63,
Lee Teng-hui 347 Manchus 38, 47, 54, 58, 65, 77 70, 72, 76–78, 87–89, 97,
Legalists 29, 280 Manchukuo 65, 68 108, 109, 116, 131, 143,
Lei Feng 123, 210, 218, 282, mandarin (as language) 78, 129, 145, 220, 242, 247, 249,
285 228, 231, 272 257, 273, 276, 286–287,
Lenin 69, 72, 87, 116–117, 201, Mandarin Duck and Butterfly 356, 360, 363
328, 329 school 272 and alienation 88
“let the dust settle” policy 335 mandate of heaven 60, 75, 93, economic theories of 38, 148,
lethal injection 192 257 159, 169, 202
li/fa distinction 35, 180 Mao Zedong xi, 5, 7, 10, 12, and ethnic minorities 301,
Li Keqiang 132, 135, 138, 144 16–20, 76–103, 104–110, 309, 322
Li Lanqing 125 115, 119, 126, 128, 131, 133, on foreign policy 327–329,
Li Peng 9, 12, 116, 118–123, 244 135, 138, 141, 143, 144, 340
Li Ruihuan 130, 131 145, 159, 160, 179, 181, 213, and population 257–258
“Li Yizhe” 279 273, 279, 288, 292, 358–359, relevance to present 116–117
Lianjiang documents 94 36–362, 364, 367 mass mobilization, techniques of
Lieberthal, Kenneth 22 adapts Marx to China 3–4, 88 20, 70, 222
374 Index
mass organizations 8, 70–71, 84, Sixteenth (2002) 20, 130, Opium War (1839–1842) 1, 13,
98, 150, 274 132–133 47, 255
MATs. See mutual aid teams/ Seventeenth (2007) 132, 136, organ harvesting 194
MATs 142 “Oriental despotism” 39
Matsu 338 Eighteenth (2012) 133, Organization of Petroleum
May Fourth Movement 56, 61, 135–136, 142, 321, 359 Exporting Companies
78, 119, 229, 272 Nineteenth (2017) 83, 142–145, (OPEC) 344
“mechanicalism” 276 223, 248, 321, 359 overseas Chinese 53, 337, 340,
mediation 178, 189–201 National People’s Congress 345
Mencius 205 (NPC) 83, 123, 125, 128,
Meiji Restoration (1868–1912) 132, 139, 140, 170, 179, palace politics school of analysis
48–49 186, 200, 258, 263, 266, 19–20, 105
Middle Kingdom 1, 327–328 303, 321, 328, Pancha Sheela (Five Principles
migrant workers. See floating nationalism 38, 51, 58, 60, 73, of Peaceful Coexistence)
population/ migrant workers 286, 306, 329–330, 337 336–337
Military Administrative nationalities institutes 303, 314 Panchen Lama 316, 318, 323
Committees/regions 80 Natuna islands 347 Paris Commune 99
militia 11, 102, 105, 152, 183, Nehru, Jawaharlal 336, 338 Peace Charter group 124
203, 209–213, 330 neighborhood committees. See peaceful rising,” “peaceful
Mill, John Stuart 86 street committees development” 350
Ming Dynasty 3, 37, 42, 50 neo-authoritarianism 6, 118, Pei Minxin 174, 359
minnan/minbei dialects 16 119, 360 Peking (Beijing) Union Medical
Mo Zi, Mohists, Mohism 28 neo-Confucianism 30, 286 College 250
modernization 1, 5, 7, 40, 50, neo-leftists 286–287 Peng Dehuai 92, 206–207, 209,
60, 93, 100, 108, 215, 220, “never left-out class” 159 211, 278
227, 235–236, 241, 286, New Fourth Army, New Fourth Peng Zhen 96
324, 345, 356, 357, 359, Army incident, 69, 70, 73 pension funds 168
364, 365 New International Economic People’s Armed Forces
Mongols, Mongolia 35, 37, Order (NIEO) 344 Department 212
38, 77, 101, 277, 289, New Life Movement 59 People’s Armed Police 215, 217,
294, 304–306, 309–316, Nixon, Richard 327, 342–343 223
318–323, 334, 345, 353 Nobel prize people’s democratic dictatorship
Moore, Barrington 41 literature 281 77, 80, 108, 185, 302
Muslims/Hui 66, 77, 117, peace 292, 316, 352 “people’s diplomacy” 332
