Preferential Trade
Preferential Trade
Preferential Trade
Abstract: This article examines how fragmentation of the global trade regime
into preferential agreements, built on a multilateral baseline of World Trade
Organization (WTO) rules, affects trade governance. The analysis relies on 105
interviews with trade policy professionals in core WTO members and a
conceptual distinction between ‘thick’ and ‘thin’ institutionalism to capture
institutional changes in the global trade governance architecture. The WTO’s
thick institutionalism facilitates institutionalized interactions among members of
the trade policy community that are essential for transparency and dialogue and
the rule of law character of the trade regime. It secures the continued belief of
trade policy professionals in the WTO’s centrality in trade governance. The thin
institutionalism of the network of preferential agreements spells the return to à la
carte forms of trade governance and benefits those with the technical and political
capacity to successfully navigate the fragmented governance architecture.
Ongoing institutional transformations shift global trade governance away from
rules-based back to more power-based forms.
1. Introduction
* Email: silke.trommer@manchester.ac.uk
This project was supported by the Australian Research Council (Discovery Grant 120101634). Professor
Ann Capling, University of Melbourne, designed the research project and secured research funding. We col-
lectively built the sample and she participated in field work in India and China. I am deeply indebted to her
for her mentorship and grateful for our continued friendship. I would also like to thank Marc Froese,
Martin Björklund, and the reviewers for excellent feedback provided.
501
2016a). In light of the political events of 2016, notably the British referendum on
European Union (EU) membership and the United States (US) presidential election,
hopes that the current generation of megaregional negotiations could produce
building blocs for a more unified trade regime hang in the air. How fragmentation
of the governance architecture affects world trade politics is one key question for
the future of the WTO, of the trade regime, and of multilateralism more broadly.
Trade multilateralism is seen as economically and politically superior to PTAs in
the literature (Bhagwati, 2008; Capling and Ravenhill, 2011). Ample scholarship
exists to explain why governments nonetheless negotiate networks of bilateral
trade deals (see, e.g., Mercurio, 2009; Evenett, 2014). Vinod Aggarwal and
Simon Evenett (2013) highlight four changing economic and political parameters
as root causes of fragmentation. First, developing countries insist that the terms
of multilateral trade deals be redrawn in their favor to correct perceived biased out-
comes from the 1986–1994 Uruguay Round. Second, developing countries have
gained negotiating power in the WTO, ‘and cannot so easily be pressured, margin-
alized or ignored by richer members’ (Aggarwal and Evenett, 2013: 6). Third, the
US and the EU have come to see PTAs as superior tools for the pursuit of their com-
mercial interests. Fourth, the established consensus concerning government inter-
vention and industrial policy has been undone in view of the economic successes
of emerging markets and the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis (Aggwaral
and Evenett, 2013). Such analysis conceptualizes states as unified actors in global
trade governance that hold exogenously determined political and economic inter-
ests, and that shift between preferential and multilateral policy venues according
to where they expect to pursue their goals most successfully.
From this theoretical vantage point, the inability to conclude the Doha Round is
often seen as compelling evidence for the decline of trade multilateralism. Some
scholars have begun challenging this assessment, for example by placing trade
multilateralism in a longer historical perspective (Muzaka and Bishop, 2015), or
by examining how disputes are channeled from preferential deals to the multilateral
level (Froese, 2016). This article joins this growing body of literature by supple-
menting theoretical insights with an analysis of the views of trade policy communi-
ties in core WTO members. Examining the perceptions of different trade policy
constituencies in different countries, this article argues that ongoing transforma-
tions in global trade governance are more complex than a simple death-of-the-
WTO hypothesis acknowledges. The following reflection offered by a Canadian
trade official in an interview illustrates this point: ‘equat[ing] the breakdown of
the Doha Round with the failure and demise of the WTO … betrays a lack of
understanding of what the WTO does, how many functions are integral to the
WTO, and how much value WTO members attach to those functions’.
This article makes both empirical and theoretical contributions to the literature
on institutional evolutions in the global trade system in particular, and on multilat-
eral governance in general. Empirically, it does not directly explore trade profes-
sionals’ views on the failures of the Doha Round, or on how multilateral
negotiations may be re-launched, although the analysis holds relevance for these
questions. Scrutinizing the understandings of policy practitioners allows revisiting
assumptions about their interests and motivations for behavior in trade govern-
ance. The empirical finding that the majority of interviewees in principle believe
the WTO to maintain centrality in the global trading system raises questions
about how ongoing institutional transformations in global trade governance are
to be conceptualized in the literature. Simply put – if global trade powers have
come to see PTAs as superior tools for pursuing their commercial interests, why
do they continue participating in multilateral governance in Geneva? This study
suggests that trade policy professionals conceive of the global trade governance
architecture holistically, and formulate and pursue their interests with both multi-
lateral and bilateral legal and institutional structures in mind. Yet, with the excep-
tion of the building bloc/stumbling bloc debate (see Baldwin and Seghezza, 2010),
the literature tends to analyze multilateral and bilateral initiatives separately. This
leaves gaps in our knowledge about the impact of legal and institutional fragmen-
tation on the politics of international trade relations. This article attempts to fill
these gaps. Collectively, interviewees drew attention to the role that human and
financial resource constraints play in navigating the global trade governance archi-
tecture and to the institutional limitations of PTA-based dispute settlement that
threaten to undermine the rule of law character of the trade regime.
This article relies on 105 interviews conducted with members of trade policy
communities in Brazil, Canada, China, the EU, India, South Africa, the US, and
Geneva from March 2013 through April 2015. The sample includes representatives
from public trade institutions, the private sector (business and agriculture), labor,
civil society, as well as academic experts, research institutes, and think tanks. It was
built through professional networks acquired during previous research (Capling
and Low, 2010; Trommer, 2014) and snowballing techniques. Interviewees parti-
cipated in semi-structured, open-ended interviews in a personal capacity. As most
participants continue to engage with trade policy processes professionally at the
time of writing, anonymity was guaranteed to informants.
Table 1 shows interviewees by WTO member, timeline of the research, and type
of actor.
The sample provides a snapshot of prevalent opinions among 105 trade policy
practitioners across seven WTO members and a number of international organiza-
tions at a particular historical moment, that is to say between 2013 and 2015.
Resources to expand the research beyond this group have not been available.
Although care needs to be exercised in making theoretical generalizations based
on non-representative samples, the list provided in Appendix 1 demonstrates the
centrality of the organizations, with which interviewees were affiliated, to domestic
trade politics and global trade governance.
The sample may contain a selection bias. Since informants agreed to participate
in a research project on the WTO, it is arguably unsurprising that they tended to
show positive attitudes towards multilateral trade cooperation in principle.
Table 1. Interviewees
Brazil (2013) 5 2 1 2 4 14
Canada (2014) 8 3 1 2 3 17
China (2013) 3 0 0 0 8 11
EU (2013) 4 7 2 2 0 15
India (2015) 2 3 0 3 4 12
South Africa (2013) 4 3 1 1 5 14
USA (2014) 3 5 1 1 6 16
International (2014) 2 0 2 0 2 6
Total 31 23 8 11 32 105
However, this constitutes a relevant finding, not least because it jars with common
assumptions in the literature about a loss of interest in multilateral governance
among key actors in global trade politics. Irrespective of whether participants esti-
mated that the WTO was an institution in crisis, irrelevant, or fundamentally mis-
guided in its policy approach, interviewees expressed strong convictions that
multilateral cooperation was in principle the first best option for arranging inter-
national trade relations in the world today.