303, 307–309, 311, 313, non-antagonistic contradictions People’s Liberation Army (PLA)
315–316, 319, 325, 344, 348 86 17, 95, 98–99, 101–102,
mutual aid teams/MATs 150, non-governmental organizations 115, 117, 202–226, 303,
306 (NGOs) 126 342, 345, 347, 352
Northern Expedition 58–59, 62 and cultural affairs 111, 285
Naito Konsan/Naito hypothesis divests commercial interests
40–41 OBOR see One Belt One Road 220
Nanchang insurrection 62 “officers to the ranks” program and ethnic minorities 305
Nathan, Andrew 15–16 208, 210 in foreign policy 328, 332,
National Defense University 214 “Official Banquet Song” 285 founded 203
National Party Congress 83 Olympic Games 14, 197, 267, relationship to CCP 202–205,
Eighth (1956) 84, 92, 180 289, 318 211–212, 215, 218
Ninth (1969) 125, 211, 342 “On the Correct Handling of and Tiananmen incident
Tenth (1973) 101 Contradictions among the 121–123, 217–219
Eleventh (1978) 107, 110, People” 87, 280 People’s War 64, 203, 209, 215,
157, 259 “On the New Democracy” 76 222
Twelfth (1982) 115 One Belt One Road (OBOR) 139 under modern conditions 213
Thirteenth (1987) 118–119, one-child policy 260, 262, 312, permanent revolution 117,
123 358 356
Fourteenth (1992) 123–125, “one country, two systems” 353 petitions 190–191, 358
166, 218 “open door” policy 5, 108, 114, Petroleum Faction 104, 111
Fifteenth (1997) 125, 132, 225 122, 162 “ping-pong diplomacy” 343
Index 375
State Council 83, 105, 179, 221, ti-yong dichotomy 2, 7, 51 vernacular literature 33, 35, 56
244, 259, 265, 268, 303, Tiananmen Square and Versailles Treaty 56
322, 331, 332 demonstrations 12, 13, 21, Vietnam 107, 211, 213, 294,
state-owned enterprises (SOEs) 75, 97, 101, 102, 106, 110, 326, 342, 344–345, 351,
124, 171–172, 174, 256 117, 119–122, 127, 164, 353, 354
“stinking ninth category” 183, 184, 188, 196, 213, vocational training 228, 230,
(intellectuals) 108, 232, 236 242, 284–285, 288–289, 236, 244
strategic interaction school of 292, 316, 328, 329, 346, Voice of America (VOA) 120
analysis 12–14, 202 349, 350, 359, 361, 367 “volcanic stability” 363
street committees 189–190, 233 Tibet, Tibetans, Tibet
“Strike Hard” (yanda) campaign Autonomous Region (TAR) Walder, Andrew 21
130 119, 210, 248, 265, 291, “walk(ing) on two legs” 252
Sun and Man 281 308, 310, 312, 313, 314, wall posters, big-character
Sun-Joffe Manifesto 57, 62 315, 316, 318, 320, 321, posters 86, 97, 106–107, 279
Sun Yat-sen 2, 53, 57–60, 64, 322, 323, 325, 334, 336, 353 Wang Keping 282
78, 85 Tombstone 289 Wang Ming 98
Supreme People’s Court 86, Tongmeng Hui (Alliance Society) Wang Qishan 138, 140, 143,
180 54 144
Sun Zi 1, 37, 47, 205 Tongzhi restoration (1862–1874) Wang Zhen 118, 122
syphilis 254 47–50 Ward, Frederick Townsend 38
totalitarian model 10, 20–21, warlords; warlordism 55, 57, 62,
“tails of capitalism” 154, 158 367 65, 66, 68, 203
Taiwan, Republic of China tourism 123, 146, 300, 313, 315 Warring States era 42, 86
(ROC) 60, 83, 94, 120, 146, transitional crisis system Water Margin 280
211, 282, 284, 328–329, 356–357, 359 Weber, Max 40, 356
334–335, 337, 338, 342, Triad Society 195, 255 Wei Guoqing 204
343–345 True Story of Ah Q, The 272 Wei Jingsheng 107, 127, 188
Taiwan Relations Act 343 Truman, Harry 234, 335 Wen Jiabao 132, 135, 246
Taiwan Strait 347 Twenty-one Demands (1915) weiqi (strategy game) 205