Theoretically, this article emphasizes both the role of ideas and perceptions and
the non-unified nature of states in the global trading system by shining light on the
views of different trade policy constituencies in a number of core trading nations. It
engages the literature that sees the growing number of institutional venues in global
governance in a critical light (Alter and Meunier, 2009; Papa, 2015). Daniel
Drezner suggests that ‘institutional thickness weakens global governance struc-
tures’ (Drezner, 2013: 280), because multiplying institutional venues impairs the
power of existing institutional hubs in world politics. Forum-shopping and con-
flicting legal mandates corrode regime coherence. Small governments in particular
struggle with the financial cost associated with fragmentation (Drezner, 2013). In
trade governance, Christina Davis argues that the multiplicity of available trade
policy institutions produces ‘forum shopping, increased reliance on technical
experts, small group environments, and competition among institutions’ (Davis,
2009: 25). The analysis conducted here adds the hollowing out of institutional
support structures for global trade governance as another element to back the the-
oretical conclusion that, after a certain point, the proliferation of institutions leads
global governance back towards more power-based forms.
Instead of considering the number of institutional venues as an indicator of insti-
tutional thickness, the analysis builds on the European public policy literature’s dis-
tinction between a thick institutionalism, in which institutions shape political
actors’ understandings of their policy goals and interests through formal and infor-
mal norms, standards of behavior, and principles of interaction, and a thin
professionals rely more substantially on the political organs and institutional infra-
structure of the WTO than is typically acknowledged in the literature. This insight
holds explanatory potential for members’ continuing engagement with the organ-
ization, irrespective of the effectiveness of its rule-making function in the immediate
term. Trade practitioners consider transparency, enforceability, and uniformity of
trade rules to be crucial for global trade governance, and see the PTA network as
institutionally limited in this regard. As one informant affiliated with the United
States Trade Representative (USTR) Office asserted in the interview: ‘the question
of whether the multilateral trading system continues to have relevance is bordering
on a ridiculous question’.
Second, thin institutionalism is one element of a fragmented global trade govern-
ance architecture that dilutes the rules-based character of the global trade system
and shifts international trade relations to more power-based modes of interaction.
Thin institutionalism hampers the PTAs’ ability to provide transparency and dia-
logue, to deliver accessible and impartial adjudication, and to guarantee uniformity
and simplicity of rules. Preferential agreements therefore bring back the political
flexibility of an à la carte approach to those rules, that was reduced with the cre-
ation of the WTO. While small trading nations and marginal political actors in
world trade politics are likely adversely affected, thin institutionalism empowers
those in a position to shape PTA content and enforcement. Speaking about the
most powerful countries in the trading system, a Canadian business representative
suggested that ‘there’s something about their negotiating culture that’s more com-
fortable in a world based on power, which you would be if you were the most
powerful’.
The analysis unfolds over six sections. The next section contrasts scholarly per-
spectives on the WTO’s governance functions with the views of participants to the
research. The following sections discuss dialogue and transparency, adjudication of
disputes, and the negotiation of trade rules as the three key functions of global trade
governance institutions. Each section compares and contrasts scholarly and inter-
view-based insights on how the WTO and the PTA network perform in providing
these functions. The final section summarizes findings and suggests avenues for
future research.
Figure 2. WTO purpose by type of actor (in percent and including international
interviewees)
of market access, and open markets. The sub-category ‘distribution of gains’ from
trade also comprises the provision of benefits to all members and contributions to
development. ‘Depoliticizing’ trade policy-making captures the view that inter-
national trade rules condition and/or discipline domestic policy-making. All
answers highlighting transparency and dialogue, dispute settlement, and negotiat-
ing multilateral rules are subsumed under the provision of ‘global public goods’.
Global public goods are non-rivalrous in consumption and non-excludable, and
their benefits apply universally (Kaul et al., 1999).
Figure 4. WTO functions by type of actor (in percent and including international
interviewees)
The sample indicates, as an Indian trade official argued in the interview, that
what is seen as the WTO’s purpose among practitioners ‘depends on the country
and the person’. Trade liberalization was overall cited more often than managing
the distribution of trade gains in Canada, China, the EU, and the US, as well as
among public officials, the private sector, and academic experts. In Brazil, India,
South Africa, and among trade unionists and civil society actors, distributing
trade gains was considered on the whole more important than trade liberalization
per se. Depoliticizing trade policy-making was almost exclusively a concern for
academic circles, with the exception of China. In all countries and among all actors,
the provision of global public goods was more frequently evoked than the next
most popular purposes, trade liberalization and the distribution of trade gains.
Irrespective of diverging views of how the WTO fares in delivering these global
public goods, practitioners agreed that a multilateral institution was essential for
global trade governance.
Figures 3 and 4 open up the sub-category of global public goods by showing the
frequency with which each of the three functions, transparency and dialogue,
dispute settlement, and multilateral rules, was highlighted in the interviews.
In Brazil, Canada, India, South Africa, and among public officials, trade union-
ists, civil society representatives, and academics, the provision of multilateral rules
was the most frequently raised function that the WTO carries in international trade
cooperation. In the EU and in the US, dispute settlement was more often cited as a
key WTO function than providing multilateral rules. In China and among private
sector representatives, both functions appeared to be seen as equally important.
Transparency and dialogue were the least frequently evoked functions, but had
the highest standing in Canada, the EU, South Africa, and the US, and among
public officials and academic experts.
Simplicity of rules and balancing of power relations in international trade were
most frequently cited as important features of good global trade governance that
the WTO could in principle help work towards. An EU trade official for
example asserted that ‘even if we can project our interests through bilateral
rapport in trade and investment relations with third countries, we do gain a lot
from the protection of an enforceable rules-based system … rather than simply
having recourse constantly to the politics of leverage. Because if you don’t have
the WTO, the only thing you have left is the politics of leverage.’ Similarly, a
Brazilian trade official explained that ‘the WTO gives the basic reference … for
the behavior that is acceptable for the different countries. If the countries did not
have that, they would to a much greater extent use their purchasing power to
influence and infuse other countries to adopt specific behaviors, and even with
the WTO that happens sometimes.’
Private sector representatives also shared the view that what a South African busi-
ness representative called ‘the law of the jungle’ was bad for global trade relations. A
Canadian business representative argued that the WTO ‘is not actually free trade, it’s
managed trade. But that’s better than one-off regimes or regimes that favor the more
geopolitically or militarily powerful countries.’ A US business representative
confirmed: ‘it’s all about the rules, there’s gotta be rules that countries follow on
trade matters’ and added that in this respect, ‘the WTO is critical. Having a strong
WTO is of utmost importance not just to the US business community but to the
global business community.’ A European business representative added: ‘our interest
is always first pursuing the multilateral trade agenda, cause it’s just easier for business’.
Labor and civil society organizations in principle agreed, in the words of a US
trade unionist, that ‘the goal of having a single unified set of international trade
monitoring capacities, for most members the multilateral information system is still
essential for getting credible and timely information’ (Ghosh, 2010: 420). Because
TPRs are public, they also improve information levels in the broader trade policy
community (Keesing, 1998).
TPR does not operate in a political vacuum. Promoting compliance with inter-
nationally agreed trade rules by peer pressure and filling information gaps to
enable countries to take matters up for dispute help to consolidate the trade
regime and redress (some) information and capacity asymmetries among
members. Yet, more powerful actors in the system are better placed to pursue
their interests through the transparency and dialogue function. As Ghosh notes,
‘economic analysis of trade policies could easily slide into the realm of economic pre-
scription of “good” policies’ (Ghosh, 2010: 439). The TPRB thus explicitly aims to
maintain the neutrality of the WTO Secretariat during reviews. It also incorporates
members’ requests for improving the mechanism, ranging from identifying technical
assistance needs of developing countries (WTO, 1999) through focusing on behind-
the-border measures in goods and services (WTO, 2013), to improving efficiency, for
example by using trade-relevant macroeconomic information from other inter-
national organizations (WTO, 1999), or by moving to electronic forms of documen-
tation to reduce the cost of review for members (WTO, 2013).