Tang dynasty 34, 38, 40, 279 55, 56 wenyan (literary language) 228
“Ten Thousand Character “two centers of power” Whampoa Military Academy
Memorial” 286, 287 131–132, 136 and clique 57, 58, 202
“ten thousand horses stand “two whatevers” 104, 106 White-haired Girl 179
mute” 106 White Lotus Society 32
“ten thousand yuan households” Ugly Chinaman, The 284 “white terror” 62
159 Ulanhu 309, 311 WHO See World Health
Teng Biao 201 unequal treaties 12, 47, 334, 339 Organization (WHO)
third generation (of CCP United Front Work Department Wilson, Woodrow 55
leaders) 12, 124 (UFWD) 302–303 Wittfogel, Karl 39–40
third line strategy 212 United Nations (UN) 14, 206, Wolf Totem 289
“three alls” 74 219, 223, 328, 335, 343, work points 91, 94, 151, 153
three anti, five anti campaign 344, 348, 350, 351, 352, 355 work unit (danwei) 84, 189,
(sanfan-wufan) 79, 179 United States (U.S.) 11, 12, 13, 190, 238, 275, 279
“Three Family Village” 95 29, 35, 48, 54, 60, 65, 73, World Economic Herald 284,
Three Gorges dam 268 78, 135, 146, 173, 209, 211, 290
“three guarantees and one 213, 219, 222, 223, 233, World Health Organization
reward” 153 235, 237, 238, 267, 269, (WHO) 255, 256, 267
“three lean years” 93 270, 290, 315, 317, 324, World Trade Organization
Three Principles of the People 327–330, 329, 334–335, (WTO) 14, 169, 344, 352
(San Min Zhu Yi) 337, 341, 342–349, 351, 353 Wu Han 95, 96, 277, 278
Three Represents 125–126, 131, Unlimited Warfare 222 Wuhan
143, 359 Unrequited Love See Sun and Man as center of industry 311
“three guarantees and one USSR See Soviet Union (USSR) as site of Mao’s swim 97
reward,” 153 Ussuri River 341 in 1911 revolution 54
“three selfs and one guarantee” Uyghurs 305, 312, 316–318, resolution 92
153 320, 322 Wu Zetian 14
Index 377
Xi Jinping 7, 9, 12, 84, 132, 173, Yan Fu 51 Yuan (Mongol) dynasty 35, 37, 38
174, 200, 219, 257, 288, 329, Yan’an soviet and model Yuan Shikai 52, 54
331, 359, 362, 364, 366, 367 67–74, 98, 178, 273–274,
and military 222–223 276, 302 Zeng Qinghong 132
as leader of CCP 135–147 Yang Baibing 123, 218–219 Zhao Ziyang 106, 111, 116,
cult of 138, 248 Yang Dezhi 213 118, 119–122, 123
opposition to 140–141 “Yang family village” 121, 218 Zhang Tiesheng 234, 236
Xia dynasty 25 Yang Shangkun 115, 118, 120, Zhang Xueliang 68
Xi’an incident; Xi’an agreement 121, 122, 123, 216, 218 Zhang Yimou 289
68, 69–70, 73, 273 Yangtze river and delta 11, 54, Zhang Zhen 219
xiaozu (small group) 85 73, 97, 251, 268, 288 zhengfeng (rectification)
xiaokang (well off society) 131 Yao Wenyuan 95, 98 campaign 71–72, 274
xiaxiang (down to the Ye Jianying 111, 115, 116 Zhongguo. See Middle Kingdom
countryside movement) 71, Ye Xuanping 116 Zhou dynasty 39
90, 233 Yellow River 24, 268, 270, Zhou Enlai 12, 20, 55, 57,
Xingzhong Hui (Revive China 284 99–102, 106, 110, 116, 156,
Society) 53 Yellow River Cantata 273 213, 280, 336–337, 342
Xinhua (New China) news Yellow Turbans 32 Zhou Yongkong 138
agency 140, 310, 332 yellow unions 63 Zhu De 63
Xinjiang 117, 130, 305, 308, Yi (Lolo) 66, 303, 305, 306, Zhu Rongji 125
311, 312, 313, 314, 316, 308 Zhuang nationality, Guangxi
318, 319, 320, 321, 323, Yihetuan. See Boxers (Fists of Zhuang Autonomous Region
325, 339, 341, 353 Righteous Harmony Society) 205, 314, 323
Xu Caihou 138 yin-yang 29, 30, 42 Zunyi conference 67