In an era where global trade rules increasingly look like spaghetti bowls, TPRM
becomes more, rather than less, important. This is particularly true for trade polit-
ical actors that do not possess the human and financial resources to keep abreast of
evolving domestic trade policies and bilateral relations across the world. Yet, even
the TPRB mentions rising resource constraints as one area for concern in its latest
appraisal of TPRM (WTO, 2013). Concerns about how PTA negotiations put a
strain on human and financial resources were commonly raised in interviews. A
European civil society representative explained: ‘Following WTO negotiations
was a full-time job, but one person could do it.’ A European trade unionists
testified: ‘we are not able to follow hundreds of FTAs simultaneously, we don’t
have the resources’. Trade officials from core trading nations also indicated that
in the PTA era, even powerful trade bureaucracies of the caliber of USTR, the
European Commission’s Directorate-General for Trade, or China’s Ministry of
Commerce have downsized their internal units dealing with multilateral trade in
order to free human and financial resources for preferential deals. Some intervie-
wees expressed concern that, particularly with the steadily growing web of overlap-
ping deals, this could lead to generalized ignorance and confusion about the
structure and contours of the global trading system. A policy expert with a
Brazilian think tank showed frustration in the interview over their perception
that ‘nobody has the slightest idea how the rules in the different agreements
overlap and what is going on. Governments don’t, many people are not familiar
with these details.’
Interviewees argued that the problem of shifting resources towards the preferen-
tial realm also had implications for the quality of dialogue and exchange among
political actors in the global trade system. Close contact and interaction through
member states’ representations to the WTO facilitates the formulation of trade
policy at the international level and at home (Hoekman and Kostecki, 2001).
According to interviewees, continuous, formal, and informal gatherings outside
of the WTO’s negotiating framework, also in and around other Geneva-based
organizations working on trade and trade-related global policy issues – such as
the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, the International
Trade Centre, and the World Intellectual Property Organization – constitute vital
processes allowing them to exchange and deliberate on domestic trade policies,
global economic events, and potential trade policy responses. As a Canadian
trade official remarked in the interview: ‘in the WTO, by the time it reaches any
formal meeting, it’s cooked or it isn’t’.
There are stark differences in staff numbers among members’ WTO missions.
While big trading nations such as the US, the EU, and China have separate, well-
staffed WTO missions in addition to their UN missions and diplomatic representa-
tions to Switzerland, the LDC missions had on average 4.1 staff members in 2008,
with many of them simultaneously representing their country in all international
organizations in Geneva as well as taking on consular functions (DiCaprio and
Trommer, 2010). Interviewees further suggested that the quality of representation
in Geneva not only depends on numbers, but also on the quality of staff. The
Canadian trade official argued that in the WTO, ‘the role of nations ebbs and
flows based on the representatives’. Therefore, ‘what countries find is if they
don’t want to make the investment of putting in somebody really good in
Geneva, they have less of a role in the WTO’.
Although asymmetry exists among countries and political actors in their level
and quality of representation to the multilateral system, the PTA network lacks a
geographical epicenter in which the entire global trade policy community physically
meets on daily basis. Thus, dialogue on global trade may suffer as political actors
turn their scarce resources to preferential negotiations. There is a further risk in the
PTA era that countries stop sending their best and brightest to Geneva. The quality
of dialogue and exchange among the global trade policy communities could subse-
quently drop, as brains and money drain to the preferential realm. A Canadian aca-
demic expert questioned in the interview ‘whether countries will keep sending good
ambassadors and good staff to Geneva.’ This was important, the interviewee
explained, ‘because ultimately it’s people. If the people aren’t there the thing will
fall apart.’
In terms of transparency and dialogue, fragmentation and thin institutionalism
risk exacerbating power asymmetries and causing cooperation problems due to
growing issue uncertainty, and resource-constrained information and dialogue.
This may produce negative effects on the overall quality of global trade governance,
because information and exchange of views are vital in all aspects of international
cooperation, whether in agenda-setting, negotiation, implementation, monitoring,
or enforcement of rules. While the problem affects all partners to international
trade cooperation, it is likely to affect marginal trade political actors and small
trading nations more adversely, as they face bigger human and financial resource
constraints making it harder to summon the institutional capacity required to
make sense of, and continue to participate in, the fragmented governance architec-
ture for global trade. The next section examines dispute settlement in this context.
4. Dispute settlement
The WTO’s political organs and the Secretariat provide the institutional infrastruc-
ture for resolving international trade disputes, including administrative and legal
support. This section suggests that institutional support is crucial for access to
legal recourse, continuity of legal reasoning, and fairness. In the absence of institu-
tional structures, the adjudication of international trade disputes under PTA
dispute settlement may return to a more diplomatic, rather than judicial format.
Small trading nations in particular face resource constraints and systemic exclu-
sion, and can be expected to participate less in PTA dispute settlement than they
do under the WTO.
Since 1995, the WTO has received over 500 cases and two-thirds of members
have participated in WTO dispute settlement. As testified by the high number of
disputes filed in Geneva (WTO, 2015), members’ enthusiasm for WTO dispute
settlement appears unbroken. Although states negotiate dispute settlement provi-
sions in PTAs, they do not use them (Chase et al., 2013).
The literature identifies several factors to account for this phenomenon. Where a
dispute among two nations relates to matters covered under the WTO Agreements,
Article 23 of the DSU mandates adjudication under the WTO Dispute Settlement
Mechanism (DSM). States may prefer multilateral adjudication where disputes
have multilateral implications. Further reasons for choosing WTO over PTA
DSM may range from ‘the cost–benefit analysis which is carried out in terms of eco-
nomic as well as political costs, to the efficacy of a specific DSM’ and ‘the legitim-
acy of a mechanism’ (Marceau, 2015: 13). Analyzing dispute settlement exclusion
clauses and special procedures across 258 active PTAs notified to the WTO by
September 2014, Marc Froese (2016) finds that PTAs typically exclude areas
such as competition policy and labor and environmental standards from their
dispute settlement clauses and revert back to the multilateral system in
behind-the-border areas, notable Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures (SPS),
Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT), and trade defense. Therefore, PTA ‘dispute
settlement … does not deepen the juridical reach of trade disciplines as much as
might first be surmised’ (Froese, 2016, forthcoming).
Furthermore, the WTO provides the institutional and procedural support that is
essential for the rule of law character of its DSM. The WTO Secretariat’s Legal
Affairs Division, the Appellate Body Secretariat, and the WTO’s organs such as
the Dispute Settlement Body (DSB), the Director-General, and the Appellate
Body all engage in essential legal background work and their institutionalized
roles in dispute settlement limit members’ ability to block the hearing of a dispute.
WTO dispute settlement proceeds in four stages: consultation, adjudication,
appeal, and sanctions. According to Article 27 DSU, the WTO Secretariat assists
members in dispute settlement proceedings at their request, including proposing
nominations for panelists. If the parties to a dispute cannot agree on the compos-
ition of the panel, which is often the case, either party may ask the WTO
Director-General to determine the composition of the panel, again undermining
members’ ability to prevent a dispute from being adjudicated (WTO, 2016d).
Once a panel is established, the WTO Secretariat is responsible for the adminis-
trative and logistical aspects of running the dispute. It advises panels on legal and
procedural points, thus providing institutional memory, continuity, and consist-
ency between panels. It conducts special training courses on dispute settlement
and gives legal advice and assistance to developing countries (WTO, 2016d). By
making panel reports subject to appeal in front of a standing body, the DSU
‘intended to bring “the rule of law” into the international trading system and to
create stability, predictability, and fairness in international trade’ (Matsushita,
2012: 511–512). A selecting committee established by the DSB appoints
Appellate Body members for a period of four years that is once renewable. The
DSB serves to oversee members’ implementation of dispute settlement reports. It
is also the political organ that authorizes the suspension of obligations, should a
party not comply with the recommendations of a dispute settlement report
(WTO, 2016d).
Observers are divided on whether multilateral dispute settlement is more advan-
tageous for small or for big traders. Some argue that WTO DSM brings more
benefits to developing country members than to members who have never
invoked the status, ‘since the former do not always possess the necessary bargain-
ing power to force the latter to withdraw … WTO-incompatible policies’ (Chaisse
and Chakraborty, 2014: 157). Others point out that in practice, wealthy WTO
members and big traders are better placed at all stages of dispute settlement to
assert their rights in the multilateral trade regime. Scholars have identified eco-
nomic diversification and market size (Sattler and Bernauer, 2011), legal capacity
(Kim, 2008), ability to impose sanctions (Bown and Pauwelyn, 2010), and balan-
cing trade with other foreign policy priorities (Elsig and Stucki, 2012) as reasons for
the asymmetry.
Imperfect as the rules-based character of the multilateral system may be, a US
business representative explained that ‘the dispute settlement function is more
effective than any of the other mechanisms that we’ve devised under bilateral
regional agreements’. An Indian academic expert testified that ‘the WTO dispute
settlement has its faults, but the arbitration that many of the RTAs go through is
appalling’. Peter Drahos argues that power asymmetries further benefit the larger
partner in PTA dispute settlement even more than in WTO dispute settlement
(Drahos, 2007). Dispute settlement clauses in PTAs only provide legal recourse
for contracting parties, although their rules produce effects on trade flows of
Source: worldtradelaw.net
non-members. For these reasons, the PTA network cannot provide the same level of
legal certainty and stability as the multilateral DSM.
The data suggest that the PTA realm’s thin institutionalism further undermines
the rule of law character of dispute settlement. Although PTA dispute settlement
clauses are often modeled on the WTO DSM, one interviewee associated with an
international organization pointed out that they generally do not create the institu-
tional infrastructure to support the day-to-day operation of trade courts. Because
the institutional support described above is not available under PTA dispute settle-
ment, access to dispute settlement and continuity of legal reasoning cannot be guar-
anteed to the same degree. A Chinese academic pointed out in the interview that
PTA dispute settlement ‘cannot compare [to WTO DSM], they do not have privi-
leges like the DSB’. A European civil society representative asserted that ‘dispute
settlement at the WTO … offer[s] better protection for the small developing
countries’.
Similarly to transparency, the WTO’s own resource constraints limit dispute
settlement. Figure 5 shows the number of panel and Appellate Body reports circu-
lated, and the number of disputes filed, per year from 1996 to 2015.
The WTO has never delivered more than ten Appellate Body reports in any given
year. Panel reports peaked at 23 in 2000, but over the 1996–2015 period, the
average was approximately ten reports per year. In his 2015 remarks to the
Graduate Institute in Geneva, Ambassador Ronald Saborío Soto, Chairman of
the DSB, raised ‘present workload challenges’ as one issue in WTO DSM and
explained that ‘members’ increasing reliance on WTO dispute settlement has
created pressures on the capacity of the system to meet the demands being placed
on it’ (WTO, 2016e). Director-General Roberto Azevêdo warned in 2014 that
with regard to dispute settlement, ‘we are in a situation where the demand is
severely testing our capacity’. Due to a rise in number and complexity of disputes,
and the Appellate Body’s institutional limitations, which only enable it to hear up
to three cases in parallel, Azevêdo reported ‘an insurmountable bottleneck at the
Appellate Body stage’ of disputes (WTO, 2014). The interviewee participating in
the study further pointed out that strains on financial and human resources result-
ing from a higher number of cases are one important reason why disputes take
longer to resolve on average in the WTO.
In terms of dispute settlement, fragmentation and thin institutionalism risk jeop-
ardizing the rules-based character of the global trade governance architecture.
Capacity asymmetries in dispute settlement, systemic exclusions of trading
nations and of trade topics resulting from poly-centric, institutionally thin PTA
dispute settlement, and resource-constrained adjudication hamper the effectiveness,
accessibility, and reliability of legal recourse in international trade relations. The
developments can be expected to affect small traders more adversely than large
trading nations. They may ring in a return to resolving trade disputes through
power politics, rather than, however imperfect, third-party adjudication through
the WTO.
Despite concerns, participants were on the whole optimistic about the WTO’s
transparency and dialogue and adjudication functions. As a Chinese academic
remarked, ‘the trade policy review mechanism and dispute settlement are
running well. The problem is with negotiations’. The next section examines the
third function that the WTO provides in global trade governance.
5. Multilateral rules
6. Conclusion
The empirical study shows that the 105 trade policy practitioners interviewed from
seven core WTO members and several international organizations continue to
place high value on trade multilateralism. Across all types of actors and trade pol-
itical constituencies, interviewees saw a clear need for transparency and dialogue,
adjudication of trade disputes, and unified rules in global trade governance. As a
quasi-universal one-stop-shop for these functions, a multilateral body like the
WTO remains the ideal in world trade politics, even in the era of preferential
trade diplomacy. The finding contradicts assumptions that core constituencies
have lost interest in trade multilateralism and helps to draw a more subtle
picture of how the institutional architecture for global trade governance is evolving.
Institutional rules in principle empower all members to access the WTO’s gov-
ernance functions. In practice, the procedural equality posited by the WTO legal
and institutional regime exists alongside asymmetrical power relations among
members. Various factors, including economic weight and technical capacity,
remain essential for exercising rights in the WTO political context. Drawing on
the practical insights of trade professionals, this article highlights that institutional
support infrastructures play important roles in redressing (some of) the imbalance.
The lack of concrete and tangible institutional infrastructures in the context of the
ever-rising numbers of bilateral policy and arbitration venues characterizes the PTA
network. Navigating the network therefore requires high human and financial
resources from all actors in global trade governance. By its patchwork nature, it
can be expected to disadvantage not only those who are excluded from PTAs,
but also those who cannot readily summon the resources to pursue their policy
goals in the context of thin institutionalism.
While the global trading system can theoretically operate with a multilateral
baseline on which PTAs build, this article suggests that limitations to financial
and human resources across all trade policy communities mean that one avenue
is in practice pursued at the expense of another. The multiplication of trade
policy forums and thin institutionalism compromise the rules-based nature of the
global trade governance architecture in several respects. The ability of the global
trade system to deliver transparent, enforceable, and simple global trade rules,
and the overall quality of international trade cooperation all suffer, as the global
trade governance architecture is redrawn in favor of more power-based modes of
governance in the PTA era. While thin institutionalism has implications for all
trade political actors, it can be expected to disproportionately affect small
traders, for whom the WTO governance functions constitute a global public
good that is not replaced by the PTA network.
Theoretically, this article provides one detailed example of how the proliferation
of international institutions can lead global governance back towards more power-
based forms of international interaction. The differentiation between thick and thin
institutions proved analytically useful in explaining why trade political actors con-
tinue engaging with both the multilateral system and the PTA network, a fact of
trade political life that goes against the view that trade governance is experiencing
a simple decline of multilateralism. Through thick institutionalism, the WTO pro-
vides many governance functions that trade policy professionals see as essential for
the conduct of international trade relations. The PTA network not only allows
negotiating new rules while the negotiating function of the WTO is blocked, but
its thin institutionalism also re-introduces more flexibility in terms of inclusion of
policy areas and compliance. At the same time, one member’s increased flexibility
is another member’s erosion of legal certainty. This is particularly problematic for
those in the global trade policy community who do not have the resources to ensure
their concerns are addressed across the poly-centric policy venues of the PTA
network.
This article posits thin institutionalism as one hypothetical outcome of PTA pro-
liferation developed on the basis of observations in the trade governance, inter-
national relations, and European public policy literatures, and the insights
provided in interviews. More literature is required to investigate its concrete itera-
tions and impacts on all areas of international trade cooperation and global trade
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Country
(Year of field work) Organizations
Appendix 1: (Cont.)
Country
(Year of field work) Organizations
Appendix 1: (Cont.)
Country
(Year of field work) Organizations